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Rodney J. Morrison
To cite this article: Rodney J. Morrison (1967) Financial intermediaries and economic
development: The Belgian case, Scandinavian Economic History Review, 15:1-2, 56-70, DOI:
10.1080/03585522.1967.10414352
The Gurley-Shaw model starts by dividing the economy into spending units and
financial intermediaries. Spending units are then classified as baianced, surplus,
and deficit budget units. A balanced budget unit is one in which current ex-
penditure (including outlays for investment) equals current income. A surplus
budget unit is one in which current expenditure is less than current income. And
deficit budget units are those in which current expenditures exceed current in-
come."
intermediaries') indirect debt in place of the direct debt which they (the surplus
units) had formerly been accumulating. Thus by taking the direct debt of deficit
budget units, financial intermediaries, undertaking indirect external finance,
exert a downward pressure upon interest rates and enhance the borrowing and
lending of loanable funds. As Gurley and Shaw state, 'Aggregate debt increases
at a faster pace ... if an increasing portion of direct debt moves into the port-
folio of financial intermediaries'. 6
This model has two basic but crucial premises. It assumes a certain level of
development, and it assumes the existence of perfect capital markets. The im-
portance of these assumptions, and especially the latter, is that they are necessary
to assure significant ad justment to marginal changes in the rate of interest." Thus
the viability of the model rests upon the extent to which relevant economic var-
iables respond to changes in the interest rate. But clearly, in an underdeveloped
economy, there would be little such sensitivity. Therefore the general applicability
of the model to economies in an early stage of development becomes somewhat
dubious.
The denial of these two crucial assumptions does not, however, completely
vitiate the model, but it necessitates a reworking of it. This reformulation utilizes
a concept of economic dualism in which an economy is divided into two sectors,
one traditional and the other transitional. In the traditional sector most firms
are owner-managed and internally or self-financed. There is little financial inter-
mediation or innovation and little secular change in per capita income. In the
transitional sector, however, there are signs of an increasing per capita real
income and firms and entrepreneurs are favourably disposed towards innova-
tion."
Financial markets in the traditional sector are highly personalized as surplus
budget units lend only to those firms and individuals with whom they have had
prior dealings. In this case changes in the interest rate have little or no effect
towards increasing savings or reallocating loanable funds. In the transitional
sector, however, there are financial intermediaries which are able to mobilize
6 Ibid., p. 526.
7 R. L. Bennett, The Financial Sector and Economic Development, (Baltimore: The Johns
Hopkins Press, 1965), pp. 1-2, 35.
s The combination of the concepts of economic dualism and financial intermediation is
drawn from R. L. Bennett's excellent study which is cited above. See R. L. Bennett, op, cit.,
pp. 22-24. For a more general application of the Gurley-Shaw model, see D. J. Ott, 'The Finan-
cial Development of Japan, 1878-1958', Journal of Political Economy, Vol. LXIX, April, 1961.
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 59
and allocate loanable funds to innovative firms. By doing so, they perform the
function known as 'innovative finance'. 9
Financial intermediaries in the transitional sector are also capable of taking
a more forceful role in the development process. They do this by actively parti-
cipating in firms either by aiding them in their planning or by actually super-
vising their operations.
In order to finance their innovations entrepreneurs, in the Schumpetarian
model, require large amounts of loanable funds for lengthy periods of time. And
in the reformulated version of the Gurley-Shaw model, this is precisely the role
which financial intermediaries fulfill. For while direct or internal finance con-
tinues in the traditional sector, in the transitional sector financial intermedaries
stand ready to serve innovative firms or entrepreneurs in need of loanable funds.
When market conditions and the technical capabilities of the transitional sector
have developed sufficiently and entrepreneurs are eager to expand, they will
generally require additional funds. If they are forced to rely upon direct or in-
ternal finance, in a very substantive sense, a financial bottleneck will have been
encountered. Thus financial as well as technological innovation is required if
development is to continue. And the innovation on the financial side is the de-
velopment of indirect external finance." By providing this form of finance, finan-
cial intermediaries play a key allocative role in the development process. Thus
while the framework is that of Gurley-Shaw, with its stress upon the role of
financial intermediaries, the crucial consideration is no longer responses to mar-
ginal changes in interest rates but improvements in financial institutions and
their techniques of operation.
II
The Belgian economic growth of the 1830s represents the first successful con-
tinental manifestation of the industrial revolution that had already begun in Great
Britain. Indicative of this growth was the increased output of Belgian coal and
iron and the technological change which took place in metallurgy and agricul-
ture." A specific example of the beginnings of industrial development in this
only 5 per cent of the French blast furnaces for the comparable period used coke. Also, the
Belgian economy made much greater use of steam power. See X. Heuschling, Essai Statistique
Generale de la Belgique, (Bruxelles: Vandermaelon, 1841), pp. 102, passim.
12 X. Heuschling, op, cit., pp. 91-95.
13 Ibid.
14 Ibid.
15 Ibid.
16E. Perrot, 'Des Chemins de Fer Belges', Bulletin de la Commission Centrale de Statistique,
(Bruxelles, 1844), pp. 27,44-49; J. Renkin, 'Les Chemins de Fer de l'Etat Belge', Revue Eco-
nomique Iniernationale, Nov. 1904, pp. 600-602.
17 Rostow's 'tentative, approximate take-off date' for Belgium is 1833-1860. See W. W. Ro-
stow, The Stages of Economic Growth, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1961), p. 38.
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 61
distinguish the development of the Belgian economy from that of Great Britain.
These characteristics are an extensive utilization of the corporate form of business
and the central role of financial intermediaries in the process of industrial de-
velopment.
The corporate form of enterprise was not a Belgian discovery, but the multi-
plication of the societe anonyme which featured limited liability had never been
undertaken to the extent to which it was in Belgium in the 1830s. The rapid
spread of this institution was made possible by the government's favorable atti-
tude towards incorporation, as evidenced by the ease with which corporate
charters were obtained. IS The act of October 16, 1830 which proclaimed the
'liberty of association' was in sharp contrast to the restrictive policy of Dutch
officials in the period prior to 1830, and it was also in sharp contrast to the
attitude prevalent in Great Britain, where the corporate form of business was
not encouraged until the 1850s.u
The response of the business community to this 'liberty of association' is seen
in the proliferation of the societe anonyme. Starting with the formation of four
corporations in 1833, by 1839 approximately 150 societes anonymes had been
organized in metallurgy, coal mining, textiles, banking and finance, and sugar
refining."
These societes anonymes were not confronted with any legal impediments, but
they were subject to financial constraints which might be categorized as being
in one or more of the following areas: (1) the need for initial investment, (2)
working capital, and (3) funds for modernization and expansion. Significantly,
it was here that the Belgian economy made a contribution to the theory of
economic development by producing an innovation in financial techniques, the
developmental role played by two financial intermediaries, the Societe Generale
de Belgique and the Banque de Belgique.
III
The Societe Generale de Belgique was founded in 1822 while Belgium was still
under Dutch control. The original proposal for its organization was made by a
Brussels banker, F. Opdenberg, who had hoped to start a commercial bank. Upon
application to the crown, however, his idea was quickly seized by the king, Wil-
liam I, and modified so that it (the new bank) would be a source of financial
aid to the state and the crown, and contribute to the economic development of
the country." According to its statutes, the Societe Generale was authorized to
contribute to the progress, development, and prosperity of agriculture, manu-
facturing, and commerce. The means whereby the bank was to accomplish these
ends encompassed almost every known banking function. The Societe Generale
was empowered to accept and create deposits, issue banknotes, discount commer-
cial paper, make advances on securities, deal in bills of exchange, securities,
specie, merchandise, and rental property."
The capitalization of the Societe Generale was set at 50 million florins, 20
million in royal lands leased by the king and 60,000 shares of stock issued at a
price of 500 florins per share. When the subscription was made, however, only
31,2260 shares were sold, William I taking some 25,800, paying for the bulk of
them with treasury debt. Thus the Societe Generale began its operations with a
capitalization of approximately 16 million florins from the sale of stock and 20
million florins worth of leased royal lands. But only 3.5 million florins of this
total was in specie."
For the first decade of its existence the bank operated in a very conservative
manner. This was due to the highly illiquid nature of its capital structure (the
major portion of its capitalization was still in leased royal lands), the fact that
it was the fiscal agent of the state, and the lack of opportunity of exercising any
substantial promotional activity due to the Dutch government's highly restrictive
attitude towards incorporation by Belgian firms," This period of relatively con-
servative banking practices ceased, however, shortly after the revolution of 1830.
In the period following independence, the Societe Generale began to operate
IV
Unfortunately this development did not continue unabated, for on December 17,
1838 the Banque de Belgique suspended payment, and in the subsequent panic,
the expansion of the 1830s came to an abrupt halt. After having played a central
role in this expansion, the Societe Generale and the Banque de Belgique were
soon accused of having caused the collapse by engendering a rash of speculative
activity. The downturn was also attributed to overproduction, underconsump-
tion, and a general lack of confidence due to a recurrence of political difficulties
with the Dutch. With specific reference to the Banque de Belgique, commen-
tators of the day held that its failure was due either to its excessive speculative
activities or an immobilization caused by the long-term nature of its operations.
An additional reason preferred is very similar to that given when any note is-
suing bank fails-an excessive issue of bank notes."
A more precise answer to this question can be derived from the analysis made
by the director and founder of the Banque de Belgique, Charles de Brouckere,
Discussing his bank's difficulties at a special stockholders' meeting held in Fe-
bruary of 1839, de Brouckere mentioned the political difficulties as having had
some influence, but he also gave a far more cogent reason for the suspension.
The Banque de Belgique had been forced to suspend payment not because of
speculation or an overissue of bank notes, but due to the fact that its sole com-
petitor and rival, the Societe Generale, had perpetrated a run on it."
This run had its basis in the relationship which had existed between the two
banks. While they had been rivals from the very inception of the Banque de
Belgique, indeed the latter had been organized to offset the former, since they
both issued notes, an exchange agreement had been worked out between them.
30 L. Frere, op, cii., p. 41. The Banque de Belgique had been founded to offset the monopoly
position of the Society Generale. When it appeared that the monopoly had merely been re-
placed with a duopoly, the government quickly dismissed a proposal for a third large bank for
fear that the original two would combine to crush any competitor.. See .P. Kauch, La Banque
Nationals de Belgique, (Bruxelles, 1950), p. 17.
31 See L. Geschesne, Histoire Economique et Sociale de la Belgique, (Liege: Wykmans, 1932),
pp.389-402; P. Kauch, op, cit., p. 16; G. DeGreef, op, cit., p. 194; and C. Juglar, Des Crises
Commerciales, (Paris: Guillman et Cie., 1889), p. 347.
32 Archives Generales Du Royaume, Banque de Belgique, Assemblee Generale Extraordinaire,
Bruxelles: Feb. 28, 1839. (Hereafter referred to as AGR No. 170).
Table 1
Exchange Practices"
It is evident from the table that the Societe Generale appeared to live up to its
part of the agreement. If often possessed notes of the Banque de Belgique in ex-
cess of one million francs, but for the dates listed above, it did not demand re-
demption of the excess amount. But another fact stands out. Contrary to its
usual practice, the Societe Generale did not present any notes for redemption
in mid-November. But it did give notice in early December, and on December 4
another one million francs were presented for redemption. In his analysis of the
situation, de Brouckere set the stage for his explanation of the bank's suspension.
He pointed out that after the exchange of December 4 the Banque de Belgique
had 2,952,000 francs worth of notes in circulation. He also stated that the average
note circulation for the period 1835-1838 had never exceeded 4 million francs.
And he also made it clear that he believed that there had never been a time
when the note circulation of the Banque de Belgique had been excessive. In
fact, he contended, the Banque de Belgique had experienced some difficulty in
getting notes into general circulation because of the Belgian populace's earlier
misfortune with French assignats." This constraint had actually hindered the
bank in its discount operations which should have been a major source of its
profits. Thus in de Brouckere's eyes, contrary to the allegation of excessive note
issue, his bank actually had problems in getting notes into circulation.
The next development in the trials of the Banque de Belgique occurred in
mid-December. On December 10 the Societe Generale notified the Banque de
Belgique that it intended to present 1,200,000 worth of notes for redemption at
the next exchange." The timing of the request was normal, but the demand for
a redemption of an amount in excess of one million francs was highly unusual.
At this time the Banque de Belgique possessed only 1,125,000 francs of its
rival's notes. Given this situation, the Banque de Belgique attempted to stall un-
til it could accumulate an amount sufficient to cover this unusual demand. But
the Societe Generale was adamant, and finally, on December 12, the Banque de
Belgique was able to make the exchange by cleaning out its cash account and
paying the balance in specie.
De Brouckere and his compatriots at the Banque de Belgique were now well
aware of what was underway, and they took positive action to obtain the re-
sources needed to meet what they now considered to be an inevitable demand
for additional note redemption. Assessing the situation, they estimated that the
Societe Generale had held approximately 1,370,000 francs worth of their notes
on the tenth of the month. After the exchange of 1,200,000 francs on the twelfth,
they assumed that the next request would be in the environs of 170,000 to 200,000
francs." To obtain the funds to meet this demand, they pursued a number of
avenues.
M. Davignon, an officer of the bank, was sent up to Paris to secure whatever
resources he could. Funds which had been sent to Paris to meet interest charges
falling due at the end of the year were recalled. A payment due the Banque de
5*
68 RODNEY J. MORRISON
'The loans made to industry and those made on corporate stock are the most striking causes
of the prolonged discomfort of the bank. Here, gentlemen, is revealed in its entirety the cause
of the embarrassment of the bank. The administration had engaged the capital in a manner in
which it could not be mobilized promptly'. He continued referring to the impossibility of con-
ducting extensive discount operations. '... these loans, nevertheless, were one of the conditions
of life ... it was both impossible to apply 20 million francs in an advantageous manner in
operations of liquid banking and to avoid danger'.39
v
In applying the Gurley-Shaw model to Belgium in the decade of the 1830s, one
of its basic assumptions had to be relaxed, that of perfect capital markets. In all
other respects the experience of the period appears to fit the specifications of the
revised model: the existence of a traditional and a transitional sector, techno-
logical change, a disposition towards innovation, and an increase in real output
in the transitional sector. Added to these factors was the willingness of Belgian
industrialists to adopt the corporate form of business enterprise. This incorpora-
tion enabled them to acquire financial resources much more easily than had they
continued to operate as private balanced or deficit budget units dependent solely
upon internal or direct finance. But in addition to these factors, the Belgian ex-
pansion of the 1830s had another variable which no earlier period of growth
had possessed and which few would have immediately thereafter, financial inter-
mediaries heavily committed to the financing of innovative firms and entre-
preneurs."
But even though these attributes of the Gurley-Shaw model were present, it is
the lack of agreement with the crucial assumption of perfect capital markets
which provides an answer to the failure of the Belgian expansion to continue un-
interrupted. It is obvious that these intermediaries did not cause the economic
development in the period under consideration but rather they facilitated it. For
their role was subject to such structural elements as the level of technology, the
availability of resources, and favourable market conditions. But it is just as ob-
vious that given the long-term nature of their assets and the short-term nature of
their liabilities, it was only a matter of time before each of these intermediaries
would find itself in a highly illiquid position-the run on the Banque de Belgique
serving only to precipitate the onset of the crisis. Thus while they may enable
surplus budget units to diversify their portfolios, financial intermediaries engag-
ing in 'innovative finance' are also subject to the demands of the market. There-
fore, they too must have a means of diversifying their portfolios.
The pure Gurley-Shaw model required perfect capital markets to assure an
adequate response of real and monetary economic variables to incremental
changes in the interest rate. But the Belgian experience of the 1830s points to
another aspect of this assumption of perfection. This is the requirement that there
be either a 'lender of last resort' or sufficient financial development so that fi-
nancial intermediaries can carry out 'mixed' banking operations without becom-
ing totally immobilized. The case of the Societe Generale and the Banque de
Belgique is an excellent example of the contributions which financial inter-
mediaries can make to economic development. For when the level of income
and technological development has reached a certain stage, financial bottlenecks
may develop, and this is precisely when financial intermediaries may become
crucial to the development process. But the Belgian case also indicates that a
financial theory of sustained growth is applicable only when the all-important
assumption of perfect capital markets or a reasonable approximation thereof is
fulfilled.