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Average Precipitation Hours of solar

Temperature in in July and radiation in July Concentration of


July and August August in the and August in the Cedar pollen
in the previous previous year previous year (piece/㎝2)
year (degree-C) (mm) (hours)

Average
Temperature in July
and August in the 1
previous year
(degree-C)

Precipitation in July
and August in the -0.5050003696 1
previous year (mm)

Hours of solar
radiation in July and
0.80830497407 -0.516535477 1
August in the
previous year (hours)

Concentration of
Cedar pollen 0.74850797485 -0.787624485 0.7506618888175 1
(piece/㎝2)
Average Hours of solar Concentration Question:
Precipitation We have a discussion among relationship be
Temperature radiation in of Cedar
in July and in spring and weahter condition in previous
in July and July and pollen
Year August in the The table shows weather data and average c
August in the August in the (piece/㎝
previous year discuss their relationship.
previous year previous year
(mm) 2)
(degree-C) (hours)

1992 23.95 227 179.6 567.8


1993 24.35 203 398.4 2733.4
Answer:
1994 22.35 276 246 468.6 1. The relationship between the meteorolo
1995 27.1 37 504.6 5490.5 in spring and the average temperature in Ju
(degree C) is positive, and a strong correlati
1996 24.55 397 375 237.5 concentration tends to "increase" the avera
1997 24.3 175.5 417.2 2323.5 the previous year (degree C) also increases.
1998 24.4 222 371.5 814.3
2. The relationship between meteorologica
1999 24.25 316 287.4 928.8 spring and Precipitation in July and August
2000 25.1 211.5 378.6 3919.5 and a strong correlation, the value is 0.77 w
2001 25.35 155 458.9 3380.7 to "increase" the Precipitation in July and A
decreases.
2002 25.25 201 473.8 2622.1
2003 25.6 249.5 419.9 1988.4 3. The relationship between the meteorolo
2004 22.9 216 264.8 348.8 in spring and aHours of solar radiation in Ju
(hours) is positive, and a strong correlation,
2005 25.05 120 434.5 4272.4 concentration tends to "increase" the Hour
2006 24.05 316 300.9 339.3 the previous year (hours) also increase.
2007 24.7 312 364.6 1107.6
2008 24.25 199.5 342.5 2404.1 .
2009 24.8 240.5 396 3748.2

.
Source: Insitute of Environmental Protection in Nagano Prefecutre

.
Question:
We have a discussion among relationship between concentration on cedar pollen
in spring and weahter condition in previous year.
The table shows weather data and average concentration in 1992--2009, so please
discuss their relationship.

Answer:
1. The relationship between the meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration
in spring and the average temperature in July and August of the previous year
(degree C) is positive, and a strong correlation, the value is 0.75 when cedar pollen
concentration tends to "increase" the average temperature in July and August of
the previous year (degree C) also increases.

2. The relationship between meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration in


spring and Precipitation in July and August in the previous year (mm) is negative,
and a strong correlation, the value is 0.77 when cedar pollen concentration tends
to "increase" the Precipitation in July and August in the previous year (mm) also
decreases.

3. The relationship between the meteorological data of cedar pollen concentration


in spring and aHours of solar radiation in July and August in the previous year
(hours) is positive, and a strong correlation, the value is 0.75 when cedar pollen
concentration tends to "increase" the Hours of solar radiation in July and August in
the previous year (hours) also increase.

.
Promotio Sales
n
(thousnad
cost(thou yen)
sand yen)
Promotio
n
1
cost(thou
sand yen)
Sales
(thousnad 0.819475 1
yen)
SUMÁRIO DOS RESULTADOS

Estatística de regressão
R múltiplo 0.8194746815 forte entre 2 variaveis
Quadrado de R 0.6715387536 67% e explicada da variacao da vendas depende do custo de promocao
Quadrado de R ajustado 0.6532909065
Erro-padrão 722.84739929
Observações 20

ANOVA
gl SQ MQ F F de significância
Regressão 1 19228822.672 19228822.672 36.800985488 9.840195973E-06
Residual 18 9405150.528 522508.36267
Total 19 28633973.2

Coeficientes Erro-padrão Stat t valor P 95% inferior


Interceptar 1229.2999913 644.67025698 1.9068663058 0.0726281283 -125.1019602195
Promotion cost(thousand yen) 7.2554618794 1.1960114579 6.0663815812 9.840196E-06 4.742735046975

o custo de promocao e 0 valor de vendas e d 1229.29999 yen


quando o custo de promocaoaumenta em 1 thousent yen o valor das vendas aumenta em

o coeficiente menor que 0.05 concluimos que o valor das vendas depende do custo de pro
custo de promocao

9.84 e menor que 0.05 concluimos que pelomenos um coeficiente de regrecao significativo

95% superior Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


2583.7019429 -125.10196022 2583.701942918
9.7681887117 4.74273504698 9.768188711748

as vendas aumenta em 7 thousent yen

epende do custo de promocao


Promotion cost and sales for each product in one company
Promotion Question:
Sales (thousnad
Product cost(thousand This table shows promotion cost and sales for each product in one c
yen)
yen) Discuss its relationsip, and develop the regression equation to estim
A 225 2,259 from promotion cost.
B 285 3,588
C 406 4,826
D 458 5,587
Answer:
E 418 4,216 Regarding the relationship to develop the regression equation and e
F 390 3,588 promotion cost, it is important to emphasize that there is a very stro
correlation between two variables. 67% of the explained sales varia
G 549 4,526 on the promotion cost, 9.84 and less than 0.05 concludes that at lea
H 655 5,587 regression coefficient is significant the promotion cost and the sales
I 560 6,974 1229.29999 yen when the promotion cost increases by 1 thousent y
value increases by 7 thousent yen, the coefficient smaller than 0.05
J 674 5,213 that the sales value depends on the promotion cost.
K 515 5,048 When sales increase the costs have a tendency to increase the costs
L 588 5,464 correlation is strong, in terms of importance the promotion cost dep
sales, when we increase the sales by 1 unit the costs increase and th
M 705 6,842 relationship does not make sense or is not significant the promotion
N 643 6,541 not depend on the sales sales depend on promotion
O 725 6,345
P 687 5,675
Q 488 5,587
R 490 4,016
S 430 3,567
T 545 4,855
for each product in one company.
ression equation to estimate the sales

egression equation and estimate the


ze that there is a very strong
the explained sales variation depends
0.05 concludes that at least one
motion cost and the sales value is
ncreases by 1 thousent yen the sales
fficient smaller than 0.05 we conclude
tion cost.
ency to increase the costs, the
e the promotion cost depends on the
the costs increase and this
significant the promotion cost does
romotion
SUMÁRIO DOS RESULTADOS

Estatística de regressão
R múltiplo 0.8004622041
Quadrado de R 0.6407397402 e explicado pelas 3 variaveis
Quadrado de R ajustado 0.6156750709
Erro-padrão 49.197555592
Observações 47

ANOVA
gl SQ MQ F
Regressão 3 185621.37572 61873.791905 25.563462773
Residual 43 104077.17748 2420.3994762
Total 46 289698.55319

Coeficientes Erro-padrão Stat t valor P


Interceptar 322.04548245 26.673102642 12.073791594 2.102334E-15
Area (m2) 1.3836564733 0.2707191495 5.1110402633 7.030907E-06
years after built (year) -4.9646743442 0.7684079957 -6.460987356 7.801484E-08
distance to station (minutes by walk) -5.5630556762 1.3905892422 -4.0005024543 0.0002447024

nao tem uma interpretacao logica

Mantendo constante a varivel anos de construcao e distancia para estacao, quando

Mantendo constante a varivel area e distancia para estacao, quando os anos de con

Mantendo a variavel constante area e os anos, quando os a distancia para estacao


F de significância
1.1914837127E-09 e menor 0.05 pelo menos um desses coeficientes e diferente de 0

95% inferior 95% superior Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


268.254044427875 375.83692048 268.254044428 375.8369204819
0.83769927624722 1.9296136703 0.83769927625 1.929613670313
-6.514316754851 -3.4150319335 -6.51431675485 -3.41503193352
-8.367446153218 -2.7586651992 -8.36744615322 -2.75866519916

e distancia para estacao, quando a area aumenta em 1m2 o preco aumenta em 1.4 (10 thousent yen)

a estacao, quando os anos de contrucao aumentam o tempo de construcao em 1 ano o preco vai diminuir em 4.96 (10 thousent yen)

ando os a distancia para estacao aumenta o 1 minuto o preco diminue em 5.57 (10 thousent yen)
uir em 4.96 (10 thousent yen)
distance to
Price (10
thousand Area (m2) years after station Question:
built (year) (minutes by In order to estimate the price of real estate, we would like to develop
yen)
walk) model using area of estate, walking distance to station and years afte
Please make an appropriate model using regression analysis.
198 85 34 15
198 62 20 24
248 68 19 5
248 104 24 15 Answer:
268 52 13 5 The model estimation using property area, walking distance to the st
278 73 8 15 years after construction I have the following to say: the appropriate m
regression analysis minus 0.05 at least one of these coefficients is diff
288 73 24 8 Keeping constant the variable years of construction and distance to t
298 95 30 8 when the area increases by 1m2 the price increases by 1.4 (10 thous
yen)Holding constant the variable area and distance to station, when
298 97 8 6 construction years increase the construction time by 1 year the price
298 87 18 3 by 4.96 (10 thousent yen)
298 80 0 18 Keeping the variable area and years constant, when the distance to t
increases by 1 minute the price decreases by 5.57 (10 thousent yen)
298 95 8 6
308 125 0 20
318 100 15 4
318 125 0 20
328 101 1 18
347 51 1 6
348 173 21 15
348 66 0 5
348 52 1 7
359 75 7 4
365 125 1 19
378 83 1 10
378 70 0 10
378 60 0 3
380 125 5 13
388 60 5 6
388 61 0 5
395 128 5 10
398 103 1 8
398 140 0 12
398 89 0 7
398 91 0 12
398 103 1 8
418 130 0 3
428 100 0 18
428 105 0 16
428 125 0 15
438 165 25 13
458 104 1 6
468 100 1 6
468 100 0 6
468 140 1 11
488 100 1 7
498 100 1 3
518 111 2 5
528 100 1 12
state, we would like to develop estimation
tance to station and years after built.
ng regression analysis.

rea, walking distance to the station and


owing to say: the appropriate model using
one of these coefficients is different from 0.
construction and distance to the station,
rice increases by 1.4 (10 thousent
and distance to station, when the
uction time by 1 year the price will decrease
nstant, when the distance to the station
ses by 5.57 (10 thousent yen)

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