Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Recent Titles in
Student Guides to Business and Economics
Taxation
David A. Dieterle
The Global Economy
David A. Dieterle
Preface ix
Acknowledgments xiii
Chronology xxxvii
Chapter 1
Economic Rules of the Global Economy 1
Chapter 2
Global Economy, Politics, and Culture 11
Chapter 3
Gains from Trade 17
Chapter 4
Protectionism and Standards 23
Chapter 5
Measuring the Global Economy 33
Chapter 6
Global Financial Systems: Exchange Rates and Exchange
Rate Systems 43
vii
viii Contents
Chapter 7
The Organizations That Influence the Global Economy 57
Chapter 8
International Rules, Trade Agreements, and Trade Unions 77
Chapter 9
Major Controversies of the Global Economy 97
Chapter 10
The Influencers of the Global Economy 111
Bibliography 149
Index 169
Preface
At the time of this writing, the United States (the world, actually) is cele-
brating the fiftieth anniversary of Neil Armstrong’s first steps on the
moon. One of the most famous pictures of all time, arguably, is the picture
of the earth from the moon taken during an earlier Apollo space flight.
That picture not only symbolizes man’s quest into space but also shows us
how small and fragile the earth is in the grand scheme of the cosmos. Our
journey through the following pages is a look at why and how the nations
of our small, fragile sphere in the cosmos cooperate, or not, with each
other in a global economy.
There is a saying that if we don’t learn from history, we are bound to
repeat it. There is a lot of truth in that statement as history has shown us
many times. It is important for us to begin by looking backward at the his-
tory of the global economy. The Chronology and Introduction will take
you on a journey back in time to explore what history has to tell us how the
global economy of today took shape.
Chapters 1 and 2 set the background, identifying the rules and back-
drops by which the nations of the global economy participate. Rules keep
us organized. The global economy is no different. Chapter 1 provides a set
of rules that guides us in determining if the global economy is functioning
at its best or falling short. Chapter 2 gives the background against which
the nations are participating. We get an opportunity in chapter 2 to deter-
mine if the nations themselves are functioning so that they can fully par-
ticipate and benefit in the global economy.
Chapter 3 considers the fulcrum on which the global economy teeters.
Albeit brief, it could arguably be considered the most powerful of the chap-
ters. In chapter 3, we will explore the vital concepts of trade: absolute
advantage and comparative advantage. Without trade, there is no global
economy. Why do nations trade? How can all nations trade and be part of
the global economy? We will answer all these questions.
ix
x Preface
opportunities. There will be issues and challenges for the future global
economy that we cannot even imagine or anticipate today. It is our hope
that this journey will prepare you to address them as knowledgeable, edu-
cated global citizens. To assist your becoming that educated global citizen,
we finalize our journey with a few questions for further exploration.
The global economy is master to over seven billion people and growing.
How nations choose to cooperate and work together in the future global
economy will ultimately dictate the terms by which all nations live, work,
play, and survive. Good luck.
Acknowledgments
xiii
Introduction: History of the Global
Economy
“In the beginning”1 seems an appropriate start for a journey about the
global economy. In the beginning, how did one define a global economy?
Certainly they did not understand our economy of the twenty-first cen-
tury. Did the early hunters and gatherers have a global economy? If we use
the literal definition of “global” as round, then we can be confident it was
not global. If the term “global,” however, refers to the economy that the
people of an era know and understand, then they participated in their
global economy. Each era has its own frame of reference for how the world
and its economy are defined.
If one looks up “global” in a dictionary, the term can also mean overall
or relating to the whole system.2 While hunters and gatherers did not have
a “round” economy, hunting and food gathering was their whole economy.
It was their global economy. The human race progressed, invented more
tools, and discovered new ways to make life better. With each step for-
ward, the global economy expanded.
GLOBAL EXPANSIONS
Over time, more and more people banded together to build, grow, and
trade. Soon people were traveling and trading from town to town. More
new lands were discovered, and peoples ventured farther and farther away
from home. With each new venture came a bigger global economy, as there
were more new lands to explore and new opportunities.
During these early economic periods, a person’s local economy was
their global economy. A person’s labor and ability to build their own home,
make their own clothes, or grow their own food was their economic life.
An individual or family could only build or grow with the resources they
xv
xvi Introduction
owned. With time and need for resources, sometimes a person would bar-
ter with a neighbor or towns person to swap skills, utensils, or crops. Pop-
ulation grew, and economies took on different forms.
Trading from town to town was not out of the ordinary. City-states
emerged as peoples and civilizations developed and collectively lived
together as communities. Economic, political, and social institutions
evolved to help peoples live in harmony.
also considered the first to fly kites. Marco Polo is credited as the first
European to travel to China and discover the Chinese products for the
Europeans. It was ancient China the Europeans were trying to reach by
water routes that began the Age of Exploration, which we will discuss
shortly.
The Greeks
The ancient Greek civilization was one of the most influential civiliza-
tions in all of history. The Greeks gave us art, literature, philosophers,
democracy, and, of course, the Olympics. The Greeks invented biology,
geometry, and physics classes. You can blame them for having to take those
classes in school. They created the modern form of democracy and politi-
cal institutions, such as the senate to discuss and pass laws. The Greeks
added to our body of knowledge with mathematicians like Pythagoras (yes,
the same as the theorem) and Euclid and scientists like Archimedes. We
cannot forget arguably the greatest philosophers and teachers of all his-
tory: Plato, Socrates, and Aristotle. Greek history and influence go far
beyond the scope of our discussion, but Greece’s ultimate influence on the
global economy today is immeasurable.
had an interesting form of governance. The Aztecs retained a local rule but
paid a tribute to the Aztec emperor. In 1521, the Aztec civilization eventu-
ally ended, when Hernando Cortez and the Spanish defeated it.
The Incas lived farther south, in what is now Peru and Chile in South
America. The Incas had a very powerful military presence in the lands.
They were ruled by a king and were known for their buildings. The Incas
built the famous site Machu Picchu, which still stands today in Peru.
Westerners seen by the Great Khan. They stayed in China (then known as
Cathay) for one year before returning to Venice.
When Marco’s father and uncle made their first trip to China, young
Marco was six years old. When they left for their second trip, he was a
young man of seventeen and he joined them. Marco had been well edu-
cated during his youth in Venice, and he was able to write significantly
about his journeys. It is because of his records and accounts of their jour-
neys that we remember him as the famous brother.
On this journey to Cathay, they took many gifts from Venice to give to
the Great Khan. This trip was very difficult, as they traveled the Silk Road.
Their journey to Cathay was quite eventful. Marco was sick, and they spent
one entire year in one place before he was well enough to travel.
As they continued their journey they reached Pamir, the highest spot in
the world. In one river village, they found a local stone that happen to be
jade, which became a very valuable European jewel.
While crossing the Gobi Desert young Polo wrote about what it felt like
to cross such vast nothingness: “This desert is reported to be so long that it
would take a year to go from end to end; and at the narrowest point it takes
a month to cross it. It consists entirely of mountains and sands and valleys.
There is nothing at all to eat.”4
Marco and his brothers arrived in Cathay in May 1275. The trip had
taken them three and one-half years. In his accounts, Marco recalls his
first meeting with the Great Khan:
They knelt before him and made obeisance with the utmost humility. The
Great Khan . . . received them honorably and entertained them with good
cheer. . . . Then they [Polo Brothers] presented the privileges and letters
which the Pope had sent, with which he was greatly pleased, and handed
over the holy oil, which he received with joy and prized very highly. When
the Great Khan saw Marco, who was then a young stripling, he asked who
he was. “Sir” said Messer Niccolo, “he is my son and your liege man.” “He is
heartily welcome,” said the Khan. . . . Great Khan and all his Court wel-
comed the arrival of these emissaries. . . . They stayed at Court and had a
place of honor above the other barons.5
Marco Polo became a favorite of the Great Khan and ultimately was a
member of the Khan’s court. He traveled throughout China, mostly at the
request of and representing the Great Khan. He visited places in China and
Asia that were not going to be seen by other Europeans for several more
centuries.
During his travels, Marco Polo was witness to new products discovered
by the Chinese or other peoples he met during his travels. He and his
brothers were the first to be introduced to asbestos, paper money, and coal.
They were accustomed to firewood, which burns and disintegrates into
xx Introduction
ash. Coal, a substance that burned but did not seem to burn, was known in
Europe but very new to young Marco and his brothers. They thought of
how much firewood could be saved using coal as a substitute.
Paper money was not used in Venice or Europe. Money in thirteenth-
century Europe was weight-based gold or silver. In Cathay, they used
weightless paper for money and exchange. This was very strange to the Polo
brothers. Other inventions witnessed by these three Europeans included a
postal service, a canal-based internal transportation system, porcelain
bowls, and silk garments.
The Polo brothers stayed in Cathay for seventeen years. They became
very wealthy in gold and jewels. They left Cathay with their fortunes, trav-
eling by sea across the Indian Ocean to the Middle East. It was not an easy
journey, and many of the passengers died while at sea. They had received
the golden tablet of authority from the Great Khan, which allowed them to
travel safely through bandit-ravaged territories of the Middle East. They
completed their travels to Venice by sea, arriving in 1295.
Several years later while a prisoner of war, Marco Polo dictated to
another prisoner the accounts of his travels. The book had two titles. The
first was The Description of the World, and the second was The Travels of
Marco Polo. Much of what we know today about the early Chinese we first
learned from Marco Polo. He wrote of Cathay’s wealth and his journey
adventures in Africa and through India. Very popular in Europe, the book
was mostly thought of as an adventurous book of fiction. The book later
was known as II Milione, or the Million Lies. Most of Europe considered
the book pure fantasy, a modern-day Harry Potter.
Marco Polo died in 1324 at the age of seventy. In the years and centuries
since, there continues to be some question as to whether he really did
travel to China, not so much because of what he wrote but because of what
he did not write. There was no mention of the Great Wall or tea, for exam-
ple. Travelers of eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, however, have con-
firmed much of his accounts in their writings. Regardless, his book
expanded the globe and the idea of an expanded global economy.
In his book, Marco Polo notes, “I believe it was God’s will that we should
come back, so that men might know the things that are in the world, since, as
we have said in the first chapter of this book, no other man, Christian or Sara-
cen, Mongol or pagan, has explored so much of the world as Messer Marco,
son of Messer Niccolo Polo, great and noble citizen of the city of Venice.”6
Fiction or not, Marco Polo’s book gave Europe a glimpse of another part
of the world and a more global economy. Throughout the fourteenth cen-
tury, Europeans traveled the Silk Road. Another group of adventurers,
however, began thinking there must be a more efficient, safer route by
water around Africa, straight into the Indian Ocean, and directly to China.
Introduction xxi
Portugal
One sailor, Prince Henry the Navigator, influenced much of Portugal’s
early seafaring experiences. Believing there was a more effective and effi-
cient southern route to India and China around Africa, he sponsored voy-
ages that began sailing south. Each expedition south increased what was
known of the African coastline. His expeditions sailed only as far south as
the Canary Islands.
While the expeditions only reached the Canary Islands along Africa’s
coastline, they served purposes. First, Prince Henry’s exploits established
Portugal as the sea power of the time. Second, they were the unofficial
launch of the age of exploration, discovery, and an expanding global econ-
omy. Third, they showed that there might be something to this idea that
the earth was round and not flat.
Also sailing for the king of Portugal, Bartholomeu Dias proved that sail-
ing to India was possible when he followed the expeditions of Prince Henry
the Navigator and sailed the African coastline to the Cape of Good Hope
in 1488. His voyages revealed that the Atlantic and Indian Oceans were
indeed one continuous body of connected water. A third Portuguese sailor,
Vasco da Gama, completed the venture, sailing to India in 1498.
Spain
While Portugal was searching for way to the riches of India by a water
route to the south, others were convinced that India could be reached by
sailing due west. This theory was only valid if the earth was round and not
flat, as was still considered by some of the day. Interestingly, some histori-
ans are convinced that the Romans were the first to consider the earth to
xxii Introduction
Mercantilism
As the population of Europe grew and cities became city-states and
then nation-states and nations, the need for more resources rose. The royal
families of the nations counted their nations wealth in gold, silver, riches,
land conquests, and ownership of resources. The Age of Discovery was in
reality a competition between nations for ownership of the new resources
and wealth of an expanding globe. Beginning around the fifteenth century,
a new economic system was evolving that centered on the accumulation of
a nation’s wealth and power.
To gain power and leverage, countries would sell goods produced in
their country to another country in exchange for gold or silver. In this type
of economic system, there was a constant need for more land, labor, and
tools to produce products they could sell for more gold or silver. Other
countries were, of course, doing the same thing and were selling their prod-
ucts for other countries gold or silver. Trade between nations did not exist.
Introduction xxiii
The theme of The Theory of Moral Sentiments set the stage for his sequel
published in 1776. In his sequel, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of
the Wealth of Nations,8 Adam Smith submitted that a nation’s wealth is not
based on how much gold and silver are in the national treasury but on the
wealth and prosperity of the individual citizen. We will spend more time
on the details of Smith and the Wealth of Nations, including his “invisible
hand” and the advantages of trade, in the next chapter.
Other philosophers and groups had thought about some of these ideas
earlier. The Physiocrats in France created a model showing how an econo-
my’s components are interrelated in the farming industry. Earlier we
discussed how individuals in towns and cities specialize and are inter-
dependent. The Wealth of Nations stands alone, because for the first time,
Adam Smith presented these ideas as an argument against mercantilism
and argued that these concepts also hold true in the interactions between
nations.
Industrial Revolution
Like the American Revolution, the Industrial Revolution was a time of
significant change, especially in Europe and the young United States. The
Industrial Revolution was approximately a century of change from the
mid-eighteenth century to the mid-nineteenth century. Much of this eco-
nomic revolution centered on the relatively new country of the United
States and the writings of Adam Smith. As with most revolutions, the
world would change forever and, with it, the global economy. Virtually
every component of the global economy changed, including transporta-
tion, communication, and agriculture.
The Industrial Revolution brought new technologies in energy, develop-
ment of metals such as iron and steel, and inventions such as the steam
engine. The influence of Adam Smith was reflected as manufacturing
improved processes through the use of Adam Smith’s concepts of division
of labor and specialization. It improved communications with the radio
and the telegraph. Regardless of where the invention or new technology
originated, its influence was being felt universally.
The Industrial Revolution was more than just industrial. It changed the
social, cultural, and political landscapes as well. Initially focused on Brit-
ain in the eighteenth century, it soon spread to other parts of Europe before
coming to the United States. While other parts of the world may not have
participated in the Industrial Revolution directly, they were either indi-
rectly impacted through trade or eventually impacted in the inventions,
technologies, and resources the Industrial Revolution left behind.
Introduction xxv
The world became more specialized and more productive. The Indus-
trial Revolution saw significant population growth, and living standards
improved for everyone. People were eating healthier as food supplies
increased, resulting in fewer disease plagues. Fewer children were dying at
birth. Throughout Europe and the United States, people were migrating to
the cities to work in the new factories and ever-expanding manufacturing
sector. Even the poor, while still poor in relative terms, were living better
than those considered poor a century ago.
Agricultural and manufactured products were being produced in sur-
plus quantities. Expanding global trade was the outlet for the surpluses
created. In the early nineteenth century, David Ricardo wrote a political
economy textbook that would again bring new ideas and growth to the
changing global economy.
David Ricardo was a proponent of Adam Smith’s ideas about how
nations should trade for wealth. Ricardo took Smith’s idea about the gains
from trade and went one idea further, introducing the concept of compara-
tive advantage.9 Ricardo submitted that every nation regardless of resources
could participate in the global economy. As with Adam Smith, in the next
chapter we will explore Ricardo’s concepts in greater detail.
Depression, and World War II, the global economy was virtually nonexis-
tent. The global economy would not come close to its 1918 level of activity
until the mid-1940s, when the end of World War II was in sight.
Bretton Woods
By 1944, with a victorious end of World War II in sight, forty-four
nations gathered in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to create a new world
economy. Commonly known as the Bretton Woods Conference, the con-
ference was formally known as United Nations Monetary and Financial
Conference. It is an interesting formal name, considering that the United
Nations (UN) organization was not officially created until one year later in
1945. A second interesting note is that the Soviet Union was in attendance;
soon after, they would be the Cold War nemesis of the Free World.
Bretton Woods took place throughout July 1944. The two key nation
players during these July days were the United States and Great Britain.
Through the early part of the twentieth century and into the beginnings of
World War II, Great Britain, led by Keynes, was the globe’s economic
power. World War II, however, had imposed very heavy debts on Great
Britain. Keynes and his British colleagues envisioned Bretton Woods as
their way to create a new global economy that would alleviate Britain’s
debt burden. The United States, led by Secretary of the Treasury
Harry Dexter White, envisioned Bretton Woods as the path to assert the
Unites States as a new global partner in the post–World War II global
economy.
Introduction xxvii
The July summer days in New Hampshire were long and hot. The meet-
ings were long and hot as well. Two primary plans were submitted and
considered by the congregation. Keynes and the British presented a plan
for an international currency and global economy that did not include a
gold standard. The United States presented a plan that did include the gold
standard. The debate over which plan to implement was often as heated as
the New Hampshire summer days.
As the July days wore on, the attendees were getting tired and sick.
Keynes himself had been bedridden for several days. He had not been well
when the conference began. The conference was coming to a close, and an
agreement was close. Most of the debates centered on two key issues, both
important to Great Britain and the United States. One was liquidity to
rebuild Europe and Japan in a postwar environment as well as to assist
nations with their post-wartime debts. The other was to create an exchange
rate system that would benefit and incentivize global trade.
The attendees were not comfortable with the completely flexible
exchange rate that existed during the war. They also were not interested in
returning to the fixed gold standard system prior to the war. What evolved
was a new compromise global monetary system. A blended system between
the fixed and flexible systems, it was closely aligned with the plan pro-
posed by the United States. The United States was now on the verge of
dominating the postwar global economy.
The final agreement for a new monetary system had several components.
One, the U.S. dollar would anchor the new global exchange rate system. The
value of the U.S. dollar would be fixed to gold at thirty-five dollars per
ounce. The other world currencies would be have a value fixed to the dollar.
These currencies would be flexible within a range of values. With other cur-
rencies tied to the U.S. dollar, it soon became the global reserve currency.
For the other nations to maintain their currencies’ predetermined rela-
tionship (known as par value) with the U.S. dollar, they could exchange
their currency for U.S. dollars or gold. This was the beginning of the U.S.
dominance as the world financial power and the dollar as a currency all
governments needed to own. Each nation would only be allowed to change
their values if they had domestic financial emergencies or they did not
have enough dollars on reserve.
To provide stability, a quota system was established. Each nation par-
ticipating was required to provide an amount of gold (25 percent) and their
currency (75 percent). This deposit gave nations borrowing rights to main-
tain appropriate reserve ratios for their fixed exchange rate to the dollar.
The new agreement set up a voting system for the organizations created
based on the size of each nations quota. With the highest quota, the United
States had the most votes. The U.S. global influence was increased signifi-
cantly once again.
xxviii Introduction
Bretton Woods also created two new organizations to deal with the
postwar global economy and a third for trade. We will explore these orga-
nizations in greater detail later in the book. For now, however, it is impor-
tant to introduce them here, as they have become major influences in
today’s global economy. The International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development (IBRD) was created directly for the rebuilding of the world
following World War II. It was the genesis of the broader World Bank,
which would come later.
The other organization created was more aligned with the conference’s
newly created global monetary system. The International Monetary Fund
(IMF) was established to stabilize a nation’s currency and to provide finan-
cial assistance in times of financial or currency crisis. As it was funded
through quotas and subscriptions, the United States had the most votes
and influence on the IMF. With the creation of the IMF’s Special Drawing
Rights (SDRs),11 one of Keynes’ major initiatives came to fruition. Interest-
ingly Keynes had come to Bretton Woods with a plan to create an entirely
new global monetary system based on one global currency. The creation of
the IMF and SDRs was a small success of his plan although Keynes did not
see it that way.
The organization that was created for trade never really materialized as
a functional organization until much later. The free nations of the world
realized that they needed to open trade with one another if postwar growth
was going to occur. As part of the Bretton Woods discussions, the Interna-
tional Trade Organization (ITO) was established. Given all the different
topics covered by the conference attendees, it was agreed that these dis-
cussions would take place after the conference’s conclusion.
With its new monetary system and global organization, the Bretton
Woods Conference became a hallmark turning point of the global econ-
omy. The following year (1945), the United Nations was formally estab-
lished. The IMF and IBRD were officially implemented as specialized
agencies of the United Nations.
The ITO was not approved by the U. S. Congress and was disbanded. In
1947, fifty-five nations gathered once again and created the General Agree-
ment on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) as a replacement of the ITO in order to
promote free global trade. Again, we will explore these and other organiza-
tions in chapter 7, on global institutions and organizations.
of the world’s oil. As a result, OPEC was very powerful and could control
how the global economy functioned.
War was not done influencing the global economy. In 1973, OPEC
exerted their power on the global economy when a regional war broke out
between Israel and OPEC’s Arab nations. During this war, OPEC put an
embargo (would not provide oil) on the nations that supported Israel,
including the United States, South Africa, the Netherlands, and Portugal.
Since the United States was by far the largest and most active participant
in the global economy, it was impacted the most. OPEC also cut produc-
tion so that there was less oil for the world.
Eventually, the low oil production impacted the global economy, which
slowed into a recession. Gasoline prices increased significantly as oil com-
panies had to pay higher oil prices. OPEC was proving the significant influ-
ence it had over the global economy. Given the size of the U.S. economy
and its reliance on imported oil, ending the embargo was especially crucial
to the United States. Lines of cars would form at gas stations, as there was
not enough for everyone.
Political leaders of many countries including the United States met with
OPEC officials to end the embargoes and low oil production. At the same
time, they were meeting with Arab and Israeli leaders to end the war. Dur-
ing this time it was a much more difficult than usual for the global econ-
omy to separate economics and politics. Peace agreements for both the
war and oil embargo were reached during 1974. Nations across the globe
became aware of the need to become less reliant on OPEC oil. Over time
the global economy would face another shift.
would send in military troops or call for new elections. Gorbachev, how-
ever, endorsed the results of the free Polish election. Soon after, the other
Soviet bloc nations of Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Romania, and Yugoslavia
also voted in noncommunist governments.
The ultimate symbol of the Cold War’s end was what occurred later that
year in Germany. Earlier in the year, President Ronald Reagan had visited
the wall separating East and West Berlin. During that visit, he made his
now famous plea to Gorbachev: “If you are serious about freedom, Mr.
Gorbachev, tear down this wall!”14 In the fall of 1989, Berliners from both
sides attacked the wall with hammers, axes, and any tool they could find
that would chip away at history and separation. The Berlin Wall came
down. This was the unofficial symbol ending the Cold War.
The Cold War may have been over, but there was still one more histori-
cal event that would again change the global economy. The Soviet bloc was
no more. The nations that defined it were now independent nations. Sev-
eral like Yugoslavia were about to face their own civil war. The states of the
Soviet Union, however, had yet to be heard. Now it was their turn. One by
one, they, too, demanded their independence.
This was beyond what Gorbachev had intended. Disbanding the Soviet
bloc was one act. Disbanding the Soviet Union was entirely different. The
forces of freedom, however, are indeed forces that often, like the weather,
cannot be controlled. In 1991, the Russian Soviet Republic (Russia) became
an independent nation. The Ukraine and Byelorussia followed Russia and
other states to independence. The Soviet Union was no more. The global
economy had grown significantly, as all these new and free nations pre-
pared their economies to be global economic participants.
Single Market Treaty in 1993. In 1995, the Schengen Agreement gave all
EU citizens the right to travel between nations without a passport.
For the global economy, the second major event for the European Union
was the introduction of the euro, the EU common currency, in 1999. A
nation using the euro as common currency also needed to belong to the
European Monetary Zone (EMZ). Not all EU nations belonged to the
EMZ. Great Britain and Switzerland are two nations that belong to
the European Union but not the EMZ. Great Britain maintained the pound
sterling, and Switzerland the krona.
At the time of this writing, Great Britain is in the process of leaving the
European Union. The European Union is a major participant in the global
economy. The euro is one of the four reserve currencies. The size of the
EU economy rivals that of the United States. How Great Britain’s exit from
the European Union will impact it, only time will tell. More nations
are interested in joining it, but for now, the union is holding to its member-
ship size.
Africa
One of the most noticeable areas of the global economy’s expansion are
the many new participants from the African continent. Many, if not most,
of the African nations are awakening from their early days of indepen-
dence and economic isolation. They are vying for a place in the global
economy as providers of rich natural resources and trading partners. One
of the areas we will explore later is China’s inroads into the economies of
many African nations.
we discuss future issues. For the present, however, OPEC heavily influences
the price and supply level of oil and the many products that have oil as a
resource component.
A New West
The “West” is generally considered to be the developed nations of
Europe, Canada, and the United States. In the early twenty-first century,
all areas of the Western world are in some form of transition. The Euro-
pean Union’s central focus is dealing the exiting of Great Britain (Brexit),
along with the stability of the euro.
The United States and Canada, along with Mexico, are in the middle of
revising the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). An agree-
ment has been reached, but ratification still seems far off, as of this writing.
The governments have not ratified the new United States-Mexico-Canada
Agreement (USMCA), which will replace NAFTA. How different the two
are is mostly a matter of perspective. We will explore USMCA in more
detail in several other areas of the global economy, particularly when we
explore laws and regulations and when we focus on future issues.
A second issue is Britain’s exit from the European Union, more com-
monly known as Brexit. Britain is the first nation to exit the European
Union, so it is new ground for everyone involved. Again, we will explore
Brexit and its consequences in more detail throughout our journey.
Oil independence from OPEC continues to be a goal of the West. Can-
ada and the United States have vastly improved and increased their
resources and ability to produce oil. Finding the balance between oil pro-
duction and the environment and other social issues continues to plague
the future of North American oil production.
A New East
We used to consider Japan and the nations of the Pacific as the “Far
East.” In this day of the internet and jet travel, they are not nearly as far
away. The economies of eastern Asia are definitely new and on the rise as
global economy participants. Whether Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, or
Thailand, they are all twenty-first-century global economic traders and
resource providers. South Korea continues to be an important global par-
ticipant. New trade agreements including the revamped Trans-Pacific
Partnership (TPP) add to their level of global participation.
Several of these economies have flourished on the heels of China’s
growth.
Introduction xxxv
NOTES
1. These are the first words in the Bible (Genesis I:1).
2. This definition comes from the dictionary tool of Microsoft Word. Possible
synonyms include “universal,” “comprehensive,” and “total.” The point is that the
term does more than just refer to the globe.
3. “Medieval Life–Feudalism and the Feudal System,” History on the Net,
https://www.historyonthenet.com/medieval-life-feudalism-feudal-system.
4. “Marco Polo and His Travels,” Silkroad Foundation, http://www.silkroad
foundation.org/artl/marcopolo.shtml.
5. Ibid.
6. Ibid.
7. Adam Smith, Theory of Moral Sentiments (London: A. Millar, 1759).
8. Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations (London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell, 1776).
xxxvi Introduction
“All the world’s a stage, And all the men and women merely players; They
have their exits and their entrances” (As You Like It, Act 2, Scene 7, Lines
139–66).1 William Shakespeare wrote these words in the sixteenth cen-
tury, but they seem quite appropriate as we begin our journey into the
global economy. The global economy, like global history, has had its stages
and players and different eras of achievement, failures, growth, and depres-
sion. Let’s begin our journey with a look at some of the major highlights
that impacted how our global economy looks today.
8000 BCE
People learn to farm and domesticate animals.
4000 BCE
People begin to trade, since farmers can grow more food than they need.
Others become other tradesmen and trade for the surplus food.
3300 BCE
Mesopotamia (Babylon) is the first known civilization to have formal
institutions.
3150 BCE
The Ancient Egyptian civilization builds the pyramids and sphinx.
2700 BCE
Ancient Greek civilization governs by democracy and conducts the first
Olympics.
1600 BCE
Ancient Chinese civilization invents paper, silk, gunpowder, and alcohol,
among other things.
xxxvii
xxxviii Chronology
325 BCE
Chandragupta Maurya converts to Buddhism, using the world religion to
expand trade and armies.
Alexander the Great sues for peace and to combine forces with Chandra-
gupta. For the first time, the states of the Mediterranean and India with
Central Asia are connected for trade through overland routes.
6 BCE
The Roman Empire changes, expanding the global economy.
First Century CE
As Buddhism expands around the known world, the Silk Road is founded
to expand economic and cultural links between India and China.
960–1279
During the medieval era, the economies of Europe and the Song Dynasty
of China connect by both Eurasian land routes and Indian Ocean sea
routes.
1100
Genghis Khan comes to power and increases the overland routes to Europe
and Asia (Eurasia).
1275
Marco Polo and his brothers arrive in Kubla Khan, the capital of China.
1297
The Polo brothers return to Venice two years earlier, and he writes his
adventures, The Travels of Marco Polo.
1300
The Ottoman Empire covers parts of North Africa, Middle East, and
Europe. Trade expands between Europe and Asia. As trade expands, so
does the cost of global trade. European royalties begin sponsoring explora-
tion to find a western ocean route to India and parts of Asia.
1324
Marco Polo dies in Venice at the age of seventy.
1350
Trade between Europe and China increases along land routes through
Central Asia. Along the Silk Road through parts of Asia and the Mediter-
ranean to China, trade of goods and migrations of people is increasing.
1400s–1600s
Age of Exploration, also known as the Age of Discovery.
Chronology xxxix
1418
Prince Henry the Navigator is sailing the coast of Africa in search of a sea
route to India. Other explorers are also searching for the ocean routes to
the East.
1492
Sailing for the Spanish, Christopher Columbus sets sail for India, heading
due west. Instead of India, his voyage lands on a small island he names San
Salvador (known today as the Bahamas). He also explores what is today
known as the island of Haiti and Dominican Republic.
1497
Sailing for the English, Italian John Cabot lands on soil that is not India
(Newfoundland).
1498
Vasco da Gama sails around Africa into the Indian Ocean under the Por-
tuguese flag. Portugal is becoming the world sea power, controlling the sea
routes from Europe around Africa to India, China, and the Indies.
1519
Ferdinand Magellan sails for the Spanish king and queen to find a new sea
route to the Spice Islands (Asia). He passes through the southern tip of
South America (now known as the Strait of Magellan) and becomes the
first European to sail across the Pacific Ocean.
1607
The British establish the first European settlement in Jamestown, Virginia.
1608
The Frenchman Samuel du Champlain begins a settlement in Quebec City.
1624
Holland also establishes a settlement and trading post in the new lands
found by the Europeans, at the site of present New York City.
1650
During the seventeenth century, economic activity expands among the
“new” western lands with Europe and Africa. The economic integration of
economies expands again, as trade between East and West increases across
the Atlantic Ocean.
1763
At the end of the Seven Years’ War and the Treaty of Paris, Great Britain
emerges as the world’s dominant empire, while France’s empire is totally
lost. Spain remains the other dominant global colonial power.
xl Chronology
1776
The American Revolution and ultimate independence of the British thir-
teen colonies changes the global trading landscape across the Atlantic. No
longer are the European countries trading among themselves west to east.
They are now trading with the new United States. Adam Smith publishes
the An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (Lon-
don: W. Strahan and C. Cadell)2 where he promotes the positive sum
nature of trade between nations. Smith notes that wealth is created
through trade and not accumulation of gold as practiced by the
mercantilists.
1789
In Europe, the French Revolution changes the European landscape.
National governments and economies emerge during the Industrial Revo-
lution on both sides of the Atlantic.
1815
British Parliament passes the Corn Laws to protect British farmers from
imports of agricultural products. The short supply of grains and other
foods raises prices significantly. Families cannot afford the high prices.
1817
David Ricardo publishes On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxa-
tion (London: John Murray).3 Ricardo claims all nations can benefit from
trade by comparing opportunity costs of production. If nations produce
only those goods with low opportunity costs and trade for other goods,
gains from trade result. His idea of comparative advantage is key to all
nations gaining from trade.
1846
The consequences of the Corn Laws (high prices, insufficient supplies)
cause Parliament to repeal them.
1848
Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels publish The Communist Manifesto.
1878–1900
The Industrial Revolution brings new wealth to nations. Nations are pro-
ducing more goods than the countries of Europe can consume and are
searching for new markets. Africa appears an excellent trading opportu-
nity for their new productivity. The European nations rush to colonize
African lands. The “new” African territories become new markets for
European goods.
1908
William D’Arcy and Burmah Oil Company, a British company, discover oil
in Persia.
Chronology xli
1909
D’Arcy and Burmah Oil create the Anglo-Persian Oil Co. in order to
expand the exploration and discovery of oil in the Middle East.
1914
The first era of globalization ends as World War I begins. President Wood-
row Wilson takes a stand of neutrality for the United States. Global trade
completely stops.
1916
President Wilson proposes a League of Nations to promote peace among
nations and global open trade.
1917
President Wilson cannot remain neutral. The United States enters World
War I.
1918
President Wilson proposes the Fourteen Points to end World War I. They
include free oceans for open global trade. The Fourteen Points are the
foundation for the League of Nations, which is not popular in the United
States.
1921
Warren Harding is inaugurated president and takes a hard-line isolationist
position on global trade for the United States. He does not support or join
the League of Nations, which dismantles Wilson’s progressive globaliza-
tion ideas.
1921
An Emergency Tariff is being implemented to limit foreign agricultural
products.
1922
The Fordney-McCumber Act is imposed to raise tariffs 25 percent. The act
also allows the president to raise tariffs without congressional approval.
1929
The New York Stock market crashes, beginning a U.S. depression that
spreads globally.
1930
To protect U.S. jobs, Congress passes the Smoot-Hawley Tariff (Tariff Act
of 1930), raising tariffs on all foreign goods coming into the United States.
Other countries retaliate by raising their tariffs on U.S. goods imported
into their countries, which results in all global trade decreasing by 60 per-
cent. The Great Depression affects every country and deepens.
xlii Chronology
1933
In response to the post–World War I hyperinflation happening in Ger-
many, Adolf Hitler is elected chancellor of Germany. Europe begins to
divide, and global trade decreases even more.
1935
The automobile and the need for transportation continue to grow. So does
the economic importance of oil and the Middle East. The Anglo-Persian
Oil Co. becomes the Anglo-Iranian Oil Co.
1939
Hitler’s Germany invades Poland. World War II begins, and global trade
continues virtually nonexistent.
1941
Japan bombs Pearl Harbor, and the United States enters World War II.
1944
The defeat of Germany and the Axis powers seems all but certain to end
World War II. Forty-four nations meet in Bretton Woods, New Hamp-
shire, to design a new postwar global monetary system, resulting in the
establishment of two global organizations: the International Monetary
Fund to provide loans for nations in need of financial assistance and the
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development to provide loans
to nations in order to rebuild their infrastructure post–World War II. The
conference established a new monetary system exchange rate system in
which the U.S. dollar is fixed to gold and the other currencies are fixed to
the dollar.4
1945
Fifty-one nations sign and become charter members of the new United
Nations.5
1947
India and Pakistan gain their independence from Great Britain.
1948
In an effort to eliminate trade barriers and create a freer global economy,
the nations create a General Agreement for Tariffs and Trade.
1949
The reunification discussions for a post–World War II Germany have
ended, and two Germanys are created: the Federal Republic of Germany,
known as West Germany, and the German Democratic Republic, known as
East Germany. West Germany is a democratic nation, and East Germany is
member of the Communist Soviet Bloc. The first Five-Year Plan (1949–
1954) of the People’s Republic of China is launched with the assistance and
support of the Soviet Union.
Chronology xliii
1950
Six European nations join their economics and politics to create the Euro-
pean Coal and Steel Community (European Union). The six nations are
France, the Federal Republic of Germany (West Germany), Belgium, Italy,
Luxembourg, and Netherlands.
1953
An armistice is being signed to end the Korean War. As a condition of the
armistice, two Koreas are being created, North Korea and South Korea.
1954
The Anglo-Iranian Oil Co. is renamed British Petroleum.
1955
China’s Great Leap Forward loses the gains achieved during the Five-
Year Plan.
1957
The six nations of the European Union create the European Economic
Community (European Common Market). Ghana becomes an indepen-
dent nation from Britain.
1958
Guinea gains its independence from France.
1959
Fidel Castro has successfully overthrown the Cuban government and cre-
ates a communist Cuba, which escalates the Cold War. The United States
imposes an embargo on Cuba. Castro establishes stronger ties with the
Soviet Union.
1960
The French African colonies gain their independence from France, includ-
ing Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad,
Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Senegal, and Togo.
Britain begins dismantling its colonial empire in Africa, allowing British
Somaliland to merge with Italian Somaliland to create the new nation of
Somalia.
1961
Britain continues to leave Africa, turning over South Africa and Tanzania
to independent national governments.
1962
China’s Great Leap Forward ends.
1963
Britain continues its march out of Africa. Kenya is the newest British col-
ony to become independent.
xliv Chronology
1964
Zambia and Malawi join Kenya as new independent nations.
1965
Britain’s Rhodesia is divided, creating independent Zimbabwe and
Gambia.
1966
The last two British colonies, Botswana and Lesotho, gain their indepen-
dence. Britain is now totally out of Africa.
1968
Spain grants independence to its African colony, Equatorial Guinea.
1973
The United Kingdom, Ireland, and Denmark join the European Union,
raising membership to nine nations. The Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries imposes an embargo on exporting oil to the United
States. The oil-producing countries’ influence on the global economy
expands significantly.
1978
China’s premier Deng Xiaoping introduces economic reforms, including
market incentives for farmers and other market reforms.
1981
Greece joins the European Union, becoming the tenth member.
1985
Mikhail Gorbachev becomes leader of Soviet Union, as general secretary
of the Communist Party and president. He introduces economic reforms
known as glasnost (openness to new ideas) and perestroika (permits mar-
ket incentives into the economy).
1986
Spain and Portugal are the eleventh and twelfth nations to join the Euro-
pean Union, and the members sign the Single European Act. The Euro-
pean Union embarks on a six-year program to establish free trade
throughout all EU nations as a single market.
1989
Poland elects a noncommunist majority government. Soviet president
Gorbachev and the Communist Party allow the election to stand. The
Soviet Union’s nonaction is the beginning of the end of the Soviet Union.
The Berlin Wall separating East and West Berlin since the end of World
War II is torn down. The reunification of Germany begins, symbolizing
the end of the Cold War.
Chronology xlv
1990
The reunification of East Germany and West Germany is complete, creat-
ing the Federal Republic of Germany. For the first time since 1945, Ger-
many is again one nation. The Shanghai Stock Exchange reopens in China
after being closed for forty years.
1991
The dissolution of the Soviet Union continues as Russia, Ukraine, and Bye-
lorussia claim their independence.
1993
The signed North American Free Trade Agreement is ratified by the three
countries’ governments: Canada, Mexico, and the United States.
1994
NAFTA becomes effective January 1.
1995
Three nations become thirteenth, fourteenth, and fifteenth new members
of the European Union: Finland, Sweden, and Austria. The Schengen
Agreement allows people to travel between EU nations without passports.
1997
Great Britain turns Hong Kong over to Chinese rule, completing the dis-
solution of the British Empire.
1999
The euro becomes the currency for most of the EU nations. England and
Denmark opt out and are not part of the European Monetary Zone.
2000
British Petroleum takes the new name of BP.
2001
China joins the World Trade Organization (WTO).
2004
Ten nations, mostly from the former Soviet Union or Soviet Union bloc,
join the EU (listed in order of joining): Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary,
Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia. This brings EU
membership to twenty-five countries.
2007
Bulgaria, number twenty-six, and Romania, number twenty-seven, join the
European Union.
2008
The worldwide financial crisis happens.
xlvi Chronology
2011
South Sudan gains its independence from the Republic of Sudan.
2013
Croatia joins the European Union, bringing the number of nations to
twenty-eight.
2014
Scotland votes not to be independent and leave Great Britain.
2016
Great Britain votes to leave the European Union, in a process known as
Brexit. Twelve nations sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership: Australia, Bru-
nei, Chile, Canada, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam, Malaysia,
Mexico, Japan, and the United States.
2017
President Trump withdraws the United States from the Trans-Pacific
Partnership.
2018
Canada, Mexico, and United States agree to a new trilateral trade agree-
ment to replace NAFTA (as of this writing, the agreement has not been
passed by the U.S. Congress). The eleven remaining members of the Trans-
Pacific Partnership sign the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement
for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) pact.
NOTES
1. William Shakespeare, As You Like It, Act 2, Scene 7, Lines 139–66.
2. Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations (London: W. Strahan and C. Cadell, 1776).
3. David Ricardo, On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation
(London: John Murray, 1817).
4. Sandra Kollen Ghizoni, “Creation of the Bretton Woods System,” History of
the Federal Reserve History.org, accessed January 13, 2019, 2013, https://www
.federalreservehistory.org/essays/bretton_woods_created.
5. “History of the United Nations,” United Nations, accessed January 13, 2019,
http://www.un.org/en/sections/history/history-united-nations/.
1
Economic Rules of the Global Economy
The global economy involves pretty much the entire scope of what is
known in the world of economics. To understand the global economy, it is
important to first understand the characteristics that every economy has
in common. While there are differences between economies, some quite
extreme, there are also similarities. All economies play by the same six
basic economic rules. As you will soon see, they interpret them differently,
but the rules are the same. Before we hone in on the key economic con-
cepts that create the global economy, let us first take a look at what each
economy and every citizen has in common.
1
2 The Global Economy
quite minor, while others can be very major. They all have one thing in
common: economics.
Each individual on the planet, including you, has a level of natural, labor,
or capital resources available for their use. We will elaborate on these
shortly, but for now, it is important to know that the amount of these
resources available to you is limited. It may not seem like it now, but what
you want to do with your resources far exceeds the availability of your
resources to do them. You and your seven billion fellow earthlings all have
the same economic problem: scarcity.
Scarcity forces us to make decisions. We always want more than our
resources will let us. It is true for individuals, and it is also true for nations.
All nations large and small have a limited amount of resources for their
use to produce goods and services for their citizens. As a society, they have
to make economic decisions about how to allocate the natural, labor, and
capital resources of their nation. This idea will have greater significance for
us later in the chapter when we begin our discussion of trade. The impor-
tance of making wise decisions with our resources is Rule #2.
Scarcity and decision-making are the result of limited resources. Before
we journey farther, we need to further expand our understanding of the
resources. Resources come in three types: human resources, natural
resources, and capital resources. Let us take a moment and look into each
of these three.
Human resources is a fancy term for labor. Each of us has access to labor,
our labor. Early in the history of mankind, all labor was unskilled. All
humans were hunters and gatherers. As history progressed, individuals
learned special skills, and specialization evolved. Specialization led to divi-
sion of labor, interdependence, and different skill levels for different jobs.
As skill levels became more differentiated, so did the need for different
levels of education. A key component of today’s global economy is the spe-
cialization and education necessary to participate in it. How different
economies use their labor is a later story.
Natural resources are the resources from nature. Natural resources are
considered anything that comes from underneath the ground, is grown
and comes from the ground, or is a product of the ground. Commodities
such as oil, copper and other minerals, and gold are examples of natural
resources underneath the ground. The farmers’ crops used to feed cows,
wheat or corn milled to create flour for bread and other products, and cat-
tle for meat products are examples of natural resources.
The air we breathe and water we use in the production of goods and
services are also natural resources. This brings us to the issue of the qual-
ity of our natural resources. As our global economy grows and options for
goods and services increase, quality has become more of an issue. Natural
resource quality will be an issue we will explore later in our journey.
Economic Rules of the Global Economy 3
so also do the decisions of nations. Are the farmers in the nation growing
corn or wheat? Are they using horse-drawn plows or tractors? Every choice
a nation makes to allocate its resources, it is giving up the opportunity to
allocate it elsewhere.
Decisions have an immediate trade-off as well as future consequences.
Consequences can be positive and negative. Years ago, there was a televi-
sion show called Truth and Consequences. Since the premise of the show
gave the term “consequences” a negative connotation, the word has since
usually been associated with bad or negative actions or results. There are,
however, also many positive consequences to decisions.
Some consequences are intended. Other consequences are surprises. It
is the unintended consequences of decisions that make the news. The deci-
sions of nations are no different with regard to consequences, both intended
and unintended. The opportunity cost of a nation’s decisions is a cost in the
present. Consequences are the future costs and/or benefits of decisions.
When nations make decisions as to how to allocate their resources,
there are both trade-offs immediately and consequences in the future.
Whether it is how a society utilizes its labor, natural resources, or available
tools, for every political, economic, or civic decision, there will be a trade-
off with future consequences. The consequences of a nation’s decisions
could be positive, negative, or a combination. Often, those decisions are
determined by the incentives in their use. This brings us to Rule #3.
Property Rights
A fundamental institution of a democratic nation and market economic
system is the right of private individuals to own property. Property can be
owned either privately or publicly. Private property like homes, farms, fac-
tories, and business buildings is owned by individuals, companies, and
essentially any nongovernmental person or organization. Government
entities like schools, public libraries, parks, and government offices at all
levels are examples of publicly owned property. The rights of citizens to
own property differentiate economic systems. That right of the individual,
however, is only valid if society has a political component with a credible
court system.
Rule of Law
An additional institution that involves the courts is rule of law. Rule of
law is the idea that the courts treat everyone the same. Every citizen within
a nation has the same rights under the law. Rule of law is missing from
nations with court systems under government control and those that sup-
port only a few powerful and influential individuals. Notice the close con-
nection between rule of law and credible court system.
6 The Global Economy
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
Economic systems, along with the political and civic systems of a soci-
ety, provide the landscape in which we live. Economic systems define the
organizations and institutions of a society. As Rule #4 above states, eco-
nomic systems define the incentives by which individuals act. The eco-
nomic system in which we live determines the freedom and level of
economic activities we will experience. Most importantly, the economic
system of a society defines the level of international and global economic
participation in the global economy.
Economic systems are defined by how society answers three basic eco-
nomic questions. The first is, “What will be introduced?” When society
answers this question, it is allocating its resources. What goods and ser-
vices will be produced within the nation’s economy?
The second question, “How will it be produced?” This question addresses
how the nation’s resources will be economically used. Will the resources of
Economic Rules of the Global Economy 7
TRADITIONAL ECONOMY
The traditional economy has answered the three questions the same
way for generations. Customs, traditions, and family ties determine the
type of labor a young person will pursue. They determine the mix of goods
and services that an individual and family will have access to, and these
are generally are only those needed for daily survival. Traditional
economies do not exist in many places in the world today. There are a few
that have been cut off from other economies by geography, weather, or
other natural barriers. Others choose to remain tradition by custom.
Portions of the Aboriginal tribes in Australia, the Kayango tribes of
Namibia, or the Mbuti Pygmies of the Congo are examples of traditional
economies.
The more a traditional economy remains the same, the less it grows.
Traditional economies, by definition, do not have much economic growth.
They do not innovate, nor do we see entrepreneurial efforts within a tradi-
tional economy. Their tools of production are the same tools used by their
great-great-great grandparents and even longer in the past. Given their
constraints, traditional economies are not participants in the global econ-
omy. Little, if any, of our further discussions on the global economy will
apply to these economies.
COMMAND ECONOMY
Our global economies today are covered in the next three ways the basic
economic questions are answered. The command economic system is a
system in which the basic economic questions are answered by a central
8 The Global Economy
authority, usually an agency of the government. The popular term for this
type of economy is “socialism.”
In a command economy, all the resources (land, labor, capital) are
owned by the state. The state determines the what, how, and for whom to
benefit the leaders. The questions are answered to create a state that fits
their definitions and philosophies. The government is in total control of
the economy. We will discuss this political-economic interdependence
shortly.
If you lived in a pure command economic system, you could not choose
your career. You would go to school for some years and take a national
exam or two, and the government would then assign you to a career and
determine how you would make a living. The government would own the
factories, farms, homes, and businesses. The government would set the
wages you would earn and would determine the goods and services you
could purchase as well as the prices you would pay.
Pure command (pure socialist) economies are rare in today’s global
economy. Some domestic economies that participate in the global econ-
omy have leanings toward pure socialism, but they would not be defined as
pure command economies. We will expand on these shortly, but what
many call socialism today is not pure socialism.
“Socialism” is a popular term that has been adopted today by many poli-
ticians, journalists, and commentators to signify a shift toward more gov-
ernment spending. Pure socialism, command economy, is government
ownership of the nation’s resources. Most who use the term today, how-
ever, are using “socialism” to define increased income redistribution, not
necessarily government taking over ownership of the nation’s resources.
That can certainly be a step towards pure socialism, one we will explore
further. How these discussions unfold both politically, and amongst the
nation’s citizens goes a long way in determining a nation’s role and partici-
pation in the global economy.
MARKET ECONOMY
If we consider the command economy as one far side of the economic
systems spectrum, the market economy is the other far side. All the com-
mand economy’s characteristics are reversed. Private individuals, busi-
nesses, or organizations own the nation’s economic resources (land, labor,
capital). The government has no role in the economy (or almost no role).
The interactions between the buyer and seller answer the who, what, and
for whom of an economy. The market economy is based on Rule #5 that
voluntary exchange (trade) creates wealth.
A hallmark of a market economy are private property and private prop-
erty rights. Individual private ownership of a nation’s resources provides
Economic Rules of the Global Economy 9
many incentives to use the resources wisely and efficiently. Unlike the
command economy example, in a market economy, you can decide what
you would like to do as a career. Of course there are levels of education,
training, and experiences necessary for some professions (doctors, for
example), but you decide on your profession, not the government. Remem-
ber we mentioned earlier that the institution of private property rights is
only as credible as the court system upholding the laws. There is a role for
government in a market economy.
Market economies are major players in the global economy. The incen-
tives of a market economy and private ownership of the resources also
includes innovation, invention, and entrepreneurship. The freedoms of a
market economy incentivize individuals to be creative, to invent new prod-
ucts and processes, and to share their new tools or ways of doing some-
thing, business or otherwise, with the rest of the world. Market economies,
like market forces, are the force of the global economy.
Again as with the command economy, there are not many pure market
economies in the world today. Many economies today have some compo-
nent of a market economy. We will elaborate on these distinctions shortly.
It is also important to notice the political-economic interdependence once
more, even in market economies. That both ends of our economic spec-
trum need politics, although in different ways, leads us into a discussion of
our next and most realistic economic system.
MIXED ECONOMY
Most nations of the global economy ultimately function somewhere
between the command economy and the market economy. They answer
the who, what, and for whom questions in concert with their political and
civic systems. We will explore these connections shortly. Let us use nations
to best illustrate the various types of mixed economies. At the time of this
writing, those nearest the command economy profile would include North
Korea and Venezuela. Both North Korea and Venezuela could conceivably
be considered pure command economies, but for discussion purposes, we
are giving them the benefit of the doubt that some market economy char-
acteristics exist.
Moving away from command economies are those still mostly influ-
enced by command economy with political characteristics. Cuba is com-
mand except for approximately two hundred jobs in which they allow
some market incentives and characteristics. China is unique in that while
it has adopted many of the market economy characteristics, it has also
retained many command economy characteristics. We will discuss this
paradox in detail shortly, because it gives us a lot of information about how
and why China has become such a major player in the global economy.
10 The Global Economy
NOTES
1. Ian Bremmer, The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between
States and Corporations (New York: Penguin, 2010), 54.
2. “2019 Index of Economic Freedom,” Heritage Foundation, accessed Sep-
tember 12, 2019, https://www.heritage.org/index/ranking.
2
Global Economy, Politics, and Culture
The global economy today is very complex with many moving parts, both
economic and noneconomic. Before we leave this discussion on economic
systems, it is important to understand how they exist relative to the soci-
ety as a whole and their role in a nation’s global economy participation. We
need to understand how all the global economy’s moving parts work
together. Only then can we understand our complete role as an economi-
cally educated citizen.
The economic systems of the global economy do not operate in a vac-
uum. An economy’s participation is influenced by their society’s political
and civic systems and those in other nations. Political systems, civic sys-
tems, and economic systems are all interdependent on each other’s phi-
losophies and actions. Institutions discussed earlier, such as property
rights and the incentives of a society, are ordered by the interdependent
coordination of all three systems.
Political systems are either determined by the people or rule the people.
Free elections, a credible court system, the rule of law, and a democratic
form of government define political freedom. Or, the political system is
controlled by a dictator who determines elections, controls the courts, and
rules over the people with an iron hand of the law. Each of these political
systems has an economic system that pairs with it nicely, the other not
so much.
The other system of society is its civic society, which determines the
level of freedom for an individual. Freedom of press, freedom of religion
11
12 The Global Economy
DICTATOR-SOCIALISM-PERSONAL FREEDOM
This combination would not be a viable model. A political dictator
demands total control over all aspects of the society and its nation. Abso-
lute political control would include ridding themselves of all the opposi-
tion. It would be natural for a dictator to demand a command economy to
control all the resources. Civic freedoms do not fit a dictator’s control, so
all civic freedoms would be eliminated and punished. In 1989, Chinese
students protested the lack of personal freedom and were quickly and
firmly dispersed by the communist government.
DICTATOR-CAPITALISM-PERSONAL FREEDOM
We have already discussed why personal freedom will not work for the
dictator. For the same reason, capitalism too will not work. The charac-
teristics of a market economy (freedom and interaction of buyers and
Global Economy, Politics, and Culture 13
economic questions. Different from the fascists, the communists own the
nation’s resources, including businesses, farms, and homes.
Any attempt to change the status quo is generally met with force and
eliminated. North Korea is a prime example of this combination, as is Ven-
ezuela. The current situation in Venezuela is a prime example of how com-
binations change. It has not been that long ago that Venezuela was
Democratic-Capitalism-Personal Freedom. Now it is none of those, and its
participation in the global economy has changed as well. No country is
immune to change.
DEMOCRACY-SOCIALISM-PERSONAL FREEDOM
Using the command economy definition of socialism, this combination
does not work. As democracy and personal freedom bring freedoms to the
society, economic freedom would be expected as well. There are several
countries, however, that fit this combination, if we use today’s definition of
socialism as income redistribution. These countries, even with significant
income redistribution, could be meaningful trading partners in the global
economy. Political debates and rhetoric often suggest that this is the direc-
tion of the United States.
DEMOCRACY-CAPITALISM-PERSONAL FREEDOM
This final combination is the perfect scenario for a totally free society.
Hong Kong and Singapore lead the nations in providing all three freedoms.
Representative government, market economy, and civic freedoms are a
way of life and are also supported by a credible court system that protects
property rights and the rules of the game for both the buyer and the seller.
For all the discussions and rhetoric in today’s world, the United States,
Japan, the European Union, and the United Kingdom exemplify this com-
bination. Many other nations, such as Sub-Saharan African nations, are
pursuing this combination with varying degrees of success. As nations
move toward this combination, they move closer to being participants in
Global Economy, Politics, and Culture 15
the global economy. Interestingly, as some have moved from this combina-
tion (Brazil, Ecuador, Egypt), they have become more insular, and their
global participation has reduced.
It is important keep these political, economic, and civic combinations
before us and for us to remember that for a nation, participating in the
global economy is more than an economic gesture. Remember that all
choices have costs in the short term and consequences in the long term.
This most definitely applies to political, economic, and civic systems of a
society and their role in the global economy.
3
Gains from Trade
A favorite hobby for many of us is collecting. If you are into sports, you
may collect trading cards of your favorite baseball, basketball, soccer, or
football players. You may collect Harry Potter figurines or Lego movie
characters. Have you ever traded an item from your collection to obtain a
new item for your collection? When you did trade, which of you was better
off after the trade? As with most trades, both of you were better off, or why
would you have traded at all?
The same holds for nations. It is time to shift our direction and explore
why trade is such a good thing for nations. Have nations always traded?
Why is it so important for nations to trade? To answer these questions, we
need to pause and go back to our earlier history lesson. If you remember,
prior to the eighteenth century, nations used the mercantilist system.
Nations would not trade their goods but would sell them to other nations
for gold, silver, or other precious commodities. Economic growth was a
zero-sum game. Each time the nation sold, it won, and each time it bought,
the nation lost. Then in 1776, the world of global trade changed forever.
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE
In 1776, Adam Smith’s An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the
Wealth of Nations1 was published. In Wealth of Nations, Smith advocated
two extremely novel ideas for his era. One was specialization, and the
other was division of labor. Remember that this was just at the beginning
17
18 The Global Economy
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
David Ricardo had read the writings of Adam Smith and began writing
on his own ideas about the economy. In 1817, he published the On the Prin-
ciples of Political Economy and Taxation.3 In his work, Ricardo goes one
step beyond Smith, suggesting that even nations without an absolute
advantage in the production of a good can participate in the global econ-
omy. By two nations comparing the opportunity costs (trade-offs) of pro-
ducing two goods, they could then determine that each country could be
more efficient in producing one good then the other, produce that good,
and trade for the other.
By comparing the opportunity costs of producing a good, nations deter-
mine their comparative advantage. Introducing the idea of comparative
Gains from Trade 19
In Smith’s terms, the United States has absolute advantage in both, and
trade most likely will not occur for these two products. They may trade for
other products but not for skateboards and bicycles. David Ricardo’s com-
parative advantage, however, creates another outcome. Even though France
does not have absolute advantage producing either product, it does pro-
duce skateboards more efficiently than it produces bicycles (five to one).
Remember our earlier discussion on opportunity costs. Opportunity
cost is the key measure in determining comparative advantage. While
France does not have absolute advantage, it does have lower opportunity
costs in producing skateboards. Since it gives up less of its resources, this
creates an opportunity for France to participate in trade with the United
States for bicycles. Let’s see how this works.
France can produce ten skateboards if it does not produce bicycles (it
transfers its resources from producing one bicycle to five more skate-
boards). The United States already produces ten skateboards, so together,
the two nations can produce twenty total. To make up for France’s loss of
one bicycle to produce skateboards, the United States needs to produce at
least one more bicycle for both nations to gain from trade. Since the United
States has absolute advantage in both products, it has several options for
both nations to be better off.
One option is for the United States to produce only eight skateboards.
This allows it to switch its resources for one more bicycle. Both nations
now have eighteen skateboards and six bicycles, more skateboards with the
same number of bicycles.
The second option is for the United States to produce only six skate-
boards for a total of sixteen skateboards and seven bicycles; both countries
still gain from trade.
France produces skateboards and then trades skateboards with the
United States for bicycles. The United States can produce fewer skate-
boards and transfer its resources into the production of other domestic
goods, including more bicycles if the market demands more bicycles.
France is now a player in the global economy. The United States can now
refocus the use of its resources into more bicycles to trade or increase pro-
duction of other goods for domestic consumption.
Comparative advantage gives all nations an opportunity to participate
in the global economy. By comparing their advantages to each other, both
countries can participate and gain from trade. The global economy has
more skateboards and bicycles. Trade is a win-win for everyone.
These deliberate actions to halt the global economy are the next topic of
our journey.
NOTES
1. Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations (London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell, 1776).
2. Instead of just reading about Smith’s pin factory in the Wealth of Nations,
we suggest you explore it personally at Adam Smith Works, “The Pin Factory,”
https://www.adamsmithworks.org/pin_factory.html. This website is a project of
the Liberty Fund.
3. David Ricardo, On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation
(London, John Murray, 1817).
4
Protectionism and Standards
Most economists would tell you that the best trade is free trade. They would
also agree about fair trade. Free trade is self-explanatory. Fair trade is much
more subjective. Each country views fair trade differently. Politicians and
special interest groups often believe another country is imposing unfair
trade practices. When trade interferes with the jobs, utilization of the
nation’s scarce resources, or both, politicians and special interest groups
band together to limit free trade. The global economy becomes political.
When a politician’s electorate or a special interest group views trade as
unfair, politicians get involved. Protectionist measures are used when one coun-
try has a different view of trade. Politicians have many tools to restrict trade.
We will explore four major tools here: tariffs, quotas, subsidies, and embargoes.
Before we get into the specific tools of protectionism, there is one term
often used we need to introduce. “Economic sanction” is a popular term
referring to a government-imposed protectionist measure against another
country. Economic sanctions are trade or financial restrictions against
another country. Tariffs and quotas are generally instituted against spe-
cific goods and services and the trade between countries.
ECONOMIC SANCTIONS
Tariffs
In its simplest term, a tariff is a tax on a nation’s imports, those goods
and services that come into a country from another country. Until the
23
24 The Global Economy
Quotas
A quota is both different and the same as the tariff. A quota is a limit on
the amount of imports. It is not a tax like a tariff. Like tariffs, however, a
quota raises the domestic price.
Depending on the goal of the government, a quota may be a more effec-
tive protectionist tool. Quotas emphasize the quantity, or supply, of the
product. A tariff does not limit the supply. If the foreign country pays the
tariff, there is no limit to the quantity it can import. A quota places limits
on what can come into the country.
There is one significant difference between the quota and the tariff. The
tariff, being a tax, generates revenue for the government. A quota does not
generate that revenue for the government. The two main winners of a
quota are the domestic and foreign producers. They both receive the addi-
tional revenue from the higher price, not the government.
An important likeness to the tariff, however, is that both tariffs and
quotas raise the price for consumers. Regardless of whether it is a tariff or
quota, the consumer pays.
Protectionism and Standards 25
Subsidies
A subsidy is the protective sanction policy that addresses an industry of
the domestic economy. Subsidies generally result from the political efforts
of a special interest group. The U.S. government applies subsidies to vari-
ous domestic products from farm subsidies for sugar and corn for ethanol
production, dairy exports, and housing.1
Tariffs and quotas are sanctions instituted on the imports of a foreign
good or service. Subsidies are government policies to support domestic
industries. Subsidies on a product lower the production costs so that the
domestic industry can charge a price lower than the world price. The lower
price serves as a barrier to keep foreign competitors from being able to
participate in the domestic market.
Embargoes
Like the other protectionist tools, embargoes are most generally used by
developed nations for economic/political reasons. An embargo differs
from tariffs, quotas, and subsidies in one major way. The previous three are
limits but not total restrictions. An embargo is a total restriction. It is
comparable to a country having a No Entry sign on its borders. Embargoes
are 100 percent prohibitions on a product or service from entering a coun-
try. Embargoes are the severest and most punitive of the protectionist
tools.
Infant Industry
A second reason governments impose economic sanctions is to protect
new domestic industries, known as “infant industries.” This reason is most
often used by developing countries to protect and allow their new indus-
tries to compete in the global economy. In our global economy, interna-
tional mergers and acquisitions are fairly common. Developing country
governments fear that larger companies from developed countries may
interfere with their industry’s ability to participate or even survive.
National Security
One purpose of every government is the national defense and security
of the nation. If a particular industry is necessary for defending the nation
and its citizens, governments may move to protect their national defense
interests. Such industries include military jets and weapons, technology
specific to national security, or transportation or communication that
benefits protecting their borders and citizens.
Intellectual Property
An issue often in today’s news is a nation protecting its media and arts,
including music, movies, books, and software technology. Protecting one’s
culture is very important to most nations. The United States is a giant in
the arts and media and is very protective of its outlets. The United States
spends a great deal of resources to protect those arts and media industries
created here in the United States. Other nations often protect their arts
against being overwhelmed by the size of the U.S. markets in these areas.
Retaliation
When Country A imposes a tariff on specific goods of Country B, Coun-
try B most likely will retaliate with their own tariffs on certain Country A
Protectionism and Standards 27
goods. The retaliation usually leads the two countries to discussing a “fair”
trade settlement for both countries.
There are times when the two countries do not agree to a settlement.
Stalemate discussions can lead to trade wars. In 1930, the consequences of
the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act led to global retaliations. The result was a
basic shutdown of global trade and heightened the severity of the Great
Depression. As of this writing, certain agreements have been achieved
to deter the implementation of economic sanctions. President Trump
threatened tariffs on Canadian goods if an agreement to revise NAFTA
were not achieved. An agreement was arrived at, and the tariffs were not
implemented.
Dumping
A form of retaliation is when a country (Country A) tries to sell its prod-
uct in another country (Country B) at a price lower than it cost to produce
the product. This is known as “dumping.” You may have seen this term
used in the media. According to global trading rules established by the
World Trade Organization (see chapter 7), dumping is illegal. The abused
country (Country B) has the right, according to the WTO, to impose its
own protective measures to protect its domestic industries of the same
product.
Economic Rent
Another consequence to the economy is what economists call “eco-
nomic rent.” Economic rent is the idea that a person, company, or industry
can increase profits or economic gain without doing anything productive
to earn the gain. Instead of being more productive or efficient in producing
their good or service, they employ lobbyists to encourage politicians of the
need for economic sanctions against their foreign competitors. A sanction
is imposed, the price goes up, and the industry earns more profits. They
earn profits without changing the way they do business. They receive eco-
nomic rents paid by the consumer.
Lack of Innovation
When trade wars close off economies, they close it off to more than for-
eign goods and services. Since industries are earning economic rents, they
Protectionism and Standards 29
Labor
To a politician, a laborer is also a voter. As we mentioned earlier, pro-
tecting a domestic job is high on a politician’s agenda. Labor standards are
arguably the most popular of protectionist standards. There are several
ways labor standards are imposed as protectionist or trade policy issues.
One labor standard that may be included is a restriction on child labor.
30 The Global Economy
Environment
Another popular standard often promoted by special interest groups of
the richer nation is protection of the environment. They fear that the
poorer nations will have less restrictive environmental standards for facto-
ries and production facilities and that therefore businesses will find those
locations more attractive for their facilities and relocate, taking both jobs
and resources. Economists who have researched this issue have found that,
generally, less environmental standards are not enough of an incentive for
businesses to relocate to the poorer nation. They continue to remain, how-
ever, an issue that trade negotiators need to address.
they gain from trade. Nations gain from trade, but they also at times have
reasons for desiring to protect their domestic industries. Nations need to
know to what extent they are benefitting from their economic partner-
ships with other nations. In our next section, we will explore how nations
measure their participation in the global economy with a closer look at the
United States.
NOTES
1. Kimberly Amadeo, “Government Subsidies,” The Balance, January 17, 2019,
https://www.thebalance.com/government-subsidies-definition-farm-oil-export
-etc-3305788.
2. Ana Swanson, “Trump to Impose Sweeping Steel and Aluminum Tariffs,
New York Times, March 1, 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/01/business
/trump-tariffs.html.
5
Measuring the Global Economy
It is important for nations to know how global trade has benefited their
citizens, businesses, and communities. To do so, every nation measures
their global transactions with what is known as a “balance of payments,”
which provides an accounting of a nation’s trade of goods and services as
well as capital transactions that have occurred between nations. In this
chapter, we are going break down each of the components and explain the
way each measure impacts the global economy.
Before we get into the specifics, let’s discuss a few details about the U.S.
balance of payments. One, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), an
agency in the Department of Commerce, creates the U.S. balance of pay-
ments. The BEA provides much more information than just on the United
States in the global economy. For our purposes, however, we are exploring
the BEA only in terms the global economy.1 Two, the balance of payments is
calculated and presented quarterly. Three, unlike other government data
that is static, the balance of payments is based on net calculations. A net cal-
culation is the balance of inflows and outflows. Because of these net calcula-
tions, the balance of payments never really balances. We will explain shortly.
There is another, very important detail regarding the balance of pay-
ments and international accounting. It is very important to remember that
the interactions, while measured as a nation, are actually between indi-
viduals and companies of other nations. Nations themselves do not trade.
The balance of payments measures the global actions of individuals and
companies.
33
34 The Global Economy
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
The balance of payments has three components: current account, finan-
cial account, and the capital account. The current and financial accounts
are the most important of three accounts. The capital account is the most
minor of the three and is often so small that it is not discussed. We will do
likewise. We will focus on the current account, the financial account, their
components, and their relationship to each other relative to a country’s
participation in the global economy.
Current Account
The current account primarily measures the flow of goods and services
going out of the country (exports) and those coming into the country
(imports). The difference between the two is known as the balance of trade.
Earlier, we discussed how politicians try to protect domestic jobs. The bal-
ance of trade is often used as a predictive measure of domestic jobs
(exports) versus foreign competition (imports). We will discuss this fallacy
later. For now, know that the balance of trade is a net metric, measuring
the difference between the two. The balance of trade is arguably the most
popular international measure. Along with exchange rates, which we will
discuss in the next chapter, the balance of trade is a favorite international
measure of the media.
The current account also measures net investment income flows. There
are U.S. citizens who have investments in other countries. They earn
income on those investments and bring their earnings back into the United
States. The income earned outside the United States and then brought
back and spent or saved here adds to the U.S. domestic economy. There are
foreigners, conversely, who own investments in the United States. These
foreigners earn income on their U.S. investments and take it to their own
country. This income leaves the United States and is not spent or saved
here. It is important to know what income earned within the United States
will not be spent or saved here as well.
The third component of the current account is a very small component
compared to the balance of trade and investment income accounting. It is
for unilateral transfers, one-way transfers of money to other countries.
U.S. aid to other countries would be an example of a unilateral transfer,
where the United States provides funds to another country without any
stipulation for the other country to pay it back. As we mentioned and will
see shortly, this is a relatively small global component.
You can see why the current account is so popular with the media, as it
measures those recent (“current”) global transactions that are important
to the domestic economy. This is also why it is one of those economic
Measuring the Global Economy 35
FINANCIAL ACCOUNT
When companies participate in the global economy, they intend to be
paid for their goods or services if exporting and to pay if they are import-
ing and receiving goods or services. The accounting of net money flows
between nations occurs in the financial account.2 The financial account
also has three components. As we discuss these components, remember
that we are using net and not gross data. The financial account measures
the flow of asset values and not the stock of asset values.3
When we use the term “assets,” we are referring to a tangible item with
value. Assets measured in the financial account include both property and
investments such as factories, office buildings, land, stocks, bonds, and any
type of bank account in a foreign bank. Shortly we will make a finer dis-
tinction between assets.
The first component of the financial account is the change of the foreign
asset values of assets owned by U.S. citizens or U.S. companies in other
lands. Earlier in the current account, we referred to investment income
being earned by U.S. citizens returning to the U.S. and foreigners earning
income in the United States and returning to their country. The same is
true of owning assets in a global economy. There are U.S. individuals who
own assets in foreign countries and foreigners who own assets here in the
United States. The first component of the financial account measures the
net change in value of the assets that U.S. citizens own in other nations.
The second component measures the net change in asset values of U.S.
property owned by foreigners.
Within both components, there are three main types of investments in
which financial exchanges between nations occur. One financial exchange
is the flow of stocks, bonds, and money within financial institutions. These
investments are known as “foreign portfolio investments” (FPI). The other
investments are when companies build factories, buy foreign company, or
own real estate in a foreign nation. These investments are known as “for-
eign direct investment” (FDI). Whether a nation receives FPI or FDI is
often a very important criterion to a nation’s overall economic stability.
Why is the difference between FPI and FDI important? Whether indi-
viduals and companies in other nations are investing in FPI or FDI is very
important to a nation. This is especially true of nations trying to be global
36 The Global Economy
investments, they are quite complicated for the average person to under-
stand, and trading them is quite complex. Derivatives became very popu-
lar in the 1990s and into the twenty-first century. Since the trading of
derivatives has been a global phenomenon since 2006, the BEA has
attempted to capture their value with this line item.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
As mentioned earlier, we are not going to discuss the capital account in
detail. Since it is one of the three components of the balance of payments,
however, we should at least define it. Like the financial account, it mea-
sures the net or flow of accounts between nations. Briefly, the capital
account is the net change when certain types of assets are transferred from
one country to the other. Examples of capital account transfers include
military or state department assets as well as when migrants take money
to their homeland or a nation forgives another’s trade or financial debt. As
it is such a small amount, for simplicity, we will consider the capital
account zero and focus on the relationship between the current and finan-
cial accounts.
account debit). The domestic companies pay for the imported goods with
money (financial account debit).
To summarize:
• Exports (credits) – Imports (debits) = Net trade
• Money flows to pay for exports (credits) – Money flows to pay for
imports (debits) = Net financial flows
• If net trade is positive, net financial flows is negative.
• If net trade is negative, net financial flows is positive.
This interdependence equality of values exists only in theory. The BEA
balance of payments needs to deal with reality.
STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY
Before we view a real-life example of a U.S. balance of payments
accounting, we need to address one more aspect of the balance of pay-
ments. Since the balance of payments measures the net changes of the
domestic economy’s participation in the global economy, the value of the
current account and the value of the financial account should be equal but
an opposite sign. When one of the accounts is positive (+) the other is neg-
ative (−). The reality of measuring net changes is that the two will not be
equal at any given point in time.
The BEA, therefore, adds one more line item to the balance of payments,
known as the “statistical discrepancy.” The statistical discrepancy mea-
sures the difference between the current and financial accounts so that in
the balance of payments, as its title suggest, the credits minus the debits
equal zero.
(continued)
40 The Global Economy
Table 5.1 (continued)
(Seasonally
adjusted, Q3, 2018)
Line (Millions of dollars)
Statistical discrepancy
100 Statistical discrepancy 92,966
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, https://www
.bea.gov/system/files/2018-12/trans318.pdf.
balance of payments. Zeroing the capital account, as we did earlier, did not
significantly alter our earlier observations. The negative trade balance often
mentioned in the media is reflected here in the difference between exports
and imports. Take note of the various categories. In the next chapter, we
will focus on “Line 75, Reserve Assets” and its subcategories “Monetary
Gold,” “Special Drawing Rights,” and “Reserve Position in the International
Monetary Fund.”5 Finally, notice the statistical discrepancy to balance the
balance of payments.
NOTES
1. We encourage you to spend some time and explore the Bureau of Economic
Analysis website at www.bea.gov.
2. The difference between gross and net can be substantial. Gross is the total
amount without subtracting any amount from the total. Net is what remains after
subtracting something from the gross amount. Using the terms here, the financial
account adds monies received (gross) but then subtracts monies sent to other
countries, resulting in net amount.
3. Gross and net also align with stock and flow—stock with gross and flow
with net. To help distinguish between a stock measure and a flow, think of the dif-
ference between a picture and a video. A picture captures one moment in time
(apologies to the network that likes that phrase), as does a stock measure. A video,
however, captures events through time, as does a flow measure.
4. CIA Factbook, “Venezuela,” CIA, accessed February 14, 2019, https://www
.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ve.html
5. Reserve assets are comprised of Lines 75 to 83. These three categories are
Lines 76, 77, and 78. They are not shown here.
6
Global Financial Systems: Exchange
Rates and Exchange Rate Systems
When you use money to buy an item at the local store, you use our domes-
tic currency, the U.S. dollar. The money was earned at your job, as an
allowance, or maybe a birthday or holiday gift. Using dollars is probably
something you do not think much about it. It is a fairly straightforward
transaction.
Transactions between individuals or companies from different coun-
tries in a global economy get a bit trickier. If the two countries have differ-
ent currencies, a second transaction is now involved. Since the selling
company would like to receive payment in its home currency, the buying
company needs to convert its home currency to the selling company’s cur-
rency. This second transaction occurs through exchange rates and
exchange rate systems. Exchange rates are determined based on the
exchange rate system of an economy.
EXCHANGE RATES
As you get ready for school, check out one of the morning television
business shows. It is a fairly certain that at some segment of the program,
they will announce the current exchange rates of the more popular cur-
rencies. These are the currencies used most often throughout the global
economy (we will discuss why these currencies shortly).
43
44 The Global Economy
Exchanging Currencies
Whether the exchange rate is flexible and fixed determines how much
one receives when currencies are exchanged. If the exchange rate is fixed,
Global Financial Systems 45
the value of exchanging one currency for another is, as the term implies
already, established. In our earlier example, if the dollar exchange rate of
two euros is fixed, you will receive two euros for your dollar regardless of
what is going on in either home economies or the global economy.
Exchanging currencies in a flexible exchange rate system is more com-
plex. Since flexible exchange rates are dynamic, they are constantly in flux,
increasing or decreasing in value based on relative home economy strength
or weakness and the global economy. This dynamic characteristic of flexi-
ble exchange rates can be a problem for a business or even an individual.
Depending on the length of time it takes to complete a transaction, a
business could be exposed to exchange rate risk. During the time of the
transaction, changes in an economy could alter an exchange rate, poten-
tially costing a business its profit from the transaction. Granted, the busi-
ness could also gain if the change was in their favor, but the other company
would lose. Many companies on both sides of the transaction are willing to
lock in an exchange rate and not take that chance.
They can lock in the exchange rate with a forward exchange rate, a con-
tract value predetermined in the forward market. This market predeter-
mines a future value so that both parties of the transaction know the
exchange rate at the time of the product’s future delivery. With a forward
exchange rate, the exchange rate risk of the transaction is minimized at
the worst, eliminated at best.
When you are traveling to another country, you will also need to
exchange dollars for the currency of your destination. As a tourist or busi-
ness traveler, you usually have several options. First, if there is a larger
bank nearby, you can visit it and convert your dollars to the currency of
your destination, based on the exchange rate of the day known as the “spot
market exchange rate.” The bank may charge a small transaction fee. You
will have your new currency and are good to travel. The other option is to
wait and convert your dollars in the other country. Since you are exchang-
ing currencies on the spot, exchange rate risk is not an issue.
Since flexible exchange rates are dependent on the supply and demand
of the currency, their value can be quite volatile (Figure 6.1). When the
demand for the currency increases, it results in an appreciation of the
value. A currency appreciates when its value (price) goes up. When
the central bank of a country increases the supply of the currency, it
results in a depreciation of the currency’s value. The currency depreciates
when its value (price) goes down. When currencies appreciate and depre-
ciate, they can have consequences on both the home economy and global
economy.
Notice a currency depreciates when either its supply increases or its
demand decreases (Figure 6.2; R to R1). The supply may increase when
holders of the currency decide to sell their currency in the currency
46 The Global Economy
$/€
S
R S1
R1
D1
Q1 Q Q€
dollar’s value versus the euro goes up (appreciates), the value of the euro
must go down (depreciate). Instead of two euros to buy one dollar, it now
takes three euros. The dollar is more valuable against the euro, which
means that, by definition, the euro is worth less (depreciated). Likewise, it
now only takes thirty-three cents to buy a euro. Always remember that
when one currency appreciates, the other depreciates.
Commodity-Based
The most popular commodity-based fixed exchange rate system is the
gold standard. A gold standard infers that a nation has enough gold on
reserve to match the value of the dollars in circulation. A simple example
of a gold standard would be if the nation’s money is valued at ten dollars
per ounce, for every ten dollars in the economy’s circulation, they need one
ounce of gold in reserve at their central bank or some other bank deposi-
tory. If they want to increase the amount of money in circulation, they
need to buy more gold and increase their reserves.
The United States was officially on a gold standard for most of its hist-
ory until the Great Depression and World War II. President Franklin Roo-
sevelt took the United States off the gold standard during the Great
Depression. During World War II, the United States needed to spend more
money to build war materiel then it owned in gold. Following World War
II, the U.S. exchange rate system took another modification.
Global Financial Systems 49
Anchor Currency
In today’s modern global economy, the more popular fixed exchange
rate system is where the home currency’s value is fixed to a second cur-
rency, or anchor currency. Most developing and some transitional econo-
mies use this type of exchange rate system. Most of these fixed exchange
rate systems use the dollar or the euro as their anchor currency, since the
United States and Europe, respectively, are often their major trading
partners.
The nation’s government or central bank sets the value of an anchor-
based currency exchange rate system. To maintain a stable currency, gov-
ernments or central banks need to retain a sufficient ratio of anchor
currency reserves to the home currency in circulation. The government or
central bank’s set fixed value is often based on the needs of their domestic
economy. If the ratio of anchor currency reserves and supply of domestic
currency gets too far out of balance, problems arise.
In today’s global economy, this can often lead to a contradiction between
what is best for the domestic economy and how they participate in the
global economy. One fixed value is best for the nation, yet another value is
best for their global participation. We will return to these issues later.
50 The Global Economy
Monetary Unions
Some countries may group together and create a monetary union. These
single currency areas band together and establish a common exchange rate
system. Single currency areas are not exactly exchange rate systems, but
they do change the currency landscape for the global economy. In joining
together with a common system, they reduce the number of currencies in
the global economy.
The largest single currency area is the European Monetary Zone. The
EMZ includes over three hundred billion European citizens in nineteen
countries (there are twenty-eight countries in the European Union). The
European Union has a central bank, the European Central Bank (ECB),
which makes the monetary policy decisions for all the nations of the Euro-
pean Monetary Union. As a nation, the forfeiture of monetary policy
power is one of the major drawbacks of a single currency area.
Take note that the EMZ and the EU are not the same. The twenty-eight
nations of the European Union focus around trade, open borders, and freer
movement of capital and labor between the nations. The nineteen EMZ
countries are those nations who use the euro as their currency. Not all EU
members use the euro. Britain, for one, was a EU member but maintained
the British pound as its domestic currency. With Brexit ahead, this of
course will change. Bulgaria, Denmark, Poland, and Sweden are examples
of EU nations who use their own domestic currency and do not belong to
the EMZ.4
A second single monetary zone is the West African Single Monetary
Zone (SMZ). This single currency has been in the making for over twenty
years. Even now it is not a reality. The fifteen nations involved have agreed
for its implementation to begin in 2020 (about the time for publication of
this book).5 We will be discussing this SMZ in a bit more detail during our
conclusion on future issues.
FINANCIAL CRISES
When an economy reaches a breaking point, the domestic financial sys-
tem usually experiences a crisis, and the value of the economy’s currency is
usually a casualty. When a currency loses value, it is often a difficult road
to restore it to the original precrisis value. This is a key reason why it is so
important for central banks and governments to protect their currency
Global Financial Systems 53
devalue the currency. The result is that the currency depreciates relative to
other currencies.
A second type of devaluation is when a flexible exchange rate is deval-
ued by the central bank. Earlier, we defined depreciation as an increase in
the supply of the domestic currency, which lowers the value of the cur-
rency. When a central bank deliberately increases the domestic money
supply, it is devaluing the currency. Depreciation is the result, as the cen-
tral bank changes the dynamics between the supply and demand of the
currency.
In the opposite way, central banks or governments can revalue or
increase the value of their domestic currency. A revaluation for a fixed
exchange rate occurs in exactly the same fashion as devaluation. The cen-
tral bank or government decides to raise the value of their currency and
does so by edict or law. A central bank can revalue a currency by contract-
ing the money supply, thereby creating an appreciation of the exchange
rate.
NOTES
1. “How Does China Control Exchange Rates?” FXCM, accessed June 25, 2019,
https://www.fxcm.com/uk/insights/how-does-china-control-exchange-rates/.
2. “Zimbabwe inflation hits new high,” BBC News, October 9, 2008, http://
news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7660569.stm.
3. See the Banco Central de Venezuela at http://www.bcv.org.ve/.
4. For a closer look at each of the countries that use the euro and those that do
not, visit European Commission, “EU Countries and the euro,” https://ec.europa
.eu/info/business-economy-euro/euro-area/euro/eu-countries-and-euro_en.
5. Tahiru Azaaviele Liedong, “Could West Africa Introduce a Single Cur-
rency?” CNN: The Conversation, August 8, 2017, https://www.cnn.com/2017/08/08
/africa/single-currency-west-africa/index.html.
7
The Organizations That Influence
the Global Economy
57
58 The Global Economy
trade dispute, each of the nations will first assess the global economy
against their domestic economy. Nations will impose their sovereignty as
an independent nation first and concern themselves with the global econ-
omy second.
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD)
Most of us are familiar with the United Nations. In 1945, the United
Nations was created in the aftermath of World War II. The primary role of
the United Nations when it was formed was to maintain world peace. In
the years since, it has expanded into other areas of the global landscape.
For our discussion, the most relevant expansion is the UN Conference
on Trade and Development created in 1964. While it also has an office in
New York along with the United Nations, UNCTAD’s main office is in
Geneva, Switzerland. It also has an office in Addis Abba, Ethiopia. UNC-
TAD is part of the UN Development Group organized under the UN Sec-
retariat. UNCTAD is independent in that it has its own membership and
budget. UNCTAD focuses on trade and development, finance and invest-
ment, technology, and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG).
UNCTAD provides much of the statistical data and analysis of the
trade and economic development occurring within the global economy.
UNCTAD provides us with over 150 different economic indicators and
data sets going all the way back to 1948, shortly after the United Nations
was created. Collected from both countries and international sources, the
statistical data is very diverse. According to the UNCTAD website statis-
tics (https://unctad.org/en/Pages/Statistics/About-UNCTAD-Statistics.aspx),
the organization’s areas of focus include the following:
• International trade
• Economic trends
• Foreign direct investment
• External financial resources
• Population and labor force
• Commodities
• Information economy
• Maritime transport1
Their work heavily focuses on trade and development in the developing
countries around the world. Their membership includes 195 nations
around the world, including the United States.
The Organizations That Influence the Global Economy 59
subsequent retaliation tariffs by other nations had all but brought global
trade to a standstill. World War II was just one more reason for the global
economy not to exist.
Now these reasons for global isolation were about to end. Leaders around
the world did not want another period of global isolation and were ready to
do something about it. In preparation for the formal end of World War II,
representatives from forty-four nations gathered for a UN conference in
Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to design a global environment that
would avoid the pitfalls of those prior to World War II that had caused or
deepened the Great Depression. If you like history, there a some very good
books on this period surrounding the end of World War II and the Bretton
Woods Conference. We will identify a couple for you in the bibliography.
Out of the Bretton Woods Conference came the infrastructure for a
new global economy. We discussed the new Bretton Woods exchange rate
system in the last chapter. There were also two new organizations created
in Bretton Woods and a consensus for need of a third. We will begin our
discussion with the one organization that can trace its direct creation to
1944 and Bretton Woods.
The International Monetary Fund was officially created in 1945. “The
Fund” was established as a way to create financial and currency stability in
a postwar era. During the war, currency instability was common, as
nations spent money and then spent more money on warplanes, tanks,
armaments, and military clothing and supplies to defeat the Germans and
other Axis nations. The new Bretton Woods exchange rate system was cre-
ated along with the IMF to prevent further devaluations.
IMF Today
It has now been some seventy years after the IMF’s creation; its mission
and global responsibility have evolved, and the IMF is now one of the key
international organizations. Today’s primary mission is to safeguard the
stability of exchange rates and international payments in order to create a
positive global environment for trade and investment. Membership in the
IMF has grown from those 44 nations in New Hampshire to 189 nations
today. The mission now focuses on assisting nations to be financially sta-
ble, promoting ever-expanding global trade, and working to bridge trade
between nations.
Teams of IMF economists track the global economy to ensure that the
member countries have stable currencies, their balance sheets are in good
order, and their reserves of anchor currency are sufficient to maintain a
fixed exchange rate. When nations have financial troubles, it is often for
one of the last two reasons. This usually happens to smaller economies
with fixed exchange rates that have tried to grow too fast.
We discussed financial crises in the last chapter. If the holders of the
domestic currency do not have faith the anchor currency reserves, a rush
to turn in the domestic currency for the anchor currency may result. This
is when economies crash. A classic example of this was the overly rapid
growth of Thailand at the end of the twentieth century, when there were
more Thai bahts (Thailand currency) in circulation than there were U.S.
dollars (the anchor currency) to cover the given exchange rate at the time.
The IMF stepped in to support the Thai baht in an attempt to squelch the
currency run. In this case, it spread to other countries, and a world conta-
gion erupted. The IMF was kept very busy.
When the IMF is called into a situation as they were in Thailand or
more recently Greece, they have an obligation to monitor both the interna-
tional monetary system and the monetary system of its member nations.
Prior to entering a crisis, the IMF is known for identifying a list or series of
steps the country in crisis must implement before receiving IMF funding
or service assistance. This conditionality is often a point of debate by both
economists and politicians.
Once a member nation accepts the conditions of the IMF, they are in a
position to receive a loan to alleviate their balance of payments issues. The
loan may be used to stabilize their domestic currency, rebuild their
reserves, pay for imports, or implement additional economic growth poli-
cies. Loans from the IMF are often widely publicized in a negative light by
the media.
These are often the challenges of developing countries. Developing
nations often owe more for their imports than they receive for their exports.
Over time, these deficits grow into a major problem. The developing
64 The Global Economy
nation often needs assistance from either its trade partners or the IMF to
pay for its imports. One of the IMF’s roles that is less well known but just
as critical is working with a government to help update their economic
policies or institutions.
The nations agree to pay a quota subscription as part of their IMF
membership. Most of the organization’s resources come from the quota
subscriptions. The United States is the largest quota subscription payer
of the members. The size of each country’s subscription is roughly
based on their influence and impact on the global economy, which
means that the United States is the largest payer. Gold is also an import-
ant component of some country’s reserves. The IMF, therefore, has gold
holdings. They are one of the world’s largest holders of gold reserves.
When necessary, the IMF also has the ability to borrow for short-term
shortfalls.
An interesting aspect of IMF governance is the voting procedure. Most
of us are accustomed to the idea that one member per organization gets
one vote. It is not so with the IMF. In the same way that the quota sub-
scription amount is determined by a nation’s position in the global econ-
omy, so is the voting. The number of votes for each member essentially
corresponds to the size of their quota subscription. The United States is
the largest and most influential economy, so they pay the most in quota
subscription. In return, they also receive the most votes to cast for IMF
reforms or policy changes to the IMF structure.
World Bank
The second organization that is a direct descendant of the Bretton
Woods Conference is the World Bank. In 1944, it was originally called
the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, or IBRD. The
IBRD became the World Bank, which is now part of what is officially the
World Bank Group. Use of the word “bank” is a bit of a misnomer.
The World Bank is not a bank in the normal sense of the word. It is not a
bank for individuals. This bank is a membership of nations designed to
support economic development and poverty reduction within the globe’s
poorest nations.
The Bretton Woods conferees knew that without a formal international
mechanism to rebuild Europe and Japan, their economies and cultures
may never recover. As part of the Bretton Woods Agreement, the World
Bank was established with the original charge to provide loans and assis-
tance to help rebuild Europe and Japan after World War II.
Once the reconstruction phase of IBRD was completed, the develop-
ment part of its mission began. During the 1950s, the world was returning
to a new, fresh normal, thanks in large part to the efforts of what is now
known as the World Bank. In the mid-1950s, the World Bank turned its
attention to the countries of the developing world with the creation of the
International Finance Corporation (IFC).
With the IFC, the World Bank’s focus turned to major infrastructure
projects in developing nations, such as dams and water treatment, electri-
cal grids, water and irrigation systems, and roads and bridges. The World
Bank changed its policy to now make loans to private companies and other
financial institutions located in developing countries. This was a major
turn in its mission. The modern World Bank was beginning to evolve.
The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was still
intact as a component of an increasingly expanding World Bank. It would
not be a stretch to claim that the genesis of today’s World Bank Group
began with the creation of the International Development Association
(IDA) in 1960. The IDA was created to provide interest-free loans to the
poorest countries in order to improve their infrastructure. These two
organizations formed the World Bank.
The focus of the World Bank took another major shift toward the
development and growth of the globe’s poorest countries. Another major
goal of the World Bank became the fight against poverty, especially in the
nation’s poorest countries.
In future years, the International Centre for Settlement of Investment
Disputes was created as a pseudointernational court. This provided nations
and companies with disputes with each other an avenue to pursue an
equitable dispute conclusion over loans, projects, and other World Bank
66 The Global Economy
projects and investments. The other component of the World Bank Group
to be created was the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency in 1988.
This agency, as the name suggests, was a way for nations and borrowers of
World Bank funds to have political risk insurance for funding and proj-
ects. Political risk insurance protects investors from having their projects
taken over because of a change in a nation’s government by an authoritar-
ian dictator. The modern World Bank Group was now reality.
1995, the World Trade Organization was created to implement GATT and
other global trade policies. The World Trade Organization was instrumen-
tal in creating a global system of trade. Since the end of World War II, with
first the creation of GATT and later the WTO, global economic growth
has never been higher.
In 1999, the euro was introduced to the world. At this time, all mone-
tary policy from the participating central banks was shifted to the Euro-
pean Central Bank. For most of the domestic economies of Europe, their
trading partners now transacted business in euros only. From a financial
point of view, trading in Europe became much easier.
Bank of England
One of the oldest central banks is the Bank of England. It has only been
a central bank since 1946 when it was nationalized. Prior to 1946, the Bank
of England was a private bank like any other; shareholders owned the bank,
and the goal was profits. Even though the Bank of England has been gov-
ernment owned since 1946, it was not until 1997 that it was truly a central
bank with the responsibility of setting monetary policy.
As the European Union was developing during the 1970s to stabilize
exchange rates, it established the European Exchange Rate Mechanism
(ERM). The United Kingdom joined the ERM in 1990 with every expecta-
tion of being a full member of the European Union. Then a British
The Organizations That Influence the Global Economy 73
financial crash with high interest rates forced the United Kingdom to
withdraw from the ERM. In 1999 when the euro was introduced, the
United Kingdom maintained the British pound as their domestic
currency.
Comparable to the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, the Court of
Directors is responsible for setting monetary policy and financial stability
for the United Kingdom. The use of the British pound as an anchor cur-
rency for some nations’ fixed exchange rate and its use in international
trade makes the pound sterling one of the world’s reserve currencies.
The Bank of England is headquartered in London. The queen or king
nominates the members of the Court of Directors from recommendations
from the prime minister, and one member is selected as chair. The Bank of
England acts independently of the government, but they do report to Par-
liament several times a year.
Bank of Japan
Until the economic rise of China, South Korea, and the Asian Tigers in
the Pacific Rim, the Japanese economy was the Pacific economy’s main
economic factor. Even though the Japanese economy may no longer be on
the front pages, the most important currency in the Pacific is still the Japa-
nese yen. If financial stability in the region is dependent on the yen, then
the Bank of Japan, Japan’s central bank, is still the most important central
bank in Asia.
As with all central banks, the goals of financial stability and setting
monetary policy apply to the Bank of Japan. The Bank of Japan is also
directly responsible for maintaining an appropriate exchange rate and
value of the yen in the global economy. Given its importance in the global
economy, the yen is also one of the reserve currencies many nations need
in reserves for trade. The Bank of Japan is responsible for making sure that
the money supply of yen reflects a confidence in the currency in world
markets.
For over a decade or longer, the Japanese economy has been deflation-
ary. In a deflationary economy, prices, wages, and all asset values actually
lose value over time. Like a slow leak of air out of a tire, the economy
deflates or shrinks. As a result, relative to interest rates in other countries,
Japanese interest rates have been relatively low. This has led Japan to be the
focus of a financial tool called the “carry trade.” A carry trade is when an
investor borrows Japanese yen at the lower interest rates to then invest in
the higher-yielding interest rates in another country such as the United
States.
The Bank of Japan is one of the oldest central banks, created in 1882. It
is located in Tokyo.
74 The Global Economy
NOTES
1. “About UNCTAD Statistics,” UNCTAD, accessed July 2, 2019, https://unctad
.org/en/Pages/Statistics/About-UNCTAD-Statistics.aspx.
2. “Financial Statements,” BIS, accessed July 2, 2019, https://www.bis.org
/banking/balsheet.htm?m=4%7C21.
3. “Reporting Currency,” BIS, accessed July 2, 2019, https://www.bis.org
/banking/bank_reporting_currency.htm.
4. To read more about the functions of the WTO, go to “What We Do,” World
Trade Organization, accessed July 2, 2019, https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e
/whatis_e/what_we_do_e.htm.
5. To read more about the Doha Development Agenda, you can go to “Doha
Round,” World Trade Organization, accessed July 2, 2019, https://www.wto.org
/english/tratop_e/dda_e/dda_e.htm.
6. Like the Fed the ECB has other tasks and responsibilities that are not rel-
evant to our discussion on the global economy. To read more about the European
Central Bank visit “About,” European Central Bank, accessed July 2, 2019, https://
www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/html/index.en.html.
8
International Rules, Trade Agreements,
and Trade Unions
If you want to drive a car, you need a license. If the police catch you driving
too fast, you get a ticket for speeding. If the police catch you taking some-
thing that is not yours, you are arrested for stealing. It is against the law to
not pay for an item. It is against the law to sell certain items. It is against
the law to sell items in certain regions. Whether there are too many laws
or which laws are good and which ones are bad is another story for another
day. Laws govern our world at all levels of government and society. Laws
and regulations provide us a civil society. The same is true of our global
economy.
You have a local police, a county sheriff, a state police, and the national
FBI to keep you safe and ensure that you obey the laws. If you do not obey
the laws and one of these law enforcement agencies catches you, there are
consequences. In the global economy, there are rules, regulations, and
treaties nations agree to obey. Each organization has their own set of rules
they enforce. In reality, between the organizations discussed in the previ-
ous chapter and a few we will include here, there are many more rules of
the global economy than we can possibly cover in our relatively short
space.
Just as we have several different levels of laws and rules and respective
levels of enforcement, so does the global economy. The key difference
between the two is that domestic enforcement is generally by geography,
77
78 The Global Economy
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
International Monetary Fund
In the last chapter, you were introduced to the IMF, created in 1945 dur-
ing the Bretton Woods Conference to finance rebuilding after World War
II. Beginning with 44 members, today it has evolved into a lender of last
resort to assist its 189 members when they find themselves in a financial
crisis because of unstable exchange rates or lack of reserve currencies (dol-
lar, euro, yen, or pound). Once the IMF is asked to intervene in a crisis, it
International Rules, Trade Agreements, and Trade Unions 79
IMF Conditionality
We briefly introduced IMF conditionality in the previous chapter. This
is the term that refers to the stipulations the IMF puts on a government in
order for them to receive a loan. These stipulations can be almost any-
thing, but there is one list of criteria they often refer to when determining
the conditions of a loan. Let us not get too far ahead of the story; we will
return to these criteria shortly. For now, we know that the list is going to
include economic reforms that will impact the financial system, the
exchange rate of the domestic currency, or the level of reserves being held
by the nation’s central bank. Another consideration is that the borrowing
nation will be financially able to repay the loan.
IMF loan programs also include the police component of the loan. Every
loan includes a monitoring process to be sure that the borrowing nation is
abiding by the terms of the loan and implementing the conditions set forth
in the loan package. Remember that the borrowing country has two aspects
of the loan they need to consider: advancing the IMF conditions for the
loan and repaying the loan. In both, the IMF is watchful and prominent
until their conditions are met and the load repaid.
sound fiscal and/or monetary policies. They permit nations to rectify bal-
ance of payments problems that have been created with trading partners,
exchange rates, or reserve currency deficiencies. The IMF can bring finan-
cial relief to a nation’s balance of payments and do so in a way that the bor-
rowing nation can afford to repay the loan.
The ten key conditions known as the Washington Consensus3 are the
following:
1. Fiscal deficits relative to GDP should be minimal. Governments bor-
row only what is absolutely necessary.
2. Public spending should promote economic growth and should be used
on infrastructure such as education, health care, roads, and bridges.
3. Tax reform policies need to be implemented that expand the tax base
with marginal tax rates implemented.
4. Nominal interest rates should be market driven and positive.
5. A flexible exchange rate should be implemented so that the currency is
competitive in the global economy.
6. Also regarding the global economy, the nation’s trade policies should
promote open trade and not conduct protectionist policies such as tar-
iffs and quotas.
7. More foreign direct investment for their domestic economy should be
promoted.
8. If necessary, the nation’s commanding heights, such as railroad trans-
portation, oil and gas production, and steel production, should be
privatized.
9. More competitive domestic markets should be created.
10. The system of property rights and rule of law should be established.
As you notice, most of these focus on macroeconomic policies. The
IMF’s focus is on assisting developing nations to become active partici-
pants in the global economy.
In the 1990s, after significant criticism that the ten rules were not suc-
cessful for some nations, the IMF made some modifications to the IMF
conditions. In 2002, the guidelines were revised, and the Washington
Consensus ten were made less important. The IMF became more adapt-
able in identifying the structural issues of a nation, and the conditions
became more individual and less boilerplate. In 2009, the IMF changed
again in its efforts, focusing more on prevention in their conditions. Today
the IMF is more willing to work with the nation in crisis to develop a plan
of conditions that best fits their needs to cure the crisis as well as to pre-
vent future crises through the program review process.
The year was 1947. World War II was now history. The Bretton Woods
Agreement was being implemented in order to create a more a stable and
secure global economy. One goal that remained was to create a set of global
trade rules and institutions for the nations to promote more open trade
and create a structure for settling trade disputes as they arose. Negotia-
tions to create such a document were heated and often contentious. This
was especially true between the United States and United Kingdom. Both
were positioning as leader of the global economy. The United States wanted
a principle of “most favored nation” included in the agreement.
In retrospect, MFN seems a fairly obvious principle for a document try-
ing to create a peaceful, open global economy. World War II was still too
fresh in everyone’s minds. MFN would mean that a member nation would
have to treat all members equally. If it wanted to have a special agreement
with one nation, it must have the same agreement for all nations. In the
minds of many government leaders in Europe, nations like Germany, Italy,
and Japan were still the enemy. The United States prevailed, and GATT
became the trade law of the new global economy.
This was not, however, the way it was supposed to happen. There was
supposed to be an international organization to administer GATT. In 1947
in Havana, Cuba, shortly after signing GATT, a UN conference on trade
and employment created a charter to establish the International Trade
Organization. The United States Congress would not ratify the ITO charter.
The United States having the influence it did essentially put an end to the
ITO, and as a result, GATT was an agreement without an organization.
The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade was the multilateral trade
law of the global economy until 1994, when the WTO was created. The
bases of GATT’s rules were twofold. The first is that all nations are treated
the same. A nation could not discriminate against another nation regard-
ing trade practices. The United States, as a signatory of GATT, has to apply
the same trade rules to China and Europe exactly the same. The second is
that all products within a nation are treated equally. All cars whether they
are imports or exports must be treated equally.
Between 1948 and 1994, the global economy grew and expanded signifi-
cantly. The quantity of goods exported and imported by countries grew
exponentially. The number of countries joining the global economy (and
becoming members of GATT) grew significantly. GATT was responsible
for a significant reduction in tariffs and trade protectionism around the
world. Over forty-five thousand tariff concessions were agreed to in the
first year alone. GATT was on its way to be the road map to global free
trade.
There have been nine GATT Rounds since 1948. We will not go into the
details of most of them. The first of two was held in Geneva (it is known as
Geneva I) with twenty-three participants. As we have noted, the Uruguay
International Rules, Trade Agreements, and Trade Unions 85
Round from 1986 to 1993 established the WTO. The current GATT Round,
is Doha, which began in 2001. This most recent round has 153 members,
reflecting the growth of the global economy and increased number of
participants.
During the GATT years, there were very few changes to the agreement.
In the 1960s, GATT expanded to include developing nations. In the 1970s,
GATT extended its efforts beyond tariffs and into other forms of trade pro-
tectionism as well. As the GATT Rounds were held during these years, the
nations constantly negotiated among themselves to liberalize trade. In later
rounds, GATT addressed the issue of dumping with an Anti-Dumping
Agreement.
If you remember from chapter 4, dumping is when a country exports a
product to another country and sells it below the cost of producing that
product. By selling at such a low price (and below production costs), it gives
the foreign product an unfair competitive advantage. The lower price
forces the domestic producers of the same product to lower their price to
compete. The lower price forces the domestic companies to take a loss or,
worse, go out of business, because they can no longer compete in the
domestic market. By signing the Anti-Dumping Agreement, nations agree
not to condone this behavior. Unfortunately, it still happens. We will take
yet another look at dumping in the next chapter.
As the name suggests, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade was
a trade agreement. The WTO created an expanded set of rules, regulations,
and procedures for its member nations to abide. With the WTO, the global
economy now has a set of rules for trade in services, rules for intellectual
property, and expanded ways for nations to settle disputes. The global
economy is much more complex and intricate than it was post–World War
II, and GATT and the WTO have grown with a growing global economy.
United Nations
We are going to shift our focus to an international organization that has
many facets to its existence. When it comes to the rules and regulations of
the global economy, we must devote some space and time to the United
Nations. In chapter 7, we explored one component of the United Nations
that is directly involved with the global economy: the UN Conference on
Trade and Development. In this chapter, we need to address the United
Nations from another perspective: international law. Distinguishing
between international law for the global economy and international law
regarding peace and war can sometimes get blurred.
Bretton Woods was a conference on the global economy (remember, it
was officially a UN conference), yet its genesis was a war. Bretton Woods
ended with an agreement, not a treaty. Treaties create rules. There are
86 The Global Economy
TRADE AGREEMENTS
Trade between nations, arguably, has been the number one peacetime
activity of the global economy. Often it is difficult to distinguish nations’
actions as either economic or politic. At times, one helps the other, and at
other times, the reverse is true. An often-overused cliché in economics is
that good trading partners do not go to war against each other because
economic compatibility is more important than political differences. Later
we will discuss the accuracy of that cliché, but it works for us now.
Before we explore a few specific, more relevant trade agreements, we need
to discuss the many different types of trade agreements that are being nego-
tiated and signed virtually every day. Worldwide, there are over 420 different
regional trade agreements determining global economic trade.5 Trade agree-
ments come in basically three forms. Bilateral agreements are those between
two nations. Multilateral agreements involve more than two nations. Some
multilateral agreements are regional trade agreements expressly for the pur-
pose of benefitting trade in a specific designated region of the world.
Two regional trade agreements directly impact the western hemisphere:
the North American Free Trade Agreement and the Central American
Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA). A revised NAFTA (United States-Mexico-
Canada Agreement) has been agreed upon, but it still has potentially sig-
nificant political hurdles before it will replace NAFTA. We will explore its
revisions and differences with NAFTA in more detail later in the book. For
now, however, let us take a look at the two key trade agreements that
impact North America and South America.
The United States has a series of treaties with nations specifically for
investments. These are bilateral investment treaties (BIT). As the name
suggests, these are treaties between two nations for the express purpose of
private investments in each nation. Essentially a BIT has two main func-
tions. First, the BIT is to protect investors’ rights if they are not protected
in another bilateral or multilateral agreement between the nations. This
does not mean that BITs protect the success of the investment. Second,
BIT focuses on nations adopting market-oriented business practices.
The United States has BITs with many countries around the world. If
you are interested, you can view the list at tcc.export.gov/Trade_Agree
ments/Bilateral_Investment_Treaties/index.asp.
preserving and progressing the African culture and social life, but they
knew that they needed to expand their horizons and become global part-
ners in the global economy. A new agreement was needed to reflect this
expanded vision. The African Union was officially implemented in 2002.
The African Union currently has fifty-five member states of the African
continent. Its headquarters are in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
The key difference in wording between the Organization of African Unity
and the new African Union agreement is the inclusion of being a “dynamic
force in the global arena.”6 Much like the European Union, the African Union
has both economic and political reasons for its existence. On the economics
side, the African Union reflects the new focus of being active participants in
the global economy while at the same time protecting their domestic econo-
mies. We will explore Africa’s future when we look at future issues of the
global economy. Africa most definitely deserves our attention to the future.
Agenda 2063
It was important for all the African nations to create a new environment
of economic growth and economic development. Signed in 2013, Agenda
2063 is a long-range strategic plan to transform the African continent into a
major participant in the global economy. The major goals of the agenda
include self-rule, freedom and democratic governance, unity of nations, eco-
nomic progress through global integration, and prosperity for all of Africa.
For these nations, changing their internal focus to a global one was not
going to be easy. The fifty-year time frame was a deliberately developed by
the African leaders, as they knew that what was needed was not going to
happen in the short term.
The agenda stressed the need for improved infrastructure, better peace
and harmony among the nations, gender equity, and youth empowerment.
The leaders emphasized growth and investment in agriculture, health, and
education, along with transportation and communication infrastructure.
All of these take years to achieve. The leaders knew that globalization of
the continent was needed and the time to begin was now.
The ultimate goal of the ACFTA is to more fully integrate the African
nations in both trade and economic development. It is also, however, to
retain the sovereignty rights of each member. An interesting idea for the
African nations is that ACFTA promotes the freedom of individuals to
move among the nations. Remember that it was not that long ago that the
nations were each isolated from the rest of the global economy. This objec-
tive is a vast departure from Africa’s past.
The major economic sectors ACFTA focuses on are agriculture, food
security, manufacturing, and industrialization of the region, with the
aforementioned focus on infrastructure building. The ACFTA also takes
aim at the reduction of tariffs, quotas, and other trade and investment bar-
riers that might stifle progress toward Agenda 2063.
The ACFTA addresses several political issues. It stresses the importance
of international security as the member countries progress toward more
international trade as well as democracy and rule of law, long a seldom-
achieved political goal for most of the African nations. The agreement also
addresses the political-social issues of human rights and gender equality.
Between the African Union and the ACFTA, Africa as a group of nations
is poised to ascend as a significant and influential partner of the global
economy in the twenty-first century.7
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
The final global piece of the trade story is countries joining each other
to create trade associations, generally with geographical commonality. A
few of the trade associations use the term “cooperation” to define their
trade relationship. With a trade association, the nations involved maintain
their political sovereignty but forfeit their economic sovereignty for the
good of the whole. Trade associations are usually one step beyond a trade
agreement. Examples of trade associations include ones who include the
nations from Southeast Asia (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and
one West Africa (Economic Community of West African States).
One group, referred to as the BRICS nations,8 created a trade and devel-
opment group based on their common interests in building their econo-
mies. These nations build on each other’s strengths, have created their own
development bank, and continue to transition their economies to join the
developed nations of the global economy.
NOTES
1. The number of international rules, regulations, and laws is voluminous. In
order to maintain some civility and keep our conversation focused, we are going
International Rules, Trade Agreements, and Trade Unions 95
to devote our journey to a few major areas of rules and the way that organizations
enforce the rules and settle disputes between nations.
2. This is not a real number! It is made up to make the point that the IMF is
the last to be called when financial events are all but hopeless.
3. Economist John Williamson first used the term in 1989 when he worked at
the World Bank. The IMF, World Bank, and others now use this set of recommen-
dations in working primarily with the developing countries.
4. There are many intricacies to the TRIPS Agreement. If you would like to
read more about TRIPS, go to https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/trips_e/trips
_e.htm.
5. Joe Myers, “The World’s Free Trade Areas–and All You Need to Know
about Them,” World Economic Forum, May 6, 2016, https://www.weforum.org
/agenda/2016/05/world-free-trade-areas-everything-you-need-to-know/.
6. Chris Giles, “44 African Countries Agree Free Trade Agreement, Nigeria
Yet to Sign,” CNN Online, March 23, 2018, https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/22
/africa/african-trade-agreement-world/index.html.
7. Ibid.
8. The BRICS countries are Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. Jim
O’Neil of Goldman Sachs first used the term “BRIC” to represent Brazil, Russia,
India, and China. The acronym stuck. The S was added when South Africa joined
the group.
9
Major Controversies of the Global
Economy
If you have a brother or sister, it is fairly certain there have been times
when you did not agree. The same is true in relationships with parents,
neighbors, friends, or just about anyone else in your life. Disagreements
abound within every country. The global economy is no different than any
relationship between two entities.
There are events that pull nations together and events that separate
nations. There are over 150 nations in the world today. There are times
when two countries or regions do not agree. As we explore a few of the
major controversies in this chapter, remember there are also many things
that bind nations together.
97
98 The Global Economy
The Bretton Woods conference is a prime example of how the two rela-
tionship types comingle. Officially a United Nations conference, Bretton
Woods was a conference on the global economy, yet its genesis was a war.
Bretton Woods ended with an agreement, not a treaty. World War II ended
with surrender but not a treaty. Earlier, World War I ended with a treaty.
There are economic treaties, some of which we will explore shortly. There
are also political treaties, such as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization,
or NATO. For now, it is enough to describe the different types of treaties.
As we conclude our journey, we will look at their interdependence.
There are partnerships where economic controversies and political con-
troversies are not comingled. Our economic agreement with Canada and
Mexico (NAFTA) does not include aspects of the three nations’ politics.
The U.S. economic and trade agreements with Europe, Japan, and a host of
other nations are devoid of political structural changes.
There are a few instances where one is dependent on the other. The most
notable example is the U.S. relationship with Cuba, which, since the Cuban
Revolution in 1959, has run from cold (no relationship at all) to at times
lukewarm (almost normal but not quite). Every U.S. president since 1959
has stipulated that economic relationships can normalize with Cuba only
after they change their political structure. It emphasizes again how com-
plicated relationships between nations can be.
Economic controversies are more prevalent in today’s global economy.
The most discussed controversies in today’s global economy are those that
arise over trade. These disagreements range from specific aspects of a
trade agreement, such as working or environmental standards, to entire
trade agreements and to the idea of trade itself.
Earlier, we mentioned trade treaties. As trade treaties and trade
agreements grow throughout the world in both number and complexity,
disagreements and controversies are all but guaranteed. We cannot
possibly explore all of them. Let us take a look at the controversies
whose outcome will most likely impact us personally and the United
States as a nation.
GLOBAL TRADE
Trade Agreements
The world of global trade is made up of many trade agreements. Most of
them are regional, and all involve advocating free trade. According to the
World Bank at the time of this writing, there are approximately 420
regional free-trade agreements worldwide.1 A few of them make worldwide
attention, while others go virtually unnoticed except to the nations
Major Controversies of the Global Economy 99
involved. We are going to focus on three that have been at the forefront of
media attention in the United States for the last few years.
Trans-Pacific Partnership
When President Trump withdrew the United States from Trans-Pacific
Partnership, it started an ongoing controversy between those who sup-
ported TPP and therefore opposed the president’s withdrawal and those
who were opposed TPP and thus supported the president. The controversy
continues today because of the geographical area involved (Pacific Ocean)
and the fact that we, the United States, were part of the pact and not our
Asia-Pacific competitor, China.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership is a regional free-trade agreement between
nations who have an interest in free trade across the Pacific Ocean. It includes
several nations on this side of the Pacific, including the United States, Can-
ada, Mexico, and Peru; nations from the other Pacific shore include Japan,
Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, New Zealand, Brunei, and Vietnam. Of spe-
cial note is the absence of China. Presidents Bush and Obama negotiated the
agreement, and President Obama signed it in 2016. Many considered it a
strong foothold into creating free trade in the Pacific. Others felt differently.
Even during the negotiations, the idea of such a multination regional
agreement had both supporters and opponents. When President Trump
withdrew in March 2018, the debate began in earnest, with President
Trump leading the opponents’ side of the argument, which focused on
three primary aspects.
First, the agreement stated the United States, Canada, and Japan would
give up tariffs for the dairy, beef, and poultry industry. This was a major
problem, since the United States significantly subsidizes the agricultural
industries. Second, the three countries also agreed to open up the automo-
tive industry, potentially costing the United States automotive jobs. Cars
and trucks, however, would have lower price tags in the United States.
Third, the agreement would have restricted the trade of tobacco, an indus-
try important to the U.S. south.
The majority of TPP supporters were businesses whose business model
included exporting products including the automobile, machinery, and
plastics industries. Interestingly, a benefactor of the TPP would also have
been the agricultural industry. The Trans-Pacific Partnership would have
increased exports, since it would have eliminated an estimated eighteen
thousand tariffs on U.S. exports to the other TPP nations. U.S. tariffs on
imports would have continued to be removed, so products in the United
States would also be less expensive.
A noneconomic selling point for the TPP was that China was not
included. Many considered this a major win for the United States in estab-
lishing an economic base in the Asia-Pacific region. In withdrawing from
TPP, the United States would lose that political advantage as well as the
economic advantages gained. The TPP trade area would have been larger
102 The Global Economy
than the NAFTA area. Many of the TPP supporters pointed that this was a
major victory for the United States in the global economy.
Even though the United States has withdrawn for now from the TPP,
the other nations moved ahead and created a second agreement without
the United States. In 2018, eleven of the original members signed a revised
TPP, the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific
Partnership (CPTPP). Seven countries have already approved the CPTPP
as of January 1, 2019.
China has expressed interest in joining the revised TPP agreement. If
China decides to join and essentially replace the United States, it would
take significant step in altering the economic balance of the global econ-
omy. President Trump has stated the United States would be willing to
rejoin with a “better deal.” The other nations seem content to move on, and
the U.S. debate continues.
within. One more example is controlling its currency. While the specific
ways China does this are not for this space, the controversy surrounding
that control is most certainly part of our discussion. China has a fixed
exchange rate system. The Chinese yuan is fixed to the U.S. dollar. Their
fixed rate, however, is often changed by China’s central bank. Given the
size and impact of the Chinese economy on the global economy, much of
the currency controversy revolves around the fact the exchange rate sys-
tem is fixed and not flexible.
As you remember, fixed exchange rate systems have an anchor cur-
rency, and the domestic currency’s value is fixed to the anchor currency.
Flexible exchange rates are, conversely, determined by the supply and
demand for the domestic currency, both domestically and globally. All the
major global economies have flexible exchange rate systems except one,
China, which manipulates their currency to keep it undervalued, resulting
in less expensive exports and more expensive imports. This imbalance is at
the heart of the China currency controversy.
This controversy with China could potentially go away completely. If
China would convert to a flexible exchange rate system with the other major
economies and currencies, this issue would solve itself. The marketplace for
Chinese yuan would determine its value. China does not implement a flex-
ible exchange rate because of the consequences. Under a flexible exchange
rate system, the demand on the renminbi would be significant. The size and
impact of the Chinese economy would cause the renminbi to appreciate,
resulting in increased prices of exports and decreased prices of imports.
The stress on China’s domestic economy would be severe. Interest rates
would rise, and consumer prices would be under substantial inflationary
pressure to increase. China does not see controlling its currency to be con-
troversial. They have chosen and continue to choose what is best of their
domestic economy over what might be best for the global economy. As the
global economy continues to evolve along with China’s increasing role,
there is certainly room for their attitude to change in the future.
Dumping
We will begin our discussion about a popular topic we discussed in
chapter 8. Governments often claim that they are dumping for political
purposes, but they are also protecting their domestic economy against
such actions. Dumping occurs when a company from one nation sells its
products in another nation below the price it would charge in its own
country. The other price is usually below the production costs. Companies
will do this in an effort to increase market share in the foreign market or
even to drive out competition when the competitors cannot compete at the
lower dumping price.
Dumping accusations are always confrontational. One nation accuses
the other of dumping a product, and the other nation denies it. Dumping is
usually only determined and resolved by a third party, the World Trade
Organization. The General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs includes an
antidumping agreement. When a company of a nation is accused of dump-
ing, it has to plead its case before the WTO. The WTO will determine if
dumping occurred. If not, the nation is exonerated. If so, the aggrieved
nation has the right to levy tariffs on the products on which the dumping
occurred. It is interesting that this is the only time when the WTO consid-
ers tariffs justified.
Trade Protectionism
Another set of issues that creates controversies are the different forms
of trade protection, which we addressed in detail in chapter 4. However,
106 The Global Economy
important priority. While clean water and air can improve their way of life,
they think more in microeconomic and personal terms than macroeco-
nomic terms or holistically as a nation. The same is true with child labor.
In many of these nations, education is not an option for some children,
who need to work for both them and their family to survive. Insisting on
imposing external environmental and child-labor standards on a develop-
ing nation causes an instant controversy and debate. Developing nations
are not against these standards. It is a matter of priority and ability.
Intellectual Property
The final controversy we are going explore is the controversy over intel-
lectual property. As with negative trade balance, it has been going on for
some time and appears to not have an end in sight. Much of the early con-
troversy centered on intellectual property piracy—the stealing of intellec-
tual works without compensation, permission, or credit. China is the
nation that has been most accused of intellectual piracy. They deny the
piracy, and consequently the controversy continues.
The WTO created the Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellec-
tual Property Rights, as discussed in chapter 8. Remember that many
Major Controversies of the Global Economy 109
NOTES
1. Joe Myers, “The world’s free trade areas—and all you need to know about
them,” World Economic Forum, May 6, 2016, https://www.weforum.org/agenda
/2016/05/world-free-trade-areas-everything-you-need-to-know/.
2. David Barboza, “China Says Abusive Child Labor Ring Is Exposed,” New
York Times, May 2008, https://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/01/world/asia/01china
.html.
3. Maria Bellos Fisher, “Toxic Toys: Tips for Choosing Safe Toys for Kids,”
Parent Map, February 2012, https://www.parentmap.com/article/toxic-toys.
4. It was estimated that Zimbabwe’s inflation rate reached 250,000,000
percent in 2008! Only after abandoning the Zimbabwean Kwatcha and adopting
the U.S. dollar did their inflation rate subside. In 2019, after returning to a new
Zimbabwean currency, it had already reignited to 98 percent. Without responsible
monetary policy, the form of currency is inconsequential.
10
The Influencers of the Global Economy
The idea of a global economy is relatively new. If you remember, back in the
introduction we discussed in detail the evolution of the global economy
from the earliest of civilizations. We consider that the global economy
began in earnest around the time of Marco Polo and his journeys to China
and call this the first era of the global economy. Marco Polo made his jour-
ney in the thirteenth century (1200s). Considering how many thousands of
years the world has been around and humans have existed on the earth,
eight hundred years is not that long. When you delete the periods during
that time when the global economy did not exist, the time of a global econ-
omy is even shorter.
During those some eight hundred years, many people were instrumen-
tal in the evolution of the global economy. Some of them we discussed in
detail in the introduction. We do not want to repeat ourselves. It is impor-
tant, however, that as we explore the individuals whose contributions to
history made the global economy grow and expand in breadth and depth,
we mention them here.
We will are going to make a quick review of some of the people impor-
tant to the global economy. Most of this chapter will focus on the modern
(since the 1700s) economists and political leaders whose insights and con-
tributions to economics and politics provided the background for today’s
global economy.
111
112 The Global Economy
EARLY EXPLORERS
Marco Polo
The first true era of the global economy began with Marco Polo and his
brother Niccilo. Marco and his brother made their travels to China during
the late 1200s. They were from Venice during a time when the city-state
was the main political unit. They became friends and confidants of China’s
Great Khan.
Marco was a writer and documented much of their travels. His Travels
of Marco Polo was a best seller in Europe. Many, however, considered it
fictional. History has been much kinder to the stories, and the brothers are
considered by many to be the first known global travelers.
Mercantilist Explorers
The introduction mentions a few of these explorers of the thirteenth,
fourteenth, and fifteenth centuries. While these explorers were sent off on
behalf of the European kings and queens for riches and wealth, they also
found many new routes to known lands and many unknown lands. Many
of these are going to be familiar to you. Some may not.
Prince Henry the Navigator was the first to consider a new sea route to
China around Africa for Portugal. We highlight him in the introduction.
Bartholomew Dias followed Prince Henry’s idea and was the first to sail
around southern Africa (the Cape of Good Hope). He also sailed for
Portugal.
Vasco da Gama completed Prince Henry’s dream and reached India by
sailing around Africa at the end of the fifteenth century. He also sailed for
Portugal. During the fifteenth and parts of the sixteenth century, Portugal
was the most powerful nation on earth.
Christopher Columbus, for the Spanish king and queen, was sure that he
could sail due west to reach India, under the theory that the world is not
flat. We know where his journey ended—in the islands of the Caribbean
and an entirely new land for the Europeans.
Hernando De Soto conquered and claimed much of South America for
the Europeans.
Amerigo Vespucci discovered the land of what is now Florida in search
of the Fountain of Youth. America is named after him.
Ferdinand Magellan died during the journey, but he is thought to be the
first European to sail around the world.
Vikings, as well as other groups like them, explored what is now north-
ern Canada and may have come as far south as the current New England of
the United States.
The Influencers of the Global Economy 113
ECONOMISTS1
Two economists who laid the economic foundations for the global econ-
omy are featured here.
Adam Smith
No conversation that includes economists of history would be complete
without at least some mention of Adam Smith. He is, after all, considered the
father of modern economics. The global economy changed forever in both
thought and deed with his publication of An Inquiry into Nature and Causes
of the Wealth of Nations in 1776. His writings on the benefits of trade along
with his antimercantilist stance and critique of mercantilism in the Wealth
of Nations changed the way that nations and individuals thought about trade.
Regarding the global economy, arguably his greatest contributions were the
ideas of absolute advantage, specialization, and division of labor.
Popular writing of Adam Smith relative to the global economy is An
Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. London:
W. Strahan and T. Cadell, 1776. Duflo and Banerjee, wife and husband,
were awarded the 2019 Nobel Prize in Economics.
David Ricardo
Following up on Adam Smith’s idea of absolute advantage, Ricardo
introduced the idea the all countries, big and small, rich and poor, could
participate in a global economy. His concept of comparative advantage was
based on the idea that if nations focus on comparing their opportunity
costs of production, they will find that they can both benefit by doing (pro-
ducing) what they do best and trading for those items where their oppor-
tunity costs are higher. While Smith was accurately promoting do what
one does best, Ricardo was went further by comparing costs of production.
In this way, all nations could gain from trade. Now the global economy had
an economic foundation on which all nations could participate.
Popular writing of David Ricardo relative to the global economy is On the
Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. London: John Murray, 1817.
114 The Global Economy
Here are some modern economists whose new ideas expanded our
understanding of the global economy.
Paul Krugman
In 2008, Paul Krugman was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for
his work on international trade. His work enhanced the earlier efforts of
Ricardo on comparative advantage. His ideas further explained how
nations could benefit from trade even when comparative advantage is not
so obvious. His work furthered the case for free trade and a global econ-
omy. Krugman also served in positions with the World Bank, International
Monetary Fund, and the United Nations.
Popular writings of Paul Krugman on the global economy include the
following:
• Krugman, Paul. “Does the New Trade Theory Require a New Trade
Policy?” The World Economy 15 (1992): 423–42.
• Krugman, Paul. “Increasing Returns, Monopolistic Competition, and
International Trade.” Journal of International Economics 9 (1979):
469–79.
• Krugman, Paul. Rethinking International Trade. Cambridge, MA:
MIT Press, 1990.
Joseph Stiglitz
Stiglitz has become known as the antiorganizations economist. Label-
ing him “antiorganizations” might be a bit strong. His more recent works
have been attempts to reshape key international organizations, the World
Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Stiglitz served as a vice presi-
dent of the World Bank. He left when he considered their work to be out of
step with more modern economic and trade theories. Stiglitz has the rare
honor of being recognized with two Nobel prizes. He was awarded the
Nobel Prize in Economics in 2001. Later in 2007, he was awarded the
Nobel Peace Prize for his work on climate change.
Popular writings of Joseph Stiglitz on the global economy include the
following:
• Stiglitz, Joseph. Freefall: America, Free Markets, and the Sinking of the
World Economy. New York: Norton, 2010.
• Stiglitz, Joseph. Globalization and Its Discontents. New York: Norton,
2002.
• Stiglitz, Joseph. Making Globalization Work. New York: Norton, 2006.
• Stiglitz, Joseph. The Roaring Nineties. New York: Norton, 2003.
The Influencers of the Global Economy 115
Lester Thurow
Economist Lester Thurow is best known as a noncapitalist global econo-
mist. Thurow’s writings were quite popular with those who believed capi-
talism was not the positive-sum theory that would help all nations. Thurow
believed that a zero-sum theory was necessary if the world was to avoid a
stagnant global economy. For Thurow, a zero-sum theory was using taxes
and taxation policy to redistribute income from an economy’s winners to
the losers; that is, a zero sum result. For developed nations like the United
States, the government needed to be more involved to create a national eco-
nomic policy that would help businesses compete in the global economy.
Popular writings of Lester Thurow on the global economy include the
following:
• Thurow, Lester. Head to Head: The Coming Economic Battle among
Japan, Europe, and America. New York: Morrow, 1992.
• Thurow, Lester. The Zero-Sum Society: Distribution and the Possibili-
ties for Economic Change. New York: Basic, 1980.
Paul Collier
Collier is considered one of the world’s key experts in economic and
global development of developing countries. He worked at the World Bank
with the Development Research Group before heading the Center for the
Study of African Economies at St. Antony’s College of Oxford University.
Collier has been especially interested in the impact of civil wars and for-
eign aid on the economic growth of Africa’s developing nations. Many of
these impoverished nations want to be participants in the global economy.
He focuses on the influence of their public policies on the poverty of the
nations and ability to be global partners.
He has consulted and been advisors to many nations, Prime Minister
Tony Blair, and the United Nations. Collier’s writings have been very pop-
ular and influential in creating the global view of what he calls “the bottom
billion.” He was awarded the Commander of the Order of the British
Empire in 2008 for his contributions to global economic growth.
Popular writings of Paul Collier on the global economy include the
following:
• Collier, Paul. The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Fail-
ing and What Can Be Done about It. Oxford: Oxford University Press,
2008.
• Collier, Paul. Labour and Poverty in Rural Tanzania: Ujamaa and
Rural Development in the United Republic of Tanzania. Oxford:
Oxford University Press, 1991.
116 The Global Economy
• Collier, Paul. The Plundered Planet: Why We Must, and How We Can,
Manage Nature for Global Prosperity. Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 2010.
• Collier, Paul. Wars, Guns, and Votes: Democracy in Dangerous Places.
New York: HarperCollins, 2009.
William Easterly
Easterly is also one of the most influential development economists
today. As with many economists, he worked as a research economist at the
World Bank. He also spent time at the Center for Global Development and
the Institute for International Economics. Like Collier, most of his career
has focused on the developing world in Africa. He also has been involved
in nation development in Latin America.
Easterly is often quite critical of how governments of developed nations,
the World Bank, and the IMF have treated developing nations. He argues
that the organizations enter a nation to help but are naive about the cul-
ture, the people, or the local economies, politics, or policies. According to
Easterly, these organizations often create the wrong incentives that lead to
contradictory outcomes.
Easterly believes that properly incentivized markets can do more for a
developing nation than the policies imposed by foreign aid or international
organizations. In areas such as health and education, he believes the local
markets will ultimately lead to more desired outcomes. His books have
been very influential in popularizing this idea.
Popular writings of William Easterly on the global economy include the
following:
• Easterly, William. The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists’ Adven-
tures and Misadventures in the Tropics. Boston: MIT Press, 2001.
• Easterly, William. The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to
Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good. London: Pen-
guin, 2006.
Jagdish Bhagwati
Bhagwati is one of the most influential Indian economists. Much of his
work has focused on the economy of India. He has been especially involved
with the positive impact of offshoring on the nation’s economy. Many
credit his work for the economic transformation of India.
Bhagwati promotes offshoring as a key factor in free global trade. Focus-
ing primarily on offshoring to India by companies from the United States,
The Influencers of the Global Economy 117
Esther Duflo
French by birth and U.S. trained as a development economist, Esther
Duflo focuses on the microeconomic issues of developing countries. Most
of her work was through the MIT Jameel Poverty Action Lab, or J-PAL, a
research laboratory she founded and directed. Her research emphasized
finding the causes of poverty and their solutions.
She is most noted for her unique academic approach to economic
development research. Duflo pioneered the use of randomized control
trials, as they do in medicine, to research the causes and cures of poverty.
Using randomized control trials, she studied education, finance, and
118 The Global Economy
health issues in developing nations. Two topics she was most noted for was
her work on malnutrition and microfinance.
Microfinance is the financing of relatively small loans to begin mostly
home-based-type cottage businesses, such as sewing or cooking. The bor-
rowers pay off the loan in small payments to the lender. During the pro-
cess, they learn money management and business skills. Duflo and her
colleague Abhijit Banerjee coined the term “reluctant entrepreneur”
because most would rather work in a factory.
Popular writing of Ester Duflo on the global economy include Poor Eco-
nomics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty. New York:
Public Affairs, 2011.
Emily Oster
Oster is a premier development economist who focuses on diseases in
the developing nations. Early in her career, she studied hepatitis and other
social diseases. This led her to further research on HIV in Africa. Her
questioning of current knowledge and further research led to using public
policy as a tool against HIV-AIDS. At the time of her research, most
nations only advocated a single approach, such as abstinence. Oster
observed single approaches to HIV in countries that also had low mortal-
ity due to malaria or experienced high maternal mortality and concluded
that such approaches were not successful. She proposed a multitargeted
public policy approach to address HIV-AIDS.
Popular writing of Emily Oster on the global economy include “Sexually
Transmitted Infections, Sexual Behavior, and the HIV/AIDS Epidemic.”
Quarterly Journal of Economics 120, no. 2 (May 2005): 467–515.
Jeffrey Sachs
Sachs is best known as a political economist. While a professor at Har-
vard, he consulted with and worked for several nations during financial
crises. He is also known for his prolific writings on reducing poverty and
promoting a global perspective to the environment. Sachs is one of the few
economists whose books are popular with the general audience.
While at Harvard, he was invited to Bolivia to study and make recom-
mendations on their hyperinflation. Sachs promoted to the Bolivians a
concept known as “shock therapy.” Shock therapy had three key compon-
ents. The first was fiscal restraint. The government needed to tighten their
budgets and only spend the money they received. The second key was
monetary restraint. They needed to immediately stop printing money. The
third key was to receive debt forgiveness from those nations with whom
The Influencers of the Global Economy 119
Bolivia owed money. While Sachs was not the inventor of shock therapy,
he was one of the most successful economists to implement it and be
successful.
Popular writings of Jeffrey Sachs on the global economy include the
following:
• Sachs, Jeffrey. Common Wealth. New York: Penguin, 2008.
• Sachs, Jeffrey. The End of Poverty. New York: Penguin, 2005.
• Sachs, Jeffrey. The Price of Civilization. New York: Random House,
2011.
Hernando De Soto
De Soto is a Peruvian economist who is one of the most known econo-
mists in the developing nations. According to De Soto, for any individual
in order to rise out of poverty, the most important elements are individ-
ual property rights and a capitalist economic institution. For De Soto,
these two ideas go together and are lacking in virtually all developing
countries. In 1981, he formed the Institute for Liberty and Democracy
(ILD) in Lima, Peru, to research, write, speak, and promote these two key
ideas.
For De Soto and ILD, the key for a developing nation to embrace capital-
ism was to make business ownership and entrepreneurship accessible for
every citizen. Their research revealed there was more to it than accessibil-
ity. Between authoritarian governments where property rights did not
exist and corruption of government officials, new business startups or
obtaining property were all but impossible for the average developing
nation citizen. De Soto and ILD have worked to promote property rights
and entrepreneurship with many developing nations to change their cur-
rent situation.
De Soto has won many awards for his work with developing nations. He
was identified as one of the most influential Latin Americans of the twen-
tieth century. In 2004, he was named by Time magazine as one of the top
one hundred most influential people in the world. He has been honored
with awards in the United States, Canada, Switzerland, and the United
Kingdom.
Popular writings of Hernando De Soto on the global economy include
the following:
• De Soto, Hernando. The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs
in the West and Fails Everywhere Else. New York: Basic Books, 2000.
• De Soto, Hernando. The Other Path: The Economic Answer to Terror-
ism. New York: Basic Books, 1987.
120 The Global Economy
Douglass North
Douglass North was the 1993 recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics
for his work in economic history and institutional economics. It is this lat-
ter topic that has been applied to describe how the global economy func-
tions best.
As an institutional economist, North studied the importance of institu-
tions such as property rights and decision-making to economic growth.
He submitted that how individuals and economies made decisions based
on their beliefs, ideas, and even prejudices had an important role in an
economy’s ability to grow. Without the proper incentives and beliefs in
institutions such as property rights, some economies were bound to stag-
nate, and growth would be limited, if able to grow at all.
North’s work became the foundation for assessing cultural and social
norms’ impact on the economy of a society. According to North, proper
efficient economic institutions were a must for an economy to grow. If a
society did not change its culture, it could not change its economy.
Popular writings of Douglass North on institutions and the global econ-
omy include the following:
• North, Douglass. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Per-
formance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.
• North, Douglass. Understanding the Process of Economic Change.
Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005.
India
Manmohan Singh
An economist who became a politician best describes Manmohan
Singh. Singh was credited as one of the Indian economist who initiated the
transition of India’s economy from socialist to market driven capitalism.
As an economist virtually his entire career, Singh was devoted to public
service as a governmental civil servant. He held many positions within the
Indian government, ranging from being an economic adviser in the Com-
merce Ministry, to minister of finance, to the ultimate position, prime
minister of India in 2004.
As finance minister and prime minister, Singh was devoted to the ideals
of privatization of the public sector. He was successful in attracting foreign
direct investment to India. He is credited with eliminating the Licence Raj,
a very restrictive system of regulations and many licenses needed to con-
duct business or own property in India. As an economist, Singh was a
strong supporter of open markets and the global economy. This was
reflected in many of his economic policies as prime minister that pro-
moted India’s participation as a global partner.
Popular writing of Manmohan Singh on the global economy include
India’s Export Trends and Prospects for Self-Sustained Growth. Oxford:
Clarendon Press, 1964.
China
Deng Xiaoping
For Deng Xiaoping, the transformation from socialist to capitalist was a
long one. As a young Chinese of the Chinese Communist Revolution, he
was trained and educated in all things communist. He was an advisor to
Chairman Mao Zedong during the civil war that led to the communists
coming to power in 1949. He was an integral and trusted leader of Mao’s
new government. In the 1960s, Mao took away all his power, and Xiaoping
became a common laborer of the government. He eventually returned to
Mao’s good graces and returned to party leadership. When Mao Zedong
died, Xiaoping was named his successor.
As the new Chinese leader, he immediately began to transform China’s
economy. He modernized industry, science, agriculture, and technology
sectors of the economy. Gradually he restored some private incentives and
pushed for China to be a global economy participant. His transitions were
slow and methodical. He encouraged some entrepreneurship and priva-
tized parts of the agricultural community, allowing farmers to sell a
122 The Global Economy
United Nations
President of the General Assembly, Maria Fernando Espinosa
Garcés
In 2018, the United Nations elected the fourth woman to hold the posi-
tion of General Assembly president. Officially Garcés is president of the
seventy-third session of the United Nations General Assembly. Previously
the foreign minister from Ecuador, she represented Ecuador at many inter-
national conferences, ranging in topics from climate change to gender
equality to multilateral cooperation.
Of special note, Garcés is the first woman appointed as the permanent
representative of Ecuador to the United Nations. She was instrumental in
124 The Global Economy
the United Nations’ efforts to create and promote the Millennium Develop-
ment Goals to improve the lives and standard of living for the world’s
underserved population in the developing nations.
time with the Bank of International Settlements and ECB itself, and
Draghi was ready for the ECB presidency when the opportunity came in
2011.
As ECB president, Draghi is now the most important monetarist in
Europe and one of the most important in the world. He was immediately
confronted with a financial crisis not experienced since the Great Depres-
sion of the 1930s. His immediate actions were applauded by some and crit-
icized by others. Every action by Draghi and the ECB was watched not only
in Europe but also around the world. The health of the euro was as neces-
sary as the health of the U.S. dollar.
Draghi was also confronted with the default of loans by Greece, a mem-
ber of the European Monetary Zone. As with every decision by a global
leader, his actions were both applauded as correct or criticized that they
would lead to further trouble. As of this writing, the jury is still out on
Greece. Between the Draghi and the ECB’s actions as well as those of the
U.S. Federal Reserve, the financial crisis came to an end. Judgment on
the ECB’s decisions is still being debated. One thing is certain: whether the
ECB made the right decisions in the past and whether they will make the
right decisions in the future, one person will get the credit or the blame.
That is the person leading the European Central Bank, and for now, that is
Draghi.
To read more about Draghi, you will find the following resource helpful:
“Mario Draghi.” European Central Bank, accessed September 2012, http://
www.ecb.int/ecb/orga/decisions/html/cvdraghi.en.html.
NOTES
1. We could go on for many pages about the all these great individuals and
their many contributions to the world of economics. For our purposes, we are
going to keep our focus on their contribution to the global economy. If you would
like to read more about their lives and other contributions, we suggest you go to
David A. Dieterle, ed., Economic Thinkers: A Biographical Encyclopedia (Santa
Barbara, CA: Greenwood Press, 2014).
2. At the time of this writing, Christine Lagarde had just been nominated as
the next president of the European Central Bank. You can read about Lagarde as
the current head of the IMF.
Conclusion: The Future of the Global
Economy
We began our journey looking behind us at the history of the global econ-
omy, and then we explored many aspects of today’s global economy. The
global economy of the past was stagnant for most of its history. At a few
points in history, it woke up and expanded. Today it is in constant change,
as nations change their roles and relationships with other nations. In the
future, that change will most likely only be faster and broader, with conse-
quences that we may not even be able to recognize today. It is time to pull
out our crystal ball and take a look into the future.
127
128 Conclusion
Asia
Today all eyes are on the various economic activities of Asia. It is not
just China, Japan, or South Korea anymore. There is significant economic
activity in Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam. These nations
have become known as the Asian Tigers, as their economic competitive-
ness has grown. In the same way that some jobs from the United States
moved to Mexico, many Chinese jobs moved to Vietnam or Thailand.
We cannot discuss the future global economy and Asia without also
discussing India. India continues its trend toward becoming a major eco-
nomic participant in the global economy. India will continue to be plagued
by its population size and extreme poverty.
South America
The one region of the world where “turmoil” seems to be its middle
name is the continent of South America. The twelve nations and three ter-
ritories that make up South America are as diverse in their cultures and
standard of living as the Africa nations. At this point in time, the African
nations seem to be better coordinated and better planned for the future
than their South American counterparts.
South American’s ability to participate in the global economy seems to
be dependent on their different nations’ political landscape. Except for a
few nations (Brazil, Argentina, Chile), most of the South America nations
seem to be vulnerable to extreme shifts in political philosophies. As South
American political philosophies shift, so do economic philosophies. Cur-
rently Venezuela is a prime example of this shift. Roughly fifty years ago,
Venezuela was the fourth-wealthiest nation in the world. Today it is one of
the poorest.
The difference is the change in political philosophy, which changed eco-
nomic philosophy. South American nations seem to have more than their
share of military junta and dictator takeovers of the government. As we
discussed earlier, the two philosophies seemed to be more interdependent
in South America than other regions of the world.
130 Conclusion
Europe
Historically, the continent of Europe has been a friend of the United
States economically, politically, and in many ways culturally. Much of U.S.
culture has its origins in Europe. Primarily through the Marshall Plan, the
United States assisted Europe’s rebuilding efforts following World War II.
Strategically, the United States and Europe comprise the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization (NATO), an alliance of nations that binds them
together that an attack against one nation is an attack against all nations.
During his presidency, Donald Trump has questioned the validity and
worthiness of this relationship. He has claimed that the United States sup-
ports NATO more than other nations and that this should change. On the
surface, these types of discussions between the United States and other
NATO members are more political than economic. Looking forward, how-
ever, one needs to ask whether changes in these political and strategic rela-
tionships will ultimately spill over into changes in the economic
relationships regarding trade among the NATO nations.
ultimate use. The other argues about the quality of the natural resources,
such as debates over air or water quality, for future consumption and use.
Far from being settled, these are the debates you and your generation will
continue to discuss in order to determine future economic and political
policies.
Alternative Sources
An alternative (no pun intended) to discovery of new resources is the
development and ultimate implementation of alternative sources replacing
the fossil fuels. Development of water- and solar power continues to
improve and become more cost-effective for commercial and home use.
The use of natural gas and electric to fuel our cars grows in efficiency and
cost-effectiveness. These are just a couple examples in which the global
economy is changing to meet its growing needs. It is highly likely that
some of you will have careers in further developing and refining alterna-
tive sources of energy for the future global economy.
oil tankers could have a direct impact on the oil industry. If the supply of
oil is drastically reduced, the price of oil and the products from oil, such as
gasoline, could rise significantly. A second scenario is that the oil compa-
nies will be forced to increase security, which will also raise the costs of
producing oil based products and prices for the consumer.
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Another area that is very important to the future of the global economy
is the developments occurring in Asia and the Pacific. When the United
States pulled out of the TPP conversation, it opened a wide range of specu-
lations, one of which was whether China would step in as the foundational
nation for the trade pact. This would give China a stronger foothold in
their relationships with the other Asian economies and most likely dimin-
ish the U.S. role.
problem has been, and always will be, that tariffs have two sides. It is
important to acknowledge that tariffs have always been a tool of govern-
ments and will continue be in the future. What will be interesting to fol-
low in the future is the extent that some nations, the United States
included, will use tariffs in the belief that they are helping their domestic
economy at the expense of the global economy.
Currency Wars
At the top of the list of potential global currency problems are currency
wars. A currency war most certainly a war. The weapons in a currency war
are not guns and battleships but the manipulation of a nation’s currency by
another nation. Nations especially vulnerable to a currency war are those
nations whose economy is based on a fixed exchange rate (chapter 6) or
who are highly indebted to other nations.
China is a nation that is both vulnerable to a currency war and has the
ability to start a currency war. It is vulnerable because it has a fixed
exchange rate. Having a currency whose value is fixed to the U.S. dollar
makes China a potential currency war target of the United States. The
United States could alter the value of the dollar to such an extent that the
value of the Chinese renminbi would change so much that it could poten-
tially destroy China’s domestic economy. There would be U.S. domestic
issues as well as the dollar value changed, but they would be considered a
small sacrifice to destroy the enemy, as is the goal in war.
There is another side to the currency war strategy in which the roles are
reversed. In this scenario, China has the United States at a distinct advan-
tage. China holds approximately a little over $1 trillion of U.S. Treasury
bonds, notes, and bills. While this is not a significant portion of the U.S.
federal government’s $21 trillion debt, it is significant enough that if China
chose, they could destroy the value of the U.S. dollar.
If a currency war broke out between the United States and China, one of
China’s first moves would be to cash out of all its U.S. obligations. This
means that the United States would have to pay China more than $1 tril-
lion. These are dollars not currently in circulation. The United States
136 Conclusion
would be forced to print money and add $1 trillion to the amount of dol-
lars in the global economy. As the supply of dollars increases, the value
decreases, and hyperinflation would potentially result. In this scenario,
China potentially wins the war.
Now that we have painted these two dismal pictures of currency wars, a
final note of reality. The reality that either case will happen is quite remote.
In both scenarios, the damage to each domestic economy would be sub-
stantial. At this time, because of the interdependence of the two nations,
neither China nor the United States are willing to risk the uncertain out-
comes of a currency war.
accepting the U.S. dollar as their currency. The three countries can agree
on trade. Whether or not they could agree to have a single currency is a
discussion that will be left for the ivory towers and academic think tanks.
which they set national monies aside for investing and financial emergen-
cies. Sources of these funds include budget surpluses, funds received from
privatization activity, or certain capital flows into the country.
SWFs are currently being used by nations for various purposes. One is
to deflect the possibly of a financial crisis. Several nations, such as Singa-
pore, avoided a financial crisis by using funds from their sovereign wealth
fund. A second purpose of the funds is to invest in other parts of the world.
Several SWFs hold U.S. Treasuries as a way to stabilize their funds. These
funds can also be used by nations for development of their own
infrastructure.
Development Banks
Other nations are banding together to create regional development
banks. These are not banks in the normal banking definition. The banks
are owned and operated by the member nations. The mission of a develop-
ment bank is to support the development within each of the member
nations.
The activities of the development banks are varied yet similar. Most
development bank initiatives focus on improving the agricultural develop-
ment in rural areas of the nations. A major initiative of agricultural devel-
opment is the creation of irrigation systems so that farmers are less
dependent on the weather. A second major initiative of development banks
includes roads, bridges, water, and sanitation throughout the nation.
Finally, development banks devote resources to the improvement of
human capital of the nation. This may arguably be the most important for
a nation’s future. Development banks focus on improvements in education
and health care and on creating an environment conducive to entrepre-
neurship and business creation. Development banks could be a very
important variable in the future development of developing nations.
that collateral is not required for the loan. In lieu of collateral, the borrow-
ers are assigned peer groups. Most of the borrowers are women wishing to
begin a home business.
They also provide support with classes and counseling in business, per-
sonal finance, and basic skills. As the use of microfinance institutions
grows throughout the developing world, this just may be the catalyst for
over a billion people to lift themselves out of poverty. Of course, there are
also downsides, the main one being those who use these institutions to
take advantage of the poor. Regardless, it will be interesting to watch the
impact of these institutions on the future of developing nations.
Source Funding
Given the vast use of the internet now and into the future, this method
of funding projects needed to be at least mentioned. Source funding is an
open source funding strategy currently being used by individuals and
companies to generate revenue. It will be interesting to watch if nations
gravitate to this type of finance and funding as individuals have done. On
one side of the argument is, why not? On the other is, why? Most govern-
ments have various other sources to pursue that are much more likely to
achieve their financial aims in the long run. Yet it is one more source to
keep on our watch in the future.
Nationalism—Modern Mercantilism
Potentially the most comprehensive challenge to the U.S. position in the
global economy is the current general attitude toward a nationalist focused
economy or modern form of mercantilism. This nationalist view retreats
back to the days prior to Adam Smith when individual market transactions
were insignificant to the perceived nation’s economic needs. Then it was
kings and queens making economic decisions for the populace where
today it is presidents and prime ministers. Remember that modern mer-
cantilism is the central focus on exports and a limited focus of imports,
even to the point of discouraging imports. Limiting imports through pro-
tectionist measures shrinks the global economy’s impact on the domestic
economy.
The net impact of protectionist measures is almost always negative. The
domestic economy loses consumer goods, so there is less competition and
higher prices. The inputs of production cost more, and the higher costs are
passed on to consumers in higher prices. The protectionist measure that
may help one part of the economy certainly will hurt another part, as for-
eign nations retaliate with their own protectionist measures. As stated
previously, the current tariff wars have no winners, just least losers.
If the United States, and other nations as well, limit access to the global
economy, they miss out on new innovations, opportunities for entrepre-
neurs, and expanding their consumer markets. As the dominant market,
the United States wants the global economy to be as fair and open as pos-
sible. It needs to protect itself from nations who try to take advantage of
the U.S. dominance and willingness to be open to all. A nation must guard
against being too nationalist in one’s approach.
the significance that it also plays in the U.S. domestic economy. The Fed-
eral Reserve responds to the level of economic activity in the United States
through the buying and selling of U.S. Treasuries. When the U.S. economy
is weak, the Fed buys more U.S. Treasuries, which increases the level of
U.S. dollars and lowers U.S. interest rates.
If the U.S. dollar were not as necessary outside United States as it is
today, all the new dollars would be trapped within the U.S. domestic econ-
omy. That would ultimately lead to inflation and then to higher interest
rates and higher prices for resources and consumer products. The new dol-
lars do, however, have an escape from the domestic economy: use by for-
eign companies or foreign central banks as anchor and reserve currencies.
This helps keep U.S. interest rates lower than they would be otherwise and,
with it, enables sustainable economic activity.
Some nations, China being the most vocal, have spoken out for the U.S.
dollar to no longer be the dominant world’s reserve currency. It is impor-
tant for the United States to maintain the dollar’s role in the global econ-
omy. Losing this global role could significantly alter and limit how the Fed
conducts monetary policy in response to the U.S. domestic economy.
This leads to one more potential future issue for the United States. This
is beyond the scope of our global economy journey, but it will be critical for
the Federal Reserve to maintain its independence as the nation’s central
bank. If the Fed were ever to become responsive to a branch of govern-
ment, most likely Congress, monetary decisions would become more polit-
ical than economic. Throughout history, political monetary decisions have
proven disastrous for the domestic economy. It is your future economy.
Protect it.
FINAL WORD
Throughout the chapter, we discussed several future issues of the global
economy. We explored both current and potential future issues of world
regions, trade, and currencies. Now, we need to address one more ques-
tion, which refers to the age-old global relationship between trade and war.
The idea that trading partners promote peace and not war is credited to
French political economist Frédéric Bastiat. It is claimed that he stated, “If
goods don’t cross borders, soldiers will.”3
Will a fully integrated global economy prevent war? The global econ-
omy has benefits and costs. We have identified, discussed, and explored
many of them throughout our journey. This debate is arguably the most
important of them all. If Bastiat’s statement is true, the ramifications for a
world of peace are immense. This reason alone is enough for many to claim
the need for a global economy.
142 Conclusion
The global economy will not be the end all of wars. Most likely there will
always be some leader in the world who desires more power and control.
There will be those whose want for power will necessitate the need for
nations to be ready to defend themselves against such aggressors. Nations
must be prepared to defend their borders, property, and citizens. A global
economy free of protectionism and economic hostilities can be one weapon
against global terror and dictators.4
Through technology and better and faster means of travel, you are
closer to your seven billion, and growing, global neighbors with each pass-
ing year than at any time in the history of mankind. The need to work, play,
and communicate with each other peacefully is more important now than
ever. If a vibrant global economy gives us that chance for global peace, it is
important to make every effort for the global economy to be all-inclusive.
Every nation on the planet needs the opportunity to be a free, open, and
active participant in your global economy of tomorrow. Make it one of
your goals to work for that future.
NOTES
1. The fifteen nations of ECOWAS are Benin, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, Cote
D’Ivoire, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria,
Senegal, Sierra Leone, and Togo.
2. Reuters, “China’s Yuan Just Joined an Elite Club of International Monetary
Fund Reserve Currencies,” Fortune, October 2, 2016, https://fortune.com/2016
/10/02/china-yuan-imf-currencies/.
3. Julian Adorney, “Want Peace? Promote Free Trade,” Foundation for Eco-
nomic Education, October 15, 2013, https://fee.org/articles/want-peace-promote
-free-trade/.
4. An interesting book on this is Hernando De Soto’s The Other Path: The
Invisible Revolution in the Third World (New York: Harper & Row, 1990). In it, De
Soto explains how free markets and capitalism, as opposed to military aggression,
can be a way out for Peru’s poor.
Questions for Further Exploration
CHRONOLOGY
143
144 Questions for Further Exploration
2. During the 1400s and 1500s, many explorers set out from Europe to
explore new lands. Why was it so important for kings and queens to pay
for these very dangerous voyages?
3. What made the writings of Adam Smith and David Ricardo so signifi-
cant to the expanding global trade?
4. What made the Smoot-Hawley Tariff (Tariff Act of 1930) so dangerous
to the global economy? Could the same dangers be relevant again?
5. Name two significant twentieth-century events that greatly expanded
the number of nations and potential for an expanding global
economy.
1. What did you collect? Did you trade one of your items for another you
valued more highly? If so, how did you feel after the trade? Did you
believe your collection was wealthier? How did your trading partner feel?
2. Name a skill in which you believe you have an absolute advantage over
another individual.
3. Have you practiced comparative advantage? If so, recall the situation
and identify the reason you allowed someone else to do something you
could have done.
4. Identify a product we import with another nation even though we may
have absolute advantage in producing it ourselves. (You may have to use
an outside source to identify the product.)
4. Are trade deficits always bad for a domestic economy? Why or why not?
5. Go to the CIA World Factbook at https://www.cia.gov/library/publica
tions/the-world-factbook/. Select two countries. Compare their balance
of trade and then compare their percentage of global trade to their GDP
(exports + imports/GDP). Which country has the higher standard of
living?
3. Which of the early explorers do you find most interesting and why?
4. Joseph Stiglitz has been quite critical of the World Bank and IMF. Using
his arguments, or those of others, either defend their modern existence
or explain why they should be dismantled and replaced.
5. Of all the individuals highlighted in this chapter, choose one and read
an additional biography of their life. Notice how many of them were
also influential in areas besides the global economy.
149
150 Bibliography
Foss, Paul-Martin. “Today in 1971: President Nixon Closes the Gold Win-
dow.” Mises Wire. August 15, 2016. Accessed August 13, 2019.
https://mises.org/wire/today-1971-president-nixon-closes-gold
-window.
Grinin, Leonid, and A. Koratayev. “Origins of Globalization in the Frame-
work of the Afroeurasian World-System History.” Research Gate.
January 2018. Accessed January 8, 2019. https://www.researchgate.
net/publication/321150144_Origins_of_Globalization_in_the
_Framework_of_the_Afroeurasian_World-System_History.
History.com. “Christopher Columbus.” A&E Television Networks. Last
updated September 3, 2019. Accessed January 24, 2019. https://
www.history.com/topics/exploration/christopher-columbus.
International Relations.org. “History of Globalization.” Accessed January 8,
2019. http://internationalrelations.org/opec/history-of-globalization/.
Keynes, John Maynard. General Theory of Employment, Interest, and
Money. London: Macmillan, 1936.
Library of Congress. Business Reference Services. “Defining Globaliza-
tion.” Last updated June 22, 2016. Accessed January 8, 2019. http://
www.loc.gov/rr/business/BERA/issue1/define.html.
Library of Congress. Business Reference Services. “Electronic Resources.”
Last updated June 30, 2017. Accessed January 8, 2019. http://www
.loc.gov/rr/business/BERA/issue1/electronic.html.
Library of Congress. Business Reference Services. “Elements of Globaliza-
tion.” Last updated December 12, 2016. Accessed January 8, 2019.
http://www.loc.gov/rr/business/BERA/issue1/elements.html.
Library of Congress. Business Reference Services. “Issue 1: Summer 2004:
Globalization–History of Globalization.” Last updated February 7,
2017. Accessed January 8, 2019. http://www.loc.gov/rr/business
/BERA/issue1/history.html.
Library of Congress. Business Reference Services. “Trends in Globaliza-
tion.” Last updated June 22, 2016. Accessed January 8, 2019. http://
www.loc.gov/rr/business/BERA/issue1/trends.html.
Liebert, Hugh. “Alexander the Great and the History of Globalization.” The
Review of Politics 73, no. 4 (Fall 2011): 533–60.
Life Application Bible Edition. New International Version. Grand Rapids,
MI: Zondervan, 1991.
Mahmoudi, Elham. “Bretton Woods Agreement.” In Economics: The Defin-
itive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Eco-
nomics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 38–40. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
“Marco Polo and His Travels.” Silkroad Foundation, 1997–2000. Accessed
August 13, 2019. http://www.silkroadfoundation.org/artl/marcopolo
.shtml.
Bibliography 151
UShistory.org. “The End of the Cold War.” Accessed January 16, 2019.
http://www.ushistory.org/us/59e.asp.
Yale Global Online. “History of Globalization.” Accessed January 8, 2019.
https://yaleglobal.yale.edu/history-globalization.
CHRONOLOGY
Ghizoni, Sandra Kollen. “Creation of the Bretton Woods System.” History
of the Federal Reserve. Accessed January 13, 2019. https://www
.federalreservehistory.org/essays/bretton_woods_created.
History.com. “America Enters World War I.” Last updated August 2018.
Accessed January 9, 2019. https://www.history.com/this-day-in
-history/america-enters-world-war-i.
National Bureau of Economic Research. “The Economics of World War I.”
January 2005. Accessed January 9, 2019. https://www.nber.org
/digest/jan05/w10580.html.
Our World in Data. “Trade and Globalization.” Last updated October 2018.
Accessed January 9, 2019. https://ourworldindata.org/trade-and
-globalization.
A Quick Guide to the World History of Globalization. “Globalization since
the Fourteenth Century.” February 9, 2010. Accessed January 9,
2019. https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~dludden/global1.htm.
Ricardo, David. On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. Lon-
don: John Murray, 1817.
Smith, Adam. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of
Nations. London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell, 1776.
SparkNotes Editors. “SparkNotes on As You Like It.” SparkNotes LLC.
Accessed June 21, 2019. http://www.sparknotes.com/shakespeare
/asyoulikeit/.
Talwar, Daniel S. “Corn Laws.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia
from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited by
David A. Dieterle, 63–4. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
United Nations. “History of the United Nations.” Accessed January 13, 2019.
http://www.un.org/en/sections/history/history-united-nations/.
“Getting to Know the World Bank.” The World Bank. July 26, 2012.
Accessed August 30, 2019. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news
/feature/2012/07/26/getting_to_know_theworldbank.
Hammes, David, and Douglas Wills. “Black Gold: The End of Bretton
Woods and the Oil Price Shocks of the 1970s.” Independent Review
9, no. 4 (2003): 501–11.
Helleiner, Eric. States and the Reemergence of Global Finance: From Bret-
ton Woods to the 1990s. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1996.
“History–Overview.” BIS. Accessed July 2, 2019. https://www.bis.org
/about/history.htm.
“Home.” International Labor Organization. Accessed July 2, 2019. https://
www.ilo.org/global/lang--en/index.htm.
“International Transactions.” Bureau of Economic Analysis. Last updated
June 20, 2019. https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment
/international-transactions.
Kanjoma, Bernard. “International Monetary Fund.” In Economics: The
Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global
Economics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 198–9. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
Kanjoma, Bernard. “World Bank.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclope-
dia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited by
David A. Dieterle, 351–2. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
Kanjoma, Bernard. “World Trade Organization.” In Economics: The Defini-
tive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Eco-
nomics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 355–7. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
“Membership of UNCTAD and of the Trade and Development Board.”
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. Accessed
July 2, 2019. https://unctad.org/en/Pages/About%20UNCTAD
/UNCTADs-Membership.aspx.
Moore, John. “Bank of International Settlements.” In Economics: The
Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global
Economics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 345–7. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
Moore, John. “Washington Consensus.” In Economics: The Definitive Ency-
clopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics,
edited by David A. Dieterle, 345–7. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood,
2017.
Nemer, Alex. “Bank of Japan.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia
from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited by
David A. Dieterle, 28–30. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
O’Connor, David E. “International Bank for Reconstruction and Develop-
ment.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to
160 Bibliography
-agreements/free-trade-agreements/united-states-mexico-canada
-agreement.
“Washington Consensus.” Intelligent Economist. April 2018. Accessed
August 30, 2019. https://www.intelligenteconomist.com/washing
ton-consensus/.
Dieterle, David A., and Kerry Hritz. “State Capitalism.” In Economics: The
Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global
Economics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 296–8. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
Dieterle, David A., and Kenneth Maly. “North American Development
Bank.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to
Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited by David A. Dieterle,
242–3. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
Dieterle, David A., and Collin Tipton. “Asian Tigers.” In Economics: The
Definitive Encyclopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global
Economics, edited by David A. Dieterle, 17–8. Santa Barbara, CA:
Greenwood, 2017.
Drum, Lauren. “Monetary Unions.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclo-
pedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited
by David A. Dieterle, 236–7. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
Ebeling, Richard M. “Mises Daily Articles: Can Free Trade Really Prevent
War?” Mises Institute. March 18, 2002. Accessed July 10, 2019.
https://mises.org/library/can-free-trade-really-prevent-war.
Kuehn, Nicole. “Single Currency Area.” In Economics: The Definitive Ency-
clopedia from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics,
edited by David A. Dieterle, 285–6. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood,
2017.
Liedong, Tahiru Azaaviele. “Could West Africa Introduce a Single Cur-
rency?” CNN: The Conversation. August 8, 2017. Accessed July 10,
2019. https://www.cnn.com/2017/08/08/africa/single-currency-west
-africa/index.html.
“Member States.” Economic Community of West African States
(ECOWAS). Accessed July 10, 2019. http://www.ecowas.int
/member-states/.
Mooney, Loren. “Matthew O. Jackson: Can Trade Prevent War? A New
Network Model Suggests That International Trade Alliances Are
Considerably More Effective than Military Ones at Keeping the
Peace” Stanford Business. May 28, 2014. Accessed July 10, 2019.
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/matthew-o-jackson-can
-trade-prevent-war.
Moore, John. “Currency Wars.” In Economics: The Definitive Encyclopedia
from Theory to Practice, Volume 4: Global Economics, edited by
David A. Dieterle, 69–71. Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood, 2017.
“North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).” Office of the U.S.
Trade Representative. Accessed July 10, 2019. https://ustr.gov
/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/north-american-free
-trade-agreement-nafta.
168 Bibliography
169
170 Index
Exchange rate systems. See Dirty float; France, xxiv, xxix, xxxix, xliii, 91–92,
Fixed exchange rate system; Flexible 122, 132
exchange rate system; Managed float Free trade zone, 71
Exchange rates, 43–48. See also French Revolution, xl
Appreciation, currency; Friedman, Milton, 128
Depreciation, currency; Forward
exchange rate; Spot exchange rate G-7, 123
Export-Import Bank of the United G-20, 123
States, 139 Gambia, xliv, 142
Exports. See Balance of trade; Current Garcés, Maria Fernando Espinosa, 123
account; Export-Import Bank of the General Agreement on Tariffs and
United States; Mercantilism; Trade (GATT), xlii, 67, 83–85, 105
Nationalism; Trade deficit; Trade Geneva, 58, 69–70, 87
surplus; Trans-Pacific Partnership; Geneva I (GATT Round), 84
United States-China Trade Genghis Khan, xxxviii
Agreement Germany, xxvi, xxxii, xliii–xlv, 55, 61,
84, 91
Federal Open Market Committee Ghana, xliii, 142
(FOMC), 126 Glasnost, xxxi, xxxvi, xliv
Federal Republic of Germany, xlii–xlv. Global reserve currencies, 137
See also West Germany Gold reserves, xxx, 48–49, 64
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 61 Gold Standard, xxvii, xxx, 48
Federal Reserve System (Fed), 70, Gorbachev, Mikael, xxxi–xxxii, xliv
125–126 Great Britain: modern economy,
Financial account, 35–39. See also xxxiii–xxxiv, xxxvi, xlvi, 10;
Balance of payments; Capital twentieth century, xxvi–xxvii,
account; Current account xxxix, xlii–xliii, xlv. See also Bank of
Financial crises, 52–53, 103 England; Brexit; Pound sterling
Finland, xlv Great Leap Forward, xliii
Fiscal deficits, 81 Greece, xvii, xliv, 63, 125
Fiscal policy, 72, 118 Greeks, Ancient, xvii, xxxvii
Five-Year Plan, xliii Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 40, 60,
Fixed exchange rate system, xxx, 81, 140
48–49, 53, 102–103 Guatemala, 90
Flexible exchange rate system, xxvii, Guinea, xxxvi, xliii, 92, 142
45, 50, 53, 81
Fordney-McCumber Act, xli Hague, The, 87
Foreign direct investment, 35–36, 58, Harding, Warren, xli
81 Hitler, Adolf, xxvi, xlii
Foreign portfolio investment, 35–36 HIV-AIDS, 118
Forward exchange rate, 45 Honduras, 90
Forward market, 45 Hong Kong, xlv, 10, 14, 60
Four freedoms, xxxii Household Responsibility System,
Four Modernizations, xxxv xxxv
Fourteen Points, xli Human resources, 2, 131–132
Fracking, 131 Hungary, xxxii, xlv
Index 173
Dr. Dieterle has consulted with the Michigan, Illinois, and Nebraska
departments of education and many organizations throughout his career,
including Junior Achievement, Goodwill Industries of Northern Michi-
gan, and Economics for the Clergy. He has presented over sixty workshops
and conference presentations nationally and internationally. Dr. Dieterle
presented a series of lectures and workshops to educators in Zambia,
Malawi, and Puerto Rico. He presented papers to both the Zambia Minis-
try of Education and Malawi Ministry of Education proposing the inclu-
sion of economic and entrepreneurship education in their national teacher
preparation programs.
Dr. Dieterle taught elementary and middle school in Michigan Public
Schools for eleven years. He received degrees from Central Michigan Uni
versity, Purdue University, and a doctorate from Michigan State University.
He resides in Michigan and loves to boast about his seven grandchildren
and two great grandchildren.