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Т Е О Р И Я В Е Р О Я Т Н О С Т Е Й
Том IX И Е Е П Р И М Е Н Е Н И Я Вып уск 2
1964
where 0 and 1 denote respectively the zero and the identity operator in H(x)r
It follows that the Pt form a spectral family of projections or a resolution
of the identity according to Hilbert space terminology. As we have seen, the
projections Pt are, for all real t, uniquely determined by the given x(t) process.
We shall return to the properties of the Pt family in Section 5.
For any random variable z^H(x) with E { | z | 2 } = l we now define
a stochastic process by writing
z(t) = Ptz.
It is then readily seen that z (t) will be a process with .orthogonal increments
satisfying (A) and (B). Writing
Fz(t) = E{\z(t)}%
it follows that Fz(t) is, for any fixed z, a distribution function of t such that
Fz(t — 0) = Fz(t) for all t. '
The points of increase of z(t) coincide with the points of increase of Fz(t}
and form a subset of the innovation spectrum of x(t), and, accordingly, we
shall denote z (t) as a partial innovation process associated with x (t). The space
H (z, t) is spanned by the random variables z(u) with u<^t, and it is known
(cf., e. g., [5], p. 425 — 428) that H(z, t) is identical with the set of all
random variables of the form
t
^ g{t, u)dz(u)
~°°
where g(t, u) is a non-random function such that the integral, ,
\\g{t,u)fdF2{u).
—CO
is convergent. . >
4. Consider now the class Q of all distribution functions F(t) determined
such as to be continuous to the left for all t. We introduce a partial ordering
in Q by saying that Fx is superior to F2, and writing Fx >- F2, whenever F&
is absolutely continuous with respect to Fx. If Fx > F2 and F2 > Flt we say-
that Fx and F2 are equivalent.
The set of all distribution functions equivalent to a given F (f) forms an
equivalence class R. A partial ordering is introduced in the set of all equiv'a*
lence classes in the obvious way by writing Rx > R2 when the corresponding
relation holds for any Fi^Rx and F2ZER2. A point t is called a point of inc
rease for the equivalence class R whenever t is a point of increase for any F'<=R,-
In the sequel we shall be concerned with never increasing sequences of
equivalence classes: *
196 H. Cramer
H(x, o = 2 # ( z « , 0 (3)
1
where the last sum denotes the vector sum of the mutually orthogonal sub-
spaces involved.
Now x(t) is always an element of H(x, t) and from Section 3 we then
obtain the following theorem, previously given in somewhat less precise form
in [2] and [3].
Theorem 1. To any stochastic process x(t) satisfying (A) and (B) there
corresponds a uniquely determined sequence (2) of equivalence classes such
that x(t) can be represented in the form
N t
*(0=2 J ga (t, U)dZn(u) (4)
1 •—oo
mhere the zn(u) are mutually orthogonal processes with orthogonal increments
•satisfying (3). The gn{t, u) are non-random functions such that
N t
2 S \sn(t, u)*dFZn{u)<:oo.
1 —oo
The number N, which is called the total spectral multiplicity of the x (t) process,
Us the uniquely determined number of elements in (2) and may be finite or infi-
Stochastic Processes as Curves in Hilbert Space 197
nite. No representation of the form (4) with these properties exists for any smal
ler value of N.
The sequence (2) corresponding to a given x(t) process will be said to de
termine the spectral type of the process.
The relation (4) gives a linear representation of x(t) in terms of past and!
present innovation elements dzn (u). The total innovation process associated with
x (0 is an iV-dimensional vector process {z± (t),..., zN (t)} where as before №
may be finite or infinite. '
It is interesting to compare this with the situation in the case of a regular
process with discrete time ([2], Theorem 1) where a similar representation?
always holds with N=l.
Also in the particular case of a stationary process with continuous time,
satisfying (A) and (B) it follows from well-known theorems that we have
N=N(t)=l for all t, and that the only element in the corresponding sequence
(2) may be represented by any absol utely continuous distribution function F (t}
having an everywhere positive density function.
6. The best linear least squares prediction of x(t-\-h). in terms of all x(u)
with и <; t is obtained from (4) in the form
N t
Ptx(f+h)=^ \ gn(t+h,u)dzn(u).
1 —oo
Now consider the multiplicity f unction N (f) associated with the sequence (2).
as defined in Section 3. Suppose that in the closed interval t^u^t+h we.
have N(u)^N1<^N. Then all terms with п^>Ыг in the second member of
(5) will reduce to zero, so that the innovation entering into the process du
ring [t, t+h] will only be of dimensionality Nt. Speaking somewhat, loosely,,.
we may say that the multiplicity function N (t) determines for every t the
dimensionality of the innovation element {dz1(f),.. .}.
If,'in particular, N(u)=0 for t^u^t+h, it follows that the process-
does not receive any innovation at all during this interval. Accordingly in this
case the whole second member of (5) reduces to zero, so that exact predictions
is possible over the interval considered.
7. We now introduce the correlation function of the x(t) process:
r(s, f)=E{x(s)xlfi}.
As before we assume that all stochastic processes considered satisfy the condi
tions (A) and (B). We proceed to prove the following theorem, which shows
that the spectral type of a process in uniquely determined by the correlation
function.
Theorem 2. Let x(t) and y(t) be two processes satisfying (A) and (B) and ha*
ving the same correlation function r (s, t). The sequences of equivalence classes.
Н. Cramer
ш
which correspond to x (t) and у (t) in the way described in Theorem 1, are then
identical.
• x(t) and y(t) define two curves situated respectively in the spaces H (x)
and H(y). We now define a transformation V from the x curve to the у
curve by writing
Vx(t)=y(t),
and extend this definition by linearity to the linear manifold in H(x) determi
ned by all points x(t). It is readily seen that this definition is unique, and that
fhe transformation is isometric. It follows, in fact, from the equality of the
correlation functions that any linear relation Hcnx(tn)=0 implies and is implied
by the corresponding relation 2с я г/(4)=0, which shows that the transforma
tion is unique, while the isometry follows from the identity
r(s,t)=(x{s),x(t))=(Vx(s),Vx(t)).
^he transformation can now be extended [to an isometric transformation V
defined in the whole space H(x). If we consider the restriction of V to H(x, t),
it is immediately seen that we have for all t
VH(x,t)=H(y,i).
Denoting by Р\х) and P\y) the spectral families of projections corresponding
respectively to x(t) and y(t), we then obtain
VP<f)y-\=p\y\
Thus the two spectral families are isometri cally equivalent, and the assertion
«of the theorem now follows directly from Hilbert space theory. In the parti
cular case when H(x)=H(y) the transformation V will be unitary.
On the other hand, two processes with iso metrically equivalent spectral
families do not necessarily have the same correlation function. In other words,
£he correlation function is not uniquely determined by the spectral type.
In order to see this, it is enough to consider the two processes x(t) and
i/(t)=f(t)x(t) where f(t) is a non-random function such that 0<^m<^
<\f{t)\<M for all t. It is clear that H(x, t) =H{y, i) for all t, while the
correlation functions differ by the factor / (s) f (t).
8. In this Section it will be shown that we can always find a stochastic
process possessing any given spectral type. We shall even prove the more pre-
cise statement contained in the following theorem.
Theorem 3. Suppose that a sequence of equivalence classes of the form (2)
£s given. Then there exists a harmonizable process
со
x(f)= С eia dy{X)
'— CO
•converge for all n. We then have 1 <^kn<^oo. Assuming that the basic ro-
bability field is not too restricted,,. we cart then find N (mutually orthogonal
stochastic processes zx (t),..., ZN (t) with orthogonal increments, such that
FZn(t) = E{\ , f}=Fn(t). -,
,and
lo, (u>t),-
x'n{t)=^ \ gn{t, u)dzn(u)„
(8)
N
1
We then have for и <^ t
V<gn{t,u)<:^e-t{t-u)\.
* The use of the sets An for the construction of processes with given multiplicity
properties goes back to a correspondence between Professor Kolmogorov and the present
author (cf. [4]). A simple way of constructing the An is the following: Let 1 < nx <
CO
< n2 < . . . be positive integers such that "5\'l/nk converges. Almost every real x then
l
oo
r
has a unique expansion х=г0-\- 2 kl (ni • • • nk) where the rk are integers and 0 <J rk<_nk
1or &5= 1. If An is the set of those x for which the number of, zeros among the rk with
k^l is finite and of the form 2" (2p+l) where p is-a non-negative.integer, then the se
quence Ax, Л 2 , . . . has the required properties. - 7
2,00 H. Cramer
8 (<«+*£)
<
n4l
so that the series for x(t) converges in quadratic mean if Л = оо. (We note
that the x„(t), like the zn(t)y are mutually orthogonal.)
We now proceed to prove a) that the x(t) process defined by (8) has the
given spectral type, and b) that it is harmonizable.
It follows from the construction of the zn(t) and from (8) that we have
FZn(t)ZERn,
H (zm, t)±H (zn, t), (m =/= n),
N
H(x,t)d^H{zn,t).
If we can show that the sign of equality holds in the last relation, the relations (3)
will be satisfied and it then follows that the x (t) process defined by (8) has the
given spectral type. In order to prove this it is sufficient to show that we
have
zn(t)SEH(x,t)
for all n and t.
We have
d , t ,,,ч v, 1
dt (ex (0) = ^ -щ- [ a « (") Z« (")du' <9)
where the last sum converges in q. m. We now want to show that for almost
all t (Lebesgue measure) we may differentiate once more in q. m., and so
obtain
d*,t._,^ !L i
1
W= 2 ^ F ( 7 \an{u)zn(u)du — an(t)zn(t)\
Stochastic Processes as Curves in Hilbert Space 201
Now both Wi and №2 are sums of mutually orthogonal random variables and
we have
N t+h t+h
a
E | Wi| = у —;- [ \лп(и an(v)[Fn(min(и, о)) —f»(01 d " * <
1
N t+h
2 % J^ n (H-/0-M f )
and
E\Wt\^ = y\—Fn(t)\~ [an{u)du-an(t) <
W
1 Г 1 '+ft
< 2 " ^ k - ^ « 4 " ) r f « —«я(0
However, all the Fn are continuous almost everywhere, and it follows that W%
tends to zero in q. m. for almost all t. On the other hand, the metric den
sity of any An exists almost everywhere and is equal to an(t) so that W2
tends to zero in q. m. almost everywhere. Thus we have shown that (10)
holds for almost all t.
Let now m be a given integer, 1 < m <I N. The sets An being disjoint, it
then follows from (10) that for almost all tE:Am
The first member of the last relation is evidently an element of H(x, t), so
that we have zm (t) GE Я (х, t) for almost all t e Am. Now Am is of positive
measure in every non-vanishing interval, while zm if) is by definition every
where continuous to the left in q. m. Thus zm (t) e Я (x, t) for all t and all
m — I, . . . , N, and according to the above this proves that x(t) has the
given spectral type.
In order to prove also that x(t) is harmonizable we introduce the Fourier
transform hn{%, u) of gn{t,u) with respect to t. From (7) we obtain
CO 00 t
ax
hn (K u) = [ gn (t, u) e~ dt = -±- { (H (И-Л) dtUt — v) an (o) do.
:202. Н. Cramer
l
The double integral is absolutely convergent and we have
OO CO
CO
nkn(i +Я 2 )
;Now the correlation functions of xn(t). and x{t) are by (7) and (8)
CO - -
• . . . ' . • • N
; r(s,t) = E{x(s)x(t)}=^r"(s,t).
1
Я (J.
Gn (К (А) = С ( с» (р, a) dp da,
.—CO — C O
it follows from well-known criteria (cf., e. g., [9], p. 466—469) that pn(K \i)
is a correlation function. Further, C„ (K, u.) is of bounded variation over the
Stochastic Processes as Curves in Hilbert Space 203
CO
< - A C ei+«-dFe(u)<J-
4ге 2 /г 2 J . "2
CO CO
r { . ']
(s,t) = 'J J ^ . - а д ^ с М
—CO —CO
where
N . . .
(t)== jj е"Ыу{%)
Xit)
—CO
where у (к) has the correlation function С (A,, \i). We note that x(t) is a regu
lar process and is everywhere continuous in quadratic mean. The proof is
completed.
Поступила в редакцию
27.11.63
BIBLIOGRAPHY
11] H. C r a m e r , A contribution to the theory of stochastic processes, Proc Second
Berkeley Sympos. Math. Statist, and Prob., 1951, 329—339.
[2] H. C r a m e r , On some classes of non-stationary stochastic processes, Proc. 4th Ber
keley Sympos. Math. Statist, and Prob., II, 1961, 57—77.
,{3] H. C r a m e r , On the structure of purely non-deterministic stochastic processes, Arkiv
Math., 4, 2—3 (1961), 249—266.
;[4] H. C r a m e r , Decompositions orthogonales de certain processus stochastiques, Ann.
Fac. Sciences, Clermont, 11 (1962), 15—21.
15] J. L. D o o b , Stochastic processes, N. Y., 1953.
[6] P. R. H a l m o s , Introduction to Hilbert space and the theory of spectral multiplicity,
N. Y., 1951.
[7] A. H. К о л м о г о р о в , Кривые в гадьбертавском пространстве, инвариантные по
отношению к одиопараметрической группе движений, ДАН СССР, 26, 1(1940), 6—9.
J8] А. Н. К о л м о г о р о в , Спираль Винера и некоторые другие интересные кривые
в гяльбвртовском пространстве, ДАН СССР, 26, 2 (1940), 115—118.
204 Г. Крамер
(Резюме)
Изучаются регулярные комплеконо-зяанные случайные процессы x(t) с конечными
моментами второго порядка методами геометрии гильбертова пространства. Получе
на формула представления (4) процесса x(t) в терминах «прошлых и настоящих при-
взвосов». Число N называется полной спектральной кратностью процесса x(t) и являет
ся наименьшим числом, для которого имеет такого рода цредставление. Показано, что
кратность x(t) одяозяачяо определяется соответствующей корреляционной функцией
и что всегда можно найти гармонизуемый процесс x{t), имеющий наперед заданную»
кратность. ,,