Witt CHINA’S RISE
Be PEACEFUL?
Security, Stability, and Legitimacy
Edited by Asle TojeOXFORD
CONTENTS
‘seperate nye nena a etofConeiutrs i
Bon aldbesns highs Brats Od ten
: sete tosotucon i
Sa ae eyDinuains
Sci Sand eginaey 7
seuss)
inare oso fab PART!. China and he International Onder
parsseaar 1 Stephen M, Wat Rising Powers and the Risks of War: Reals View
ofSim-amerton Relations 12
te Seon See
“The Blane of Power andthe Riksof War 14
‘he itorical Record 19
China's Rise andthe Fore of Confictin is 22
CCondson 22
2.6, John kenberry A Now Orde of Ting? Cina, Amis snd
‘the Struygleower World Order 33
ising Strter and Power Transitions 98
Rising States and Liberal international Order 40
The CeoplisesofSinoAmerican Rivaly 43
(Cana andthe Wold of Democracies 47
nC, Wohlforth: Not Qt he Same aI Ever Was Power Shs
snd Contrtation over the American Lad World Order
Tneroducton 57
[No Hagemonie) Wa and Change in Would oles 59
Power Shift, Not Power Tanaton 65
Institutions and Strategic Incentives 69CHAPTER 10
Is China a Global Power?
DAVID SHAMBAUGH
“he question of whether the United States and China ar predained to
repeat the teudional puitern of great powsrcompeiton snd conti ss
oeerl suppesiinne-rich ae based on hora structural ns
tional pcp global rplonal snd domes precedents and factors
Vie the ober hapten thir ome fora on the ests of hase hi
chapter one thoweof Mian Pe and Joan Lapet to examine the
‘the question of potent. Hing powerline power conf cae
‘power tanaton theory premised pein onthe waive domestic
{pubis of pers! Speccaly power tanston theory ols tat the
pid when rang powes approtcas pay with he eased powers
(he mow unstable ne and when the Oo poters are mast prone to cn
fitch Reaneh Onganeh and Tad Maher ened Ue "08
ove pint ths trast prod ther the predominant power
aly to launch a proempie wr fo save ff the calenge of he ring
power ote commonly, te halenger ay stk fst hii wat
Farad pole sense Gram Allson more rcenty Seabee at
“tanya Tap
“Tos inorder to ascertain the pial of power tanation Seay
tothe cae of the Unite tater od Chinn (rte andi the tse,
Isesontal to objet sues th live cpeie af the oo powes
This caper tempt to Go by enol xamising the Chinese side of{he equiion~and it ods that Chins omprhenav power emai fr
Und that ofthe United States on a gba! basis Within Al, however
‘he power gu ie arromer and tus the anges of get power cnt
reins conten afr reir. Buon alba bts, Chine lags con,
Sicenblybebnd the United Suter ~andwilcantini ods fo eds
Inco the futur. Thos Tcondude thats gl cnfit betwen he Ualed
Stats and Chin is wlkey—but that a reloal ene is inreasngy por
lef Tom Chstnse's wellchosen words, China ca sil pore ok
fem without catching up
yada about Chins elatve eka i a cet vvence
wit the conventional wisdom of many other deere end publ pte
ion surveys tat perceive the China jagerat as untorpable and that
the United tate and che weld must heer ast che ely fhe
Asin gant a =—praps tt—major gab power in the yar to cme
‘Amin indsty of Chia” prognotcaters ba emerged oer he pst