Tercer Parcial A I 18

Demanda 500,000 España USA
Des. Stádndar 500 Q 35,532 28,405

España L 15 Co anual 71,063 62,490
España Cu 10 Ch anual 71,393 62,786
España Ctrs 5,000 C compra anual 5,000,000 5,500,000
USA L 7 Ct 5,142,456 5,625,276
USA Cu 11 0.787 0.830
Nivel de servicio
USA Ctrs 3,500 0.795 0.952
Ia 40% Desviación 104 71
Co 50 B 82 67
ROP 21,511 10,067
TreePlan Student License 0.5
Vender 10
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Comprar 10 Vender 20
0 -1200 -1500
0.2
Vender 30
-2500
0.5
Vender 10
-1000
0.3
1
-1200 0 -1200 -1000
0.2
Vender 30
-2000
0.5
Vender 10
-1500
TreePlan Student License, For Education Only www.TreePlan.com

0.3
0 -1500 -1500
0.2
Vender 30
-1500

For Education Only
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ID Name Value Prob
0 0 TreePlan 0 0
0 1 0
3 2 0
0 3 0
0 4
0 5
0 6
10 7
11 8
12 9
10
11
12

Pred Kind NS S1 S2 S3 S4
0D 3 1 2 3 0
0E 3 4 5 6 0
0E 3 7 8 9 0
0E 3 10 11 12 0
1T 0 0 0 0 0
1T 0 0 0 0 0
1T 0 0 0 0 0
2T 0 0 0 0 0
2T 0 0 0 0 0
2T 0 0 0 0 0
3T 0 0 0 0 0
3T 0 0 0 0 0
3T 0 0 0 0 0

S5 Row Col Mark
0 22 1 1
0 7 5 1
0 22 5 1
0 37 5 1
0 2 9 1
0 7 9 1
0 12 9 1
0 17 9 1
0 22 9 1
0 27 9 1
0 32 9 1
0 37 9 1
0 42 9 1

Trimestre I II III IV
2008 438 675 1545 1166
2009 95 537 1474 999
2010 402 800 1719 1388
2011 924 1190 1984 1569
2012 965 1217 2019 1554
2013 1038 1307 2350 1667
2014 746 1188 2257 1620
2015 1167 1599 2820 1842
2016 1311 1500 2370 1824
2017
Ventas a Método de Winters para Ventas a Suavización exponencial simple pa

438
675 Método multiplicativo Datos Ventas a
1545 Longitud 36
1166
95 Datos Ventas a
537 Longitud 36 Constante de suavización
1474
999 α 0.2
402 Constantes de suavización
800
1719 α (nivel) 0.2 Medidas de exactitud
1388 γ (tendencia) 0.6
924 δ (estacional) 0.5 MAPE 54
1190 MAD 417
1984 MSD 296574
1569 Medidas de exactitud
965
1217 MAPE 50 Pronósticos
2019 MAD 277
1554 MSD 131155 Período Pronóstico Inferior Super
1038 37 1799.70 779.232 2820.16
1307 38 1799.70 779.232 2820.16
2350 Pronósticos 39 1799.70 779.232 2820.16
1667 40 1799.70 779.232 2820.16
746 Período Pronóstico Inferior Superior
1188 37 1232.79 554.07 1911.50
2257 38 1497.07 717.98 2276.15
1620 39 2478.11 1577.10 3379.13
1167 40 1770.86 733.93 2807.78
1599
2820
1842
1311
1500
2370
1824
uavización exponencial simple para Ventas a Promedio móvil de Ventas a
atos Ventas a Datos Ventas a

Longitud 36
Número de valores faltantes 0
onstante de suavización
Promedio móvil
Longitud 3
Medidas de exactitud
Medidas de exactitud
MAPE 53
MSD 296574 MAD 371
MSD 245008
Pronósticos
eríodo Pronóstico Inferior Superior
7 1799.70 779.232 2820.16 Período Pronóstico Inferior Superior
8 1799.70 779.232 2820.16 37 1898 927.851 2868.15
9 1799.70 779.232 2820.16 38 1898 927.851 2868.15
0 1799.70 779.232 2820.16 39 1898 927.851 2868.15
40 1898 927.851 2868.15
Tiempo requerido para reparar (exponencial) Ambos Carros
Media 2.5
Autos Alemanes
Tasa llegada 4
Tiempo entre llegadas (exponencial)
Media 0.25
Autos Japoneses
Tasa llegada 2
Tiempo entre llegadas (exponencial)
Media 0.5
Autos alemanes
Simulaciones Aleatorio Tiempo entre llegadas Tiempo de servicio Hora de llegada
1 0.04011738676 0.803986363426883 8.03986363426883 0.80398636342688
2 0.4436743459 0.203166110209659 2.03166110209659 1.00715247363654
3 0.94105879533 0.0151874148976764 0.151874148976764 1.02233988853422
4 0.15315766905 0.469071842888809 4.69071842888809 1.49141173142303
5 0.85392349308 0.0394784189424713 0.394784189424713 1.5308901503655
6 0.75119953698 0.0715209918642138 0.715209918642138 1.60241114222971
7 0.86001226644 0.0377021566338013 0.377021566338013 1.64011329886351
8 0.27189529995 0.325584553362083 3.25584553362083 1.9656978522256
9 0.26763965686 0.329528441787366 3.29528441787366 2.29522629401296
10 0.15645166063 0.463752048620947 4.63752048620947 2.75897834263391
11 0.64532634091 0.109499783808197 1.09499783808197 2.86847812644211
12 0.62810810677 0.116260745698645 1.16260745698645 2.98473887214075
13 0.24869424796 0.347882764217269 3.47882764217269 3.33262163635802
14 0.22459915784 0.373359496569755 3.73359496569755 3.70598113292777
15 0.32538548684 0.280686171541835 2.80686171541835 3.98666730446961
16 0.71153950409 0.0850810851844254 0.850810851844254 4.07174838965404
17 0.75565155471 0.0700437288804418 0.700437288804418 4.14179211853448
18 0.36062086777 0.254982025079966 2.54982025079966 4.39677414361444
19 0.46050508909 0.193857843029959 1.93857843029959 4.5906319866444
20 0.93459255332 0.0169111541291846 0.169111541291846 4.60754314077359
21 0.2332053417 0.363958979664994 3.63958979664994 4.97150212043858
22 0.97834496141 0.00547323746565779 0.0547323746565779 4.97697535790424
23 0.46209193664 0.192997852658375 1.92997852658375 5.16997321056261
24 0.34102879596 0.268947089910301 2.68947089910301 5.43892030047291
25 0.13941841221 0.49256892688 4.9256892688 5.93148922735291
26 0.26104839456 0.335762367266216 3.35762367266216 6.26725159461913
27 0.42354823007 0.214771971729917 2.14771971729917 6.48202356634905
28 0.94041554012 0.0153583593607218 0.153583593607218 6.49738192570977
29 0.04260807313 0.788927883416125 7.88927883416125 7.28630980912589
30 0.47767027355 0.184708647201532 1.84708647201532 7.47101845632743
31 0.51666398788 0.165090635626417 1.65090635626417 7.63610909195384
32 0.60992578239 0.123604499355824 1.23604499355824 7.75971359130967
33 0.56718228983 0.141768632026701 1.41768632026701 7.90148222333637
34 0.0213566894 0.96159756686843 9.6159756686843 8.8630797902048
35 0.83384036302 0.0454283265494536 0.454283265494536 8.90850811675425
36 0.88005516872 0.031942670436044 0.31942670436044 8.9404507871903
37 0.11263348301 0.545904061254742 5.45904061254742 9.48635484844504
38 0.25591264863 0.34072977725188 3.4072977725188 9.82708462569692
39 0.88293176892 0.0311268383130353 0.311268383130352 9.85821146400995
40 0.8002572365 0.055705514343203 0.55705514343203 9.91391697835316
41 0.59836347606 0.128389222547111 1.28389222547111 10.0423062009003
42 0.83449376784 0.0452325010100123 0.452325010100123 10.0875387019103
43 0.18753979366 0.41844105580449 4.1844105580449 10.5059797577148
44 0.71485216916 0.0839198785224253 0.839198785224253 10.5898996362372
45 0.32200572884 0.283296485540862 2.83296485540862 10.8731961217781
46 0.86419323564 0.0364897207045002 0.364897207045002 10.9096858424826
47 0.27253024604 0.325001419099962 3.25001419099962 11.2346872615825
48 0.39401344539 0.232842561226338 2.32842561226338 11.4675298228089
49 0.44120248698 0.204562838692298 2.04562838692298 11.6720926615012
50 0.32466334981 0.281241620063457 2.81241620063457 11.9533342815646
51 0.87924655561 0.0321724812636764 0.321724812636764 11.9855067628283
52 0.00772502133 1.21582267374866 12.1582267374866 13.201329436577
53 0.46679156428 0.190468112527297 1.90468112527297 13.3917975491042
54 0.22816412398 0.369422516738893 3.69422516738893 13.7612200658431
55 0.49646984131 0.17505813497832 1.7505813497832 13.9362782008215
56 0.57205515637 0.139629966257119 1.39629966257119 14.0759081670786
57 0.09047197287 0.600678792070601 6.00678792070601 14.6765869591492
58 0.90946254244 0.0237253666638149 0.237253666638149 14.700312325813
59 0.50100672372 0.17278393934631 1.7278393934631 14.8730962651593
60 0.49946693892 0.173553467859402 1.73553467859402 15.0466497330187
61 0.03318894594 0.851384603017307 8.51384603017307 15.898034336036
62 0.96547211398 0.00878451499867526 0.0878451499867526 15.9068188510347
63 0.36665512245 0.250833398398525 2.50833398398525 16.1576522494332
64 0.65759559925 0.10479128184955 1.0479128184955 16.2624435312828
65 0.43096147877 0.210434142316759 2.10434142316759 16.4728776735995
66 0.66463567154 0.102129062702429 1.02129062702429 16.5750067363019
67 0.74864998003 0.0723709302676699 0.723709302676699 16.6473776665696
68 0.02653782885 0.907296015017768 9.07296015017768 17.5546736815874
69 0.22049375386 0.377971477915381 3.77971477915381 17.9326451595028
70 0.36767474098 0.250139146921604 2.50139146921604 18.1827843064244
71 0.21850095035 0.380241228752886 3.80241228752886 18.5630255351773
72 0.4499783594 0.199638946899164 1.99638946899164 18.7626644820764
73 0.13088986523 0.508349758214579 5.08349758214579 19.271014240291
74 0.15253200262 0.470095212924969 4.70095212924969 19.741109453216
75 0.18347784882 0.42391533341911 4.2391533341911 20.1650247866351
76 0.55389996462 0.147692794452712 1.47692794452712 20.3127175810878
77 0.68233398198 0.0955590078406513 0.955590078406513 20.4082765889284
78 0.76084307049 0.0683320393103677 0.683320393103677 20.4766086282388
79 0.05493852043 0.72538513234654 7.2538513234654 21.2019937605853
80 0.15541398331 0.465415715606823 4.65415715606823 21.6674094761922
81 0.1572096685 0.462543724103179 4.62543724103179 22.1299532002954
82 0.33394293408 0.27419628916205 2.7419628916205 22.4041494894574
83 0.73853323878 0.0757722923800406 0.757722923800406 22.4799217818374
84 0.73042834324 0.0785310363402795 0.785310363402795 22.5584528181777
85 0.57409024414 0.138742168815764 1.38742168815764 22.6971949869935
86 0.34565174389 0.265580882840297 2.65580882840297 22.9627758698338
87 0.12661497062 0.516651131225452 5.16651131225452 23.4794270010592
88 0.9801784112 0.00500516790959366 0.0500516790959366 23.4844321689688
89 0.36724480171 0.250431654664221 2.50431654664221 23.734863823633
90 0.2383625123 0.358490650807399 3.58490650807399 24.0933544744404
91 0.87323726995 0.0338869932974018 0.338869932974018 24.1272414677378
92 0.79720335474 0.0566613706249262 0.566613706249262 24.1839028383628
93 0.57890399332 0.136654657451089 1.36654657451089 24.3205574958139
94 0.45771849769 0.195375229422168 1.95375229422168 24.515932725236
95 0.80364466254 0.0546495173775637 0.546495173775637 24.5705822426136
96 0.73649905888 0.076461830226271 0.76461830226271 24.6470440728399
97 0.70963406218 0.0857514617984799 0.857514617984799 24.7327955346383
98 0.10200955646 0.570672194826734 5.70672194826734 25.3034677294651
99 0.49042811949 0.178119139026039 1.78119139026039 25.4815868684911
100 0.83198589685 0.0459849473024526 0.459849473024526 25.5275718157936
101 0.61663871385 0.120867994876112 1.20867994876112 25.6484398106697
102 0.84685098921 0.0415576318849256 0.415576318849256 25.6899974425546
103 0.87035737289 0.0347128445599944 0.347128445599944 25.7247102871146
104 0.64709323041 0.108816224601707 1.08816224601707 25.8335265117163
105 0.80688553099 0.0536433664721067 0.536433664721067 25.8871698781884
106 0.71218465561 0.0848545133563489 0.848545133563489 25.9720243915448
107 0.10520631535 0.562957987157414 5.62957987157414 26.5349823787022
108 0.3926256865 0.233724643160724 2.33724643160724 26.7687070218629
109 0.44175270547 0.204251260843386 2.04251260843386 26.9729582827063
110 0.2154326022 0.383776792297429 3.83776792297429 27.3567350750037
111 0.05828399088 0.710606955584431 7.10606955584431 28.0673420305881
112 0.95552740742 0.0113729579650838 0.113729579650838 28.0787149885532
113 0.90785816155 0.0241667805817378 0.241667805817378 28.102881769135
114 0.72549833398 0.0802241257597944 0.802241257597944 28.1831058948948
115 0.10452995149 0.564570407886845 5.64570407886845 28.7476763027816
116 0.80199681094 0.0551626618753923 0.551626618753923 28.802838964657
117 0.08056853699 0.629661766392955 6.29661766392955 29.43250073105
118 0.40325001854 0.227049628997907 2.27049628997907 29.6595503600479
119 0.18389265615 0.423350770522765 4.23350770522765 30.0829011305706
120 0.66259129336 0.102899232327619 1.02899232327619 30.1858003628982
121 0.47828953462 0.184384752223683 1.84384752223683 30.3701851151219
122 0.80357356365 0.0546716359965157 0.546716359965157 30.4248567511184
123 0.85725645182 0.0385045403723614 0.385045403723614 30.4633612914908
124 0.78277966623 0.0612260048725035 0.612260048725035 30.5245872963633
125 0.94667760245 0.0136991711703759 0.136991711703759 30.5382864675337
126 0.4290965403 0.211518337423789 2.11518337423789 30.7498048049575
127 0.03178009029 0.862228819216203 8.62228819216204 31.6120336241737
128 0.2445934295 0.352039479573539 3.52039479573539 31.9640731037472
129 0.05988364285 0.703837971367224 7.03837971367224 32.6679110751144
130 0.92143288599 0.0204563339483958 0.204563339483958 32.6883674090628
131 0.88843801952 0.0295725980952295 0.295725980952295 32.7179400071581
132 0.71045694814 0.0854617317568277 0.854617317568277 32.8034017389149
133 0.08192293067 0.625494085897806 6.25494085897806 33.4288958248127
134 0.28289066095 0.315673703266599 3.15673703266599 33.7445695280793
135 0.67763484639 0.0972866776919862 0.972866776919862 33.8418562057713
136 0.07870205996 0.635521487269934 6.35521487269934 34.4773776930412
137 0.48043306324 0.18326684168709 1.8326684168709 34.6606445347283
138 0.70417695634 0.0876813989926666 0.876813989926666 34.748325933721
139 0.0450644171 0.774915580419808 7.74915580419808 35.5232415141408
140 0.41374194395 0.220628205826118 2.20628205826118 35.7438697199669
141 0.97143794243 0.00724447257466533 0.0724447257466533 35.7511141925416
142 0.74517013647 0.0735356788947572 0.735356788947572 35.8246498714363
143 0.49819952485 0.174188657473384 1.74188657473384 35.9988385289097
144 0.52620753212 0.160514899074196 1.60514899074196 36.1593534279839
145 0.74073096772 0.0750294465288206 0.750294465288206 36.2343828745127
146 0.97008544118 0.00759278191858594 0.0759278191858594 36.2419756564313
147 0.97764583719 0.00565195104754181 0.0565195104754181 36.2476276074788
148 0.80013439515 0.0557438928702556 0.557438928702556 36.3033715003491
149 0.78964622335 0.059042563091203 0.59042563091203 36.3624140634403
150 0.16860930835 0.445042756322352 4.45042756322352 36.8074568197627
151 0.69601758302 0.0905950890014383 0.905950890014383 36.8980519087641
152 0.87619580052 0.0330414241102564 0.330414241102564 36.9310933328744
153 0.61486908092 0.121586477597612 1.21586477597612 37.052679810472
154 0.68399296949 0.0949519099836047 0.949519099836047 37.1476317204556
155 0.75390718449 0.0706215040119263 0.706215040119263 37.2182532244675
156 0.16229000979 0.454592590078459 4.54592590078459 37.672845814546
157 0.21458201711 0.384765812381164 3.84765812381164 38.0576116269271
158 0.55636330428 0.146583443290466 1.46583443290466 38.2041950702176
159 0.81662734465 0.0506431036687616 0.506431036687616 38.2548381738863
160 0.60962679163 0.123727081514511 1.23727081514511 38.3785652554009
161 0.73737175005 0.0761657760316679 0.761657760316679 38.4547310314325
162 0.7273870528 0.0795741364679251 0.795741364679251 38.5343051679004
163 0.25263987814 0.343947552703197 3.43947552703197 38.8782527206036
164 0.17971535859 0.429095255221148 4.29095255221148 39.3073479758248
165 0.85245260126 0.0399094177671816 0.399094177671816 39.347257393592
166 0.04356427864 0.783379440441075 7.83379440441075 40.130636834033
167 0.7243823864 0.0806089670030524 0.806089670030524 40.2112458010361
168 0.53162176005 0.157955754962129 1.57955754962129 40.3692015559982
169 0.36087605025 0.254805182676726 2.54805182676726 40.624006738675
170 0.86898336346 0.0351078245925464 0.351078245925464 40.6591145632675
171 0.18427072731 0.42283731466273 4.2283731466273 41.0819518779302
172 0.84374988683 0.0424747927308567 0.424747927308567 41.1244266706611
173 0.57035476969 0.140374177198311 1.40374177198311 41.2648008478594
174 0.28517757292 0.313660807464944 3.13660807464944 41.5784616553243
175 0.95822625344 0.010667839051114 0.10667839051114 41.5891294943755
176 0.13167275693 0.506858887171581 5.06858887171581 42.095988381547
177 0.84701366794 0.0415096118941145 0.415096118941145 42.1374979934412
178 0.83437294401 0.0452687003770683 0.452687003770683 42.1827666938182
179 0.28347206125 0.315160427511392 3.15160427511392 42.4979271213296
180 0.8057835044 0.0539850443788031 0.539850443788031 42.5519121657084
181 0.53299187074 0.157312276705452 1.57312276705452 42.7092244424139
182 0.50379162003 0.171398137184253 1.71398137184253 42.8806225795981
183 0.34253064073 0.267848540827152 2.67848540827152 43.1484711204253
184 0.14913116241 0.475732268914317 4.75732268914317 43.6242033893396
185 0.87547743002 0.0332464767794022 0.332464767794022 43.657449866119
186 0.9097789996 0.023638391637294 0.23638391637294 43.6810882577563
187 0.13221980124 0.505822395089636 5.05822395089636 44.1869106528459
188 0.35756805327 0.257107394040865 2.57107394040865 44.4440180468868
189 0.82661449499 0.04760421034589 0.4760421034589 44.4916222572327
190 0.49661176314 0.174986679706899 1.74986679706899 44.6666089369396
191 0.23855916585 0.358284481143935 3.58284481143935 45.0248934180835
192 0.28875438949 0.310544703890588 3.10544703890588 45.3354381219741
193 0.88267823449 0.0311986362838873 0.311986362838873 45.366636758258
194 0.9479403912 0.013365914296187 0.13365914296187 45.3800026725542
195 0.53378311015 0.156941420823866 1.56941420823866 45.536944093378
196 0.94218632858 0.0148880557318025 0.148880557318025 45.5518321491098
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lemanes
Inicio servicio Tiempo servicio completo Tiempo espera
0.803986363427 8.84384999769571 8.03986363426883
8.843849997696 10.8755110997923 9.86835862615576
10.87551109979 11.0273852487691 10.0050453602348
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15.71810367766 16.1128878670819 14.5819977167164
16.11288786708 16.828097785724 15.2256866434943
16.82809778572 17.205119352062 15.5650060531985
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20.46096488568 23.7562493035565 21.4610230095435
23.75624930356 28.393769789766 25.6347914471321
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29.48876762785 30.6513750848344 27.6666362126936
30.65137508483 34.1302027270071 30.7975810906491
34.13020272701 37.8637976927046 34.1578165597769
37.8637976927 40.670659408123 36.6839921036534
40.67065940812 41.5214702599672 37.4497218703132
41.52147025997 42.2219075487716 38.0801154302372
42.22190754877 44.7717277995713 40.3749536559569
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46.71030622987 46.8794177711627 42.2718746303892
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52.50371846905 55.193189368156 49.7542690676831
55.19318936816 60.118878636956 54.1873894096031
60.11887863696 63.4765023096182 57.209250714999
63.47650230962 65.6242220269174 59.1421984605683
65.62422202692 65.7778056205246 59.2804236948148
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99.38610100353 99.9431561469585 90.0292391686053
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Autos Japoneses
Simulaciones Aleatorio Tiempo entre llegadas Tiempo de servicio Hora de llegada
1 0.24398179 0.705330834437018 3.52665417218509 0.70533083443702
2 0.62176767 0.237594386271819 1.1879719313591 0.94292522070884
3 0.59535655 0.259297401865183 1.29648700932592 1.20222262257402
4 0.28859813 0.621360054609511 3.10680027304756 1.82358267718353
5 0.97417317 0.0130830971660665 0.0654154858303325 1.8366657743496
6 0.07867771 1.27119768660766 6.35598843303828 3.10786346095726
7 0.92273676 0.0402056421994711 0.201028210997356 3.14806910315673
8 0.67489905 0.196596076557949 0.982980382789743 3.34466517971468
9 0.26724901 0.659787225853406 3.29893612926703 4.00445240556808
10 0.64748886 0.217326846987377 1.08663423493688 4.22177925255546
11 0.1571408 0.92530653775555 4.62653268877775 5.14708579031101
12 0.81598059 0.101682356510781 0.508411782553905 5.24876814682179
13 0.16935528 0.88787827540553 4.43939137702765 6.13664642222732
14 0.36410641 0.505154558652681 2.52577279326341 6.64180098088
15 0.29985483 0.602228416028682 3.01114208014341 7.24402939690868
16 0.63045884 0.230653706806765 1.15326853403383 7.47468310371545
17 0.29463858 0.611002916749468 3.05501458374734 8.08568602046492
18 0.22183831 0.752903246204976 3.76451623102488 8.83858926666989
19 0.28229055 0.632409216607238 3.16204608303619 9.47099848327713
20 0.32125996 0.567752320180705 2.83876160090353 10.0387508034578
21 0.76050573 0.136885817002832 0.684429085014161 10.1756366204607
22 0.12994845 1.02030870441073 5.10154352205364 11.1959453248714
23 0.81277733 0.103649047013978 0.518245235069889 11.2995943718854
24 0.62379924 0.235963344066907 1.17981672033454 11.5355577159523
25 0.01465581 2.11145921685539 10.5572960842769 13.6470169328077
26 0.77358784 0.128358023678296 0.64179011839148 13.775374956486
27 0.33779303 0.542660958254771 2.71330479127385 14.3180359147407
28 0.23128896 0.732043710232435 3.66021855116217 15.0500796249732
29 0.77164087 0.129618013083981 0.648090065419906 15.1796976380572
30 0.11814797 1.0679087337325 5.33954366866248 16.2476063717896
31 0.73912093 0.151146867726556 0.755734338632779 16.3987532395162
32 0.74159086 0.14947879225159 0.747393961257948 16.5482320317678
33 0.29124451 0.616796067665756 3.08398033832878 17.1650280994335
34 0.36258159 0.507252875584894 2.53626437792447 17.6722809750184
35 0.36286119 0.506867463266971 2.53433731633486 18.1791484382854
36 0.54689173 0.301752218289406 1.50876109144703 18.4809006565748
37 0.09733301 1.16480852632133 5.82404263160667 19.6457091828962
38 0.02342102 1.87706077245947 9.38530386229735 21.5227699553556
39 0.39732154 0.46150469875354 2.3075234937677 21.9842746541092
40 0.59452687 0.25999467973865 1.29997339869325 22.2442693338478
41 0.72080036 0.163696538236347 0.818482691181735 22.4079658720842
42 0.99207715 0.00397720083584218 0.0198860041792109 22.41194307292
43 0.06954492 1.33289122149222 6.6644561074611 23.7448342944122
44 0.17427125 0.873571131845837 4.36785565922919 24.6184054262581
45 0.58597203 0.267241607485892 1.33620803742946 24.8856470337439
46 0.7698426 0.130784601039211 0.653923005196054 25.0164316347832
47 0.15986858 0.916701584562646 4.58350792281323 25.9331332193458
48 0.9774593 0.0113993137527283 0.0569965687636415 25.9445325330985
49 0.64467582 0.219503845352199 1.097519226761 26.1640363784507
50 0.29693673 0.607118094129529 3.03559047064764 26.7711544725803
51 0.96278413 0.0189630259000005 0.0948151295000024 26.7901174984803
52 0.42727145 0.425167880246474 2.12583940123237 27.2152853787267
53 0.12274883 1.04880751020279 5.24403755101396 28.2640928889295
54 0.19599059 0.814844322460661 4.07422161230331 29.0789372113902
55 0.26476778 0.664451076918864 3.32225538459432 29.743388288309
56 0.34835387 0.52726822696269 2.63634113481345 30.2706565152717
57 0.53509774 0.312652929723278 1.56326464861639 30.583309444995
58 0.98669283 0.00669825161881823 0.0334912580940911 30.5900076966138
59 0.34404287 0.533494509953631 2.66747254976816 31.1235022065675
60 0.6542303 0.2121479252956 1.060739626478 31.3356501318631
61 0.96468723 0.0179756696665724 0.0898783483328619 31.3536258015296
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316 0.46682902 0.380896103578049 1.90448051789024 152.431836796268
317 0.20430986 0.794058765426945 3.97029382713472 153.225895561695
318 0.06223851 1.38839067057024 6.94195335285121 154.614286232265
319 0.34046888 0.538715772772079 2.6935788638604 155.153002005037
320 0.99706052 0.00147190326126445 0.00735951630632225 155.154473908298
321 0.383096 0.47973483732678 2.3986741866339 155.634208745625
322 0.54193641 0.306303307263854 1.53151653631927 155.940512052889
323 0.20396462 0.794904357362035 3.97452178681017 156.735416410251
324 0.01019289 2.293032198844 11.46516099422 159.028448609095
325 0.68730507 0.187488513344554 0.937442566722771 159.21593712244
326 0.69705737 0.180443783019257 0.902218915096284 159.396380905459
327 0.70503092 0.174756808592623 0.873784042963115 159.571137714051
328 0.43643855 0.414553850175858 2.07276925087929 159.985691564227
329 0.72449862 0.161137713043726 0.80568856521863 160.146829277271
330 0.20432457 0.794022752484162 3.97011376242081 160.940852029755
331 0.88583275 0.0606135563399897 0.303067781699948 161.001465586095
332 0.7843613 0.121442764603059 0.607213823015295 161.122908350698
333 0.7139454 0.1684743967192 0.842371983596002 161.291382747417
334 0.7295097 0.157691305437509 0.788456527187547 161.449074052855
335 0.67111037 0.199410837000836 0.997054185004181 161.648484889856
336 0.62897198 0.231834289027009 1.15917144513504 161.880319178883
337 0.96696746 0.016795214729912 0.08397607364956 161.897114393613
338 0.63985981 0.223253087627807 1.11626543813903 162.120367481241
339 0.86788099 0.0708503395732186 0.354251697866093 162.191217820814
340 0.89316989 0.0564892337903099 0.28244616895155 162.247707054604
341 0.78011961 0.124154010593958 0.620770052969791 162.371861065198
342 0.45240062 0.396593584423942 1.98296792211971 162.768454649622
343 0.367221 0.500895722366486 2.50447861183243 163.269350371988
344 0.4086134 0.44749290556495 2.23746452782475 163.716843277553
345 0.29222752 0.615111308460331 3.07555654230166 164.331954586014
346 0.89649245 0.0546327046681501 0.27316352334075 164.386587290682
347 0.99189164 0.0040707076653821 0.0203535383269105 164.390657998347
348 0.80535058 0.108238799549847 0.541193997749235 164.498896797897
349 0.01536767 2.08774476275157 10.4387238137578 166.586641560649
350 0.49518771 0.351409186176936 1.75704593088468 166.938050746826
351 0.78880184 0.118620073938283 0.593100369691415 167.056670820764
352 0.43828608 0.412441720777307 2.06220860388653 167.469112541541
353 0.26039988 0.672768419964105 3.36384209982053 168.141880961505
354 0.6026801 0.253184365260416 1.26592182630208 168.395065326766
355 0.25209853 0.68896763568107 3.44483817840535 169.084032962447
356 0.86828192 0.0706194148456665 0.353097074228332 169.154652377292
357 0.09148741 1.19577693691358 5.97888468456791 170.350429314206
358 0.14741945 0.957236690216648 4.78618345108324 171.307666004423
359 0.90429265 0.0503011216774624 0.251505608387312 171.3579671261
360 0.12416697 1.04306402893461 5.21532014467305 172.401031155035
361 0.40451682 0.452530976934367 2.26265488467184 172.853562131969
362 0.59061107 0.263298784804121 1.3164939240206 173.116860916773
363 0.85879291 0.0761137356838583 0.380568678419292 173.192974652457
364 0.49609564 0.350493275877392 1.75246637938696 173.543467928334
365 0.61754247 0.241003719598831 1.20501859799416 173.784471647933
neses
Inicio servicio Tiempo servicio completo Tiempo de espera
0.705330834437 4.23198500662211 3.52665417218509
4.231985006622 5.41995693798121 4.47703171727237
5.419956937981 6.71644394730712 5.5142213247331
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16.44567635022 17.4286567330104 14.0839915532957
17.42865673301 20.7275928622774 16.7231404567093
20.72759286228 21.8142270972143 17.5924478446589
21.81422709721 26.4407597859921 21.293673995681
26.44075978599 26.949171568546 21.7004034217242
26.94917156855 31.3885629455736 25.2519165233463
31.38856294557 33.914335738837 27.272534757957
33.91433573884 36.9254778189804 29.6814484220717
36.92547781898 38.0787463530143 30.6040632492988
38.07874635301 41.1337609367616 33.0480749162967
41.13376093676 44.8982771677865 36.0596879011166
44.89827716779 48.0603232508227 38.5893247675455
48.06032325082 50.8990848517262 40.8603340482683
50.89908485173 51.5835139367403 41.4078773162797
51.58351393674 56.685057458794 45.4891121339226
56.68505745879 57.2033026938639 45.9037083219785
57.20330269386 58.3831194141984 46.8475616982461
58.3831194142 68.9404154984753 55.2933985656677
68.94041549848 69.5822056168668 55.8068306603809
69.58220561687 72.2955104081407 57.9774744933999
72.29551040814 75.9557289593028 60.9056493343297
75.9557289593 76.6038190247228 61.4241213866656
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82.69909703202 83.4464909932759 66.8982589615082
83.44649099328 86.5304713316047 69.3654432321712
86.5304713316 89.0667357095292 71.3944547345108
89.06673570953 91.6010730258641 73.4219245875786
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93.10983411731 98.9338767489178 79.2881675660216
98.93387674892 108.319180611215 86.7964106558595
108.3191806112 110.626704104983 88.6424294508737
110.626704105 111.926677503676 89.6824081698282
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153.6218780594 153.655369317506 123.065361620892
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170.6604982222 172.065970792203 137.79384280065
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178.8079406473 182.391246129341 146.05406307036
182.3912461293 183.893482504078 147.25585217015
183.8934825041 191.000540474244 152.941498546283
191.0005404742 194.404484219352 155.664653542369
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194.6126553732 196.187164658471 157.090797893664
196.1871646585 196.205983685628 157.105853115389
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198.8760818658 199.226566283341 159.522319193561
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201.2465719468 204.638522519773 163.851884182706
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Des. Stádndar 500 Q 35,532 28,405

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Ventas a Método de Winters para Ventas a Suavización exponencial simple pa

atos Ventas a Datos Ventas a

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