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Colorectal cancer incidence time trends in GRELL countries

L Neamtiu, C Martos, N Dimitrova, F Giusti, G Randi, T Dyba, R Carvalho, M Flego, M Bettio

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most frequent cancer in Europe and increasing trends
have been observed.

The study objective is to explore time trends and geographical variations for CRC in GRELL
countries.

Methods

CRC cases (ICD-O-3: C18-C20) were included in the analysis with the exclusion of
morphology codes 9050-9055, 9140, 9590-9992.

Age standardised incidence rates (ASR) were extracted from the European Cancer
Information System (ECIS) web application. Cancer registries (CR) from GRELL countries
covering until 2013 at least 15 years of incidence were included in the time-trend analysis.
The annual percent change (APC), the annual average percent change (AAPC) and the
corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using the Joinpoint Trend Analysis
Software.

Results

A total of 331510 cases from 29 CRs from Italy (17), Portugal (1), Spain (8) and Switzerland
(3) were considered.

AAPC for males showed a significant increase in Portugal (2.5%[0.5-4.5]), in the Spanish CRs
(range 1.3[0.6-2.1] to 3.4[1.8-5.0]) except in Girona, and in 7 Italian CRs (0.7[0.4-1.1] to
2.6[1.9-3.3]). Incidence decreased in 2 Italian CRs.

AAPC for females increased in Spain (from 0.6[0.1 – 1.0] to 2.4[1.9 – 3.1]), except for
Baleares and Girona, and in Italy (0.4[0.1-0.7] to 2.1[1.0-3.1]) except for Tuscany. In Tuscany
and Geneva incidence decreased.

APC analysis showed increase for males in 2 Spanish CRs, starting late 80s'. An increase in 7
Italian CRs starting in mid80s' was followed by a decrease starting in 2006. A significant
decrease was reported in 2 Italian CRs since 2006, and in 1 Swiss CR since 1973.

For females an increasing trend in 1 Spanish CR since 2007 and 1 Italian CR since 2001 and a
decrease in 3 Italian CRs were reported.

Conclusions
Geographical and time-trend variations in CRC incidence have been identified among GRELL
countries, likely reflecting differences in the prevalence of risk factors and cancer control
activities implemented across regions.

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