Professional Documents
Culture Documents
REFERENCES
Linked references are available on JSTOR for this article:
http://www.jstor.org/stable/142158?seq=1&cid=pdf-reference#references_tab_contents
You may need to log in to JSTOR to access the linked references.
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at
http://about.jstor.org/terms
JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted
digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about
JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.
Clark University, Wiley are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Economic
Geography
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION
AND RESOURCE BASES
T " nHE Federal Peoples Republic The task set by the new Government
of Yugoslavia (Federativa Na- after cessation of hostilities was enor-
rodna Republika Jugoslavija) mous considering the backwardness of
with a population of 16.9 million, occu- the people and the destruction of the
pies a transitional position between the country after six years of warfare. Large
Eastern Alps of Austria and the central investments have greatly contributed to
part of the Balkan Peninsula and be- the establishment of new and the mod-
tween the Pannonian lowlands and the ernization of old industries. These
Adriatic Sea (Fig. 1 and Table I). This industries are supplied by an increased
location played a most important role domestic raw material output, and a
throughout history and left distinct transportation system which is constant-
marks on the political, social, and ly being enlarged and modernized.
economic development of the various Many questions must be answered
regions of the country. in analyzing the bases and effects of
Yugoslavia has undergone many polit- this large-scale industrialization upon
ical and economic changes since its an agrarian society. This study deals
organization in 1918-19. None had more with one aspect of this problem a study
far-reaching results than those brought of the resource basis of Yugoslav indus-
about by World War II. They resulted tries. The close relationship between
in a multi-national communistic state raw material output, power supply,
with close to 80 per cent of the popula- labor supply, and an efficient transporta-
tion dependent upon agriculture. Much tion system and the industrial produc-
experimentation to solve the agricul- tion is self-evident. Detailed official
tural problems has taken place since the statistics are now available, and publica-
organization of the country and "indus- tions by Yugoslavian and foreign schol-
trialization" was the cure prescribed by ars are increasing in scope. These,
every government during the last 36 together with a survey trip by the writer
years. Internal opposition and the huge in 1953 through the central and northern
task of building unifying economic and part of the country, make it possible
social conditions among the different to report both facts of actual industrial
people of this newly organized state locations and to draw conclusions as
slowed down progress in industrialization to their effects on the economic geog-
before World \V-ar II. But, starting raphy of the country.
with the government of Marshal Tito,
PRE-AND POST WAR ECONOMIC CHANGES
industrialization became one of the basic
principles upon which the new state Generally speaking, the prewar de-
embarked in governing the country. velopment was characterized by large
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
XYUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 295
14- 1 6. /a /a ) 22.
Austria
MI Hungary
RIJEKAASO
~~~. fl~~~~~SL BO
\NEGR~~BEGRA
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
296 EcoNomic GEOGRAPHY
TABLE I
Vojvodina .22,20 22,200 9 1,714,000 10.0 Novi Sad, 83,200 *Somborski, 133,440
*Pancevacki, 119,200
Subotica, 115,400
Bosnia and Hercegovina 51,600 20 2,843,000 16.9 Sarajevo, 135,700 Banja Luka, 377,800
Mostar, 31,600
Tuzla, 31,200
who did not wish to return. Even Yugoslavia was extremely anxious to
though the capacity of individual indus- industrialize. This was not only because
tries, e.g., smelting industries and min- industrialization was a part of Com-
ing, was enlarged during the war, on munist ideology but also because the
the whole industrial production in rural areas of the country could not
December of 1945 reached only 30 to support the overpopulation of their
40 per cent in the textile industry, 40 to lands and industrialization, it was hoped,
50 per cent in the food processing indus- would bring relief to this serious situa-
tries, and 15 to 20 per cent in the metal tion.4 In agriculture collectivizationo"
industries.3 became the dominant slogan; at the
Private property (including all foreign same time much needed machinery was
property) was confiscated shortly after promised to the farmers.
the war by the new government of
Marshal Tito. Nationalization of all INDUSTRIALIZATION OF AN AGRARIAN
productive activities became the official SOCIETY
policy and worker's councils were put As far as industrialization was con-
in charge of industries and businesses.
cerned, an important base was available:
3 G. J. Conrad: Die Wirtschaft Jugoslawiens, raw materials and a large labor supply.
Sonderhefte, Neue Folge Nr. 17, Reihe A:
Forschung, Deutsches I nstitut fuer Wirtschafts- 4V. Kuendig-Steiner: " Zum Industrialisie-
forschung, Berlin: Duncker & Humbolt, 1953, rungs problem von Agrarlaendern," private
p. 49. distribution, Zuerich, 1953.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 297
The real problem has always been their standable, because these three Republics
exploitation. Investment in the many and especially Bosnia-Hercegovina had
industrial projects, unused water re- the largest unused reserves of water
serves, and great quantities of key raw power and raw materials. Among the
materials presented a serious problem important plans contemplated under the
in pre-war Yugoslavia and is much the Five Year Plan was the rapid enlarge-
same in the post-war state. The basic ment of the iron and steel industry,
theme of Tito's government throughout the erection of numerous hydro-electric
these years was clearly expressed as plants, the mechanization of mining,
"industrialization under all circum- the use of local lignite for the production
stances," because according to the of coking coal, the modernization and
government's theory it meant quick additions in transportation, etc. All
economic independence and was the this it was hoped could be accomplished
only wasy to make Yugoslavia a socialist with the help of the USSR and its
state. satellites who promised heavy machinery
The Five Year Plan (1947-1951) was and other technical aid.
the basic instrument to accomplish the It was the expressed aim of the
aims of this socialistic society.' Its Government to develop facilities for
expressed aim was the complete rehabili- processing the country's ores and if
tation of the country, the organization possible to export a sufficient amount
of a modern Army, the organizing of a for needed raw materials. The sys-
heavy industry, and production of an tematic surveying of the country and
entire series of articles which Yugo- the discovery of new raw material
slavia has not produced so far. The deposits played an important part in
planners expressed a hope for changing the contemplated production increase.
the ratio between industrial and agricul- It was also hoped that the erection of
new industrial plants and the enlarge-
tural value of the total production from
ment and modernization of existing ones
45:55 in 1939 to 64:36 by 1951. Indus-
would satisfy all domestic demands and
tries and transportation were assigned
produce a small surplus for export.
close to 68 per cent of the total amount
Heavy industries received top priorities
invested.6 This amount was spread
and only during the decentralization
over the whole country with the Federal
campaign of the last two years has this
Republics of Macedonia, Montenegro,
emphasis slowly extended to light and
and Bosnia-Hercegovina receiving the consumer goods industries. I t was
highest percentage. This was under- realized that this last type of industry
5 Law of the Five Year Plan, 1947-1951; could make considerable contributions
Beograd: Jugoslovenska Knjiga, 1947, p. 129;
in employing the surplus population,
Karl Guenzel: "Planwirtschaft und Aussen-
handelspolitik der FVRJ," in Markert, Jugo- especially in the many widely separated
slavien, op. cit., pp. 228-235; Economic Survey
valleys of the mountainous core and the
of Europe, op. cit., pp. 106-122.
6 Distribution of Total Planned Investment areas of densest population in Slovenia,
1947-1951 (percentages), quoted from Economic
Slavonia, and the Banat.
Survey of Europe in 1953, op. cit., p. 110:
The break with the Soviet Union in
Electric Power .................. 11
Mining and Metallurgy ........... 11 1948 forced Tito to alter his economic
Other manufacturing ............. 20 planning in a number of ways. The
Transport and communications.. .. 26
Agriculture ..................... 7 Five Year Plan (1947-1951) was spread
O ther ........................ 25
over a number of additional years, some
Total .........................o100 key projects were curtailed, others
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
298 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
in the economy. While the whole ductivity would leave the plants less
money for reinvestment, less for taxes,
organization of planning and managing
and less for the wage fund from which
industrial production has been com-
the workers receive certain percentages
pletely revamped since the break with
for the profits made during the year.
the Cominform, basically speaking, the
The Federal Government today lists
emphasis on industrialization was never
basic production goals. Ini this they
changed. Yugoslav leaders constantly
assume that certain products will be
stress the experimental and transitional
produced and this is based on certain
character of their economy.9 "De-
available statistics and various plans
I Until the break Yugoslavia imported from of the republics and village and factory
the Soviet Union and the other Peoples' Democ-
racies all coke, 45 per cent of its fertilizer needs, units. It does not set production goals.
all steel tubing, 60 per cent of her petroleum
The system is relatively new and only
needs, etc. See also K. C. Edwards: "The
Yugoslav Economy," Geogr. Rev., Vol. 44, 1954, the future will tell how successful.
pp. 425-428; Herwig Lechleitner: " Die In-
dustrialisierung Jugoslawiens," JMitteilungen der I Dusan Calic: Planiranje privrede FNRJ
Geographischen Gesellschaft Wien, Band 94, (The Planning of the Economy of the Federal
Heft 9-12, pp. 380-383; Otto Matter: "On Republic of Yugoslavia), Zagreb: Nakladni
Yugoslavia's Industrialization, " Swiss Review zavod Hrvatske, 1950; Fred WV. Neal: "The
of World Affairs, 1, 11, (February 1952), pp. 11- Reforms in Yugoslavia," American Slavic and
13; and a series of statements by Marshal Tito, East European Review, Vol. 13, 1954, pp. 227-
D. Radosavljevic, E. Kardelj, and others, 244; Vladmir Velebit: "Yugoslavia on her way-
Yugoslavia: Progress of the 5-Year Plan, Wash- toward a Socialist Democracy," International
ington, D. C., Embassy of the Federal Peoples Affairs, Vol. 30, 1954, pp. 155-165; "New Ways
Republic of Yugoslavia, 1949, p. 48. of Yugoslav Economy," Yugoslav Review,
8 Total economic aid from the West starting Vol. 5, No. 8-9, 1955, pp. 3 and 12-13; also pro-
with UNRRA amounted to $1,084,000 and ceedings of 1954 Party Congress, specifically the
$500 million in United States military aid since statement by Vukmanovic-Tempo.
1951. See also Foreign Operations Administra- 10 Jovan Dordevic: "From Local Self-Governi-
tion, Monthly Operations Report, Washington, ment to Communes," Review of International
July 31, 1954; Svetozar Vukmanovic-Tempo, Affairs," Vol. 109, pp. 13-15 and Vol. 110,
"Some Basic Characteristics of Economic pp. 13-14; Radivoje Petkovic, Local Self-
Development in Yugoslavia," Yugoslav Review, Government in Yugoslavia, Beograd, Jugoslavija,
Vol. 4, No. 2-3, 1955, p. 23, and "Tito Seeks to 1955, p. 115.
Lift Living Standard," The New York Times, 11 The New York Times, "Belgrade to Set
January 4, 1956, p. 85. \Vorkers' Norms, " March 18, 1955.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 299
Also added to this should be the sig- problem, and special attention is given
nificant fact that a large percentage of to reducing the illiteracy rate. Trans-
gross investments and almost half of portation is the big bottleneck and next
the net investments are being made to heavy industry has received the
directly by the Federal Government- largest amount of investments since
the so-called key-projects-while the the beginning of the Five Year Plan.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
300 ECONoMIc GEOGRAPHY
46 * SUBJN~
Nt ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ARE X 5/ OTICA *
A*z
KAROVC SIA ,4*s@ -
Q4 BAUXITE 12 TEXTILES S, 4
Mw ANGANESE 13 PAPER * o
A blERCURY 14 SHIPBUILDING * *j,
V NICKLE IS FOOD . R E_
^ ARSENIC 16 OIL REFINERIES 1' N\O.-
MAGNESIUM IT LEATHER ) * N. 0.
o PYRITE I 5 J
FIG. 2. Yugoslavia: Industrial locations and raw materials. (Compiled from official sources.)
in Bosnia and Sisak in Croatia.1a These found up to the present time in these
plants hope to use more and more local new areas. Yugoslavia also has con-
brown coal and lignite and produced siderable oil bearing shale and extraction
over 400,000 tons of coking coal in 1954. is going on near Sleksinac in eastern
But with increasing steel production Serbia. Refineries have been built in
there is a continuing need for imported Rijeka, Sisak, and Bosanski Brod and
bituminous coal. imports of many by-products and spe-
Since 1939 the production of petro- cialized oils have been considerably
leum and natural gas has considerably reduced.
increased, centering in the region of The mining of ores always played an
Dolnja Lendava, Slovenia, and Gojilo, important role in Yugoslavia. Ore
Croatia (Table IV). Test drilling is also fields are well distributed in the Dinaric
going on in the Banat and several other mountain region and increased dis-
regions. Only natural gas has been coveries are further adding to the
reserves.
15 Alex N. Dragnich: Tito's Promised Land
Yugoslavia, Rutgers University Press, New Iron ore deposits are numerous and
Brunswick, N. J., 1954, p. 232, is highly critical estimated reserves reach 500 million
of Yugoslavia's experiments of coke made from
lignite. tons, proven reserves 145.5 million tons,
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 301
TABLE II
*Planned under 5-year Plan of 1946: 16.5 mill. metric tons by 1951: 450,000 metric tons oil by 1951.
**No information available.
***1953 figure.
****In addition 1.6 mill. kwh thermal power.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
302 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
TABLE III
Location Estimated
reserves Y o 1953 output
Type of coal (quantity il Yea o ill IOO metric
mill. fletr'ic estli ate tonls
Area Name of mllinles Republic tolls)
Central Bosnian... Zenica, Kakanj, Breza Bosnia and Brown 800 1951 1,290
Herzegovina
Kreka ...... Kreka. Bukinje, Bosnia and Lignite 4,000 1953 1,215
Puracic, Lukavac,. Herzegovina
Dobrnja
and marble quarried in Istria, in the 16 Milic Zivko: "The Symphony of Light,"
Yugoslavia, Winter, 1950, pp. 49-56; and
island of Brac at Pletvar, and in Venoac Guenzel, Industrielle Produktion in Markert,
in Serbia. Jugoslawien, op. cit., pp. 260-263.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 303
TABLE IV
(Fig. 3), the Korana at the Plitvica
YUGOSLAVIA: RAWV MATERIAL PRODUCTION
Lakes in Croatia, and the Pliva near
(In 1,000's)
Jajce in Bosnia which create waterfalls
all of which will ultimately be utilized
Raw .M1aterial Unit 1939 1946 I954
for the construction of hydro-power
Antimony Ore ...... Tons 18.9 30.5 75.2 plants. Construction is now under way!
Bauxite ........... Tons 718.7 70.6 680.6
Chromium ......... Tons 44.9 77.1 124.5
in Jajce and near Sibenik on the Adriatic
Coal: Sea.
Brown .......... Tons 4,312 3,823 7,100
Lignite .......... Tons 1,320 2,072 5,565 Plans are also under way to tunnel
Bituminous ...... Tons 1,410 757 980
Copper Ore ........ Tons 984 646 1,299
the waters from the high to the lowl
Crude Oil. Tons 1.1 28.8 216.3 karst areas, using the fall for further
Lead and Zinc Ore.. Tons 774.8 617.7 1,484.5
Magnesite Ore . ... Tons 5.7 7.5 9.2 power potential. Reclamation work
Mercury ........... Tons .4 .3 .5
Pyrite Ore ......... Tons 49.9 48.5 2. 2 would go hand in hand with these
Electric Power: ..... KWH 1,173 1,150 3,440*
Hydro ........ .. 566 478 1,810
developments. The completed plants
Thermal ....... .. 607 672 1,630 in Vinodol, Croatia, and Jablanica,
Bosnia, are the first of these kind.
*65 per cent used by industries.
Source: Indeks, March, 1955.
Plants are also under construction
utilizing some of the lowlands and lakes
TABLE V in Serbia and Macedonia (Vlasina above
YUGOSLAVIA: IRON ORE RESERVES AND
the Morava and near Mavrovo) where
TOTAL PRODUCTION, 1954
water can easily be stored. The develop-
ments on the Drava River-ultimately
Name of basin Republic Proven reserves
in iooo metric torts
1 i
the spring and fall as well as the begin-
ning of winter. Southern Serbia and
Macedonia has dry summers, but snow
in the higher regions supplies the rivers
with abundant water during the early
part of the dry season.
Karst topography with rainfall seep-
ing down and creating underground
rivers constitutes a great hydro-electric
potential. Rivers flow through canyons
and their waters cause accumulations
of limestone in step-like formation, such
as those in the Cetina, Krka, and FIG. 3. Neretva River, Bosnia, South of
Jablanica. View toward north on road from
Neretva Rivers in Dalmatia and Bosnia Sarajevo to Mostar. Karst topography.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
.304 ECONOMIC GEO(GRAPHY
I-A ~ ~ IL
FIG. 4. Drava Damn with power station under construction near Vuzenica, Slovenia. This is one
of six darns under construction or planned between Dravograd and Maribor, a distance of about
,50 krn. View frorn highway Dravograd to Maribor toward southwest.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 30(5
] MA IB~~~~~OR K~LOMETERS
MILES 46-
-46' L
f~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Sl '
-44' N CA~~~~~~~~~~~~~'
-NARROW GAUGE
00000 PROJECTED :
...UNDER CONSTRUCTION
BUILT SINCE 1945 (STANDARD)
BUILT SINCE 1945 (NARROW)
ii. ~~~~~~~20' 2 F
well as with the core of the Empire, Fundamentally, then, the problem
the Pannonian Basin. The transporta- is an inter-connection between three
tion pattern today in this area is still physiographic and economically diverse
sufficient, even though modernization, regions: the northern lowlands, the
for example double tracking of rail mountainous core, and the Adriatic
lines, is urgently needed. But the con- coastal fringe. There is great need for
11 For a detailed discussion of the transporta- horizontal lines of communication. This
tion problem see Walter Hildebranidt, "Ver- is especially important since the main
kehrssystem und Landesausbau, " in MNarkert,
Jugoslawien, op. cit., pp. 287-299. contributions of these regions-food
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
306 EcoN-o-iic GEOGRAPHY
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 307
TABLE VI
Coal
JESENICE, Slovenia .Rasa, 320 Velenje, 190 Trbovlje, 117 Ljubija, 370 Lukavac, 560
Vares, 683 also imports
RAVNE. Slovenia .Rasa, 374 Velenje, 43 Trbovlje, 118 Ljubija, 390 Lukavac, 540
also imports also imports
SIBENIK, Croatia ............ Rasa, 340 (by Ljubija, 301 Imports by sea
sea)I
SISAK. Croatia .Rasa, 390 Velenje, 190 Trbovlje, 140 Liubija. 110 Lukavac, 330
Vares, 460 also imports
STORE. Slovenia ........... Rasa, 288 Velenje, 43 Trbovlje, 42 Ljubija, 340 Lukavac, 465
also imports Vares, 650 also imports
ZENICA. Bosnia ........... Rasa, 750 Within radius WNithin radius Vares, 80 From nearby
also imports of 150 km of 100 km Ljubija, 250 mines, some
imports
Work is progressing and plans have of navigable canals, and numerous other
been made to increase and add to additions. 19
the transportation pattern in nearly As can be seen from Table VI showing
every part of the country, including the distance between the steel producing
the modernizations in the Slavonian- plants and the source of raw materials,
Vovjodina lowlands. This includes also transportation, at the moment, is the
a series of modern highways, such as bottleneck for the efficient and low-
the road from Zagreb to Beograd com- cost operation of industries. WN\ith
pleted in 1952 and a modern highway increasing overseas trade, the most
from Rijeka to Zagreb now nearing efficient connections between the pro-
completion. The widening of roads in ducing areas and the ports become a
the Dinaric M'lountains is a real techno- matter of urgent economic necessity.
logical problem and is progressing slowly. It will be a long time before many of
Special attention has been given to the railroad lines show an economic
the navigability of rivers. The Tisa return, or the highways and rivers show
and Danube Rivers are the only two
19 Hildebrandt, Verkehrssystem in Markert,
rivers which are navigable. Other rivers, op. cit., p. 296. A possible Zagreb-Ljubljana
waterway is evidently impossible according to
such as the Drava to Barc and the Sava
Cene Malovrh: "Ekonomsko-geografska skica
to Sisak, are navigable for short dis- pogojev za plovno zvezo Zagreb-Ljubljana (An
economic-geographic sketch of the proposed
tances. Future plans include the naviga- waterway Zagreb-Ljubljana)," Geografski Vest-
bifity of the Sava to Zagreb, the building nik, Vol. 25, 1953, pp. 45-58.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
308 ECONomIC GEOGRAPHY
heavy traffic, but the improvements in become one of the vitalI resources of
the transportation pattern are essential Yugoslavia.
to the economic development of the Oin the other hand there is considerable
country. deficiency in manpower in the most
productive groups of the country's
Manpower
population, the ages 25 to 49 years.
Before World War II, Yugoslavia Two wars within one generation have
had made slow progress in its attempt greatly affected the demographic struc-
to industrialize and the density of the ture of the country. The number of
agricultural population had even in- persons capable of working is smaller ill
creased. More than three-fourths of Yugoslavia than in many other Euro-
the active population were still engaged pean countries, e.g., averaging only 61.9
in agriculture, forestry, and fishing.20 per cent as against 66.6 per cent in
The vital problem of overpopulation Western Germany or 65 per cent in
and raising the standard of living Austria. At the present time the
among the people, especially the sub- number of people capable of working is
sistence economy of the backward roughly 10.5 million, but it is estimated
regions, had not been solved. that this figure will increase to 13 million
by 1975 due to the large percentage of
TABLE VII
people under 15 years of age at the
PRODUCTION OF THE STEEL INDUSTRY
present time.
(In 1,000 metric tons)
The high potential labor force is the
result of a high birth rate and labor
Item I939 I946 I954
released from agriculture. The latter is
Pig Iron .................. 101 84 356 expected to rise steadily with increased
Crude Steel ............... 235 202 616*
Rolled Products ............ 151 112 411 mechanization and will present a real
Seamless pipes . . . 16
problem to the government which mll ust
Rails and Accessories . . 2. 7 47.6
plan on a steadily increasing domestic
*Production was distributed approximately as follows: and foreign economy to provide an ade-
55% in Bosnia and Herzegovina, 37% in Slovenia. and
8% in Serbia.
quate number of jobs. The y young
Source: Indeks, March, 1955. people of Yugoslavia will, to a large
Economic Survey of Europe in I953, United
Nations Department of Economic Affairs,
degree, measure the success of their
Geneva, 1954.
socialist society in terms of job oppor-
tunities and sufficient income to enable
With industrialization of the country
them to lay the foundation for a satis-
playing such an important role since
factory life.
1945, the large manpower supply2' has Another problem brought about by
20 According to Economic Survey of Europe, the rapid industrialization ill the country
op. cit., p. 109, their average income was about
is the shortage of trained personnel-
one-third of the average income of the other one-
fourth active population. engineers, foremen, and key workers.22
21 Paul F. Meyer and Arthur A. Campbell:
The uneven regional employment situa-
The Population of Yugoslavia, International
Population Statistics Reports, Series P-90, tion and certain basic social problems,
No. 5, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department
e.g., the absence of a "stimulus given
of Commerce, Washington, D. C., U.S. Govern-
ment Printing Office, 1954, pp. 16-27, pp. 70-87; by the sight of higher standards of
Ipsen, Wachstum und Gliederung der Bevoel-
kerung in Markert, Jugoslawien, op. cit., pp. 41- 22 Universities, teacher training schools, and
58 and Ranko M. Brashich: Land Reform and technical schools now have been established in
Ownership in Yugoslavia 1919-1953, New York, every Republic. Workers receive leave to attend
Mid-European Studies Center, Free Europe schools, and evening courses (extension service)
Committee, Inc., 1954, p. 169. have reached many communities.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 309
living" make progress slow.23 The good beginning also has been made,
Government gives special attention to e.g., in the manufacture of machine
the reduction of the illiteracy rate, tools, in making optical instruments,
which at the present time is still esti- and in many other light industries.
mated at 24 per cent of the population The Government is hoping that modest
even though in its regional distribution demands for consumer goods can soon
it is confined largely to the Federal be supplied from domestic production.
Republics of Bosnia-Hercegovina, M\Ionl- One of the important aspects in the
tenegro, and Macedonia. industrial distribution of Yugoslavia
Trained workers, foremen, and en- is the great structural differences within
gineers have been shifted to new indus- the country. Slovenian industries con-
trial projects. This generally has meant sist largely of industries employing
sending the more technically advanced 30-1000 workers 74.4 per cent of all
Slovenes and Croats to the more back- industries, and 61 per cent of all workers
ward regions where a concentration of -while in Bosnia only 59 per cent of
new industrial projects has proceeded. all industries, employing only 37 per
These population movements and inter- cent of the workers, fall in this group.
mixtures may very well have consider- Of those employed in industries 61 per
able effect on the age-old distribution of cent found work in the 13 heavy indus-
nationalities and may ultimately bring tries employing over 1000 workers.
a reduction in the nationalistic feelings Between these two extremes is the
of individual language and religion situation of Croatia and Serbia, while
groups and result in a greater unity of the industrial development of Mace-
the Yugoslavian State.24 donia and Montenegro is still in its
infancy and largely confined to mining.
It is clear that not until a large number
INDUSTRIES
of industries employing less than 1000
Generally speaking industrial produc- workers and distributed more evenly
tion in 1954 was more than double throughout the countryside has been
that of 1939. It had completely re- found will it be possible to absorb a
covered from wartime devastations and larger number of surplus workers, or
many of the new key projects are nearing give the people a better safeguard against
pleted. The new industries were built cluding consumer industries) which em-
ploy fewer people per establishment,
to tap the country's rich natural re-
but are more widely distributed, form
sources which have been neglected so
the core of any industrial state. But
long. Existing industries have been
priorities of the last ten years have been
modernized-many with United States,
given to heavy industries, and these
British, and French financial aid-
naturally can be located at only a few
and numerous new ones have been
places.
added. Investments in heavy indus- It has been the aim of Yugoslav
tries have received top priorities, but a planners to locate these heavy industries
23 Economic Survey of Europe, op. cit., p. 121; close to the sources of the main raw
also, H. R. Wilkinson: "Jugoslav Macedonia in
materials, but this has not always been
Transition," Geogr. Journ., Vol. 118, 1952,
pp. 399-401. possible. Of all the Republics, Bosnia,
24 Fred Warner Neal: "From Particularism
Macedonia, and Montenegro received
to Unity," American Universities Field Staff,
FWN-6054, pp. 9-13. the largest number of new industrial
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
310 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN 1RANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 311
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~4'- .-'.
17410
K| *
I9. . .. .....
A-0
FIG. 6 (upper). Kupa River near Sisak. Oil barges on river with old Turkish castle in background.
The Kupa River is navigable to Sisak and important for river traffic to the newly built steel mills.
Raw materials can be shipped on the Danube and the Sava to the Kupa. View toward north from
road Sisak to Caprag (location of steel mills).
FIG. 7 (lower). Steel mills in Jesenice, Slovenia. View toward north from road Jesenice to Bled.
Javornik division of Jesenice steel mills in center, slopes of Karawanken Mountains in background.
Rolling plant toward left.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
312 ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
ern equipment it is hoped that produc- summarized as follows: (1) the division
tion will be increased to over one million of the country into three basically
tons by 1960. different regions-the fertile hill lands,
Among the many other industries basins, and in-between lands, the moun-
erected or modernized and enlarged are tainous core, and the cities and ports
the numerous smelters located at the along the Adriatic ;28 (2) the fertile
mines, and a series of light industries areas of Croatia and Serbia supplying
(Table VIII), e.g., the aluminum plant more than two-thirds of the grain needs
in Sibenik which contributed to the of the country; (3) the backwardness
doubling of the output since 1939, the of agricultural methods of the most fer-
chemical industries with production in tile regions, lack of incentive and ma-
pharmaceutical articles, various acids, chinery with resultant low crop yields per
fertilizer, glass, paints, etc. Mention hectare, and recurrent droughts in these
should also be made of the textile indus- areas and their disastrous results to the
tries, including the newly developed silk whole economy; (4) the regional geo-
industry in Macedonia and the leather graphic differences and their cultural
industry with the largest number of implications-the more advanced cul-
plants in Slovenia. Also, plants pro- tural level of the people of Slovenia,
ducing machine tools, agricultural ma- Croatia, and parts of Serbia, and the
chinery, oil drilling equipment, the backwardness of the people in the
bridge building industry, railroad equip- Dinaric Ranges and Macedonia; (5) the
ment, a small truck industry, trans- high birth rate of the peasant population
formers and ventilators, a locomotive and the need for employment oppor-
factory, and many others. Important tunities for the resulting large surplus
contributions come from the electro population; (6) the large reserves of
industries which are already able to important raw materials in the moun-
supply a large part of the domestic tainous parts of the country and, as a
market, thanks to the abundance of result, new industrial establishments in
copper and lead. The wood-processing the interior valleys. This location
industry, utilizing the rich oak woods raises problems of accessibility and high
along the Sava and Drava, the pines costs of production. Locating industrial
and firs of the Alps, and the Mediter- establishments in certain backward,
ranean type forests play an important mountainous regions and not just re-
role. moving the minerals may be good
Many important industries are now politics but not necessarily good eco-
represented in Yugoslavia, and while nomics.
the original plans often were too ambigu- The prospects of industrialization
ous the adjustments since 1948 and the are naturally closely related to the over-
greater initiative of the individual all economic development of the country.
Republics have contributed to the The most important step for the Yugo-
increased industrialization of the coun-
slav economy is the need for increasing
trv.27
27 On the other hand there has been an
increased tendency by the Central Government
PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS to avoid, duplication of industrial plants in
individual Republics and regulate imports of
What are the problems and prospects important raw materials.
of industrialization in Yugoslavia? Bas- 28 B. A. Milojevic: "Les Hautes Montagnes
de Yougoslavie et leur role de separation et de
ically they can all be traced to certain liaison, " Institut de Geographie de Clermont-
geographic facts. These can be briefly Ferrand, 1953, pp. 113-118.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 313
TABLE VIII
Building Materials
Bricks ........................... 1000 379.68 323.67 722. 26 743.16
Cement .......................... 1000 Tons 894 698 1,169 1,393
Chemical IndustrAy
Sulphuric Acid .. ................. Tons 23,233 29.320 43,630 59,950
Caustic Soda ..................... Tons 13,673 5,958 18,560 23,392
Calcium Carbide .................. Tons 54,920 17,671 41,059 39,734
Copper Sulphate .................. Tons 12,833 12,498 20,318 13,080
Fertilizers ....................... Tons 72,770 46,864 79,631 120,605
Electric Industry
Rotating Machines ....... ......... KW 4,300 8,400 79,817 230,564
High Voltage Bulbs ............... 1000 2,522 1,622 4,348 5,867
Transformers ......... ............ KVA 29 3,791 77,227 557,352
Non-Ferrous Metals
Aluminum in Blocks ............... Tons 1,795 567 1,884 3,496
Blister Copper ........ ............ Tons 41,643 21,730 36,870 30,295
Electrolytic Copper ............... Tons 12,463 12,925 14,441 26,946
Refined Lead ......... ............ Tons 10,651 32,591 49,214 66,729
Silver ........................... Tons 1,303 8,679 46,787 88,004
Non-Metal
Flat Glass. ........................ 1000 m2 1,678 1,734 2,470 5,025
Blown Glass .......... ............ Tons 10,927 11,986 17,157 21,472
Asbestos Fibre .................... Tons .......... 749 3,264
Electro-Porcelain ...... ........... Tons 188 161 492 1,332
Rubber
Footwear ........................ Tons 5,154 2,310 5,386 8,254
Tires for Motorcars ................ 1000 8 4 35 76
Tires for Bicycles ................. 1000 276 169 580 490
Textiles
Fabrics: 1000 M2 ......... ... ......
Cotton . ...... ......... 110,617 89,405 160,606 165,586
Woolens ....................... ......... 12,443 16,010 28,686 19,771
Hemp ......................... ......... 6,685 3,201 4,044 6,743
Artificial Silk ................... ......... 14,012 1,335 10,289 8,522
Yarn: ........................... Tons .........
Cotton ....................... 18,947 23,670 27,776 34,102
Wool.......................... ...... 6,216 8,907 13,032 8,717
Timber and Paper
Sawn Timber ..................... 1000 m31,922 1,202 2,770 1,881
Wallboards ....................... 1000 m3 21,000 10,500 27,000 45,000
Mechanical Wood Pulp ............ Tons 9,853 8,558 16,701 19,634
Cellulose ......................... Tons 28,324 12,496 22,134 43,546
Paper and Cardboard .............. Tons 42,438 43,584 56,810 58,474
Tobacco
Fermented ....................... Tons 16,525 7,046 31,932 30,475
Manufactured .................... Tons 11,771 9,638 14,919 15,599
agricultural production which will permit agricultural production is, then, essential
a satisfactory supply for the growing to the industrialization of the Yugo-
home market and increased exports. slavian agrarian society, but this can
Increased agricultural exports will mean be accomplished only by a complete
a considerable improvement in the overhauling of the agricultural section,
trade balance with sufficient foreign e.g., added incentives to the peasants,
exchanges available which in turn will increasing yields, wide-scale mechaniza-
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
314 EyCONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
The original plans for industrializa- prices down the buying power of an ever-
tion-doubling of the productive capac- increasing portion of the population
ity of 1939 by 1951-had to be spread could materially be increased. This will
out over a longer period and some be of vital importance when key indus-
projects had to be abandoned alto- trial projects are completed a few years
gether. This was largely due to the hence, and attention must be given to
break with the Soviet Union and the consumer industries and marketing of
resultant cessation of trade between the all those industrial products. An in-
Soviet Union, the Satellite countries, crease in the productivity of the workers
and Yugoslavia; to the considerable and a reduction of the high transporta-
expenditures for military defense; and to tion costs will lower production costs
three droughts in the last six years. In and this in turn will materially con-
spite of these difficulties many new tribute toward the opening of addi-
plants have been brought into operation tional markets, both domestic and
and production generally has increased. foreign. With relations between Yugo-
This has been accomplished by plowing slavia and its eastern neighbors and the
most of the industrial profits back into USSR again greatly improved, newly
industries (largely heavy), often to the opening trade channels should greatly
detriment of needed expansion in other benefit the economy of the country.'
sections of the economy. Regardless of the many new ideo-
Those planning Yugoslavia's future logical facts of the Yugoslavian state,
gave top priority to the establishment establishment of a workers' society with
of heavy industries.30 It was their plan rapid industrialization in a state where
to produce as many key products within more than two-thirds of the population
their country and in as short a time as are still dependent upon agriculture
was possible. The distribution of these for their livelihood, raises many difficult
new industries, as pointed out earlier, questions. Even though early plans
was limited to a few key places. But if for locating new or enlarging old indus-
industrialization is really to benefit a tries have remained relatively unchanged
large part of the population and give since the introduction of the original
employment to the surplus labor it is Five Year Plan in 1946, the country's
essential to build numerous small and economy is still in transition and experi-
medium-sized industries with an em- ments with different economic practices
ployment of between 30 and 500 and are under way. With low productivity
to distribute these plants as widely as and the small income of a large majority
possible among the mountainous valleys of the population still predominant,
and the coastal and interior plains. with prices of consumer goods high and
Also, the introduction of a greater the income of the farmer extremely low,
diversity in industrial production, both important problems for the country's
in light and consumer goods, should future economic development become
offer greater employment possibilities 3B By the end of 1955, trade agreements either
aind by increasing wages and holding have been concluded or are in the process of
being concluded with all countries of East
serious attention to improving the lot of the Central Europe. In the recently concluded
farmers. Increased investments in farm ma- trade treaty with the USSR, Yugoslavia received
chinery, talk of establishing an agricultural an outright loan of over 30 million dollars with
bank, and other measures are indications of 2 per cent interest and a $90 million debt incurred
this change. before 1948 was cancelled. Still, Yugoslavia
30 Harry Pross: "Zehn Jahre Tito-Regime: owes more than $400 million in debts, of which
Ideologie und Staatsraison," Ost-Probleme, Vlol. $300 million are in short-term obligations to
7, 1955, pp. 466-478. different countries.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
YUGOSLAVIA IN TRANSITION: INDUSTRIAL EXPANSION AND RESOURCE BASES 315
established by the Yugoslavian govern- Yugoslavia and to Dr. Fred W. Neal of the
University of Colorado and American Univer-
ment and to a lesser degree on external
sities Field Staff for their assistance and com-
political developments. ments. Field work was made possible by a
The geographic location of Yugo- grant received from the Social Science Research
Council and The Fund for the Advancement
slavia, its rich resources, and its great
of Education (Ford Foundation). Aid is also
cultural diversity are, at the same time, acknowledged from the Graduate Research
elements of strength and of weakness. Institute of the University of Texas.
This content downloaded from 132.77.150.148 on Sun, 15 May 2016 20:44:08 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms