Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Project submitted to
Submitted by
‘ARPITA ATIBUDHI’
A Project submitted to
Submitted by
‘ARPITA ATIBUDHI’
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Ms./Mr. JOEL NELSON CASTELINOhas worked and duly
completed her/his Project Work for the degree of Bachelor of Management Studies under the
Faculty of Commerce and her/his project is entitled, “A STUDY ON PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT AS AN INVESTMENT STRATEGY” under the supervision of
ARPITA ATIBUDHI. The information contained in this Project Work is true and original to
the best of our knowledge and belief.
DECLARATION
Wherever reference has been made to previous works of others, it has been clearly indicated
as such and included in the bibliography.
I, here by further declare that all information of this document has been obtained and
presented in accordance with academic rules and ethical conduct.
Place: Mumbai
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
To list who all have helped me is difficult because they are so numerous and the depth is so
enormous.
I would like to acknowledge the following as being idealistic channels and fresh dimensions
in the completion of this project.
I take this opportunity to thank the University of Mumbai for giving me chance to do this
project.
I would like to thank my Principal, Dr. Pratima Singh for providing the necessary facilities
required for completion of this project.
I take this opportunity to thank our Coordinator, Ms. Arpita Atibudhi, for her moral
support and guidance.
I would also like to express my sincere gratitude towards my project guide, ‘ARPITA
ATIBUDHI’ whose guidance and care made the project successful.
I would like to thank my College Library, for having provided various reference books and
magazines related to my project.
Lastly, I would like to thank each and every person who directly or indirectly helped me in
the completion of the project especially my Parents and Peers who supported me
throughout my project.
6
Introduction 7
What is Portfolio Management (Definition) 8
1
Types of Portfolio Management 10
Examples of Portfolio Management 12
Research & Methodology 14
Scope of Portfolio Management 16
2
Objective of Portfolio Management 17
Drawbacks of Portfolio management 18
Literature Review
19
Markowitz Portfolio Theory.
19
Role of Portfolio Management in an efficient market.
24
Risk and Return in Portfolio Investments.
31
Portfolio Revision Strategies in Invest Portfolio Management.
40
Diversification of Securities in Portfolio Investment.
3 54
Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
58
Security Analysis Phase in Invest Portfolio Management.
60
Approaches of Investment Portfolio management.
63
Different Types of Investment Portfolio.
64
General Obligations and Responsibilities of Portfolio
66
Management
6 Reference 86
7
Chapter No .1 Introduction
Portfolio management is the key skill that one requires for managing investment effectively.
Then whether he is an individual or HNI or a big MNC. Where HNI stands for High Net
Worth Individual and MNC stands for Multinational Company. Different attributes
of investment alternatives are analyzed and the objective of investment guides where and
how much money to allocate to each of the alternatives. Investing in more and more assets,
with different attributes, diversifies the risk of a portfolio and thereby increases reasonable
assurance of the returns.
In other words, a portfolio is a group of assets. The portfolio gives an opportunity to diversify
risk. Diversification of risk does not mean that there will be an elimination of risk. With every
asset, there is an attachment of two types of risk;
diversifiable/unique/unexplained/unsystematic risk and undiversifiable/ market risk /
explained /systematic risk. Even an optimum portfolio cannot eliminate market risk, but can
only reduce or eliminate the diversifiable risk. As soon as risk reduces, the variability of
return reduces.
Best portfolio management practice runs on the principle of minimum risk and maximum
return within a given time frame. A portfolio is built based on investor’s income, investment
budget and risk appetite keeping the expected rate of return in mind.
8
• It is initiated with a contract between the investor and the company that would have
different portfolio schemes. These could be purely stock/shares oriented or may have a
blend of different investment avenues.
• Once the contract is in place, verifying the fee structure, time frame, risk exposure and the
kind whether discretionary or nondiscretionary is decided.
• After all this is in place, the fund manager plays his role. The portfolio is structured on the
basis of the agreed terms and then churns the portfolio at regular intervals.
• The report of the performance of the portfolio is periodically sent to the investors.
• There are certain computer-software that are usedby the managers to keep a track of the
developments in the portfolio.
• The fund manager takes decisions on the basis of the hardcore research that is company
specific as well as market-related done by the team of the portfolio managers.
12
On the other hand, the portfolio could be stock specific as well. Thereby, the bifurcation is
done across researched stocks in the markets.
Hence, depending on the requirements of the investors, the fund manager takes
appropriate decisions and allocates the funds.
13
Generally, efficient capital markets therefore imply a minimum number of investors and a
high degree of trading.
15
The semi-strong form of the EMH stats that current stock prices not only reflect the market
information referred to In the weak form but also rapidly move to incorporate any non-
market information that has been published about a company, i.e. the price reflects all
public information.
For example, Release of preliminary figures by the company constitutes new information
and the stock price will move to reflect this. Other public information is incorporated in
ratios such as price to book value, P/E ratios. Ext.
This suggests that investors who base investment decisions on information after the
information has been made public will not make excess returns on average.
A good portfolio should have multiple objectives and achieve a sound balance
among them. Any one objective should not be given undue importance at the cost of
others. Presented below are some important objectives of portfolio management .
RISK OF OVER-DIVERSIFICATION
Over-diversification occurs when the number of investments in a portfolio exceeds
the point where the marginal loss of expected return is greater than the marginal
benefit of reduced risk. In other words, when adding individual investments to a
portfolio, each additional investment lowers risk but also lowers the expected
return. Any portfolio must only be diversified until a point where unsystematic risk
becomes minimum. This is usually a matter of judgment of the investors, and many
times investors fall in the risk of over-diversification. This leads to lower returns for
the invested money. This pitfall in portfolio management actually erodes investor
returns.
There are always going to be some drawbacks to every theory & model. It is
important to assess that even with the drawbacks, how much a tool does helps us.
Top of Form Portfolio management has been used since 1930’s and has given such
good results over years & has become so common that even a layman understands
when we talk about “portfolio”. Portfolio management is the base on which an
investment strategy is built 1& the method is widely accepted by expert investment
analysts, portfolio managers, fund managers & the likes.
19
Modern portfolio theory is based on three assumptions about the behavior of investors
who:
• wish to maximize their utility function and who are risk averse,
• choose their portfolio based on the mean value and return variance,
• have a single-period time horizon.
By using risk (standard deviation – σ) and the expected return (Rp) in a two-
dimensional space, following figure presents portfolio combinations available to the
investor. Thus, each point within the space enclosed by points XYZ, represents a
certain portfolio.
20
By analyzing the figure, the conclusion can be drawn that in a new combination of
securities the portfolio can be moved:
• upwards – which would imply higher returns with the same level of risk or
• to the left – this implies higher returns with less risk.
It can be noticed that the portfolios below the XY curve, unlike the portfolios on the
curve, offer the investor the same return with a higher level of risk or a higher risk
with less return, which is not acceptable to the investor. Investors tend to select the
combination of shares that would position their portfolio on the XY curve, called the
efficient frontier. If the portfolio does not belong to the frontier, the investor can
improve the situation by changing the structure of the portfolio, i.e. by changing its
content.
Investors will opt for the portfolio that best corresponds to their risk attitude. Those
who are more risk inclined will select the portfolio on the efficient frontier, closer to
point X, whereas the more risk averse will select the portfolio closer to point Y. It can
be said that the Markowitz portfolio theory helps investors in the selection of the set
of shares that will ensure a higher portfolio return with the desired level of risk (the
tendency is to minimize risk and maximize return on investment).
21
Investor’s utility curves are important because they indicate the desired tradeoff by
investors between risk and return. Given the efficient frontier, they indicate which
portfolio is preferable for the given investor. Notably, because utility curves differ
one should expect different investors to select different portfolios on the efficient
frontier.
The introduction of a risk-free asset in the portfolio changes the Markowitz efficient
frontier into a straight line. He called that straight efficient frontier line the Capital
Market Line (CML), and he used indifference curves to show how investors with
different degrees of risk aversion would choose portfolios with different mixes of
stocks and the riskless asset. Investors who are not at all averse to risk could borrow
and buy stocks on margin, and thus move out the CML beyond the tangency
point. Since the line is straight, the math implies that any two assets falling on this
line will be perfectly positively correlated with each other.
The optimal portfolio for an investor is the point where the new CML is tangent to
the old efficient frontier when only risky securities were graphed. This optimal
portfolio is normally known as the market portfolio.
Two rational investors could hold portfolios at different points on the CML. An
extremely risk averse investor could hold only riskless assets, while someone who is
not at all sensitive to risk but who wants to maximize expected returns could move
on out the CML by buying stock on margin.
Note, though, that all rational investors would have a portfolio that is on the CML.
So, a highly risk adverse investor would not load up on low-risk stock, nor would a
“risk taker” load up on highly risky stocks. Both would invest in the market portfolio
and then increase or decrease risk by either buying the riskless asset or borrowing to
buy more of the market portfolio.
You have learned that a basic principle in portfolio management is the diversification
of securities. Even if all stocks are priced fairly, each still poses firm-specific risk that
can be eliminated through diversification. Therefore, rational security selection, even
in an efficient market, calls for the selection of a well-diversified portfolio, providing
the systematic risk level that the investor wants. Even in an efficient market investor
must choose the risk-return profiles they deem appropriate.
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) states that a market is efficient if security
prices immediately and fully reflect all available relevant information. If the market
fully reflects information, the knowledge of that information would not allow an
investor to profit from the information because stock prices already incorporate the
information. In an efficient market, no securities are consistently over-priced or
underpriced. While some securities will turn out after any investment period to
have provided positive alphas (i.e., risk-adjusted abnormal returns) and some
negative alphas, these past returns are not predictive of future returns.
available information, it makes no sense to buy and sell securities frequently, which
generates large brokerage fees without increasing expected performance.
A third argument for rational portfolio management relates to the particular risk
profile of the investors. For example, a Toyota executive whose annual bonus
depends on Toyota’s profits generally should not invest additional amounts in auto
stocks. To the extent that his or her compensation already depends on Toyota’s well-
being, the executive is already over-invested in Toyota and should not exacerbate
the lack of diversification.
Thus, the basic objective of portfolio management is to maximize yield and minimize
risk. The other ancillary objectives are as per the needs of investors, namely:
In pursuit of these objectives, the portfolio manager has to set out all the various
alternative investment along with their projected return and risk and choose
investment with safety the requirement of the individual investor and cater to his
preferences. The manager has to keep a list of such investment avenues along with
return-risk profile, tax implications, yield and other return such as convertible options,
bonus, rights etc. A ready reckoned giving out the analysis of the risk involved in
each investment and the corresponding return should be kept.
A portfolio is a combination of different investment assets mixed and matched for the
purpose of achieving an investor’s goals. Items that are considered a part of Investors
portfolio can include any asset that they own – from real items such as art and real
estate, to equities, fixed-income instruments and their cash and equivalents. For the
purpose of this section, Investors will focus on the most liquid asset types: equities,
fixed-income securities and cash and equivalents. The asset mix they choose
according to their aims and strategy will determine the risk and expected return of
their portfolio.
A moderately aggressive portfolio is meant for individuals with a longer time horizon
and an average risk tolerance. Investors who find these types of portfolios attractive
are seeking to balance the amount of risk and return contained within the fund. The
portfolio would consist of approximately 50-55% equities, 35-40% bonds, 5-10%
cash and equivalents.
Investors can further break down the above asset classes into subclasses, which also
have different risks and potential returns. For example, an investor might divide the
equity portion between large companies, small companies and international firms. The
bond portion might be allocated between those that are short-term and long-term,
government versus corporate debt, and so forth. More advanced investors might also
have some of the alternative assets such as options and futures in the mix. As, the
number of possible asset allocations is practically unlimited.
30
The Webster’s New Collegiate Dictionary definition of risk includes the following
meanings: “……. Possibility of loss or injury …. the degree or probability of such
loss”. This conforms to the connotations put on the term by most investors.
Professional often speaks of “downside risk” and “upside potential”. The idea is
straightforward enough: Risk has to do with bad outcomes, potential with good ones.
In considering economic and political factors, investors commonly identify five kinds
of hazards to which their investments are exposed. The following are
different components of risks associated with portfolio investments:
A. Systematic Risk
Systematic risk refers to the portion of total variability in return caused by factors
affecting the prices of all securities. Economic, Political and Sociological changes are
sources of systematic risk. Their effect is to cause prices of nearly all individual
common stocks or security to move together in the same manner. For example; if the
Economy is moving toward a recession and corporate profits shift downward, stock
prices may decline across a broad front. Nearly all stocks listed on the BSE / NSE
move in the same direction as the BSE / NSE index.
1. Market Risk
Market risk is referred to as stock/security variability due to changes in investor’s
reaction towards tangible and intangible events is the chief cause affecting market
risk. The first set that is the tangible events, has a real basis but the intangible events
are based on psychological basis.
The behavior of purchasing power risk can in some way be compared to interest rate
risk. They have a systematic influence on the prices of both stocks & bonds. If the
consumer price index in a country shows a constant increase of 4% & suddenly jump
to 5% in the next. Year, the required rate of return will have to be adjusted with
upward revision. Such a change in process will affect government securities,
corporate bonds & common stocks.
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B. Unsystematic Risk
The risk arises out of the uncertainty surrounding a particular firm or industry due to
factors like labor strike, consumer preference & management policies are called
Unsystematic risk. These uncertainties directly affect the financing & operating
environment of the firm. Unsystematic risk is also called “Diversifiable risk”. It is
avoidable. Unsystematic risk can be minimized or eliminated through diversification
of security holding. Unsystematic risk covers Business risk and Financial risk
1. Business Risk
Business risk arises due to the uncertainty of return which depend upon the nature of
business. It relates to the variability of the business, sales, income, expenses & profits.
It depends upon the market conditions for the product mix, input supplies, strength of
the competitor etc. The business risk may be classified into two kind viz. internal risk
and External risk.
2. Financial Risk
Financial risk is associated with the way in which a company finances its activities.
Generally, financial risk is related to capital structure of a firm. The presence of
borrowed money or debt in capital structure creates fixed payments in the form of
interest that must be sustained by the firm. The presence of these interest
commitments – fixed interest payments due to debt or fixed dividend payments on
preference share – causes the amount of retained earning availability for equity share
dividends to be more variable than if no interest payments were required. Financial
risk is avoidable risk to the extent that management has the freedom to decline to
borrow or not to borrow funds. A firm with no debt financing has no financial risk.
One positive point for using debt instruments is that it provides a low cost source of
funds to a company at the same time providing financial leverage for the equity
shareholders & as long as the earning of company are higher than cost of borrowed
funds, the earning per share of equity share are increased.
33
Portfolio investment process is an important step to meet the needs and convenience
of investors. The portfolio investment process involves the following steps:
1. Planning of portfolio.
1. Planning of Portfolio
Planning is the most important element in a proper portfolio management. The
success of the portfolio management will depend upon the careful planning. While
making the plan, due consideration will be given to the investor’s financial
capability and current capital market situation. After taking into consideration a
set of investment and speculative policies will be prepared in the written form. It
is called as statement of investment policy. The document must contain (1) The
portfolio objective (2) Applicable strategies (3) Investment and speculative
constraints. The planning document must clearly define the asset allocation. It
means an optimal combination of various assets in an efficient market. The
portfolio manager must keep in mind about the difference between basic pure
investment portfolio and actual portfolio returns. The statement of investment
policy may contain these elements. The portfolio planning comprises the
following situation for its better performance.
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(B) Market Condition: – The portfolio owner must know the latest
developments in the market. He may be in a position to assess the potential of
future return on various capital market instruments. The investors’ expectation
may be two types, long term expectations and short term expectations. The most
important investment decision in portfolio construction is asset allocation. Asset
allocation means the investment in different financial instruments at a percentage
in portfolio. Some investment strategies are static. The portfolio requires changes
according to investor’s needs and knowledge. A continues changes in portfolio
leads to higher operating cost. Generally, the potential volatility of equity and debt
market is 2 to 3 years. The another type of re-balancing strategy focuses on the
level of prices of a given financial asset.
(C) Speculative Policies: – The portfolio owner may accept the speculative
strategies in order to reach his goals of earning to maximum extant. If no
speculative strategies are used the management of the portfolio is relatively easy.
Speculative strategies may be categorized as asset allocation timing decision or
security selection decision. Small investors can do by purchasing mutual funds
which are indexed to a stock. Organization with large capital can employ
investment management firms to make their speculative trading decisions.
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(A) Tactical Asset Allocation: – If one believes that the price levels of
certain asset classes, industry, or economic sectors are temporarily too high or too
low, actual portfolio holdings should depart from the asset mix called for in the
strategic asset allocation. Such timing decision is preferred to as tactical asset
allocation. As noted, SAA decisions could be made across aggregate asset classes,
industry classifications (steel, food), or various broad economic sectors (basic
manufacturing, interest-sensitive, consumer durables).
Traditionally, most tactical assets allocation has involved timing across aggregate
asset classes. For example, if equity prices are believing to be too high, one would
reduce the portfolio’s equity allocation and increase allocation to, say, risk-free
securities. If one is indeed successful at tactical asset allocation, the abnormal
returns, which would be earned, are certainly entering.
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(B) Security Selection: – The second type of active speculation involves the
selection of securities within a given assets class, industry, or economic sector.
The strategic asset allocation policy would call for broad diversification through
an indexed holding of virtually all securities in the asset in the class. For example,
if the total market value of HPS Corporation share currently represents 1% of all
issued equity capital, then 1% of the investor’s portfolio allocated to equity would
be held in HPS corporation shares. The only reason to overweight or underweight
particular securities in the strategic asset allocation would be to offset risks the
investors’ faces in other assets and liabilities outside the marketable security
portfolio. Security selection, however, actively overweight and underweight
holding of particular securities in the belief that they are temporarily mispriced.
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Portfolio revision involves changing the existing mix of securities. This may be
effected either by changing the securities currently included in the portfolio or by
altering the proportion of funds invested in the securities. New securities may be
added to the portfolio or some of the existing securities may be removed from the
portfolio. Portfolio revision thus leads to purchases and sales of securities. The
objective of portfolio revision is the same as the objective of portfolio selection, i.e.
maximizing the return for a given level of risk or minimizing the risk for a given level
of return. The ultimate aim of portfolio revision is maximization of returns and
minimization of risk.
2. Taxes: Tax is payable on the capital gains arising from sale of securities.
Usually, long-term capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than short-term capital
gains. To qualify as long-term capital gain, a security must be held by an
investor for a period of not less than 12 months before sale. Frequent sales of
securities in the course of periodic portfolio revision or adjustment will result in
short-term capital gains which would be taxed at a higher rate compared to long-
term capital gains. The higher tax on short-term capital gains may act as a
constraint to frequent portfolio revision.
41
Thus, left to themselves, investors would not be acting in the way required to benefit
from price fluctuations. Hence, certain mechanical revision techniques or procedures
have been developed to enable the investors to benefit from price fluctuations in the
market by buying stocks when prices are low and selling them when prices are high.
These techniques are referred to as formula plans.
Formula plans represent an attempt to exploit the price fluctuations in the market and
make them a source of profit to the investor. They make the decisions on timings of
buying and selling securities automatic and eliminate the emotions surrounding the
timing decisions. Formula plans consist of predetermined rules regarding when to buy
or sell and how much to buy and sell. These predetermined rules call for specified
actions when there are changes in the securities market.
The use of formula plans demands that the investor divide his investment funds into
two portfolios, one aggressive and the other conservative or defensive. The aggressive
portfolio usually consists of equity shares while the defensive portfolio consists of
bonds and debentures. The formula plans specify predetermined rules for the transfer
of funds from the aggressive portfolio to the defensive portfolio and vice versa. These
rules enable the investor to automatically sell shares when their prices are rising and
buy shares when their prices are falling.
There are different formula plans for implementing passive portfolio revision; some
of them are as under
44
As share prices fluctuate, the value of the aggressive portfolio keeps changing. When
share prices are increasing, the total value of the aggressive portfolio increases. The
investor has to sell some of the shares from his portfolio to bring down the total value
of the aggressive portfolio to the level of his original investment in it. The sale
proceeds will be invested in the defensive portfolio by buying bonds and debentures.
On the contrary, when share prices are falling, the total value of the aggressive
portfolio would also decline. To keep the total value of the aggressive portfolio at its
original level, the investor has to buy some shares from the market to be included in
his portfolio. For this purpose, a part of the defensive portfolio will be liquidated to
raise the money needed to buy additional shares.
Under this plan, the investor is effectively transferring funds from the aggressive
portfolio to the defensive portfolio and thereby booking profit when share prices are
increasing. Funds are transferred from the defensive portfolio to the aggressive
portfolio when share prices are low. Thus, the plan helps the investor to buy shares
when their prices are low and sell them when their prices are high
In order to implement this plan, the investor has to decide the action points, i.e. when
he should make the transfer of funds to keep the rupee value of the aggressive
portfolio constant. These action points, or revision points, should be predetermined
and should be chosen carefully. The revision points have a significant effect on the
returns of the investor. For instance, the revision points may be predetermined as 10
per cent, 15 per cent, 20 per cent, etc. above or below the original investment in the
aggressive portfolio. If the revision points are too close, the number of transactions
would be more and the transaction costs would increase reducing the benefits of
revision. If the revision points are set too far apart, it may not be possible to profit
from the price fluctuations occurring between these revision points.
Example: Let us consider an investor who has Rs. 1,00,000 for investment. He
decides to invest Rupees. 50,000 in an aggressive portfolio of equity shares and the
remaining Rs. 50,000 in a defensive portfolio of bonds and debentures. He purchases
1250 shares selling at Rs. 40 per share for his aggressive portfolio. The revision points
are fixed as 20 per cent above or below the original investment of Rs. 50,000.
After the construction of the portfolios, the share price will fluctuate. If the price of
the share increases to Rs. 45, the value of the aggressive portfolio increases to Rs.
45
56,250 (1250 * Rs. 45). Since the revision points are fixed to 20 per cent above or
below the original investment, the investor will act only when the value of the
aggressive portfolio increases to Rs. 60,000 or falls to Rs. 40,000. If the price of the
share increases to Rs. 48 or above, the value of the aggressive portfolio will exceed
Rs. 60,000. Let us suppose that the price of the share increases to Rs. 50, the value of
the aggressive portfolio will be Rs. 62,500. The investor will sell shares worth Rs.
12,500 (250 * Rs. 50) and transfer the amount to the defensive portfolio by buying
bonds for Rs. 12,500. The value of the aggressive and defensive portfolios would now
be Rs. 50,000 and Rs. 62,500 respectively. The aggressive portfolio now has only
1000 shares valued at Rs. 50 per share.
Let us now suppose that the share price falls to Rs. 40 per share. The value of the
aggressive portfolio would then be Rs. 40,000 (1000 * Rs. 40) which is 20 per cent
less than the original investment. The investor now has to buy shares worth Rs.
10,000 (250* Rs. 40) to bring the value of the aggressive portfolio to its original level
of Rs. 50,000. The money required for buying the shares will be raised by selling
bonds from the defensive portfolio. The two portfolios now will have values of Rs.
50,000 (aggressive) and Rs. 52,500 (i.e. Rs. 62,500 – Rs. 10,000) (defensive),
aggregating to Rs. 1,02,500. It may be recalled that the investor started with Rs.
1,00,000 as investment in two portfolios.
Thus, when the ‘constant rupee value plan’ is being implemented, funds will be
transferred from one portfolio to the other, whenever the value of the aggressive
portfolio increases or declines to the predetermined levels.
46
Suppose the revision points may be fixed as +/- 0.10. This means that when the ratio
between the values of the aggressive portfolio and the defensive portfolio moves up
by 0.10 points or moves down by 0.10 points, the portfolios would be adjusted by
transfer of funds from one to the other.
Let us assume that an investor starts with Rs. 20,000, investing Rs. 10,000 each in the
aggressive portfolio and the defensive portfolio. The initial ratio is then 1:1. He has
predetermined the revision points as + 0.20. As share price increases the value of the
aggressive portfolio would rise. When the value of the aggressive portfolio rises to
Rs. 12,000, the ratio becomes 1.2:1 (i.e. Rs. 12,000: Rs. 10,000). Shares worth Rs.
1,000 will be sold and the amount transferred to the defensive portfolio by buying
bonds.
Now, the value of both the portfolios would be Rs. 11,000 and the ratio would
become 1:1. Now let us assume that the share prices are falling. The value of the
aggressive portfolio would start declining. If, for instance, the value declines to Rs.
8,500, the ratio becomes 0.77:1 (i.e. Rs. 8,500: Rs, 11,000). The ratio has declined by
more than 0.20 points. The investor now has to make the value of both portfolios
equal. He has to buy shares worth Rs. 1,250 by selling bonds for an equivalent
amount from his defensive portfolio. Now the value of the aggressive portfolio
increases by Rs. 1,250 and that of the defensive portfolio decreases by Rs. 1,250. The
values of both portfolios become Rs. 9,750 and the ratio becomes 1:1. The adjustment
of portfolios is done periodically in this manner.
47
The plan stipulates that the investor invest a constant sum, such as Rs. 5,000, Rs.
10,000, etc. in a specified share or portfolio of shares regularly at periodical intervals,
such as a month, two months, a quarter, etc. regardless of the price of the shares at the
time of investment. This periodic investment is to be continued over a fairly long
period to cover a complete cycle of share price movements.
If the plan is implemented over a complete cycle of stock prices, the investor will
obtain his shares at a lower average cost per share than the average price prevailing in
the market over the period. This occurs because more shares would be purchased at
lower prices than at higher prices.
The dollar cost averaging is really a technique of building up a portfolio over a period
of time. The plan does not envisage withdrawal of funds from the portfolio in
between. When a large portfolio has been built up over a complete cycle of share
price movements, the investor may switch over to one of the other formula plans for
its subsequent revision. The dollar cost averaging is especially suited to investors who
have periodic sums to invest. All formula plans have their limitations. By their very
nature they are inflexible.
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Diversification means, investment of funds in more than one risky asset with the basic
objective of risk reduction. The lay man can make good returns on his investment by
making use of technique of diversification.
1. Simple Diversification,
2. Over Diversification,
3. Efficient Diversification.
1. Simple Diversification
It involves a random selection of portfolio construction. The common man could
make better returns by making a random diversification of investments. It is the
process of altering the mix ratio of different components of a portfolio. The simple
diversification can reduce unsystematic risk. The research studies on portfolio found
that 10 to 15 securities in a portfolio will bring sufficient amount of returns. Further,
this concept reveals that the prediction should be based on a scientific method.
2. Over Diversification
Investors have the freedom to choose many investment alternatives to achieve the
desired profit on his portfolio. However, the investor shall have a great knowledge
regarding a large number of financial assets spreading different sectors, industries,
companies. The investors also more careful about the liquidity of each investment,
return, tax liability, the performance of the company etc. Investors find problems to
handle the large number of investments. It involves more transaction cost and more
money will be spent in managing over diversification. If any investor involves in over
diversification, there may be a chance either to get higher return or exposure to more
risk. All the problems involved in this process may result in inadequate return on the
portfolio.
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3. Efficient Diversification
Efficient diversification means a combination of low risk involved securities and high
risk instruments. The combination will only be finalized after considering the
expected return from an individual security and it does inter relationship with other
components in a portfolio. The securities shall have to be evaluated and thus
diversification to be restricted to some extent. Efficient diversification assures the
better return at an accepted level of risk.
Diversification substantially reduces your risk with little impact on potential returns.
The key involves investing in categories or securities that are dissimilar: Their returns
are affected by different factors and they face different kinds of risks. Diversification
should occur at all levels of investing. Diversification among the major asset
categories—stocks, fixed-income and money market investments—can help reduce
market risk, inflation risk and liquidity risk, since these categories are affected by
different market and economic factors.
Diversification within the major asset categories—for instance, among the various
kinds of stocks (international or domestic, for instance) or fixed-income products—
can help further reduce market and inflation risk.
50
Average investors are risk averse. Therefore, they will be ready to invest into
securities under the presumption of an adequate compensation for risk taking. The
compensation for the risk taken should be in the form of minimal rate of return for the
invested financial assets, and the rate is named the required rate of return. It has two
components:
Systemic risk cannot be suspended, i.e. it is always present, and at the securities
market it is manifested as the threat of recession, inflation, political turmoil, rise in
interest rates etc. Therefore, no matter how much investors may diversify their
investments, the systemic risk hazard is always present. The key to protection from
non-systemic risk lies in the diversification, and the investor must pay attention to the
fact that the security returns are in as little correlation as possible.
51
By analyzing the above picture, the conclusion can be drawn that the increase the
number of different shares in the portfolio decreases the non-systemic risk, thereby
the total risk as well, while the systemic risk remains unchanged. On the other hand,
the total risk can never be completely eliminated.
For example, take an investor who has evenly arranged the investment of his financial
assets into 25 shares of different companies from different branches (business
activities) in order for the return on securities to be in as little correlation as possible.
One of the companies from his/her portfolio reports a poor financial result which
causes the company share to plunge by 50 %. It will be assumed that other shares
from his/her portfolio that day did not change significantly. Since the investor evenly
arranged the investment among 25 companies, the share of each company is 4 %,
including the company the value of which fell by 50 %. The investor has lost 2 % of
his/her investment.
The above example shows that diversification is desirable; however, when investing,
investors face the dilemma of how to diversify their assets, i.e. according to which
ratio to invest the total available financial assets into individual securities and/or
projects. The answer to the identified problem is given by the Markowitz Portfolio
Theory.
52
Adding securities to a portfolio reduces risk because securities are not perfectly
positively correlated. But the effects of diversification are exhausted rapidly because
the securities are still positively correlated to each other though not perfectly
correlated. Had they been negatively correlated, the portfolio risk would have
continued to decline as portfolio size increased. Thus, in practice, the benefits of
diversification are limited.
The total risk of an individual security comprises two components; the market related
risk called systematic risk and the unique risk of that particular security
called unsystematic risk. By combining securities into a portfolio the unsystematic
risk specific to different securities is cancelled out. Consequently, the risk of the
portfolio as a whole is reduced as the size of the portfolio increases. Ultimately when
the size of the portfolio reaches a certain limit, it will contain only the systematic risk
of securities included in the portfolio. The systematic risk, however, cannot be
eliminated. Thus a fairly large portfolio has only systematic risk and has relatively
little unsystematic risk. That is why there is no gain in adding securities to a portfolio
beyond a certain portfolio size.
54
A substitute and concurrent theory to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is one
that incorporates multiple factors in explaining the movement of asset prices. The
arbitrage pricing model (APT) on the other hand approaches pricing from a different
aspect. It is rarely successful to analyze portfolio risks by assessing the weighted
sum of its components. Equity portfolios are far more diverse and enormously large
for separate component assessment, and the correlation existing between the elements
would make a calculation as such untrue. Rather, the portfolio’s risk should be
viewed as a single product’s innate risk. The APT represents portfolio risk by a factor
model that is linear, where returns are a sum of risk factor returns. Factors may range
from macroeconomic to fundamental market indices weighted by sensitivities to
changes in each factor. These sensitivities are called factor-specific beta coefficients
or more commonly, factor loadings. In addition, the firm-specific or idiosyncratic
return is added as a noise factor. This last part, as is the case with all econometric
models, is indispensable in explaining whatever the original factors failed to include.
In contrast with the CAPM, this is not an equilibrium model; it is not concerned with
the efficient portfolio of the investor. Rather, the APT model calculates asset pricing
using the different factors and assumes that in the case market pricing deviates from
the price suggested by the model, arbitrageurs will make use of the imbalance and
veer pricing back to equilibrium levels. At its simplest form, the arbitrage pricing
model can have one factor only, the market portfolio factor. This form will give
similar results to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
Stephen Ross, who initiated Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in 1976, explained that
an asset’s price today should equal the sum of discounted future cash flows, where the
expected return of the asset is a linear function of the various factors. It is based on
the tenet that in a well-functioning security market no arbitrage opportunities
should exist.
The core idea of the APT is that only a small number of systematic influences affect
the long term average returns of securities. The first ingredient of Ross’s APT is a
factor model. Multi-factor models allow an asset to have not just one, but many
measures of systematic risk. Each measure captures the sensitivity of the asset to the
corresponding pervasive factor. If the factor model holds exactly and assets do not
have specific risk, then the law of one price implies that the expected return of any
asset is just a linear function of the other assets’ expected return. If this were not the
case, arbitrageurs would be able to create a long-short trading strategy that would
have no initial cost, but would give positive profits for sure.
55
According to the above explanation, risky asset return will satisfy the following
equation:
Where E(rj) is the expected return of the asset, RPn the is risk premium of the
factor, if is the risk-free rate and bn is the sensitivity of the asset to factor n, also
known as factor loading.
Major assumptions of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) are (1) returns can be
described by a factor model, (2) there are no arbitrage opportunities, (3) there are a
large number of securities so it is possible to form portfolios that diversify the firm-
specific risk of individual stocks and (4) the financial markets are friction-less.
Factors may be economic factors (such as interest rates, inflation, GDP) financial
factors (market indices, yield curves, exchange rates) fundamentals (like
price/earnings ratios, dividend yields), or statistical (e.g. principal component
analysis, factor analysis.) The factor model’s beta coefficients i.e. sensitivities may
be estimated using cross-sectional regression or time series techniques.
Relationship between Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing
Theory (APT)
The two models approach asset pricing from different aspects. The Arbitrage Pricing
Theory (APT) is less restrictive in its assumptions than the Capital Asset Pricing
Model (CAPM). It is a rather explanatory model as opposed to statistical. It assumes
investors will each hold a portfolio unique to their risk receptiveness with a unique
beta, as opposed to the identical market portfolio presumed by the CAPM.
There are different types of securities are available to an investor for investment. In
Indian stock exchanges shares of more than 7000 companies are listed. Traditionally,
the securities were classified into ownership such as equity shares, preference shares,
and debt as a debenture bonds etc. Recently companies to raise funds for their projects
are issuing a number of new securities with innovative feature. Convertible debenture,
discount bonds, Zero coupon bonds, Flexi bond, floating rate bond, etc. are some of
these new securities. From these huge group of securities the investors has to choose
those securities, which he considers worthwhile to be included in his investment
portfolio. So for this detailed security analysis is most important.
The aim of the security analysis in portfolio management is to find out intrinsic value
of a security. The basic value is also called as the real value of a security is the true
economic worth of a financial asset. The real value of the security indicates whether
the present market price is overpriced or underpriced in order to make a right
investment decision. The actual price of the security is considered to be a function of
a set of anticipated capitalization rate. Price changes, as anticipation risk and return
change, which in turn change as a result of latest information.
Security analysis in portfolio management refers to analyzing the securities from the
point of view of the scrip prices, return and risks. The analysis will help in
understanding the behavior of security prices in the market for investment decision
making. If it is an analysis of securities and referred to as a macro analysis of the
behavior of the market. Security analysis entails in arriving at investment decisions
after collection and analysis of the requisite relevant information. To find out basic
value of a security “the potential price of that security and the future stream of cash
flows are to be forecast and then discounted back to the present value.” The basic
value of the security is to be compared with the current market price and a decision
may be taken for buying or selling the security. If the basic value is lower than the
market price, then the security is in the overbought position, hence it is to be sold. On
the other hand, if the basic value is higher than the market price the security’s worth is
not fully recognized by the market and it is in under bought position, hence it is to be
purchased to gain profit in the future.
here are mainly three alternative approaches to security analysis, namely fundamental
analysis, technical analysis and efficient market theory.
57
1. Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental analysis allows for selection of securities of different sectors of the
economy that appear to offer profitable opportunities. The security analysis will help
to establish what type of investment should be undertaken among various alternatives
i.e. real estate, bonds, debentures, equity shares, fixed deposit, gold, jewelry etc.
Neither all industries grow at same rate nor do all companies. The growth rates of a
company depend basically on its ability to satisfy human desires through production
of goods or performance is important to analyze nation economy. It is very important
to predict the course of national economy because economic activity substantially
affects corporate profits, investors’ attitudes, expectations and ultimately security
price.
2. Technical Analysis
The second alternative of security analysis is technical analysis. The technical
analysis is the study of market action for the purpose of forecasting future price
trends. The term market action includes the three principal sources of information
available to the technician – price, value, and interest. Technical Analysis can be
frequently used to supplement the fundamental analysis. It discards the fundamental
approach to intrinsic value. Changes in price movements represent shifts in supply
and demand position. Technical Analysis is useful in timing a buy or sells order. The
technical analysis does not claim 100% of success in predictions. It helps to improve
the knowledge of the probability of price behavior and provides for investment. The
current market price is compared with the future predicted price to determine the
extent of mispricing. Technical analysis is an approach, which concentrates on price
movements and ignores the fundamentals of the shares.
58
Different investors follow different approaches when they deal with portfolio
investments. Four basic approaches of investment portfolio management are
illustrated below, but there could be numerous variations.
1. The Holy-Cow Approach: These investors typically buy but never sell. He
treats his scrips like holy cows, which are never to be sold for slaughter. If you
can consistently find and then confine yourself to buying only prized bulls, this
holy cow approaches may pay well in the long run.
2. The Pig-Farmer Approach: The pig-farmer on the other hand, knows that
pigs are meant for slaughter. Similarly, an investor adopting this approach buys
and sells shares as fast as pigs are growth and slaughtered. Pigs become pork and
equity become hard cash.
3. The Rice-Miller Approach: The rice miller buys paddy feverishly in the
market during the season, then mills, hoards and sells the rice slowly over an
extended period depending on price movements. His success lies in his shills in
buying and selling, and his financial capacity to hold stocks. Similarly, an
investor following this approach grabs the share at the right price, takes a
position, holds on to it, and liquidates slowly.
The set of all securities held by an investor is called his investment portfolio.
The investment portfolio may contain just one security. However, since in general no
one puts all one’s eggs in one basket, it will contain several securities. Such
an investment portfolio is knows as a diversified portfolio.
3. Mixed portfolio: give moderate preference for both return and growth.
Salaried persons and middle income investors prefer this portfolio. Here the
portfolio consists of securities like debentures/bonds, convertible debentures,
growth as well as income mutual funds, growth shares and on.
1. Investor interested in assuming high risk go for aggressive portfolio. They may select
securities which are having positive correlations between them. The may be rewarded
in proportion to the risk they take. Aggressive portfolio has beta coefficients greater
than + 1 Beta coefficient is a measure of risk. Market folio (consisting of security of
majority of companies) is said to have a beta of 1. So a beta coefficient of more than
+1 means higher risk than the market.
2. Moderate portfolio has risk more or less equal to that of the market portfolio. The beta
of such portfolios is in between +1 and 0.
3. Conservative portfolio has far lesser risk than the market. Their beta coefficients are
close to zero, say +.05. Conservative portfolio will have a high load of risk free
investments like bank deposits, govt. bonds etc. Aggressive portfolios scantly include
the above and contain mostly equity and convertible debenture.
1. High diversification may be taken to mean that the portfolio has over 20 different
securities in the kit.
2. Moderate diversification includes 10-20 securities in the kit and low diversification
means that less than 10 securities in the kit and
3. Low diversification means that less than 10 securities are in the kit.
1. Code of Conduct: -
A portfolio manager has to, in the conduct of business; observe high standards of
integrity and fairness in all his dealing with his clients and other portfolio
managers. The money received by him from a client for an investment purpose
should be deployed as soon as possible and money due and payable to a client
should be paid forthwith.
A portfolio manager has to render at all times high standards of services, exercise
due diligence, ensure proper-care and exercise independent professional judgment.
He should either avoid any conflict of interest in his investment or disinvestment
decision, or where any conflict of interest arises; ensure fair treatment of all his
customers. He must disclose to the client, possible sources of conflict of duties
and interest, while providing unbiased services. A portfolio manager should not
place his interest above those of his clients.
He should not make any statement or become privy to any act, practice or unfair
competition, which i! Likely to be harmful to the interest of other portfolio
managers or is likely to place them in a advantageous position in relation to the
portfolio manager himself, while competing for or executing any assignment.
Any exaggerated statement, whether oral or written, should not be made ‘by him
to client other about the qualification or the capability to- render certain services
or his achievements in regards to services n rendered to the other clients.
At the time of entering into contract, he should have been in writing from the
clients his interest in various corporate bodies which enable him to obtain
unpublished price-sensitive information of the, body corporate.
A portfolio manager should not disclose to any clients or press any confidential
information about his clients, which has come in his knowledge.
63
Where necessary and in the interest of the clients, he should take adequate’ steps
for the registration of the transfer of the clients’ securities and for claiming and
receiving dividends, interest payment and other right accruing to the client. He
must also make necessary action for the conversion of securities and subscription/
renunciation of/or rights in accordance with the clients’ instruction.
a) Ensure that the investors are provided with true and adequate information
without making any misguiding or exaggerated claims and are made aware of
attendant risks before any investment decision is taken by them;
b) Render the best possible advice to the client having regards to the client’s needs
and the environment and his own professional skills;
c) Ensure that all professional dealing is affected in prompt, efficient and cost
effective manager.
2. Areas of investment and restrictions, if any, imposed by the client with regards
to investment in a particular company or industry;
5. Amount to be invested;
8. Custody of securities.
The funds of all clients must be placed by the portfolio manager in a separates
accounts to be maintained by him in a scheduled commercial bank. He can charge
an agreed fee from the client for rendering portfolio management services without
guaranteeing or assuring, either directly or indirectly, any return and such fee
should be independent of the returns to the clients and should not be on return
sharing basis.
65
2. General Responsibilities; -
3. Investment of clients’money: -
The portfolio manager should not accept money of securities from his client from
his client for a period of less than one year. Any renewal of portfolio funds the
maturity of the indicial period is deemed as a fresh placement for a minimum
period of one year. The portfolio funds can be withdrawn or taken back by the
portfolio client at his risk before the maturity date of the contract under the
following circumstances.
The portfolio manager can invest funds of his clients in money market instrument
or as specified in the contract, but not in bill discounting, bedlam financing or for
the purpose of lending or placement with corporate or non-corporate bodies.
of the client for the specific purpose of meeting margin requirements only if the
contract so provides and the client is made aware of, the attendant risk of such
transaction.
He should ordinarily purchase all sell securities separately for each client.
However, in the event of aggregation of purchase or sales for economy of scale,
inter se allocation should be done on a pro rata basis and at weighted average
price of the day’s transaction. The portfolio manager should not keep any position
open in respect of allocation of sales or purchase affected in a day.
Any transaction of purchase or sale including that between the portfolio managers
own account and client accounts or between two clients account should at the
prevailing market price. He should segregate each client’s fund and portfolio
securities and keep them separately from his own funds and securities and be
responsible for the safekeeping of clients fund and securities. He may hold the
belonging to the portfolio account in his own name on behalf of his client’s only
if, the contract so provides and in such an event his record and reports to the client
should clearly indicate that the securities are held by him on behalf of the portfolio
account.
67
Every portfolio manager must keep am maintain the following book of accounts,
records and documents.
• A copy of the profit and loss account for each accounting period.
• A copy of the auditor report on the account for each accounting period.
After the end of each accounting period, copies of the balance sheet, profit and
loss account and such other documents for any other preceding five accounting
year when required must be submitted to the SEBI. Half yearly unedited financial
result, when required with a view to monitor the capital adequacy have to be
submitted to the SEBI the books of account and other record and document must
be preserved for a minimum period off five years.
68
5. Disclosure to SEBI:
A portfolio manager must disclose to SEBI a and when required the following
information.
• Provide balance
The weighting of the goals in making decisions about products varies from
company. But organizations must balance these goals: risk vs. profitability, new
products vs. improvements, strategy fit vs. reward, market vs. product line, long-
term vs. short-term. Several types of techniques have been used to support the
portfolio management process:
• Heuristic models
• Scoring techniques
Other 4
Self employed 18
Service 20
Student 8
Grand total 50
TOTAL
Total
25
20
20
18
15
10
8
5
4
0
OTHERS SELF EMPLOYED SERVICE STUDENT
71
Student 8
Executive 25
Senior 12
Top 5
Grand total 50
TOTAL
Total
30
25
25
20
15
10 12
5 8
5
0
STUDENT EXCECUTIVE SENIOR TOP
In this question, a service person knows about portfolio management and students
who are currently studying it.
72
More then 35 9
31-35 15
26-31 14
Below 25 12
Grand Total 50
TOTAL
Total
16
14 15
14
12
12
10
8 9
0
MORE THEN 35 31-35 26-31 BELOW 25
In this context, between the age of 26-35. Group of people are more knowledgeable
about portfolio management.
73
1 lakh–3 lakh 20
3 lakh–5 lakh 10
Less than 1 8
More than 5 12
Grand Total 50
TOTAL
Total
25
20
20
15
10 12
10
8
5
0
1 LAKH–3 LAKH 3 LAKH–5 LAKH LESS THAN 1 MORE THAN 5
Interpretation: In this question, people who are earned more than 5 lakh rupees
know more about portfolio management as they are either self-employed or
businessmen/women.
74
No 10
Yes 40
Total 50
TOTAL
Total
45
40
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
10
5
0
YES NO
Interpretation: in this we get to know that 40% of respondents are aware of the need
for portfolio management
75
Q6. For achieving your portfolio goals, you invest the maximum in which mutual
funds
equity diversified 20
industry specific 10
index based 6
Grand total 50
TOTAL
Total
25
20
20
15
14
10
10
5 6
0
EQUITY DIVERSIFIED EQUITY TAX INDUSTRY SPECIFIC INDEX BASED
PLANNING
Q7. While undertaking portfolio selection which factor do you consider the most
Row labels While undertaking portfolio selection which factor do you
consider the most frequently
returns
frequently
TOTAL
Total
35
30
30
25
20
15
10
10 10
5
0
RETURN ON THE PORTFOLIO CORRELATION AMONG RETURN ON THE PORTFOLIO
WITH THE GENERAL INDEX SECURITY RETURNS WITH THE WORLD MARKET
E.G. SENSEX/NIFTY INDICES PERFORMANCE
Interpretation: In this we get to understand where the respondents would consider the
factors most frequent.
77
Q8. Do you anticipate needing your invested monies in the next five years?
Row labels needing your invested monies in the next five years
No 10
Yes 40
Total 50
TOTAL
Total
45
40
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
10
5
0
YES NO
Interpretation: in this we get to know that 80% of the respondents want to get their monies
back in the next 5 years.
78
Q9. List any special preferences or requirements you feel are relevant in the
development and management of your portfolio. For example, are there any
companies or industry sectors that you do not want to invest in?
Row labels are there any companies or industry sectors that you do not want to
invest in?
Non listed companies 7
Hind Petrol 10
RACL geartech 8
HDFC Argo 5
Grand total 50
TOTAL
Total
25
20
20
15
10
10
5 7 8
5
0
NON LISTED HIND PETROL RACL MOTILAL AND HDFC ARGO
COMPANIES GEARTECH OSWAL
Interpretation: in this we get to know that the respondents prefer to invest in listed
companies with goodwill than non-listed companies.
79
FINDINGS:
• People who are doing jobs are more concerned towards stock markets, they
invest more than any other occupation.
REFFRENCE
1.Bharti V. Pathak, “The Indian Financial System”, Pearson Education [India] Ltd.
9.E. Philip Davis, Benn Steil, Institutional Investors, MIT Press, Year-2004.
hthttps://www.edupristine.com/blog/all-about-portfolio-managementtp://professional-
edu.blogspot.com/2009/02/48-portfolio-management-efficient.html
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/portfoliomanagement.asp
https://www.managementstudyguide.com/portfolio-management.htm
https://efinancemanagement.com/investment-decisions/portfolio-management
https://investinganswers.com/dictionary/p/portfolio-management
https://www.moneyworks4me.com/about-stock-market/portfolio-management