LA ESPERANZA

AÑO PERFIL
DEPARTAMENTO 1993-20071993-2007 ARITMETICO
GEOMETRICO PARABOLICO
0.069 0.0178743859 0.0578563889297 0.062098 P2
0.055569
= 6846 + 274.00 X + 2.041 X^2
hab. hab. hab. hab. hab. hab.
2012 6846 6846 6846 6846 6846 6846
2013 7318.374 6968.3680461 7242.0848386128 7271.123 7226.427 7122.05
2014 7823.341806 7092.9233458 7661.0857156976 7696.246 7627.995 7402.184
2015 8363.1523906 7219.704995 8104.3284704888 8121.369 8051.877 7686.402
2016 8940.2099056 7348.7527884 8573.2156504916 8546.492 8499.314 7974.704
2017 9557.0843891 7480.1072318 9069.2309495447 8971.615 8971.615 8267.09
2018 10216.523212 7613.8095552 9593.943902655 9396.738 9470.161 8563.56
2019 10921.463314 7749.9017256 10149.014852457 9821.861 9996.411 8864.114
2020 11675.044282 7888.4264599 10736.200203014 10246.98 10551.9 9168.752
2021 12480.622338 8029.4272388 11357.357977587 10672.11 11138.27 9477.474
2022 13341.785279 8172.94832 12014.453697952 11097.23 11757.21 9790.279
2023 14262.368463 8319.0347525 12709.566603879 11522.35 12410.55 10107.17
2024 15246.471887 8467.7323902 13444.896232441 11947.48 13100.2 10428.14
2025 16298.478447 8619.0879068 14222.769377985 12372.6 13828.17 10753.2
2026 17423.07346 8773.1488104 15045.647454775 12797.72 14596.59 11082.34
2027 18625.265529 8929.963458 15916.134285618 13222.84 15407.71 11415.57
2028 19910.40885 9089.5810712 16836.984341104 13647.97 16263.9 11752.88
2029 21284.227061 9252.0517512 17811.111455546 14073.09 17167.68 12094.27
2030 22752.838728 9417.4264948 18841.598047189 14498.21 18121.67 12439.75
2031 24322.784601 9585.7572104 19931.704871865 14923.34 19128.68 12789.31
2032 26001.056738 9757.0967342 21084.881340963 15348.46 20191.65 13142.95
2033 27795.129653 9931.4988467 22304.776436363 15773.58 21313.69 13500.68
2034 29712.993599 10109.01829 23595.250256855 16198.71 22498.07 13862.5
2035 31763.190157 10289.710784 24960.38623261 16623.83 23748.27 14228.39
 EXPONENCIAL
EXPONENCIAL MODIFICADO
INC. VARIABPROMEDIO MIN CUADRAD
CURVA ELEGIDA
Pt= 6846 e^
Pt Pt
=0.05428t
6637.71
= 6846 ++m*1448.8
228.253t + m(m-1)/2*335.7
0.042583 0.043115 0.055777
hab. hab. hab. hab. hab. hab.
6846 6846 6846 6846 6846 6846
7227.849 6865.963 7108.904 7137.053 7141.164 7227.849
7630.996 7094.216 7385.236 7472.812 7449.054 7630.996
8056.63 7322.469 7674.996 7818.957 7770.218 8056.63
8506.005 7550.721 7978.184 8175.903 8105.229 8506.005
8980.444 7778.974 8294.8 8544.09 8454.685 8980.444
9481.345 8007.227 8624.844 8923.979 8819.206 9481.345
10010.19 8235.48 8968.316 9316.061 9199.445 10010.19
10568.52 8463.733 9325.216 9720.852 9596.077 10568.52
11158 8691.986 9695.544 10138.9 10009.81 11158
11780.36 8920.239 10079.3 10570.77 10441.38 11780.36
12437.44 9148.492 10476.48 11017.08 10891.56 12437.44
13131.16 9376.745 10887.1 11478.47 11361.15 13131.16
13863.57 9604.997 11311.14 11955.61 11850.98 13863.57
14636.84 9833.25 11748.6 12449.22 12361.93 14636.84
15453.24 10061.5 12199.5 12960.06 12894.91 15453.24
16315.18 10289.76 12663.82 13488.92 13450.88 16315.18
17225.19 10518.01 13141.58 14036.64 14030.81 17225.19
18185.96 10746.26 13632.76 14604.1 14635.74 18185.96
19200.31 10974.51 14137.36 15192.25 15266.76 19200.31
20271.25 11202.77 14655.4 15802.08 15924.98 20271.25
21401.92 11431.02 15186.86 16434.63 16611.58 21401.92
22595.65 11659.27 15731.76 17090.99 17327.79 22595.65
23855.97 11887.53 16290.08 17772.34 18074.87 23855.97
AÑO POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA K 2013 2014 2015 2016
1993 2377 350.625 9389.5 9740.125 10090.75 10441.38
2005 5028 480.3333 8870.667 9351 9831.333 10311.67
2007 5224 556.8 8564.8 9121.6 9678.4 10235.2
2012 6846 789.2 7635.2 8424.4 9213.6 10002.8
2017 10792
PROMEDIO 544.2396 8615.042 9159.281 9703.521 10247.76

AÑO POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA r 2013 2014 2015 2016

1993 2377 0.06507 8386.675 8932.393 9513.622 10132.67
2005 5028 0.065718 8366.293 8916.107 9502.054 10126.51
2007 5224 0.075251 8073.511 8681.051 9334.309 10036.73
2012 6846 0.0953 7498.422 8213.021 8995.72 9853.01
2017 10792
PROMEDIO 0.075335 8081.225 8685.643 9336.426 10037.23

AÑO POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA Kg 2013 2014 2015 2016

1993 2377 0.062432 7382.729 7813.152 8268.67 8750.746
2005 5028 0.019121
2007 5224 0.05408
2012 6846 0.091028
2017 10792
PROMEDIO 0.056665

AÑO POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA

POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA
1993 2377
2005 5028 8000
2007 5224 7000
2012 6846 6000 f(x) = 456871.242736952 ln(x) − 3468732.05075679
R² = 0.987746067990546
5000

4000

3000

2000

1000
6000 f(x) = 456871.242736952 ln(x) − 3468732.05075679
R² = 0.987746067990546
5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0
1990 1995 2000 2005

POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA
Logarithmic (POBLACION CP LA ESPERAN
Exponential (POBLACION CP LA ESPERAN
 METODO ARITMETICO
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
10792 11142.63 11493.25 11843.88 12194.5 12545.13 12895.75 13246.38 13597 13947.63
10792 11272.33 11752.67 12233 12713.33 13193.67 13674 14154.33 14634.67 15115
10792 11348.8 11905.6 12462.4 13019.2 13576 14132.8 14689.6 15246.4 15803.2
10792 11581.2 12370.4 13159.6 13948.8 14738 15527.2 16316.4 17105.6 17894.8

10792 11336.24 11880.48 12424.72 12968.96 13513.2 14057.44 14601.68 15145.92 15690.16

METODO GEOMETRICO
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
10792 11494.23 12242.16 13038.75 13887.18 14790.81 15753.25 16778.31 17870.07 19032.87
10792 11501.23 12257.06 13062.57 13921.01 14835.87 15810.85 16849.91 17957.25 19137.36
10792 11604.11 12477.33 13416.26 14425.85 15511.41 16678.66 17933.75 19283.28 20734.37
10792 11820.48 12946.96 14180.81 15532.24 17012.45 18633.74 20409.53 22354.55 24484.94

10792 11605.01 12480.88 13424.6 14441.57 15537.64 16719.13 17992.87 19366.29 20847.38

METODO EXPONENCIAL
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
9260.927 9800.852 10372.26 10976.97 11616.95 12294.23 13011 13769.56 14572.35 15421.94

ON CP LA ESPERANZA

952 ln(x) − 3468732.05075679

546
952 ln(x) − 3468732.05075679
546

000 2005 2010 2015

CION CP LA ESPERANZA
hmic (POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA)
ntial (POBLACION CP LA ESPERANZA)
 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036
14298.25 14648.88 14999.5 15350.13 15700.75 16051.38 16402 16752.63 17103.25 17453.88
15595.33 16075.67 16556 17036.33 17516.67 17997 18477.33 18957.67 19438 19918.33
16360 16916.8 17473.6 18030.4 18587.2 19144 19700.8 20257.6 20814.4 21371.2
18684 19473.2 20262.4 21051.6 21840.8 22630 23419.2 24208.4 24997.6 25786.8

16234.4 16778.64 17322.88 17867.11 18411.35 18955.59 19499.83 20044.07 20588.31 21132.55

2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036
20271.33 21590.38 22995.26 24491.55 26085.21 27782.57 29590.37 31515.81 33566.53 35750.7
20395.02 21735.34 23163.74 24686.01 26308.32 28037.24 29879.79 31843.42 33936.1 36166.31
22294.65 23972.35 25776.29 27715.99 29801.64 32044.25 34455.61 37048.43 39836.37 42834.1
26818.35 29374.13 32173.48 35239.61 38597.93 42276.31 46305.23 50718.11 55551.54 60845.59

22444.84 24168.05 26027.19 28033.29 30198.28 32535.09 35057.75 37781.44 40722.63 43899.17

2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036
16321.06 17272.6 18279.62 19345.34 20473.21 21666.82 22930.03 24266.88 25681.68 27178.96
 2037 2038
17804.5 18155.13
20398.67 20879
21928 22484.8
26576 27365.2

21676.79 22221.03

2037 2038
38076.99 40554.64
38543.08 41076.04
46057.41 49523.27
66644.16 72995.34

47330.41 51037.32

2037 2038
28763.53 30440.48