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1. A large shipment of parts is received, out of which 5 are tested for defects.
The number of defective parts in the sample, X is assumed to be Binomial
with parameter θ. From past shipments it is known that θ has a Beta(1, 9)
distribution.
(a) Find the HPD estimate of θ if x = 0 is observed.
(b) Find a 95% credible set for θ if x = 0 is observed.
(c) Interpret the results of both (a) and (b).
(d) For testing H0 : θ ≤ 0.10 versus H1 : θ > 0.10, find the posterior odds ratio.
where a > 0 and θ0 > 0 are given. Find the HPD estimate of θ and the 100(1-
α)% HPD credible set for θ. Also find the posterior mean and the posterior
variance of θ.
1X 1 X 1 X
n [m] [m]
Tn(1) = Xi , Tn(2) = Yi , Tn(3) = Zi ,
n i=1 [m] i=1 [m] i=1