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Jahs 6 20
Jahs 6 20
TRANSLATION BY:
JOSEPH KOCH PROJECT ENGINEER
STIORSXY AIRCRAFT
- mately constant,
a shear force and a bending moment
varying about the steady load a t
- $? Standard deviation of the normal
law.
....
frequencies of W , 2w, nu.
..
necessary t h a t the s t a t i c and fatigue strength normal law.
of the blade be proven and t h a t its service l i f e X Value based on experience from x
be conservatively established. To determine t h i s X,Inferior l i m i t in search for x
l i f e and also t o substantiate modifications of
the prototype helicopter blades, t e s t i n g methods 2. Determination of the Auulied Loads;
and analysis have been developed during the past
few years. Blade fatigue in f l i g h t is a function of the
applied loads. Knowledge of these loads ia,
The purpose of t h i s report is t o pre- therefore, absolutely necessary t o determine
sent methods which a r e used, t o discuss them and blade l i f e .
t o compare them. It w i l l be seen how s e n s i t i v e
the interpretation of test r e s u l t s is, since we Although it is d i f f i c u l t t o measure the loads
are r e l a t i v e l y ignorant with regard t o the basic in f l i g h t , because the p a r t r o t a t e s in r e l a t i o n
phenomenon of fatigue. Although we a r e con- t o the helicopter, nevertheless it i s currently
cerned here with helicopter blades, t h i s report being done. The methods w i l l not be discussed
here. It should be simply noted t h a t the pre- The factor of 15% generally applied t o t h e
c i s i o n of t h e steady s t r e s s readings (tension and- loads in v i t a l mechanical p a r t s is intended t o
bending mormnt) a r e poor, but very acceptable f o r take i n t o account the " s c a t t e r n between parts.
the vibratory s t r e s s e s ( i n t h e order of a few In t h e case of t h i s e n t i r e report, the increase
percent). of 15% should not be applied. (Reference:
French Aircraft Design Specifications 20044).
The analysee of t h e f l i g h t records furnish
d i r e c t l y the loads corresponding t o each f l i g h t On t h e other hand, a factor might be applied
condition and t h e i r predominant frequency. Then, t o take i n t o account possible differences in
it is necessary t o know the helicopter spectrum load d i s t r i b u t i o n between two different a i r c r a f t
f o r the complete f l i g h t envelope. The d i s t r i - of the same type.
bution of the f l i g h t spectrum is shown in Ffgure 1.
This has been established on the basis of stan- ~ ~ ~~
100
of vibratory loads is easy t o e s t a b l i s h because Landing
the frequency i s known. Generally, it can be
pointed out t h a t most of the loads a r e concen-
t r a t e d around low values and t h a t the high load
1 ~ e ~~ el il g i t 9o
a t Max. Sceed
conditions diminish rapidly i n frequency of
occurrence a s the loads increase in value. These
cases correspond t o exceptional conditions such Other 89.15
as: v e r t i c a l take-off, autorotation, pull-out, 50 4 300
Conditions
push-over, etc.
4. w o n Between Number of Cvcles 4 blade, running day and night, would be necessary.
Elvine Tir48:
1 hour f l i g h t time - -
4 x 300 x 60 = 72,000 cycl.
1.390 hours
This i d e a l method is t h u s q u i t e imprac-
t i c a l i n t h i s form. It should be noted t h a t
psychologically an endurance t e s t of a helicopter
r o t o r on the ground should be conducded t o a t
100 m i l l i o n cycles a lo8
72,000 l e a s t e q u a l t h e number of authorised hours of
flight.
5. Table of Auulied Loads:
I n any case, these t e s t s a r e absolutely
Load m x kg 1 I
120 100 90 80 necessary i n order t o prove the s t r e n g t h of other
p a r t s of the helicopter which a r e less c r i t i c a l
% of . U t i l i z a t i o n 1 0.3 10.6 1 31 6 189.15199.0 than t h e blades, b u t it would be criminal t o
guarantee t h e l i f e of t h e blades on t h e b a s i s of
6. Steady Load: 3000 kg t h i s t e s t alone.
3.2 P a r t i a l T e s t i n e Method
3. Methods of "Direct Testine" and of " P a r t i a l
Testing": This method is s i m i l a r t o t h e one above i n
t h a t it reproduces on a bench t e s t stand t h e
3.1 Direct T e s t k Method loads observed i n f l i g h t . However, t o reduce
t e s t time we introduce t h e assumption of the
The simplest t e s t method t h e o r e t i c a l l y knowledge of t h e endurance l i m i t . It is assumed
c o n s i s t s of reproducing on a bench t e s t s t a n d t h a t when t h e load does n o t exceed a c e r t a i n
( t h i s could be a helicopter r o t a t i n g on t h e ground) l e v e l , its influence is n e g l i g i b l e on blade
a l l the loads considered in t h e Table with some fatigue. Therefore, it is possible t o eliminate
v a r i a t i o n s , depending on the condition. Assump a l l t e s t cases where t h e l o a d s a r e below t h i s
t i o n s i n f a t i g u e and the i n t e r p r e t a t i o n of t h e l e v e l and reduce t h e t e s t i n g by the same amounif)
r e s u l t s a r e t h u s reduced t o a minimum and t h e
t e s t hours or number of cycles, accomplished on Also, t o simplffy t h e load application, we
t h e bench t e s t stand, a r e converted d i r e c t l y into combine a l l t h e applied loads i n t o two or t h r e e
f l i g h t time. It i s only necessary t o explore them t e s t l e v e l s which can be applied f o r a c e r t a i n
statistically 5 and 5.4). We w i l l length of time. A t each t e s t l e v e l , t h e steady
show t h a t t h i s "ideal" is p r a c t i c a l l y inaccessible a i r l o a d is t h e meximum aeasured during any of the
because of t h e length o f t h e t e s t which it would flight conditions represented i n t h a t t e s t level.
be necessary t o run.
As in paragraph 3.1, an important margin has
I f t h e t e s t i n g i s accomplished on a heli- t o be taken i n t o consideration t o account f o r
copter on t h e ground or on a bench t e s t stand, i n s c a t t e r , but the number of t e s t hours has t o be
both caees t h e r a t i o between the bench t e s t stand divided by t h e proportion of those cases i n the
time and f l i g h t time are very n e a r l y unity. This a c t u a l helicopter spectrum. Because a well-
i s evident in the f i r s t case; in t h e second case designed helicopter blade has in general an
it is determined by the r o t a t i o n a l speed of t h e endurance l i m i t above t h e loads observed in
bench t e s t which is f i x e d i n general by consider-- f l i g h t and the proportion of high loads which
a t i o n s of blade n a t u r a l frequency. For example: generates f a t i g u e i s small, t h e p a r t i a l t e s t i n g
method w i l l r e q u i r e much l e s s t e s t i n g compared t o
Predominant blade frequency = 4w' and t h e d i r e c t t e s t i n g method. If, f o r example, in
Rotor RPM = 300 '%$ of t h e t o t a l time the l o a d s a r e l e s s than the
endurance l i m i t , t h i s method w i l l require t e n
Therefore, 4 x 300 = 1200 cycles per minute, which times l e s s t e s t i n g . Instead of 6 years, 7 months
may be compared with a r o t a t i o n a l speed of t h e w i l l be necessary, and with more than one t e s t
bench t e s t stand of 1003 t o 2000 RPM. stand only a few months w i l l be required. This
method can very w e l l be applied t o the helicopter
When t h e nu'ober of cycles accomplished is of Figure 2, if t h e blade endyurance l i m i t i s
very high, a s it w i l l be i n the case in which we found t o be around 70 or 80 m x kg.
a r e i n t e r e s t e d , we w i l l s e e l a t e r t h a t "scatter",
which affects f a t i g u e f r a c t u r e s , i s very important In e f f e c t , it is possible with an appreci-
and we must take a l a r g e margin of safety with able degree of s e c u r i t y t o estimate t h a t loads
r e s p c t t o f l i g h t hours. For example, 10 times of the order of 50 m x kg w i l l not a f f e c t blade
l e s s f l i g h t hours than on the bench t e s t stand f a t i g u e but, on the other hand, the t e s t a c c o e
might be a s u f f i c i e n t margin. To be of s i g n i f i c a n t plished a t 100 and 120 m x kg w i l l give soine
value, it w i l l be necessary t o t e s t a t l e a s t 4 or e a r l y f r a c t u r e s and t h e i r s t a t i s t i c a l i n t e r r r s -
5 elements, and preferably 10; therefore, it w i l l t a t i o n r i i l l be r e l a t i v e l y easy.
be concluded t h a t a t l e a s t 50 hours on the bench . .. .. . ~.--- .. . - .- .. - .-
t e s t stand on one element a r e necessary t o cover (1) Here i s introduced a p a r t of the hypothesis
1 hour of f l i g h t time. To guarantee 1003 f l i g h t of cummulative damage which is discussed l a t e r
hours with a c e r t a i n type of blade, 50,000 bench i n paragraph 4.
t e s t stand hours or 6 y e a r s on one element of t h e
However, t h i s w i l l often present some problems: It is possible t o add t o t h i s assumption
t h a t of the existence of an endurance l i m i t ;
(1) I f the applied loads are distributed in a
continuous manner, it may be d i f f i c u l t in a sure ,
or a l l values S < Soo N(S) is i n f i n i t e
way t o combine some conditions which are close t o and d m . To explain t h e experimental facts,
the endurance limit. I n order not t o be too opti- which a r e very often contradictory in metal
mistic, it i s necessary t o use a amall margin i n fatigue, t h i s i s the only simple assumption which
the considered cases by including in the t e s t some we can use. It Is c e r t a i n t h a t t h i s assumption
conditions which a r e s l i g h t l y under the endurance is not true. The assumption ignores, in e f f e c t
limit. The percentage of the conditions entered deliberately, the beneficial influences of loads
in the t e s t i n g w i l l increase and therefore the s l i g h t l y below or above the endurance l i m i t level,
t e s t w i l l be longer. applied f o r a limited time ("understressing" or
"cverstressing", which produce a c e r t a i n adapta-
(2) I f t h e maximum loads encountered in f l i g h t , t i o n of the material). However, a l l the other
which a r e generators of fatigue, are not f a r above assumptions which have been proposed a r e more
the endurance l i m i t (20 t o 30 per cent, f o r ex- complicated and are no more representative of
ample), a c e r t a i n number of elements w i l l have an a c t u a l experience.
indefinite l i f e if the t e s t i n g i s stopped a t
70,000,000 cycles, the number a t which it is On t h e other hand, we can generally say
judged t h a t the load is l e s s than h endurance t h a t t h i s assumption i s conservative. I f we
l i m i t of the t e s t part considered.t(l7 This is apply t h e loads in an a r b i t r a r y fashion, t h e
due t o the endurance l i m i t dispersion i t s e l f . damage D a t fracture can reach 3 or 4. For
However, the a t a t i s t i c a l information furnished by c e r t a i n very particular cases only the damage a t
a t e s t part which has not fractured is very irr- fracture\drops t o 1 (constant load! and also can
f e r i o r t o t h a t furnished by a fracture (the lnfor- decrease t o 0.5. This is the case of large loads
mation on dispersion, in particular, is negligible) which open a fatigue crack, followed by some low
and the s t a t i s t i c a l analysis of the f r a c t w e d and loads, which f i n a l l y break t h e blade, once the
i n t a c t t e s t elementa i s made much more d i f f i c u l t . crack i s open, and t o give a value of D a t frac-
t u r e smaller than 1.
4. Indirect Method Based on Research from the
WOHLER Curve This assumption enables us t o separate
completely t h e measurement of loads in f l i g h t and
The d i r e c t method discussed above enables us the t e s t t o be accomplished t o measme blade
t o determine blade l i f e without c a l l i n g upon the endurance l i f e on the bench t e s t stand.
use of fatigue theories. The simplified method
of " p a r t i a l testing" requires knowledge of the The r e s u l t s of these two types of
endurance limit. This enables us t o group the measurements are combined t o calculate the corres-
f l i g h t conditions which have loads l e s s than t h i s ponding damage in o n e hour of f l i g h t , and, there-
l i m i t and t o eliminate them in order t o abbreviate fore, the number of f l i g h t hours which w i l l lead
the t e s t . t o I!-1 (fracture).
*
1. Each application of dN cycles a t l e v e l S t r a c e a diagram, an "inferior l i m i t " WHLER curve,
creates in the blade an elemental damage: i.e., the limiting curve where the probability of
f r a c t u r e is small and constant.
d.D = Rigorously, one sees t h a t for each l e v e l
, Where N(S) is the number of cycles necessary t o
produce fractures a t the constant l e v e l S (WOHLER of load we a r e lead t o repeated testing, eimilarly
curve). as in the preceding methods (paragraph 3).
2. The blade w i l l break when the damage i s Because there a r e many levels of loads
equal t o 1. instead of only one, the t e s t s have t o be more
numerous. Since there w i l l always be only a
limited number of specimens, it is absolutely
J necessary t o r e l a t e each specimen and the prcba-
(1) Number admitted f o r l i g h t alloys. b i l i t i e s of fracture a t various load l e v e l s by a
formula having a m i n i m u m number of parameters. perfectly proven, it is not in contradiction with
The parameters w i l l , or w i l l not be affected by tb experience. It has the further advantage of
dispersion, and the t e s t points w i l l be u t i l i z e d simplicity.
t o estimate them.
4.2.3 Relative Imuortance of Fatieue
4.2.1 Mean Value Characteristics on Blade Damaee
-24-
mathematical endurance l i m i t i e zero, a s this
9
itf it is necessary t o take t h e corresponding, time
case. I n effect, if F1 is greater than 10 or 10 , from t h e curve and to multiply by oc .lo (see
t h e correeponding damage becomes negligible in the Appendix I ) . The calculation of such a curve is
8Um made in Figure 6A f o r t h e helicopter of Figure 2.
The curve FQwe 6B has t o be smoothed, t h e angles
originate from.the f a c t t h a t the loads have been
. . locallzed a t c e r t a i n levels, t h i s has no phyeical
and it is possible t o t a l k of a p r a c t i c a l endur- significance. The graph shows c l e a r l y the
ance limit. This formula (7) represents very influence of the parameter &e which j u s t i f i e s
poorly the curved segment which is p r a c t i c a l l y considering t h i s t o be the principal parameter.
the only one we are interested in. Therefore, it
has t o be eliminated. It remains f o r us t o 4.3 Determination of Fatieue Characteristics
chooee between:
The t e s t s aim t o determine the parameters
discussed in paragraph 4.2, i.e., and its disper-
sion, a l s o oc , and eventually jj
Two methods a r e utilized.
, etc ....
4.3.1 Method of Constant Load
-
sary t o divide the sum of t h e squares of the
e r r o r s by ( n l ) in order t o g e t the theoretic-
a l l y most probable variance. I f the value depends
points, and of determining the mean dispersion of
these t e s t points. The parameters Sot and oC
of the mean s t r a i g h t l i n e are chosen so t h a t the
on a parameter d which is estimated t o be the d i s p r s i o n on Sg is a minimum.
best, it is necessary t o divide by ( n 2 ), and
so forth. Each new parameter t o be estimated,
-
The s t a t i s t i c a l methods explained
therefore, neutralizes one test. There is an l a t e r permit the calculation of t h e safe value of
optimum number of parameters t o be taken, which ,
Soo the WDHLER curve "Inferior Limit" is
w i l l increase with the number of available t e s t s . computed from the same formula:
4.3.3.2 Advantaees of t h e
Method of I n c r e a s i n e Load over the Method of
or Z=J& Constant Load
so N b ) (1) There a r e no elements which l a s t i n d e f i n i t e l y .
It can be seen t h a t '6
is t h e a r e a between the I n t h i s , t h e r e is a very g r e a t advantage. I n
a x i s of S and the curve S = I1t.1 ( ~ i g u r e9 ) . e f f e c t , it is necessary t o have a few t e s t p o i n t s
The s t a r k g l e v e l should be be1;w the-endurance very c l o s e t o t h e endurance l i m i t . I n the method
l i m i t . It is, therefore, necessary t o know a t of constant load, a good proportion of t h e
t o start from So :0 .
l e a s t i t s order of magnitude before t e s t i n g , or elements eo t e s t e d w i l l go t o 70,000,000 cycles
without breaking. The s t a t i s t i c a l a n a l y s i s is
very d i f f i c u l t , and t h e information furnished by
Assuming t h a t St :f (E) is
l i n e a r , t h i s amounts t o assuming t h a t t h e WOHTSR
an i n t a c t element is i n f e r i o r t o t h a t furnished
by a f r a c t u r e d element. ( I n p a r t i c u l a r , 100
curve i s l i n e a r i n ,
because t h e above a r e a i n t a c t elements a t any l e v e l of load w i l l f u r n i s h
is, therefore, Nproportional t o the square information on dispersion).
of S,. - S- . It has been seen t h a t f o r t h e
curved segment of t h e WOHLER curve, t h i s assump (2) The method of increasing load i s f a s t e r .
t i o n was as well v e r i f i e d a s any other. This is n o t an i n t r i n s i c consequence of the method.
The number of cycles necessary t o obtain f r a c t u r e
The correspondence between t h e is, in e f f e c t :
curves i s SI. r & ( I +s)
f o r the
N=oc 3- - for constant load,
WOHLER curve, and
s,. = S, +i2Z-~
f o r t h e curve of increasing load. Knowled e of =
3, - S ,
- for increasing load
t h e last curve g i v e s S, and j d
from which we can deduce the WOHLER curve. It is (The symbol 7 i s taken if one starts from
possible t o c a l c u l a t e t h e d i s p e r s i o n on Soo in S, c s, 1.
a manner s i m i l a r t o the one employed i n 4.3.1.
The method of increasing load t h u s f u r n i s h e s t h e This number is t h e r e f o r e t h e o r e t i c a l l y doubled
same parameters a s the method of constant load,
i.e. Sd , eC , and t h e dispersion of S a
I n t h i s method a l s o it i s advantageous t o start
. with the method of increasing load if one seeks
an analogous f r a c t u r i n g level. However, very
o f t e n t h e l e v e l of f r a c t u r e with the method of
with a t e s t a t a high r a t e of increasing load increasing load w i l l be higher, and, on t h e other
from S s 0 i n order t o be able t o f r a c t u r e hand, t h e time l o s t doee n o t come from t h e f a c t
r a p i d l y the f i r s t t e s t elements in order t o t h a t the t e s t s up t o 2 o r 3 m i l l i o n s of cycles
deduce an approximate endurance l i m i t . The sub- w i l l demand 4 or 5, but r a t h e r from t h e number of
sequent elements are t e s t e d a t lower r a t e elements which have t o be t e s t e d i n the neighbor-
s t a r t i n g from a l e v e l s l i g h t l y below t h i s endur- hood of t h e endurance l i m i t and which, due t o t h e
ance l i m i t so a s t o a b b r e v i ~ t ethe t e s t s . dispersion of t h i s l i m i t , w i l l last 70 m i l l i o n
cycles without f r a c t u r e .
4.3.3 Com~arisonof t h e two Methods
The foreign engineers who employ t h i s method
The two methods have the aim of claim a reduction i n t e s t time of 5 or 10 times.
This implies choosing % l a r g e enough, however,
and the dispersion of Sot .
determining t h e same c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s , Soo ,oC
Then it i s possible not t o be t o o convenient, because the form of
of the WOHLER curve is not verified a b o v e s t 2 L . I f p and /\ were known, the problem
would be immediately solved by reading the table.
The dispersion which i s found f o r Soo may be The solution is:
rather inexact. In practice, the method of
increasing load w i l l be e f f e c t i v e l y f a s t e r than
the one of constant load. Its application w i l l
c e r t a i n l y be interesting i f the necessary t e s t and when I affirm t h a t -
bench is not much more expensive than the t e s t
f o r example ) .
bench f o r constant load (up t o twice as expensive,
- -
I am c e r t a i n of my statement. However, i n
5. S t a t i s t i c a l Analysis and A are not known; I only have
- .-
The t a b l e gives the r e l a t i o n between kr and r . d i f f e r e n t functions k(r,n) .
view where we stand, the s t a t i s t i c s furnish
It w i l l be seen
t h a t a t t h i s l e v e l a c e r t a i n degree of arbitra-
t i o n remains. The Table of Figure 11 reproduces
the function k ( r ,n) given by the methoa or
"Coefficient and Confidence" a t 908. the r e s u l t s of paragraph 5.1, it would be neces-
know the probability law of S, up t o
This problem is closely r e l a t e d t o the a t least.
one which is given t o us. Two points s t i l l
remain t o be defined f o r its application: The example of Figure 12 w i l l permit us
t o understand this. The diagram consists of a
(1) which r i s k P can we judge t o be graduation of the normal probability law on the
acceptable? ordinate, and on the abscissus, the endurance
limits of an 5-55 blade element computed from
(2) Does the variable x obey the normal 26 t e s t s . The l a t t e r graduation is logarithmic.
law? It can be seen t h a t the t e s t d a t a follow very
well a s t r a i g h t l i n e ; but, it can also be under-
5.2 Acceutable Risk
I n the f i x a t i o n of t h e r i s k , it is
below p
near p = lo
.
stood t h a t an extrapolation of t h i s s t r a i g h t l i n e
is already very audacious and t h a t
the graph does not give any answer.
necessary t o consider t h e point of view of the Even if the abscissus were not graduated in l o g L
organization responsible f o r helicopter safety. but i n &+,
or the t e s t data would
I n most cases, the government i s responsible f o r s t i l l be a s well in l i n e (if not b e t t e r ) ,
it. The r i s k of seeing a blase break has t o be because a l l these graduations can be considered
very small and constant regardless of the number a s equivalent i n the neighborhood of a mean value,
of helicopters in service. A t o t a l r i s k of one but our ignorance w i l l be a s e a t on the position
in a thousand seems reasonable; f o r each blade of t h i s curve toward p =lo -IF.
the r i s k has t o be smaller a s t h e number of
f l y i n g helicopters increases. (1) Is the decrease accomplished i n
log S- or I ?
Example:
(2) Is there a threshold under which the
Number of blades probability w i l l become rigourously
in service 10 100 1000 10,000 zero?
value furnished
by the normal law
in percentage of 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
A s we have seen t h a t
already pessimistic, t h e function X (
should f i n a l l y be the b e s t adapted.
%f: YN
the mean value
5.L.2 Very often, it happens in the
sorrected value d i r e c t method t h a t the t e s t elements l a s t indef-
qO 80 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 i n i t e l y without fracture. Their i n t e r p r e t a t i o n
i n percentage
is very delicate. The s t a t i s t i c a l method, i n
the form which we have discussed, does not permit
This t a b l e may seem very a r b i t r a r y in its form. us t o take these i n t o account. I n particular,
We have seen above t h a t any other assumptions were the mixing of fractured and non-fractured elements
also perfectly arbitrary. A t l e a s t , t h i s has the w i l l not permit finding a function such a s k(r,n).
advantage of honesty and w i l l not leave any
i l l u s i o n s with respect t o its value t o any one who A graphical analysis is, i n any
w i l l use it. I n practice, I think, t h i s w i l l be case, possible with the method of similitude.
satisfactory. I n effect, the usu 1 dispersions Here we propose t o t r y t o determine a mean value
(standard deviations)on SOOare 2 lu$ (between
7 and 15%), and the margin t o take is i n the order
and a standard deviation keeping count of these
non-fractured elements but considering only the
of 8 times the dispersion (between 5 and 15). The number of f r a c t u r e t e s t s i n order t o apply the
safe value of Se w i l l , therefore, be in general method of the c o e f f i c i e n t of confidence.
around 60% of i t s mean value and w i l l vary between
5V% and 7 B . The corresponding endurance l i v e s Figure l4!3 shows a graduation i n
are reasonable. & .
It can be observed t h a t if it obeys the
normal law and t h a t if the mean value i s high
These percentages are somewhat similar t o enough (lo7, f o r example), t h e r e is a c e r t a i n
those encountered in the case of s t a t i c strength number of elements which w i l l have an i n d e f i n i t e
calcillations, although in the case of the f a t i g u e life.
no experimental r e s u l t s can substantiate t h i s
judgement. The t e s t points located "beyond
i n f i n i t y " a r e not accessible from exparience,
5.1, w a t i o n t o the Direct Method and t o but t h e i r proportions a r e known and t h i s i s
the Method of " P a r t i a l Testing" s u f f i c i e n t t o compute the mean value and the
standard deviation.
We have u n t i l now discussed the endurance
l i m i t S, and its dispersion furnished by methods The calculation w i l l be accom-
based on the W 9 H L a curve. The s t a t i s t i c a l plished i n the following manner:
analysis f o r the d i r e c t metnods of paragraph 3 is
conducted i n a similar fashion w i t n , however, We calculate the m a n value and the standard
some peculiarities. deviation of the fractured points a s if they were
alone, then we u t i l i z e t h e t a b l e i n Figure l4A.
function r ( N ) .
5.4.1 F i r s t , we have t o determine the
A s f o r S, we can t r a c e an
analogous curve t o the one of Figure 12: r; & g ~
I n the f i r s t column appears the
proportion of the t e s t f r a c t u r e s observed.
seems t o obey the normal law very well up t o Column "A" gives the magnification f a c t o r t o
p r o b a b i l i t i e s of the order of If we admit, apply t o the obtained standard deviation.
i n effect, t h a t the WOHLER curves of equal Column "B" indicates how much it w i l l be necessary
probability are S ;Soo ( l + 5) we can deduce from t o increase the obtained mean value, i n u n i t s of
.
it a r e l a t i o n between the functions % ( S . s )
and x ( N )
t h e standard deviation a s modified by the pre-
ceding magnification factor.
2
and we adopt the value of which gives the
minimum standard deviation of Ss.r . Methods of E s t i m a t k Parameters
Eere oC = 0.5 x lo6
It has been seen in Par. 5.1 how the problem
The corresponding values of S e are: of ~ a r a m e t e restimation has been presented. An
a r b i t r a r y variable x i s supposed t o obey a c e r t a i n
115.5 125.5- - 113.2 - 127.5 - 100 - prooability law depending on several parameters
(here, the normal law with mean p and standard
133.3
and the mean value of S, is In = 119 deviation A ). Tests having given t o t h i s vari-
able the value XI, X2.. .Xn with m a n value m and
standard deviation 1. Are c e r t a i n values o f p
;-I\.
The standard devintion is:
and A more probable than others, and what sense
I, i s it necessary t o a t t r i b u t e thoae p r o b a b i l i t i e s
of )A. and A ? ( ~ r o b a b i l i t i a sof the causes).
-
and the m i s t probable dispersion:
According t o the point of view where we stand,
we can find various r e s u l t s ; t h i s may appezr
astonishing. This paradoxal aspect comes mainly
(observe t h a t we neutralize one t e s t because we from the f a c t t h a t we i n s t i n c t i v e l y consider p
have a parameter oC independent of S a and A a s a r b i t r a r y variables when they are para-
t o be calculated. We divide, therefore, the meters (which have an unhown value but well
X
standard deviation by determined). The t e s t s
and not on p and A
,
. are accomplished on r,
It i s possible, a s func-
and not @ t i o n s o f p and A t o accomplish a l l the prob-
a b i l i t y calculations which we want on x and on
The diagram of Fig. 15 gives us, for 1.00 functions of Y. (we know t h a t ~ r n + and€k?:Aw,
blades i n service: n = 6 - 1 = 5 and a disper- but the way the problem is presented, an expression
such a s E p- has no sense. )
sion of 11.38, therefore, a percentage of 558 or
6 5 . 5 m x k g f o r a safe value of S, . (1) BAY= METHOD
By t r a n s l a t i n g t h i s value t o the curve of
Fig. 6A, we f i n d H around 400 hours. To obtain The f i r s t point of view, which is inetinc-
the service l i f e , it is necessary now t o multiply tiVely the One cited above.
by
with N -
oC r I
loz-&&
-' (because Fig. 64. i s established
p t e a d of Y ;d
Here d. = 0.5 x 10 from which the 1 e is
po0
. To consider )* and A a s a r b i t r a r y variables
is, therefore, t o a t t r i b u t e t o them a probability
~ n n
L
-..
-.
.
a t e s t - o n p and A .
law a p r i o r i . A t e s t on r is therefore i n d i r e c t l y
Therefore, the theorem of
DAYES allows us t o a t t r i b u t e t o p and h
a probability law a p o s t e r i o r i , depending both on be put i n t o t h e form keA such t h a t the
the lnw a p r i o r i and on the r e s u l t s of experience. affirmation n k t - r a is exact i n 9 cases
j++-
If d~ tP, A) is a p r i o r i the d i s t r i b u t i o n out of 10 (or 9.5 o r q 9 ) ; from t h i s 1 deduce
t h a t the affirmation
Jfd~(yc,A).~and P ( p , A , m 1 8 ) d m d e the
probability t h a t t e s t experience gives m and 1
i f the parameters are p,~ n dA ,
t h e law 4:p-krX a m n-I
a p o s t e r i o r i is
w i l l be t r u e a s often, and I thus have i n
- P()I,*.I
dFQ(p,~) 8 )AF(C~I) m-d%
i n a certa
a l m r l i m i t of p - * P A
percentage of cases which I w i l l c a l l
JJp(+,~,m,~,dx(w,A) coeff l c i e n t of confidence (908, 95% or 95%). We
The choice of the function a p r i o r i is q u i t e
arbitrary.
note t h a t the " W e r e n c e " given is absolutely
independent of any a p r i o r i law on p and A .
BAYES assumes t h a t when we don't have any ( 4 ) Comparison of the Three Methods
and A a p r i o r i , it is neceesary t o
a l l valuee of p and A a r e a p r i o r i The three rmthods presented above can be
equally probable (law of symmetry). materialized in t a b l e form, similar t o the one of
Figure 11. The t a b l e s a r e d i f f e r e n t , depending
Independently of the f a c t t h a t t h i s intro- on the method and the c o e f f i c i e n t s introduced.
duces some mathematical d i f f i c u l t i e s in the case
where the i n t e r v a l of v a r i a t i o n i s i n f i n i t e A deeper numerical study would be necessary
(df (+,A) =O everywhere except a t inf hity),one in order t o f i n d under what conditions resemblance
sees t h a t t h i s assumption is very arbitrary. I f of t h e t a b l e s is maximum. I have noted, f o r
we don't know anything a b o ~ ttb and A , we example, t h a t the "likelihood" method gave t h e
know nothing of )A' and h also. The resu1.t same r e s u l t s a s t h a t of the c o e f f i c i e n t of con-
i s d i f f e r e n t , depending on whether wf apply the fidence, with three t e a t s f o r 90% and seven t e s t s
BAYES method t o p , X orto p , XL . for 998, and t h a t it was more optimistic f a l e s a
t e s t s and vice versa.
If we don't accept the axiom of BAYES, we
can employ other methods by introducing another Whenever the number of t e s t s i s greater than
inference d i s t i n c t from the concept of probabil- or equal t o 2, he B A Y S method i s applicable;
ity. althoughJJd~ p, A ) i s i n f i n i t e , d F being
uniform cver the e n t i r e r a n g e , j j P & ~ ( p , r \ ) is
(2) METHOD OF "LIKELIHM)Dn or "Fiduciarv Method"
m .fi
law of &. , P(s) is Gown, t i e r e f o r e , the one of
Xi/, and
therefore. the one of m - k t 1
tL=
C,\XLhrn)' and,
I then know
,
199 de 1955.
ALLEN-RICE a t STULEN -
(parsons Corp. ):
the matbekatical expectationvok"-' m k t l r Design, Uevelopment production
and of i t s standard deviation. 'G and servicing of rotor bl.ades -
The Journal of the Helicogter
I ca? therefore find a number A (which can Association of Great B r i t a i n
-2
volume 9 NO 2 - October t the
t.~.-
ha. . ~ m e~c i s-i o n of the calculation is mediocre.
A differek& of 20% or 30% in the endurance l i f e
1955.
i s without phvsical sienificance a s well a s the
Statistics -KENNEDY - A method f o r determining the 75% f a c t o r of F.A.A.
Par. - These are o1.d methods of blade testing. Par. 5.2 and 5.3 -
It is because the r i s k has t o
be negligible t h a t the problem of in r p r e t a t on
They ore not u t i l i z e d any more, and t h i s para-
graph has only a retrospective i n t e r e s t . becomes verv delicate. A r i s k of 10- or 10
~ ~~ ~
% -3
has no physical s i g n i f i c a n c e i n cur thinking, but
Par. 4.2.2 -Here, there is an important remark we a r e forced t o u t i l i z e t h i s i n the calculation.
(See Figure 6). The margin t o take on the loads
is: The reduction of the margin which the appli-
--
1 bportant.
2 D i f f i c u l t t o estimate.
cation of the normal law would require us t o use,
i s arbitrary.
-
3 Of such a g r e a t influence on the r e s u l t
Let us remind ourselves t h a t in the present -
2 taking the safe curve (working curve) a s
one-third of the mean curve, If we ollly have one
method it means:
t e s t , or 1/2.5 for two t e s t s , and 1/2 f o r 3 t e s t s .
-
1. t h a t the normal law is applied from the
mean value of the strength obtained down t o 70%
This method is somewhat similar t o the one mo-
posed bv F.A.A.. but the f a c t o r s on the a ~ ~ l i e d
of i t s value, in e f f e c t , considering t h i s region loads are much more severe,
t o be well known experimentally and t h a t the
associated p r o b a b i l i t i e s are not "very" small.
2. -
t h a t below 35% of the mean value, the It must be s t a t e d t h a t the p r i n c i p ~ ldiffi-
probability i s rigorously equal t o zero. The c u l t y i n the endurance l i f e calculation of a
existence of t h i s threshold has some s i m i l a r i t y v i t a l element l i e s i n the very small r i s k with
t o the F.A.A. r u l e , which eliminates a require- which it i s necessary t o reason.
ment f o r fatigue t e s t s where it can be proven by
calculation t h a t the elements are working a t loads The smallness of t h i s r i s k forbids us from
l e s s than one-third of the endurance l i m i t of giving any value t o endurance t e s t s performed a t
simjlar assemblies (Goodman diagram). f l i g h t loads, a s well a s from service experience.
For example, i f the calculation has been accom-
3. -
t h a t between 359 and 70% we apply a l i n e a r
reduction of the margin t o be taken. r i s k should be in the order of 10- 6 The exper-.
plished in R s u f f i c i e n t l y cautious manner, the
-
This t a b l e summarizes a p r a c t i c a l nethod
and we u t i l i z e it without having any i l l u s i o n s a s
t o the precision which it seems t o give.
-
1 tracing the mean s t r a i g h t l i n e on the
diagram S , t h r u the t e s t p o h t s and
estimating a p r i o r i the slope (or the value N, )
from some past test- of similar parts.
FIGURE 10A
NORMAL LAW
Factor Robability o f being less than r
0.48 . . . . . ~ O - O . ~
1:ean curve
= 0.316
0.67. . . . -10-Os6 = 0.251
..... = 0.159
-
1
Dispersion
1.28 .... .lo-' 0.100
Safe Curve
1.85 ..... lo-l.5 = 0.032
"Inferior Linit"
2.32. . .lo-'
S, 1
B
4.265 ...
5.2 .... .lom7
FIGURE 4
og N
TABLE w k VLLUES ~mm
IN STW O ~ T I O WITS
H IN tmxcn k IS A
XImXTOH OF ALUMABLE RISK r *Nn -Ei OF I S T B n AmLISHm
-2.5
Emeu4B
$ of the E n d u ~ a n c eLimit
>,ern "el". and S correcten u ~ r m a lrrobability Law
a f t h e no-1 Lax i 7 r u
-
(Veluea in ~ a r e n c h e s i si n d i c a t e d normal l a w )
-2.0
1.5