A) The point value of the confidence interval would be 258.5/2039.
5 since there are
258.5 Red M&Ms total, and 2039.5 M&Ms total. The value of that would be approximately 0.14. The sample is a random sample (since the teacher randomly handed out M&M bags), so that part is satisfied. The variable is independent since 40790 (which I got from 2039.5 x 20) is much larger than 258.5. The upper bounds of the confidence interval is 0.016 while the lower bound is -0.14. The conditions seem to be met. B) Since we want a 95% confidence interval, we will use the amount of 1.96 for the z value. Therefore the calculation would be: 0.14 +- (plus or minus) 1.96 x 0.0077 (SE), which would be ( -0.014, 0.016). This would be the confidence interval for the 95% that we want. C) The proportion of Red M&Ms in my bag from Part I is 3/15. That would be 0.2 of the whole proportion. Based on all the information and calculations I have gathered so far, the amount of Red M&Ms that I got is not a likely value for the true proportion of Red M&Ms. Since the Upper Bounds and Lower Bounds of the whole equation are a lot lower than what the proportion I got was, I got much more than what would be expected in an M&M bag. And my confidence level here was 95% too. D) The conditions for a two-sided test are met since we want to know the true amount of M&Ms there are, and so we don’t care about a greater or lesser number, only a number that we don’t want. So yes, it would be a two-sided test. Everything is random. There are two different directions of possibilities, because we’re just testing whether or not p is equal or not equal to 0.2 in this case, so it wouldn’t matter if p were greater or less than that number. E) A hypothesis test should be set up before seeing the data. In order to do so, we would have to frame the question. Looking at the question through the lenses of the past few questions, it’s clear that this is a two-tailed test. Next, we would collect the data. I’ve already went ahead and found the SE, point estimate/p-value, and I know the sample amount. I plugged it into the formula. After analyzing the data, I can form the conclusion that the true proportion of M&M’s is not equal to 0.2. F) According to my results from the first test, everything seems to check out. It appears to be a two-tailed test, with more of a center.