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2. Deven Patil
Master of Business Administration,
Sinhgad Institute of Management, Pune.
deven.pdhfb19@sinhgad.edu
+91-9404334117
3. Shubham Jadhav
Master of Business Administration,
Sinhgad Institute of Management, Pune.
shubham.adhfb19@sinhgad.edu
+91-7276004842
Abstract—The automobile market in India is the fourth largest in the world. According to the Automobile Mission Plan
2016-2026 it is projected to be third largest, contributing 12% to the GDP. Under the automatic route, 100% FDI is permitted
along with full de-licensing (www.makeinindia.com). It is one of the core sectors and has rapidly grown post reforms. The
demand for vehicles has grown leaps and bounds. The automobile sector in India experienced a slow down due to prolonged
lockdown due to COVID-19. There was a 51% decline in the domestic sale of passenger vehicles according to the Society of
Indian Automobile Manufacturers. The trend of slowdown was observed in this industry before lockdown also. After the
announcement of phase-wise unlocking this sector experience a sharp rise in the demand. In this paper, the researchers are
making an attempt to analyze the growth and financial performance of selected automobile companies. Based on the
secondary data, the trend in growth quarterly sales, revenue and market cap has been studied. For financial performance, the
selected ratios are been calculated and compared. The reasons for growth and financial performance has been identified and
discussed by the researchers.
Keywords—Automobile, Financial Performance, Growth, India, Industry, Ratios, COVID-19, Slow down
I. INTRODUCTION
The $118 billion Indian automobile industry is the fourth largest in the world and is expected to be third largest in the world
by 2026. The industry currently manufactures 26 million vehicles including Passenger Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Three
Wheelers, Two Wheelers and Quadricycles in April-March 2020, of which 4.7 million are exported. India holds a strong
position in the international heavy vehicles arena as it is the largest tractor manufacturer, second-largest bus manufacturer and
third largest heavy trucks manufacturer in the world. The sector takes share of 7.1% in India’s GDP which employs more
than 35 million people. India's annual production has been 30.91 million vehicles in 2019 as against 29.08 million in 2018,
registering a healthy growth of 6.26%. Hence it becomes very important to study this sector when it is going through lot of
challenges like COVID-19 pandemic, India’s new emission norms, new crash test norms and rising commodity prices.
This research paper discusses top 3 Indian automobile manufacturers by market capitalization. They are Maruti Suzuki India
Ltd., Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. and Bajaj Auto Ltd. It examines the net sales, market capitalization and earnings per share
of last 10 quarters along with various ratios like current ratio, return on capital employed and debt to equity ratio to study
their ability to service short term liabilities, how efficiently invested capital is used and ability to pay their debt respectively.
Information about the companies is given below:
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (formerly Maruti Udyog Ltd) is India's largest passenger car company accounting for over 50% of
the domestic car market. The company offers full range of cars from entry level Maruti Alto to stylish hatchback Baleno,
Celerio, Swift, Wagon R and sedans DZire, Ciaz and Sports Utility vehicle Vitara Brezza. The company is a subsidiary of
Suzuki Motor Corporation of Japan. The Japanese car major held 56.21% stake in Maruti Suzuki as on 31 December 2017.
The company is engaged in the business of manufacturing purchase and sale of motor vehicles and spare parts (automobiles).
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. manufactures different range of automotive vehicles, agricultural tractors, implements and
industrial engines. It is the flagship company of the Mahindra group, operating in the global tractor industry and the Indian
utility vehicles market. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates in industries such as aerospace, aftermarket,
agribusiness, automotive, components, construction equipment, consulting services, defense, energy, farm equipment, finance
and insurance, industrial equipment, information technology, leisure and hospitality, logistics, real estate, retail, and two
wheelers. The company’s portfolio comprises of a wide spectrum of vehicles from two wheelers to heavy trucks, SUVs to
school buses. Its services include maintenance and repairs, customization, providing spares, and manufacturing and
engineering. The company specializes in consulting on automotive style, engineering, computer-aided engineering, and project
management. It also offers concept definition for two wheelers, passenger vehicles, and light and heavy trucks. The company
manufactures a wide range of light commercial vehicles and heavy commercial vehicles that are rugged, reliable,
environmentally friendly and fuel-efficient.
Bajaj Auto Ltd. manufactures and markets scooters, motorcycles and three-wheeler vehicles and related spare parts. Its
footprint stretches over a range of industries, spanning automobiles, home appliances, lighting, iron and steel, insurance, travel
and finance. The company operates its business through two segments: Automotive and Investments. It also operates in
Indonesia and Netherlands through its subsidiaries located in those regions. Bajaj Auto was founded in November 29, 1945 and
is headquartered in Pune, India. It is currently the largest three wheeler manufacturer in the world and the largest exporter of
two wheelers in India.
B. Source of data
Secondary data was used for the study and was considered more appropriate as financial performance of a company can be
determined by analyzing annual and quarterly reports shared by respective companies. Bloomberg Inc. was used to
streamline and maintain consistency in data collection process.
C. Selected Automobile Companies For Research Work
H0: There is no significant difference in Market Capitalization for selected automobile companies for a given period of
time.
H0: There is no significant difference in Net Sales for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
H0: There is no significant difference in Earnings per share for selected automobile companies for a given period of
time.
H0: There is no significant difference in Current Ratio for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
H0: There is no significant difference in Return on capital employed for selected automobile companies for a given
period of time.
H0: There is no significant difference in Debt-to-Equity ratio for selected automobile companies for a given period of
time.
H1: There is significant difference in Market Capitalization for selected automobile companies for a given period of
time.
H1: There is significant difference in Net Sales for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
H1: There is significant difference in Earnings per share for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
H1: There is significant difference in Current Ratio for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
H1: There is significant difference in Return on capital employed for selected automobile companies for a given period
of time.
H1: There is significant difference in Debt-to-Equity ratio for selected automobile companies for a given period of time.
V. ANALYSIS
A. Market Capitalization
Market capitalization refers to how much a company is worth as determined by the stock market. It is defined as the total
market value of all outstanding shares.
Formula:
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3
MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA LTD BAJAJ AUTO LTD
From above chart, we can see that market cap of all three companies declined continuously upto Q3 2020, due to
sluggish economic growth, hurt demand because of negative consumer sentiment & lack of liquidity in NBFC sector due to
IL&FS crisis. In Q4 2020, Indian automobile shares correct sharply due to imposition of nationwide lockdown because of
COVID-19 spread in India. Investores feared of steep fall in sales due to closure of showrooms and production of vehicles in
plants. From Q1 2021, India entered the unlock phase and majority of auto dealerships gradually recommenced
operations, OEMs recorded significant uptick in MoM wholesales. However, domestic sales for 2W / PV were still
30%/55% lower YoY. Since then, share prices and so market cap started rising continuously due to rising sales figures and
liquidity infusion by central banks.
TABLE III. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST FOR MARKET CAPITALIZATION OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
ANOVA
Source of P- F
Variation SS df MS F value crit
Between
Groups 6.53E+08 2.00 3.27E+08 25.27 0.00 3.35
Within
Groups 3.49E+08 27.00 1.29E+07
B. Net Sales
Net sales are the total revenue generated by a company, excluding any sales returns, allowances, and discounts.
TABLE IV. NET SALES (IN CRORE RUPEES) OF SELECTED COMPANIES AS OF 01/02/2021.
Above chart shows data of last 10 quarters. Here we can observe that net sales of all three companies were flat or declining in
all the quartes since Indian auto sector was going through slowdown during the period. The lockdown imposed due to COVID-
TABLE V. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST FOR NET SALES OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
Source of P-
Variation SS df MS F value F crit
Between
Groups 6.53E+08 2.00 3.27E+08 25.27 0.00 3.35
Within
Groups 3.49E+08 27.00 1.29E+07
Table V indicates the calculated value of 'F' is 25.27 and the table value of 'F' at 5% levels of significance is 3.35. So, the
calculated value 'F' which is more than the table value. It indicates that the Null Hypothesis is rejected and Alternate
Hypothesis is accepted. So, it indicates that there is significant difference in Net Sales of selected automobile companies under
study for the period.
EPS indicates how much money a company makes for each share of its stock, and is a widely used metric to estimate
corporate value.
Formula:
Year
MSIL MM BJAUT
Sep-18 74.19 13.9 39.83
80
60
40
Maruti
20 MM
BJAUT
0
-20
-40
Fig. 3. Line chart to depict earnings per share of selected automobile companies.
The above chart shows EPS graph of last 10 quarters. We can see that Sept. 2018 quarter was showing highest EPS of all 3
companies. It showed some growth in one or two quarters but it did not sustain. Mar. 2021 quarter showed sharp deep in EPS
due to almost zero sales for two months in lockdown. In Sep. 2020 it reached near to pre- COVid level. In Dec. 2020 Bajaj
Auto’s EPS touched 10 quarter high figure.
TABLE VII. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST FOR EARNINGS PER SHARE OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES
Total 16909.86 29
Degree of freedom = 30-1=29
Table Value of 'F' = 3.354
Calculate Value of 'F' = 23.541
Fcal > Ftab
23.541 > 3.354
Fcal > Ftab
Table VII indicates the calculated value of 'F' is 23.541 and the table value of 'F' at 5% levels of significance is 3.354. So, the
calculated value 'F' which is more than the table value. It indicates that the Null Hypothesis is rejected and Alternate Hypothesis is
accepted. So, it indicates that there is significant difference in Earnings per Share of selected automobile companies under study
for the period.
D. Current Ratio:
The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations or those due within one
year.
Formula:
Current assets
Current Ratio =
Current Liabilities
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
MSIL MM BJAUT
Generally, current ratio above 1 is considered as good. As per above chart, all companies have managed to maintain current
ratio more than 1 over period of 10 years except Maruti Suzuki. Its ratio fell below 1 in 2016 and still below the benchmark
until now. Bajaj Auto have maintained highest current ratio for given period.
TABLE IX. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST FOR EARNINGS PER SHARE OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
Source of P- F
Variation SS df MS F value crit
Between
Groups 2.28 2 1.141 6.33 0.006 3.35
Within
Groups 4.87 27 0.18
Total 7.15 29
80
60
40
20
0
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
MSIL MM BJAUT
Fig. 5. LINE CHART TO DEPICT RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
Source of P- F
Variation SS df MS F value crit
Between
Groups 3698 2 1849 23 0.00 3.35
Within
Groups 2170 27 80.38
Total 5869 29
TABLE XI. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST FOR RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
Table XI indicates the calculated value of 'F' is 23 and the table value of 'F' at 5% levels of significance is 3.35. So, the calculated
value 'F' which is more than the table value. It indicates that the Null Hypothesis is rejected and Alternate Hypothesis is accepted.
So, it indicates that there is significant difference in Return on Capital Employed of selected automobile companies under study
for the period.
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠
Debt to Equity Ratio =
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠’ 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
MSIL MM BJAUT
Here M&M is showing highest D/E due to its subsidiary business M&M Finance. Other two companies have very low debt
as compared to M&M. Bajaj Auto is outperformer in this category with lowest mean debt.
TABLE XIII. ONE WAY ANOVA TEST DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO OF SELECTED AUTOMOBILE COMPANIES.
Source of P- F
Variation SS df MS F value crit
Between
Groups 0.15 2 0.073 28.2 0.00 3.35
Within
Groups 0.07 27 0.003
Total 0.22 29
Table XIII indicates the calculated value of 'F' is 28.2 and the table value of 'F' at 5% levels of significance is 3.35. So, the
calculated value 'F' which is more than the table value. It indicates that the Null Hypothesis is rejected and Alternate Hypothesis is
accepted. So, it indicates that there is significant difference in Debt-to-Equity ratio of selected automobile companies under study
for the period.
VII. CONCLUSION
From the above study, we conclude that Indian auto sector is showing some early signs of recovery after going through
slowdown and COVID crisis. If we look at last two quarters’ revenue and EPS, the trend can be seen. As Indian economy
is recovering from first ever recession after independence, Indian automobile sector will continue to remain a major
contributor to India’s GDP. With announcement of Production Linked Incentive (PLI) by Government of India for
manufacturing sector, these three companies will be benefitted a lot and thereby improving their financial performance. All
the three companies studied are adopting to newer technologies like electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles, CNG etc. and these
technologies will constitute a larger share of their revenue in upcoming time. All three companies are also focusing on
exports which will diversify their dependence on single market. Bajaj Auto Ltd. is already India’s largest exporter of
motorcycles & three wheelers.
Overall, future of Indian auto sector looks bright and all three companies studied will continue to maintain their market
leadership in their respective segments.
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