Defita Ayu Sagita

TUGAS ANALISIS REGRESI

PERTEMUAN X

Lakukan prediksi BB dengan variabel independen TB, BTL, dan AK.

a. Hitung SS for Regression ( X 3|X 1 , X 2 ) ;

b. Hitung SS for Residual;

c. Hitung Means SS for Regression ( X 3|X 1 , X 2 ) ;

d. Hitung Means SS for Residual;
e. Hitung nilai F parsial;
f. Hitung nilai r2;
g. Buktikan bahwa penambahan X3 berperan dalam memprediksi Y.
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BB TB BTL AK
79.2 149 54.1 2670
64.0 152 44.3 820
67.0 155.7 47.8 1210
78.4 159 53.9 2678
66.0 163.3 47.5 1205
63.0 166 43 815
65.9 169 47.1 1200
63.1 172 44.0 1180
73.2 174.5 44.1 1850
66.5 176.1 48.3 1260
61.9 176.5 43.5 1170
72.5 179 43.3 1852
101.1 182 66.4 1790
66.2 170.4 47.5 1250
99.9 184.9 66 1889
63.0 169 44 915

BB = Berat Badan
TB = Tinggi Badan
BTL = Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
AK =Asupan Kalori
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Jawab:
Model 1. BB = β0 + β1 TB

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
a
1 ,378 ,143 ,081 11,8405
a. Predictors: (Constant), Tinggi Badan

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 326,204 1 326,204 2,327 ,149b
Residual 1962,751 14 140,196
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Tinggi Badan

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -2,492 48,880 -,051 ,960
Tinggi Badan ,441 ,289 ,378 1,525 ,149
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Estimasi model 1 BB = -2.492 + 0.441 TB

Model 2. BB = β0 + β1 BTL

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
1 ,945a ,893 ,886 4,1735
a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak
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ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 2045,099 1 2045,099 117,411 ,000b
Residual 243,855 14 17,418
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -4,303 7,112 -,605 ,555
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak 1,554 ,143 ,945 10,836 ,000
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Estimasi model 2 BB = -4.303 + 1.554 BTL

Model 3. BB = β0 + β1 AK

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
a
1 ,617 ,381 ,337 10,0593
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 872,301 1 872,301 8,620 ,011b
Residual 1416,653 14 101,190
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori
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ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 872,301 1 872,301 8,620 ,011b
Residual 1416,653 14 101,190
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori

Estimasi model 3 BB = 52.517 + 0.013 AK

Model 4. BB = β0 + β1 TB + β2 BTL

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
1 ,954a ,910 ,896 3,9870
a. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak, Tinggi Badan

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 2082,309 2 1041,154 65,499 ,000b
Residual 206,645 13 15,896
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak, Tinggi Badan

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -27,527 16,631 -1,655 ,122
Tinggi Badan ,155 ,101 ,132 1,530 ,150
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak 1,496 ,142 ,910 10,511 ,000
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Estimasi model 4 BB = -27.527 + 0.155 TB + 1.496 BTL

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Model 5. BB = β0 + β1 TB + β3 AK

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
a
1 ,747 ,557 ,489 8,8280
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori, Tinggi Badan

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 1275,821 2 637,911 8,185 ,005b
Residual 1013,133 13 77,933
Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori, Tinggi Badan

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -31,333 37,369 -,838 ,417
Tinggi Badan ,492 ,216 ,421 2,275 ,040
Asupan Kalori ,014 ,004 ,646 3,491 ,004
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Estimasi model 5 BB = -31.333 + 0.492 TB + 0.014 AK

Model 6. BB = β0 + β1 TB + β2 BTL + β3 AK

Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
a
1 ,969 ,939 ,923 3,4224
a. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori, Tinggi Badan, Berat Badan
Tanpa Lemak

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 2148,400 3 716,133 61,141 ,000b
Residual 140,554 12 11,713
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Total 2288,954 15
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan
b. Predictors: (Constant), Asupan Kalori, Tinggi Badan, Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -33,412 14,489 -2,306 ,040
Tinggi Badan ,210 ,090 ,180 2,339 ,037
Berat Badan Tanpa Lemak 1,291 ,150 ,785 8,631 ,000
Asupan Kalori ,004 ,002 ,209 2,375 ,035
a. Dependent Variable: Berat Badan

Estimasi model 6 BB = -33.412 + 0.210 TB + 1.291 BTL + 0.004 AK

ANOVA Tabel untuk BB dengan TB,BTL,AK

SUMBER df SS MS F 2
r
X1 1 326,204 326,204 27.849

Regresi X1|X2 1 2045,099 2045,099 174.600 0,938

X3 | X1, X2 1 66.091 66.091 5.642

Residual 12 140,554 11,713

Total 15 2288,954

No Model Estimasi F 2
r
1 Y = -2.492 + 0.441 TB (0.289) 2,327 0.143
2 Y = -4.303 + 1.554 BTL (0.143)* 117.411 0.893
3 Y = 52.517 + 0.013 AK (0.004)* 8.620 0,381
4 Y = -27.527 + 0.155 TB + 1.496 BTL (0.101) (0.142)* 65.499 0.910
5 Y = -31.333 + 0.492 TB + 0.014 AK (0.216) (0.004)* 8.185 0.557
z6 Y = -33.412+ 0.210 TB + 1.291 BTL + 0.004 AK (0.90 ) (0.150)* 61.141 0.938
(0.002)
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Dari ke enam model estimasi terlihat bahwa variabel TB dan BTL secara konsisten

berpengaruh terhadap BB (p>0.05). Pada model estimasi 1 nilai r 2 sebesar 0.143 bila

dibandingkan dengan model estimasi 4 penambahan nilai r 2 relatif besar yaitu, 0.910 terjadi

penambahan sebesar 0.767, penambahan terhadap r2 ini berarti dalam meprediksi variabel BB.

Namun, pada estimasi 6 jika dibandingkan dengan estimasi 4, penambahan nilai r2 relatif kecil

yaitu, 0.939, hanya 0.029, ini sangat tidak berarti.

Kesimpulannya, variabel TB dan BTL sangat bermakna pengaruhnya terhadap BB.

Sebaliknya penambahan variabel AK tidak berperan dalam menjelaskan variasi BB dan tidak

perlu menambahkan variabel tersebut kedalam model.

Model akhir : Y = -27.527 + 0.155 TB + 1.496 BTL