‘Math 201: Statistics Spring 2011 Final Exam Closed book & notes; only 2 two- Instructions: There are eight pages (one cover and seven pages with questions) in this exam, Please inspect the exam and make sure you have all 8 pages. You may only use your calculator and your formula sheet. Do all your work on these pages. If you use the back of a page, make sure to indicate that. You may not exchange any kind of material with another student. You might get one bonus point for filing the front cover properly! Remember: You must show all your work to get proper credit. Round your final answers to two decimal places in all exam questions. Academic Honesty Code: Kog University Academic Honesty Code stipulates that “copying from others or providing answers or information, written or oral, to others is cheating.” By taking this exam, you are assuming full responsibility for observing the Academic Honesty Code. NAME and SURNA! KEY SIGNATURE: INSTRUCTOR: LECTURE TIME, June 5, 2011 ided and handwritten A4 formula sheet and a calculator allowed; 120 minutes. No questions accepted! /1S /15 AZ /1S (2 al uf al wl] wv /1S /15 Total: /100Question 1: (15 points) ‘The manager of a supermarket takes a random sample of 64 grocery purchases from his store ina particular week. This sample produced an average of $54.63 and a standard deviation of $17.61. (@) Estimate the true mean dollar amount of grocery purchases with 99% confidence. nao 73a © Ge 5, gh eT on is w Sn) =r = 64.63 + 595) Abt = 54.63 2 (0,545) T= (b) Test the claim that mean amount of grocery purchases is different from $60 per week at this supermarket using 2 critical value or region in your decision. Use o=0.05. 4 260 5 Mes ied) @ Mor xa80S (-2. re (©) Also calculate the p-value for the test in part (b) and make your decision based on the p- value. Would the decision be different, if a were equal to 0.017 p-vela=1? (2 9 (TSA)Question 2: (15 points) ‘A college student has a part-time job as a waiter (garson). In applying for credit, he must estimate the income he gets through daily tips (giinlik bahsis). He obtains an average of $25.75 for 19 days with a standard deviation of $3.85. (He also feels that the distribution of daily tips is normal). (2) Caloulate a 95% confidence interval for the mean daily tips for this student, q t 15 230, small sovmple qe Chen MS (b) Test the hypothesis that mean of the daily tips is more than $20 using critical value or region. Use a=0.05.Question 3: (13 points) A nursery (fidanlik) sells a certain type of bulb (cigek soam) in packages of 20 bulbs each. ‘The probability is 0.80 that any given bulb in the package will sprout (filizlenmek). (a) What is the probability that at least 13 but fewer than 17 bulbs will sprout? ne29, pa0i8d X WBINC29, peisax eyrp= PCAs ene) (©) Inthe context of the problem, what is a “trial”? And what is a “success”? a tte = » oakle : pitino “Che lou lo t ss = SETH sucee § )Question 4: (15 points) ‘Neslihan, an amateur runner, decides to try a sports energy drink: She chooses 9 different running trails (yol, patika) and records her finish time for each trail twice: with and without the energy drink. Her finish times (minutes) for the trails are as follows: Tail#) 1 ]2)3)4)5)6)]7] 8 |9 Sz | without | 1021192 5.89 | 8.9/6.6) 206/91] 305] 403 y | with [10.0154 75.7 [85/48] 187/88 | 287/386 (a) Does the energy drink have any effect on her performance? (use a =0.01) Raed dda jue diffrence Davy Daf or, 26, 0.19, o 48, 1-9, 0-3, 1.8) 133 B=434 qyelao o tw Yves Ore-prdedion its ig S pal Son bus = $38 (lave = 6 3: is he po=e dwuf-B <= 0.04 AS ae Ah Hat po#O S00, e= F355" Reject He Wf 4) 53.357 (b) Does the energy drink improve her performance? (use 0 =0.01) One pepreder , one toiled Copper) “H-vest Be po= © 2235 > 2-86 Ha: ps 20 4 aeped Fip,a7 Reject Mo Reject By PI) > 2-896 (© Estimate the p-value for part (b). ) p-vilve & ra 5 % Pron te toble . 2.35Question 5: (12 points) Ali Day1’s water melons (karpuz) have a normal distribution for their diameter (cap) with mean 25.4 cm and standard deviation of 7.4 cm. (2) What is the probability that a randomly chosen water melon has a diameter larger than 28 cm? 2 pr 2S-4 em eo = Fd eo x2 dromAen od 0.3S1y > OLX paws P(2D0 as) O * a 368 (©) Supermarkets reject any water melon with diameter smaller than 18 cm. If you buy one of Ali Dayi’s water melons from a supermarket, what i the probability that than 28 cm? diameter is larger plxp te) = P lap BS a2et) CC e>-1) aostone Ho.ty “ee “A 8 ka P(x 228) = O.36 Boom pe 2) >t) et ime eti= Coe Gees tle>7) Clnyw) 2-84 = 6.53 psQuestion 6: (15 points) On Friday nights, long lines of hungry people wait in front of the Bratwurst (mangalda kzarmis dana sosisi) stands. Salim Salam, who owns a Bratwurst stand, thinks that his customers wait less than at Siegfried’s, his main competitor. Salim observes that the average waiting time for 14 people who bought a Bratwurst at Siegftied’s is 8.4 min, with a standard deviation of 2.1 min, For 12 people who bought Bratwurst from Salim, the average waiting time was 6.8 min. with a standard deviation of 1.8 min, Do people wait less at Salim’s stand? Test at a= 0.025. Also, state all assumptions that have to be made to be able to do this test. >The vaities Vener for Sa bas aol for Sreghiol studs are vorvally dod beled > The ctawolasol oleviatiavs bok. wvarbeg Limes ae quunol fo be egued Ky fpr 2? aa oe ZO 1 Kaw wale the for Glin's eae’ ie “ a g 4“ a SieaHiie cna! 8 errs oo ge ee Swe [ea 7 Tooee (AF =21) = 2064 > Stuce — 2.066 22.064, ue rejeot H- (Vere. Is euoughe cobb’ eviglves. oh teO02S b couldaQuestion 7:(15 points) (@ Bratwurst lengths in Bayern have a mean of 22.4 cm, with a standard deviation of 2.4 cm. What is the probability that 52 of them have a combined length of more than 12 meters? Sum m NM Geayed, 24127) Raa 200 — 164.8 Pol (Sum mloa0) = trfa> Re Meee */ = r-[2 2.023 - = ON O48 2 0.02(2 (b) If the Bratwurst lengths in Bayern are di probability that more than 5 out of 250 hav standard deviation for Bratwurst lengths are giver p. [x>2e[- f-[a> 26 6-224. Peres] £ 6.0! (Poh. ol Brett | dc lou ses thaw | Lo & be a i ateial! varrnlla pe preeecth Le banber of succene be 200 boG Lik Pe ae P[esozere[ & pferss], alee Cc as wv N (up depe 7) 2 NES, Loe) Df [2> Ts {> Pf2ertul = = 9.028 | jormally, what is the approximate eae than 28 cm? (The mean and