Year Demand Time Aggregat

Deposits Deposits e
Deposits
(2+3)
1 2 3 4
1953-54 522 326 848
1954-55 567 375 943
1955-56 631 412 1043
1956-57 704 472 1175
1957-58 731 721 1452
1958-59 722 913 1635
1959-60 781 1121 1902
1960-61 710 1026 1736
1961-62 786 1131 1917
1962-63 867 1175 2042
1963-64 1071 1214 2285
1964-65 1239 1344 2583
1965-66 1427 1523 2950
1966-67 1649 1776 3425
1967-68 1845 2011 3856
1968-69 1934 2404 4338
1969-70 2235 2793 5028
1970-71 2626 3280 5906
1971-72 3127 3979 7106
1972-73 3794 4849 8643
1973-74 4336 5803 10139
1974-75 4963 6865 11827
1975-76 5817 8338 14155
1976-77 6943 10623 17566
1977-78 4872 17340 22211
1978-79 5826 21190 27016
1979-80 6643 25116 31759
1980-81 7798 30190 37988
1981-82 8383 35350 43733
1982-83 9984 41374 51358
1983-84 11312 49284 60596
1984-85 14132 58113 72244
1985-86 15612 69792 85404
1986-87 19227 83496 102724
1987-88 20247 97798 118045
1988-89 23342 116808 140150
1989-90 28856 138103 166959
1990-91 33192 159349 192541
1991-92 45088 185670 230758
1992-93 46461 222111 268572
1993-94 56572 258560 315132
1994-95 76903 309956 386859
1995-96 80614 353205 433819
1996-97 90610 414989 505599
1997-98 102513 495972 598485
1998-99 117423 596602 714025
1999-00 127366 685978 813345
2000-01 142552 820066 962618
2001-02 153048 950312 1103360
2002-03 170289 1110564 1280853
2003-04 225022 1279394 1504416
2004-05 248028 1452171 1700198
2005-06 364640 1744409 2109049
2006-07 429731 2182203 2611933
2007-08 524310 2672630 3196939
2008-09 523085 3311025 3834110
2009-10 645610 3847216 4492826
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994618544
R Square 0.989266048
Adjusted R
Square 0.988853204
Standard Error 0.143475232
Observations 28

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance
F
Regression 1 49.32654376 49.326543 2396.2206889 3.91E-27
Residual 26 0.5352136986 0.0205851
Total 27 49.86175746

Coefficients Standard t Stat P-value Lower Upper Lower

Error 95% 95% 99%
Intercept 0.387679829 0.2501536324 1.5497669365 0.133285433 -0.12651832 0.901878 -0.307426
X Variable 1 2.531671029 0.0517182552 48.951207227 3.911372E-27 2.42536263 2.637979 2.387961

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals

1 10.23462315 0.2424676265
2 10.39969618 0.2287763068
3 10.60750862 0.1911073113
4 10.81922319 0.1150794906
5 11.04084323 0.0149237508
6 11.21888163 -0.0550031283
7 11.4304024 -0.0833072187
8 11.63852855 -0.1111776318
9 11.83918644 -0.1752495022
10 11.85461989 -0.1138260492
11 11.91311766 0.0183997116
12 12.04645577 -0.0362885282
13 12.28663398 -0.0243700534
14 12.57671484 -0.1315662381
15 12.72620755 -0.1893897537
16 12.88923492 -0.2004923275
17 12.99062202 -0.1725119271
18 13.1527043 -0.1674031158
19 13.27560184 -0.1306280207
20 13.34475649 -0.0573482768
21 13.48626038 0.0134635079
22 13.65805889 -0.0159676306
23 13.86131885 0.0498909009
24 14.05977324 0.1659093276
25 14.33666343 0.1369830039
26 14.54221959 0.1327632737
27 14.61117625 0.2251828744
28 14.86297826 0.1295823161
 X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
16
14
12
10
8
6
4 Predicted Y
Actual Y
Y

2
0
7 9 1 6 6 3 5 1 7 9 6 5 6 6
6 7 8 3 4 0 8 6 4 0 5 1 11 7 32 7 09 1 0 23 3 90 6 9 7 6 9 8 6 5 3 9 4 5 9 4 5
5 6 7 2 6 7 90 25 11 32 39 02 1 7 8 1 3 1 2 9 62
3 49 177 722 154 9 62 2 16 9 62 69 4 12 1 800 728 389 311 458
0 9 5 3 9 0 3 6 1 7 8 3 9 2
8 9 5 3 6 7 0 7 9 6 1 8 2 3 2 5 2 5 0 0 0 87 3 97 8 9 0 6 7 3 8 2 2 0 0 9 7 1 8 2
8 0 2 3 5 5 7 . .
4 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6
3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4

X Variable 1
Upper
99%
1.082785
2.675381
Predicted Y
Actual Y
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994618
R Square 0.989266
Adjusted R
Square 0.988853
Standard Error 0.143475
Observations 28

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 49.32654 49.32654 2396.22 3.911372E-27
Residual 26 0.535213 0.02058
Total 27 49.86175

Coefficients Standard t Stat P-value Lower Upper Lower

Error 95% 95% 99%
Intercept 0.387679 0.250153 1.54976 0.1332 -0.1265183 0.9018779 -0.307425
X Variable 1 2.531671 0.051718 48.9512 3.90E-27 2.4253626 2.6379794 2.38796

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Y Residuals Percentile Y

1 10.234623 0.24246763 1.785714 10.477090773
2 10.399696 0.22877631 5.357143 10.62847249
3 10.607509 0.19110731 8.928571 10.798615933
4 10.819223 0.11507949 12.5 10.934302683
5 11.040843 0.01492375 16.07143 11.055766982
6 11.218882 -0.05500313 19.64286 11.163878497
7 11.430402 -0.08330722 23.21429 11.347095177
8 11.638529 -0.11117763 26.78571 11.527350916
9 11.839186 -0.1752495 30.35714 11.663936937
10 11.85462 -0.11382605 33.92857 11.740793837
11 11.913118 0.01839971 37.5 11.931517372
12 12.046456 -0.03628853 41.07143 12.010167245
13 12.286634 -0.02437005 44.64286 12.262263925
14 12.576715 -0.13156624 48.21429 12.445148599
15 12.726208 -0.18938975 51.78571 12.536817799
16 12.889235 -0.20049233 55.35714 12.688742592
17 12.990622 -0.17251193 58.92857 12.818110091
18 13.152704 -0.16740312 62.5 12.985301187
19 13.275602 -0.13062802 66.07143 13.144973824
20 13.344756 -0.05734828 69.64286 13.287408214
21 13.48626 0.01346351 73.21429 13.499723892
22 13.658059 -0.01596763 76.78571 13.642091258
23 13.861319 0.0498909 80.35714 13.911209753
24 14.059773 0.16590933 83.92857 14.225682571
25 14.336663 0.136983 87.5 14.473646433
26 14.54222 0.13276327 91.07143 14.674982865
27 14.611176 0.22518287 94.64286 14.836359123
28 14.862978 0.12958232 98.21429 14.992560575
 X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
Upper
12
99%
6
1.08278 0
Y
2.675381 87 41 76 15 07 86 56 Predicted Y
Y

6 6 7 7 8 6 5 1 1 2 09 2 3 9 1 69 9 9 4
5 6 2 3 0 8 2
3 49 722 962 9 62 1 21 7 28 311
0 5 9 3 1 8 9
8 95 07 9 23 2 0 00 978 7 38 09 7
8 2 5 7 4. .1 .5
3. 4 . 4 . 4. 5 5
X Variable 1 Normal Probability Plot
SUMMARY OUTPUT
X
Regression Statistics 16
Multiple R 0.994619 14
R Square 0.989266 12
Adjusted R 0.988853 10
8
Standard E 0.143475
6
Observatio 28 4

CO
2
ANOVA 0
df SS MS F Significance F 7 9
6 7 8 34 0 8 6
Regression 1 49.32654 49.32654 2396.221 3.911E-27 56 7 2 6 7
3 49 1 77 722 154
Residual 26 0.535214 0.020585 0 9 5 3
8 95 3 67 07 9 6 18 23
Total 27 49.86176 8 0 2 3 5
3. 4. 4 . 4. 4 .

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 99.0%
Upper 99.0%
Intercept 0.38768 0.250154 1.549767 0.133285 -0.126518 0.901878 -0.307426 1.082785
X Variable 2.531671 0.051718 48.95121 3.911E-27 2.425363 2.637979 2.387961 2.675381

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 10.23462 0.242468
2 10.3997 0.228776
3 10.60751 0.191107
4 10.81922 0.115079
5 11.04084 0.014924
6 11.21888 -0.055003
7 11.4304 -0.083307
8 11.63853 -0.111178
9 11.83919 -0.17525
10 11.85462 -0.113826
11 11.91312 0.0184
12 12.04646 -0.036289
13 12.28663 -0.02437
14 12.57671 -0.131566
15 12.72621 -0.18939
16 12.88923 -0.200492
17 12.99062 -0.172512
18 13.1527 -0.167403
19 13.2756 -0.130628
20 13.34476 -0.057348
21 13.48626 0.013464
22 13.65806 -0.015968
23 13.86132 0.049891
24 14.05977 0.165909
25 14.33666 0.136983
26 14.54222 0.132763
27 14.61118 0.225183
28 14.86298 0.129582
 X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
16
14
12
10
8
6
4 Predicted Y
CO

2 ACTUAL Y
0
7 9 1 6 6 3 5 1 7 9 6 5 6 6
6 7 8 34 0 8 6 4 05 1 1 1 7 3 2 7 09 1 0 23 3 9 0 69 7 69 8 6 5 3 9 4 5 94 5
56 7 2 6 7 90 2 5 11 32 39 02 17 81 3 1 29 62
3 49 1 77 722 154 962 216 9 62 69 4 1 21 800 7 28 389 311 4 58
0 9 5 3 9 0 3 6 1 7 8 3 9 2
8 9 5 3 6 7 0 7 9 6 1 8 2 3 2 5 2 5 0 0 0 87 3 9 7 8 9 0 6 7 3 8 2 2 0 0 9 7 1 8 2
8 0 2 3 5 5 7 4. 4. .0 .1 .3 .5 .6
3. 4. 4 . 4. 4 . 4 . 4. 5 5 5 5 5

IIP
Year IIP CO ln IIP ln CO
1982-83 48.9 35493 3.8895035 10.477091
1983-84 52.2 41294 3.9547067 10.628472
1984-85 56.6 48953 4.0367918 10.798616
1985-86 61.6 56067 4.1204182 10.934303
1986-87 67.2 63308 4.2079572 11.055767
1987-88 72.1 70536 4.2782817 11.163878
1988-89 78.4 84719 4.3618315 11.347095
1989-90 85.1 101453 4.4440406 11.527351
1990-91 92.1 116301 4.5232996 11.663937
1991-92 92.7 125592 4.5293958 11.740794
1992-93 94.9 151982 4.5525022 11.931517
1993-94 100.0 164418 4.6051702 12.010167
1994-95 110.0 211560 4.7000396 12.262264 CO
1995-96 123.3 254015 4.8146204 12.445149
3500000
1996-97 130.8 278401 4.8736694 12.536818
1997-98 139.5 324079 4.9380646 12.688743 3000000
1998-99 145.2 368837 4.9781121 12.81811 2500000
1999-00 154.8 435958 5.042134 12.985301
2000-01 162.5 511434 2000000
5.090678 13.144974
2001-02 167.0 589723 5.1179938 13.287408 1500000
2002-03 176.6 729215 5.1738873 13.499724
1000000
2003-04 189.0 840785 5.241747 13.642091
2004-05 204.8 1100428 5.3220339 13.91121 500000
2005-06 221.5 1507077 5.4004226 14.225683 0
2006-07 247.1 1931189 5.5097931 14.473646 0 5 10 15 2
2007-08 268.0 2361914 5.590987 14.674983
2008-09 275.4 2775549 5.6182246 14.836359
2009-10 304.2 3244788 5.7176854 14.992561
 CO

CO

10 15 20 25 30
 Year Bank Aggregat
Credit e
(11+12) Deposits
(2+3)
1 13 4
1953-54 538 848
1954-55 623 943
1955-56 761 1043
1956-57 900 1175
1957-58 963 1452
1958-59 1014 1635
1959-60 1128 1902
1960-61 1336 1736
1961-62 1408 1917
1962-63 1588 2042
1963-64 1817 2285
1964-65 2035 2583
1965-66 2287 2950
1966-67 2692 3425
1967-68 3032 3856
1968-69 3396 4338
1969-70 3971 5028
1970-71 4684 5906
1971-72 5263 7106
1972-73 6115 8643
1973-74 7399 10139
1974-75 8762 11827
1975-76 10877 14155
1976-77 13173 17566
1977-78 14939 22211
1978-79 18285 27016
1979-80 21537 31759
1980-81 25371 37988
1981-82 29682 43733
1982-83 35493 51358
1983-84 41294 60596
1984-85 48953 72244
1985-86 56067 85404
1986-87 63308 102724
1987-88 70536 118045
1988-89 84719 140150
1989-90 101453 166959
1990-91 116301 192541
1991-92 125592 230758
1992-93 151982 268572
1993-94 164418 315132
1994-95 211560 386859
1995-96 254015 433819
1996-97 278401 505599
1997-98 324079 598485
1998-99 368837 714025
1999-00 435958 813345
2000-01 511434 962618
2001-02 589723 1103360
2002-03 729215 1280853
2003-04 840785 1504416
2004-05 1100428 1700198
2005-06 1507077 2109049
2006-07 1931189 2611933
2007-08 2361914 3196939
2008-09 2775549 3834110
2009-10 3244788 4492826