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Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

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Cities
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/cities

Analyzing housing prices in Shanghai with open data: Amenity, accessibility T


and urban structure☆

Han Lia, Yehua Dennis Weib,c, , Yangyi Wub, Guang Tiand
a
Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124, USA
b
Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112-9155, USA
c
Department of Land Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310029, China
d
Department of Planning and Urban Studies, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA 70148, USA

A R T I C LE I N FO A B S T R A C T

Keywords: Skyrocketing housing prices in China's megacities have generated broad concerns. By integrating open data from
Housing price Lianjia.com, Dianping.com, Mobike.com, and Baidu Map POI, we analyze spatial patterns of apartment prices
Hedonic model and their association with local attributes in Shanghai. We find that Shanghai's residential market still has a
Amenity monocentric structure because of the centralized distribution of public transport facilities and amenities.
Open data
Hedonic models further confirm that structural attributes, accessibility, as well as public and private service
Shanghai
amenities significantly shape the real estate market. These factors also are differentiated so as to form a pattern
of concentric rings. In the inner-city and expanded inner-city areas, public service amenities such as parks,
schools, hospitals, and banks, as well as private service amenities such as entertainment, shopping, and re-
sidential service facilities, boost housing prices. In the suburbs, better access to bike sharing, bus stops, and
metro stations are the top preferences for apartment buyers. Our study also indicates that the Chinese gov-
ernment needs to make public and private services more accessible, not only spatially in urban peripheries and
villages, but also institutionally to lower income families who cannot afford apartments in expensive neigh-
borhoods.

1. Introduction Factors identified influencing housing prices include the distance to the
CBD (central business district) (e.g., Chen & Hao, 2008; Shi & Li, 2006;
China has expanded its urban housing reforms since the 1990s, Wen & Tao, 2015), net migration rate (Chen, Guo, & Wu, 2011), the
which has fundamentally altered its residential markets (Ahuja, formation of commercial and economic zones (Hao & Chen, 2007),
Cheung, Han, Porter, & Zhang, 2010). The commercialization of urban service amenities such as educational (Wen, Zhang, & Zhang, 2014) and
housing, the land revenue system, culture of housing demand, and public transport facilities (Xiao et al., 2017), as well as natural ame-
rapid urbanization have stimulated the blooming of housing markets in nities such as air quality (e.g., Chen & Li, 2017), lake and mountain
metropolises (Hui & Yue, 2006; Liu, Yue, Fan, & Song, 2015; Wei, views (Jim & Chen, 2007), and urban open spaces (e.g., Jiao & Liu,
2017). Using Shanghai as an example, from 2009 to 2016 the average 2010).
unit transaction price of pre-owned apartments skyrocketed from Shanghai is China's leading global city, and its population keeps
19,810 to nearly 52,140 yuan/m2, with an approximate inflation-fixed growing by attracting a large number of job-seekers from other cities as
growth rate of 112.41% (CREI, 2017; SRETC, 2017; SSB, 2010, 2017). well as rural migrants (Timberlake, Wei, Ma, & Hao, 2014). The size of
At the same time, the discretionary income per capita in Shanghai in- the floating population increased from 3.87 million in 2000 to 9.81
creased from 28,838 yuan in 2009 to 54,305 yuan in 2016, an inflation- million in 2015 (CSSB, 2001, 2016). Similar to other global cities, the
fixed growth rate of 51.97% (SSB, 2010, 2017). The growth of income combination of population growth and skyrocketing housing prices
was much slower than housing prices, which further intensified the naturally leads to a new geography of inequalities, such as social po-
problem of poor housing affordability. larization, residential segregation, and poor housing affordability,
Studies have explored the dynamics of China's real estate market. which threaten Shanghai's sustainable development and social stability


We would like to acknowledge the funding of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41701183) and the Ford Foundation (129647).

Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: han.li@miami.edu (H. Li), wei@geog.utah.edu (Y.D. Wei), yangyi.wu@geog.utah.edu (Y. Wu), tianskyge@gmail.com (G. Tian).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2018.11.016
Received 17 May 2018; Received in revised form 19 October 2018; Accepted 22 November 2018
Available online 28 November 2018
0264-2751/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

(Shatkin, 2007). However, existing studies have largely focused on on housing prices (Crompton, 2001; Netusil, 2013). Using Guangzhou
gentrification, the price bubble, temporal volatility of prices, and the and Shenzhen as examples, Chen and Li (2017), Wu, Song, Liang, Wang,
role of local governmental regulations (He, 2007; Hui & Yue, 2006). and Lin (2017) and Wu, Ye, Du, and Luo (2017) found that the views of
The spatial dynamics of Shanghai's housing market, especially the role and accessibility to community parks and city parks both had positive
of service amenities, have been less studied (Haila, 2000). With the effects on housing prices. In the United States, the situation depends on
advance of social media, the newly available location-based open data urban patterns. In a sprawling urban area such as Salt Lake County,
sources provide an innovative means to examine the geography of Utah, studies have pinpointed an insignificant and negative effect of
Shanghai's housing market at the household level. This approach will urban parks since many people prefer to drive to parks (Li et al., 2016;
not only contribute to the literature on housing studies and urban Tian et al., 2017). However, in a compact city like Portland, Oregon, by
geography, but will also provide a valuable reference for China's treating urban parks as a sort of landscape, Netusil (2013) demon-
housing policies and sustainable urbanization. strated a significantly positive relationship between proximity to urban
Relying on open data from Lianjia.com, Dianping.com, and Baidu parks and housing prices.
Map, this study examines spatial patterns and determinants of re- Studies of the role of public hospitals in this regard are relatively
sidential markets in Shanghai, with an explicit emphasis on the role of limited. A few studies have included the performance and locations of
urban structure, accessibility, and service amenities. This paper seeks to hospitals in the hedonic model and achieved contradictory results be-
answer following questions: Are service amenities, such as parks, tween the United States and China. Li et al. (2016) found that hospitals
schools, hospital, banks, entertainment, shopping, and residential ser- were negatively associated with housing values in the United States,
vice facilities, as well as access to sharing bikes, bus stops, and metro since high-level healthcare facilities are concentrated in the urban
stations, positively associated with local residential property values? centers. Also, people don't want to live very close to hospitals because
Are these relationships sensitive to the pattern of urban concentric of the ambulance sirens and traffic in general (Tian et al., 2017).
rings? We analyze spatial patterns of unit prices and relate them to However, for China, Wang et al. (2012) pointed out that hospitals near
accessibility and service amenities. We also examine the underlying communities were positively correlated with housing values in multiple
mechanism of how these factors affect housing prices in Shanghai. megacities.
In terms of private service amenities, scholarly attention has been
2. Literature review mainly paid to entertainment and shopping facilities. In this regard,
shopping centers have been proven to have a significantly positive
There is a large body of literature focusing on the determinants of impact on values of surrounding residential properties in Hong Kong,
housing markets in both developed and developing countries. In studies Canada, and the United States (Hui, Chau, Pun, & Law, 2007; Rosiers,
based on the hedonic pricing model, market configurations, accessi- Lagana, Thériault, & Beaudoin, 1996). As with other sources of ex-
bility variables, and locational amenities have been widely employed to ternalities, a shopping center exerts attraction effects which impact
explain spatial variations of housing prices from an economic and social households' location choice by providing the relative level of con-
perspective (Li, Wei, Yu, & Tian, 2016). Moreover, the urban spatial venience gained from easy access to shopping and entertainment fa-
structure—for instance, whether it is relatively monocentric or poly- cilities as well as from travel costs savings.
centric—has also been linked to housing prices submarkets and re-
sidential segregation have been found (Wen & Tao, 2015). 2.2. Urban structure, submarkets, and housing prices

2.1. Accessibility, amenity and housing prices The association between urban spatial structure and housing prices
has also been examined. Traditionally, scholars merely added the CBD
Public transport facilities, such as metro stations and bus routes, distance related variables into hedonic models. Existing literature in
have been prevalently added to the hedonic model to achieve more China is primarily dominated by the monocentric hypothesis which is
precise estimations of residential markets (Concas, 2013). The debate built based on the bid-rent theory. In Shanghai, Beijing, and
over the relationship between public transport facilities and housing Guangzhou, a significant housing price gradient of decrease with the
markets focuses on the trade-off effect. On the one hand, transportation distance to CBD has been found (Hao & Chen, 2007; Jim & Chen, 2007;
infrastructure can increase housing prices by improving accessibility to Ma & Li, 2003; Wang & Huang, 2007).
opportunities and services. On the other hand, changes in accessibility Urban structure is closely associated with housing prices with re-
that increase noise pollution and traffic intensity levels cause a decrease spect to residential differentiation and division of submarkets. The re-
in property prices (Tian, Wei, & Li, 2017). Furthermore, effects also sidential differentiation in terms of socioeconomic diversification
vary across transport modes. The effect of highway development is caused by China's suburbanization and inner-city redevelopment also
significantly negative, while urban rail transit facilities and bus routes appears sensitive to the distance to CBD (He, 2007, 2012; Qin & Han,
markedly elevate real estate prices (Agostini & Palmucci, 2008; Zhang, 2013). Given the centralization of public services and high-paying job
Liu, Hang, Yao, & Shi, 2016). opportunities, residential differentiation has shown a pattern of con-
Service amenities include public service facilities such as schools, centric rings in the global cities of China, such as Guangzhou, Shanghai,
urban parks, and hospitals, as well as private facilities such as shopping and Beijing (Han & Qin, 2009). Unlike the United States where social
centers, entertainment, and cultural and recreational facilities such as differentiation is often related to racial and ethnic segmentation, Chi-
restaurants, museums, opera houses, and sports venues (Glaeser, na's residential differentiation is dominated by occupational and in-
Kominers, Luca, & Naik, 2015). Previous research has shown a sig- come segmentation (Li, Hou, Chen, & Zhou, 2010; Wu et al., 2014). The
nificant and positive connection between educational facilities and traditional urban cores are characterized by abundant amenities and
households' location choice in both developing and developed nations. privatized housing, while the residents frequently are officials of the
In the United States, scholars have found that the price of a house is Communist Party of China or local government. New commodity
significantly associated with the exam scores of its nearest public school housing mainly is found in the second ring, and most of the residents
(Black & Machin, 2011; Kane, Riegg, & Staiger, 2006). In China, Wen there are producer-service workers (Feng, Zhou, & Wu, 2008; Liu et al.,
et al. (2014) and Wu, Cheng, Chen, Hammel, and Wu (2014) found that 2015). The population living in urban villages located in peripheral
the presence of educational facilities such as elementary, middle, and areas of major cities consists mainly of the migrant workers without
high schools substantially raised property values and even contributed local household registration (Wu, 2002).
to the process of gentrification in the inner-city area. These socioeconomic and occupational variations of residence fur-
Urban parks have been found to be an amenity with mixed effects ther suggest that the pattern of concentric rings is a way to spatially

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categorize housing submarkets in Shanghai. Metropolitan areas often 2014). Therefore, locations with better investment attractiveness have
have multiple submarkets, characterized by functional disequilibrium become the most critical standard for the approval of redevelopment
and segmentation. These submarkets can be interpreted as collections projects, and scholars have found that most urban redevelopment
of dwelling units offering packages of housing services that are per- projects in Shanghai are concentrated in the inner-city area with better
ceived as similar in terms of access to local service amenities, such as accesses to service facilities, which has intensified the over-
public schools, hospitals, shopping and residential service facilities concentration in the urban center (Yang & Chang, 2007).
(Páez, Long, & Farber, 2008; Páez, Uchida, & Miyamoto, 2001; Wen &
Tao, 2015). Thus, relationships between accessibility, service ame- 2.4. Summary
nities, and housing prices in Shanghai are very likely to be sensitive to
the pattern of concentric rings. The direct linkages between urban Determinants of the geography of the residential markets in China
structure, residential differentiation, and submarkets in China also have been explored by researchers. Nevertheless, the literature still has
underscore the significance of conceptualizing the monocentric struc- three limitations. First, although studies have explored a variety of
ture of residential segmentation in housing studies that employ the indicators from the market, social, and cultural perspectives, some
hedonic model, especially when exploring the spatial heterogeneity of distinguishable characteristics of Shanghai remain unexplored (Haila,
determinants. 2000). For example, Shanghai still has a monocentric spatial structure,
which indicates that the decentralization of services in Shanghai is
2.3. Urban spatial structure in Shanghai limited. However, how this monocentric structure affects housing prices
remains unanswered. Moreover, some survey results have pointed to
As the leading global city in China, Shanghai's local government has the importance of shopping and entertainment in Shanghainese's daily
devoted to decentralize its educational, healthcare, and other service lives (Sun et al., 2010), but these facilities have rarely been quantita-
facilities since the 2000s. According to the District Plan of Shanghai tively linked with housing prices. Finally, the current literature has
Central City (2004–2020), the local government of Shanghai has overemphasized the significance of the distance to CBD, and residents'
planned 4 public subcenters in the expanded inner-city area—Zhenru preferences with respect to urban amenities have been largely neglected
Town in Putuo, Xujiahui District in Xuhui, Wujiaochang Town in (Chen & Hao, 2008; Shi & Li, 2006).
Hongkou, and Huamu District in Pudong. In the suburban area, the Second, urban structure and its association with residential markets
Shanghai Master Plan (1999–2020) designed 11 new towns in the ca- have drawn significant scholarly attention. However, most studies
pitals of Baoshan, Jiading, Songjiang, Jinshan, Minhang, Huinan, simply added variables developed from the distance to CBD into the
Qingpu, Nanqiao, and Chengqiao districts. hedonic model (Wen & Tao, 2015). Urban structure is highly associated
Accordingly, studies have evaluated the implementation of these with spatial patterns of residential differentiation and housing sub-
plans in the context of Shanghai spatial structure. By mapping re- markets, which determine residents' preference. This complexity re-
sidential and employment densities, scholars have found that Shanghai quires studies exploring how the mechanism specifically varies across
still has a monocentric spatial structure (Sun, Zhang, He, & Wang, urban zones based on a city's spatial structure (Jim & Chen, 2007).
2017). In terms of land-use change, geographers have pointed out that Moreover, locally weighted regressions like geographically weighted
the spatial pattern of urban land expansion in Shanghai is still domi- regression (GWR) or moving windows regression (MWR) can clearly
nated by the infilling and expansion, a key characteristic of mono- reveal the geographic heterogeneity of determinants. However, their
centric development, rather than leapfrog (Li, Wei, & Huang, 2014; Qiu fragmented outputs cannot be straightforwardly interpreted to illumi-
& Xu, 2017). Regarding the housing market, the studies of Shi and Li nate housing segmentation and urban structure (Páez et al., 2001; Páez
(2006) and Chen and Hao (2008) both demonstrated a significant de- et al., 2008). The usage of regressions such as hierarchical linear
cline in housing prices as the distance to CBD increases in Shanghai. modeling, which directly relates spatial heterogeneity to urban struc-
More specifically, among the 11 proposed subcenters, only the capitals ture under an integral framework, should be encouraged (Tian et al.,
of Jiading, Songjiang, and Nanhui districts have witnessed a relatively 2017).
rapid growth in employment opportunities (Cai, Huang, & Song, 2017). Third, studies considering urban amenities are confined to the lo-
Recent research relying on mobile phone data has also found the cational attributes of facilities, and thus residents' attitudes to service
boundaries between inner-city and expanded inner-city areas have be- amenities have rarely been quantified. The significance of urban ame-
come increasingly indistinct, which further undermines the significance nities is obviously embedded in the local social and cultural context,
of internal subcenters (Niu, Liang, & Song, 2015). and the missing of the direct inputs on the preference of urban residents
Besides the studies focusing on identifying and categorizing the will naturally lead to a biased result (Glaeser et al., 2015). Therefore, in
spatial structure pattern of Shanghai, the underlying mechanisms have this study, by integrating multiple open data sources and combining
also drawn scholarly attention. A qualitative project based on a lengthy spatial econometrics and social media technology, we examine de-
questionnaire survey showed that underdeveloped transportation in- terminants of housing prices under a comprehensive framework and
frastructures and low-quality shopping, education, healthcare, and en- explore how these relationships change across urban concentric rings in
tertainment facilities were the critical factors in the failure of decen- a monocentric city.
tralization and polycentric development in Shanghai (Li et al., 2016;
Sun, Shi, & Ning, 2010). Moreover, actual polycentricity in Chinese 3. Data and methodology
megacities is largely due to relied on their geographical conditions, as is
the case for Nanjing, Hangzhou, and Wuhan. The cities with govern- 3.1. Study area
ment-led policies to promote polycentric development, such as
Guangzhou, Beijing, and Shanghai, have experienced a relatively slow This study selects the full municipality of Shanghai as the study
decentralization process (Hao & Chen, 2007; Jim & Chen, 2007; Li, area, with particular emphasis on pre-owned apartments. There are
2016; Liu & Wang, 2016; Ma & Li, 2003; Murakami & Chang, 2018; several reasons for this choice. First, as the largest city in China,
Wen & Tao, 2015). Another contribution to this monocentric structure Shanghai's housing market is the flagship and barometer of China's real
is the urban redevelopment projects in Shanghai. Unlike the United estate market. In 2016, Shanghai attracted more than 190 billion (RMB)
States, the purpose of urban redevelopment in Shanghai is not only to in residential investment (SSB, 2017). Second, the pre-owned apart-
improve residents' quality of life and ensure the right to city, is also to ments make up a major share of Shanghai's housing market. In 2016,
promote local economic growth by attracting investment in property the average unit transaction price of pre-owned homes was
development (He & Wu, 2009; Mihaescu & Hofe, 2012; Wu et al., 30,180 yuan/m2, and the total registered transaction areas of pre-

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Fig. 1. Study area.

owned apartments were more than 3,400,000 m2, which accounted for recent years, the location of the ring roads has provided a new way of
more than 60% of total transaction area (CREI, 2017; SRETC, 2017). discussing the spatial organization of Shanghai (Han & Qin, 2009; Li
Third, unlike the newly developed housing projects (first-hand), the et al., 2010). We divided Shanghai into three concentric rings based on
transactions of pre-owned apartments are more likely to be market- the inner and outer ring roads – namely the inner-city area, the ex-
oriented activities less impacted by governmental regulations, which panded inner-city area, and suburbs (Chen & Hao, 2008; Jim & Chen,
not only provides a better baseline to compare with western housing 2007). The inner-city area is popularly known as the traditional urban
theories, but also is more suitable for the application of hedonic model core of Shanghai (Fig. 1).
(Shi & Li, 2006; Yuan, Wu, Wei, & Wang, 2018). Thus, the pre-owned
apartments in Shanghai are methodologically an appropriate focus for
3.2. Data collection and processing
an examination of the determinants of housing prices in a global city in
a transitional economy (Wei, Bi, Wang, & Ning, 2016).
Three data sources of housing prices have been employed in urban
As we mentioned in the literature review, Shanghai has been widely
studies – the transaction data provided by local governments, assessed
identified as a city with a monocentric structure (Li et al., 2014). In
house values offered by tax assessor's offices, and the open data drawn

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from websites of real estate brokerages. The official transaction data are Last, availability of bike sharing was ascertained and processed
limited by changes in administrative boundaries and largely relied on based on the open data of Mobike.com for five official work days, from
the researchers' relationship with local governments (Raymond, Wang, September 4 to September 8, 2017. The sharing bike system has become
& Immergluck, 2016). The tax assessor data provide complete in- a complementary part of the public transport system, fixing “the last
formation at the household-level, but their values are underestimated mile problem” (Liu, Jia, & Cheng, 2012). The travel based on sharing
by the hedonic pricing model since the long-term residents receive bike system consists of local trips over short distances (Yang & Long,
lower assessed values due to presumed delay in their remodeling and 2016). Moreover, the sharing bike dataset uses the available bike lo-
update (Jarosz, 2008). Recently, exploration of open data sources from cation for each hour in Shanghai. We have also compared the spatial
websites of real estate brokerages such as Lianjia.com and Zillow.com pattern of bikes in a time series and found that the distribution is stable
offers better access to more precise property prices at the household- at the same time on different days. Thus, the distribution of available
level (Tan & Cheong, 2016). bikes properly reflects a significant aspect of public transportation ac-
In this study, based on the web-crawling Python program, we col- cessibility.
lected list sale prices and structural characteristics of properties through
October 2016 from Lianjia.com, the largest real estate brokerage firm in 3.3. Hedonic model and regressions
China. The original records were data-washed by removing errors and
redundancy, then geocoded by physical addresses in Baidu Map API. To Based on the hedonic hypothesis that goods are valued for their
ensure the consistency of house tenancy and structure, properties that utility-bearing attributes or characteristics, we specified that our re-
are not commodity apartments, such as subsidized housing from work sidential market was determined by a suite of choices made by con-
units, were also removed. In the end, our housing dataset includes sumers and producers under market conditions (Li et al., 2016). In
47,790 pre-owned apartments for sale, which approximately represents general, an orthodox hedonic model at market equilibrium is composed
a full picture of the residential market in Shanghai (Fig. 1). of three attributes: structural, locational, and spatial correlation attri-
The list prices from Lianjia.com were used because of its relatively butes. Structural attributes include the lot size, house area, and im-
better reliability and spatial coverage. First, Lianjia.com is not only a provements. Locational attributes contain all externalities associated
platform that posts housing information, but also a real estate company. with the geographic location, such as accessibility, proximity ex-
For each apartment, Lianjia.com uses a restricted process of price es- ternalities, amenities, environmental conditions, air pollution, and
timation based on a comparison with their transaction data. Thus, the land-use information (Kim, Phipps, & Anselin, 2003; Li et al., 2016).
list prices are not only determined by sellers' self-evaluation and ex- The spatial correlation attribute includes the influence of spatial auto-
pectations, but also cross-validated by Lianjia.com's transaction data- correlation, which reflects the fact that similar prices, structural char-
base to ensure the success rate of the final transaction. acteristics, and locational amenities appear for houses within close
Second, compared to the posted transaction data from Lianjia.com, proximity of each other. In China, because of zoning regulations and the
Lianjia.com's list prices have less temporal volatility. Due to the eco- presence of gated communities, homes in the same neighborhood and
nomic cycles and government regulations, the Chinese housing market community tend to have similar structural characteristics and to share
has been characterized by strong fluctuations. Transactions from dif- the same local amenities (Li et al., 2016; Wen & Tao, 2015; Wu et al.,
ferent times may not be comparable. In this study, only the list prices 2014). In our study, to specify effects from accessibility and service
from Lianjia.com in October 2016 were collected, which ensures the amenities, the hedonic model could be formally expressed as (Eq. (1)):
temporal stability needed to reveal the underlying spatial dynamics. To
P (HM ) = F (SA, AS, PUSA, PRSA, G ) + ε (1)
further validate the quality of list prices, we also cross-checked the
transaction prices and the list prices for apartments in the same com- where: P(HM) is a matrix containing housing prices, F(SA, AS, PU-
munity and similar time period, and the results show that the deviation SA, PRSA, G) is a functional form with structural (SA), accessibility
is smaller than 2000 yuan at the level of unit price. (AS), public service amenities (PUSA), private service amenities
Last, Lianjia.com is the largest real estate agent in China, holding (PRSA), spatial correlation (G) attributes, and ε is the residual term.
more than 50% market share in Shanghai and Beijing. Compared to Researchers have used various functional forms to estimate the
other online agents, it provides relatively complete information (Wu, hedonic-price function including linear, quadratic, double-log, semi-
Song, et al., 2017; Wu, Ye, et al., 2017). Moreover, different companies log, and Box-Cox transformations (Cropper, Deck, & McConnell, 1988).
have varying transaction and charge policies, which leads to the same In this study, since we directly employed the unit sale price, measured
apartment listed with different prices. Thus, to keep the housing market by yuan/m2, as the independent variable, which fits the normal dis-
data consistent across space, we solely employed the dataset from tribution, linear function form was used. We first employed ordinary
Lianjia.com. Overall, list prices might be overestimated, but given the least squares (OLS) to provide the baseline information of underlying
comparability, consistency, and coverage, list prices still properly re- determinants of the housing market in Shanghai. The OLS equation is as
flect the distribution of housing prices in Shanghai. follow:
We constructed the database of independent variables from several
Y = C + βX + u (2)
sources. The data on public transport facilities and service amenities are
composed of three parts. First, location sites of bus stops, metro sta- where: Y is the unit sale price for an apartment, C is the constant, X are
tions, banks, hospitals, and city/community parks were collected based independent variables and β are the coefficients of X, u is the error term.
on the points of interest (POI) service of Baidu Map (map.baidu.com) To test the statistical existence of spatial effects, we carried out the
and complemented by digitizing satellite maps of Google Earth. Moran's I test and its value for unit sale prices in Shanghai is 0.195,
Second, popularities of private amenities such as entertainment, providing strong evidence for the existence of spatial autocorrelation
shopping, and residential service facilities were gathered from and suggesting the necessity of applying spatial econometrics to miti-
Dianping.com. On the website of Dianping.com, information about the gate the problem in estimating the spatial model (Tian et al., 2017). The
consumers' social group, preferences, and shops' attractiveness are result of Lagrange-multiplier (LM) test reveals that there is significant
comprehensively integrated so that they may be compared using such spatial autocorrelation in residuals, and the evidence for significant
indices as average cost, average rating, and comments. This dataset autocorrelation is shown in the “RLMlag” test, suggesting the need for a
properly represents the characteristics of China's private service ame- spatial lag model (SLR). The spatially lagged model can be expressed as
nities and provides information on classification and consumers' feed- (Eq. (3)):
back. Its reliability has also been tested and examined by recent studies
Y = ρWy + Xβ + ϵ ϵ~N (0, σ 2I ) (3)
(Zhai et al., 2015).

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In this equation, Y is the unit housing price, X represents the ex- number of available sharing bikes within 300 m of the apartment into
planatory variables, such as structural attributes, accessibility and ser- the model. With the development of the sharing economy, scholars
vice amenities, β represents parameters of explanatory variables. Wy is have found that sharing bikes have expanded the influence of subways
the spatial lag operator, a weighted average of random variables at on the residential market. An increasing number of residents use
neighboring locations. W is a spatial weights matrix of apartments, y is sharing bikes to commute between metro stations and home (El-
a vector of observations on the random variable, ϵ is the zero-mean Geneidy, Lierop, & Wasfi, 2016).
error term with common variance σ2, and ρ is the autoregressive and In addition to structural attributes and accessibility factors, we also
moving average parameter. included two kinds of service amenities in the analysis: public service
Previous studies usually used locally weighted regressions such as amenities and private service amenities. The distance to the nearest
GWR and MWR to control spatial heterogeneity, which has been widely urban park, numbers of public schools, banks, and hospitals within
criticized due to fragmented and incommensurable outcomes (Páez 0.5 miles of the apartment were used as proxies for public service
et al., 2008). In this study, to achieve an integrated regression result amenities (Li et al., 2016; Wen et al., 2014; Wen & Tao, 2015). Al-
under a monocentric framework, we used concentric rings to simulate though there have been more and more private schools and banks ap-
housing segmentation (Jim & Chen, 2007). Therefore, the random in- pearing in Shanghai, public schools and banks are the dominant forces
tercept multi-level regression (MLR) was employed to investigate dif- providing educational and financial services for most China's urban
ferences between concentric rings as regards effects of accessibility and residents. Thus, in this study, private banks and schools were excluded
service amenities on housing prices in Shanghai (Gelman & Hill, 2007) from the variable of education and financial facilities.
(Eq. (4)). Our private amenity variables were the degrees of popularity of
entertainment, shopping, and residential service facilities within
yij = β0 + β1 x ij + μoj + ϑoj (4) 0.5 miles of the apartment. Levels of popularity were calculated based
In the equation: on the summary of comments in Dianping.com. Categories of en-
tertainment, shopping, and residential services were divided and ex-
yij refers to the unit sale price for apartment i that belongs to the ring tracted based on the label information on Dianping.com. Entertainment
j. facilities include karaoke televisions, theatres, cinemas, clubs, etc.
xij is the independent variable for apartment i that belongs to the Shopping facilities refer to shopping malls, supermarkets, and con-
ring j. venience stores, while residential services consist of housekeeping,
μoj is the error term in the ring j. moving, community and logistics services, etc. As in most existing
ϑoij is the error term of apartment i that belongs to the ring j. studies, all distance and buffer-related variables were calculated based
on the Euclidean distance in ArcGIS (Li et al., 2016; Sander, Ghosh,
Moreover, to explicitly recognize the heterogeneity of determinants Riper, & Manson, 2010).
across rings, we utilized the spatial regime model, which can derive
parameters that are specific to rings in particular groups. This model 4. Housing prices distribution in Shanghai
has been widely used in regional, urban and geographical studies (Li,
Wei, Liao, & Huang, 2015). We allowed coefficients to vary across The housing market in Shanghai differs across space and by scale
different rings (Eq. (5)): and is highly associated with distance to CBD. Fig. 2 demonstrates the
distribution of apartment prices at the household and subdistrict levels.
∗ ⎡ bA ⎤ Generally, the housing prices decay with increase of the distance to
⎡ gri, tA ⎤ ⎡ Yi∗, t − 1A Xi∗, t − 1A 0 0 ⎤ ⎢ φA ⎥ vi, tA CBD. This result appears consistent with the bid-rent model and the
⎢ gr ∗ ⎥ = ⎢ 0 +⎡ ⎤
0 Yi∗, t − 1B Xi∗, t − 1B ⎥ ⎢ bB ⎥ ⎣ vi, tB ⎦ monocentric structure of Shanghai. At the household level, the apart-
⎣ i, tB ⎦ ⎣ ⎦⎢ ⎥
⎣ B⎥
⎢ φ
⎦ (5) ments with a unit price higher than 100,000 yuan/m2 are concentrated
in the inner-city area of Shanghai. Huangpu, Jing'an, and Xuhui are the
where the subscripts A and B indicate different rings; gri, tA∗
and gri, tB∗ subdistricts with an average housing sale price higher than
are N × 1 column vectors with observations for rings A and B, re- 90,000 yuan/m2.
spectively; Yi, t−1A∗, Yi, t−1B∗ are N × 2 matrices including the constant Spatial analyses such as hotspot analysis of the Getis-Ord Gi⁎ sta-
term and initial prices of each regime; Xi, t−1A∗, Xi, t−1B∗ are the N × K tistic and the three-dimensional surface of inverse distance weighted
matrices of observations on other explanatory variables for each re- (IDW) interpolation were used to provide a better visualization (Fig. 3).
gime; vi, tA, vi, tB are the N × 1 vectors of error terms. The Getis-Ord Gi⁎ statistic reflects whether the facilities with high po-
pularity tend to cluster. If a property's price is high and prices of its
3.4. Variables neighboring properties are also high, it is part of a hotspot. The IDW is a
type of deterministic method for multivariate interpolation with a
Definitions and descriptions of 17 explanatory variables included in known scattered set of points. Hotspots of housing prices were clustered
this study are given in Table 1. In this hedonic model we adopted four in the inner-city and expanded inner-city areas of Shanghai.
categories of independent variables: structural attributes, accessibility, Regarding the urban spatial structure, we calculated the spatial
public service amenities, and private service amenities. influence radius of the urban center by plotting housing prices against
Floor area, number of bedrooms, number of living rooms, floor the distance to CBD. To test the existence of directional differences, we
level, decoration status, house age, and whether or not the unit is south- plotted the gradients in four directions of south, north, east, and west in
facing were used to capture the structural attributes of the apartment. Fig. 4, respectively. In general, a significant declining CBD-related
In contrast to the West, south-facing is one of the most imperative gradient could be observed. As the distance to CBD increases, housing
qualifications, because the orientation of houses and apartments are prices decrease steadily. It is interesting that the declining trend can be
closely associated with sunshine time and the tradition of Fengshui observed in all directions, although there were some differences in
(Wang & Li, 2006). areas close to the CBD. As the distance increased to 30–39 km, housing
Three explanatory variables were included to represent the acces- prices became stable in the range of 30,000–40,000 yuan/m2. Fig. 4
sibility attributes of the apartment. Numbers of metro stations and bus confirms that the housing market in Shanghai has a typical monocentric
stops within a half mile of the apartment were used to represent public structure in all directions (Chen & Hao, 2008; Shi & Li, 2006). Due to
transport accessibility. We expected a positive relationship between the highly differentiated distribution regarding the distance to CBD,
housing prices and accessibility factors. We also innovatively added the distinguishable determinants of housing prices across concentric rings

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Table 1
Independent variables.
Explanatory variables Definition Abbrev. Type

2
Structural attributes (SA) Floor area (m ) FA Continuous
Number of bedrooms NBe Continuous
Number of living rooms NL Continuous
Floor level FL Continuous
South-facing SF Dummy
Decoration DEC Dummy
House age HA Continuous
Accessibility (AS) Number of metro stations within 0.5 miles NMS Continuous
Number of bus stops within 0.5 miles NBS Continuous
Number of available sharing bikes within 300 m NSB Continuous
Public service amenities (PUSA) Distance to park [log(m)] DP Continuous
Number of public schools within 0.5 miles NPS Continuous
Number of public banks within 0.5 miles NPB Continuous
Number of hospitals within 0.5 miles HF Continuous
Private service amenities (PRSA) Popularity of entertainment facilities within 0.5 miles PEF Continuous
Popularity of shopping facilities within 0.5 miles PSF Continuous
Popularity of domestic service facilities within 0.5 miles PDS Continuous

Note:

1. Log is the natural logarithm.


2. Prices and structural attributes datasets are collected from Lianjia.com.
3. Sharing bikes data are gathered and processed based on the open data of Mobike.com on September 8, 2017.
4. Schools, banks, and hospitals are gathered from the POI data of Baidu Map.
5. Popularities are calculated based on the summary of comments in Dianping.com.

could be expected to appear. These results suggest that apartments have distinguishable structures
We also calculated numbers and structural characteristics of apart- across the concentric rings, which further confirms that using con-
ments for sale in the different concentric rings in Shanghai (Table 2). centric rings to divide submarkets is an appropriate manner to depict
Apartments are evenly distributed across urban concentric rings, al- the spatial heterogeneity of Shanghai's housing market.
though the expanded inner-city area has the most apartments for sale, Table 3 shows the overall and spatially disaggregated Gini and
which is typical of residential suburbanization in China (Liu et al., coefficient of variation (CV) of housing prices in Shanghai across con-
2015; Wang & Chai, 2009). The apartments in the suburbs have the centric rings for the entire city. Both of them are popular measures of
lowest unit price, larger floor area, more bedrooms and living rooms. statistical dispersion. The CV is defined as the ratio of the standard

Fig. 2. Housing prices distribution in Shanghai (a: apartment-level; b: subdistrict-level).


Source: Lianjia.com.

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H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

Fig. 3. Hotspot analysis (a) and 3D surface interpolation (b) of apartment prices in Shanghai.
Source: Lianjia.com and authors' calculation.

deviation to the mean, while the Gini coefficient is based on the Lorenz the residential market in Shanghai has a monocentric structure, and the
curve, graphically representing the cumulative distribution function of distance to CBD largely determines housing prices. Inequality indices
a probability distribution. In this study, values of the Gini coefficient of further suggest that transportation facilities and service amenities are
CV are relatively smaller than expected, which means that the most additional determinants of housing prices in Shanghai, which are dis-
significant issue of the real estate market in China is the poor afford- cussed in the next section.
ability, rather than intra-urban inequality or residential segregation.
Second, the Gini and CV for the entire city are much larger than the 5. Accessibility, service amenities and housing prices
coefficients for each ring. The inequality of housing prices in Shanghai
is largely attributed to the price differences among rings, rather than Section 4 argues that the residential market in Shanghai varies
the uneven distribution at the intra-ring level. Third, for all rings, re- spatially depending on to locations and local attributes, and thus we
sults of spatially disaggregated Gini suggest that most of the inequality further investigated the distributions of accessibility and service ame-
is not due to the spatial autocorrelation and inequality within neigh- nities and their effects on nearby housing prices. We further aggregated
borhoods. This result implies that determinants of housing price var- the numbers of metro stations, bus stops, and available sharing bikes
iation at the intra-ring level are largely due to local attributes. In short, into subdistrict-levels (Fig. 5). The expanded inner-city area had the

Whole City South West East North

110,000
100,000
90,000
Unit Price (Yuan/Sq.Meter)

80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42
Distance to CBD (km)

Fig. 4. Housing prices with distance to CBD in Shanghai.


Source: Lianjia.com and authors' calculation.

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H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

Table 2 popularity of private service amenities (Fig. 9). Entertainment, shop-


Statistics of apartment attributes across concentric rings. ping, and residential service facilities tend to have a similar distribution
Source: Lianjia.com. in the subdistrict-level. Compared to public service amenities, private
Statistics Apartments for sale service amenities are relatively decentralized. This difference suggests
that public and private service amenities might play divergent roles in
Inner city Expanded inner city Suburban area determining the geography of the housing market in Shanghai.
To summarize, public transport facilities greatly heighten the prices
Count 10,752 20,801 16,237
Unit price (yuan/m2) 84,333 63,520 40,038 on the residential market in Shanghai, but this effect varies spatially
FA (m2) 88.28 79.29 107.57 depending on mode of transportation. Both public and private service
NBe 2.07 2.03 2.51 amenities have distribution patterns similar to the residential market in
NL 1.29 1.27 1.68
Shanghai, and all of these relationships change across concentric rings.
FL 16.12 9.24 9.13
SF (dummy) 0.46 0.50 0.40

Note: The unit price, floor area, numbers of bedrooms, numbers of living rooms 6. Global picture of determinants: findings from OLS, SLR and
floor level, and south-facing orientation are calculated as mean value. MLR

highest number of metro stations and bus stops, while subdistricts lo- Our analysis confirms spatial associations among monocentric
cated in the suburban area and close to the outer ring road had the most structure, accessibility, service amenities and the housing market in
available sharing bikes. Moreover, bus stops and sharing bikes were Shanghai. We further employed OLS, SLR, and MLR to test the under-
distributed more intensively in the southeastern and northwestern re- lying relationships between apartment prices and their determinants in
gions than in the municipality's southwestern regions. One can see that a multivariate environment. To avoid the multicollinearity problem
public transport facilities have distributions similar to housing prices among regression analyses, we also tested the variance inflation factor
(Figs. 2 and 5), which is consistent with the previous literature insofar (VIF) of all explanatory variables and found that results were smaller
as public transport facilities have profoundly raised homes' value (Tian than 4.5, which indicated that no pair of variables has a significant
et al., 2017). linear correlation. Regarding spatial autocorrelation, the significance of
To further explore how different modes of transport influence the spatial weight (Rho) in the SLR, as well as decreased values of global
residential market across Shanghai's concentric rings, we calculated Moran's I of residuals from OLS to MLR and SLR prove that spatial ef-
unit prices by defining accessibility conditions in Table 4 and projected fects have been properly controlled in the SLR (Table 5).
housing prices against distances to the nearest metro station, bus sta- Table 5 shows a summary of parameters of independent variables
tion, and available sharing bike in Figs. 6 and 7. Apartments with less for the entire municipality. To compare effect sizes of different in-
accessibility to metro stations, bus stops, and sharing bikes tend to have dependent variables on housing prices, the elasticity of housing prices
lower prices. This tendency also changes across concentric rings and with respect to continuous variables is also reported in Table 5. Elas-
transport modes. First, unit prices for apartments with metro stations in ticity is the ratio of the percentage change in one variable associated
the 0.5-mile buffer were significantly higher than the apartments far- with the percentage change in another variable. For outcomes mea-
ther away from metro stations, and this relationship was more sig- sured as continuous variables, as is the case here, elasticity can be in-
nificant for apartments located in the suburbs. Second, bus stops had a terpreted as the percent change in housing prices when a specified in-
relatively slight influence on sale prices, while sharing bikes sub- dependent variable increases by 1% (Kim et al., 2003; Tian et al.,
stantially increased prices for apartments in the expanded inner-city 2017).
area and the suburban area of Shanghai, which implied that sharing First, structural attributes, floor area, house age, south-facing or-
bikes has become an extremely important commuting mode for local ientation, and decoration status are significantly and positively asso-
residents (El-Geneidy et al., 2016). Third, effective radii are different. ciated with unit sale prices in all three models. Potential buyers will pay
The effective radius of metro stations on housing prices was approxi- more for larger and newer apartments. Every 1% increase in floor area
mately 3000 m, while those of sharing bikes and bus stops were limited will lead to 0.05–0.08% increase in housing prices. Interestingly, con-
to 700 m. sistent with previous studies both in Guangzhou and cities in the United
Regarding the general distribution of public service amenities, States, the number of bedrooms is not significantly positive, likely in-
kernel density estimations of public schools, banks, and hospitals in dicating that, given the similar square footage, buyers do not want extra
Shanghai are projected in Fig. 8. In comparison to the normal density bedrooms (Jim & Chen, 2007; Li et al., 2016).
map, kernel density estimation is useful for visualizing the intensity of Second, consistent with findings in Beijing and Wuhan (Jiao & Liu,
events by generating a smoothed estimation surface. On the whole, 2010; Xiao et al., 2017), buyers are willing to pay for access to public
public schools, banks, and hospitals in Shanghai are largely con- transport facilities, especially metro stations. Proximity to metro sta-
centrated in the inner-city and expanded inner-city areas, with several tions has been widely identified as one of the most important indicators
scattered and small subcenters in the suburbs, such as Huinan and that will significantly raise property values in global cities (Agostini &
Gaoqiao in Pudong, Nanqiao in Fengxian, and Fangsong in Songjiang. Palmucci, 2008). Residents in Shanghai prefer to live in the estates that
These centralized patterns suggest a positive relationship between are convenient for accessing public transport and other service ame-
public service amenities and the residential market. nities. In our result, every 1% increase in numbers of nearby metro
The housing market in Shanghai is also associated with the stations is associated with an approximate 0.03–0.04% increase in

Table 3
CV and spatially aggregated Gini coefficients across concentric rings.
Source: Lianjia.com.
Rings Overall CV Overall Gini Neighbors Gini Non-neighbors Gini Neighbors contribution Non-neighbors contribution

Inner-city area 0.2193 0.1165 0.0093 0.1072 7.9% 92.1%


Expanded inner-city area 0.1974 0.1037 0.0039 0.0998 3.8% 96.2%
Suburban area 0.2638 0.1431 0.0059 0.1372 4.1% 95.9%
Entire city 0.3551 0.1960

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H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

Fig. 5. Accessibility facilities at subdistrict-level in Shanghai (a: metro stations; b: bus stops; c: sharing bikes).
Source: Mobike.com and Baidu Map POI.

Table 4 improving residents' living environment and quality of life. For in-
Average unit price and accessibility. stance, in terms of public service amenities, variables of schools, banks,
Source: Lianjia.com. and hospitals have a significantly positive influence on sale prices in all
Unit price (yuan/m2) Apartments for sale three models. Apartments with better access to schools, and hospitals
will apparently attract more buyers. Every 1% increase in numbers of
Inner city Expanded inner city Suburbs nearby banks and hospitals will lead to a 0.02% increase in unit housing
prices, at least. Consistent with previous studies in Nanjing (Wu et al.,
With metro stations
Total 84,703 65,199 44,751 2014), Hangzhou (Wen et al., 2014) and the United States (Kane et al.,
With bus 84,703 65,198 44,865 2006; Li et al., 2016), schools, and their perceived quality, have a siz-
Without bus NA 63,520 42,516 able and positive effect on urban home values. The price elasticity of
With bikes 84,703 65,220 44,873 schools in the SLR is 0.097, much higher than banks and hospitals. In
Without bikes NA 52,143 41,370
terms of urban parks, Shanghai shows a pattern similar to most Chinese
Without metro stations cities, such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen (Chen & Li, 2017; Wu, Song,
Total 79,447 61,028 38,585
et al., 2017; Wu, Ye, et al., 2017), and compact cities in United States
With bus 79,447 61,012 38,749
Without bus NA 63,986 37,747 such as Portland (Netusil, 2013). Our results suggest that accessibility
With bikes 79,447 61,053 39,073 to public parks have positive effects on housing prices in Shanghai.
Without bikes NA 57,525 32,677 Private services were rarely included in previous housing studies of
Chinese cities, because they are difficult to quantify and capture,
Note: The buffer for metro stations and bus stops is 0.5 miles, and the buffer for
especially in terms of residents' perception. Wen, Jia, and Guo (2005)
sharing bikes is 300 m.
incorporated entertainment facilities in the hedonic model and found it
only had a marginally significant and positive effect on housing prices
housing prices. Given that the average value of metro station variables
in Hangzhou. In this study, we find that variables of shopping, en-
is as small as 0.749, one newly developed metro station will dramati-
tertainment, and residential services are all significantly positive in the
cally increase a nearby property's price.
model of MLR, which has controlled the spatial heterogeneity among
Third, service amenities significantly affect the property market by

75,000
70,000
Unit Price (Yuan/Sq.Meter)

65,000
60,000
55,000
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
Distance the nearest Metro Station (Meter)

Fig. 6. Housing prices with distance to the nearest metro station in Shanghai.
Source: Lianjia.com and authors' calculation.

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H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

70,000
60,000

Unit Price (Yuan/Sq. Meter)


50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000

0
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200
Distance (Meter)

Bus Stop Sharing Bike

Fig. 7. Housing prices with distances to the nearest bus stop and sharing bike in Shanghai.
Source: Lianjia.com, Mobike.com, Baidu Map, and authors' calculation.

the concentric rings. Every 1% increase in the popularity of nearby consistent with institutional settings of China's urban education system.
residential services is associated with an approximate 0.02–0.03% in- The household registration system determines which school district
crease in unit housing prices. This result is highly consistent with the division a child may attend; buying an apartment within the school
survey result from Sun et al. (2010) that unpopular shopping and en- district is the only way to choose a better public school for children. In
tertainment services are the key reason to explain the failure of poly- the expanded inner-city area, the variable of metro stations turns out to
centric development in Shanghai. The tiny difference with Wen et al.'s be significantly positive, which implies that the subway is the most
(2005) finding in Hangzhou could be explained by different measure- popular and important commuting mode for residents living in this
ments and local cultures. area. Variables of schools, hospitals, banks, shopping, and domestic
facilities also have a significantly positive coefficient. The suburban
area is the only region where all three accessibility variables are sig-
7. Comparisons among the concentric rings
nificantly positive. Given the relatively slow decentralization of public
services in urban China, along with an increasing distance to CBD,
Since determinants of the housing market in monocentric cities vary
access to public transportation facilities is important for residents to
across concentric rings, we conducted regressions for the inner-city
reach public services. Also, buyers in this region are willing to pay more
area, the expanded inner-city area, and the suburban area separately
for better private service amenities rather than public service amenities,
(Table 6). Overall, the inner-city and expanded inner-city areas have a
since high-quality public amenities are still concentrated in the tradi-
relatively higher similarity in results, while the suburban area shows a
tional urban core of Shanghai.
completely different suite of results, suggesting that the social and
In addition to the independent regressions showing differences in
economic heterogeneity of residents is closely associated with the pat-
statistical significances, we also employed spatial regime regression to
tern of concentric rings (Li et al., 2010).
produce three sets of comparable coefficients, one for each ring
For residents living in the inner-city area, accessibility facilities are
(Table 7). Regarding structural attributes, apartment size, floor level,
less important in deciding where to live, because transportation facil-
and house age have more influence on apartments in the expanded
ities are virtually ubiquitous. Second, shopping and residential service
inner-city area. Compared with apartments in the expanded inner-city
facilities, as well as hospitals, turn out to be significant. Third, nearby
area and suburbs, structural variables have less influence on the values
schools have significant impacts on the unit sale price. This finding is

Fig. 8. Kernel density estimation of public service amenity facilities in Shanghai (a: schools; b: banks; c: hospitals).
Source: Baidu Map.

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H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

Fig. 9. Popularities (sum of comments) of private service amenity facilities at subdistrict-level in Shanghai (a: entertainment; b: shopping; c: domestic service).
Source: Dianping.com.

of apartments in the inner-city, since buyers are more attracted by the residential market in Shanghai, and interrelations are influenced by
plentitude of public and private service amenities. Speaking of acces- types of public transport and amenity facilities. Residents from the
sibility, metro stations and sharing bikes have additional positive ef- inner-city and expanded inner-city areas pay more attention to private
fects on apartment prices in the suburbs. In terms of service amenities, and public service amenities, while people living in the suburban area
public amenities such as parks, schools, banks, and hospitals contribute have to put a premium on access to public transport facilities. Third,
more to unit sale prices for apartments in the inner-city area. Since metro stations and sharing bikes apparently have more significant in-
shopping facilities and residential services are sparser in the expanded fluence than bus stops, and residential service facilities are more im-
inner-city area and suburbs, buyers are willing to pay more to be closer portant than entertainment venues.
to them.
In short, accessibility and service amenities collectively shape the

Table 5
Regression results for entire city.
Variables Coefficients Elasticity

OLS SLR MLR OLS SLR MLR

Structural attributes (SA)


FA 39.00⁎⁎⁎ 5.829⁎⁎⁎ 32.00⁎⁎⁎ 0.059 0.079 0.048
NBe −1968⁎⁎⁎ −861.3⁎⁎⁎ −1378⁎⁎⁎ −0.072 −0.281 −0.050
NL 2.855 3.520 294.9 – – –
FL 138.1⁎⁎⁎ −75.90⁎⁎⁎ 79.09⁎⁎⁎ 0.025 −0.121 0.014
SF 570.5⁎⁎⁎ 619.3⁎⁎⁎ 398.6⁎⁎⁎ – – –
DEC 4026⁎⁎⁎ 2172⁎⁎⁎ 3873⁎⁎⁎ – – –
HA −242.2⁎⁎⁎ −163.7⁎⁎⁎ −281.8⁎⁎⁎ −0.076 −0.456 −0.088

Accessibility (AS)
NMS 2712⁎⁎⁎ 301.8⁎⁎⁎ 1384⁎⁎⁎ 0.035 0.034 0.018
NBS 50.52⁎⁎⁎ 7.102⁎⁎ 4.970⁎⁎ 0.043 0.054 0.004
NSB 64.17⁎⁎⁎ 9.714⁎⁎⁎ 21.36⁎⁎⁎ 0.094 0.127 0.031

Public service amenities (PUSA)


DP −1.589⁎⁎⁎ −0.376⁎⁎⁎ −0.830⁎⁎⁎ – – –
NPS 127.5⁎⁎⁎ 39.33⁎⁎⁎ 78.86⁎⁎⁎ 0.035 0.097 0.022
NPB 46.06⁎⁎⁎ 4.564⁎⁎⁎ 24.11⁎⁎⁎ 0.086 0.076 0.045
HF 160.1⁎⁎⁎ 35.07⁎⁎⁎ 136.1⁎⁎⁎ 0.023 0.046 0.020
Private service amenities (PRSA)
PEF 0.264⁎⁎⁎ 0.031 0.190⁎⁎⁎ 0.018 0.018 0.013
PSF −0.119⁎⁎ −0.058 0.130⁎⁎⁎ −0.003 −0.014 0.004
PDS 1.049⁎⁎⁎ 0.137⁎⁎⁎ 0.690⁎⁎⁎ 0.025 0.029 0.017
Assessment
Intercept 42,350⁎⁎⁎ 7947⁎⁎⁎ 54,331⁎⁎⁎
Weight (Rho) NA 0.888⁎⁎⁎ NA
Obs. 47,790 47,790 47,790
AIC 1,043,602 993,430 1,033,380
R2 0.610 NA NA
MIR 0.660⁎⁎⁎ 0.021 0.129⁎⁎

Note:
1. ***, **, * represent the significance level of 1%, 5%, 10%, respectively.
2. MIR: Global Moran's I for residuals.

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Table 6
Independent regression results across concentric rings.
Variables Inner-city Expanded inner-city Suburbs

OLS SLR OLS SLR OLS SLR

Structural attributes (SA)


FA 74.59⁎⁎⁎ 11.04⁎⁎⁎ 57.67⁎⁎⁎ 2.712⁎⁎⁎ 18.50⁎⁎⁎ −1.285
NBe −3918⁎⁎⁎ −1826⁎⁎⁎ −1386⁎⁎⁎ −728.5⁎⁎⁎ −365.8⁎⁎⁎ −274.8⁎⁎⁎
NL −586.6⁎ −207.7⁎ −342.9⁎ 33.14⁎ 448.3⁎⁎ −104.0
FL −60.97⁎⁎⁎ −57.88⁎⁎⁎ 230.5⁎⁎⁎ −10.51 −4.775 −77.25⁎⁎⁎
SF 984.9⁎⁎⁎ 1117⁎⁎⁎ 625.4⁎⁎⁎ 378.9⁎⁎⁎ 584.2⁎⁎⁎ 244.9⁎⁎⁎
DEC 5905⁎⁎⁎ 3005⁎⁎⁎ 2876⁎⁎⁎ 1705⁎⁎⁎ 2632⁎⁎⁎ 1343⁎⁎⁎
HA −262.2⁎⁎⁎ −122.6⁎⁎⁎ −305.9⁎⁎⁎ −141.7⁎⁎⁎ −257.9⁎⁎⁎ −101.8⁎⁎⁎

Accessibility (AS)
NMS −489.2⁎⁎⁎ 16.78 1552⁎⁎⁎ 216.1⁎⁎⁎ 2678⁎⁎⁎ 331.6⁎⁎⁎
NBS 76.08⁎⁎⁎ 1.713 −72.63⁎⁎⁎ −15.95⁎⁎⁎ 78.61⁎⁎⁎ 15.22⁎⁎⁎
NSB −13.04⁎⁎⁎ −1.038 14.29⁎⁎⁎ 3.606⁎⁎⁎ 68.19⁎⁎⁎ 8.228⁎⁎⁎

Public service amenities (PUSA)


DP −1.388⁎⁎ −1.150⁎⁎⁎ −0.953⁎⁎⁎ −0.142⁎ −0.894⁎⁎⁎ −0.180⁎⁎⁎
NPS 144.4⁎⁎⁎ 34.86⁎⁎⁎ 256.7⁎⁎⁎ 69.53⁎⁎⁎ −114.2⁎⁎⁎ −15.70
NPB 13.96⁎⁎⁎ −0.355 39.16⁎⁎⁎ 6.138⁎⁎⁎ −2.736 0.720
HF 184.3⁎⁎⁎ 73.05⁎⁎⁎ 85.49⁎⁎⁎ 27.90⁎⁎⁎ −413.5⁎⁎⁎ −64.83⁎⁎⁎

Private service amenities (PRSA)


PEF −0.033 0.005 0.491⁎⁎⁎ 0.101⁎⁎⁎ 0.205 0.160⁎
PSF 0.370⁎⁎⁎ 0.057⁎⁎⁎ −0.609⁎⁎⁎ −0.103⁎⁎⁎ 5.345⁎⁎⁎ 0.700⁎⁎⁎
PDS 0.545⁎⁎⁎ 0.185⁎⁎⁎ 0.646⁎⁎⁎ 0.167⁎⁎⁎ 1.168⁎⁎⁎ 0.213⁎⁎⁎

Assessment
Intercept 72,930⁎⁎⁎ 21,701⁎⁎⁎ 57,090⁎⁎⁎ 14,088⁎⁎⁎ 38,790⁎⁎⁎ 8555⁎⁎⁎
Weight (Rho) NA 0.759⁎⁎⁎ NA 0.801⁎⁎⁎ NA 0.834⁎⁎⁎
Obs. 10,752 10,752 20,801 20,801 16,237 16,237
AIC 238,879 230,690 443,027 424,850 341,492 323,840
R2 0.241 NA 0.339 NA 0.288 NA
MIR 0.622⁎⁎⁎ 0.011 0.633⁎⁎⁎ 0.016 0.710⁎⁎⁎ −0.001

Note:
1. ***, **, * represent the significance level of 1%, 5%, 10%, respectively.
2. MIR: Global Moran's I for residuals.

Table 7 8. Conclusion and discussion


Spatial regime regression results across concentric rings.
Variables Inner-city Expanded inner-city Suburbs
The skyrocketing residential market amid a series of urban housing
reforms and regulations threatens China's sustainable development and
Structural attributes (SA) has become a serious social problem (Hui & Yue, 2006). Traditional
FA 30.99⁎⁎⁎ 49.95⁎⁎⁎ 11.69⁎⁎⁎ theories find that increasing urban population and housing demand, as
NBe 1099⁎⁎⁎ 2242⁎⁎⁎ 2285⁎⁎⁎
well as the limited supply of residential land, are key factors driving
NL 3661⁎⁎⁎ 6880⁎⁎⁎ 6486⁎⁎⁎
FL 170.9⁎⁎⁎ 756.5⁎⁎⁎ 716.34⁎⁎⁎ housing price increases (Wen & Tao, 2015; Xiao et al., 2017). However,
SF 3933⁎⁎⁎ 3891⁎⁎⁎ 2653⁎⁎⁎ the complexity of locational determinants of housing prices implies the
DEC 8324⁎⁎⁎ 4227⁎⁎⁎ 3793⁎⁎⁎ possibility of other narratives – apartments are largely treated as in-
HA −255.1⁎⁎⁎ −557.2⁎⁎⁎ −448.1⁎⁎⁎
vestment tools against the inflation, and their prices greatly exceed the
Accessibility (AS) value of residence (Chow & Niu, 2015; CREI, 2017). Rapidly developing
NMS 1303⁎ 1996⁎⁎⁎ 3975⁎⁎⁎ big data technology and open data sources offer valuable chances to
NBS 216.9⁎⁎ 51.29⁎⁎ 95.837⁎⁎⁎
NSB 51.56⁎ 30.91⁎⁎ 96.592⁎⁎⁎
examine a variety of local determinants of China's housing market. This
study improves the traditional hedonic pricing method and provides a
Public service amenities (PUSA)
holistic approach to analyzing determinants of the residential market
DP −10.08⁎⁎⁎ −4.948⁎⁎⁎ −0.490⁎⁎⁎
NPS 274.3⁎⁎⁎ 267.12⁎⁎⁎ −57.91⁎ by considering urban structure under an integrated and comprehensive
NPB 47.31⁎⁎⁎ 41.20⁎⁎⁎ −1.737 framework, which allows us to quantify effects of structural attributes,
HF 174.6⁎⁎⁎ 52.55⁎ −460.6⁎⁎⁎ accessibility, and service amenities.
Private service amenities (PRSA) Shanghai's housing prices are affected by the city's monocentric
PEF −0.079⁎⁎⁎ 0.367⁎⁎⁎ 0.195 structure and by locational factors such as accessibility and urban
PSF 0.188⁎⁎⁎ −0.616⁎⁎⁎ 4.229⁎⁎⁎ amenities. SLR and MLR models confirm that accessibility and service
PDS 0.783⁎⁎⁎ 0.762⁎⁎⁎ 1.298⁎⁎⁎
amenities collectively shape the residential market in Shanghai. Such
Assessment relationships are differentiated across concentric rings and by types of
Obs. 47,790
public transport and amenity facilities. First, some facilities such as
AIC 1,045,941
R2 0.954 schools, metro stations, and hospitals mean more investment value to
MIR 0.246⁎⁎ buyers. Second, residents living in the inner-city area are willing to pay
more for private and public service amenities, while people living in the
Note: suburban area are inclined to value public transport facilities more
1. ***, **, * represent the significance level of 1%, 5%, 10%, respectively. highly. Third, metro stations and sharing bikes evidently have more
2. MIR: Global Moran's I for residuals.
significant influences than bus stops, and residential service facilities

177
H. Li et al. Cities 91 (2019) 165–179

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