Cement production in Africa suffers from a myriad ofproblems.
These include high energy costs, cheap
importsand over capacity but it still attracts new entrants each yeargiven the fact that the continent is ripe with majorinfrastructure projects in the pipeline and demand continuesto rise year on year. However, high production costs and lowpriced imports plagues the development of the local cementproduction industry. Add to this a growing over capacity. In2020 the market faced the additional challenges paused bythe Covid pandemic.East AfricaIn Tanzania the country faced its worst crisis in recent yearswhen all four cement producers closed down ostensibly formaintenance purposes in the latter part of 2020. Thisresulted in diminished supplies to the construction industrywhich saw the price of cement rise significantly promptingthe government try to intervene and clamp down on dealerswho were hoarding the commodity. Surprisingly this camedespite the county having an overcapacity as demand standsat about 5.5million tons against a production capacity ofabout 10 million tons. Cut throat pricing and cheap importshas meant razer thin profit marginsTanzania cement production capacity standsat 10 million tons per annumThe four main cement manufacturers are Twiga Cementbased in Dar es Salaam, Tanga Cement in Tanga, MbeyaCement in Mbeya and Dangote Cement located in Mtwara inSouthern region.In Kenya the price of cement has remained relatively steadyin 2020 with cement price per 50kg bag standing at aroundKsh650 when compared to the turmoil witnessed inTanzania and Nigeria. The cooling off of investor interest isevident with no new plants having come up recently. InWest Pokot region Cemtech, a subsidiary of India’s SanghiGroup has sold off its interests in the limestone rich area toa local firm after failing to move forward in establishing anew cement plant in the area that had been slated at a costof over US$100 million.Kenya cement production capacity stands at13 million tons per annumThe market in Kenya is gearing for sustained growth owingto infrastructure projects that have taken off and thepandemic has had little impact in the market for the longterm. Current demand is estimated at 6 million tons perannum against a production capacity of 13million tons.West AfricaIn Nigeria the year closed with a spike in the price ofcement from NGN2600/50kg to NGN3500/50kg with pricesreaching even NGN4500 in outlying areas. Players in theindustry stated that the rise was due to the transportlogistics owing to an increase in fuel costs along withheightened demand in an environment of reducedproduction as plants carry shutdown for maintenance. Amove also seen in Tanzania that seems to be a trend asproducers opt for reduced production in order to shore-upprices.The key players in Nigeria are Dangote (29Mtpa), Lafarge(10.5 tpa) and BUA who have a combined capacity of about45 million tons per annum against a demand of about 25million tpa.Nigeria cement production capacity standsat 45 million tons per annumDespite this over-capacity the price of cement remains highin the country compared to its neighbors.South AfricaOverall the South African market is awakening from thepandemic at the end of the year with infrastructure andhousing projects kicking in. However a dark clouds looms onthe horizon with the expiry of tariff restrictions on cheapcement imports from the East which is seem as the greatestrisk to the industry. The feeling amongst industry players isthat the cheap imports will have a negative impact on thesustainability of the local industry if they are not extended.Cheap blended alternatives also pose a threat to the higherquality standards of local products.South Africa cement production capacity stands at 20 milliontons per annumImportsAcross Africa dumping of cheap cement from far eastmarkets continues to plague the local industry distortingpricing and depressing demand for locally produced cement.The lack of protection of local markets threatens its viabilitywhich sluggish demand in 2020 due to the pandemic hasonly exacerbated matters.Infrastructure and housing projects willoffer a glimmer of hope for cementproduction.Cement production in Africa will likely face consolidation asthe impact of increased production and competition forcessmaller players to shut down. The entry of Chinese in thisscenario as they buy in could cause further woes for thelocal industry. ARM in Tanzania has already been bought bya Chinese firm. Newer firms that are more efficient andenvironmentally friendly will be the winners in the race.