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International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (IJTSRD)

Volume 5 Issue 6, September-October 2021 Available Online: www.ijtsrd.com e-ISSN: 2456 – 6470

Effect of Tax Reforms on Corporate on


Nigerian Economic Development
Ezekwesili Tochukwu P.
Department of Accountancy, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka, Nigeria

ABSTRACT How to cite this paper: Ezekwesili


This study assessed the Effect of Tax Reforms on Nigerian economy. Tochukwu P. "Effect of Tax Reforms on
Value Added Tax, Company Income tax, and Gross Domestic Corporate on Nigerian Economic
Product per Capita was used to measure productivity for a period of Development"
twenty eight years spanning from 1992 to 2019. Based on the Published in
International Journal
objectives of the study, four hypotheses were formulated. Ex-Post of Trend in Scientific
facto research design was adopted. The time series data were Research and
obtained from Federal Inland Revenue Services, Central Bank of Development (ijtsrd),
Nigeria, National Bureau of Statistics and the World Bank ISSN: 2456-6470, IJTSRD46398
Publications. As a preliminary step in testing, the study employed the Volume-5 | Issue-6,
Augmented Dickey Fully Unit root test to confirm the order of October 2021, pp.208-219, URL:
integration of the time series variables. The study employed www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd46398.pdf
descriptive statistics and inferential statistics using Pearson
correlation, and Regression analysis at the 5% level of significance, Copyright © 2021 by author(s) and
the study discovered that Value Added Tax, and Company Income International Journal of Trend in
Scientific Research and Development
Tax had a substantial negative influence on GDP per capita in
Journal. This is an
Nigeria, whereas Petroleum Profit Tax has a significant positive Open Access article
effect on GDP per capita in Nigeria. It was recommended that distributed under the
government should diversify the economy for more development in terms of the Creative Commons
order to increase the overall tax revenue base. Attribution License (CC BY 4.0)
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0)
KEYWORDS: Tax Reforms, Nigerian economy, VAT, Tax, and CIT

INTRODUCTION
Both developed and developing countries rely heavily regulation enforcement sellers amassed money from
on taxation as a source of revenue. Tax earnings are their citizens, in order to finance development
used to fund public utilities, fulfill social obligations, programmes in their communities. However, the
and oil the government's administrative wheel. records of cutting-edge taxation traced lower back to
Taxation is a compulsory levy imposed on the the yr 1904, when personal income tax was delivered
citizens of a country by the government, in order to in Nigeria as neighborhood tax. The amalgamation of
generate revenue that will be used in general Southern and Northern Protectorates in the year 1914
administration (Okeke, Mbonu & Amahalu, 2018). led to the switch of the native Revenue Ordinance of
Bird (2015) defines taxation as the process of or 1917 from northern place in the years 1918 and 1927
equipment with the aid of which communities of (Oriakhi & Rolle, 2014). Since then, the tax regime
group of people are made to make a contribution in has steadily grown, with a number of attempts to
some agreed quantum and technique for the purpose modernize, expand, reform, and improve the method,
of administration and development of the society. Tax structure, and sanctions inherent in Nigeria's taxing
is dynamic, so reforms are essential to effect the gadget. Furthermore, since 1986, the Nigerian
required modifications in the country wide economy. government has implemented a number of tax
According to Herbert, Nwaorgu and Nwaiwu (2017), reforms. Some of the objectives of the tax reforms
tax reform is an ongoing manner which policy makers include: to accelerate elevated carrier delivery to the
and tax administrators always undertake in the tax public, to enhance non-oil tax revenue, (iii) efforts at
structures to reflect changing economies, social and persistently reviewing the tax laws, in order to curb
political circumstances in the economy. the incidence of tax evasion and avoidance, to
The Nigeria tax device could be traced again to the enhance the tax administration, so as to make it more
eighteenth century when regular rulers and local responsive, reliable, skillful and tax payer pleasant
and to bridge the gap between country wide

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development needs and funding of the desires Productivity boom can also help businesses to be
(Federal Inland Revenue Handbook, 2012). more profitable (Zelenyuk, 2018). Productivity boom
Instructively, some of the reforms that have been is a essential supply of increase in living standards.
embarked upon by the Nigerian authorities in view Productivity boom skill greater cost is introduced in
that the inauguration of Nigeria‘s tax system manufacturing and this means extra income is
according to Peci (2018) include, the introduction of reachable to be distributed. The introduction of
earnings tax in Nigeria between 1904 and 1926, (ii) productive jobs is the key to financial growth, social
granting of autonomy to Nigeria inland income in development and enhancements in residing standards.
1945, the Raisman Fiscal Commission of 1957, (iv) The riding factor behind the fast boom in productivity
The creation of the Inland Revenue Board in 1958, in the Western world has been the symbiotic
the promulgation of the Petroleum Profit Tax aggregate of investment in human and physical
Ordinance No.15 of 1959, the issuance of the Income capital and technological progress, which has pushed
Tax Management Act of 1961, and the promulgation per capita income for the giant majority of the
of the Companies Income Tax Act of 1979, and (viii) populations in these economies a long way past
Tax Policy and Administration Reforms Amendment subsistence ranges (World Bank, 2017a). Hence, the
2001 and 2004. The tax reform of the 90s was want to empirically take a look at the effect of tax
preceded via the inauguration of two find out about reforms on productiveness in Nigeria.
groups. One learn about group examined the direct Tax reform in developing countries involves broad
tax regime, whilst the 2d examined oblique tax. A issues of economic policy as well as specific
essential consequence of the 2d study crew was the problems of tax structure design and administration
introduction of value introduced tax (VAT) in the 12 (Desislava, 2017). First, there are the central
months 1993. VAT marked a shift from tax on problems of revenue requirements and how to fit the
overseas exchange related things to do to revenue structure into development policy. This area
consumption- primarily based tax (Oriakhi & Rolle, of concern includes the impact of alternative taxes on
2014). Prior to this, the share of central, kingdom and saving and investment and their implications for the
neighborhood government of VAT was once 20%, macro balance (domestic and foreign) of the
50% and 30% respectively (Ogbonna & Ebimobowei, economy. Second, there is the important goal of
2012). However, by the year 1995, the sharing securing a fair distribution of the tax burden. Among
components used to be revised in favour of central the more specific tax issues, attention needs to be
authorities for this reason (Central government, 35%; given to the composition of the tax structure as well
State government, 40% and Local government 25%). as to the design of its major components. The trouble
Agitations from sub-national government provoked is not without a doubt to decide what would be
every other revision of VAT, so that presently the applicable but also to determine what is
sharing method for Central, State and Local administratively workable and inside the ballpark of
governments is respectively, 15%, 50% and 25% political feasibility. A common function of the tax
(Oriakhi & Rolle, 2014). The tax reform of 2004 was constructions in most creating countries is that they
the consequence of tips made by using the study crew are complex (difficult to administer and comply
(2002). This tax reform used to be section of the with), inelastic (non-responsive to boom and
National Economic Empowerment and Development discretionary coverage measures), inefficient (raise
Strategies (NEEDs). Essentially, the find out about little revenue but introduce serious economic
crew recommended that Nigeria needed a distortions), inequitable (treat people and groups in
countrywide tax coverage that will be principally comparable circumstances differently), and unfair
directed closer to national development. On April 7, (tax administration and enforcement are selective and
2012 the countrywide tax policy record was launched skewed in favour of those with the assets to defeat the
via President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan. system) (Eze, 2020).
Most common instance is the (aggregate) labour In Nigeria, tax administration has been encumbered
productiveness measure, e.g., such as GDP per by way of numerous factors ranging from insufficient
worker (Sickles & Zelenyuk, 2019). Productivity is a and unreliable data, paucity of administrative
fundamental element in production performance of capacity, scarcity of expert manpower, corrupt tax
corporations and nations. Increasing national officials, high incidence of tax avoidance and
productiveness can increase dwelling standards due to evasion, complicated tax codes and the hydra-headed
the fact greater actual profits improves people's monster of multiple taxations (Herbert, Nwaorgu &
capacity to purchase goods and services, enjoy Nwaiwu, 2017). Nigerian authorities have embarked
leisure, improve housing and training and make on various tax reforms, since the 12 months 1991.
contributions to social and environmental programs.

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Prior to tax reforms, tax administration reflected (Fjeldstad, 2014). It can enhance monetary increase
inefficiencies, characterized by means of deficiencies (Mascagni, Moore & McCluskey, 2014). Akitoby,
in the tax administration and collection system, (2018) address issues of inequality through
complex legislations and apathy on the phase of those redistribution and behaviour alternate.
backyard the tax nets. The divergence of theoretical A value-added tax (VAT) is a consumption tax placed
views on the link between tax reforms and on a product whenever value is added at each stage of
productiveness is manifested in empirical literature. the supply chain, from production to the point of sale.
(Feng & Eko, 2014; Saima, Tariq, Muhammad, Sofia The amount of VAT that the user will pay is on the
& Amir, 2014; Asaolu, Olabisi, Akinbode &Alebiosu, fee of the product, much less any of the charges of
2018) reported negative relationship between tax substances used in the product that have already been
reforms and economic growth. While Adeyemi & taxed. VAT is surely a regressive tax that places an
Disu, 2018; Yahaya & Bakare 2018; Okeke, Mbonu multiplied financial pressure on lower-income
&Amahalu, 2018; Omondi, 2019) documented that taxpayers, and also adds bureaucratic burdens for
effect on of tax reforms have a positive effect on businesses. Value-added taxation is based on a
economic growth. These conflicting empirical taxpayer's consumption as a substitute than their
outcomes can also be defined by means of differences income. In distinction to a progressive income tax,
in goal populations with admire to country, sector, which levies larger taxes on higher-level earners,
company and economic periods, this thereby created a VAT applies equally to each buy (Kagan, 2019). A
growing gap in literature that this study is tried to value-added tax (VAT) is a consumption tax levied
address. Addressing the gap in literature, the on products at each point of sale where price has been
structured variable of this study would be focused on added, beginning from uncooked materials and going
productiveness (variable gap), as prior research all the way to final retail purchase. Ultimately, the
targeted on economic boom or development. This purchaser can pay the VAT; buyers at until now
study examined the effect of Tax Reforms on degrees of manufacturing receive reimbursements for
Productivity of Nigeria. The specific objectives were the preceding VAT they've paid. Value Added Tax
to: (VAT) in Nigeria is a consumption tax that used to be
1. Determined the significant effect of the Value instated with the aid of the Value Added Tax Act of
Added Tax on Nigeria's GDP per capita. 1993. It is a Federal Tax which is managed by using
2. Ascertained the significant effect of corporate the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS). VAT is
income tax on Nigeria's GDP per capita. charged on most items and services affords in Nigeria
Review of Related Literature and additionally on goods imported into Nigeria.
Tax Reform Businesses add VAT to the income price of the goods
Tax reform is the process of modifying how the or services they provide in Nigeria. Some VAT paid
government collects and manages taxes, with the goal by corporations can be used to offset VAT collected
of improving tax administration or providing before remittance to the FIRS (Deloitte, 2019).
economic or social advantages. (Institute of Company earnings tax is a tax imposed by using the
Development Studies (2020). Government on the earnings and income of
Tax reform is commonly undertaken to improve the companies working in the country. The regulation
efficiency of tax administration and to maximize the governing the administration of Companies Income
financial and social advantages that can be executed Tax is the Companies Income Tax Act. The
thru the tax system. Tax can be described as a regulation which used to be first enacted in 1961 has
economic charge or different levy imposed upon a gone through so many amendments; the today's being
taxpayer (an character or legal entity) by means of a that of April, 2007. Companies Income Tax (CIT) is a
state, or the useful equivalent of a country (Granger, tax on the earnings of registered companies in
2013). Taxes can include direct taxes on profits and Nigeria. It additionally includes the tax on the profits
wealth (e.g. personal and corporate earnings taxes, of overseas corporations carrying on enterprise in
property tax), and indirect taxes on consumption (e.g. Nigeria. The tax is paid by constrained legal
Value Added Tax (VAT), excise duties). (Granger, responsibility groups inclusive of the public
2013). Tax reform can decrease tax evasion and restrained liability companies. It is therefore
avoidance, and enable for greater environment frequently referred to as the company tax (Onyeyiri,
friendly and truthful tax collection that can finance 2019). All public restricted legal responsibility
public items and services. It can make income stages agencies in Nigeria backyard the Petroleum sector of
extra sustainable, and promote future independence the economic system are required to pay profits and
from overseas resource and herbal aid revenues education tax. The charge is 30% of total earnings for

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income tax and 2% of assessable earnings for training The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is a
tax. Total earnings are earnings after deducting measure of a country's economic output that accounts
previous 12 months losses carried forward and capital for its entire population. It uses the country's entire
allowances. Assessable income is got prior to population to divide the country's gross domestic
deducting capital allowances. Resident groups are product. As a result, it's a good indicator of a
incorporated beneath the Companies and Allied country's preferred standard of living. It indicates
Matters Act (CAMA) 2004. The administration of the how prosperous you are a U. S. A. feels to every of its
Companies Income Tax is vested on the Federal citizens (Chappelow, 2019). Per capita gross domestic
Inland Revenue Service which used to be recognized product (GDP) is a metric that breaks down a
as the Federal Board of Inland Revenue (FBIR) until country's GDP per person. It is calculated by way of
the enactment of the Federal Inland Revenue dividing GDP over a country’s population. GDP per
Establishment Act in April, 2007 which scrapped the capita is a established measure globally for gauging
FBIR and changed it with Federal Inland Revenue the prosperity of nations (Tushar, 2020). GDP per
Service (Pwc, 2019). The modern-day Tax fee in any capita indicates how an awful lot financial
yr of assessment for a organization in Nigeria is 30%. manufacturing value can be attributed to every
The tax is payable on the profits accruing in, derived individual citizen. Alternatively, this interprets to a
from, introduced into or obtained in Nigeria. These measure of country wide wealth since GDP market
income are in relation to the following activities: Any fee per man or woman additionally effectively serves
alternate or enterprise carried out; Rent or any as a prosperity measure (Seth, 2020). GDP per capita
premium arising from a proper granted any character is a nation's gross home product divided via its
for the use or occupation of any property; Dividends, population. The GDP is the whole output of items and
interest, discounts, royalties, charges or annuities; services produced in a yr via all of us inside the
Any source of annual income now not falling beneath country's borders (World Bank, 2019). GDP is the
any of the fore-goings; Fees, dues, and allowances for main measure of a country's economic productivity.
offerings rendered; Any quantity of profits or A country's financial GDP shows the market price of
beneficial properties springing up from obtaining or items and services it produces. GDP per capita is an
disposing momentary money devices like the federal necessary indicator of monetary performance and a
government securities, Treasury Bills and Savings beneficial unit to make cross-country comparisons of
Certificates, Debenture Certificates and Treasury average dwelling standards and financial wellbeing
Bonds. Any quantity deemed to be earnings or profit (Amadeo, 2020).
with recognize to any advantage arising from a
Empirical Review
pension or provident fund underneath the Personal Okoye and Ezejiofor (2014) determined whether
earnings tax act (Olumuyiwa, 2019). electronic taxation can alleviate the problem of tax
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) evasion and prevent tax officers in Nigeria from
Productivity is a measure of the effectively with engaging in corrupt acts. The data was examined
which a us of a combines capital and labour to using means and standard deviation, and the three
produce greater with the identical level of element hypotheses were put to the test using the Z-test
inputs (Reenen, 2020). Productivity is the key supply statistical tool. It found that e-taxation increased IGR
of economic boom and competitiveness. A country’s and prevent tax authorities from being corrupt.in
capability to enhance its standard of living depends Enugu state. Salami, Apelogun, Omidiya and Ojoye
nearly completely on its ability to raise its output per (2015) determined the effect of taxation on the boom
worker, i.e., producing extra goods and offerings for a of the economy structure 1993-2013. The Nigerian
given quantity of hours of work. Economists use government has embarked on monitoring its series
productivity growth to mannequin the productive however the financial system has failed to experience
capacity of economies and determine their ability the preferred increase that will lead to the targeted
utilization rates. This, in turn, is used to forecast economic development. The chosen financial growth
business cycles and predict future tiers of gross home indicator, the actual Gross Domestic Product
product (GDP) growth. In addition, production (RGDP), is exact to depend on the taxation warning
potential and utilization are used to assess demand signs which are the petroleum profit tax (PPT),
and inflationary pressures (Riley, 2020). Productivity employer income tax (CIT), customs and excise
is an necessary determinant of residing standards, it duties (CED), price delivered tax (VAT). It was
quantifies how an financial system makes use of the discovered that if all the exogenous variables had
assets it has available, by using pertaining to the been tested individually on the economic growth, they
quantity of inputs to output (Kenton, 2019). showed a sizable have an effect on of the man or

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woman variables on economic growth. The F-statistic regression technique. Findings confirmed a positively
showed that the universal mannequin is statistically and drastically relationship between tax income and
significant. Ezejiofor, Adigwe and Echekoba (2015) economic development. The result additionally
ascertained whether taxes, as a fiscal policy tool, have exhibits that measuring the impact of tax revenue on
an impact on the performance of Nigeria's selected monetary improvement the use of HDI offers lower
industrial enterprises. The descriptive technique was relationship than measuring the relationship with
used using the Statistical Program for Social Sciences GDP as a result suggesting that the usage of gross
(SPSS) version 20.0 software package, the study's domestic product (GDP) offers a painted picture of
hypothesis was tested using ANOVA. Finding the relationship between tax revenue and monetary
revealed that taxation, as a fiscal policy tool, has a development in Nigeria. Arodoye and Adegboye
considerable impact on the performance of Nigerian (2016) investigated tax structure in Nigeria and how it
manufacturing firms, according to the study. Nur- relates to productiveness boom and usual monetary
Arifah, Abdul and Sahibzada (2016) examined the performance. The changing structure of the Nigerian
effect tax reform in economic growth. The study used financial system was once regarded in terms of the
27 chosen Asian countries for 5 yr time length (panel tax structure evolution. Three troubles have been
data). The relationship between the based variables considered, namely, responses of government
(GDP per capita and FDI rate) and independent spending to tax changes, tax-spending results of
variables (individual earnings tax, company tax, and growth of output per man, and the structural effects of
consumption tax) Descriptive analysis and regression taxes on growth over time. Using gorgeous strategies
analysis was adopted to analyze the data. The data and information for the duration 1981 to 2013, the
were accumulated based totally on GDP per capita, effects indicated that organization earnings taxes
FDI rate, corporate tax, character earnings tax and performs exceptional in explaining modifications in
consumption tax. The accessibility of information of authorities spending whilst VAT carried out worst.
the selected countries have been extracted from the Cornelius, Ogar and Oka (2016) examined the impact
information that has been published in the World of tax income on the Nigerian economy from 1990-
Bank professional websites. E-Views software 2014. Data have been sourced from Central Bank
program was once adopted to analyze descriptive Statistical Bulletin and extracted through desk survey
correlation and regression analysis. A substantial nice method. Ordinary least square of more than one
relationship was located between GDP per capita, regression models used to be used to establish the
FDI rate, company tax, man or woman income tax relationship between dependent and independent
and consumption tax. Etale and Bingilar (2016) variables. The finding revealed that there is a
examined the influence of companies’ profits tax, substantial relationship between petroleum income
value-added tax on financial increase (proxy by way tax and the increase of the Nigeria economy. Oraka,
of gross domestic product) in Nigeria. Secondary time Okegbe, and Ezejiofor (2017) investigated the impact
sequence panel statistics were accrued for the of the value added tax on the Nigerian economy This
duration 2005 to 2014 from the Statistical Bulletin of study used an ex post facto research design. The study
the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The study used Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Per Capital
employed Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) approach Income (PCI), and Total Revenue (TR) to measure
based on the computer software Windows SPSS 20 the Nigerian economy from 2003 to 2015. The CBN
version for the evaluation of data, the place gross statistical bulletin, the Federal Inland Revenue
Domestic product (GDP), the dependent variable and Service of the federal ministry of finance, and
proxy for financial growth, used to be regressed as a periodicals were used to compile the data. Simple
function of enterprise profits tax (CIT) and value- regression analysis was used to analyze the data. The
added tax (VAT), the impartial variables. The effects findings revealed that the value added tax has had no
of the analysis confirmed that each enterprise income major impact on the Nigerian economy's Gross
tax and value-added tax have appreciably fantastic Domestic Product. VAT has also been found to have
impact on economic growth. Ofoegbu, Akwu, and a detrimental association with Nigerian economy's
Oliver (2016) examined the effect of tax revenue on Gross Domestic Product. Matallah and Matallah
the monetary development of Nigerian, and to (2017) investigated the have an effect on of fiscal
confirm whether there is any distinction in the use of coverage on economic growth in Algeria over the
HDI and GDP in setting up the relationship. The duration 1970-2015, via the use of Johansen
method adopted in this study was that of using annual cointegration take a look at and vector error
time collection statistics for the length 2005 to 2014 correction mannequin (VECM). The predominant
to estimate a linear model of tax income and human effects revealed that each oblique taxes and
development index using everyday least square (OLS) productive modern-day expenses have a widespread

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long-term high-quality impact on actual GDP, while firms (NSE). Using chosen manufacturing enterprises
direct taxes, capital and unproductive recurrent listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, data were
expenses negatively and substantially affect monetary taken from the annual reports and accounts of three
boom in the lengthy run. Based on these findings, it selected manufacturing enterprises and evaluated
may want to be concluded that sustainable economic using the linear regression model in an ex post facto
growth requires serious policy measures aimed at study methodology. Their findings revealed that there
diversifying the Algerian economy. Kalaš, Mirović is no substantial association between corporation tax
and Andrašić (2017) provided an empirical approach and dividends paid by Nigerian Breweries Plc,
to taxes and economic growth in the United States in Dangote Cement Plc, and PZ Cussons Plc, as well as
the duration 1996-2016. The problem of the lookup new ordinary share issuance, retained earnings, and
was measuring the outcomes of tax revenue boom and long-term debt. Odum, Odum and Egbunike (2018)
tax form as a non-public income tax, company examined the impact of direct earnings tax on gross
earnings tax and social safety contributions on gross home product with the key focal point on the
home product as a proxy for economic growth. Nigerian fiscal policy framework and adopting time
Methodology framework protected several tests to sequence records dating from 2007 to 2016 and
clear the viable problem of heteroscedasticity, amassed from Budget Office of the Federation,
autocorrelation, multicollinearity and specification of Federal Inland Service publications, Central Bank of
the model. Based on diagnostic tests, a regression Nigeria statistical bulletin and the National Bureau of
model the study revealed that private income tax and Statistics. The statistics set was once analyzed using,
social security contributions are weakly associated to Pearson Coefficient Correlation, Granger Causality
gross home product growth. The model showed a test, Ordinary Least Square method of regression,
great impact of tax revenue growth and social safety Johansen Cointegration test and Error Correction
contributions, while private profits tax and corporate Model. In order to set up the stationarity of the
earnings tax do now not have a considerable impact variables, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root take
on gross home product growth. Gbegi, Adebisi and a look at was employed. Findings from this learn
Bodunde (2017) examined the effect of petroleum about expose that direct profits tax has giant high
profit tax (PPT) on Profitability of oil and fuel quality effect on gross domestic product at 5% level.
companies in Nigeria, in line with the objectives of The learn about recommended that government need
the study, secondary facts were obtained from to supply a strong fiscal responsible and transparent
economic announcement of ten (10) selected oil and device the place tax reforms ought to be such that
fuel company protecting the duration of 2011 to 2015. would encourage make bigger in investment tended
Panel statistics have been deployed and both closer to combat corruption on account of the good
descriptive records and multiple regressions method sized and profound effect of fiscal policies on
employed to establish the effect of PPT rate on monetary boom in Nigeria. Udeh and. Ezejiofor
Profitability oil and gasoline firms. Petroleum profit (2018) looked at the impact of accounting
tax used to be determined to have good sized results information on deferred taxation in Nigerian deposit
on the Profitability of oil and gasoline companies money banks. The data was acquired from yearly
with the adjusted R2of 95%. The study revealed that reports and accounts of Nigerian deposit money
taxes paid through oil and gasoline industries have a institutions using an ex post facto research design. To
downward impact on profitability of oil and gas evaluate the hypotheses, a pooled multiple regression
industries. Miftahu, Tunku and Tunku (2017) analysis was used. According to the findings,
evaluated the influence of tax income on the earnings per share (EPS) and cash flow (CASHFL)
macroeconomic management of the Nigerian have a negative impact on our dependent variable,
economy using a conceptual approach. A deferred tax, but book value of equity has a
comprehensive evaluation of the literature as well as statistically significant impact whereas earnings per
in-depth analysis of tax structure used to be severely share (EPS) and cash flow (CASHFL) do not. Yahaya
conducted. The find out about explored the income and Bakare (2018) evaluated the effect of petroleum
trend in Nigeria for over three a long time in relation earnings tax and business enterprise income tax on
to its results on GDP growth. As proven via the Nigerian financial system growth. Fully Modified
literature, the existence of causal relationship between Least Square (FMOLS) Regression Technique was
tax revenue and economic increase suggests the fine used to estimate the mannequin over a 34 yr period
influence of taxation as a fiscal coverage device in (1981-2014) while Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit
enhancing macroeconomic growth. Erhirhie, Oraka, Root Test and Single Equation Co-integration Test
and Ezejiofor (2018) investigated the effects of were carried out. It was located that petroleum profit
corporate tax on financing decisions of manufacturing tax (PPT) and organization income tax (CIT) have

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superb considerable affect on gross domestic product Time sequence information on exclusive sorts of
(GDP) in Nigeria with the Adjusted R² of 87.6% complete tax revenue and economic improvement
which without delay enhanced growth in Nigeria. The from 1986-2016 were accrued from Central Bank of
study concluded that PPT and CIT served as the Nigeria statistical bulletin, Federal Inland Revenue
principal source of income to the Nigeria economy, Service and National Bureau of Statistics. Multiple
and make contributions to the increase of Nigeria regression analysis was once used in analyzing the
economy. Adeyemi and Disu (2018) reviewed facts with the useful resource of STATA version
cutting-edge issues in corporate profits tax practices thirteen The effects indicated that there exists a
in Nigeria against the historical past of Nigeria’s sizeable high-quality relationship between whole tax
financial system being typically characterized through revenue and unemployment in Nigeria; agency
low tax compliance and enforcement. There is no earnings tax has no widespread relationship with
gainsaying the reality that tax enforcement has end up monetary growth The find out about concluded that
an indispensable issue of tax administration in view total tax revenue relate positively to unemployment.
of the ingenious ways corporate taxpayers undermine Ezejiofor, Oranefo and Ndum (2021) ascertained
the revenue generation procedure by means of no effect of Nigerian tax revenue based on per capita
longer remitting what is due to government. The income. The study used an ex-post facto research
study reviewed extant provisions on tax reliefs and design. The Nigerian economy was made up of the
incentives relevant to corporate entities to facilitate population, and data for this study came from the
voluntary compliance and pointers were made on Statistical Bulletin of the Central Bank of Nigeria
enhancing the successful implementation of the (CBN) and the Federal Inland Revenue Service
voluntary belongings and earnings assertion scheme (FIRS). Per Capita Income (PCI), as well as customs
(VAIDS) and improve the corporate profits tax and excise charges were retrieved as variables. This
culture in order to enhance the gross home product. study's data analysis was based on information
Asaolu, Olabisi, Akinbode and Alebiosu (2018) gathered from CBN, FIRS, and NBS publications and
examined the relationship between tax income and statistical bulletins. The hypothesis was tested using
financial growth in Nigeria. The find out about correlation and Ordinary Least Square (OLS)
adopted a descriptive and historical lookup design; regressions. Customs and excise duties have a non-
secondary information for twenty-two years (1994 - significant beneficial influence on per capita income,
2015) have been collected from a variety of issues of according to data analysis. The study concluded that
the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin total tax revenue relate positively to unemployment
and annual reports. Analysis was carried out on and recommends that government distribute its social
information collected using Auto Regressive welfare programmes in such a way to supply direct
Distributed Lag (ARDL) Regression and other put up benefit to tax payers.
estimations (Jarque-Bera test; Breusch-Godfrey LM To apprehend the importance of tax coverage
and Ramsey Reset Test) to decide the existence of
reforms, one desires to come to phrases with the
relationship between the variables. The consequences
urgency for such reforms. Firstly, there is an pressing
of the study showed that VAT and CED had a
want to diversify the revenue portfolio of the country
considerable relationships with financial increase
in order to protect towards the volatility of crude oil
(p<0.05), whilst CIT has bad substantial relationship
expenses and to promote fiscal sustainability and
with financial growth (P<0.05). However, PPT had
economic viability at decrease tiers of government.
no massive relationship with economic growth.
Second, Nigeria operates on a money finances
Olaoye and Ayeni (2019) examined price introduced
system; the place proposals for expenditure are
tax and customs duties on revenue generation in usually channeled towards revenue projections. This
Nigeria. Secondary data had been sourced from
permits the capability to decide the most desirable tax
Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) ranging from price for a given degree of expenditure. Therefore,
2000 to 2016. Autoregressive Distributed Lag
accuracy in revenue projection is of utmost
(ARDL) and Granger causality exams were used as
significance for imposing an fantastic framework for
the estimation techniques. The study about concluded
sustainable fiscal policy management. This can then
that value-added tax and customs duties have no again be completed when reforms are undertaken on
considerable effect on revenue era and there is no
present tax policies in order to gain some
long-run relationship among value-added tax, improvement. Thirdly, Nigerian tax device is focused
customs responsibilities and revenue era in Nigeria
on petroleum and exchange taxes while direct and
for the duration of the learn about period. Ironkwe
oblique taxes like the value-added (VAT) are ignored.
and Agu (2019) analyzed the relationship between
This is a structural problem for the country’s tax
complete tax income and monetary growth in Nigeria.
system. Although direct taxes and VAT possess the

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capacity for expansion, their affect is restricted values during the study period. While, the inferential
because of the domineering casual sector in the statistics of the hypothesis would be tested with the
country. Finally, the widening fiscal deficit over the application of coefficient of correlation: which is a
years has threatened macroeconomic steadiness and good measure of relationship between two variables,
prospects for financial boom makes the thought of a tells us about the strength of relationship and the
tax reform very appealing (Luthans & Stajkovic, direction of relationship as well, Regression analysis
2015; Fuller, 2016). Nigeria’s fiscal coverage predicts the value of the independent variable based
measures have been by and large pushed by using the on the value of the independent variable. Ordinary
want to promote some macroeconomic goals in Least Square regression analysis would be used for
promotion speedy boom of the economy, producing this study.
employment, keeping rate degrees and enhancing the
Decision Rule
balance-of charge stipulations of the United States The decision was based on 5% (0.05) level of
(Borowiecki, 2015). significance. The null hypothesis (Ho) will be
Methodology accepted, if probability value (ie. Pvalue or Sig.)
Research Design Calculated is greater than (>) the stated 5% level of
This study focused on ascertaining the effect of tax significance, otherwise reject.
reforms on productivity of Nigeria. This study
Data Presentation and Analysis
employed Ex-post facto research design. The
Data Analysis
adoption of this research design is based on the fact
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics
that the study relied on historic data obtained from the
GDP VAT CIT
relevant publications and as such the data are already
Mean 3.0489 11.3493 11.4393
in existence.
Median 3.1600 11.3250 11.4550
Data were obtained from the publications of Federal Maximum 3.5100 11.9300 12.2400
Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) bulletin of various Minimum 2.4300 10.7500 10.6500
years, Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) publications, Std. Dev. 0.3458 0.4585 0.5518
like Statistical Bulletin various years, Annual Reports Skewness -0.2566 -0.0064 0.0243
for various years; National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Kurtosis 1.5248 1.3023 1.4615
and the World Bank Publications for twenty eight Jarque-Bera 11.8464 8.5627 8.7641
years (1992-2019) period. The variables for which Probability 0.0009 0.0341 0.0211
data were sourced include; value added tax, Sum 85.3700 317.7800 320.3000
petroleum profit tax, personal income tax, company Sum Sq. Dev. 3.2295 5.6762 8.2212
income tax and GDP for the study period.
Observations 28 28 28
Model Specification Source: Descriptive Output, 2021
Representing the equations with the variables of the
Interpretation
construct, hence the models below were formulated
As indicated in table 1, the mean serves as a tool for
based on the stated hypotheses:
setting benchmark, while, the maximum and
GDPt = β0 + β1VATt + β2CITt + µ t - - i minimum values help in detecting problem in a data.
Where: The standard deviation shows the
deviation/dispersion/variation from the mean. It is a
GDPt = Gross Domestic Product for period t measure of risk. The higher the standard deviation,
VATt = Value Added Tax for period t the higher the risk. In a dataset with a normal
distribution, most of the values are clustered around
CITt = Company Income Tax for period t the mean, while relatively few values tend to be
µ t = Error term for period t extremely high or extremely low. Many natural
phenomena display a normal distribution (Azuka,
β0= Constant term
2011). The standard deviations in this study for the
β1= Coefficient of Tax Reforms period 1992-2019 are 0.3458, 0.4585, and 0.5518 for
t denotes the annual time‐period GDP, VAT, and CIT respectively. For such
distributions, it is the case that 34.58%, 52.317%, and
Method of Data Analysis 55.18% of values are less than one standard deviation
Descriptive and Inferential statistics of the study data (1SD) away from the mean values of GDP, VAT, and
were conducted via the aid of E-View 9. Descriptive CIT respectively. Skewness and Kurtosis are
statistics were employed to determine the mean, contained in Jarque-Bera. Positively skewed is an
median standard deviation, minimum and maximum

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indication of a rise in profit while negatively skewed is used to test for normality; to know whether data are
is an indication of loss or backwardness. Jarque-bera normally distributed.
Test of Hypotheses
Ho1: tax reform has no significant effect on GDP per Capita of Nigeria
Table 2: Ordinary Least Square regression (OLS) analysis showing the effect of VAT, and CIT on
GDP
Dependent Variable: GDP
Method: Least Squares
Date: 11/08/21 Time: 10:40
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.003857 0.017988 6.955718 0.0000
DVAT -0.367736 0.256076 -4.699543 0.0001
DCIT -0.453571 0.066215 -2.470444 0.0207
R-squared 0.838705 Mean dependent var 0.024815
Adjusted R-squared 0.825264 S.D. dependent var 0.078367
S.E. of regression 0.077717 Akaike info criterion -2.105912
Sum squared resid 0.132878 Schwarz criterion -1.865942
Log likelihood 33.42982 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.034557
F-statistic 62.39778 Durbin-Watson stat 1.732524
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Source: Regression Output, 2021
The drawn inference from the model implies that one Discussion of Findings
unit increase in VAT will cause GDP to decrease by The regression result demonstrated that one unit
36.77%; one naira in increase CIT made GDP to increase in VAT will cause GDP per Capita to
reduce by 45.36%. From table 2, VAT with a decrease by 36.77%; one naira in increase CIT made
negative co-efficient of 0.367736 has a significant GDP per Capita to reduce by 45.36%. From the table,
effect on GDP as indicated by the t-statistic of - VAT with a negative co-efficient of 0.367736 has a
4.699543 and its associated probability value of significant effect on GDP per Capita as indicated by
0.0001 < 0.05; an inverse relationship exists between the t-statistic of -4.699543 and its associated
CIT and GDP at t-statistic = -2.470444, however, probability value of 0.0001 < 0.05; an inverse
significant with the p-value = 0.0207 < 0.005. relationship exists between CIT and GDP per Capita
at t-statistic = -2.470444, however, significant with
The adjusted R squared which examines the extent to
the p-value = 0.0207 < 0.005. The adjusted R squared
which the predictors (VAT, and CIT) explain the
which examines the extent to which the predictors
variations in the dependent variable (GDP) shows that
(VAT and CIT) explain the variations in the
the adjusted R Squared figure of 0.825264 indicates
dependent variable (GDP) shows that the adjusted R
that, reliance on this model will account for 82.53%
Squared figure of 0.825264 indicates that, reliance on
of the variations in the dependent variable (GDP),
this model account for 82.53% of the variations in the
while the remaining 17.47% is accounted by other
dependent variable (GDP).
factors outside the scope of this model The Durbin-
Watson value of 1.732524 buttressed the fact that the The regression results is in line with Okeke, Mbonu
model does not contain auto-correlation, since the and Amahalu (2018); Adeyrmi and Disu (2018);
value1.732524 is not more than 2 approximately, Apere and Durojaiye (2016Adeyemi and Disu (2018);
thereby, making the regression fit for prediction Yahaya and Bakare (2018) ; Kalac, Mirovic and
purpose. The analysis resulted in F-value of 62.39778 Andrasic (2017); Onakoya, Babatunde and Afintinni
with corresponding p-value of 0.000000. This (2016); Etale and Binglar (2016); Salami, Apelogun,
confirms that, the model is significantly reliable. Omidiya and Ojoye (2015) but negates the findings of
Ironkwe and Agu (2019).
Decision
Since the p-value of the test = 0.000000 is less than Conclusion and Recommendations
the critical significant value of 5%, thus H1 is Conclusion
accepted and Ho rejected. Therefore, this study This study explored the effect of Tax Reforms on
upholds that VAT has a significant negative effect on Nigerian economic growth. The data set used for this
GDP; CIT has a significant negative effect on GDP at analysis is the annual series of the selected relevant
5% level of significance. macroeconomic variables. Tax reform factors

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