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"Course Coole: we 2H Cat Ten to Wak 50 Releubiliy. — 5 lotta i ane wn un colaMertinty mafhewatics i ne we Vlae\ hoe Ch wen event's cecumence , eslidh T “Speed ai qumloes _petseon\ SV and‘ a event wal he ‘Balsall sf 13 oO ee ero : Smee ie ee ent outs ——Pislealaithy is gg OG as Pec A event tog te = : - — sa cletked zs chal cond a Tet nt — Pale) = he SS rae PF —Tro oe bk A = Fest die is § . i fae B= telat of tuo dee is gedeg Anon SA [171 __—— =a | PCA) = “e = ~ Ye sslole_ _ovkeomes fon A cond &: = (6,8) (8,8) —Ponk 8) gp PNR) == — Tea a) ; _ PEA) : [alee Oe URS MS, wk E —canklioycl —“prctostelii tsk A pen Angst hoses ——— = OCS. 4 RN) - Pees) ee) i Dependent Events: 2 Bea) = 2G Peeps Mea) “Examples - here, “one 6 bolacle pen ind % lolue pen inn oe if “dou ~~ talker pene Mout ey __Sowd hen _telee _owrsther Per Shout - Repletcive Ye Gest, is. We prsle yh Hho ge wi ee = aay - Re pe — Plelack Prot) = § S 34. — = Pe) : Place cand) Sey = ove 439 Pens pega) — eps. cond £ one ‘eh ae . Independent events ore those _everts hese _creeusance ee 1 K a t Os) - Flag ek. ePercient o_o ‘ Fe ee ef Pot i “of om_event_A_is ona 7 eb je occusence ef om we sent te hen _€_corel < ove e “sod to a ma vedeperderk_¢ arts. 7 ee ~ a ty Ae _oulcot cubes — Joes nst__© aie fe aed _@ ——— OWS — Sta aN ses 2nd Base iw 2 independent , ani en a _pldba by of. och — SS __ 4 ee ——Benple a A. ‘cokes 3B eee a ____Thatttons_.t Usreen_louktons . Boy B ______eentoing le” blecle loukteng “Sind, _ Ss exange. Bird _ tee Prolab ae i a seen _loulten Cyan loos) “Aromat cahea en - es bin one daw 2 Prem each loos, __- T aaa at a — ee —— Polack) \= lo _ tors Ba Saye Theageom, —__ patel: 4 toy theoktn- Jpcitso Roush Aas a Boyes” she) isa mathematical ferrules “used _ te. _detetmine Ye : conditional _ _prabobi A of _events. Essential! Vth, Bayes hectem _degesibe_ 4c vaeably of on event PAA “Wa_Theotam is_nemed after dhe condthons. rok i be! aelevent tothe > et lenewledaa a ai ae \ish, chakis shcian 1, Thomas 1 Bayes a — discerned Ye, _ formula EVN eles —PLeIARAY ees PHB) = PB) _ ~— Whese “6 PLAYS) = Ae Boloabitity fe everk ¢ aie) + at. oa ae tO == “Pia PAsoatilfy of-event & OCCU oiven even ~o Pen) = "ep preloal i A Mod occured. of. avemt A an oe PO)= Aa < peelonl up fs tteh Bag — _ com eset @) has | * rey ae st a i — Sena) 010) = Tere) PO) — - Paes PB me 1) PAD aid, ——Excoumples _ Dows eploud Cres “ome ‘eae Gt onde fa a Cer) due fe ahlaeeues cane Se - oe Re fires_metlee” Smale — Pee dengan fre Rs Smee e ied Sndepenclent Tas : : Nol a ‘ol ~indeperdent ae e Tools een ny, 2x Oi & ply _oulcames, = wes one |__foilute _ Re epee 0 indepen dent. — of — ae __ coin one — i an _ Red nowli Sic —__plae must I \po 7 _21_Pss oukcomes , Such “ou bleide __ ot. sed, seceet oy Sous. On | Yese _autbrame is collles Success omd We oles ilu < ssible _ Success ond ts Foulue. Owe. texted as ‘Son hess Ye teams 4 wen a not mean ae ene. ortesme _\ oc more __ de sixeate Yhan_stherx- _gEadh, cuca Rous ot 2 C Pidoot: of at faee es Fag ey ee ili ~ Volue Pin — Sati a fe —— ese aad ! : = Prlish= Ch 9c yh — — ee Ede nes a) yy omeio)= A-P.C0) 24 =¢., (or (2-8) or 20 86 A — 7 Re wast hoo _bleces sefsses: PQ emats)= Re) HO) te ea CEH) : ; =o bly =o - ——Binernnel“Distabubion, On_Pisloalril Eine Stokes >the tal 7 5 a paced} —_ Sucgessts jin & Sequence of y indedendent ee outer, ot Yesn0 qyuestion_, 0x1 : cath aks aon Beslean a neu atikcome + Success o foiluee Pz hs nowmioll probobibty nundbey iw oy | we ie outcome coil ! ‘ MN triads [7 E Lec) 2 momloer, f combinations. pe Plsteblity st Ss ov sl le Juiok We Yao air sh ee MWe yonbed g! ayy Relation ——— Coe nt Sin Pharell lath) a} thes tee , * a iat crt ___Prsloasbili ee ot VARICC Aandem ld = _mgayy ee eg ae eo es Sad Mind Dib, —_ ToA eek = eH Awa) 2s SE nGor) 3 Le _mean( pn) = =» Shandy Seiaknnl)= Exounple. Given = So Soe 6 Srele 7 —__ Exonple #2 (Binemicl D Dist but oo) A cod is sdlecked @nd heplaced ono deep) af Hi eoptincak f 5 1s_heptakes i 4 ees imol fle . # exac ti ah 9 Clulog.. “"y = ; 75 f 9 enki S Fall, Oc success , ind ig ad": § ads heug chown eoith b ae rlacencrt ~~ CUCL SS + a acl 7 aK Feihise: Courd obrawn x_vot_ et _clw

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