Commodity and derivatives
markets for power defy standardization.
Market ret jormers should take heed.
22 cLectnic pensprctivescommodity isa commodity unless
its electric power to be delivered
in the United States. Similarly.
lrivatives market isa derivatives
‘market, unless the derivative prod
‘ucts re linked to that electric power commodity. AS
the Obama administration and Congress consider
changes in financial market regulation, or & whole
‘ew structure for commodity and derivatives mar-
kets, they must be sure to understand the nature of
power markets.
For most, the differences are not obvious or sig-
nificant. In general, power markets are different
around the elock, and yet cannot be stoed in
commercial quandes—the laws of physics requite
thatit be consumed atthe time itis generated. The
physical commodity is generated and delivered e-
onally, because electricity cannot be transmitted
efficiently overlong distances. Also, power supply
and demand can change instantaneously. As re
sult, power market prices are volatile. And power
derivatives are highly eustomized to meet indi
vidual energy company needs.
In addition, the electric power markets in the
United States are heavily regulated at the federal
and state levels. These markets did not develop
‘with afocus on financial market structure. For reg-
ulators, the predominant goals in both wholesale
‘and retal markets are reliability and affordability.
If policymakers regulate the markets for over:
‘the-counter (oTC) power derivatives with the same
sweeping principles as they propose to establish for
other commodity or derivatives markets, they must
address the unique nature of the power markers.
Otherwise, there may be unexpected and unpleas>
ant consequences for the electric power industry
‘and Americas electric consumers—regulatory con-
fusion, creased csi dd wo higle paver paces
and extreme price volatility, an exponentially ex-
‘panded group of data and reporting requirements,
‘tiod-up operating cash, and the prospect of deliv
cry interruptions.
Rotorm vs. Construction
‘In August, the Obama administration published the
Derivatives Markets Act its blueprint for regulating
‘the markets for near all commodities and deriva-
{ives—from options on soybeans to interest ratepower and power deriva-
tives are extremely volatile.
swaps to the purchase and sale of electric power
for future delivery. Each of the many commodity
and derivatives markers today ave structured and
regulated differentiy in recognition of the differ.
lences in the types of market participants, the prod
‘uct characteristes, andthe rsks to be managed in
ceach market. The market structures have evolved
to meet the needs of market participants and the
regulators articulated goals. (See the sidebar, “Mar
ets Compared.”)
Some derivatives
are bought and sold
by contract between
oP i
ore derivatives mar-
kets, Other physical or
financial derivatives
have evolved to be so
standardized that an
exchange (regulated
by the Commodity
Futures Trading Com-
mission—crrc) has
defined standard product or contract terms and
allows participants to rade such contracts direct,
using the exchange as their counterparty In many
Instances, clearing entities (also regulated by the
CGrTO financially setle (that is, “clear” standard-
ized products or contracts.
taneous nature
yer as a commodity
the market prices for
Intoday’s power mar-
kets, energy companies
‘ean choose to manage
their business rsks ei
ther by using standard
ized exchange-traded
products orby contract
ing in the ore derivatives market directly with an
‘ther company, subject to credit risk management
choices and credit support requirements. OT de-
rivatives are customized to manage (hedge) the
companies’ commercial risks. Then the companies
‘can choose to clear their ransactions or to manage
their credit risk in another way.
The Derivatives Markets Act sets aside these
:multiple marker structures and posits a new, oné
size-flts-all market structure template, As @ tem:
plate, the act becomes not so much market reform
‘or market regulation but market construction. Un-
lr the act, the regulators charged with defining
these new markets are the CFTC, the Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC), and (in certain
instances) the banking regulators—not an energy
regulator in sight. Yet the new market structure
Pucricta Dondaile sa parner at Shi Mardin IEP Ta
Chica.
would dramatically change the way an electric utl-
fiy’s power supply team or a merchant generator's
sales team operates. eliminating risk management
and hedging options and increasing costs.
{All Power Derivatives Are Local
A commodity derivative is definable and measur-
able, Ics also interchangeable for another one of
the same type—soybean future for soybean fu-
ture, for example,
or financial asset or
index derivative, de-
fined and accepted
by an exchange. Ag-
doultatal and energy
fiatures markets con-
template physical
delivery and receipt
of the product—like
soybeans, Henry Hub
natural gas, or electric
power delivered into a
regional transmission
organization. Such
markets also contemplate a limited range of deliv-
ery disruptions—events thatare outside the control
fof the contract parties,
Due to the unique physical characteristics of
electric power—it's not storable in commercial
‘quantities or easily transportable across distances
‘or traded in a market where supply and demand
are stable—there are thousands of different de-
rivative products for “electric power delivered” at
various locations throughout the United States.
‘While there may bea modicum of standardization
among power derivative contracts, their commer-
cial ermsare customized tothe unique operational
and risk management practices of power market
partieipants—primarily power generators and local
elecure distribution ulities (LDCs).
‘An LDC must address instantaneous and unex-
pected supply and demand fluctuations immedi-
ately—and, because electricity generated must be
constantly in balance with the amount consumed,
this presents physical challenges. The prospect of
such instability also creates market challenges. In
ther traded commodity markets, buyers and sell-
ers can compensate for delivery interruptions by
hedging against them—by storing the commodity
somewhere close to the delivery point, like coal in
the coalyard, for example. No party isin desperate
straits due to a physical or market disruption.
In power markets, however, interruption on the
sellers end sends a desperate buyer into the whole-
sale power marketplace. If that buyer is an LDC
with public service obligations, it needs replace-ee are ust fw of he aifrencas in fnancial maket
Siructure that eristn the comodty and derivatives ward
‘ovay,
‘Standardized Because They Were Created That Way!
Many ofthe pysical and equlatory characteristics tha citin-
‘quis poner marks co nt exis inthe markets or oer financial
‘etnalves. The interest rte and inex derivaives trades on the
Chicago Mercantile Bxctange ae standardized—they were crested
‘when the exchange wrote the produ dfnition. These cervatves
_ate appropri for exchange trading because they hae identical
‘egal igh ana iss. rere are no physical ctr, perormance,
‘oc transportation concepts tht are relevant and noone "nee"
‘he undarvng reference asset. Sunply and demand ae relatively
stable ina deep and liquid make environment. Typically, marke
pattcinans are sophisticated an financially stron, Retail imes-
tors participate in the marke through clearing members of the exchange, which have
requirements
The Commeatties Futures Trading Commission regulates market poessionals (brokers, dealer, and exchanges).
and the exchange equates ts clearing members, so ha retail investors, a indirect participants, can rely onthe
creditworhiness and transparency ofthe make.
ic omn custoner credit risk
‘Affordable. Rollable Corn?
‘Agricultural commas als lack certain distinguishing characteristics of powe, Wholesale commodi=
tis tke com or wheat are measurable, ungible goods wits few geographic limitations and no srvce-
like characte, Nether suppynor drand can change nsanineously, Any market patcpant
‘an sor the physical commodiy to hedge aginst naira disasters or mathe cisuptons. And no
State regulatory sructuce raquites these companies to maintain resource Teel orto supply retail
‘consumes with reliable and affordable com or wheat around the cock. Patipans havea choice as
towhen, where, and whether fo ante the aricutraldrhatives markt
‘Natural Gas: A Simpler Energy Industry
‘Some view ne markt structure ofthe ratrl cas industry inthe United Sates as th most comparable to he power
indastry, Each i equated by the Federal Energy Pogulatory Commission (FEC) and sae energy regulators ater al
But, a reul of carain fron in physical inkasructure and regulatory juristiton, the wholesale mare stu
{ure or natural gas s less complex han ta or power.
Fist of al natural gas canbe stored at any point between production and the gas f=
cal isibution compary (10). Second, he indus inkasrueture fs fail tnear—both
intams of corporat structure and geography. One type of company owns te production
(impor inftestructure. Another type owns the Fesc-equltd intestate pipelines. Once
‘he natural oa reaches 2 market area te state regulated LC then distributes natural gas.
to end-use consumers,
“These companies function independent of one another, regards of corpora a=
Ailton. does nol regula ale nthe wholesale markets fri saes. For sub
‘sequent ransactons, FERC grants sells, by regulation “blanket” marketing crificates
and as no authori thereat to review the reasorableess of aes. FRCS regulatory juistition doesnot reach othe
‘ates charged to end-use consumers, 8 does nth jusk and reasonable rats” jurisdiction inthe Federal Power Act
‘Many electric companies partici inane, two, rll thee segment of ther inusty (generation, transmission,
and dlstribution}—Fen has not mandate the same lve of funcional unbundling in the electic busines ha Ita in
‘he natural gas business. Regulatory overlap is compounded forthe electri industry by he fac that in some instances,
single power company ay hae slaleeneray regulator rom multiple sales. Geographical, the power industry in-
‘rasucture isan interconnected gid rahe ran a lnear pipeline transportation system from wellhead to burner tp.:ment power now itis in the market in order to
avoid power disruptions in its service territory.
The instantaneous nature of power as a commod-
fty means the market pries for power and power
derivatives are extremely volatile,
Doctining Reserve Margins,
Increasing Price Volatility
Of course, the LDC could hedge, however imper
fectly, with reserve generation. Historically, LDcs
‘maintained generation reserve capacities of 20:
plus percent of anticipated peak power needs, in
Order to meet regulatory requirements for resource
adequacy. fa supply
for demand ulstup,
tion occurred, the
1D¢ ramped up its
reserve generation
unit
Over the past 10
years, reserve mar
gins have shrunk,
ddue in part to rising power demand and regula:
tory, environmental, and other restrictions on
building new generation. Contributing to that,
and as a result, LDCs have relied
‘more and more on power deriva-
tives (primarily forward power
supply contraets and options) to
‘meet their public service obliga.
tions and provide ‘paper reserves”
With no choice but to participate
in these markets if they are to Fulfill
‘those obligations, LDCs rely on the
power markets to hedge their power
needs.
Existing Energy Regulation
and the Power Markets
In addition to being an industry
where the derivatives products are
highly customized, supply and de-
‘mand are not stable, prices are ex
‘raordinarily volatile, and hedging
is dificult, energy companies and
the purchase and sale of physical
power and power derivatives are
heavily regulated by the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission
(enc) and state public utility com.
‘missions. FENC's regulatory charge
fs to provide reliable electric power
to companies and consumers at
just and reasonable rates—an un-
usual statutory/regulatory focus for
‘commodity market regulator. The
state energy regulator's mission isto provide reli
able electric power at affordable rates to that state's
retail energy consumers.
nother commodity and derivatives markets, the
market regulator does not also regulate rates that
selected market participants charge to consum.
cers Nor do market regulators judge the reason.
ableness of such rates (or market prices that may
affect them) or review some market pattcipants)
projected business plans (as state commissions
do publicly). The CFTC focuses on financial market
structure, participant behavior in the particular
regulated market, and equal access to relevant his
‘orieal pricing information.
‘The Spectrum of Power Markets
Electricity in the United States has many markets,
(See the sidebar, “What Do Utilities Trade?") Physi-
cal electric power is traded for future delivery in
three types of orc markets.
‘Tariffs. These are one-way, sales-only regulatory
filings that provide the terms under which a FERC:
regulated entity sells power, Wholesale power tariffs
are relatively new, having been a part of FERC’ late
1980s deregulation ofthe electric power industry.‘Markets organized by regional transmission or-
ganizations, An RTO, comprised of stakeholders in
a vansmission market (generation owners. trans-
‘mission owners, LDCs with assets inthe region, and
others}, manages the power flows within and be-
‘ween geographic regions and among geographic
‘market participants, These are regional markets,
unC-regulated and focused on reliability; they
are neither CFTC-regulated exchanges nor clear
ing organizations. In general, an RTO's credit risk
‘management rules are far less compechensive than
the dally mark-to-market margining required for
cleared derivatives products
Bilateral contract markets. These developed as
lulies waded wholesale power anv daeselves
to fill emergency needs or maintain required
serve margins before a new plant came online. No
exchange rules or binding or consistent market
practices govern behavior in these markets. There
are certain standard product definitions and mas:
ter agreement templates available. But the par
ties establish their unique agreement within legal
contract principles, agreeing to produc, delivery
point, quantity, price, and any excuses for perfor
See es volatity, keep
erry ndash ow a.
fe power and power derivatives,
wise se ein (
| asco rafned produ (6.0.
Saonensere ten uu dioxide nd enon
mena products (2.9. renewable enory ced).
‘Taree types of financial matkets for power d
"ivatives have also developed-—where the underly
ing commodity (rom which thederivativesmarket
“derives” its value) is physical Power delivered. In
these markets, the counterparties havens expects
tion atthe time of contract that physical power wil
be delivered or received. The markets are cash-set=
ded. Lbs participate in financial
power derivatives markets often
{o hedge the price or availability
risk oftheir furure physical power
supply needs,
crrc-regulated markets. The
New York Mercantile Exchange
‘and the Intercontinental Exchange
permit trading in certain power
lrivatives products that the ex-
‘changes have defined in standard-
ized, identical commercial terms.
Ambiguities would ereate tisk for
the exchange, which acts as buyer
for all sellers and seller to all buy:
crs. Exchange-traded power deriv
tives are relatively new and have
‘relatively short time horizon,
m0 derivatives markets Various
sroshave created markets for what
are essentially financially settled
power derivatives. For example,
certain R10 markets allow the pur
chase and sale of “virtual” powerRUC lm tlsupply or demand,
so participants ean
manage the differ.
ence in availability
and price of power
in the RTO’s day-
ahead and real-time
‘markets In some RTO
‘marks, participants
can also trade finan-
cial transmission
rights or congestion
‘management rights
to hedge the cost,
of power delivered
There is no physical
delivery component
to these transac-
tions.
(Orc markets for
financially settled
power derivatives,
The bilateral contract markets for power deriva-
tives are vas, varied liquid, and opaque. Many of
the products are not, by any definition, standard-
ized. In fact, for many types of financially settled
power deriviatves, rue trading mazkets are non-
existent. The buyer and sellers rights, risks and re-
sponsibiltes vary tremendously, from the simple
(power forwards, index swaps, and options) to
the complex (cross-commodity spread transac:
tions and tolling agreements). Some transactions
reference rT0 locational marginal pricing nodes,
weather, or products inked to the power produced
by identified power facilities or systems.
Poner derivatives are not routinely traded in
financial markets or cleared, primarily because
the vast majority have been developed and evs:
tomized according to the particular needs of the
‘market participant and thelocal geographic power
market.
Beyond Customized
‘The Derivatives Markets Act proposes that all
“standardized O1C derivatives be traded on CrTC-
regulated exchanges. Bu the vast majority of power
derivatives waded in today's markets contain highly
‘customized terms: Quantity depends on genera
ton performance or power requirements: delivery
point is nota trading hub but a particular node or
busbar; the transaction term may be an hout, bal:
‘ance ofthe day, peakor offpeak, of as long as 10-20
‘years; contract pricing may be hourly or seasonal
In current commodity and derivatives markets,
exchanges can precisely define derivatives with
identical commercial terms. Market participants
can then choose
‘to manage busi-
ness risks by using
those exchange
traded products
or customized
OTe derivatives.
‘The Derivatives
‘Markets Act how=
ever, would im-
pose a mandatory
exchange trading
requirement, Pol
icy makers would
Uetine what Is
standardized, and
only the regulator
could exempt a
customized prod:
uct. Under such
a structure, the
LDC's decision to
buy a customized product would become, for all
practical purposes, a complex and risky proposi-
tion. Tomake sureit did notoverlooka standardized
product to meet its particular and acute hedging
need, the util-
ity would have
10 be aware of
all power de.
rivative prod-
The Derivatives Markets Act di-
vides regulatory jurisdiction over
the derivatives markets among the
ucts offered
‘on exchanges.
Since that
could prove
Impossible, the LD¢ then must dete
‘market regulator would decide,
fa transaction was either similar «
traded product or was sufficentl
an LDC can‘ wait, it runs the risk
legal offexchange derivative trans
‘The act also proposes that all sta
derivatives be cleared by a C#IC-rez
‘Historically, as commodity and derivatv
have developed, clearing entities have offe
2a fee} clearing services for products that the entity
determines ate identical to one another. Market
participants can then choose to use the clearing
services to reduce credit risk or not. The act takes
away this choice. It would require that standard-
ized derivatives be cleared. And for customized
derivatives, the act may require LDCs to tie up large
amounts of cash in capital and margining require-
‘ments. (See the sidebar, "Meeting Margin.”) In s-
sence, market participants have pay eliminate
credit risk
see, the cFT¢, and banking regulo-‘The act assumes that there will be a clearing
‘entity available for every standardized exchange-
traded derivative and thet regulators ean thus re-
‘gute LDCs 6 comply Buta clearing entity can also
As it stands, the Derivatives pracaedarard
Markets Act does not provide for Geriauve prod,
how the new regulatory structure uct, orchoose 0
will be applied to existing deriv. requiresubstan-
atives and markets and to com- _ ta fees, capital,
mercial companies that have ele
traded long-dated transactions.
gin for is clear
ing services.
Gearing isnot universally available and can be an
‘capeisive isk unniagennei elviee
“The act also would have all major swap partici
pants (not just dealers) register with the CFTC and
be subject to capital and margin requirements,
business conduct rules and disclosure standards,
record-keeping and reporting standards, position
limits, and other business restrictions. The defini-
tion of “major swap participant” includes any per
jth a "substantial nt position,” but thereisno
‘on what constitutes such a position and
for hedging for business or financial
‘evalzd clearing of pone derivative xod-
os requires the iy to post cash or cash
‘cuivaents s margin, For specific pes of
‘products, exchanges o clearing nites set the margin
‘amounts and determine wrt canbe used 25 collateral
{nil arin eaitemens ar typical parentage
‘ofthe tansacto’s nominal amount. Uilites enter into
ten of billns of dls of derivatives transactions
annual, most of which arent exchange-traded but
‘ve the counter, requng minimal margin. With
‘mandatary cetalzed cleating, atypical
‘ity woud te up hundreds of
‘lions ot ors.
Also, fo compen
sal for mart moves,
‘karin nites may
eauireice-daily margin
adjustment, Power der
tvatvs contra ae often
‘oustanding for wens, mons,
‘ot years and poner pies te
volatile Ui would have to
‘maintain huge amounts of aaiable
ed pls, te administrative costs
would be considerable. Customer rates
‘woul el the impact in higher power prices.
tisk management purposes if the derivative does
not fit within the hedging rules for U.S. generally
_accepted accounting practices (CAAP)
‘The factis, energy companies often make hedg:
ing decisions that n't meet the strict GAAP rules—
there are many types of non-GiaP hedges that are
bona fide business decisions and not in the least
speculative. Moreover, LDCs often maintain in their
supply portfolios multi-year derivatives (forward
contracts and options). Those derivatives would be
costly hedging choices ifthe LDC werea majorswap
participant and subject to the capital and margin«
ing burdens forall non-GAAP hedges.
‘The Derivatives Markets Act divides regulatory
jurisdiction over the derivatives marketsamong the
Sc, the CFTC, and banking egulators. Policymakers
‘must also harmonize FERC jurisdiction and FERC's
cstablished n10 market structure. Federal and state
energy regulators focus on reliable electric service
at reasonable, affordable rates; and their report-
ing and other regulatory requirements reflect that.
‘Such goals may be inconsistent with the proposed
derivatives market structure. Lbs should not be
responsible to comply with potentially competing
‘and overlapping regulatory structures.
Finally, energy companies need clarity for
‘existing long-term hedges. As it stands, the
Derivatives Markers Act does not provide for
hhow the new regulatory structure willbe ap-
plied to existing derivatives and markets andto
‘commercial companies that have traded long-
dated transactions. The act includes transition
periods of 180 days, without grandfthering provi-
sions for ong-dated derivatives.
The LDCs did not cause the financial market ci
ses of 2008, LDCs are not Wall Stret—rather, they
provide the power that lights Main Street. A new
financial market structure should not prevent the
Dcs fom fulfilling theie public service obligations
or impose significant and unnecessary costs. #