Professional Documents
Culture Documents
One-Party Dominance in Africa
One-Party Dominance in Africa
One-Party Dominance
in African Democracies
Renske Doorenspleet
and Lia Nijzink
Copyright © 2013
ISBN: 978-1-58826-869-3 hc
Acknowledgments vii
v
vi Contents
PART 3 CONCLUSION
case material to enhance our understanding of one of the key issues con-
fronting democracies on the African continent. Although we focus on
African democracies, we present a framework for comparative analysis
that can be used to study one-party dominance in all regions of the world.
Our analysis transcends the traditional case study bias of contemporary
studies on one-party dominance by analyzing party system trajectories and
their underlying mechanisms in six African countries: Namibia, South
Africa, Tanzania, Zambia, Mali, and Senegal.
Since the beginning of the 1990s, waves of democratization have
reached large parts of Africa. Because of deep ethnic divisions on the
continent, experts worried that the adoption of multiparty democracy
would lead to highly fragmented party systems (Widner 1997; Van de
Walle 2003). However, this fracturing did not happen. To the contrary,
systems with one dominant party emerged, and in some African democ-
racies such systems have since prevailed. Compared to established
democracies, where one-party-dominant systems are rare, the relatively
high number in Africa is remarkable, and scholars have now started to
identify a “worrying trend of one-party dominance” on the continent
(Bogaards 2004: 192; see also Van de Walle and Butler 1999; Dooren-
spleet 2003).
Surprisingly, research on this trend has been scarce. Only a few
studies have been devoted to the concepts, measurements, and expla-
1
2 One-Party Dominance in African Democracies
nations of party systems with one dominant party, and none of them
was based on systematic comparative research of one-party dominance
in the African context.1 We aim to fill this gap with this book by bring-
ing together the work of leading experts who have studied the phe-
nomenon of one-party dominance in the context of Africa’s young
democracies.
One-party-dominant systems do not follow the “normal” or
“expected” pattern of party competition in a democracy. In the few
existing studies on one-party dominance, the phenomenon is essentially
regarded as anomalous in democratic systems. As T. J. Pempel (1990: 1)
puts it:
using definitions and criteria that can only be applied to party systems on
the continent. They also emphasize the importance of using a definition of
one-party dominance that allows for comparisons of one-party-dominant
systems with other types of party systems. They proceed by using
Sartori’s typology as a whole—not just his concept of one-party
dominance—to classify current party systems on the African continent.
Sartori’s typology makes two distinctions that are important for our
study of one-party dominance. One is the distinction between dominant
party systems on the one hand and dominant-authoritarian party systems
on the other. When party system developments in Africa are analyzed,
this distinction between one-party dominance in an authoritarian context
and one-party dominance in a democratic context is crucial. As discussed
in the next section, some of the existing comparative work on one-party
dominance includes analyses of one-party-dominant systems in both
democracies and authoritarian regimes. We believe comparing one-party
dominance in these different contexts is not very useful. Especially if we
want to understand why some one-party-dominant systems endure and
others do not, we need to adhere to a rigorous comparative design and
analyze democracies separately from authoritarian regimes. Thus, Sar-
tori’s distinction between dominant and dominant-authoritarian party
systems is an important one. As M. Bogaards (2004: 179) explains, the
distinction “encourages the identification of the nature of dominance and
a distinction between different kinds of one-party dominance.”
The second important distinction is the one made by Sartori
between party systems in stable political regimes versus those in fluid
political systems. In fluid political systems, party systems are unstruc-
tured and can, according to Sartori, be divided into four types: domi-
nant-authoritarian, pulverized, nondominant, and dominant. The first
operates in a an authoritarian setting, and the other three operate in a
multiparty setting. In stable political regimes, party systems are more
established, structured, and institutionalized 2 and can be divided into
four similar types (see Table 2.2 in this volume). For our study, a party
system with one dominant party in a stable system (called a “predomi-
nant” party system in Sartori’s terminology) must be distinguished from
a party system with one dominant party in a fluid political system
(called a “dominant” party system in Sartori’s terminology) (Sartori
1976). This distinction between fluid and stable party systems allows us
to distinguish between one-party dominance that is of a provisional
nature, on the one hand, and one-party-dominant systems that are more
entrenched, on the other hand. In this book, we make a similar but
slightly different3 distinction by comparing stable one-party-dominant
A Framework for Analysis 5
systems with cases in which one-party dominance did not endure. Our
cases of enduring one-party dominance are those in which the dominant
party is firmly entrenched in its position during a period that spans more
than three consecutive elections. In contrast, we also investigate cases
in which one party initially showed signs of dominance but failed to
win three consecutive elections or lost its dominant position.
As you will see, Erdmann and Basedau’s classification of party sys-
tems in Africa (presented in Chapter 2) includes only those countries that,
by the end of 2010, had held at least three consecutive multiparty elec-
tions. They come up with the following results: eighteen party systems
in Africa are considered fluid; one of these fluid systems is a dominant
party system; and four are dominant-authoritarian party systems.4 Twenty
party systems in Africa can be considered stable party systems. Of these,
eleven operate in a nondemocratic context and therefore need to be clas-
sified as hegemonic party systems (i.e., Sartori’s terminology for domi-
nant-authoritarian systems in structured circumstances). Of the remaining
nine, five systems are considered predominant party systems: Botswana,
Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, and Tanzania.5 As the authors point
out, while not everyone may agree with how individual countries are clas-
sified, this tally does indicate both the variety of party system types on
the continent and a continuing prevalence of one-party dominance in
Africa.
We have taken the universe of cases as presented by Erdmann and
Basedau as a starting point to select the countries that are included in
this study. Our methodology and case selection will be further discussed
below.
tries that has been classified as free, with high levels of political rights
and civil liberties, and another group of twenty-two countries that has
been classified as partly free with generally lower levels of political rights
and civil liberties (see Table 1.1). Because we do not want to equate the
Freedom House classification of “free” with democracy and because we
do not want to limit our analysis to the top performers in Africa, countries
from each group are included in our analysis: Namibia, South Africa, and
Mali (from the group of countries classified as “free” in 2011) and Sene-
gal, Zambia, and Tanzania (from the top half of the group listed as “partly
free,” meaning that these countries still have relatively high levels of
political rights and civil liberties).9
We selected these six countries because they display or have dis-
played characteristics of one-party dominance.10 Because we wished to
investigate the various mechanisms behind one-party dominance and seek
to understand why some one-party-dominant systems endure and others
do not, we needed to compare case studies of countries in which a one-
party-dominant system is firmly entrenched—South Africa, Namibia, and
Sources: African Elections Database; Electoral Institute for Sustainable Democracy in Africa
(EISA) Election Archive.
Notes: a. Vote share winner second round: Senegal 2000/2001 presidential elections, 58.5 per-
cent; Senegal 2012, 65.8 percent; Mali 1992 presidential elections, 69 percent; Mali 2002 presiden-
tial elections, 64.4 percent.
— indicates countries in which only parliamentary elections or only presidential elections were
held in that year.
A Framework for Analysis 9
meet the criteria of Sartori’s definition but far exceed them. Since their
transitions to democracy, our three country cases with enduring one-party-
dominant systems have all held four or, in the case of Namibia, five multi-
party elections in which the same political party gained more than 50 per-
cent of the parliamentary seats. In Namibia, the seat share of the SWAPO
party (formerly the South West Africa People’s Organisation) has consis-
tently been around 75 percent with only the transitional elections in 1989,
when SWAPO gained 56.9 percent of the seats, being an exception. In
Tanzania, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) shows repeated seat shares
above 75 percent, winning a high of 87.5 percent of parliamentary seats in
2000. In South Africa, the African National Congress (ANC) has an
equally consistent but slightly lower seat share of around two-thirds of the
seats in the National Assembly. Thus, the dominant parties that have
emerged in these three African democracies seem to outperform dominant
parties in other parts of the world. With seat shares consistently reaching
a two-thirds threshold, they seem well entrenched. In this book we seek to
understand the mechanisms behind this trajectory of endurance.
In order to strengthen our comparative framework, we have
included three other cases in our analysis in which initial patterns of
one-party dominance did not persist: Senegal, Zambia, and Mali.
Senegal is an interesting case in which the party system trajectory
shows not only the end of the Socialist Party (Parti Socialiste [PS]), as
a dominant party, but also the end of Senegal’s one-party-dominant sys-
tem. After consistently winning more than two-thirds of the parliamen-
tary seats for twenty years (from 1978 to 1998) the PS eventually lost
power to the Sopi Coalition (sopi meaning “change” in Wolof). Initially,
elements of the one-party-dominant system were still in place when
Abdoulaye Wade’s Sopi Coalition took over power from the PS in 2000.
However, Wade’s defeat in the 2012 presidential race not only was a tri-
umph for leadership turnover but also signified Senegal’s final move
away from one-party dominance.
Zambia shows a different party system trajectory. The move to multi-
party politics in 1991 was the basis for the dominant position that the
Movement for Multiparty Democracy (MMD) enjoyed during its time in
office from 1991 to 2011. Interestingly, during half of this period the
MMD, while controlling government and the presidency, did not have a
majority of the seats in parliament, forcing the party to somehow manufac-
ture its continued dominance. In the 2011 elections, Michael Sata won the
presidential race, and his party, the Patriotic Front (PF), replaced MMD
as the largest party in parliament, thus bringing Zambia’s period of manu-
factured one-party dominance to an end.
10 One-Party Dominance in African Democracies
that gained momentum in the early 1990s (Rakner 2010; cf. Giliomee
1998). The question we seek to investigate in our book is how this
relates to their subsequent trajectories as dominant parties in a demo-
cratic context.
Almost six decades ago, M. Duverger (1954: 308) argued that “a
dominant party is dominant because people believe it is so. . . . The
party is associated with an epoch.” S. P. Huntington (1968: 426) simi-
larly found the historical background of party systems to be of great
importance and observed that the strength of a party “derives from its
struggle for power.” He also noted that “the longer a nationalist party
fought for independence, the longer it was able to enjoy the power that
came with independence” (426), while in contrast, “many of the nation-
alist parties which came into power only a few years before indepen-
dence and which won independence easily had a less secure grasp on
power after independence” (426).
In other words, “the stability of the system thus depends upon its
inheritance from the past. The more intense and prolonged the struggle
for power and the deeper its ideological commitment, the greater the
political stability of the one-party system which is subsequently cre-
ated” (Huntington 1968: 424–425). Although Huntington made these
observations in the 1960s in relation to the stability of the single-party
regimes that emerged in many African countries soon after indepen-
dence, they are equally relevant in relation to the dominant parties we
are studying in this book. Thus, a political party’s achievements during
the struggle for independence or democracy are likely to influence the
party’s strength as a dominant party under multiparty democracy.
Some of the current dominant parties were the first parties to politi-
cally mobilize major population groups prior to independence. The prin-
cipal nationalist or liberation movements usually had a broad member-
ship, often cutting across class and ethnic lines, with majority rule as the
common goal. As such, they could monopolize the political loyalties of
the citizens in the newly independent state. In some instances, this early
appeal seems to have had a lasting effect and, at least partly, determines
their strength as dominant parties in the current democratic context
(Salih 2003). In these cases, the “person of the president and the libera-
tion struggle are constant reminders for voters to stay the course” (Salih
2003: 18). In other words, the liberation movement has successfully
transformed itself into a political party that continues to be the embodi-
ment of nationalist politics. As H. Giliomee and C. Simkins (1999: 350)
point out, even in the context of multiparty elections, “loyalty to the
party is equated with loyalty to the nation or with patriotism, and criti-
12 One-Party Dominance in African Democracies
Defection from the dominant party and a strong role for top-down
opposition party building is more likely in parliamentary systems with
proportional representation electoral systems. . . . These rules allow
small parties to win more easily and produce dominant parties with a
lower percentage of the vote. (Greene 2007: 62)
procedures; to siphon off state resources and deploy them into partisan
use in elections; to commission development projects, many of them
off-budget, especially in an election year; to extort donations from pri-
vate business people and rentseekers; and to invest in businessmen who
can be counted upon to decant resources back into the party coffers. It
also allows the ruling party to use subtle and crude means to disorgan-
ize and destroy opposition parties; to deny the opposition the oxygen of
media coverage; to deploy state security agencies and sometimes the
courts to harass the opposition; and to block private sector sources of
funding for the opposition by destroying businesses of those not aligned
with the ruling party or suspected to be sympathetic to the opposition.
Notes