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Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound

2006 12
2007 15
2008 14
2009 16
2010 18
2011 17
2012 19
2013 20
2014 22
2015 25
2016 24 24 24.00
2017 27.275 26.01
2018 26.275 25.01
2019 28.275 26.98
2020 30.275 28.83
2021 29.275 27.82
2022 32.875 31.30
Upper Confidence Bound Statistic Value
Alpha 0.13
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.84
SMAPE 0.07
MAE 1.54
RMSE 1.62
40

35

24.00 30
28.49
25
27.62
29.67 20
31.87 15
30.98
10
34.58
5

0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Values Forecast
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Forecast
nd Upper Confidence Bound
Year Sales
2006 12
2007 15
2008 14
2009 16
2010 18
2011 17
2012 19
2013 20
2014 22
2015 25
2016 24
Year Sales Forecast(Sales) Lower Confidence Bound(Sales)
2006 12
2007 15
2008 14
2009 16
2010 18
2011 17
2012 19
2013 20
2014 22
2015 25
2016 24 24 24.00
2017 27.275 25.96
2018 26.275 24.98
2019 28.275 26.83
2020 30.275 28.81
2021 29.275 27.59
2022 32.875 31.19
Upper Confidence Bound(Sales) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.13
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.84
SMAPE 0.07
MAE 1.54
RMSE 1.62

24.00
28.43
27.72
29.69 40
31.82
35
30.86
34.52 30

25

20

15

10

0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 201

Sales Forecast(Sales)
Lower Confidence Bound(Sales) Upper Confidence Bound
013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Forecast(Sales)
Sales) Upper Confidence Bound(Sales)
Year Sales
2006 12
2007 15
2008 14
2009 16
2010 18
2011 17
2012 19
2013 20
2014 22
2015 25
2016 24
BoD DO SUMMARY OUTPUT
5 1
4 2 Regression Statistics
3 3 Multiple R 1
2 4 R Square 1
1 5 Adjusted R Square 1
Standard Error 2.93737402E-16
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 10 10
Residual 3 2.58844985E-31 8.628166150855E-32
Total 4 10

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat


Intercept 6 3.08074387E-16 1.947581578214E+16
DO -1 9.28879225E-17 -1.07656622392E+16

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted BoD Residuals Standard Residuals


1 5 0 0
2 4 0 0
3 3 -4.4408921E-16 -0.816496580927726
4 2 -4.4408921E-16 -0.816496580927726
5 1 -8.8817842E-16 -1.63299316185545
DO Residual Plot
0
-2E-16 0.5 1 1.5 2 DO
2.5 Line
3 3.5Fit4 Plot
4.5 5

Residuals
-4E-16 6
-6E-16
4
-8E-16

BoD
-1E-15 2

0 DO
F Significance F 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
1.158995E+32 1.7674555E-48 DO

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Upper 95.0%
2.985271E-49 6 6 6 6
1.767456E-48 -1 -1 -1 -1
esidual Plot
2 DO
2.5 Line
3 3.5Fit4 Plot
4.5 5 5.5

BoD
Predicted BoD
DO
1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
DO

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