Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PROJECT REPORT
Submitted by
RINO REJY ABRAHAM
FIT18MBA97
Under the guidance of
Dr. JOSE VARGHESE
in partial fulfilment of the requirements
for the award of the Degree of
i
DECLARATION
ii
CERTIFICATE
Dean
iii
Acknowledgement
Through this acknowledgement I express my sincere gratitude towards all those people who
helped me in this project, which has been a learning experience. This space wouldn’t be
enough to extend my warm gratitude towards my project guide Prof. Dr. Jose Varghese for
his efforts in coordinating with my work and guiding in right direction. I escalate a heartfelt
regards to our Institution Director for giving me the essential hand in concluding this work. It
would be injustice to proceed without acknowledging those vital supports I received from my
beloved classmates and friends, without whom I would have been half done. I also use this
space to offer my sincere love to my parents and all others who had been there, helping me
walk through this work.
iv
List of Tables
v
List of Figures
vi
TABLE OF CONTENTS
vii
1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
And the key findings of the study was the stock which give high EPS is better to
invest and hence here HDFC Bank and RBL Bank are showing increase in
Earnings per share. Dividend per share is also high for HDFC. Lower the Price to
sales ratio gives better result. Hence it is good for SBI and Indusind Bank. SBI
shows better Enterprise value multiple when compared to other Nifty Bank
companies. HDFC Bank better results in Earnings per share and Dividend per
share, while analyzing Enterprise Value Multiple it is not keeping the positions.
2
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
3
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
7
Doron Nissim and Stephen H. Penman (2001) in the article “Ratio Analysis
and Equity Valuation: From Research to Practice” says statement analysis has
traditionally been seen as part of the fundamental analysis required for equity
valuation. But the analysis has typically been ad hoc. Drawing on recent research
on accounting-based valuation, this paper outlines a financial statement analysis
for use in equity valuation. Standard profitability analysis is incorporated, and
extended, and is complemented with an analysis of growth. The financial
8
Timo Salmi and Teppo Martikainen (1994) in the article “A Review of the
Theoretical and Empirical Basis of Financial Ratio Analysis” provides a critical
review of the theoretical and empirical basis of four central areas of financial ratio
analysis. The research areas reviewed are the functional form of the financial
ratios, distributional characteristics of financial ratios, classification of financial
ratios, and the estimation of the internal rate of return from financial statements. It
is observed that it is typical of financial ratio analysis research that there are
several unexpectedly distinct lines with research traditions of their own. A
common feature of all the areas of financial ratio analysis research seems to be
that while significant regularities can be observed, they are not necessarily stable
across the different ratios, industries, and time periods.
Nico van der Wijst and Roy Thurik (1993) writtern the article “Determinants of
small firm debt ratios: An analysis of retail panel data”. In this paper, the
relevance of some debt ratio determinants from the recent theory of finance is
empirically investigated in a small business sector. The data used in this study
consist of average financial data of 27 shop types in 20 different years, covering a
period of 24 years. The panel character of the data facilitates the use of analytical
techniques aimed at reducing or avoiding the biasing effect of omitted variables
on the outcomes. The main conclusion is, that the theoretical determinants appear
indeed to be relevant for the small business sector investigated here, but the
influences encountered in the analyses are far less straightforward than the
hypothesized effects in the theory. Influences on total debt are frequently found to
9
be the net effects of opposite influences on long and short term debt and some
variables show large time and industry specific effects.
Javier Estrada (2005) provides the article “Adjusting P/E ratios by growth
and risk: the PERG ratio”. The objective of this study is to compare the
performance of a low‐P/E strategy relative to that of two
alternative value strategies, one based on the PEG ratio and another on the
PERG ratio. The data used consists of a sample of 100 US companies between
January 1975 and September 2002. Portfolios are formed on the basis of
different valuation ratios, and their performance is compared in order to
determine the best‐performing strategy. Portfolios sorted by PERG ratios
outperform, on a risk‐adjusted basis, those sorted by both P/E ratios and PEG
ratios. This outperformance occurs regardless of whether portfolios are not
rebalanced, rebalanced every ten years, or rebalanced every five years.
C.S. Agnes Cheng and Ray McNamara (2000) in the article “The Valuation
Accuracy of the Price-Earnings and Price-Book Benchmark Valuation Methods”.
Here they evaluate the valuation accuracy of the price-earnings, the price-book
and a combined price-earnings and price-book benchmark valuation methods.
Here comparable firms are selected based on industry membership, size and return
10
Peter D. Easton(2002) “PE Ratios, PEG Ratios, and Estimating the Implied
Expected Rate of Return on Equity Capital” . It describe a model of earnings and
earnings growth and demonstrate how this model may be used to obtain estimates
of the expected rate of return on equity capital. These estimates are compared with
estimates of the expected rate of return implied by commonly used heuristics—
viz., the PEG ratio and the PE ratio. Proponents of the PEG ratio (which is the
price‐earnings ratio divided by the short‐term earnings growth rate) argue that this
ratio takes account of differences in short‐run earnings growth, providing a
ranking that is superior to the ranking based on PE ratios. It provide a means of
simultaneously estimating the expected rate of return and the rate of change in
11
Asma Khan and Jyoti Singhal (2015) conducted “Growth and Profitability
Analysis of Selected IT Companies” in terms of ratios over a period of five years.
The paper inferred that performance of HCL Technologies was satisfactory except
in Return on Net Worth and Return on Long Term Funds whereas in case of Tech
Mahindra Return on Net Worth and Return on Long Term Funds was satisfactory
and Wipro showed an average performance during the study period. Also, there
was significant difference between the companies in Operating Profit Ratio and
Return on Capital Employed Ratio and there was no significant difference
between the companies in Net Profit Ratio, Gross Profit Ratio, and Return on Net
worth Ratio.
namely, Liquidity ratios, Leverage ratios, Activity ratios and Profitability ratios. It
was hence inferred that despite the price drops in various products, the company
was able to maintain and grow its market share to make strong margins in market,
contributing to the strong financial position of the company. The company was
able to balance its higher capital expenditures and working capital requirements
with high volume of operations and operating cash flows.
Dr. V.P.T. Dhevika, Dr. O.T.V Latasri and H. Gayathri in (2013) carried out
financial performance analysis of City union bank using ratio analysis technique.
They measured the parameters like liquidity, solvency, profitability and
borrowings of thebank for a period of five years. The paper concluded that the
bank has been able to grow its market share and has been able to meet its higher
working capital requirements and increased volume of its operations.
Literature Review
Sl Authors &
Variables used Key findings
No Country
Dr. V.
Financial analysis of the TAMCEM
Balakrishnan,
Cement Company. The data
Dorothy Jerry.J and financial
8 analysis was done using the
Prof. G. analysis
descriptive statistics and ratio
Kothandapani
analysis.
(2017)
Carslaw, Charles
Developing Ratios for Effective
10 A, Mills and John financial ratios
Cash Flow Statement Analysis
R (1991)
Growth and
Performance of HCL Technologies
Asma Khan and Profitability
was satisfactory except in Return
11 Jyoti Singhal Analysis of
on Net Worth and Return on Long
(2015) Selected IT
Term Funds
Companies
Dr. V.P.T.
Measured the parameters like
Dhevika, Dr. O.T.V
13 ratio analysis liquidity, solvency, profitability for
Latasri and H.
five years.
Gayathri in (2013)
CHAPTER 3
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
17
3.1 Objectives:
1. To analyze the investment potential of companies listed in the Nifty Bank Index
using valuation ratios.
2. To To gain insight into the company's liquidity, operational efficiency, and
profitability by comparing information contained in its financial statements.
CHAPTER 4
DATA ANALYSIS
20
14.00 PNB
BANKBARODA
12.00
SBI
10.00 HDFC
8.00 FEDERALBNK
RBL
6.00
AXIS
4.00 ICICI
2.00 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Figure No:4.1
Dividend Per Share
Interpretation:
DPS can tell an investor about the company's past financial health and its current
financial stability. When DPS increases it is good for the shareholders, and if the
company doesn't pay dividends to its shareholders, this can signal to investors the
company may be in poor financial health and cannot withstand the current market
conditions. Here when compared to other peer companies HDFC Bank shows a
increase in dividend per share followed by Indusind Bank and RBL Bank for the
last five years, which are also consistent in paying dividends to the investors.
22
80.00
PNB
60.00 BANKBARODA
SBI
40.00
HDFC
20.00 FEDERALBNK
0.00 RBL
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 AXIS
-20.00
ICICI
-40.00 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
-60.00
-80.00
Interpretation:
HDFC Bank and RBL Bank shows a significant increase in EPS over the time
period, indicating an increase in profitability of the firms. Whereas Indusind Bank
shows a stable performance in their Earnings per Share. Punjab National Bank
and Bank of Baroda indicates negative EPS making them undesirable stocks to
invest in
24
7.00 PNB
BANKBARODA
6.00
SBI
5.00
HDFC
4.00 FEDERALBNK
RBL
3.00
AXIS
2.00 ICICI
INDUSINDBNK
1.00
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
For the Price to book value ratio, lower values particularly those below 1, are a
signal to investors that a stock may be undervalued, However, value investors
often consider stocks with a P/B value under 3.0 So here it is better to purchase
the stocks of company having low Price to book value ratio. Punjab National
Bank, Bank of Baroda, SBI, Federal Bank, and ICICI Bank are showing low Price
to book value ratio, making them ideal choice for value investing.
26
Chart Title
100.00
90.00
PNB
80.00 BANKBARODA
70.00 SBI
60.00 HDFC
50.00 FEDERALBNK
40.00 RBL
AXIS
30.00
ICICI
20.00
INDUSINDBNK
10.00
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
Dividend payout ratio is the percentage of earnings given to the shareholders.
Hence DPR increases it is good for investors. Here Axis Bank shows highest
payout ratio when compared to other Bank Nifty companies. And it is followed by
HDFC and Federal Bank.
28
Chart Title
0.20
0.10 PNB
BANKBARODA
0.00 SBI
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
HDFC
-0.10
FEDERALBNK
RBL
-0.20
AXIS
-0.30 ICICI
INDUSINDBNK
-0.40 KOTAK
-0.50
Interpretation:
A high earnings yield will not always indicate a good investment, an earnings
yield of 7% or better will immediately identify a company with a low and possibly
attractive current valuation. Here almost all the companies shows same level of
Earnings Yield ratio. Among that Federal Bank and ICICI Bank shows higher
average ratio, followed by SBI, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank while compared to
others. Hence these companies securities will be good to invest in.
30
Chart Title
40.00
35.00 PNB
BANKBARODA
30.00
SBI
25.00 HDFC
20.00 FEDERALBNK
RBL
15.00
AXIS
10.00 ICICI
5.00 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
A low EV/EBITDA ratio could mean that a stock is potentially undervalued while
a high EV/EBITDA will mean a stock is possibly over-priced. In other words, the
lower the EV/EBITDA, the more attractive the stock is. Generally, EV/EBITDA
of less than 10 is considered healthy. So here SBI, Federal Bank and Bank of
Baroda shows better ratio when compared to other companies
32
Price to sales ratio is a valuation metric for stocks. It is calculated by dividing the
company's market capitalization by the revenue in the most recent year; or,
equivalently, divide the per-share stock price by the per-share revenue.
Chart Title
12.00
10.00 PNB
BANKBARODA
8.00 SBI
HDFC
6.00 FEDERALBNK
RBL
4.00 AXIS
ICICI
2.00 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
PSR ratio indicates how much investor paid for a share compared to the sales
companies generate per share. In general lower the P/S the better the value is.
More specifically, if the ratio is less than one, it is considered good and anything
above 4 is a warning sign that the company is overvalued. Here SBI, Federal Bank
and Bank of Baroda shows lower value Price to sales ratio.
34
Chart Title
3.00
PNB
2.50
BANKBARODA
SBI
2.00
HDFC
1.50 FEDERALBNK
RBL
1.00 AXIS
ICICI
0.50 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
High dividend yield ratio shows high dividends to the shareholders. Here we can
see DYR is high to Federal Bank. In 2015, they provide the highest value, and
hence their mean value also increases. During 2016 ICICI Bank also shows a high
value.
36
300.00
PNB
BANKBARODA
SBI
200.00 HDFC
FEDERALBNK
RBL
100.00 AXIS
ICICI
INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-100.00
Interpretation:
Low P/E ratio is good for value investing, Federal Bank, Axis Bank and RBL
Bank serves this purpose. Here in 2017, SBI shows a considerable hike in P/E
ratio, but in the subsequent years its ratio had been reduced. Increase in P/E Ratio
among Axis Bank and Kotak Mahindra denotes the rapid growth of the firms.
38
PNB
25.00
BANKBARODA
SBI
20.00
HDFC
15.00 FEDERALBNK
RBL
10.00 AXIS
ICICI
5.00 INDUSINDBNK
KOTAK
0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Interpretation:
A low price to cash flow multiple implies that a stock may be undervalued, and
vice versa Here Kotak Mahindra, Indusind Bank and HDFC shows high cash flow
multiple and SBI and Bank of Baroda shows lower ratio.
40
DPS EPS PBV DPR EYR EVM PSR DYR PER PCF
PNB 0.66 -16.76 0.76 3.66 -0.16 6.54 0.61 0.36 -1.64 4.66
BANKBARODA 0.88 -2.19 0.87 9.10 -0.02 7.42 0.82 0.48 6.04 3.36
SBI 1.74 7.45 1.31 12.12 0.04 10.86 1.15 0.70 167.84 3.72
HDFC 11.30 58.92 4.17 11.67 0.04 17.77 5.52 0.84 22.52 17.46
FEDERALBNK 1.24 6.05 1.42 11.71 0.06 10.28 1.57 1.60 16.42 8.38
RBL 1.86 13.14 2.22 11.07 0.02 22.41 2.81 0.28 19.02 8.94
AXIS 3.12 20.10 2.42 115.45 0.04 15.66 3.09 0.62 79.18 9.42
ICICI 3.00 13.43 1.94 21.20 0.05 15.07 3.33 1.06 23.34 7.48
INDUSINDBNK 5.90 47.36 4.14 10.06 0.03 20.47 5.34 0.50 25.50 17.98
KOTAK 0.70 20.25 5.91 2.97 0.02 34.05 9.58 0.10 30.96 26.48
Figure No: 4.11
Summary of Analysis
41
CHAPTER V
FINDINGS
42
1. Stocks of HDFC Bank, Indusind Bank and RBL Bank shows high Dividend and
Earnings per Share.
2. ICICI Bank and SBI shows the highest Dividend payout ratio.
3. Bank of Baroda and Punjab National Bank shows lower value in Price to Book
Value
4. Federal Bank shows higher Earnings Yield Ratio.
5. Though EPS and DPS is lower in Federal Bank and SBI, its Enterprise Value
Multiple is good. The stock which shows least value in EVM is better to invest.
6. SBI, Federal Bank and Bank of Baroda shows lower Price to Sales Ratio.
7. SBI and Bank of Baroda shows lower Price to Cash Flow Ratio
8. SBI and ICICI Bank has increasing Price to Earnings Ratio indicating the rapid
growth in value.
43
CHAPTER VI
RECOMMENDATIONS
44
1. Stocks which provide high value of earnings and divided on per share is better to
do investment. Hence on the basis of per share data we can suggest HDFC Bank,
Indusind Bank and Axis Bank.
2. HDFC Bank and Indusind Bank are highly consistent in declaring dividends
across the time frame, whereas ICICI Bank and SBI shows higher dividend
payout ratio (It tells investors how much of the company's profits are being given
back to shareholders) these companies are a suitable choice for a dividend
reinvestment plan (DRIP) a program that allows investors to reinvest their cash
dividends into additional shares or fractional shares of the underlying stock on the
dividend payment date.
3. HDFC Bank followed by Indusind Bank shows the highest Earnings per share
which indicates how much money a company makes for each share of its stock
and is a widely used metric for corporate profits. Investing in these profitable
stocks are recommended.
4. Punjab National Bank, Bank of Baroda and SBI has lower Price to Book Ratio
and Price to Sales Ratio respectively, which indicates that these stocks are
undervalued and are suitable choices for value investing (An investment strategy
that involves picking stocks that appear to be trading for less than their intrinsic or
book value) .
5. SBI shows very high P/E ratio, which can indicate that the stock is being
overvalued, hence not a good choice for immediate investment.
45
CHAPTER VII
CONCLUSION
46
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3. Timo Salmi and Teppo Martikainen (1994) “A Review of the Theoretical and
Empirical Basis of Financial Ratio Analysis” The Finnish Journal of Business
Economics 4/94, Pp 426-448.
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48
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