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PURMA)= bX, P(R)= ote thle GO obell eB G pte ye 9S saip,(a)-fi : aie n(ey-r-p(ayar-4-F3) 6 janvier 2018 P(B)>P(Aps ft G(n)=(2x jx —2)—4} : 0 slice E(G)>0: YS 19 day dal oS (STE) a gale se Ly y OTS Sey (Ades et al gece Ay wl phen 2 yal pam Bal y ell ie lets ey ADs le 20 le eg ee tn eel ee TODA eB guy el pan cS BDA qcAD pets ol pins CS 13 FEN SAS Wh ADD GLA LAD cae hl eh ee ee se ol pe St I ADA pty Ep BDA oy eles AG CY Ee pee GSP dad LG BLS I dg red Dy oe «Asal oS Lie Ula ace (7 "ad edd GC Sted Jucel cual (2 «ie DS ed) lt yl aye (3 (Sbeeeat el pied yale 2 pol jee Sanly eel oe Sls ey A Se 20 ke Sel Ge Saal Rey fed 6 jammer 2018 « LODA Ge pp > alpen cls 1 «SDA ed igh iw eS RN AS NSE 6 G8 ot LA gta 2 gl Ly Bee ey lets cats 1 ADA pats HY BDA ry oh pen Rad UN dee ot ae i I ede i oe « Apl oaD LL Lhd. aa (1 opto cemtg Ga es al (2 » Anal) La ceal yO Jue! opti ae (3 Bhopal Se 2 Aull ol pf Gisadl yh ase (1 (RD cay FG Gn Ring hy VI ol ped Lang J (gel y pal 05D Ge ay Fa) 3+6e4= [27]: Wa ol py Ahad Gd xe Gl Hw be) pay) G Mad Jute ee (2 eee . BO ED testi pe ini Jal po a 1ODAS, leet) | yao 4 : i P(C)= a lp ey J Wes =[-4;-F:B:10} : de peal Lat (2 ADAB ADAs job A yak y paid ed sal y as ple eel ae) y Dey Ad Se yolk fe pee oe oe pheall l pal obecael SEDME Syu AGS Ald So ald Lage aly SMD SY ye IS lata Gal (7 6 janvier 2018 esd pat al yt "A Oat Sey pail ost opal pada "C 7 Malalh ppl pf Ll pl Sind gy go BGI UD De Day AE I hy GI ye ee SI (2 Rial GI Gye Nl ytd pat Sly DEC pl oe (1 MX Gp pital g ded he Ga) LY si {Shoppe de CC), = (220) 2p WSs hy ot ta ae (1 P(e) = SEE |] ; Pay = [i nor SBS]. nor Sl 3210: xush yo al a Pix =i) (a) [| PX -9)-S-[ Pl: X Dad od Px =3)= P(A) f rx =7)-EG cS > mena [EEE el ee ee ee Ce E(X)= Oe ge ele ge + 2x ger ee= 2 planta Walt (GS tga lat B(x, E08) p, =(0-2)'e+(1-ay 2s (e-ay 22 a-ay te V (Xa (x,- EU p =(0-2F Ze olt-2y He ate-2y Bata ay' 6 janvier 2018 ie cell se ge ge BL OS pala 83 pele 1S 7B psy Gps tS Abe eed y Gythead ol Lage pS Mei Jaa y Spiel teal 6 Wye coe + ee oe Saas 5 ssl 24h) Sin Slo BJ Wl (1 2” cast SEBS Iyead “A (l 2 a dl oe BES le I ped BR (ae (= ) Ada els SEO y( © R) EOD eas 6 Ole Ls ke dele (2 he eal de pee 6 8) a IS ay pS a atl Yt 2 ECM teil Dd eal gy pd pital Lae oll oe (I + ae Dg ie gilded cd Gad oe (W 2 heel BE pal im Ayla igaad |p Gh gtinall gl el tne 3 8 (2-3) sane (3 Gti AMAA Datel J ne Gk Asal 6 olay Dae pL Dyes Jo a? =10F = [100] sya all AD Sh sce SM ela footy ID le ee ot Ly (1 P(ay= [a sing THRO] Gatien 8S le Speen Gel 2x (| PUB)= [ae] thes P+ SIGH Gods J cash G88 oe Ipeal 5 oe ( -2 fos-2: Xa ee __% Wee | o [2 Je) les. | a2 | 48 2 Seed pf Je! oy atl AE E(X) gest d 8 E(X)=(-2 Boron hose Gh >Ooles : BUX )> 098 Y dase dell oS (L janvier 2018 ee BE ee sigs en ait tah Peale ST yelpa sa Spay al (3 P(a)=4 toe om Gatley 84 Maat Gay atin 7 can = fied (Boze eee ce Syl et yp AM I SS pels Od pele cl 63 ce 5 tay Gps eM elay CAS NY ul) ge 6 pe lds dS ed ge Le He yas ahs Sco y ed BY clay oS 1d yd Re pelt g Letyd Dae ysl PR) os JS ae! eal (i (7 ola apd bad SA Wooly A 5D Aas I" B RETR pat SI Las ls at (UL aly el a ihe seg fl gl pat pit A (2 etl Madd Saal y A yD pte) pAb uci! gyi deel ~ Che ee mayeet-fi 0 Sieg Cad indy 8 clap 5 BOD Lines P(B)-S A-f 1 see iiciensiatcrtchbae ARI Bd gl olay tS eee | gl] AN ipl clas Sa gl 6 janvier 2018 P(AyeP(a)=4-2-[8) th De gd SUES Oo AgSy250s NX Bytd ye wel a pw (2 mix ==P(a)-f Pela oS AA 5D i Uae (A SI cae Gia DB Maas ply alata) BS GLNB pl gh WNT = 2) tesa ins tlie See Sf P(x =2)-P(a)=[2| 0 ae Ab aa gl Ua ay clans Sol AG pe gh Gan 1) = 3) tiaad Gis = oh yn 5S AMID yD gl hoes aD ph Ua Sy olny 6 SAN 5 yd Yt 1 it 1 Pix == Eh Ete] 2 ot aay SAG Ey he (AT = A) ea Sia — SDD Vases lg alange SIR 5p Gh Lik aD Uae ly olay 5S AD Spd he oD ot las ay clay shyt Sag Ji ili o GQ cH Eh PUR = A)n be hehehe] gle] 6 ee 2 L E B(X otto rteae dete te B: fr) LS = U, bpsinn gts igen Ua je eg Py AB Sd AD a Gf pila y ol pnd CUS 2 ol Uy Grice GAS Sly Dh ed 5 Uy Spinal ye bia y 58 come! BSB Uy Spe ys soln £2 y oles 83 . ol pek 3 ke peed ea sl (7 6 janvier 2018 oh jan Uy Gstaad oe Ayes 689 Gf Le SY! ple ol pa 58 ple Jaa Juin canal (2 pgs Dea at ja CSD aa ame ISG Shy gg pth DN SS (3 cgay Bald eal y Ho Up patel aN sh oe ( ia yal p fad SL al ight ul (w ss he s a (Doymai fo oh peak SS le ped A: qi ” raniancte] te re aie ‘ PAY Exh =a] 208 hia BS le A le Jpn > tia Bot (2 paling elgan U, Ge Age | OP cod Cy 7. (B)= BOE A. p(B) py sled Jae J gins hye Ua aged 1g. Gh TS gle UN le Upeand " w BC cad Met BAC ceed Sind (el joe ol pak Sy ol pw sf U,c{5] ol ya FSU, (ot pes A? Upgesdpat su.) (] Gixcl cl 2 TM. 4 BAC i pal] + ol I eae oo aa" al _P(Bac) [7]... F(B=~ prey ig) ° 2 (OL 2:3): NM pb He yume (I (3 piel pas cl 63 U1 (YX =O) coed gia = ub 4G jarwier 2018 Gh ck , P(X a a “3 2 Uy go ol pik 82 y US ol perk Se 3) b Mipmee W gl ol peta SA S2 gol jan 848 Gm L(Y Dates nd (U, Ge ol peek 82 Ue el eo 8) 7 (Up ce eh jan Fy ol pk 9S y U, eel pe 58) 4 1 2 ‘1 cl 1 P(X =1)= PaaS E 2: Re} ds BUN. pnw ER NLR I (Uc ol yn 5 By ol peel BU, os ol pe) 2 (Wye olan ABZ U, oe ol ped tS) weet ccl cl ck P(X =2)= cf .-253, = aa. a ‘et a 5 (Uy ol paw S82 4s Ue el pe aS) ee LN = 3) cee Ge - cs 6 Px = Sb: tr PB Doel i Daa Gig aly E(X)=0« 5 se 2¢ 22 oa. 3 [eg : eas oS - Ble|o sire] V(X )=(0- 1)» 3 (11.6) «2 4(2-16)'s 2 (a-1.6) 20]: ok (X)= (V(X =D sg tat aha = Geers poy Dy y Dopp al oD ph ane HAE y TAD das Mpa dae Dy Sin gle Da ages Gjanvier 2018 Kw RAM Leg DoD sh dal 16 Bo de Dy aes 2252 ye Jee) pw tel Doe (1 STD pple Deca) ya Lad as Gun aa 19 (2 date goal y 5p (i + Obe le 5 BB ek ely DS ste ty SS Bh gl pd geal AP Gy Lae Gu al ps (8 cpl Dall ad y Md pa atl Jai Gy ll ye = pF Sy D, ag tay lY 2 BY yes De! ot aa B te oe 2S hes hen Lae (1 eal pd, einlcd Han, 169 Mea S Zan, 189 whoa tole OD amy 6 Dy sgn y tie anil Bandy iT iD le Jena (| (D, 14350, Pie JID, sey, 189) bid 5) Sy dnb ee Sas ok ea ay i205 oto dnt tp dele Lal: os (D, Tot ds D, 15) + Suse) coy (3 25150: Xs ot pad bl PUR =0)= 2 e[ 1 1 9 gl BZA I se ALB(N =O) Cand Si pdb taal yy 29 yh Y(X =a Gay = 2,2 [23 12 21 63° wl * PER =2)= pF -[2 ste ad 2K whlg(x —2)cond Ses 6 janvier 2018 E(x =O Bon Zsa. 2 3 2 E(X) faa SAN 63 6a 63 Ayo £2 Updshag say sels S263 UjGpea gs BSB pe cat UG pkall oe oh S aly ol hs Wyte cae eli 82 5 Up Spinal ataass x Seoaaee OO Ramee a a oD di wed s3 a B peal Neil an gh aly 5S Mpls le ay Sale al A pte ay ay Waal 1 (2 Ly Gilead ee Rpgaete 68D oa Syst oI Jatin! ya be Wl Je C2xC}=[40) = UY, gota 3 8 5 Up GS oly gl bh ed ad YD oe (1 Uy Sete ye Salt eS a alin + Uy tl an 88 y Uy Sal gan AS 2 ne al ye 3 a” A play S26, § [3 ale” OD od US 3 eB (Uy ohne 5 [i] oe ogee 2) F] (Up os 8] Uc oy 22) —CRxC} CixC} 8 Ee ar G janvier 2018 (2b $06 ga Ge SU, U, U, ate piel coe =the SS gy i thee OS 2 ps US ole 89 pchey OSS ye UL As a hye 87 pele SS ge Us) ebay 3S AEA) Sy tke ed BO A a LG AY pte Ty gk fe « ApmeingD ak phe l SVLGa G t E (1 UBD Go alias 58 as Lt) canal (2 pela 58 Ga Suda! cosa (3 UBD 0 aS Sail we olny Syd 58 Gf Le (4 le PUBU Re BL) Uy shins Se Sad (2 _— fre olen 58 sates LGN eal {8 we ° Sp P(B)= P(BAU,)+ P(BOU,)}+ P(BOW,) 12.1.3, 1.5. ; . “xeta eta e™ os —— ee Dei pa Le aby Ap Like I aU, ari ane P(BOU, aU “ray Ip "avout Bj Dy jap ebay 804 aes eld ls 3a A 809 fe Ap £93221 AON) det R jody jel pe 605 93321 pi des janvier 2018 ABD Oe SG eS ld ee DD ce Gh 8 A te Ge pe Regd ole gh od SLR ge SS (7 2 RD Si pad a IS te Cal (2 itt haha Haale": wer el pan hed CO ed go SP gels (SL a ey eo im Tei es ie TTT 100 ABA) Sank ell eke GY Acie ol pw S06 le nS ye -10001717 Aa wlio cd SOB 5 AB oe ly gb oo S AAD Na te « Aihaingy SS of Daa a Ld Ti laa 916 60 cals 14 (1 VB hn gl Le alt soles gS pe Jed lal al (2 6 janvier 2018 (14) lan Ch HBT so Semi cyies oe (1 “Ted Gi ys le Jp 4: Tebow AS le Dead” 8: “Yeh D less SES y Gogh Ob 8 le Jeet “Se AB: ot pane) SL) yppay= GL su 10 PRB) 5) [Fo “ol bee ee pes 2 “TAD Phd GAS 3 ae ol oe OFS Ge peed 7: BAe AME ot fata y Boy ACA 3 Maly A Sms ae lt oa ge lel 5% I ot YN 2096 A LY gatas — = dale gb pied 6496 J pt cll 46 3095 BUY Qt — A ed I St EY 50% COU Qe SABD Spo Sata Casal Lol pS Lal LB pte take (1 “Ag see ye et clea“ * Bag see y cles yt olen ” “Ce seme y le yet plead co - Maa bya ytd (2 «ee ot chee ost J pa (3 lle yt ad Lele fs Me ge le I Sl) el (4 6 janvier 2018 (pest Ja "Ate secled" A. "ghee 2 "Cm e seme cle CO Bae ee cl B e=Cal 3 b=BalgpasaAnl i P(C)=0,5 ; P(B)=0.3 gp P(A)=02 : us P(AGT) =P(A)e P,(T)x 0.2%0,05=0,01 > ate P( BO?) =P(B)« P,(L) = 0,3 0,04-0,012 P(EAT) =P(C)- B(7) = 0.5 0,01=0,001 Ae MALY bat (2 1 ee ot chee os I Dial: PUI) 3 PU)= P(A) PL) + P(B) BU) PIC RD) =0,01+0,012+0,005= (0.018) = ee ye abies A le shen clea os ol kil: P(A) (4 _P(Aqt)_oo01_[i F(A) Og oh MAG Doe Ay SPRL em hy yak ly ad hy gs AD jing SIT ay ae Gt 10.6 5D Bee ged Qu 0.8 pig ety he Uy ty J lad 0.2 5A Hee gg UY ete Jee Uy ot od Jee! janviee 2018 Set ey i Se MSS ee gi ow TRAIT gt «diet Ui 8B Se oe! guilty gd date! wb (1 ee opt pay del pL (2 4D CN Lae Ft a (3 P(T)=1-PU)=04 take y PUT) = 0,6 : cba) P.(AT)=1- P(M)=0,6 44 5 P(AL)=0.4 P,(M)=1-P(M)=08 sey P(M)=0,2 tea 2 eo gS Jel PIT OM) (1 FM ae P(TOM)=F.(M)* P(T)=0,6%0,4=0,24 : aus, tee oe yh J tel pw P/M) (2 PAS OLGA ysis ga bind P(M)= PUT)» Be (M)+ P(F > PM )=0,6x0,4+0,400,2=0,32 Pe a og ath es jb hee Gt gy I Deal ow Py (T) (3 By (T= Lp = 33s = 18 6 janvier 2038 (ot rey Had gb yh 16 allt = Be DSU he 50 ay She Babe ol gue eT «ReaD ESE Je BD any lead C Abad ot spe ele S = Baal D5 SS oe 76 a Ae Da Ge peed Be Be Bg aa pa OSS ye oe Gale Lye ga (1 OM gh pa pill Desi ott ane (1 EM Dead yeti 5 fad Gl a piyglocels I LY Gunal (G Caled oye oe SOG Lyte sess (2 «Fite Caled gy ED EY oy of Sica! al (i = Baad sob a DN gle only ee ale Syl Daca eal (G AAD! ald ol pg Lake BR Ga AE gy) laa aba GS gf cial ga Le (ge (yea Je P(x =70)=4 = Pix =tn= 5 P(X =s0)= 7 + Geta gst (I T 5 4 (X= 50% 55+ 60% = + 70x == [59.375] Cf =[5GO) : Wyte ells 3 Asay Akad CLD ose fl (2 chcwe! ot Hi P(e) Mabie Caled gl CW cy lull: BE TB Rad ad ye DY gle aly dln ola 9 6" Risk D (= z 1 3 io) ES ct C1.03 yl PMD) Cad) ld gh ae ait ag gy Bt: A 6 janeier 2018 BRD yh SOD oy flee Ld GB G Band Ola nl Oy Pd de A FG eT €}.€3,63 merrell» PiF)=— ee Qe Aa cdl Gh yp lane pg Lakes Saad ga SO Gy lia vlad GS) Miata Ga PG) #09- "eo (ahead cel pak ISB yal pen HAS y (gale seri ols S ne ley ges way dS Pot S Wyte ces + GH OES ple Jee) Jail Le (1 as Gl ow QS le Spend Suita oI Pm) jaa? (2 P(n)= atet Js (n+7)(2+8) ~ ad pe. tim P(n) nal n=4: (3 2 ole gD oe Gel 8S cy gale MD ee aly ob ES ee ed ls ey ames JS al Gey he FO o pak ile i hy aed ue ol ce SN Lh fae Ge es ye ld ati oe GS ye HO + calle Goby seats pH Mey geet Ge ale Sey Le pe ce BM Nd a Ce I hee ed od ote) oe Ne ay ae OS She pd ped a Vo! OM ytd 9 od oe () 2M Ad pal Ley gti oe (G 2 OX Ad ga pe Li al (e ? 6 janvier 2018 i onladl Og oe GBS cote”: Mold _— a(n-l) P(n)=P(BY+PUR)*PW )= a ait are TR m—n+26 7 Pim insTyne) * ES ally yok ol ee IS alee lim P(m)=1 (~ FS at eel one oe Se p(y ned & (3 NX =-30M0H0=50 OR seb oid ott oe O88 Sd Ler to (| OM =—304 40+ 5= 15s el alt coe ch SS aly Bye a ee 7X =-304545=—207 sy s8) of IS ff gales ga oe oS 6 SS aes PUX =50)= P(a)« P(A) =e = & P(X =18)= P(4)s(1-P(4)) +(1- P(A) PCa) = BE P(X =-20)=(1- P(A))«(1- P(a))= ee 6 janvier 2018 (Bharat LD ye 106 y nD 02096) Lue 5 G06 Led Sle ad pet T0000 Tepe tet + Ae pee ok oe gab ate SAY U8 Apeog oi gb OD Meat tet JE (1 2 pmb Wak Spc) aad eal (2 "SleeyL Yedda A "Dyce day ys Y Jas" B Me yy yp ils" C Teme Wa val" D wld oe eo J deal Ls te Bale and 3 ad fl Lie (2 Q = i we = or ee PlAl=P(Hoty= 2-5 (a < P(B)= PHOT) =38=2 a . P(c)=P(Han)=2e bat ti io” 3 ie, P(D)=P(inT)=2<3.= 2 ‘ 25 a Plat) pic) RUE)=— aay - Bays PIC) (a {20102 ant sWhyR CAS OZ y clays cd $03 yolig cd $06 — U, Geto gsm; OS Vn Ga cay gh AS SDE AM ye iy as samt Rapa SBD Sd 6 Nghe od gig aes day GD ipl id NV oS P(X =3)3 PLY =2) a0! (1 tlie hSyebey ci $02 U, al Spe iat (2 6 janvier 2018 Uy ey ABS Ae EU, Ged BU eed OD I et Fy pad AY I J lade Gayla UL gye Otiy ad GGJ8D Ss Gf Tica ial «oe EU) (20 hoya Ja candQ=C) = 84 : Aye CEE de pene St 222d aah of 5.493 Reo ll gall Mad Ny Gan og ot ee B (chew ot BY. NNN RRR oI BBB ble XN =2 o- KO1+ C20 CL+C2xC; z ‘1 1 plx =2)2© precnes 8 P(X =3)= EKG fe tol: BNR ble X=3 os. "Uy oe Gaeta Ob 8 ee”: le (2 e eG 2 @ Fab) ack ace ‘a ce FP) = a P(B)

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