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Development from within: An evaluative research on economic development


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Article  in  GeoJournal · November 2006


DOI: 10.1007/s10708-007-9047-2

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222
DOI 10.1007/s10708-007-9047-2

Development from within: an evaluative research on


economic development strategies
Rosario Turvey

Published online: 11 April 2007


 Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007

Abstract Research on the practice of adopting local communities. The study findings offer some insights
economic development (LED) strategies is important into some perspectives of ‘development from within’
to understand our local world as it is and what it to mean the local economic development practice in
might be made to be as a place for community. This Canadian communities.
article on economic development strategies (EDS)
highlights the results from a survey of 82 small Keywords Development from within  Economic
communities representing the Yukon Territory and development strategies  Evaluative research and
ten provinces in Canada. The purpose was to evaluate local economic development
the positive and additive effects of past local action
and community initiatives so as to understand the
variation in the adoption of local economic develop- Introduction
ment strategies of Canada’s small towns and local
municipalities. Using a questionnaire as instrument Research on the development of small communities
for data collection, the study employed hierarchical has been a long-standing subject of Canadian studies
regression analysis and principal component analysis and economic geography, especially on issues and
(PCA) as method for factor extraction and composite challenges that concern sluggish growth, economic
assessment on the effects of adopting EDS for distress and decline in small communities, including
community. The PCA solution was applied to eval- single-industry and resource-based towns (Robinson
uate the structure of correlation between the commu- 1962; Lucas 1971; DREE 1979; Bradbury and St.
nity characteristics as control variables in the baseline Martin 1983; CEIC 1987; ARRG 1993). Studies on
model for regression analysis and the past local local development are most important to those
action and community initiatives as independent communities affected by structural changes in the
variables. The results of the hierarchical regression economy, those persistently shaped by ‘boom and
analysis showed that local initiatives have significant bust’ cycles, and those inherently vulnerable to
and additive effects on the adoption of EDS by small regional and global forces and pressures (e.g.,
resource towns and single-industry communities
(SICs)). However, despite a burgeoning literature
R. Turvey (&) on the study of small communities with spatial
Department of Geography and Geology, Nipissing interest on local development efforts, little attention
University, 100 College Drive, P.O. Box 5002, North Bay,
Ontario, Canada P1B 8L7 has been paid to the evaluation of economic devel-
e-mail: rosariot@nipissingu.ca opment strategies (EDS) put in place by Canadian

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communities. In the so-called ‘small town Canada’, policy. As a substantial policy framework, EDS or
small towns and SICs constitute a major part of LED strategies are meant to address contemporary
Canada’s economic and resource geography. Based economic issues in communities committed to stabi-
on Clemenson’s (1992, p. 31) work, a ‘single- lize and sustain their local economy. Although
industry community’ is defined as ‘‘a population structural differences in the economy exist in various
center with 30% or more of its labour force assigned regions, provinces and territories in Canada, no
to a single standard classification category.’’ Perti- empirical analysis of a large number of communities
nent literature invariably described small towns and exists to sufficiently indicate the effects of adopting
SICs as resource frontiers of Canada’s hinterland, as EDS.
vulnerable localities shaped by ‘boom and bust’ From the standpoint of small communities, an
cycles, and as places in the periphery faced by assessment research for establishing the positive,
uncertainty about the future (Gill 1994; Fletcher et al. additive effects of EDS is relevant, yet under-
1993; Hayter et al. 1994; Reed 1994). As an investigated. Policy makers, local government poli-
important part of Canada’s economic landscape, ticians, planners and economic managers all need
policy concerns have been raised about the future adequate information to appreciate their efforts of
of small communities with respect to their economic putting EDS in place, i.e., as a strategy for shaping
viability and sustainability (Clemenson 1992; Bryant local economic development in small communities.
1997). Insights from Canadian municipalities, in particular
In the context of Canada’s small communities, the small communities, to explain the variations in
local economic development (LED) practice has the adoption of EDS vis-à-vis local public involve-
grown significantly to deal with pressing issues ment deserve serious attention in evaluation research.
affecting the local economy and the community. Since studies on the subject remain undeveloped in
Over the past few decades, there is a widespread local development and resource geography, Bryant
support for LED to ameliorate problems, changes and (1997) has encouraged the conduct of an evaluative
challenges posed by economic restructuring, global research to include the development of ‘novel’
competition and rapid transformations in the world methodologies to measure the community’s efforts
economy. The fundamental and disruptive changes to adopt local initiatives (e.g., EDS). From an
brought about by the restructuring of labour markets assessment of past case studies, this research is
and production systems, and the spatial distribution needed to examine the variation of how LED
of business and industry have placed tremendous practitioners, local governments and development
difficulties on the part of the small communities organizations adopt LED strategies. Further, this
(Storey and Smith 1997). In the 1980s, a diversified evaluation research is deemed essential to examine
economic base, knowledge-based industries, high both the structural (community characteristics, e.g.,
technology and productivity, flexible labour market economic structure) and the dynamic factors such as
and new labour practices formed the basis of a new ‘past local action’ as factors for taking on LED
economy (ERC 1993; Storey and Smith 1997). In strategies in small communities.
attempts to adjust to changes in the new economy, This article is about an evaluative research on the
promote local development and sustain the local adoption of economic development strategies (EDS)
economy, the policy and practice of local economic for small town development within the framework of
development are central to the development of many LED. Small town development is articulated here to
localities in Canada and elsewhere. In conceptual promote ‘development from within’ as a sum of
terms, LED is synonymous with bottom-up develop- endogenous efforts involving past action and local
ment and local initiatives for community planning initiatives by various actors involved in the local
and program development (ECC 1990; Bryant and planning, development and management of a locality.
Preston 1990; Barnes and Hayter 1994; Nel et al. Based on a survey research in 2003, the paper
2001; Stohr and Taylor 1981). In policy development highlights the results of assessing the factors and
terms, Canada’s local authorities engaged in LED variables that influenced the EDS adoption by small
practice claim to have an economic development communities across Canada. For this purpose, small
strategy (EDS) at the heart of their local development communities include towns and municipalities

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 209

outside the community zone of Canada’s larger urban survey is discussed, followed by a summary of
areas, with a population of no more than 30,000. The research findings, analysis and conclusion.
conduct of this evaluative research is deemed imper-
ative, not just to fill a research gap but for establish- The traditional approach to economic
ing the relationship and effects of community development policy
dynamics between past action and local initiatives
in communities with economic development strate- Since the early part of the 20th century, the conven-
gies in place. The study is focused on small tional economic development approach in Canada
communities with LED strategies in attempts to has been called ‘regional development’ given its
bring together the theory and practice of LED by focus on enhancing specific regions and areas that
using community accounts of objectives, rationale, were geographically and economically marginal
role and experiences in shaping their ‘local worlds.’ (Hayter 1997; Savoie 2000; McMahon 2000). In the
A nationwide evaluation of development strategies literature, ‘regional development’ pertains to the
within the framework of local development could central government’s policies and programs to meet
shed light on resolving the question of promoting the development needs of lagging regional economies
growth and development in small town Canada. and places with economic hardships and decline. By
Based on the survey from which this paper was central government means the federal, provincial and
drawn, the LED approach has gained acceptance to the entire machinery for regional development such
local government and development circles given as departments and regional agencies. In regional
the propensity of local economies to adopt EDS development policy terms, the central government
and implement concrete programs of action. To invariably extended development support to regions
many communities, the process for community led in the form of subsidies, equalization transfers and
initiatives by Canada’s small towns and SICs is project grants. Although past regional policy reflected
central to local development in areas committed to national economic policy frameworks, the prime
transform their economic landscape. To lay the purpose was to promote economic health and well-
groundwork for the survey, an assessment frame- being in certain regions to reduce economic dispar-
work was proposed as basis for variance explana- ities, especially in lagging or less developed
tion on ‘EDS’ adoption in small Canadian regions—whether for social justice or redistribution
communities. As employed in several Canadian of growth patterns and economic activity in space.
communities and elsewhere, a standard strategic Compared to communities south of the border, this
planning process for LED involves framing strat- Canadian approach somewhat mirrors the economic
egies to expand the community’s revenue base, tap development policy experience in the US where
endogenous resources, improve social services and policy prescriptions targeted ways to transform the
promote entrepreneurship, innovation, and grass- economic landscape given their overarching concerns
roots participation. But first is a review of the on uneven development and economic slowdowns if
intellectual history of the field before a discussion not distress (Glasmeier 2000).
of the survey results.
Local economic development: the Canadian way

Regional and local economic development Local economic development (LED) in Canada is
evolving and continually modified in light of local
To set the study context, this section highlights the circumstances and the prevailing forces within par-
economic development policy experience in Canada ticular places, regions and the world economy. This
at two geographic scales: the regional and local (e.g., section provides a discussion of LED based on a
small towns/cities). In both cases, the discussion synthesis of current approaches that define it and the
focuses on the development policy prescriptions with emerging issues that are central to its concerns. The
emphasis on the latter. After a brief review of the notion of LED is variously tied with anything
literature on Canadian regional and local economic ‘local’—from capacity building to community par-
development policy, the research model for the ticipation and development intervention. At the

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outset, LED is a complement to the conventional top- nities with self-development strategies have potential
down, regional development approach to policy to increase local economic vitality (Green et al. 1990;
(ECC 1990). In Canada and elsewhere, three themes Korching and Allen 2004). Self-development strate-
dominate LED research and policy. First, local gies in the American communities included projects
economic development is called ‘bottom-up initia- concerned with efforts by local organizations, invest-
tives’ as locally inspired efforts to promote entrepre- ment of local resources and promotion of local
neurship at the community level or neighborhoods entrepreneurship.
within urban areas—in terms of local agency in Third is an emphasis upon local development as
policy, research and development (Bryant and Pres- well as entrepreneurial perspectives. One is Harvey’s
ton 1990; ECC 1990; Hayter 1997). Coffey and (1989) recognition of a shifting trend in policy
Polese’s (1985) four-stage model of a bottom-up orientation from managerialism to entrepreneurialism
approach to economic development focused upon in cities and communities. The managerialist trend
local entrepreneurship by which endogenous factors that focuses on service provision and tax reduction
provide the necessary condition for growth—the shifted to an entrepreneurialist orientation that
entrepreneur and human capital are important factors actively promotes local economic development (Har-
for local development. In stressing the role of vey 1989; Hayter 1997). Like Coffey and Polese
individuals and institutions, the bottom-up approach (1985); Carvallo and Smith (1992) advocated the
seeks to broaden community involvement in LED bottom-up approach that fosters local entrepreneur-
that values local participation and popular input in ship to stimulate growth and economic progress.
terms of action, policies and institutions. Specifically, Economic development has been adopted for centu-
Bryant’s (1987) framework listed three key LED ries because people chase jobs and income opportu-
dimensions and asserted elements of community nities while communities seek local prosperity. With
involvement, namely goal and objective setting, the variability and dynamism of LED, different ‘local’
strategy selection and implementation, selection and models may evolve in relation to local situations and
use of local resources. challenges. In the traditional LED model, the devel-
Second is the importance of strategic planning in opment of local economies is anchored upon the
local economies (Bryant and Preston, 1990). As a stimulation and retention of business and employment
strategic planning process, Bryant and Preston (1990, through its export-base and other engines of the
p. 4) defined LED within the planning framework as economy. LED may also be developmental through
‘‘a process with a purpose, viz. influencing the efforts to diversify the economy, or structural through
patterns of growth, decline and restructuring of its linkages with the sectoral, regional and national
economic activity to meet the community’s needs strategies (Lovering 1988). The articulation and
and objectives more effectively.’’ In adopting a two- nature of LED often reflected the adoption of devel-
stage planning oriented model, LED is ‘‘an endog- opment strategies and initiatives in local communi-
enous process of transforming the local economy ties. Those communities with EDS tend to combine
through the use of planning and implementation tools the traditional, developmental and structural
and techniques’’ (Turvey 1996, p. 2). The focus on approaches—from marketing the community to
planning and advisory functions of local agencies for recruiting new industries and residents, and promoting
local community economic development is to address small businesses for job creation, broader tax base,
questions of equity, need for loan and technical growth promotion and development to sustain the
assistance, resource employment and appropriate community’s quality of life and vitality.
development model (Lewis 1994). By comparison, One example is a case study in British Columbia
Canada’s state of local economic affairs is quite (BC, Canada) that explored how small, rural
similar to many rural communities south of the resource-based communities coped with the many
Canadian border because they experienced the same challenges posed by an industry closure such as
difficulties in maintaining community economic sudden job losses and concerns for the community’s
vitality and/or in promoting growth or development future. The results from this BC case study were
(Korching and Allen, 2004). Evidence from rural presented at the 2006 World Urban Forum on
communities in the US indicates that small commu- Sustainable Cities to draw attention to the ways

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 211

community stakeholders managed their transition initiatives model’. As dependent variables, ‘LED
from industry closure to community recovery or strategies’ refer to the strategies for the promotion of
resiliency (Walisser et al. 2006). The authors stressed business and industry, tourism and recreation-related
the important lessons learned by the small commu- activities, creation and expansion of community
nities to cope with major community challenges and services (Table 2). The purpose was to assess whether
threats from either natural disasters or human- ‘past local actions’ (in terms of community organi-
induced events. Of the four valuable lessons, the zation, planning and community engagement) have
study emphasized the need for collaboration between generated positive and additive effects toward
all stakeholders in the restructuring of resource-based adopting EDS in promoting economic growth and
communities and the implementation of a wide array development.
of actions and strategies for achieving resiliency—
e.g., to stabilize municipal finances and plan for Community dynamics as independent variables
economic diversification. In LED practice, this work
clearly specified the need to pay attention to the Drawing from the exploratory research by Zekeri
concerns of small, resource-based communities for (1994) on efforts toward greater LED in US small
building local capacity toward resiliency, whether in towns and rural areas, this empirical study on LED
Canada or across the globe. examined the past actions and local initiatives as
independent variables. On the one hand, past local
actions as independent variables are deemed to
The research model explain the variation in the adoption of LED strat-
egies of small communities in Canada. Past local
The ‘‘structure-initiatives’’ model was constructed as actions include (a) community planning on LED
an evaluation framework based on three elements. (1996–2001), (b) organization (ED structures and
First is the consideration of the structure for assessing institutions) and, (c) community engagement as
community characteristics as control variables. The measured by the range of initiators and proponents
term ‘structure’ refers to ‘‘community characteris- of ED activities. While the study supports the
tics’’ (development indicators) to define the state of argument that socio-economic indicators of develop-
local economy—from population size to proximity to ment are key measures for conventional local
the nearest urban center. Second is the examination of economic community analysis, past local actions
past local actions (by block) and local initiatives as were assumed to have positive, additive effect(s) in
independent variables. By ‘initiatives’ means grass- influencing the adoption of economic development
roots influences or actions ‘from within’ or from the strategies at the community level. The variables for
‘roots up’—from diversification, local entrepreneur- measuring past local actions involved activities for
ship development, education and training, community (a) community planning on LED over the past five
leadership and cooperation to local funding and years (1996–2001), (b) organization at the commu-
strengthening of information networks. While com- nity level, and (c) community engagement. Commu-
munity characteristics (e.g., labour force characteris- nity planning means the iterative process involving
tics) tend to influence, constrain or limit the problem analysis, assessment of needs and resources,
performance of local economies, the concept of local goal setting, collection and decision making and
initiatives is assumed to contribute independently to adoption of official development plans; marketing
current and future efforts for sustaining economic plans and economic development strategies. Commu-
life. Third is an analysis of ED strategies as nity organization in LED context refers to the setting
dependent variables as described below. up of working groups, task forces, institutions and
Economic Development Offices within the local
LED strategies as dependent variables government or community. Community engagement
means those proponents, participants and stakehold-
Translating the framework into operational terms ers in local development processes that relate to EDS
began by selecting the dependent and independent formulation. Included in the range of proponents and
variables and the control variables for the ‘structure- initiators per strategy (EDS) are the local economic

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development organizations (LEDO), private/public (1991–1996), highest educational attainment and


organizations, local government/council, multi-stake- average annual income as of 1996 Census. The
holders, central province/regional and local commu- measure of population size is the number of residents
nity (private) organizations In identifying proponents enumerated in the 1996 Census by Statistics Canada
under community engagement, each of these were for each community in the sample. The mean is
tabulated by area of responsibility—from towns and 11,663 and the standard deviation is equal to 8,989.
townships to district and rural municipality, villages Population change is measured as change in popula-
and counties. On the other hand, local initiatives refer tion size from 1991 to 1996 as reported in the 1996
to ‘community activeness’ on LED activities involv- Census and community profiles (Statistics Canada
ing the local government, the private sector, non- 1996, 2001). This demographic variable has a mean
governmental agencies, and/or community stakehold- of 5.5 and a standard deviation of 9.4 (Table 1).
ers. The variable called ‘local initiatives’ is a generic Proximity is measured as the distance in kilometers
term articulating local actions and decisions or from each community’s central place to the nearest
dynamic adjustments to changes and challenges to urban center. This geographic variable has a mean of
sustain economic stability and overall quality of life. 82 and a standard deviation of 68.
These were generated and quantified from the survey
responses by the study communities. In many com-
munities, local initiatives involved the implementa- LED survey
tion of programmes funded and sponsored by the
Federal Government (e.g., Community Futures) while Using a direct mail questionnaire as data collection
others concerned specific LED programs and projects instrument, the survey was administered during the
within five years before EDS were in place. period April–May 2002 to 415 individuals as key
informants from 200 communities while the research
on EDS was concluded in 2003. The respondents
Analytical strategy from the randomly selected communities were chosen
based on these criteria: (a) the informant’s position in
Three hypotheses were tested by the study. The first the community, (b) the level of interest and willing-
hypothesis is that community characteristics (e.g., ness (consent) to participate, and (c) the relevant role
social, economic and spatial) are likely to operate as of the informant in the formulation and/or imple-
dominant predictors for adopting LED strategies in mentation of EDS. The survey informants included
small towns and single-industry communities. The the Economic Development Officers and Executives,
second hypothesis is that past local actions are likely Planners and Planning Staff, Marketing Staff, Busi-
to influence the adoption of LED strategies in small ness Development Officers, Chamber of Commerce,
communities. Finally, the third stated that local elected officials (Reeve, Mayor) and administrative
initiatives are likely to make a positive contribution officers (Chief Administrative Officer, Clerk). These
and additive effects to explain the variation in the key informants who were regarded to play LED roles
adoption of EDS by the study communities. Among in their community were drawn from the directories
the quantitative methods of analysis were univariate of professional and municipal associations as well as
analysis, reliability measurement of survey data, academic institutions by province. Of the 87 ques-
factor analysis and bivariate correlation (the results tionnaires received, the response rate by key infor-
of which are not reported here). As control variables, mant (individual respondent) was 21% and by
community characteristics measured the effects of community, the response rate was 41% (82 of the
social, economic and spatial factors for influencing 200 communities surveyed). Since the survey focused
and explaining the variation in local initiatives by on the LED strategies in place, several informants felt
type of communities for plan period 1996–2001. The that one return was sufficient to reflect the commu-
measure of socio-economic status of community nity’s views, instead of having two or three returns
residents included demographic variables namely from the same place. The 82 small communities
population size, percent of population change represented the Yukon Territory and seven of ten

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 213

Table 1 Means and


Measures/indicators Mean Standard deviation
standard deviations of
control variables survey Social indicators
communities 2003*
(Income and education of community residents, 1996)
• Average annual income ($) 25,200 5,366
• Highest educational attainment (‘000) 4,492 3,912
Economic indicators
(Sectoral employment and labour force)
• Unemployment rate (1996) 10.7 6.2
• Participation rate (1996) 65.8 8.1
• Percent of workers in primary sector 12 14.6
• Percent of workers in secondary sector 21 10.2
• Percent of workers in tertiary (service) sector 67 13.7
Demographic and spatial
(Population and spatial indicators)
* Secondary data for
computing above • Population size 11,663 8,989
descriptive statistics derived • Population change (in %, 1996) 5.5 9.4
from Statistics Canada 1996 • Proximity to nearest urban center (km) 82 68
Census

Canadian provinces namely, Alberta, British Colum-


bia, Manitoba, Newfoundland and Labrador, Ontario, tourism and recreation-related activities and creation
Quebec and Saskatchewan. and expansion of community expansion services
The questionnaire contained two sections: the first (Table 2). Apart from the summated ratings, methods
covered the community profile as Section (1) and the for assessing reliability and agreement were carried
second listed questions about the reasons, initiators out for survey analysis. For testing the reliability of
and scope of local initiatives and the range of LED survey results, the index of composite reliability
activities from 1996–2001 as Section (2). In record- adopted the range of 1–2 to derive the proportion of
ing and tabulating the survey responses for Section 2, scale variance—i.e., Alpha as the single criterion for
code ‘2’ means a ‘Yes’ to signify a higher interest measuring internal consistency of a set of items based
while the code ‘1’ means a ‘No’ to indicate a lower on a scale. The computation of Cronbach’s alpha
interest. Responses for items with ‘Don’t know’ have produced the dichotomous answers to the four items
been coded as ‘1’ since it was assumed the respon- by type of strategies with a scaling technique using
dent was not clear about that particular LED strategy ‘2’ for Yes and ‘1’ for No and Don’t Know. While an
or it was ‘absent’ or limited as a local activity for that alpha of .80 or higher was generally viewed as an
specific community. This means that the response acceptable level of internal reliability, the set of four
categories of ‘No’ and ‘Don’t know’ were combined items was deemed to constitute a reliable scale.
giving a dichotomy in constructing the composite Under the first strategy, 78% established an
index on LED. organized committee, task force and other groups
to attract business and industry and review the
zoning to increase the availability of land for
Discussion business and industrial development. Funding pro-
grams were pursued by 75% of communities to
Univariate analysis was used to process the survey improve the physical infrastructure for business
data by proportion or percentage for the variables on development. Of the items listed to attract business
local initiatives. Indices were constructed for the four and industry, the hiring of consultants to promote
major types of LED strategies namely: promotion to growth and investments was not the first option.
attract business and industry, technical and financial This means the local governments and/or commu-
assistance to firms and local industry, creation of nities relied on existing ED offices, Business

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Table 2 Percent of study communities with economic development strategies and alpha reliability (n = 82)
Local economic development strategies %

1. Promotion to attract business and industry


a. An organized committee, task force and others established to attract business and industry 78
b. Developed and marketed brown fields and built industrial parks to attract business and industry 51
c. Prepared a marketing plan to promote growth and investments in the community 61
d. Hired external consultants to promote growth and investments in the community 35
e. Applied for grants and financial assistance to assist in promoting local business and industry 65
f. Encouraged the establishment of contacts and network including industry leaders 65
g. Reviewed and rationalized the zoning to increase the availability of land for business and industry 78
h. Promoted and established adult education, enterpreneurship training and local economic development 51
i. Pursued funding programs to improve the physical infrastructure for business development 75
Cronbach’s alpha = .741
2. Technical and financial assistance to firms and local industry
a. Increased access to business loans 52
b. Increased assistance and funding of local training for small business development 48
c. Funding of joint initiatives between local chambers of commerce, government and private sector groups 60
d. Publicly financed vocational training and skills development programs 31
e. Incubator space for new business 38
Cronbach’s alpha = .677
3. Creation of tourism and recreation-related activities
a. Historic and heritage sites preservation 79
b. Arts and music festival 78
c. Bed and breakfast accommodation 72
d. Scenic and tourist site development 85
e. Ethnic festival and special events 65
f. Sponsorship of sports events 74
g. Camping facilities and site development 68
h. Housing development 84
i. Improvement of transport services and facilities 46
Cronbach’s alpha = .700
4. Creation and expansion of community services
a. Expansion of day care facilities and services 46
b. Assistance to local development organizations in the planning and conduct of adult literacy training program 39
c. Services for the poor, the unemployed, the disadvantaged and the elderly 48
d. Health care services and outreach programs 60
Cronbach’s alpha = .647
LED Survey 2003

Development and Planning staff plus local institu- Chambers of Commerce, government and private
tions for assuming this LED function. Cronbach’s sector groups. Next was for increasing access to
alpha is .741 implying strong internal consistency business loans particularly for small- and medium-
and reliability of inter-item correlation. For the sized business development enterprises (52%). The
strategy to promote technical and financial assis- initiative to promote publicly financed vocational
tance to firms and local industry, the focus of 60% training and skills training program was only
communities involved joint initiatives between local considered by 31% respondents while incubator

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 215

space for new business and assistance to training for variables’. The application of the PCA solution was
small business development were considered by 38 expected to help understand the structure of correla-
and 48% respectively. Consistency and alpha reli- tions of control variables in the baseline model. As
ability is .677 for this strategy. method for exploratory data analysis, PCA as method
For the strategy to create and promote tourism and for factor extraction was deemed suitable as a
recreation-related activities, physical and site devel- solution for factoring—e.g., the variables that cluster
opment were considered by majority of the commu- together may interpret each factor according to the
nities in terms of scenic and tourist site development meaning of variables. Several runs were done to
(85%) and housing development (84%). Promoting identify which variables have small correlation with
tourism to generate tourist traffic and revenues were others and to check for the size of communalities and
pursued first through historic and heritage sites loadings (coefficients). If the communality for a
preservation (79%) and by launching arts and music given variable is very low, then it may mean it has
festival (78%). Recreation-related activities ranged little to do with two other factors after extraction
from sponsoring sports events (74%) to developing (Table 3).
camping facilities and sites for recreation (68%) and The results of the principal component solution
celebrating ethnic festivals and special events (65%). using varimax rotation showed seven control vari-
Tourism facilities through bed and breakfast accom- ables have factor loadings greater than .5 percent on
modation were adopted by 72% of communities to three factors (Factors 1, 2, 3) that have eigenvalues
pursue the strategy to promote tourism and recrea- greater than 1 (Table 4). The criterion of eigenvalues
tion-related activities. Only 46% included the item to that were greater than 1 was used since factor
improve transport services and facilities under this analysis is based on standardized items. The criterion
strategy. Inter-item correlation in terms of alpha greater than .5 was used, given the small sample size
reliability for the strategy is .700. For the strategy to in the study. In interpreting the results, decreasing
promote and expand community services, 60% of eigenvalues indicated the end of meaningful factors
communities raised concerns about health care ser- derived from the baseline model. Table 4 shows the
vices and outreach programs. This reflects the statistics for each factor before and after the principal
prevailing need to attract and retain medical doctors components (variables) were extracted.
and address youth development issues. Expanding In Table 4 above, the percentage of the total
day care facilities and services (48%) and services for variance attributable to the first factor accounts for
the disadvantaged groups (46%) were considered part 31.27, the second 19.07 and the third 16.03. Together,
of this strategy. Not too far behind is the assistance to the first three factors account for 66.37 of variability
local development organizations in the planning and of the original 7 variables. In the rotation sums of
conduct of adult literacy programs (39%). Alpha squared loadings, components with variances less
reliability for this strategy is .647. than 1 are not included in Table 5, except for
components 1–3 with total eigenvalues greater than 1.
To produce an acceptable grouping of variables,
Principal component analysis and control data were transformed using varimax rotation to
variables generate the PCA structure (constructs) shown below.
Three factors were obtained from seven compo-
The principal component analysis (PCA) was applied nents (variables) after PCA extraction and varimax
as a technique for factor extraction of the control rotation. The factor loadings indicate that the popu-
variables (community characteristics) as measured by lation size and highest educational attainment mea-
local development indicators, comprising social, sures distinctly load on Factor 1 and explains 31.2%
economic, demographic and spatial variables of the total variance (Table 6). Based on the principal
(Table 1). As baseline model, the control variables component analysis, this factor was identified as
were grouped as a single block for measuring the ‘human capital’ given the community’s index for
contribution of past local action variables. The PCA highest educational attainment and population size.
solution using varimax rotation was applied on the This factor stresses the quality of local labor force—
dimensions of all seven variables listed as ‘control in terms of available skills and knowledge required

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Table 3 PCA extraction


Variables Initial Extraction
and communalities
% Sector employment 1.000 .625
Average annual income 1.000 .692
High educational attainment 1.000 .859
Population size 1.000 .853
% Population change 1.000 .413
Extraction method: Unemployment rate 1.000 .640
Principal Component Proximity (in km) 1.000 .564
Analysis

Table 4 Total variance explained: principal components


Component Initial eigenvalues Extraction sums of squared loadings

Total % of variance Cumulative Total % of variance Cumulative

1 2.189 31.268 31.268 2.189 31.268 31.268


2 1.335 19.072 50.341 1.335 19.072 50.341
3 1.122 16.035 66.376 1.122 16.035 66.376
4 .879 12.562 78.938
5 .778 11.109 90.047
6 .545 7.784 97.831
7 .152 2.169 100
Extraction method: Principal Component Analysis, May 2003

for local economic development. The relatively communities with a potential capacity to generate
strong statistical association between these two levels of employment and income as a measure of
factors showed that residents of the communities fiscal stability to benefit its residents, thus potentially
attained higher educational status and this factor is leading to local economic security. Factor 3 is
called growing communities based on human capital dominated by the percent of workers employed in
value (GHC). Factor 2 is influenced primarily by the manufacturing industries (secondary sector) and
economic challenges relative to average annual the proximity variable expressed in terms of distance
income levels and unemployment rates. This factor from the central place to the nearest urban commu-
exhibits strong association with these variables nity. This implies some spatial advantage derived by
contributing to local stability in monetary terms and communities due to accessibility and closeness to
referred here as the ‘income capacity factor’ to mean urban centers with increasing structural reliance upon
the stabilizing communities (SC). It relates to the secondary sector in terms of value added to the

Table 5 Total variance


Component Rotation sums of squared loadings
explained: rotation sums of
squared loadings Total % of variance Cumulative

1 1.975 28.213 28.213


2 1.408 20.109 48.322
3 1.264 18.055 66.376
4
5
Extraction method: 6
Principal Component 7
Analysis, May 2003

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 217

Table 6 Component matrix and communalities three components extracted (Extraction method: PCA)
Community characteristics Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Communality

a. Population size .882 .188 .200 .853


b. Population change .463 .152 .418 .413
c. Highest educational attainment .882 .219 .181 .859
d. Average annual income .392 .607 .412 .692
e. Unemployment Rate .347 .701 .171 .640
f. Percent employment in secondary sector .299 .199 .705 .625
g. Proximity to nearest urban center .232 .575 .423 .564
Eigenvalues 2.18 1.3 1.1
Total variance explained 31.2 19.0 16.0
PCA structure (constructs):
Factor 1: Human capital
Factor 2: Income capacity
Factor 3: Industrialization/restructuring

economy, and dispersed growth of the service Hierarchical regression model


industries (tertiary sector) in the small communities.
Factor 3 is called ‘industrialization and restructur- In constructing the statistical model for assessment,
ing’ wherein the local economy is characterized by the equation in the study has more than two sets of
structural change in industry, given the growth of the independent variables, hence a model for multiple
manufacturing industries, shifts in production tech- regression analysis (MRA). This was applied to test
nology, and dynamic adjustment to local resources hypotheses 2–3 and to determine the proportion of
and institutions. The structural shift in the economic variance (R2) in the dependent variable (Y) as the
base of communities pertains to the small industri- criterion predicted from a set of independent vari-
alizing communities (SICs). Correlations of percent ables (X’s) in the hierarchical regression equation.
population change with six other variables are among The regression equation consisted of the adoption of
the weakest in this panel. The orthogonally rotated EDS as dependent variables (criterion), the control
factor loadings indicated the above factors where variables and past local action and local initiatives as
principal components loaded strongly together on a independent variables (predictors). Hypothesis 2
particular factor to produce a more meaningful explored if past local action made any positive effect
construct of variables. The orthogonally rotated or contributed to the adoption of LED strategies after
factor loadings (PCA using varimax rotation) are considering and controlling for the community’s
defined in the PCA structure below. structural and socio-economic characteristics.
In Table 7 above, there is a strong positive Hypothesis 3 was tested to determine any positive
correlation between variables under Factor 1 as high effect of local initiatives to explain the variation in
values of population size are associated with high the adoption of EDS in small communities.
values of the residents’ highest educational attain- First is the hierarchical regression analysis on the
ment. For Factor 2, there is a strong negative promotion to attract business and industry as the
relationship since the high values of average annual dependent variable (Table 8). The control variables
income are associated with low values of unemploy- (community characteristics) as a whole accounted for
ment rates and vice versa. For Factor 3, the relation- 8% of the variance in the dependent variable—the
ship is negative as the high values of secondary sector promotion to attract business and industry (R2). With
(manufacturing) employment are associated with low past community action added to the regression
values of proximity to the nearest urban center and equation, the total R2 increment in variance explana-
vice versa. tion (R2) is 2.8% as indicated under the column R2

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Table 7 Constructs from rotated component matrix (PCA solution using varimax rotation) Explanatory notes
Factor 1
Human capital: loadings are based on variables for highest educational attainment (.900) and for population size (.902).
Factor 2
Income capacity: loadings on variables include those on average yearly income increase (.819) and for unemployment rate ( .781).
Factor 3
Industrialization and restructuring: loadings on variables for proximity to nearest urban center ( .706), and for the percent of workers
employed in the secondary sector (.756).

change. This increment however is marginal and Table 8 also presents the results of the hierarchical
below expectations. The results indicate that when regression model containing the creation of tourism
past local action variables are entered separately to and recreation-related activities as the dependent
the baseline equation, the variables do not produce a variable (criterion). The control variables for the
substantial additive effect to promoting business and hierarchical model accounts for an R2 of .089
industry. However, when local initiatives are added to (F = 1.103). When past local action is added to the
the baseline model, the increment in variance expla- baseline regression model, R2 is .126 and the increment
nation of 55.9% is substantial. When past local action of .6 is negligible and not statistically significant. When
and local initiatives are added to the baseline model local initiatives are added to the baseline model, the
simultaneously, the variables make an additive con- increment in variance explanation (R2) is .566
tribution to variance explanation. Overall, 64.5% of (F = 5.701) and is statistically significant. The additive
the variance in the promotion to attract business and effect of local initiative as variable was consistent with
industry is explained. Of this total, 56.5% is attrib- expectations. When added simultaneously to the hier-
utable to the combined effects of independent vari- archical regression equation, a significant increase of
ables—past local action and local initiatives. The .502 in variance explained is attributable to both past
results indicate the extent of community activeness action and local initiative and this is far beyond the
(local initiatives) due to limitations from other levels contribution of the control variables.
of government to support all LED programs and Overall, 59.1% of the variance in the creation of
projects proposed by the community. tourism and recreation-related activities is explained.
For technical and financial assistance to firms and The last criterion is the creation and expansion of
industry as the next dependent variable, the same community services variable by which the control
ordered series of hierarchical regression analysis is variables account for 11.3% of the variance explana-
presented in Table 8. The results in Table 8 indicate tion. With past action added to the regression
that the baseline model with the control variable as equation, variance explained reports an R2 of .145
criterion, show an R2 of .075. (F = .670). When past with slight increase of .035 in R2 change and not
local action variables are added to the baseline statistically significant. In contrast, adding local
model, the R2 increases to .081 and the change in R2 initiative variable gives an R2 of .447 with a
is .006. However, this variance explanation for substantial increase of 33.4% (F = 5.51). When both
technical and financial assistance to firms and indus- past local action and local initiatives are entered as
try as accounted for by past local action is not single block to the control variables (in the baseline
statistically significant. In contrast with past local regression model), an additional 38.2% in variance
action, the addition of local initiatives as variables to explained is reported and this amount is statistically
the baseline regression equation increases the R2 to significant (F = 5.034). Taken together, 49.5% of the
.609 with an R2 change of .535 (F = 10.63). When variance in creation and expansion of community
both past local action and local initiatives are added services is explained. Like previous dependent vari-
to the baseline model simultaneously, an additive ables, the results from predictors for community
joint effect of 55.9% is made in variance explained. services criterion indicated that local initiatives, when
On the whole, 63.4 % of the variance in technical and added as a block of independent variables or com-
financial assistance to firms and industry is explained. bined with past local action, contribute sizeable

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GeoJournal (2006) 67:207–222 219

Table 8 Change in amount of variance explained in hierarchical regression model


Dependent variables

R2 R2 change F Sig.

Business and industry


The control variables .08 – .98 .452
Increment due to past action .108 .028 .976 .523
Increment due to local initiatives .639 .559 7.742 0
Increment due to past action and local initiatives .645 .565 6.398 0
Increment due to past action with local initiatives controlled .645 .006 6.398 0
Increment due to local initiatives with past action controlled .645 .537 6.398 0
Technical and financial
The control variables .075 – .912 .502
Increment due to past action .081 .006 .67 .749
Increment due to local initiatives .609 .535 10.633 0
Increment due to past action and local initiatives .634 .559 8.896 0
Increment due to past action with local initiatives controlled .634 .024 8.896 0
Increment due to local initiatives with past action controlled .634 .553 8.896 0
Tourism and recreation
The control variables .089 – 1.103 .37
Increment due to past action .126 .037 1.091 .38
Increment due to local initiatives .566 .477 5.701 0
Increment due to past action and local initiatives .591 .502 5.093 0
Increment due to past action with local initiatives controlled .591 .025 5.093 0
Increment due to local initiatives with past action controlled .591 .465 5.093 0
Community services
The control variables .113 – 1.438 .202
Increment due to past action .145 .031 1.284 .255
Increment due to local initiatives .447 .334 5.515 0
Increment due to past action and local initiatives .495 .382 5.034 0
Increment due to past action with local initiatives controlled .495 .382 5.034 0
Increment due to local initiatives with past action controlled .495 .346 5.034 0
LED Canada Survey 2003

amounts to variance explanation. Findings from the of economic development strategies of small com-
regression model to create and expand community munities. The involvement of the 82 study commu-
services indicated an increment in variance explana- nities in the survey offers a valuable insight into the
tion and produced additive, positive contributions to field perspective on LED across Canada. In address-
community efforts for nurturing and sustaining the ing the objectives of the study, the ‘structure-
vitality of local economies. initiatives’ model was adopted as the analytical
framework for assessing the effects of the structural
versus the dynamic (interactional) aspects of LED.
Conclusion The study examined community characteristics as
control variables for variance explanation and assess-
The proposition of this empirical study is that past ment of past action and local initiatives on the adoption
action and local initiatives have positive, additive of LED strategies. Drawing from the survey analysis,
contribution to explain the variation in the adoption the results indicate a differential support to the main

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proposition. The findings from the hierarchical regres- actors in local development. This empirical study
sion analysis showed that the ‘local initiatives’ have on the effects of past action and local initiatives could
significant and additive effects on the adoption of broaden our understanding of local development
economic development strategies of small communi- processes at the community level.
ties. This is indicated by the variation explained after For future policy consideration, the small commu-
the community characteristics were considered and nities could potentially reverse the current develop-
controlled. Past action in the form of community mental state of their local economies as they take a
organization, planning and community engagement proactive, strategic approach to local economic
made positive but modest effect to explain variations in development. LED professionals should explore
all sets of LED strategies adopted by communities. practical and innovative ways to strengthen commu-
After controlling the effects of the community charac- nity capabilities including capacities for planning,
teristics (structural factors), independent, additive con- economic management and endogenous enterprise
tributions to variance explanation are obtained for development. Small communities could look for
promoting business and industry, technical and finan- ‘development anchors’ (e.g., university and academic
cial assistance to firms and industry, creating and institutions, knowledge-based industries, commerce
expanding tourism and recreation-related activities and and retail) in addition to investment prospecting,
creating and expanding community services. smokestack chasing and chip chasing to create small
In contrast, variables for past action made mar- towns and SICs as spaces of innovative development
ginal contribution to variance explanation in all or places of new business and industry. Many
dependent variables with the slightest R2 change communities have tapped the economic potential by
found in technical and financial assistance to firms promoting tourism, recreation and culture (including
and industry (.6) (Table 8). Further analysis indicates entertainment and film industry) and by developing
that without the control variables considered in the the community’s economic foundations, especially
analysis, the independent variables significantly made the physical infrastructure and human capital. In
additive effects on all four dependent variables, addition, further research should explore additional
especially for promoting business and industry indicators and assessment indices for a larger repre-
wherein 56.5% is attributable to the combined effects sentation of communities (e.g., >500). At the time of
of independent variables. The findings from the the survey research, general data on trends of inter-
regression analysis raised the importance of ‘local governmental sources of local revenue were not
initiatives’ within the theory and practice of LED. analyzed yet deemed important to grasp fully the
These results lend credence to the perspective in the different outcomes on community engagement and
field promoting grassroots action and local involve- variables influencing EDS adoption. The involvement
ment to the LED process. Until now, empirical of private sectors and local development agencies, the
studies on LED evaluation are limited to case studies. policy and economic coordinating role of local
With these survey results, the study is expected to fill governments, and all concerned with ‘development
the research gap on evaluation from a broad number from within’ in the form of LED initiatives are
of Canadian communities stressing the importance of fundamental in pursuing growth and development for
local initiatives. The study noted that the local shaping local worlds for tomorrow, today.
government, non-government actors and members
of the community have a positive role to play in LED Acknowledgement The author wish to thank Dr. Bob
Sharpe, Associate Professor of Geography and the Office of
when measured by ‘local initiatives’ for the eventual the Vice-President for Academic and Research of Wilfrid
adoption of EDS in their respective communities. By Laurier University in Waterloo, Ontario for the funding support
focusing on Canadian public policy, emphasis has to the survey research from 2002–2003.
been placed on the relevance of conceptual and
practical applications to local community economic
development practice. Policy makers and profession-
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