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Witt CHINA’S RISE Be PEACEFUL? Security, Stability, and Legitimacy Edited by Asle Toje OXFORD CONTENTS ‘seperate nye nena a etofConeiutrs i Bon aldbesns highs Brats Od ten : sete tosotucon i Sa ae eyDinuains Sci Sand eginaey 7 seuss) inare oso fab PART!. China and he International Onder parsseaar 1 Stephen M, Wat Rising Powers and the Risks of War: Reals View ofSim-amerton Relations 12 te Seon See “The Blane of Power andthe Riksof War 14 ‘he itorical Record 19 China's Rise andthe Fore of Confictin is 22 CCondson 22 2.6, John kenberry A Now Orde of Ting? Cina, Amis snd ‘the Struygleower World Order 33 ising Strter and Power Transitions 98 Rising States and Liberal international Order 40 The CeoplisesofSinoAmerican Rivaly 43 (Cana andthe Wold of Democracies 47 nC, Wohlforth: Not Qt he Same aI Ever Was Power Shs snd Contrtation over the American Lad World Order Tneroducton 57 [No Hagemonie) Wa and Change in Would oles 59 Power Shift, Not Power Tanaton 65 Institutions and Strategic Incentives 69 CHAPTER 10 Is China a Global Power? DAVID SHAMBAUGH “he question of whether the United States and China ar predained to repeat the teudional puitern of great powsrcompeiton snd conti ss oeerl suppesiinne-rich ae based on hora structural ns tional pcp global rplonal snd domes precedents and factors Vie the ober hapten thir ome fora on the ests of hase hi chapter one thoweof Mian Pe and Joan Lapet to examine the ‘the question of potent. Hing powerline power conf cae ‘power tanaton theory premised pein onthe waive domestic {pubis of pers! Speccaly power tanston theory ols tat the pid when rang powes approtcas pay with he eased powers (he mow unstable ne and when the Oo poters are mast prone to cn fitch Reaneh Onganeh and Tad Maher ened Ue "08 ove pint ths trast prod ther the predominant power aly to launch a proempie wr fo save ff the calenge of he ring power ote commonly, te halenger ay stk fst hii wat Farad pole sense Gram Allson more rcenty Seabee at “tanya Tap “Tos inorder to ascertain the pial of power tanation Seay tothe cae of the Unite tater od Chinn (rte andi the tse, Isesontal to objet sues th live cpeie af the oo powes This caper tempt to Go by enol xamising the Chinese side of {he equiion~and it ods that Chins omprhenav power emai fr Und that ofthe United States on a gba! basis Within Al, however ‘he power gu ie arromer and tus the anges of get power cnt reins conten afr reir. Buon alba bts, Chine lags con, Sicenblybebnd the United Suter ~andwilcantini ods fo eds Inco the futur. Thos Tcondude thats gl cnfit betwen he Ualed Stats and Chin is wlkey—but that a reloal ene is inreasngy por lef Tom Chstnse's wellchosen words, China ca sil pore ok fem without catching up yada about Chins elatve eka i a cet vvence wit the conventional wisdom of many other deere end publ pte ion surveys tat perceive the China jagerat as untorpable and that the United tate and che weld must heer ast che ely fhe Asin gant a =—praps tt—major gab power in the yar to cme ‘Amin indsty of Chia” prognotcaters ba emerged oer he pst

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