nº Dt Ft (metodo 1) Ft (metodo 2) e1 e2 e1

43 43 40 0 -3 -5.81
8 25.5 25.5 17.5 17.5 -5.81
51 34 29.5 -17 -21.5 -5.81
8 27.5 29.5 19.5 21.5 -5.81
21 26.2 14.5 5.2 -6.5 -5.81
49 30 35 -19 -14 -5.81
64 34.9 56.5 -29.1 -7.5 -5.81
57 37.6 60.5 -19.4 3.5 -5.81
55 39.6 56 -15.4 1 -5.81
40 39.6 47.5 -0.4 7.5 -5.81

Ft1 Ft2
ME -5.81 -0.15
MAE 14.25 10.35
MAPE 1 0.635
MSE 282.40 160.38
DSE 16.80 12.66
e2 abs(e1) abs(e2) abs(e1)/Dt abs(e2)/Dt (e1^2) (e2^2)
-0.15 0 3 0 0.070 0 9
-0.15 17.5 17.5 2.188 2.188 306.25 306.25
-0.15 17 21.5 0.333 0.422 289 462.25
-0.15 19.5 21.5 2.438 2.688 380.25 462.25
-0.15 5.2 6.5 0.248 0.310 27.04 42.25
-0.15 19 14 0.388 0.286 361 196
-0.15 29.1 7.5 0.455 0.117 846.81 56.25
-0.15 19.4 3.5 0.340 0.061 376.36 12.25
-0.15 15.4 1 0.280 0.018 237.16 1
-0.15 0.4 7.5 0.010 0.188 0.16 56.25

Chart Title
30

20

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-10

-20

-30

-40

e1 e2 e1 e2
8 9 10
 nª Dt Ft(lineal) Ft(exponencial) Ft(logaritmica) Ft(Polinomica)
1 43 25.2 18.36 23.31 26.11
2 8 28.4 20.78 30.79 28.70
3 51 31.6 23.53 35.16 31.45
4 8 34.8 26.64 38.26 34.35
5 21 38 30.17 40.67 37.40
6 49 41.2 34.16 42.63 40.60
7 64 44.4 38.67 44.29 43.95
8 57 47.6 43.79 45.73 47.45
9 55 50.8 49.58 47.00 51.11
10 40 54 56.13 48.14 54.91

^
ft(polinomica grado 3) Ft(potencial)
41.12 17.60
Dt
23.70 23.18 70
18.94 27.24 60
23.27 30.55
33.10 33.38 50
44.88 35.90
40
55.02 38.17
59.94 40.25 30
56.09 42.18
20
39.88 43.99
10

0
0 2 4 6 8 1
Dt

6 8 10 12
nª Dt Resumen
1 43
2 8 Estadísticas de la regresión
3 51 Coeficiente d 0.47729146
4 8 Coeficiente d 0.22780714
5 21 R^2 ajustado 0.13128303
6 49 Error típico 18.9195666
7 64 Observacione 10
8 57
9 55 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
10 40 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 844.8
Residuos 8 2863.6
Total 9 3708.4

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 22 12.9245245
nª 3.2 2.08297573

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico Dt Residuos

1 25.2 17.8
2 28.4 -20.4
3 31.6 19.4
4 34.8 -26.8
5 38 -17
6 41.2 7.8
7 44.4 19.6
8 47.6 9.4
9 50.8 4.2
10 54 -14
 nª C
80
60
40

Dt
20
0
0 2

Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F

844.8 2.36010616 0.16302597
357.95

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
1.70219028 0.12713067 -7.80400692 51.8040069 -7.80400692 51.8040069
1.5362637 0.16302597 -1.60335064 8.00335064 -1.60335064 8.00335064

Residuos estándares
0.99789554
-1.14365556
1.08759401
-1.50244946
-0.9530463
0.43728007
1.09880632
0.52697854
0.2354585
-0.78486166
 nª Curva de regresión ajustada
80
60
40 Dt
Dt

Pronóstico Dt
20
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
nª