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7 Err:509 rices, the Consumer Price I nd ex and the New York Stock
Exc hange Index, United States, 1 97 Jul-91
YEAR = Year
PRICE = Price of Gold at N ew York, $ Per Tr oy O unce
CPI = Consumer Price Ind ex, 1982- 1984=100
NYSE = New York Stock Exc hange Ind ex, Dece mb er 31, 1965=100
a Y bX
Uji t
Co
Model
1 (Constant)
Sb = 1.21508 k --> jumlah variabel indep + dep = 15-2
t= 1.515944 --> tidak signifikan karena t tes < t tabel CPI
nilai marjinal --> berapa unit Y berubah jika 1 unit X berubah -> 1,842 --> Jika CPI naik 1 unit ind
nilai elastisitas --> berapa % Y berubah jika X berubah 1 %
Elastisitas X,Y = dY/dX . (rata-rata X)/(rata-rata Y) dY/dX --> marjinal = 1,842
Elastisitas CPI.Pgold 0.49926404 Jika CPI naik 1%, maka
[ dianjurkan tidak menghitung nilai
jian statistik
XY
( X )( Y )
J xy
n
X
2
J xx ( X)
2
n
Yˆ a bX
(Xt - RataX)^2
1614.432
1265.936
XY
( X )( Y )
794.1124
J xy n
337.8244 b
X
2
97.6144 J xx 2 ( X)
18.3184 n
1.3924
9.7344
46.5124
a Y bX
77.7924
164.3524 b= Jxy = 13674.81
306.9504 Jxx = 7423.924
539.1684 b= Jxy/Jxx = 1.842
895.2064 a= 186.1833
1254.576
7423.92 ^PGold = 186,183 + 1,842 CPI
e of Gold at New York, $ Per Troy Ounce
sumer Price Index, 1982-1984=100
Coefficientsa
Standardiz
ed Sig.
Unstandardized Coefficient P.Value
Coefficients s Probabilita
kesalahan
B Std. Error Beta t statistik
186.183 125.404 1.485 .161
1.842 1.215 .388 1.516 .153 0,153 --> Probabilitas kesalahan statistik dari uji t untuk variabel CP
Jika CPI naik 1 unit indeks, maka harga emas naik 1,842 $ per troy ounce
arjinal = 1,842
Jika CPI naik 1%, maka P.Gold naik 0,799%
n tidak menghitung nilai elastisitas jika varibel X tersebut tidak signifikan secara statistik ]