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Average Precipitation Hours of solar

Temperature in in July and radiation in July Concentration of


July and August August in the and August in the Cedar pollen
in the previous previous year previous year (piece/㎝2)
year (degree-C) (mm) (hours)

Average
Temperature in July
and August in the 1
previous year
(degree-C)

Precipitation in July
and August in the -0.5050003696 1
previous year (mm)

Hours of solar
radiation in July and
0.80830497407 -0.516535477 1
August in the
previous year (hours)

Concentration of
Cedar pollen 0.74850797485 -0.787624485 0.7506618888175 1
(piece/㎝2)
Average Hours of solar Concentration Question:
Precipitation We have a discussion among relationship be
Temperature radiation in of Cedar
in July and in spring and weahter condition in previous
in July and July and pollen
Year August in the The table shows weather data and average c
August in the August in the (piece/㎝
previous year discuss their relationship.
previous year previous year
(mm) 2)
(degree-C) (hours)

1992 23.95 227 179.6 567.8


1993 24.35 203 398.4 2733.4
Answer:
1994 22.35 276 246 468.6 1. The relationship between the meteorolo
1995 27.1 37 504.6 5490.5 in spring and the average temperature in Ju
(degree C) is positive, and a strong correlati
1996 24.55 397 375 237.5 concentration tends to "increase" the avera
1997 24.3 175.5 417.2 2323.5 the previous year (degree C) also increases.
1998 24.4 222 371.5 814.3
2. The relationship between meteorologica
1999 24.25 316 287.4 928.8 spring and Precipitation in July and August
2000 25.1 211.5 378.6 3919.5 and a strong correlation, the value is 0.77 w
2001 25.35 155 458.9 3380.7 to "increase" the Precipitation in July and A
decreases.
2002 25.25 201 473.8 2622.1
2003 25.6 249.5 419.9 1988.4 3. The relationship between the meteorolo
2004 22.9 216 264.8 348.8 in spring and aHours of solar radiation in Ju
(hours) is positive, and a strong correlation,
2005 25.05 120 434.5 4272.4 concentration tends to "increase" the Hour
2006 24.05 316 300.9 339.3 the previous year (hours) also increase.
2007 24.7 312 364.6 1107.6
2008 24.25 199.5 342.5 2404.1 .
2009 24.8 240.5 396 3748.2

.
Source: Insitute of Environmental Protection in Nagano Prefecutre

.
Question:
We have a discussion among relationship between concentration on cedar pollen
in spring and weahter condition in previous year.
The table shows weather data and average concentration in 1992--2009, so please
discuss their relationship.

Answer:
1. The relationship between the meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration
in spring and the average temperature in July and August of the previous year
(degree C) is positive, and a strong correlation, the value is 0.75 when cedar pollen
concentration tends to "increase" the average temperature in July and August of
the previous year (degree C) also increases.

2. The relationship between meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration in


spring and Precipitation in July and August in the previous year (mm) is negative,
and a strong correlation, the value is 0.77 when cedar pollen concentration tends
to "increase" the Precipitation in July and August in the previous year (mm) also
decreases.

3. The relationship between the meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration


in spring and aHours of solar radiation in July and August in the previous year
(hours) is positive, and a strong correlation, the value is 0.75 when cedar pollen
concentration tends to "increase" the Hours of solar radiation in July and August in
the previous year (hours) also increase.

.
Promotio Sales
n
(thousnad
cost(thou yen)
sand yen)
Promotio
n
1
cost(thou
sand yen)
Sales
(thousnad 0.819475 1
yen)
SUMÁRIO DOS RESULTADOS

Estatística de regressão
R múltiplo 0.8194746815 forte entre 2 variaveis
Quadrado de R 0.6715387536 67% e explicada da variacao da vendas depende do custo de promocao
Quadrado de R ajustado 0.6532909065
Erro-padrão 722.84739929
Observações 20

ANOVA
gl SQ MQ F F de significância
Regressão 1 19228822.672 19228822.672 36.800985488 9.840195973E-06
Residual 18 9405150.528 522508.36267
Total 19 28633973.2

Coeficientes Erro-padrão Stat t valor P 95% inferior


Interceptar 1229.2999913 644.67025698 1.9068663058 0.0726281283 -125.1019602195
Promotion cost(thousand yen) 7.2554618794 1.1960114579 6.0663815812 9.840196E-06 4.742735046975

o custo de promocao e 0 valor de vendas e d 1229.29999 yen


quando o custo de promocaoaumenta em 1 thousent yen o valor das vendas aumenta em

o coeficiente menor que 0.05 concluimos que o valor das vendas depende do custo de pro
custo de promocao

9.84 e menor que 0.05 concluimos que pelomenos um coeficiente de regrecao significativo

95% superior Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


2583.7019429 -125.10196022 2583.701942918
9.7681887117 4.74273504698 9.768188711748

as vendas aumenta em 7 thousent yen

epende do custo de promocao


Promotion cost and sales for each product in one company
Promotion Question:
Sales (thousnad
Product cost(thousand This table shows promotion cost and sales for each product in one c
yen)
yen) Discuss its relationsip, and develop the regression equation to estim
A 225 2,259 from promotion cost.
B 285 3,588
C 406 4,826
D 458 5,587
Answer:
E 418 4,216 a uma correlacao muito forte porque quando as vendas aumentam
F 390 3,588 uma tendencia de aumentar os custos a correlacao e forte,
em termos de significancia o custo de promocao depende das venda
G 549 4,526 aumentamos as venda em 1 unidade os custoss aumentam e esta r
H 655 5,587 faz sentido ou nao e significativa
I 560 6,974 o custo de promocao nao dependa das vendas
as vendas dependerem da promocao
J 674 5,213
K 515 5,048
L 588 5,464
M 705 6,842
N 643 6,541
O 725 6,345
P 687 5,675
Q 488 5,587
R 490 4,016
S 430 3,567
T 545 4,855
for each product in one company.
ression equation to estimate the sales

do as vendas aumentam os custos a


rrelacao e forte,
mocao depende das vendas, quando
stoss aumentam e esta relacao nao

das
SUMÁRIO DOS RESULTADOS

Estatística de regressão
R múltiplo 0.8004622041
Quadrado de R 0.6407397402 e explicado pelas 3 variaveis
Quadrado de R ajustado 0.6156750709
Erro-padrão 49.197555592
Observações 47

ANOVA
gl SQ MQ F
Regressão 3 185621.37572 61873.791905 25.563462773
Residual 43 104077.17748 2420.3994762
Total 46 289698.55319

Coeficientes Erro-padrão Stat t valor P


Interceptar 322.04548245 26.673102642 12.073791594 2.102334E-15
Area (m2) 1.3836564733 0.2707191495 5.1110402633 7.030907E-06
years after built (year) -4.9646743442 0.7684079957 -6.460987356 7.801484E-08
distance to station (minutes by walk) -5.5630556762 1.3905892422 -4.0005024543 0.0002447024

nao tem uma interpretacao logica

Mantendo constante a varivel anos de construcao e distancia para estacao, quando

Mantendo constante a varivel area e distancia para estacao, quando os anos de con

Mantendo a variavel constante area e os anos, quando os a distancia para estacao


F de significância
1.1914837127E-09 e menor 0.05 pelo menos um desses coeficientes e diferente de 0

95% inferior 95% superior Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


268.254044427875 375.83692048 268.254044428 375.8369204819
0.83769927624722 1.9296136703 0.83769927625 1.929613670313
-6.514316754851 -3.4150319335 -6.51431675485 -3.41503193352
-8.367446153218 -2.7586651992 -8.36744615322 -2.75866519916

e distancia para estacao, quando a area aumenta em 1m2 o preco aumenta em 1.4 (10 thousent yen)

a estacao, quando os anos de contrucao aumentam o tempo de construcao em 1 ano o preco vai diminuir em 4.96 (10 thousent yen)

ando os a distancia para estacao aumenta o 1 minuto o preco diminue em 5.57 (10 thousent yen)
uir em 4.96 (10 thousent yen)
distance to
Price (10
thousand Area (m2) years after station Question:
built (year) (minutes by In order to estimate the price of real estate, we would like to develo
yen)
walk) model using area of estate, walking distance to station and years afte
Please make an appropriate model using regression analysis.
198 85 34 15
198 62 20 24
248 68 19 5
248 104 24 15 Answer:
268 52 13 5
278 73 8 15
288 73 24 8
298 95 30 8
298 97 8 6
298 87 18 3
298 80 0 18
298 95 8 6
308 125 0 20
318 100 15 4
318 125 0 20
328 101 1 18
347 51 1 6
348 173 21 15
348 66 0 5
348 52 1 7
359 75 7 4
365 125 1 19
378 83 1 10
378 70 0 10
378 60 0 3
380 125 5 13
388 60 5 6
388 61 0 5
395 128 5 10
398 103 1 8
398 140 0 12
398 89 0 7
398 91 0 12
398 103 1 8
418 130 0 3
428 100 0 18
428 105 0 16
428 125 0 15
438 165 25 13
458 104 1 6
468 100 1 6
468 100 0 6
468 140 1 11
488 100 1 7
498 100 1 3
518 111 2 5
528 100 1 12
state, we would like to develop estimation
stance to station and years after built.
ng regression analysis.

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