Exercise 01 (Suggested Answer)

1. (a) mean: 63.3750, standard deviation: 22.6270, variance: 511.9821

(b) mean: 45.1111, standard deviation: 31.2428, variance: 976.1111

2. P (O) = 0.45, P (A) = 0.4, P (B) = 0.11

(a) i. P (AB) = 1 − (P (O) + P (A) + P (B)) = 1 − 0.96 = 0.04

ii. P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) − P (A ∩ B) = 0.4 + 0.11 − 0 = 0.51
iii. P (Ō) = 1 − P (O) = 1 − 0.45 = 0.55
(b) i. P (O1 ∩ O2 ) = P (O)P (O) = (0.45)2 = 0.2025 since independent
2
ii. P (AB 1 ∩ AB 2 ) = P (AB)P (AB) = (0.96) = 0.9216
iii. P (A1 ∩ A2 ) = 1 − P (A1 ∩ A2 ) = 1 − (0.4)2 = 0.84
iv. P (B 1 ∩ B 2 ) = 1 − P (B 1 ∩ B 2 ) = 1 − (P (B))2 = 1 − (0.89)2 = 0.2079
(c) P (D|O) = 0.6, P (D|O) = 0.2
i. A. P (O ∩ D) = P (O)P (D|O) = (0.45)(0.6) = 0.27
B. P (O ∩ D) = P (O)P (D|O) = (1 − 0.45)(1 − 0.2) = 0.44
C. P (D) = P (D ∩ O) + P (D ∩ O) = P (D ∩ O) + P (O)P (D|O) = 0.27 +
(1 − 0.45)(0.2) = 0.38
D. P (O ∪ D) = P (O) + P (D) − P (O ∩ D) = 0.45 + 0.38 − 0.27 = 0.56
ii.
P (O ∩ D) 0.27
P (O|D) = = = 0.71
P (D) 0.38

∼ End ∼