Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Yemen Final
Yemen Final
NOVEMBER 2009
RAGUI ASSAAD
GHADA BARSOUM
EMILY CUPITO
DANIEL EGEL
WO R K I N G PA P E R
TH E MI DDLE EAST YOUTH I N ITIATIVE
Youth Exclusion in Yemen:
Tackling the Twin Deficits of Human Development
and Natural Resources
RAGUI ASSAAD
GHADA BARSOUM
EMILY CUPITO
DANIEL EGEL
Ragui Assaad is Professor of Planning and Public Affairs at the Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public
Affairs at the University of Minnesota. He was formerly the regional director for West Asia and North Af-
rica at Population Council. Assaad is editor of The Egyptian Labor Market in an Era of Reform (American
University in Cairo Press, 2002) and has authored numerous publications on labor markets, gender and
economics in the Middle East. Assaad is co-author of “Youth Exclusion in Egypt: In Search of ‘Second
Chances,’” (Middle East Youth Initiative Working Paper 2, 2007).
Ghada Barsoum is author of “The Employment Crisis of Female Graduates in Egypt: An Ethnographic
Account” (Cairo Papers in Social Science, 2004) and “Who Gets Credit? The Gendered Division of Micro-
finance Programs in Egypt” (Canadian Journal of Development Studies, 2006). Barsoum is also co-author
of “Youth Exclusion in Egypt: In Search of ‘Second Chances,’” (Middle East Youth Initiative Working Paper
2, 2007). She received her PhD from University of Toronto in 2005 and is currently a Research Associate at
the Population Council, West Asia and North Africa office.
Emily Cupito is a consultant with the Population Council in Cairo, Egypt. She is also the co-author of
“Inclusiveness in Higher Education in Egypt” (forthcoming 2009). She earned her Master’s in Public Pol-
icy from Duke University in May 2008. She holds a B.A. in Economics and Public Policy Analysis from the
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. She is currently a Presidential Management Fellow with the
Social Security Administration’s Office of Retirement Policy in Washington, D.C.
Daniel Egel is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Economics at the University of California, Berke-
ley. His research interests are applied microeconometrics and development economics. He is currently
working as a consultant with the Social Fund for Development in Yemen. Egel is co-author of “Youth Exclu-
sion in Iran: The State of Education, Employment and Family Formation,” (Middle East Youth Initiative
Working Paper 3, 2007).
Figure 3.4: Share of Youth Engaging in Market Work, Wage and Salary Work and Formal Wage and
Salary Work ............................................................................................................................................. 29
Figure 3.6: Origin of Internal Migrants by Current Location............................................................... 32
Figure 3.7: Destination of Youth Migrants by Region of Origin........................................................... 33
Figure 3.8: Share of Households Receiving Remittances ...................................................................... 33
Figure 3.9: Incomes for Youth Households Receiving Remittances ...................................................... 34
Figure 3.10: Expenditures on Qat Among Youth-Headed Households ................................................ 34
Figure 4.1: Median Age of First Marriage for Yemeni Males and Females by Birth Cohort................ 36
LIST OF TABLES
Table 4.1: Living Arrangements for Married Youth (Percent of Married Youth, 15-29) ...................... 38
With a dwindling supply of natural resources, low levels of human development, high levels of
poverty, and policies and institutions that work against youth instead of for them, Yemen faces
significant challenges in helping youth reach their full potential.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Yemen is the poorest country in the Middle East (UNDP 2008). Yemen also faces one of the largest
region and one of the poorest in the world. Its pop- gender gaps in human development in the world.
ulation, already overwhelmingly young, is expand- For instance, in gross primary enrollment rates it
ing rapidly, creating an explosion in the number of ranks as the country with the fifth largest gender
youth aged 15 to 29. A large youth population can gap in the world (UNDP 2007). These human de-
provide the ideas and manpower necessary to foster velopment challenges are compounded by severe
economic growth and stimulate social develop- limits on essential natural resources, such as water
ment—but only if adequate resources and institu- and arable land, for a rapidly growing population
tions are in place to help them do so. With a dwin-
that is still predominantly rural.
dling supply of natural resources, low levels of
human development, high levels of poverty, and In this paper, we identify processes through which
policies and institutions that work against youth in- many Yemeni youth are excluded from the opportu-
stead of for them, Yemen faces significant challeng- nity to become productive adults and positive con-
es in helping youth reach their full potential. tributors to society. We set forth the idea that many
The situation in Yemen is particularly challenging youth face social exclusion, whereby they are cut off
because of the twin deficits that the country faces in from the resources and institutions that could assist
both human development and natural resources. them in their transition to adulthood. We find that
Yemen ranks 138th out of 179 countries and territo- youth exclusion in Yemen is highly gendered and
ries on the United Nations Development Program’s regionalized. Females and rural residents are much
Human Development Index and 148th on combined more likely to be excluded than males and urban
primary, secondary, and tertiary gross enrollment residents.
achieved within marriage that are often unmatched We set forth three broad recommendations to guide
by the economic opportunities young men face in policymakers in dealing with issues affecting youth
the labor market.1 Men who do marry young often inclusion in Yemen and argue for greater develop-
bring their brides into their parental household, in- ment assistance to help Yemen overcome its twin
dicating that getting married may not signal true human development and resource deficits.
independence.
First, we advocate for youth policies to take a holis-
Young women in Yemen still struggle to receive ad- tic approach—addressing the various aspects of
equate reproductive healthcare. According to the young people’s transitions to adulthood together
2003 Arab Family Health Survey (AFHS 2003), less rather than tackling each problem or sector on its
than 40 percent of young women had ever used any own. Second, we recommend that policymakers fo-
type of contraception, with the youngest brides be- cus on improving outcomes for women, especially
ing the least likely to use contraception. Further- those in rural areas. Finally, we suggest that policies
more, many women—especially women residing in be carefully tailored to take into account the micro-
rural areas—report that high costs, a lack of female economic factors that affect youth outcomes, such
physicians, and long distances to clinics and other as the distance women and girls must travel to at-
health facilities impede their access to prenatal care. tend school or access health care or the obstacles
Yemen has attempted to enact policies that promote they face because schools, health facilities, and
improved access to reproductive health services for workplaces are not perceived as safe spaces for
women, but this sensitive issue has been met with women.
sometimes impassioned political debate and reli-
giously and culturally-based opposition. Yemen faces many challenges in promoting youth
inclusion, but focusing on assisting this important
V. POLICY IMPLICATIONS group will have positive benefits for the country for
The Yemeni government is aware of the enormous years to come. We make a strong plea for Yemen to
challenges that it faces in human development, es- receive greater amounts of development assistance
pecially as it affects its youth population. A major both from Western donors as well as from its oil-
sign of this awareness is the fact that Yemen is one rich neighbors in the Arabian Peninsula. The hu-
of the only Arab countries to have issued a National man development and natural resource challenges
Youth Strategy. However, due to major resource Yemen faces are daunting and it is unlikely that Ye-
and financial constraints and even more limited in- men will be able to address them on its own, given
stitutional capacity, this strategy has not been fully its dwindling oil wealth. A large injection of devel-
implemented. opment assistance on the part of Yemen’s richer
Sa’adah
Sana’a City Hadramaut Al Mahrah
Al Jawf
Amran
Hajjah
Ma’rib
Al Mahwit
Sana’a
Al Hodeidah Shabwah
Al Bayda
Dhamar
Ibb
Abyan
Remah Taiz
Lahij
Ad Dali’
Aden
60
Births/Deaths per 1,000
40
20
0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Births Deaths
Source: UN Population Prospects, 2005 Revision
50
Percentage of Total Population
40
30
20
10
0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Under 15 15 to 24
25 to 64 65 and over
Urban Rural
North: Sana’a, Sa’adah, Ma’rib, Al Jawf, Amran North: Sana’a, Sa’adah, Ma’rib, Al Jawf, Amran
South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’ South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’
Aden
Sana’a City
0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8
8000
7000
6000
(cubic meters)
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Yemen Food self- MENA World-wide
sufficiency average
Nursery/Kindergarten
14,771 students
South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’ South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’
Aden
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
North: Sana’a, Sa’adah, Ma’rib, Al Jawf, Amran North: Sana’a, Sa’adah, Ma’rib, Al Jawf, Amran
South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’ South: Al Bayda, Lahij, Abyan, Ad Dali’
Aden
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
Source: HBS 2005/2006 and authors’ calculations
Urban Rural
1
Males
Share of Children Over-Age
Females
.8
.6
.4
.2
0
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Age Age
Source: HBS 2005/06
Urban Rural
1
Share of Children Enrolled
Males
Females
.8
.6
.4
.2
0
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Age Age
Source: HBS 2005/06
.8
Private Sector
Wage Work
Percent of Youth
.6 Public Sector
Wage Work
.4
.2
0
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
None Primary Preparatory Secondary Higher Tech University
Source: HBS 2005/06
Out of the
.8 Labor Force
Employed
Percent of Youth
Unemployed
.6
.4
.2
0
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
None Primary Preparatory Secondary Higher Tech University
Source: Labor Force Survey 1999
.5
Private Sector
Wage Work
.4
Public Sector
Percent of Youth
Wage Work
.3
.2
.1
0
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
None Primary Preparatory Secondary Higher Tech University
Source: HBS 2005/06
Out of the
.8 Labor Force
Employed
Percent of Youth
.6 Unemployed
.4
.2
0
Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
None Primary Preparatory Secondary Higher Tech University
Source: Labor Force Survey 1999
Figure 3.1: Share of Youth Engaging in Market Work by Age, Region, and Gender
Urban Rural
100 100
80 80 Men
Women
Percent
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Age Age
Source: HBS 2005/2006
Education, marriage, migration and region also The variation in female participation in the labor
have strong effects on women’s participation in force between urban and rural areas and across the
work, as shown in Table A2. For women, education regions of Yemen is indicative of the differing struc-
Figure 3.2: Share of Youth Engaged in Any Kind of Work (including Non-Market Domestic and Subsis-
tence Work) by Age, Region, and Gender
Urban Rural
100 100
Men
80 80 Women
Percent
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Age Age
Source: HBS 2005/2006
Figure 3.3: Average Hours of Paid Work for those with Paid Employment
Urban Rural
50 50
40 40 Men
Women
30 30
Hours
20 20
10 10
0 0
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Age Age
Source: HBS 2005/2006
Figure 3.4: Share of Youth Engaging in Market Work, Wage and Salary Work and Formal Wage and Salary
Work
Men Women
Working in Each Sector
80 8
Working in Each Sector
% of Female Youth
% of Male Youth
60 6
40 4
20 2
0 0
Rural Areas Urban Areas Rural Areas Urban Areas
market work (as shown in Figure 3.4), and as this in total earnings between men and women. This re-
group is likely to be non-randomly selected from sults from the fact that, in Yemen, women wage-
among the population, estimates based on this po- workers spend fewer hours in such work than men.
tentially select sample are likely to be biased. Though
a variety of techniques exist to “correct” for this se- The monotonic effect of higher education among
lection bias, we do not believe that these techniques men and women, for both hourly wages and total
are feasible with our data. Indeed, the familiar Heck- monthly earnings, reflects the importance of educa-
man selectivity correction approach requires an in- tion for these youth. Indeed, a young man with a
strumental variable that affects selection into wage primary education earns 30 percent more than a
employment but that does not affect the wage itself. comparable man with no education, and a young
Such a variable is not available to us. Most other man with a high school education receives approxi-
techniques rely on an assumption of selection on ob- mately 40 percent more than a young man with
servables that would not necessarily hold here. only a primary education.
The estimates provided here for earnings are thus While living in an urban area has only a weak posi-
conditional on having been selected into the wage tive effect on wages and earnings, individuals living
work sample. An important example of the conse- in Sana’a City and the Eastern governorates enjoy
quences of such selectivity is the high hourly wage much higher wages than young people living else-
reported for women below. Since only women with where. Earnings in the Eastern governorates are 70
relatively high earnings potential get selected into percent higher than the rest of the country exclud-
the wage sample, the measured wages for these ing Sana’a City, which itself has earnings that are 30
women will be significantly higher than those for a percent higher than the rest of the country.
randomly selected woman. Moreover, women who
do work for wages in Yemen are most likely to be MIGRATION
found in the government, where the wage determi- In this section we provide some background on the
nation process is based on administrative rules rath- incidence and patterns of migration and conclude
er than market forces. by discussing the implications of this migration on
the lives of Yemeni youth. The importance of mi-
Table A3 reports results for the analysis, where the gration for Yemeni youth is demonstrated in Figure
dependent variable is either the log of the hourly 3.5, where we plot the share of migrants among
wage rate or the log of total monthly earnings. In- youth in urban and rural areas. In urban areas, the
terestingly, while the effect of gender is significant share of migrants among youth is over 35 percent
for the hourly wage rate, with women getting paid for both men and women, and in Sana’a City nearly
more than men, there is not a significant difference 60 percent of youth are migrants. This high inci-
60
40
% of Migrants
20
0
Rural Urban Sana’a City
Men Women
100
80
Born in a Rural Area
60
40
20
0
Male Female Male Female Male Female
Rural Urban Sana’a City
Source: HBS 2005/2006
Sana’a City
0 20 40 60 80
% of Migrants
Source: HBS 2005/2006
Urban Rural
Aden
Taiz, Ibb
Sana’a City
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
% of Households Receiving Remittances
% of Youth-Headed Households Receiving Remittances
Urban Rural
Aden
Taiz, Ibb
Sana’a City
Rural Urban
25
% of Total Expenditures
20
Spent on Qat
15
10
0
Li te
Pr te
co y
ni ry
ity
te
Pr te
co y
ni ry
ity
ar
r
ar
ra
ra
da
a
ra
ra
da
rs
rs
im
nd
im
nd
ite
te
ite
te
on
ve
on
ve
Li
Ill
Ill
ec
ec
Se
Se
U
U
rS
rS
er
er
we
we
pp
pp
Lo
Lo
U
U
Figure 4.1: Median Age of First Marriage for Yemeni Males and Females by Birth Cohort
26
Age at First Marriage
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
Year of Birth
Urban Males Rural Males
Urban Females Rural Females
Note: By using life table techniques, the figures shown above correct for the fact that a certain proportion of each cohort was not mar-
ried at the time of the survey.
Source: AFHS 2003
Table 4.1: Living Arrangements for Married Youth (Percent of Married Youth, 15-29)
Males Females
Urban Rural Urban Rural
Nuclear Family (Independent Living) 34.0 40.0 49.0 48.5
Parents 62.4 58.1 13.4 11.4
In-Laws 2.0 1.7 37.5 40.1
Other 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1