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In the past two decades, the waste electrical and electronic equipment (WEEE) management has
become an important environmental issue internationally because it contained hazardous
substances like heavy metals and brominated flame retardants.
As described above, the electrical and electronic equipment often contained polychlorinated
biphenyls, and flame retardants like polybrominated biphenyls and polybrominated diphenyl
ethers. These persistent organic compounds pose some human health and environmental risks
due to their high bioaccumulation and bioconcentration factors, thus listed as POPs in the
Stockholm Convention since 2009.
4. Analysis of air quality and health co-benefits regarding electric vehicle promotion cou-
pled with power plant emissions
To evaluate this clean air policy, Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) - Community
Multiscale Air Quality model (CMAQ) and Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP)
were applied in scenarios discussion. It could be seen that air pollution is increasingly endange-
ring people’s lives and has become a growing public health concern in the globe.
Most studies in the field of air quality policies have only focused on the reduction concentration,
air pollution prevention measures must be developed based on the data relating to its economic
benefits or health benefits. In order to quantify the relevance between the improvement of air
quality and improvement of human health, the health benefits calculation system in relation to
air pollution, BenMAP (Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program), was applied
for quantifying changes in health benefits before and after the improvement of air quality.
Findings of this study were improved the policy of electric vehicles is useful to the air quality
and the health benefit. Further research could usefully explore how to calculate the power
consumption of transportation, the economic benefits which required for the infrastructure
construction. The battery charging station and terminal power consumption may increase, and
the loss of related infrastructure needs to be considered.
8. Lithium-Based Batteries
The field of advanced power sources and replacing many others batteries in the marked, parti-
cularly in the areas of communications, computers, electronics, and in more power demanding
devices such as power tools as well as in the automotive field. The distinguishing features of to-
day’s commercial Li-ion batteries are: Excellent safety:
US Department of Transportation, Dangerous Materials Division, has declared Li-ion batte-
ries exempt from dangerous materials regulations (no potentially unstable and harmful li-
thium metal).
Non-polluting: it does not use toxic heavy metals such as Pb, Cd or Hg.
An overview of the main characteristics of the most important secondary battery Systems
Other than performance and safety enhancements, the principal remaining challenges for the fu-
ture development and widespread of LIBs are to reduce both the production and the overall de-
vice cost, to identify environmentally friendly materials and production processes and to develop
easily recyclable and up-scalable devices. In this context, the use of water processable biosour-
ced polymers, such as cellulose and its derivatives, to replace synthetic polymer binders and se-
parators is emerging as a viable route towards the development of green materials and pro-
cesses for Li-ion battery manufacturing.
9. Addressing the Sustainability Issue in Smart Cities: A Comprehensive Model for Evalua-
ting the Impacts of Electric Vehicle Diffusion (foarte ok modelul)
The present paper proposes a model for evaluating environmental, social, and economic impacts
exerted by the di_usion of electric vehicles (EVs), which is a phenomenon that can significantly
affect the achievement of some of the objectives set by the Sustainable Development Agenda.
The impact evaluation is carried out through the System Dynamics methodology, combined with
scenario analysis. In more detail, by adopting a comprehensive and systemic approach, this ar-
ticle aims at evaluating the impacts exerted by the partial substitution of the conventional ve-
hicle fleet with electric vehicles. Impacts under the lens have to do with the environment and cli-
mate change (Sustainable Development Goal 13), population health and well-being (Sustainable
Development Goal 3), and the development of smart cities (Sustainable Development Goal 11).
become a crucial topic for the scientific community.
EVs’ impacts have been investigated through two main methodologies: Life Cycle Assessment
(LCA) and Scenario Analysis. The first methodology (LCA) [17] has been adopted primarily for
studying environmental impacts in terms of greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption
[18]. These kinds of LCA models, however, rarely account for socioeconomic effects and, due to
this reason, may not be suffcient to fully assess the long-term sustainability of alternative ve-
hicles’ diffusion. On the other hand, scenario analysis [19] can be combined with di_usion mo-
delling and/or simulation techniques (e.g., System Dynamics, Agent-based modelling) in order to
shed light on the causal relationships existing among the several variables that are part of a
complex system.
The model has been built and verified by means of Vensim software (Harvard, MA, USA - Venta-
na Systems, Inc—Vensim (Harvard, MA, USA). Available online: http://vensim.com/ (accessed
on 7 June 2019).
Whilst the chosen time horizon is 12 years (until 2030), the simulation time step equals one year.
In the conclusive remarks, it is crucial to also discuss some of the limitations that characterize
the
presented work, as they may represent an interesting starting point for future research. For
example, the incentive mechanism has been modelled by studying the theoretical relationship
between incentives and the new BEV market share [36], and it is assumed to be constant over
time. As projections show an upward trend in sales of electric vehicles [37], this assumption
might be reviewed in future works. Furthermore, additional research should be undertaken on
the relationship between the total amount of pollutant emissions and their related costs in order
to build the the model on more updated data and, to the extent possible, consider a wider range
of pollutants.
10. Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis—Overview, Assessment, and Selection Crite-
ria (f ok 2.4.2 Systematic-formalized scenario techniques ca tehnica)
“Scenario” is “a fuzzy concept that is used and misused, with various shades of meaning”
(Mietzner / Reger 2004, 50). In the context of futurology, however, scenarios can also represent
far more complex products which include the interactions of a plethora of variables.
A scenario is defined by many authors as :
– a description of a possible future situation (conceptual future),
– including paths of development which may lead to that future situation.
In contrast to a conceptual future, which merely represents a hypothetical future state of affairs,
a scenario describes the developments, the dynamics, and the moving forces from which a speci-
fic conceptual future results.
The methodological decision for proceeding either qualitatively or quantitatively has direct
consequences regarding the possible degree of formalization of the scenario technique to be
used. To put it provocatively and ideal- typically, quantitative approaches have recourse to ma-
thematical models, qualitative approaches on the other hand have recourse to narrative and/or
literary techniques. Participants Scenario processes also differ in the types of persons who parti-
cipate in their development or evaluation. Depending on the degree of involvement, three rough
types of participants may be distinguished:
– Scientists / consultants
– (Internal and/or external) experts or persons actively involved, stakeholders
with a personal interest
– “Those affected“: citizens, consumers, employees, etc
Quantitative trend analyses are used above all in areas like demography, economics, and tech-
nology, provided that solid collections of data which extend far enough into the past are avai-
lable (cf. Strategic Futures Team 2001, 5). A typical procedure is the collection and processing
of data, the identification of logical or systematic processes of development, and the statistical
projection of these into the future (cf. Steinmüller 2002b, 26). Such extrapolations can take place
as calculations ranging in form from processes of linear logic to complex S-curves (Gordon
1994a, 3). Such calculations have the advantage of being relatively uncomplicated and requiring
little effort; they are verifiable on the logical-intersubjective plane, and it is possible to subject
them to statistical reliability validity testing (cf. Strategic Futures Team 2001, 6)
Qualitative trend analysis (cf. Strategic Futures Team 2001, 7 f.) is employed when no quantita-
tive data are available and/or quantitative delineation of the respective trends is possible but in-
adequate. This is often the case when the development of “softer” factors such as social aspects
(standards and values) or institutional and political aspects is to be followed.
Homer JB. 2012. Partial-model testing as a validation tool for system dynamics
(1983). System Dynamics Review 28(3): 281–294.
Kosow, H.; Gaßner, R. Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis—Overview, Assessment, and Selection Criteria;
German Development Institute (DIE) Studies: Bonn, Germany, 2008.