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Which Valuation Method is the Most


Suitable for Different Types of
Companies?
By Valuation Master Class Student (https://valuationmasterclass.com/author/valuation-
master-class-student/) | May 29, 2018

This is a Valuation Master Class student essay by Jana Kristofova


(https://www.linkedin.com/in/jana-k-62367317/) from May 29, 2018. Jana wrote this essay in
Module 2 and has since completed all five modules of the Valuation Master Class
(https://valuationmasterclass.com/).
The Valuation Master Class Boot Camp starts on October, 25th. Get the early-bird rate now!
Nowadays, we hear more and more that Learn more
the stock market is overvalued. What does it mean?
It means that the intrinsic value of the company is lower than the current stock price.
There are two main types of valuation methods – absolute and relative. Relative valuation
methods are based on the principle that the valued company is compared to other
companies with the same characteristics in the pre-defined universe (Company Comparable
Analysis) or a similar previous deal (Precedent Transaction Analysis).
Absolute valuation is based on the following methodology – future cash flows are predicted,
discounted to the present value, and then the intrinsic value is calculated. There are three
main absolute valuation methods: Dividend Discount Model (“DDM”), Free Cash Flow to Firm
(“FCFF”), and Free Cash Flow to Equity (“FCFE”). The main challenge is to decide which method
is suitable for what company.
Therefore, the main purpose of this paper is to describe each of those methods and to define
its suitability and limitations.

Valuation Methods Overview


Pinto et al. (2007) defined Valuation as “the estimation of an asset’s value based either on
variables perceived to be related to the future investment returns or on comparisons with
similar assets.” When a relative valuation method is used, the company is valued by
comparing it to a similar company with the same characteristics in the pre-defined universe
(Company Comparable Analysis). In mergers and acquisitions (M&A), companies can be
valued by comparing them to similar M&A deals from the past.
The absolute valuation is based on a more complex methodology – future cash flows are
predicted, discounted to the present value, and then the intrinsic value is calculated. There
are three main absolute valuation methods – DDM, FCFF, and FCFE. Each method has its
limitations.

Breakdown of DDM, FCFF and FCFE Formulas


DDM:
Cash flow (expected dividends paid to stockholders) = D0 * (1 + g) t
Where
D0 = Current dividend payment
g = constant expected growth rate
t = time period
The
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investment, the greater is the cost of equity.
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The CAPM formula for Cost of Equity calculation:


Cost of Equity = risk-free rate + beta*(market risk premium)

FCFE:
Cash flow (FCFE) = Net income – (1 – debt ratio)* (CAPEX – Depreciation) – (1 – debt ratio)* Changes
in working capital
The discount rate used in this model is the Cost of Equity. In general, the riskier the
investment, the greater is the cost of equity.

FCFF:
Cash flow (FCFF) = EBIT*(1 – tax rate) – (CAPEX – Depreciation) – changes in working capital
The discount rate used is the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and is calculated as
follows:
WACC = ke*(E/ (D+E)) + kd*(D/(D+E))
Where
E = market value of equity
D = market value of debt
kd = current borrowing rate * (1-t)
t = tax rate
ke = cost of equity (CAPM)

When to Use DDM, FCFF, and FCFE?


DDM is used in the valuation of stable firms in a mature stage that pay dividends. This model
is also suitable for companies that are difficult to value (e. g. banks or financial service
institutions). When, compared to the value calculated by FCFE valuation, the value calculated
by DDM is around the same level over the extended period, DDM is an appropriate method to
use.
When the company’s capital structure is stable, FCFE is the most suitable. Additionally,
according to Damodaran FCFE is used for companies that are paying dividends which are
significantly higher (more than 110% of FCFE) or lower than FCFE (less than 80% FCFE over five
years); or when Master
The Valuation dividends areBoot
Class not available (in case
Camp starts of private
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25th. Get the or IPOs). The
early-bird ratetwo
now!
FCF approaches should lead to the same Learn
value estimate
more in the case where the company has
no debt.

(https://valuationmasterclass.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/The-two-FCF-approaches-
should-lead-to-the-same-value-estimate-in-the-case-where-the-company-has-no-debt._.jpg)
Kaplan Schweser (2008) pointed at two cases when FCFF is the best method to be used:
First, FCFF is used for valuing a leveraged company with negative FCFE. Therefore, using FCFF
to value the company’s equity is easier. FCFF is discounted so that the present value of the
total firm value is obtained, and then the market value of debt is subtracted. The outcome of
this calculation is an estimate of the intrinsic value of equity.
Second, FCFF is used for a leveraged company with a changing capital structure. If historical
data are used to forecast FCF growth rates, FCFF growth will reflect fundamentals more
clearly than does FCFE growth. FCFF reflects fluctuating amounts of net borrowing.
Furthermore, in a forward-looking context, the required ROE might be more sensitive to
changes in financial leverage than changes in the WACC, making the use of a constant
discount rate difficult to justify.

Limitations of DDM, FCFF, and FCFE


Each of the methods mentioned above has its limitations.
DDM is very sensitive to a dividend growth rate and assumes the dividend growth rate will not
change.
FCFF
The and FCFE are
Valuation based
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rate
forecasting of a cyclical business. Learn more

Conclusion
When valuing a company, it is important to assess the company and its stage. Based on that,
the most suitable method shall be chosen. Also, an outcome of company comparable analysis
helps to create an overall picture and to value a company the best way possible.

References
Damodaran, A. Discounted Cashflow Valuation: Equity and Firm Models
(http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/ovhds/dam2ed/dcfveg.pdf)(accessed online
on 25 May 2018).
Kaplan Schweser (2008). Free Cash Flow Valuation. Study Session 12
(http://jsinclaironline.com/free%20cash%20flow%20valuation.pdf) (accessed online on 25 May
2018).
Pinto, J. et al. (2007). Equity Asset Valuation (CFA Institute Investment Series). 2nd Edition
(https://www.amazon.com/Equity-Asset-Valuation-Jerald-Pinto/dp/0470571438/), Kindle
Edition, CFA Institute.
Stotz, A. (2017). Slimwiki (Notes). A. Stotz Investment Research (https://www.astotz.com/).

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