2/3/2021 Introduction to Probability (with examples using R) - - Unit 3 - Week 2

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using R) (course)

Course
outline Assignment 2
Assignment not submitted Due date: 2021-02-07, 23:59 IST.
How does an For numerical answers with decimal digits please read instructions on rounding off.
NPTEL online
course work? Flip a fair coin four times and record the sequence of heads and tails. Let S be the sample space of
all sixteen possible orderings of the results.
Week 1
1) Then P(Observing two tails in four flips) is equal to_______(Give your answer rounded
Week 2 up to four decimal digits)

Conditional
Probability 1 point
(unit?
unit=21&lesson=22)
2) P(First flip is tail) is equal to ________ (Give your answer rounded up to four decimal
digits)
Bayes Theorem
(unit?
unit=21&lesson=23) 1 point
Independence -
Part 01 (unit? Suppose there are only thirteen teams with a non-zero chance of winning the next World Cup,
unit=21&lesson=24) namely Spain (with a 14\%\ chance), the Netherlands (with a 11\% chance), Germany (with a 11\%
chance), Italy (with a 10\% chance), Brazil (with a 10\% chance), England (with a 9\% chance),
Independence -
Argentina (with a 9\% chance), Russia (with a 7\%\ chance), France (with an 6\% chance), Turkey
Part 02 (unit?
unit=21&lesson=25) (with a 4\%\ chance), Paraguay (with a 4\% chance), Croatia (with a 4\% chance)\ and Portugal
(with a 1\%\ chance)
Sampling and
Repeated Trials 3) The probability that the next World Cup will be won by a South American country is equal
(unit? to_________(Give your answer rounded up to two decimal digits)
unit=21&lesson=26)

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2/3/2021 Introduction to Probability (with examples using R) - - Unit 3 - Week 2

Introduction to
Probability (with 1 point
examples using
R) : Week 2 4) The probability that the next World Cup will be won by a country that is not from South America
Feedback Form is equal to_______(Give your answer rounded up to two decimal digits)
(unit?
unit=21&lesson=40)

Quiz : 1 point
Assignment 2
(assessment? A biologist is modeling the size of a frog population in a series of ponds. She is concerned with both
name=51) the number of egg masses laid by the frogs during breeding season and the annual precipitation into
the ponds. She knows that in a given year there is an 86\%\ chance that there will be over 150 egg
Week 3 masses deposited by the frogs (event E ) and that there is a 64\% chance that the annual
precipitation will be over 17 inches (event F )
Download
Videos 5) In terms of E and F , the event ``there will be over 150 egg masses and an annual 1 point
precipitation of less than or equal to 17 inches'' is
Lecture
materials c
E ∩F

E ∩F

c
E ∩F

c c
E ∩F

6) In terms of E and F , the event ``there will be 150 or fewer egg masses or the annual 1 point
precipitation will be over 17 inches" is :

c
E ∪F

E ∪F

c c
E ∪F

c
E ∪F

7) Suppose the probability of the event from Q5 is 0.59. The probability of the event from Q6 is
equal to _________ ( Give your answer rounded up to two decimal digits)

1 point

Suppose we roll a fair die and therefore the set of all outcomes is given by S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

8) The probability of each individual outcome is equal to ________ (Give your answer rounded
up to four decimal digits)

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2/3/2021 Introduction to Probability (with examples using R) - - Unit 3 - Week 2

1 point

9) The probability of the event E = {1, 3, 4, 6} is equal to_________(Give your answer

rounded up to four decimal digits)

1 point

Suppose E and F are events in a sample space S. Suppose that P(E) = 0.7 and P(F ) = 0.5

10) The largest possible value of P(E ∩ F ) is equal to_________(Give your answer rounded up
to one decimal digit)

1 point

11) The smallest possible value of P(E ∩ F ) is equal to ________(Give your answer rounded up
to one decimal digit)

1 point

Natasha has lost her room key. The hostel warden gives her 50 keys and tells her that one of them
will open her room. She decides to try each key successively and notes down the number of the
attempt at which the room opens

12) Sample space for this experiment is: 1 point

{1, 2, 3, … , 50}

{1, 2, 3, … , 49}

{2, 3, 4, … , 50}

{2, 3, 4, … , 49}

13) Probability that Sheela opens her room in the n 1 point

1 49 n−1
( )
50 50

50

50 1 50
( )( )
n 2

There are N black balls and M blueballs . From this total of n = N +M balls, r are chosen

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2/3/2021 Introduction to Probability (with examples using R) - - Unit 3 - Week 2

14) Assume that the sample is ordered and is obtained with replacement. The Probability 1 point
that none of the N black balls will be included is

r
(n − N − 1)

r
n

r−1
(n − N − 1)

r
n

r
(n − N )

r−1
n

None of the above

15) Assume the sample is unordered and is obtained with replacement. The Probability 1 point
that none of the N black balls will be included is

n−N +r−1
( )
r

n+r−1
( )
r

n−N +r−1
( )
r−1

n+r−1
( )
r−1

n−N +r
( )
r

n+r
( )
r

None of the above

Suppose a population of size N contains G Greenpeople and B Bluepeople, with N = G+B .

A sample of size n, 1 ≤ n ≤ N is taken. Let 1 ≤ g ≤ min(n, G).

16) Assume the sample is ordered and obtained with replacement. The Probability that 1 point
g − Greenpeople are selected in the sample is:

n g n−g
Pg G B

n
(G + B)

n g n−g
( )G B
g

n
(G + B)

n−g
G

None of the above

17) Assume the sample is unordered and obtained with replacement. The Probability that 1 point
g − Greenpeople are selected in the sample is:

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2/3/2021 Introduction to Probability (with examples using R) - - Unit 3 - Week 2

G+g−1 B+n−g−1
( )( )
g n−g

N +n−1
( )
n

G+g−1 B+n−g−1
Pg P n−g

N +n−1
Pn

G+g−1 B+n−g−1
( )( )
g−1 n−g

N +n−1
( )
n−1

None of the above

You may submit any number of times before the due date. The final submission will be considered
for grading.
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