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Domestic factors:

 GOVERNMENT SPENDING FOCUSED ON EXPENDITURE

In 2001-2007 the Greece GDP grew by average rate of 4.3% as compared to euro zone of 3.1% . High
economic growth rates were driven primarily by increases in private consumption (largely fueled by
easier access to credit) and public investment financed by the EU and the central government

Expenditure increased by 87% but the revenues grew only by 31% so this caused a budget deficit
above 3% of GDP threshold

Observers identify a large and inefficient public administration in Greece, costly pension and
healthcare systems, tax evasion, and a general “absence of the will to maintain fiscal discipline” as
major factors behind Greece’s deficit

Acc to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. as of 2004, spending on public
administration as a percentage of total public expenditure in Greece was higher than in any other
OECD member, “with no evidence that the quantity or quality of the services are superior.” In 2009,
Greek government expenditures accounted for 50% of GDP

 POPULIST BUT CONTRA PRODUCTIVE POLICY

An aging Greek population—the percentage of Greeks aged over 64 is expected to rise from 19% in
2007 to 32% in 2060. According to the OECD, Greece’s “replacement rate of 70%-80% of wages (plus
any benefits from supplementary schemes) is high, and entitlement to a full pension requires only 35
years of contributions, compared to 40 in many other countries

 TAX EVASION PROBLEMS

Weak revenue collection has also contributed to Greece’s budget deficits. Many economists identify
tax evasion and Greece’s unrecorded economy as key factors behind the deficits. They argue that
Greece must address these problems if it is to raise the revenues necessary to improve its fiscal
position. Some studies have estimated the informal economy in Greece to represent between 25%-
30% of GDP.

CORRUPTION PROBLEMS

The Greek population mostly perceives the Greek government as corrupt,78% of Greeks believe that
the government is corrupt, Only 19% noted reduced corruption

INTERNATIONAL CAUSES FOR DEBT CRISIS

 USING EURO AS SINGLE CURRENCY

Greece’s adoption of the euro as its national currency in 2001 is seen by some as a contributing
factor in Greece’s buildup of debt. With the currency bloc anchored by economic heavyweights
Germany and France, and a common monetary policy conservatively managed by the European
Central Bank (ECB), investors have tended to view the reliability of euro member countries with a
heightened degree of confidence. . The perceptions of stability conferred by euro membership
allowed Greece, as well as other Eurozone members, to borrow at a more favourable interest rate
than would likely have 10 been the case outside the EU, making it easier to finance the state budget
and service existing debt.

 GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS


The fall of Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008 was followed by the decline of the global
financial system poses a serious threat to the world economic and financial sector. This financial
crisis has resulted a crisis of confidence in the global financial markets, weakening currency
exchange rates, decreased purchasing power, hampered financial access, until it happened massive
termination of employment. The global financial crisis that occurred in 2008 made the world
community aware of the weaknesses in the global economic and financial system.

Greece – A remarkable economic recovery

EC estimates its economy grew by 2.2% in 2019. n 2018, Greece successfully exited its third and final
bailout program, after having been forced to demand an astronomical €289 billion in financial
assistance from the EU, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fundt. This marked the
beginning of a return to financial normalcy.

Consumer confidence has also returned, helped by the unemployment rate dropping from 27.8% to
16.6%. Greeks GDP is expected to grow just under 5% In 2022 before it moderates in 2023.

The country expects to raise 2.2 billion euros in 2022 from the privatization of ports, real estate
assets and national motorways, the budget said.

The deterioration in the macroeconomic environment and the slide of the GDP growth rate into
negative territory raised the debt-to-GDP ratio to unsustainable levels despite the fiscal
consolidation and caused debt-servicing problems for households and businesses. As a result, non-
performing loans (NPLs) rose substantially, weakening the banks' asset quality, thus making it
difficult for banks to finance the real economy. Resolving the Greek crisis took eight years, three
economic adjustment programmes, one major debt restructuring and three rounds of banks
recapitalisation.

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