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EC2096 L6 Economic History C5
EC2096 L6 Economic History C5
Copyright © 2014 by Singapore Institute of Management Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.
EC 2096
ECONOMIC HISTORY SINCE 1900
CHAPTER 5
The Development of
Modern Industry
Copyright © 2014 by Singapore Institute of Management Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.
This chapter examines:
The UK was the first country to industrialise but did not maintain its lead. (Note:
Around 1870 the UK had the most industry and the second highest GDP per head in the
world, behind Australia).
By 1914 the USA and Germany surpassed Britain in terms of industrial output.
The biggest industrial power was the United States which as early as 1913
produced more than a third of world industrial output:
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.1 Characteristics of UK economy in late 19th century
Important HISTORY lesson: UK was the first industrial country yet it was not
predictable that it would remain at the top.
Recap:
TFP is a way of measuring efficiency by calculating the amount of each input (labour,
capital and other resources) used and the price of the inputs to the producer. This shows
how well the producer and ultimately the whole economy is using the factors at its disposal.
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING5
5.1.2 Social development
ANS:
1. Workers whose literacy and numeracy skills are weak are likely to be less
flexible and slower to learn new skills.
Q: HDI measures education, among other things.
Why might deficient education have led to slower growth in Britain?
ANS:
1.Workers whose literacy and numeracy skills are weak are likely to be less
flexible and slower to learn new skills.
ANS:
3. The main route to industrial training in the UK was by apprenticeship. This
was fine as long as UK industry was changing relatively slowly. But in the
20th century, it made the acquisition of new skills more difficult since the
younger workers were taught by older workers with older skills.
Q: HDI measures education, among other things.
Why might deficient education have led to slower growth in Britain?
ANS:
1. Workers whose literacy and numeracy skills are weak are likely to be less
flexible and slower to learn new skills.
2. The type of education might have been important. In Britain there was less
secondary and tertiary (university) education in science and technology than in
Germany and the USA. Secondary and tertiary education in the UK was more
likely to be in the humanities and aimed at an elite who took jobs in the colonial
service or the professions.
3. The main route to industrial training in the UK was by apprenticeship. This
was fine as long as UK industry was changing relatively slowly. But in the
20th century, it made the acquisition of new skills more difficult since the
younger workers were taught by older workers with older skills.
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.3 Government trade policy
The main difference between the UK and the other industrial countries was in the
proportion of the labour force in agriculture (15 per cent in the UK in 1870,
compared with about 50 per cent in most other rich countries).
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.4 The size of the agricultural sector
The main difference between the UK and the other industrial countries was in the
proportion of the labour force in agriculture (15 per cent in the UK in 1870,
compared with about 50 per cent in most other rich countries).
Note: There seems to be an inverse relationship between GDP per capita and the
proportion of it in agriculture.
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.4 The size of the agricultural sector
Compared with continental Europe, but not USA, agriculture became capitalist in
Britain much earlier. As early as 1800 most British farms were quite large. They
were worked by wage earners, not peasants.
Implications for profits and investment: Shifting labour from agriculture to industry
is an important source of economic growth.
The problem was that this process in the UK had been completed by 1870.
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.4 The size of the agricultural sector
Continued growth could only come by increasing productivity within industry and
services, for example by the development of high-technology industries for which
the UK was not as well equipped as the USA or Germany.
5.1 THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING
5.1.4 The size of the agricultural sector
UK remained ahead in the export of manufactures but not because UK industry
was more productive but that UK was the first industrial country and the
government followed policies that maximised trade, such as free trade.
ANS: Country A can remain competitive by paying lower wages than country
B, which will offset the lower productivity.
So, other things being equal, UK wages in the export industries that competed
with the USA and Germany (this was not all British exports, of course) decline
relative to wages in those countries.
Q: In the last chapter, we said that food prices in the UK fell after 1870
because of cheap imports from the regions of recent settlement.
How would this have affected the position of British workers whose wages
were held down by foreign competition?
Q: In the last chapter, we said that food prices in the UK fell after 1870
because of cheap imports from the regions of recent settlement.
How would this have affected the position of British workers whose wages
were held down by foreign competition?
As early as 1850, a few American industries had been different to those in the UK.
These industries were part of the ‘American System of Manufactures’.
The early American entrepreneurs solve the problem of a shortage of skilled labour
by reducing the amount of craft skills needed by sub-dividing tasks.
→Each person made one part of a clock and used labour-saving machinery.
→The parts were then fitted together.
→Because they were also short of capital, the machines were poor quality.
→American consumer products, like clocks, were cheaper than UK equivalents.
(They were of much poorer quality than UK goods made by skilled labour.)
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
These methods only applied to a limited range of industries: guns, clocks, and
furniture. The real beginnings of mass production came much later, towards the end
of the 19th century.
Then several American industries were using the assembly line to produce goods.
This gave very large economies of scale.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
These methods only applied to a limited range of industries: guns, clocks, and
furniture. The real beginnings of mass production came much later, towards the end
of the 19th century.
Then several American industries were using the assembly line to produce goods.
This gave very large economies of scale.
The essence of the assembly line was a strict division of labour. Each worker on the
assembly line carried out only one task. The product then moved along the
assembly line to the next worker who performed a different task – but still only one
task.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
Each worker had the use of a large amount of capital equipment, which increased
his output.
Because they had only one task, each worker could become very proficient at it. Nor
did they have to spend time looking for parts, tools etc.
Hence there was an increase in output per worker (labour productivity rose).
Moreover, it was easy to train them which reduced the demand for highly skilled (and
expensive) labour in the USA.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
Ford’s idea was to minimise costs by producing a very large number of identical
products, even in colour, which was black.
What Ford realised was that the same product would be bought for different reasons.
Many cars were bought by farmers and small-town businessmen, for example. The
Model T Ford car could be both a consumer product (to take you and your family on a
picnic) and a factor of production (to take a sack of potatoes to market).
This meant that the cars could all be the same. In turn, this allowed Ford to produce
the high volume necessary to minimise costs.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
5.2.1.1 Ford’s assembly line
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
5.2.1.1 Ford’s assembly line
The introduction of the assembly line to the Ford plant in Detroit increased labour
productivity by about 12 times.
But it was not easy to get the assembly line to work. It took Henry Ford three years
after he started to produce the Model T to perfect his assembly lines.
Time and motion studies, called ‘scientific management’, were common in Ford plants.
(This was partly the work of Frederick Taylor who had been
instrumental in optimising the layout of mass production plants
for many years.)
By 1900 the American population was already double the size of that in the UK, and
individual consumption levels were 50 per cent higher than in the UK.
That means that the consumer market in the USA was three times the size it was in
the UK.
Obviously, the ability to mass-produce depends on the existence of a large market for
those products, especially in decreasing cost industries.
In the 19th century the USA had a large number of firms which were all in competition
with each other, but by the early 20th century a new industrial structure had
developed.
US firms were large and instead of perfect competition, either a very small number of
‘trusts’ (a big financial monopoly) controlled a whole industry, or firms made
agreements with each other to restrict or even eliminate competition.
(Note: In contrast, the old competitive structure was still common in the UK. A small number of
firms controlling an industry is an ‘oligopoly’, agreements between such firms are called ‘cartel’
agreements.)
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.3 A new industrial structure
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.3 A new industrial structure
As the US had tariffs on industrial imports, this made anti-competitive agreements
easier to make.
Tariffs push up prices. In a competitive market where there is tariff protection, local
firms expand production to fill the gap left by now-expensive imports.
Modern example: President Reagan allowed a tariff on steel imports. The winners
were the US steel industry. The losers were all users of steel. On the other hand, a
tariff makes local firms behave in a competitive manner – not to restrict production
and raise prices.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
5.2.2 The size of the domestic market
5.2.3 New industrial structures
5.2.4 Managerial capitalism
5.2.5 Cheaper Inputs
5.2.6 The use of new technology
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.4 Managerial Capitalism
With a large number of small and highly competitive firms, management was not
difficult. If the firm performed well it made profits; if it performed badly it made losses.
Firms were regulated by the market.
BUT large uncompetitive firms cannot be regulated by the market. At its simplest, a
competitive firm is faced with a perfectly elastic
demand curve, but an oligopolistic firm is faced by
a downward-sloping demand curve.
In the 1820–80 period, the people who owned firms were also the people who
controlled them, often, members of one family firm.
It is not true, however, that Britain was dominated by ‘family control’ and the USA
by ‘managerial capitalism’. British industry was quite dynamic. There was more
family control of companies in Britain, but only because the American companies
had on average been set up more recently than British companies.
As a consequence, the stock market was less important in Britain than in the
USA.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.4 Managerial Capitalism
The big US corporations were run by managers who controlled the business and
made decisions.
This is what ‘managerial capitalism’ means. The change in the way the firms were
managed led, in many firms, to a change in objectives. Profit might not be the main
objective. Increasing the size of the firm might be more important.
Modern practice: One popular method to make managers think profits first is to
make their salaries partly dependent on profits by offering bonuses or giving
managers the option to purchase shares at an advantageous price.
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.4 Managerial Capitalism
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.1 New ways of organising firms
5.2.2 The size of the domestic market
5.2.3 New industrial structures
5.2.4 Managerial capitalism
5.2.5 Cheaper Inputs
5.2.6 The use of new technology
5.2 THE GROWING STRENGTH OF US INDUSTRY
5.2.5 Cheaper Inputs
In the late 19th century in Europe, machine tools were made in-house, by skilled
workers, not on the production line.
The production line could not have operated without electric power, for example.
5.3 GERMANY AND ‘CATCH-UP’ WITH THE USA
a.There were large vertically integrated firms. Germany was the dominant
producer of chemicals, for example.
b.Germany had created a highly skilled labour force.
c.Germany was also investing in education and research laboratories – just like
the USA, but unlike Britain.
(Note: In theory, Germany should have been able to catch up with the USA. But even at
the beginning of the twenty-first century, German industrial productivity was still below that
of the USA.)
5.3 GERMANY AND ‘CATCH-UP’ WITH THE USA
As a result of their abundant resources US companies had lower prices for inputs
such as iron ore, coal, timber, oil and agricultural products. This gave US industry
an absolute advantage.
The resource question is one reason German industry could not achieve the
same levels of productivity as American industry at the time.
5.3 GERMANY AND ‘CATCH-UP’ WITH THE USA
The UK economy was different and one consequence was that British firms
operated on a much smaller scale than American firms.
Most British industries had far more firms than the same industries in the USA.
The USA also had a large, protected domestic market, quite homogeneous in
tastes, which allowed greater economies of scale. (Note: The UK was
considerable poorer than the USA in the early 20th century.)
5.4 UK INDUSTRY
UK also had more skilled workers than the USA and they were paid less.
British industry did not have the same structure, had no import protection, and
in some respects the UK had an inappropriate educational system.
Germany had a strong industrial structure and appropriate education, yet still it
did not match levels of productivity in the USA. This was because the US
resource environment and the size of the market were much more favourable
to large-scale production. Consequently, Germany found it impossible to catch
up in this period.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
1. How far was the development of the UK economy in the 19th century
unique? Was the UK economy well placed to achieve high productivity
growth in the 20th century?
1. How far was the development of the UK economy in the 19th century
unique? → 5.1.1
GRP 1 & 2
GRP 3 – 5
END