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Abstract
Background: The rates of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity are increased in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Mild to
moderate CKD is associated with an increase in cardiovascular events. This study aims to investigate the effects of statins on patient
mortality and cardiac events.
Study appraisal and synthesis methods: Studies on statins (atorvastatin, rosuvastatin, fluvastatin, lovastatin, pravastatin,
simvastatin, and simvastatin + ezetimibe) in Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, EMBASE, and
Science Citation Index Expanded databases from 1970 to February 2019 were analyzed. Inclusion criteria were randomized control
trials and adult patients (>18 years old). Reviews, observational studies, and clinical trials that did not clearly define outcomes or that
did not have thrombosis as an outcome were excluded. We performed direct and indirect network meta-analysis using Bayesian
models and ranked different statins using generation mixed treatment comparison (GeMTC) and Stata version 13. The Grading of
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Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) of network meta-analysis approach specified 4 levels of
certainty for a given result: high, moderate, low, and very low. The outcomes were cardiac events, cardiac mortality, and all-cause
mortality.
Results: Nineteen studies (45,863 patients) were included. Compared with placebos, pravastatin 40 mg group showed a
significantly lower patient mortality (odds ratio 0.66 [95% credible interval, 0.46–0.91]).
Atorvastatin 80 mg, fluvastatin 40 mg, lovastatin 20 mg, pravastatin 40 mg, and simvastatin 40 mg showed significant results in
reducing cardiac events.
In rank probability, pravastatin showed the best effect at all-cause mortality rate. Lovastatin, fluvastatin, and pravastatin showed
good effects in the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd ranks in cardiac events.
Conclusions and implications of key findings: Pravastatin 40 mg demonstrated the best effect on all-cause mortality, and
was observed to be effective with high ranking in cardiac events. We anticipate that the data of this study will assist physicians in
making informed decisions when selecting statins, such as pravastatin, as a treatment option for CKD patients.
Abbreviations: AFCAPS/TexCAPS = Air Force/Texas Coronary Atherosclerosis Prevention Study, ASCOT = Angle-
Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial, CARDS = Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study, CARE = Cholesterol and Recurrent
Events, CENTRAL = Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CI = confidence interval, CKD = chronic kidney disease, CVD =
cardiovascular disease, GeMTC = generation mixed treatment comparison, GRADE = Grading of Recommendations Assessment,
Development, and Evaluation, HDL-C = high density lipoprotein cholesterol, HMG CoA = hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A, HPS =
Heart Protection Study, IDEAL = Incremental Decrease in End Points through Aggressive Lipid Lowering, LDL-C = low-density
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Hwang et al. Medicine (2020) 99:22 Medicine
lipoprotein cholesterol, LIPID = Long-term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease, MD = mean difference, NKF-K/DOQI =
National Kidney Foundation Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative, OR = odds ratio, PRISMA = Preferred Reporting Items for
Systematic Reviews and Network Meta-Analyses, PROSPER = Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk, RCTs =
randomized control trials, REAL-CAD = Randomized Evaluation of Aggressive or Moderate Lipid Lowering Therapy with Pitavastatin
in Coronary Artery Disease, 4S = Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study, SUCRA = surface under the cumulative ranking, TAU =
treatment as usual, TNT = Treating to New Targets, WOSCOPS = West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study.
Keywords: all-cause mortality, cardiac event, chronic kidney disease, network meta-analysis, statins
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Figure 1. Flow diagram of the current systematic review (PRISMA flow diagram).
Figure 2. Network flow among each intervention as all-cause mortality (A) and cardiac events (B).
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Figure 3. Risk of bias graph and summary of our assessment of each risk of bias item for each included study. (+) green circle, good; yellow circle, moderate; ( )
red circle, bad.
ase, aspartate aminotransferase, hematuria, albuminuria, or indirect evidence.[24] We also used the node-splitting method to
myopathy. calculate the inconsistency of the model, which separated
Cardiac events considered in this study included death from evidence for a particular comparison into direct and indirect
coronary heart disease, non-fatal acute myocardial infarction, evidence.[22] We then evaluated the agreement between the direct
resuscitation after cardiac arrest, cardiac revascularization, and and indirect evidence and reported its Bayesian P value.
hospital admission for unstable angina.[14] Sensitivity analyses were carried out using the same methods,
after omission of data obtained from specific studies (studies with
a small number of patients and events in a specific treatment arm,
2.7. Statistical analyses
and studies with a large population that may dominate the data of
We compared statin effectiveness in terms of patient survival, specific treatment arms).[25]
cardiac event, and adverse outcomes among 10 types of statin
therapy for CKD by Bayesian network meta-analysis. We
performed direct and indirect network meta-analysis using 3. Results
Bayesian models and generated rankings of different statin A total of 9115 records were initially retrieved from the electronic
agents using generation mixed treatment comparison (GeMTC) database search, from which we removed 1385 duplicate records.
and Stata version 13 (StataCorp).[15–17] The relative ranking Of the remaining records, 7663 were excluded based on a review
probability of each treatment was estimated, and the treatment of either the title or abstract and 67 records were retrieved for
hierarchy of competing interventions was obtained using full-text review. Among these, 46 were excluded based on the
rankograms, surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) following criteria: studies involving drugs other than statins (n =
curves, and mean ranks. We performed network meta-analysis on 7), duplicated data (n = 8), patients who have undergone kidney
studies that were recorded on multiple treatments, which allows transplantation (n = 12), and hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis
estimation of the pooled effects within each treatment.[18] For (n = 11), ADPKD (n = 2), an outcome that could not be included
multi-arm trials, correlations among the treatment effects in the statistics (n = 2); review articles (n = 3); or editorial
between arms were included in the investigations. Studies with comments (n = 3).
j + 1 treatment arms are based on comparison of the treatment Finally, 19 trials reporting outcomes for 45,863 patients
effects with the reference treatment through multivariate normal (24,373 women and 21,490 men) were included in the analysis
distribution, whereas the treatment as usual (TAU) studies are (Table 1). Six studies each were conducted in United States[26–31]
based on the homogeneity between study variances across and the United Kingdom,[32–37] whereas 1 study was conducted
treatments.[19,20] Inconsistency tests, homogeneity analysis, and in each of the following countries: Norway,[38] Japan,[39]
sensitivity analysis were performed using the node analysis Canada,[40] Scotland,[41] the Netherlands,[42] Sweden,[43] and
method in R software. The results of inconsistency tests were Greece.[44] The number of patients per study ranged from 91 to
assessed according to the Bayesian P-value, where P < .5 was 9180, and the median follow-up period was 2.1 years (0.5–3.1
considered evidence for the existence of significant inconsisten- years).
cy.[21,22] An I2 test was performed (I2 > 50% is considered as the
existence of significant heterogeneity) to assess homogeneity.
3.1. Risk of bias in included studies
Furthermore, sensitivity analysis was conducted by comparing
the differences found between fixed-effect and random-effect Although all the included studies were described as randomized,
models. The clinical outcome indicators were evaluated using the few gave specific details of either the method of randomization or
mean difference (MD) or the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% concealment of allocation. For all studies, the blinding of study
confidence interval (CI) (MD for continuous outcomes, OR for subjects and investigators was considered adequate.
binary outcomes).[19,23] When a loop connected 3 treatments, it Risks of bias were frequently low (Figs. 3 and S1). There were
was possible to evaluate the inconsistency between direct and 18 (94%) studies that reported low-risk methods for random
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Table 1
Important characteristics of the included studies and proportions of patients with using statin treatment.
Prior Current LDL Total eGFR
Using statin Compare Number of Age mean, Male, diabetes, smoker, cholesterol cholesterol (mL min/
Refs. Country/yr treatment drug patients n yr n (%) n (%) n (%) (mg/dL) (mg/dL) 1.73 m2) BMI
Shepherd UK/2007 Atorvastatin 80 mg Atorvastatin 1602/1505 65.5 ± 7.0 2102 (67.7) 546 (17.6) 280 (9.0) 96 ± 17.5 175.9 ± 24.4 52.9 ± 6.5 28.5 ± 4.5
10 mg
Koren US/2009 Atorvastatin 80 mg Placebo 286/293 65.2 ± 7.2 445 (76.9) 162 (28.0) 87 (15.0) 147.1 ± 27.4 22.7. ± 33.5 51.2 ± 8.1 29.2 ± 5.2
Holme Norway/2010 Atorvastatin 80 mg Simvastatin 1162/1159 67.0 ± 7.9 1875 (80.8) 335 (14.4) 355 (15.3) 123.6 ± 36.7 199.9 ± 41.3 52.0 ± 6.6 27.2 ± 3.9
20 mg
Ridker US/2010 Rosuvastatin 20 mg Placebo 1638/1629 70 ± 5 1138 (34.8) 264 (8.1) 109 189 56 ± 5 29.0 ± 3.6
Rutter UK/2010 Atorvastatin 80 mg Atorvastatin 60/59 63.5 ± 9.5 51 (42.8) 60 (51) 13 (23) 62 ± 18 34 ± 6
10 mg
Amarenco US/2014 Atorvastatin 80 mg Placebo 789/811 68.0 ± 9.3 673 (42.1) 263 (16.4) 197 (12.3) 134.4 ± 24 216.0 ± 28.7 52.3 ± 7.0 27.6 ± 4.6
Nakamura Japan/2009 Pravastatin 10 mg Placebo 1507/1471 60 366 (24.3) 283 (18.8) 188 (12.5) 52.6 ± 5.7 –
Lemos Netherlands/2005 Fluvastatin 80 mg Placebo 150/160 69 ± 7 208 (77) 38 (12) 53 (17) 131 ± 31 200 ± 33 47 ± 7 –
Tonelli Canada/2004 Pravastatin 40 mg Placebo 2217/2274 65.6 ± 5.6 3671 (81.7) 445 (9.9) 461 (10.3) 151.5 ± 28.6 221.3 ± 32.8 51.8 ± 6.3 25.5 ± 3.4
Colhoun Scotland/2009 Atorvastatin 10 mg Placebo 482/488 65.0 ± 6.7 233 (48.3) 482 (49.3) – 117 ± 28 207 ± 32 53.5 ± 5.3 –
Baigent UK/2011 Simvastatin 20 mg + Placebo 4193/4191 62 ± 12 5281 (63) 1054 (23) 626 (13) 26.6 ± 12.9 27.1 ± 5.7
ezetimibe 10 mg
Stegmayr Sweden/2005 Atorvastatin 10 mg Placebo 70/73 67.8 ± 12.4 98 (68.6) 22 (31.9) 44 (30.7) <30 26.4 ± 5.1
Verma US/2005 Rosuvastatin 10 mg Placebo 48/43 73 ± 10 36 (40.1) 22 (46) 9 (9.8) 140 ± 47 224 ± 61 42.3 ± 11.1 –
Baigent UK/2005 Simvastatin 20 mg Placebo 112/111 52 ± 15 157 (70.5) 12 (10.7) – 124 ± 30 202 ± 22 <30 27.5 ± 4.4
Katsiki Greece/2011 Atorvastatin 80 mg Placebo 172/177 57 ± 9 – – 55 (32) 47.6 ± 6.7 32 ± 5
Kendrick US/2010 Lovastatin 20 mg Placebo 145/159 62 ± 8 119 (39.6) 121 (40.3) 15 (10) 151 ± 19 224 ± 23 53 ± 6 27 ± 3
Rahman US/2008 Pravastatin 40 mg Placebo 779/778 70.7 ± 7.9 703 (45.2) 249 (32) 134 (17.2) 146.5 ± 21.2 226.2 ± 26.3 50.8 ± 8.2 29.1 ± 5.7
Shepherd UK/2002 Pravastatin 40 mg Placebo 2888/2912 75.4 ± 3.4 2801 (48.3) 303 (10.5) 753 (26) 49.8 ± 6.3 26.8 ± 4.1
Mihaylova UK/2016 Simvastatin 20 mg + Placebo 4650/4620 62 ± 12 5800 (63) 2091 (23) 1243 (13) 61.3 ± 10. 27.1 ± 5.6
ezetimibe 10 mg
BMI, body mass index; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America.
sequence generation and adequately concealed allocation; while renal function, and adverse events. A placebo was used as the
16 (84%) studies showed low-risk for blinding of outcome reference point in cases of any cardiac event. Atorvastatin 80 mg
assessment (detection bias). However, only 3 studies (15%) (OR 0.72, 95% CrL 0.52–0.98); fluvastatin 40 mg (0.67, 0.43–
reported low risk in selective reporting among studies. The grades 0.99); lovastatin 20 mg (0.37, 0.13–0.92); pravastatin 40 mg
of all-cause mortality and cardiac events started with high quality (0.67, 0.51–0.85); and simvastatin 40 mg (0.72, 0.55–0.92) were
and well-made RCT, which then decreased by 1 point owing to associated with lower ORs than the placebo in reducing cardiac
the possibility of reporting bias. Thus, scientific evidence showed events. Atorvastatin 10 mg (0.88, 0.62–1.2); rosuvastatin 10 mg
moderate quality results. The findings were added to the results in (0.78, 0.52–1.1); and simvastatin 20 mg + ezetimibe 10 mg (0.88,
the manuscript. 0.68–1.10) showed no significant difference (Fig. 4).
The side effects observed subsequent to statin therapy showed
no differences among the medications in terms of persistent
3.2. Effect of interventions
elevations in alanine aminotransferase and/or aspartate amino-
The data obtained from all 19 studies (n = 45,863) contributed to transferase, persistent elevation in creatine phosphokinase,
the network analysis. The primary endpoint was patient survival. hematuria, albuminuria, or myopathy.
Compared with a placebo as the reference, pravastatin 40 mg
significantly reduced patient mortality (OR 0.75, 95% CrL 0.53–
3.3. Rank probabilities
0.98) (Table 2). However, atorvastatin 10 mg (0.91, 0.58–1.40),
atorvastatin 80 mg (0.92, 0.27–3.1), fluvastatin 40 mg (1.00, Pravastatin 40 mg ranked first and second with probabilities of
0.57–1.80), rosuvastatin 10 mg (0.80, 0.47–1.10), and simva- 0.292 and 0.345, respectively, for all-cause mortality; the model-
statin 40 mg (0.98, 0.48–1.90) were not associated with higher fit statistic of DIC was 43.0, and the residual deviance was 22.8.
benefits than the placebo. No differences were found among the The rank probabilities of cardiac events showed that lovastatin
different interventions on the results for secondary outcome, 20 mg had the highest ranking (0.824). Second in the rank
which included myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, probabilities was fluvastatin 40 mg with a probability of 0.309,
hospitalization, peripheral artery disease, a change in LDL-C and whereas pravastatin 40 mg ranked third with a probability of
Table 2
Comparison of the included statins for all-cause mortality: odds ratio (95% CI). Each cell indicates the effect of the column-defining
intervention relative to the row-defining intervention.
Atorvastatin 10 1.022 (0.316, 3.154) 1.145 (0.535, 2.437) 1.102 (0.693, 1.726) 0.830 (0.455, 1.359) 0.879 (0.432, 1.519) 1.067 (0.448, 2.543)
Atorvastatin 80 1.114 (0.286, 4.607) 1.062 (0.311, 3.801) 0.797 (0.218, 2.837) 0.841 (0.223, 3.096) 1.041 (0.256, 4.427)
Fluvastatin 40 0.958 (0.523, 1.732) 0.723 (0.349, 1.350) 0.763 (0.325, 1.503) 0.936 (0.365, 2.347)
Placebo 0.756 (0.527, 0.972) 0.799 (0.471, 1.142) 0.966 (0.471, 2.024)
Pravastatin 40 1.058 (0.610, 1.733) 1.292 (0.617, 2.944)
Rosuvastatin 10 1.221 (0.569, 3.039)
Simvastatin 40
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sis.[60,61] Recently, it was reported that statins reduced the CKD, the availability and usage of these agents are often country-
incidence of CVD by reducing oxidant stress and inflammation at or hospital-dependent. Given these circumstances, primary care
an early stage of CKD.[62] Moreover, animal studies have shown physicians tend to select medicines based on their previous
that statins reduce the incidence of CVD indirectly by reducing experience with medication or advice from a senior physician.
the rate of CKD progression. Two meta-analysis studies showed The findings of this study may prove beneficial for selection of
that statins lower the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate statins to lower the risk of CVD in patients with CKD. Although
(eGFR) decline.[63,64] However, in a recent systematic review, we cannot provide guidelines for selecting statins that will be the
statins were shown to have no significant effect on the reduction most effective, we anticipate that the data in this study will assist
of GFR in patients with diabetes, hypertension, or glomerulone- physicians in making informed decisions when selecting statins.
phritis; this was only observed in patients with known CVDs.[64]
Several recent studies have described the effect of statins on serum
C-reactive protein levels in patients with CKD. Panichi et al Author contributions
reported that a commonly used dose of simvastatin showed anti- Conceptualization: HSD, LJH, YJK, and SJH; methodology &
inflammatory effects in patients with CKD.[65] Similarly, data acquisition: HSD, LJH, LSW, YJK, KK, and SJH; data
Goicoechea et al demonstrated that atorvastatin treatment analysis and interpretation: HSD, LJH, YJK, KK, and SJH;
improved inflammatory status in patients besides showing statistical analysis: HSD, LJH, and SJH; writing – original draft
beneficial effects on the lipid profile.[66] Previous statin trials preparation: HSD, LJH, and SJH; writing – review and editing:
have shown that reduction in LDL-C results in a proportional HSD, LJH, and SJH; funding acquisition: HSD and SJH.
decrease in the risk.[46,59] Thus, increasing the statin dose is an
effective strategy to increase the benefit to high-risk patients,
although it is not always desirable because of drug toxicity References
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