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Nickley & Bulluck - 2019 - WJO - RHWO Winter Roost
Nickley & Bulluck - 2019 - WJO - RHWO Winter Roost
ABSTRACT—In temperate regions, winter is characterized by high thermoregulatory demands and low food availability.
For woodpeckers, winter survival depends on selecting habitat that provides both suitable roost trees and adequate food. The
Red-headed Woodpecker (Melanerpes erythrocephalus) has experienced precipitous declines across much of its range in the
past 50 year, yet causes of declines remain elusive. Although previous studies have focused primarily on the breeding season,
understanding winter roost-site requirements is crucial for the maintenance of Red-headed Woodpecker populations across
the full annual cycle. Our study investigated winter roost-site characteristics at 3 spatial scales (roost patch, tree, and cavity)
in a 41 ha fire-affected forest stand located in northern Virginia. From February to April of 2016 we tracked Red-headed
Woodpeckers to 42 roost-sites during evening surveys. To determine the features driving roost-site selection, we compared
vegetation surrounding the roost to random sites within the same forest stand, and occupied roost snags (standing dead trees)
were compared to the closest available snag. Cavity height and orientation were also examined. We modelled roost-site
selection at both the patch and tree scales using logistic regression and identified important variables and their influence by
estimating regression coefficients and their model-averaged parameter weights. Habitat within the patch surrounding roost
trees had higher basal area of snags and mast-producing trees compared to random sites. Red-headed Woodpeckers selected
roost snags with signs of decay and showed preferences based on snag taxon. Our findings indicate that managing land that
produces and retains both snags and mature mast-producing trees will benefit overwintering populations of Red-headed
Woodpeckers. This study provides the first detailed analysis of winter roost-site selection in this declining species. Received
30 March 2018. Accepted 15 December 2018.
Key words: fire ecology, full annual cycle, Melanerpes erythrocephalus, Red-headed Woodpecker, roost-site selection,
winter habitat use
Selección de sitios-dormidero invernales del carpintero Melanerpes erythrocephalus en una parcela de bosque
incendiado
RESUMEN (Spanish)—En regiones templadas, el invierno se caracteriza por altas demandas termorregulatorias y baja disponibilidad de
alimento. Para los carpinteros, la supervivencia invernal depende de la selección de hábitat que les provea de árboles para dormideros y
alimentación adecuada. En los pasados 50 años, el carpintero Melanerpes erythrocephalus ha experimentado declives precipitados a lo largo
de buena parte de su rango, si bien las causas de tales declives siguen siendo elusivas. Aunque estudios previos se han enfocado
principalmente en la estación reproductiva, el entendimiento de los requerimientos de sitios-dormidero en invierno es crucial para el
mantenimiento de las poblaciones de este carpintero durante todo su ciclo anual. Nuestro estudio investigó las caracterı́sticas de sitios-
dormidero invernales a 3 escalas espaciales (parche de bosque donde se encuentra el dormidero, árbol y cavidad) en una parcela de bosque de
41 ha afectada por fuego, localizada en el norte de Virginia. De febrero a abril de 2016, seguimos a carpinteros a 42 sitios-dormidero durante
reconocimientos al final del dı́a. Para determinar las caracterı́sticas responsables de la selección de sitios-dormidero, comparamos vegetación
adyacente al dormidero con sitios aleatorios al interior de la misma parcela de bosque. Por su parte, los árboles muertos en pie ocupados como
dormideros fueron comparados con el árbol muerto disponible más cercano. La altura de la cavidad y la orientación también fueron
examinados. Modelamos la selección de sitios-dormidero a escala de parche de bosque y a escala de árbol usando una regresión logı́stica.
Identificamos variables importantes y su influencia por medio de la estimación de coeficientes de regresión y el peso de los parámetros de
modelos promediados. El hábitat al interior de la parcela que rodea los árboles-dormidero tuvo una mayor área basal de árboles muertos en pie
y de árboles semilleros comparado con sitios aleatorios. Los carpinteros seleccionaron como dormideros árboles muertos en pie con signos de
descomposición y mostraron preferencias con base en el taxón del árbol muerto. Nuestros hallazgos indican que el manejo de la tierra que
produce y retiene árboles muertos en pie y árboles semilleros maduros beneficia a las poblaciones invernantes de M. erythrocephalus. Este
estudio provee el primer análisis detallado de selección de sitios-dormidero en invierno para esta especie en declive. Recibido 30 marzo 2018.
Aceptado 15 diciembre 2018.
Palabras clave: carpintero, ciclo anual completo, ecologı́a del fuego, Melanerpes erythrocephalus, selección de sitios-dormidero, uso de
hábitat en invierno
Understanding species–habitat relationships is and the quantity and quality of those resources
essential for conservation. Habitats provide re- affect populations (Johnson 2007). The vast
sources necessary for survival and reproduction, majority of studies on species–habitat relationships
in vertebrates have focused on the breeding season
1
Department of Biology, Virginia Commonwealth (Marra et al. 2015). One reason for this bias is the
University, Richmond, VA, USA link between breeding habitat and reproductive
2
Center for Environmental Studies, Virginia Common-
wealth University, Richmond, VA, USA output—a key demographic parameter regulating
* Corresponding author: bnickley4@gmail.com populations. However, species requirements
1
2 The Wilson Journal of Ornithology Vol. 131, No. 4, December 2019
change across seasons and life history stages. designation by Partners in Flight (Rosenberg et al.
Narrowly focusing on one season risks missing 2016), prompting research into the causes of
key habitat dependencies at other times of the year declines. Recent breeding season studies suggest
(Fuller 2012). For most vertebrates, the opportu- loss and degradation of breeding habitat (Brawn
nity to breed comes only after surviving a 2006), interactions with predators (Koenig et al.
relatively long nonbreeding period (Marra et al. 2017) and nonnative competitors, and susceptibil-
2015). The availability and quality of nonbreeding ity to ecological traps (Frei et al. 2013) are all
habitat has been shown to affect survival (Sir- possible factors.
iwardena et al. 1998, Smith et al. 2014, Cirule et Although recent work has improved our under-
al. 2017) and even have consequences for body standing of this species’ habitat needs during the
condition (Marra et al. 1998), breeding success
breeding season, quantitative studies of habitat
(Norris et al. 2004), and survival (Duriez et al.
selection during the winter are scarce (Doherty et
2012) during the subsequent breeding season.
al. 1996). This presents a serious knowledge gap,
Hence, knowledge of habitat requirements during
as habitat needs of Red-headed Woodpeckers
the nonbreeding season is necessary to promote
conservation across the full annual cycle. change over the annual cycle. During the summer
Within the nonbreeding season, winter is a months, Red-headed Woodpeckers rely on open
particularly harsh period in temperate regions and habitats that provide space for aerial foraging
poses a survival challenge. Winter is characterized (Brawn 2006, Kilgo and Vukovich 2012, Berl et
by reduced food availability and increased ther- al. 2015). As insects become scarce in the fall and
moregulatory demands. Periods of increased winter, their diet undergoes a concomitant shift to
energetic demands are linked to increased mortal- hard mast (i.e., beech nuts and acorns; Frei et al.
ity (Newton 1998) and the availability of winter 2017). Red-headed Woodpeckers are responsive to
habitat that provides resources to meet these mast availability during fall migration and may
demands (i.e., food, shelter) can limit populations select overwinter sites with high mast tree density
(Siriwardena et al. 2008). (Bock et al. 1971, Smith and Scarlett 1987). Snags
To survive the rigors of winter, shelter is key. are an important resource throughout the year, but
Shelter comes in various forms, but for many the characteristics of snags selected by woodpeck-
species, the preferred form is a hollowed-out ers for breeding have been shown to differ from
cavity in a tree. Tree cavities provide shelter from those selected for roosting (Aubry and Raley
wind and rain (Cooper 1999), protect against 2002). Therefore, habitat characteristics associated
predators (Mainwaring 2011), and produce micro- with breeding success are expected to differ from
climates that are buffered from extreme tempera- those associated with overwinter survival. Detailed
tures (Paclik and Weidinger 2007, Coombs et al. knowledge of habitat requirements across the full
2010, Grüebler et al. 2014). While a variety of taxa annual cycle are needed to inform management
take advantage of tree cavities for shelter, the efforts aimed at mitigating the current population
creation of these cavities is the province of primary
trends.
cavity excavators: the woodpeckers. Woodpeckers
To address this knowledge gap, we studied Red-
are considered a keystone guild in forested
headed Woodpecker winter habitat associations.
regions, as the cavities they excavate are used by
up to a third of all non-excavating vertebrate taxa Our aim was to determine the features that drive
(Bunnell et al. 1999). Thus, managing forested winter roost-site selection at the patch, tree, and
habitat in a way that promotes woodpecker cavity scales. Winter habitat selection determines
populations benefits the entire overwintering the availability and quality of food and shelter
community. resources, which has consequences for survival.
The Red-headed Woodpecker (Melanerpes er- We expected that Red-headed Woodpeckers would
ythrocephalus) is a primary cavity excavator of the select winter roost sites with characteristics that
eastern deciduous forest that has experienced 68% promote their survival (see methods for specific
range-wide population declines over the past 45 hypotheses). We provide—for the first time—a
year (Rosenberg et al. 2016). Declines have detailed analysis of winter roost-site selection in
resulted in a ‘‘species of continental concern’’ this declining keystone species.
Nickley and Bulluck Red-headed Woodpecker winter roost-site selection 3
Figure 1. Our focal stand spanned an environmental gradient. Red-headed Woodpeckers responded to variation in vegetation
and clustered their territories in the north end of the stand, where snags and mature oaks were abundant. Roosts were found in
the winter of 2016 (n ¼ 42) during repeated systematic nighttime surveys at survey points (n ¼ 39). Roost kernel density is
shown in grayscale: dark shading corresponds with high roost densities. Cover type classification was based on the VGIN
Virginia Land Cover Product.
established 42 random points using the random strates to excavate their cavities (Bent 1964), so
points feature in ArcGIS 10.3. To make sure that comparing a random tree to the roost tree would
we did not overlap our vegetation measurements, not be appropriate. We measured the same features
we set the minimum distance between roost for the closest snag as for the roost snag.
locations and random points to 32.6 m. All habitat
measurements for the plots centered on random Statistical analyses
points were the same as for plots centered on roost
trees. To compare roost trees to available trees, we We used logistic regression to determine which
measured characteristics of the snag (10 cm dbh, variables drove roost-site selection at the patch and
5 m height) that was the shortest distance from tree scales. Variables included were based on
the roost snag. Red-headed Woodpeckers are weak hypotheses about the role each variable plays in
excavators and require decadent (decayed) sub- influencing roost-site selection (Table 1). At the
Nickley and Bulluck Red-headed Woodpecker winter roost-site selection 5
Table 1. Variables and hypotheses for habitat features thought to be important for roost-site selection. Variables at the patch
and tree scales were used in our logistic regression models to evaluate their influence and relative importance in driving either
roost patch or roost tree selection.
Patch Snag basal area Higher values provide (1) larger snags that are more stable and insulated and/or (2)
greater numbers of snags for alternate roosts.
Mast basal area Higher values provides more acorns.
Non-mast basal area Higher values provides more cover and shelter.
Snag basal area*Mast Since snags and mast trees provide complementary resources, the presence of both
basal area together will have a stronger positive effect than the sum effect of snag BA and
mast BA individually.
Tree Diameter at breast Thicker trees are less prone to windthrow and provide better insulation.
height
Dead limbs More dead limbs provide more substrates for scatter hoarding and potential
roost-cavity sites.
Percent bark Less bark limits access by ground predators.
Crown condition Cavity excavation is easier in trees with broken crowns.
Taxon Investigate potential tree species preference.
Cavity Cavity orientation South-facing orientation preferred for thermoregulation.
Cavity height Higher cavities are better protected from ground predators.
patch scale, many of our variables were correlated model weights. This approach allowed us to
(r 0.5), so we chose a single variable from a pair minimize the effect of uninformative parameters,
of correlated variables to include in our models while still considering all variables of interest
(Quinn and Keough 2002). To reduce variables (Burnham and Anderson 2002, Arnold 2010). We
and minimize multicollinearity, we computed used Wilcoxon rank sum tests to compare patch
combined variables for tree taxa (i.e., white oak, variables between roost and available patches due
red oak, and beech were combined into a mast tree to non-normality.
category) and used basal area as the preferred We used a similar logistic regression approach
measure for tree density, as it scales density by for our analysis of roost-tree selection. At the tree
diameter. We standardized values from this subset scale, we included a nominal variable for tree
of predictor variables and used them to model the taxon and 4 continuous variables: dbh of the roost
odds that a patch contained a Red-headed
tree, number of dead limbs, crown condition, and
Woodpecker roost. We used the R package glmulti
percent bark. In order to include a nominal
(Calcagno 2013, R Core Team 2016) to develop a
variable, we dummy coded tree taxon into 4
fully parameterized global model and all possible
binary variables accounting for each tree taxon,
subsets of reduced models. All model terms are
except red oak—the most common taxon—which
equally frequent in the model set, allowing for
we used as the reference on which the other 4
balanced model averaging (Anderson 2008, Ar-
nold 2010). The global model included 4 param- variables were interpreted (Quinn and Keough
eters: snag basal area, mast tree basal area, non– 2002). All possible models were run and com-
mast tree basal area, and a term for the interaction pared, as above, and we computed the model
of snag basal area with mast tree basal area. Since averaged parameter estimates, their 85% confi-
our primary objective was to determine the relative dence intervals, and cumulative AIC model
influence of predictor variables on roost-patch weights. To quantify differences between the roost
selection, instead of identifying a single ‘‘best’’ snag and the closest available snag, we compared
model from a preestablished model set, we used the number of cavities, number of dead limbs, and
model averaging to sum AIC model weights across percent bark using Wilcoxon rank sum tests due to
all models for each predictor variable included. We non-normality; we compared dbh and tree height
computed the model averaged parameter estimates, using t-tests; and we compared tree taxon using
their 85% confidence intervals, and cumulative Fisher’s exact test and standardized residuals.
6 The Wilson Journal of Ornithology Vol. 131, No. 4, December 2019
To investigate preferences for cavity placement, living trees did not differ between roost (16.98 m2
we used the Rayleigh test of uniformity to ha1, IQR ¼ 9.97 to 26.60) and available patches
determine if cavity orientation differed from (13.98 m2 ha1, IQR ¼ 6.96 to 22.20, W ¼ 771.0, P
random (Batschelet 1981). Cavity height is limited ¼ 0.323). Snag basal area was higher in roost
by roost tree height, so mean cavity height does patches (5.54 m2 ha1, IQR ¼ 3.06 to 7.89) than in
not indicate a preference for cavity height per se. available patches (0.38 m2 ha1, IQR ¼ 0.00 to
To explore the partial dependent relationship 2.05, W ¼ 326.00, P , 0.001). Results from
between cavity height and tree height, we statistical tests comparing basal area for our tree
regressed the cube-root transformed cavity posi- taxa categories were comparable when tree density
tion (i.e., distance from the top of the roost tree) (number of trees ha1) was used instead of basal
against tree height and used our model to predict area, so we only report the latter. Structural
cavity height from tree height. differences between patches at the shrub level
All analyses were performed in R 3.3.2 and were also significant: roost patches had fewer
RStudio 1.1.383 (RStudio Team 2015, R Core small trees and shrubs (12.46 ha1, IQR ¼ 0.00 to
Team 2016). We used the R package suite 137.11) than available patches (349.00 ha1, IQR
tidyverse to manipulate data and create plots (R ¼ 43.62 to 860.03, W ¼ 1265.00, P , 0.001).
Core Team 2016, Wickham 2017). We based P- Roost patches had more dead limbs (99.71 ha1,
values on 2-tailed tests. When data were not IQR ¼ 56.09 to 230.59) compared to available
normally distributed, we used nonparametric tests patches (49.86 ha1, IQR ¼ 0.00 to 99.71, W ¼
and report the median and the interquartile range 537.50, P ¼ 0.002).
(IQR). Otherwise, we used parametric tests and Roost sites also differed at the tree scale. Roost
report the mean and standard deviation (SD). We snags differed from the closest snag taxonomically
report 85% confidence intervals, instead of the (P ¼ 0.003), with red oaks selected (std. residual ¼
standard 95%, to be fully compatible with AIC 2.03) and Virginia pines avoided (std. residual ¼
(Arnold 2010). 2.99) by Red-headed Woodpeckers (Fig. 3a).
Crown condition differed between roost snags and
the closest snag, with roost snags having a greater
Results proportion of broken crowns (P ¼ 0.003; Fig. 3b).
Roost snags tended to be larger in diameter (31.27
We found 42 Red-headed Woodpecker roosts
cm, SD 11.58) than the closest available snag (Fig.
during the winter of 2016. We found at least one
3c; 25.87 cm, SD 7.91, t ¼ 2.19, P ¼ 0.031), but
roost for every 1 ha grid we surveyed where a Red-
this difference was not significant after adjusting
headed Woodpecker was detected. Roost density
for multiple testing (a ¼ 0.01). They did not differ
for occupied grids was 1.83 ha1, and overall
in the percentage of bark (75%, IQR ¼ 40.00 to
density in the focal stand was 1.02 ha1. Roosts
80.00 vs. 60%, IQR ¼ 26.25 to 90.00, W ¼ 922.00,
were primarily located in the denser mixed woods
P ¼ 0.722), and neither roost snags nor closest
in the northern part of the focal stand, with
available snags tended to have dead limbs (0.00,
clustering in areas with abundant snags and oaks IQR ¼ 0.00 to 0.00 vs. 0.00, IQR ¼ 0.00 to 0.00, W
(Fig. 1). ¼ 819.50, P ¼ 0.604).
Roost cavity height varied (10.45 m, SD 3.68),
Habitat measurements
but was limited by roost snag height (12.72 m, SD
Density plots show that roost-sites differed from 5.58). The roost cavity was often near the top of
available sites at the patch scale (Fig. 2). Roost the roost snag (median distance ¼ 0.50 m, IQR ¼
patches had higher mast tree basal area (11.74 m2 0.20 to 2.30). Our regression analysis indicates
ha1, IQR ¼ 6.62 to 22.19) compared to available roost snag height explained 51.9% of variability of
patches (2.82 m2 ha1, IQR ¼ 0.00 to 9.97, W ¼ cavity height relative to the snag top (R2 ¼ 0.519,
457.00, P , 0.001), while non–mast tree basal F1,40 ¼ 43.24, P , 0.001). Since our aim was to
area was lower in roost patches (3.82 m2 ha1, IQR determine if Red-headed Woodpeckers have a
¼ 0.74 to 5.77), compared to available patches preference for cavity height per se, we used our
(7.21 m2 ha1, IQR ¼ 3.74 to 15.35, W ¼ 1260.50, regression model to predict cavity height over the
P , 0.001). However, combined basal area of all range of roost snag heights (Fig. 4; range ¼ 2.8–
Nickley and Bulluck Red-headed Woodpecker winter roost-site selection 7
Figure 2. Density curves of habitat variables measured at roost patches (n ¼ 42) and randomly established availability
patches (n ¼ 42). Asterisk (*) indicates significance at the 0.05 level after Bonferroni correction (a ¼ 0.008).
8 The Wilson Journal of Ornithology Vol. 131, No. 4, December 2019
Figure 3. Characteristics of roost trees compared to the closest available snag. (a) A count of snags by taxon, (b) proportion
of snags with either broken or intact crowns, and (c) snag diameter at breast height.
26.8 m). Cavity orientation did not differ from show Red-headed Woodpecker roost-site selection
random (z ¼ 0.1317, P ¼ 0.512). was positively influenced by snag basal area and
Variables driving roost-site selection—Our 2 mast basal area, while non-mast basal area had a
roost-site selection model sets were constructed negative effect. The odds of a patch containing a
from variables hypothesized to be important for Red-headed Woodpecker roost increased 3.12
this species at either the patch or tree scale. At the times for each SD (3.91 m2 ha1) increase in snag
patch scale, the most important variable was snag basal area. A single SD (10.69 m2 ha1) increase in
basal area, followed by mast basal area and non- mast tree basal area more than doubled the odds of
mast basal area (Table 2). The interaction term for a patch containing a roost. To the contrary, a SD
mast basal area*non-mast basal was the least (6.54 m2 ha1) increase in non-mast tree basal area
important. Model averaged adjusted odds ratios decreased the odds of a patch being a roost patch
Nickley and Bulluck Red-headed Woodpecker winter roost-site selection 9
Importance
Scale Parameter Estimate 85% CI weight
ers to economize on defense by selecting patches this preference. Some tree species produce defen-
with clustered resources. These patches may also sive chemicals that inhibit fungal growth and slow
be targeted by migrating individuals making the process of decay, even after death (Campbell
settlement decisions in the fall, as they are more and Clark 1960). Specifically, Harmon (1982)
conspicuous (Saab and Dudley 1998). Therefore, found that heartwood in oaks decayed at a faster
areas with high resource density may limit winter rate than pines in the southern Appalachians.
habitat selection in this species and influence However, it is important to consider that decay in
overwinter survival. wood is a continuum (Cain 1996). The preference
In addition to preferences for habitat character- we observed for red oaks in 2016 may shift to
istics surrounding the roost patch, we show that Virginia pines, as red oaks decay further and
Red-headed Woodpeckers are sensitive to fine- become too unstable and porous to provide shelter,
scale differences among potential roost trees. Tree while Virginia pines decay enough to allow
condition, specifically broken crown status, greatly excavation.
increased the odds of a snag being a roost. While Contrary to our predictions, percent bark and
we are unaware of any studies that investigated cavity orientation had no influence on roost snag
winter roost tree preferences for Red-headed selection. Red-headed Woodpeckers have been
Woodpeckers, Hudson and Bollinger (2013) shown to prefer smooth snags as nest sites during
observed that nest chambers were more frequently the breeding season, possibly to inhibit access by
excavated in snags with broken crowns. Broken ground predators, such as snakes (Hudson and
crowns expose heartwood and gather moisture, Bollinger 2013). During the winter, predation from
forming a suitable substrate for colonization of ectothermic snakes is unlikely. Additionally,
lignicolous fungi, responsible for heartwood mammals likely pose less of a threat to roosting
softening (Haggard and Gaines 2001, Jackson adult Red-headed Woodpeckers, with the ability to
and Jackson 2004). We found roost cavities were flush and escape predation, than they do their eggs
often located within 0.5 m from the top of a broken and chicks. With regard to roost cavity orientation,
snag, further supporting this idea. Although decay south-facing cavities are warmer on average
makes cavity excavation easier, it also compro- (Wiebe 2001, Coombs et al. 2010), and wood-
mises the structural stability of the snag (Thomas peckers in northern latitudes tend to orient cavities
et al. 1979). But the benefits of advanced decay toward the south (Landler et al. 2014). But factors
may outweigh the costs for winter roost-tree other than solar radiation influence the thermal
selection, in contrast to nest-tree selection. Winter properties of the roost cavity. Covert-Bratland et
roost excavation occurs simultaneously with the al. (2007) found that Hairy Woodpeckers (Dry-
most active period of hard mast collection and obates villosus) excavated cavities that oriented
caching in the fall (Moskovits 1978). Selecting a away from prevailing winter winds, rather than
roost tree that is easier to excavate frees up time to toward the sun. Also, Red-headed Woodpeckers
gather mast. In contrast to nest trees that contain may be limited in their ability to orient a cavity
the brood, stability of winter roost trees is less of a based solely on thermal benefits, as wood hardness
concern, provided other suitable roost sites are likely factors into their decision (Jackson and
within the winter territory. This may also be why Jackson 2004).
we did not find dbh to be a significant predictor of Optimal cavity height is thought to vary from
winter roost trees. Although Red-headed Wood- species to species based on a variety of ecological
peckers prefer larger-diameter snags during the factors (Jackson and Jackson 2004). Covert-Brat-
breeding season for their structural support (Vierl- land et al. (2007) found Hairy Woodpecker winter
ing and Lentile 2006, Berl et al. 2015), the roost cavities were 8 m (SD 2) from the ground,
necessity of finding a snag that can be quickly and while tree height was 18.9 m (SD 2.7). In that
efficiently excavated may override preferences for study, cavities were not limited by tree height, and
larger-diameter snags in the winter. the mean cavity height accurately reflects cavity
Red-headed Woodpeckers also discriminated height preference. In our study, cavity height was
among available snags taxonomically, with a clear limited by roost tree height, with cavities on
preference for red oak and against Virginia pines. shorter snags often situated near the top of the
Taxon-specific rates of wood decay may underlie snag. Our median cavity height was 9.6 m;
12 The Wilson Journal of Ornithology Vol. 131, No. 4, December 2019
Woodpeckers as well as a diversity of other Brown JL. 1964. The evolution of diversity in avian
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This study was funded by the United States Department Chambers CL, Mast JN. 2005. Ponderosa pine snag
of Defense. We thank Fort A.P. Hill Environmental and dynamics and cavity excavation following wildfire in
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