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PHARMA Report 2017 - Yes Bank
PHARMA Report 2017 - Yes Bank
AUTHORS Life Sciences & IT Knowledge Banking Group, Corporate Banking , YES BANK
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Amit Kumar
Group President and Country Head – Corporate Banking
Email: amit.kumar@yesbank.in
Amitav Rout
Senior Vice President and Head – Life Sciences and IT Knowledge Banking
Email: amitav.rout@yesbank.in
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary 6
2. Specialty Generics 12
A. New Therapeutic Entities (NTE) 12
B. Complex generics 12
4. Generic Injectables 18
5. Biosimilars 21
Bibliography 31
CAGR , 15-20’
Percentage
292
272
253 40 9%
236 37
220 34
206 31
28
China 26 109 10%
99
90
82
Growth 75
69
Markets 48
43 46 6%
38 41
EU + Japan 36
79 82 86 90 94 5%
75
US
The pharmaceutical industry went through a huge change in the era of patent protection and when it was
over, generic manufacturing came into focus and continues to do so. The patent cliff mostly began in 2011
and reached its peak in 2012. Block buster drugs like Lipitor (atorvastatin), Plavix (clopidogrel), and Singulair
(montelukast) faced patent expirations and had increased competition in the US market. About USD 120 BN
worth sales were lost due to patent expiration between 2009 to 2014 and more than USD 200-215 BN worth
sales are soon to be at risk due to ongoing patent expiration between 2015-2020.
80 8%
7%
70 6% 7%
6%
60 6%
5%
50 5% 5% 5%
4% 52 4% 52
4% 4% 50 4%
48 4%
40 4%
40
38
30 3% 35 34 2% 3%
33 32
29 29 2%
20 26 2%
23 24
20 21 20 23
19 18
16 17 16 16
10 1%
12 12 12
10 9
0 0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Specialty generics are classified as high-cost, high pediatric dosage forms, fixed dose combination,
complexity and/or high touch generics. Biologics modified release versions etc.
that are injectables or infused and are used to
treat complex or rare chronic conditions such as B. Complex generics
cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, haemophilia, psoriasis,
inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), Hepatitis C, etc. These are mostly large and complex (niche)
are some common areas. There are two categories molecules by nature and are made of complex
of specialty generics: active ingredients (may be a complex biological
molecule) or may have a complex formulation
A. New Therapeutic Entities (NTE) process or a complex delivery system or an alternate
delivery route involved or may be a combination
Value-added generics are the improved or enhanced of both complex drugs and device. Such complex
version of approved drugs (patented or generics) or specialty generics are used to treat complex
developed through a new route of administration, diseases which may be chronic by nature or life
strength, dosage form, and combinations or device threatening like Hepatitis C, Cancer, CNS, etc.
innovations to address specific patient needs. Like
Sandoz 122
Sun/Taro 88
Perrigo 81
Akorn 61
Teva/Actavis 60
Valeant 48
G and W Labs 39
Apotex 23
Glenmark 20
Tolmar 19
Wockhardt 16
Mylan 14
Endo 14
Lupin 8
Hikma 6
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Others
Sandoz
17.9%
16.7%
Wockhardt
2.2%
Xttrium Perrigo
2.4% 11.3%
Teva/Actavis
6.6%
Sun/Taro Valeant
7.1% 10.0%
Apotex Akorn
7.2% Hikma 9.5%
9.1%
Source: Industry,
Sandoz YBL Research
Perrigo Valeant Akorn Hikma Apotex Sun/Taro
Teva/Actavis Xttrium Wockhardt Others
Even though the US market had competition the companies have been constantly equipping
catching-up on topical drugs fronts, US stayed as themselves with newer and focussed acquisitions
the largest and the most crucial market poised like Novartis/Sandoz acquired Fougera, Akorn
to grow and further consolidation to take place purchased Hi-Tech and Versapharma, Watson’s
to venture into alternate dosage forms to stay acquisition of Actavis, Endo acquired Par and Teva’s
ahead of competition. To fuel such a high growth acquisitions of Actavis.
Acquirer Acquired company Deal value (USD MN) Deal announcement Year
Teva Allergan (generics) 40,500 2015
Lupin Gavis Pharma 880 2015
Endo Par Pharmaceuticals 8,000 2015
Akom Versapharm 440 2014
Akom Hi-Tech Pharmaceutical 640 2013
Sandoz Fougera 1,525 2012
Watson Actavis 5,900 2012
Perrigo Paddock 540 2011
Sun Taro 454 2007
Wockhardt Pinwood 150 2006
The US generic injectables market size is estimated at USD 8.4 BN and is expected to grow at ~10% CAGR
between 2015-2020. A quick look at the therapy-wise break up given below:
Beta-Lactam
antibiotics 8%
Generic
injectables Oncology 17%
73%
Others 2%
Price
Acquisition Year Location consideration Rationale
(USD MN)
To accelerate Baxter’s strategy to
Baxter Claris 2017 India 635 become a global leader in the injectable
pharmaceuticals space
B. Investment by Indian pharma to The best way to fill this gap was through focussed
improve positioning in the injectables acquisitions during the juncture, however, US was a
market huge market and had wide range of players operating
with a range of capabilities. Indian players decided
Indian companies realized that injectables business to do several small acquisitions as the pocket size
has better margins to offer and the US market was was not huge that time, but they had faith in the
facing shortage of such preparations. However, new technology. Below are some Indian players
regulatory barriers were very stringent and facilities with their agile steps to strengthen their portfolio in
meeting such criteria along with the requirement of generic injectables range:
skilled human resource were a key issue for them.
Though capital investments are on the higher side for generic injectables when compared to the vanilla
generics, gross margins have increased over the years. This justifies investment in terms of capex for
adhering to USFDA cGMP standards and thus bringing a sustained growth pattern.
Manufacturing of biologics is a complex process production uses specialized processes that do not
as biological macromolecules are sensitive and always resemble facilities, machinery, or equipment
are produced from living cells. The complex used to produce chemical drugs. Construction and
manufacturing procedures can require fermentation, validation of new facilities is disproportionately
aseptic processing, storage and testing. Although expensive and also time consuming. This helps
the active ingredient of a chemical pharmaceutical explain the global shortage of bio-manufacturing
is usually a unique molecule subject to well- capacity and the cost differential between biologic
established analytical tests, but for biologics, the and chemical drugs.
active component often is a portion of a large
macromolecule. That macromolecule is in turn a Some key categories of biological agents or
modification of the original protein or polypeptide and complex medicines
other biological substances that may not be clearly
characterized. Protein and polypeptide products Hormone
can contain variable complexes, meaning that they
have variable numbers of identical components in A substance, usually a peptide or steroid,
the molecules. Also, biologics may have differences produced by one tissue and conveyed by the
in their surface sugars (glycosylation) or folding bloodstream to another to effect physiological
patterns, depending on how they are produced. With activity, such as growth or metabolism.
biologics, there is also potential for microbiological
contamination of the starting materials.
Interferons
Biologics are often heterogeneous molecules and/ Proteins that are normally produced by cells in
or polypeptides present, they have an impurity response to viral infection and other stimuli.
profile that depends on — and can vary with —
the processes used to make and test each batch.
With biologics, the protein mix must be defined, Interleukins
and the active agent and supporting agents must
be characterized. In other words, the product does A large group of cytokine proteins. Most are
not need to be homogeneous if the biologic acts via involved in directing other immune cells to
a molecular group. Blood, for instance, is a biologic divide and differentiate.
(according to U.S. Food and Drug Administration
classification) which is not composed of a single
Monoclonal Antibodies
uniform molecule.
A single species of immunoglobulin molecules
However, this doesn’t mean that there is a lack of produced by culturing a single clone of a
quality-control measures for biologic manufacture; hybridoma cell. Monoclonal Antibodies (Mabs)
actually, just the opposite is true. A typical recognize only one chemical structure, i.e.,
manufacturing process for a chemical drug might they are directed against a single epitope of the
contain 40 to 50 critical tests. The process for antigenic substance used to raise the antibody.
a biologic might contain 250 or more. Biologic
An agent containing antigens produced With biologic products, the manufacturing process
from killed, attenuated or live pathogenic is a part of the patent and is subject to regulatory
microorganisms, synthetic peptides, or by approval. Process changes trigger the need for new
recombinant organisms. Used for stimulating clinical trials, yielding greater development costs.
the immune system of the recipient to produce Partly to remedy this, the FDA’s Center for Biologics
specific antibodies providing active immunity Evaluation and Research (CBER) has developed
and/or passive immunity in the progeny. draft guidelines for a post approval comparability
protocol allowing companies to combine several
manufacturing changes into a single abbreviated
Dosage and distribution post approval application when they change their
process. Companies are not required to duplicate
Biologics can cost thousands of dollars monthly and
clinical studies after a drug manufacturing change, if
require special handling, as they are often less stable
they can show that it is bioequivalent and causes no
than chemically derived drugs and require controlled
new adverse reactions.
temperature and light, as well as protection from
jostling when in liquid form. For example, many Within the USFDA there are two centers- Center
large proteins cannot be shaken to reconstitute, as for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) and
shaking can destroy the protein structure. Center for Drug Evaluation and Research (CDER)
responsible for approving biologic products. CBER
Biologics are medications targeted to specific
works on vaccines, gene therapies, antitoxins and
genotypes or protein receptors. They are most
blood, while CDER works on monoclonal antibodies,
commonly stored, handled, and delivered by
growth factors, enzymes and immunomodulators.
specialty pharmacies, distributors that specialize
in administering complex-molecule products for
small populations and have specialized handling
and processing and mailing processes in place to
accommodate these complex medications. In many
ways, biologics are considered designer drugs that
are targeted for patients with uncommon diseases
or for genetic subclasses of patients who have
widely prevalent diseases.
Higher margins due to entry barriers (regulatory / legal barriers & technology barriers) as non-
oral solids or alternate dosage medicines encounter higher regulatory/ legal barriers and require
1 complex technology for manufacturing which helps the generic manufacturer quote for a higher
values and provide insulation from price-erosion to some extent.
First to market advantage to avoid pricing pressure associated with commoditization by targeting
2 niche disease range with specialty group of medicines to gain the first mover advantage
Focused therapeutics for targeted patient populations, also including drugs related to orphan
3 diseases which has benefits of quick approvals and extended patent life
Existence of complex diseases including chronic ones which requires personalized medicines,
4 complex procedures and technological advancements have enabled such specialty range of
medicines to be on a priority
Implants 11 NA
Respiratory
R&D (Delivery) Complexity
Complex Injectables
Liquids NA 1.9 Dermatologicals
Specialty Generic
Company
Drug Delivery
Experts
Licensing Experts
Portfolio Adapter
Some companies are experts in niche therapeutic E. Strategic partnerships to climb up the
areas, orphan diseases, etc. focussing on segments value ladder
which requires high end approach for therapy,
especially complex therapeutic areas like genetic- To augment pipelines and diversify portfolio the
metabolic disorders, cancer, rheumatoid arthritis, new and vibrant specialty pharma emerging today
hepatitis C, etc.), others focus on reformulating is going to significantly impact the overall industry
their existing branded generic products to increased with its functioning. Activities like M&A, strategic
therapeutic effect. Some are portfolio adopter partnership, collaborations, cross licensing, etc. are
which identify product portfolio which are de- going to be the key, as the trend is moving towards
prioritized by big pharma, after carefully assessing personalized medicines. On one hand a sound
market potential and future growth in terms of infrastructure with highly skilled workforce would
projected increase in sales volume by means of be critical for growth, while on the other hand in
additional development investments and intensive a dynamic scenario the specialty pharmaceutical
marketing. Licensing experts focus on early and manufacturers will have to seek partners that
late stage development candidates, as they hand have expertise in orphan drugs or partners who
hold such candidates towards final approval. Drug will take care of the supply chain management,
delivery experts target generic molecules and inventory services across the board, etc. in order
strategize on reformulating them to enhance their to have access to innovations and also adds on to
therapeutic applications, availability, etc. are some capabilities that can drive future internal R&D and
examples of the various business models operating streamline processes.
around specialty or complex range of therapeutics.
Each of these business models provides various
growth possibilities while combining them together
represents the entire specialty range.
• Understand & assess market size, patient population, epidemiology and explore opportunities, future
threats and disruptors
• Understand and stay informed about late-stage pipeline activities like new dosage forms (new
product technology) about to reach the market, readily assess the potential commercial success of
the product
• Build and manage a development pipeline and diversify portfolio. Identify gaps in target portfolio and
acquire smaller portfolios to diversify and expand business. Manage a strong pipeline of company
acquisitions to stay competitive
REGULATORY ADHERENCE
• Thoroughly understand and strictly adhere to regulatory compliance as per USFDA guidelines &
procedures
• Understand IPR nuances such as the patent landscape, the overall associated risk involvement,
creation of new patents, etc. Assess infringement risk, legal positioning, patent challenges, and
freedom