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Ulrich Beck Is The World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
Ulrich Beck Is The World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
BY ADAM TOOZE
AUGUST 1, 2020, 8:33 AM
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For liberals it is a pleasing morality tale. Dictatorship fails when faced with
the challenges of modernity. Sunlight is the best disinfectant.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
Adam Tooze is a history professor and director of the European Institute at Columbia University. His
latest book is Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World, and he is currently working
on a history of the climate crisis.
By the spring it was White House staffers who were likely watching the
HBO miniseries Chernobyl and wondering about their own boss. Lately,
the historian Harold James has asked whether the United States is living
through its late-Soviet moment, with COVID-19 as President Donald
Trump’s terminal crisis. But if that turns out to be the case, it will not be
because of a botched cover-up; Americans are living neither in late-Soviet
Ukraine nor in the era of Watergate, when a sordid exposé could sink a
president. Of course, Trump was culpably irresponsible in making light of
the disease. But he did so in the full glare of TV cameras. The president
reveled in flouting the recommendations of eggheaded public health
experts, correctly calculating that a large swath of his base was not
concerned with conventional norms of truth or reason.
But the fact that neither Xi’s China nor Trump’s United States are a good
match for the late Soviet Union doesn’t mean that Chernobyl is not
relevant to our COVID-19 predicament. What should interest us is not so
much the downfall of the Soviet Union as the more mundane
preoccupations of the Western Europeans who in 1986 found themselves in
the path of the Chernobyl radiation cloud. As the news leaked out of the
disaster, they faced many of the same questions that have haunted us in
2020. Which tests were to be trusted? Was it safe to go outside? Should
children play in sand pits? What types of food were safe? How long would it
last? What were the trade-offs? What exactly was a becquerel? How many
were safe? Which of the vast array of reports, data, and recommendations
should one read? Which should one trust?
But the fact that neither Xi’s China nor Trump’s United
States are a good match for the late Soviet Union doesn’t
mean that Chernobyl is not relevant to our COVID-19
predicament.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
There is no HBO series about life under the fallout cloud that summer. (In
terms of curies per square kilometer, the radiation was worst in two belts:
one stretching northwest across Scandinavia, the other to the south across
Slovenia, Austria, and Bavaria.) What we do have is a book, Risk Society,
published by the German sociologist Ulrich Beck with exquisite timing in
the spring of 1986.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
A television at Chernobyl’s catastrophe museum in Kiev plays a documentary in 2006 that shows footage of the roughly 600,000 soldiers,
firemen, and civilians who were deployed over four years to clean up after the nuclear meltdown. SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
A medical staff member gestures inside an isolation ward at the Red Cross Hospital in Wuhan in China’s central Hubei province on March 10.
STR/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
Stolp, now Slupsk in Poland, Beck’s family fled the Red Army to settle in
the booming industrial city of Hanover. He studied sociology not in the
famously radical Frankfurt, or at the Free University of Berlin, but in
Freiburg and Munich. By the early 1980s he was comfortably ensconced as
a professor of sociology upriver from Frankfurt, in picturesque Bamberg.
Following the success of Risk Society, Ulrich Beck would emerge as
perhaps Germany’s most widely recognized social scientist after Jürgen
Habermas.
Not for nothing Beck has been dubbed a “zeitgeist sociologist.” The
intellectual world he was responding to in the early 1980s in West Germany
was one of considerable uncertainty. The reform momentum of the 1960s
and 1970s had ebbed. West German Chancellor Helmut Kohl’s government
had little of the energy of U.S. President Ronald Reagan or British Prime
Minister Margaret Thatcher. Habermas characterized the period in
intellectual and political terms as die neue Unübersichtlichkeit—the New
Obscurity. The most common move was to refer to the period as an age of
“post-”—post-industrial, postmodern, postcolonial. But as Beck put it, the
use of the term “post-” was a marker of our helplessness, the intellectual
equivalent of a blind man’s stick probing in the dark. Facing up to the
challenge of providing a positive definition, Beck chose “risk society.”
In the early 1980s, the theme of risk was in the air. The escalation of Cold
War tension created a pervasive sense of threat. The campaign against
DDT, given huge prominence by Rachel Carson’s bestselling Silent Spring,
had heightened awareness of invisible chemical pollution. The Three Mile
Island incident of 1979 brought home the danger of nuclear accidents. In
the United States in 1982, Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky had outlined
their cultural theory of risk, elaborating on Douglas’s earlier
anthropological work. Charles Perrow warned that in living with massive
complex systems such as air traffic control systems, dams, and nuclear
reactors, accidents must be accepted as normal.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
This is not easy to do. There is no familiar liberal formula for coping with
the contemporary risks created by modern technological development. It
was not a matter of denouncing dictatorship or know-nothing populism.
Indeed, there is every reason to think that the problems of risk society will
be most acute precisely for those who fancy ourselves as particularly
reasonable and modern, because they cannot evade the dilemmas and
paradoxes that it generates.
Beck shared with the environmental movement of the 1970s and 1980s the
dawning awareness of the gigantic risks produced by modern economic
development. It was the nuclear question that catapulted risk society into
public consciousness. But the 1980s also saw the emergence of widespread
awareness both of climate change and the “emerging diseases paradigm.” If
climate change was the result of carbon emissions, the emergence of
viruses such as HIV, and the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 could be traced to the
intrusion of humans into delicate forest ecosystems and the vast animal
incubators of the agro-industrial complex. As citizens of successful
modernizing societies, we face all-pervasive risks that fundamentally blur
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the distinction between the social and the natural. Beck could rightly claim
to be one of the first thinkers of what we know today as the Anthropocene.
An undated picture sent by Soviet television shows a man injured in the blast at the Chernobyl nuclear plant. AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
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A nurse attends to a COVID-19 patient while he is moved out of the Intensive Care Unit of the Pope John XXIII Hospital in Bergamo, Italy, on
April 7. MARCO DI LAURO/GETTY IMAGES
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science speaks with many voices. Science is, at best, a rowdy, self-willed
choir with many people with different ideas of the tune they should be
singing. As we have discovered to our horror in 2020, anyone who professes
to believe that medicine, science, and public health expertise will by
themselves tell us how to act is either naive or in bad faith. Though
overwhelmed and underinformed, we cannot escape the responsibility of
both personal and collective political judgment.
Furthermore, the more we know, the more we realize that we are not the
only ones judging. Every interested party is picking and choosing its
sources. It is an enlightening but also shocking exposure to how the
sausage of modern knowledge is truly made. And as Beck reminds us, it
“would not be so dramatic and could be easily ignored if only one were not
dealing with very real and personal hazards.”
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
A photo from October 1986 shows the damaged portion of the Chernobyl nuclear plant in Ukraine about five months after a major explosion on
April 26, 1986. ZUFAROV/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
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New graves dot the Nossa Senhora Aparecida cemetery in Manaus, Brazil, in May 2020 amid the rising death toll from the coronavirus
pandemic. MICHAEL DANTAS/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
When SARS was revealed in China in 2003, it was for Beck a demonstration
of a global micropolitics in action. New networks of “risk actors” led by
doctors, researchers, and independent public health experts overcame the
initial efforts at secrecy by the Chinese state. If the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP) has had a Chernobyl moment, this was it. Bottom-up
environmental politics and social-justice activism was for Beck the model
of a new mode of politics. But one might also think of the remarkable effort
involved in stabilizing an institution such as the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change as a global authority in mapping the climate
emergency. It involves a tireless and massive effort of scientific politics.
Again and again climate scientists from all over the world, using different
models, starting from different assumptions, paid for by governments with
oppposing interests have struggled to reconcile their differences and define
reasonable bands of agreement. The reality of this kind of science is more
like the workings of a complex system of legal arbitration than the pristine
image of the lab bench.
But, as Beck acknowledged, there were also at least two other possibilities.
One was a retro politics of going back to the future. This would be a politics
that aimed to restore the certainty of social development and the rule of
organized politics and scientific reason that had guided the first
modernity. The United States’ “war on terror” was one such attempt. It
turned a 21st century security risk into a conventional war against Saddam
Hussein’s regime in Iraq. It was a disaster. The most successful effort to
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
Another response with which we have become all too familiar in the
contemporary United States is a retreat from the vertiginous whirl of self-
reflexive rationality toward new taboos, superstition, rigidification, and
denial. This for Beck was not to be understood as a hangover from
traditional folkways, but as a new superstition raised in response to new
threats. Given the spiraling uncertainty of risk society, it was hardly
surprising that some might react this way. During the response to COVID-
19, it was all too easy to find oneself torn between two camps described by
Beck in his article on Chernobyl: “Some refuse to perceive the dangers at
all, while others energetically insist on blanket condemnations in the name
of ‘self-protection’ or the preservation of ‘life on this earth.’” How was one
to decide between these positions? The polarization of views in the
eddying arguments of risk society could easily extend to science itself. If,
by an honest fallibilistic account, “science is only a disguised mistake in
abeyance … then where does anyone derive the right to believe only in
certain risks?” A realistic skepticism about scientific authority all too easily
shaded into a general obfuscation of risks. It was, Beck admitted in Risk
Society, a “knife’s edge,” in which debates about invisible risks mutated
into “sort of modern seance” with the dial on the Ouija board being moved
by rival scientific and counterscientific analyses.
“Once the invisible has been let in,” Beck wrote, “it will soon not be just the
spirits of pollutants that determine the thought and the life of people. This
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
As Beck warned more than 30 years ago, we may be “at the beginning of a
historical process of habituation. It may be that the next generation, or the
one after that, will no longer be upset at pictures of birth defects, like those
of tumor-covered fish and birds that now circulate around the world, just as
we are no longer upset today by violated values, the new poverty and a
constant high level of mass unemployment.” The word out of the White
House in the summer of 2020 is that Trump’s strategists are looking
forward to the day when news of tens of thousands of new cases per day no
longer ruffles the headlines.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
“How can we cope with the fear, if we cannot overcome the causes of the
fear? How can we live on the volcano of civilization without deliberately
forgetting about it, but also without suffocating on the fears—and not just
on the vapors that the volcano exudes?”
German writer Ulrich Beck in Milano, Italy, on Sept. 18, 2014. LEONARDO CENDAMO/GETTY IMAGES
Risk Society had made him into one of the emblematic figures of European
social science of his day. It had been translated into 35 languages. There are
no fewer than 8,000 articles in Chinese academic journals that refer to
Beck’s work. Somewhat surprisingly, Risk Society did not appear in English
until 1992 and, relative to his standing in Europe and Asia, Beck’s impact
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
on the academic scene in the United States was slight. For the United
States’ social-scientific mainstream, he lacked rigor. Starting in the 1980s,
behavioral economics and experimental social science came ever more to
the fore as ways of accounting for how people form judgments under
uncertainty. For intellectual entrepreneurs of the American left, who trade
in exotic continental imports, Beck was not radical enough. They preferred
their theory French. In political terms, Beck, like his friend and
collaborator Anthony Giddens, was associated during the 1990s and 2000s
with the Third Way of British Prime Minister Tony Blair and the red-green
coalition in Germany.
But it is not just academic politics that accounts for Beck’s muted reception
in the United States. One must also ask how far Beck’s sketch of the
contemporary cultural condition actually extended across the Atlantic.
Beck himself clearly drew inspiration from the American environmental
politics of the 1960s and 1970s, which led the world in turning scientific
research to critical purposes. Silicon Valley’s hybrid of tech and New Age
religion could be cited as a classic instance of Beck’s second modernity—
immensely wealthy tech wizards unafraid to seek enlightenment wherever
they might find it, whether in yoga, outlandish diets, or shamanic outings
to Burning Man. But the United States’ national politics presented a very
different picture. What was one to make of a political system convulsed by
arguments over the interpretation of an 18th-century constitution, the
merits of teaching the biblical version of creation, and the veracity of
climate science? There was plenty of opposition to climate politics from
self-interested fossil fuel businesses in Europe, but few if any mainstream
voices questioning the laboriously established scientific consensus. And in
the United States all this came cloaked in a quasi-theological nationalism,
embodied in the country’s sacrosanct way of life.
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
This may be appealing. But it ignores the obvious fact that the vortex of
televangelism, a reality-TV presidency, and viral Internet memes is itself a
product of our high-tech capitalism, unimaginable in an earlier era. To
answer them with a retreat to rationalism is to indulge in what the British
sociologist Will Davies has recently termed “Enlightenment kitsch.” What
we are living through is indeed Beck’s second modernity, just in a more
conflicted and catastrophic version than he ever imagined. Hence,
perhaps, the attraction of the Chernobyl scenario. How pleasant to imagine
that our problems are those of the late Soviet regime and that what we need
is simply a dose of liberty and perestroika, when the real path of progress is
both more ambiguous and more sweeping, because it implicates the
country as a whole.
If Beck’s readership in the United States was thin, the same was not true in
East Asia, where since the 1980s the German sociologist cultivated a
devoted following. Beck was attractive notably for progressive Korean
social scientists dedicated to the critique of their national model of
authoritarian modernity. For Beck, the eagerness with which his concept of
second modernity was adapted by Asian social scientists was living proof
of the dynamic open-endedness of the reality he was trying to describe. In
such collaborations a process was set in motion that provincialized
European concepts and history without consigning them to irrelevance.
Japan, South Korea, and China were undergoing an industrial revolution
more rapid than anything experienced in the West. They were huge
laboratories of the Anthropocene and the churning appropriation of
nature.
In July 2014, Beck visited Seoul and laid out the implications of his model
of risk society for thinking about crises such as the Japanese nuclear
accident at Fukushima in 2011, the Sewol Ferry Tragedy in Korea in 2014,
and China’s plague of air pollution. Beck was particularly keen to suggest
ways in which East Asia might creatively overcome the bitter legacy of
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8/2/2020 Ulrich Beck Is the World's Most Important Pandemic Intellectual
Beck would no doubt have appreciated the syncretic gesture. Five years
later, he would have been even more pleased to see the entire world taking
lessons from a progressive South Korean government on how to handle the
COVID-19 crisis. In the face of bitter opposition from medical interest
groups, the South Korean government effectively mobilized coalitions of
businesses and scientists to deliver fast and effective testing and tracing.
Rather than relying on clichés about Confucian conformity to collective
norms, they set out to build trust through transparency and effective
delivery. Not only did the Democratic Party government contain the
epidemic, but it even managed to hold a national election in the midst of
the crisis and win it handsomely. The country offers an example, in what
remains of this pandemic, of how to get risk society right.
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