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10 Earthquake and Ground Motion Prediction

The most important seismological aspect of hazard mitigation is the prediction of the  strong ground motion likely at a particular site
(see Reiter 1990; Bolt 1996).  Nevertheless, the aspects of earthquake prediction that still receive the most publicity are the prediction
of the place, size and time of the earthquake. Of course, prediction of the region where earthquakes are likely to occur has long been
achieved by seismicity studies using earthquake observatories. In addition, useful probability estimates of long-term hazard can be
inferred from geological measurements of the slip rate of faults (see, e.g.,  Sieh 1978), regional strain changes, and so on.

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