Nate: AGINS BUD! LEKGON® TINAL EKAM "DECISION THEORY. a”4
‘| Ste |: 2021122104 ae: = Wervovoey *
i Sheng Mares alt Maced ar Wack
at Inyet ¢ 8000 - 800 See a
“invest § 4000 4008 109 « een
al Inve! ¢ 2000 E 200 ci Ex a0
inves $ 1000- {00 gee
*Mox tition
$ B000 —*. 0
$ Ee p
$ 400 —> Joo optimal decision w+
F 2000 —= 300: (= invewt_Bq90 —* #00
$ 1000 —~ boo. J
> Maximin » ——, = -0
3 Horwion cakeson +
ineut ¢ Goo = (Go x05) 40-400. Si). =G% ) > .ephneldeowbn
$400 = (400*05) +(-200 . on | = 100 =
$ 200 = (R00x05) 4 (-100 07 J .
Fimo. = (io x05) + (-50 0s) = as =
* the laplee Civteson
87 ap S800 POCA), ptinal deataon =
$ 4e00 = 400 + 100 +( ato) = aio)
G atm = 300 + SD + (im) . 150)
q tom. > We Fee + (-30) = T
‘Minimax reaith Cotto | % i for (ee
£ Geo Ady, 0 D> rrominan . requed anieion geo
¢ At00 ers 6xONO ailiva
ene KE 1 Omir]
> Milan #2 1.0 ff
Es
a Peoeit 6 — = ie
Probabiity. | Prdect a | prowk . ] :
| OS Os On Predict A Baggarted for
\ Os 019 O17 Wonmaeaals =
es eu: 542 Or i
Probols ae praaeey U7 Or). predic A Faggered far
os Os O7 Me - 4
Os n| eget oF: 5 =
44 OF = :
Pp Se Poreaue ta: | ptrancte] Upee Ggts ~ Prithe A) Ryall! Fe
re [R025] ens g Ms
[los Onan oreo
I ule San noes on S: es
ina U0) = x)
Os milion OF FOOT = Ora
i {os 0,7 million.
“Or a) 240 ,at
ate spar or |
Woar: o87l £
U, (= SRE: sao
(oas)*= 81203 Sf,not Concer
Corer
fotalt
Wey = 018
Bb not Cancer
\
abrave STE
i a ae
‘Bata
peor pabely Cea
ror th i ech =
worth paying fer retorch =
“ 5, 4 400: 014 x4o6 = IQF GRE Oa
10 Ties ee = ones
(ea (URE Svee) Pe,
5066 {
Aman s Spe es
G2 43
Sgn
= (0.304 « te) + Conseg e4a) +Cowears)
= 0.551 yee eee
ee a ee
CoP sefely _ Comfireage
eh Daigo) 124; 0 . 0377. SSS Eh lah emer
Wbis 1 “0. a See Se
S 0. aa
sitp ** cit ay
x 150, tat Lely ee Feel lee
Se 2. $i 00089) 6 | oiesBl] 0.17) 0, 1364
3 mr g 6 [em] 6 [oie eeu
wie cs 078 0 | oremsy) ocr7]! 0 40 -