Metrics on consumption in India. 2014. Looks at what it would mean for an incoming goverment to improve the lot of the common man. NOT a political document.
Metrics on consumption in India. 2014. Looks at what it would mean for an incoming goverment to improve the lot of the common man. NOT a political document.
Metrics on consumption in India. 2014. Looks at what it would mean for an incoming goverment to improve the lot of the common man. NOT a political document.
National Survey of Indian Consumers
(ICE 360° Survey, 2014)
INFOGRAPHICS
ice 360°
People Research on India’s Consumer Economy
(C110- Second Floor, Naraina Vihar,
eer ea
Tel : 011-45566389, W : www.ice360.iniae 360°
About PRICE
"PRICE is an independent, not-for-profit research centre, a think tank’ and tacts
tank’ engaged in building and disseminating seminal knowledge and insights about
India's Macro Consumer Economy and Citizen's Environment, for use in
‘formulating public policy andin shaping business strategy.
'= The core of PRICE's work focuses on "how India, eams, spends, saves, lives,
thinks, accesses public goods and amenities".
= PRICE is committed to generating longitudinal data that will allow for realistic
Projections of India’s household incomes, consumption expenditures and savings
forthe coming decade.
= PRICE's work also aims at enriching policy targeting via insights on key
socioeconomic, ‘state ofnation‘and'inelusion* indicators,
Nolte.
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=10000 Total
% Distribution of villages 56.7% 23.3% 16.1% 3.1% 0.8% 100.0%
°% engaged in agriculture 61% 54% 45% 26% 25% 48%
Distribution of villages by major point of sale of agriculture produce used by majority of farmers (%)
Retailer 45.6 34.3 24.0 199 328 0387
Wholesale traders 15.2 347 295 40.0 355 229
Village mandi 22.6 135 19.4 227 78 199
Government mandi 67 102 WA 27 12000 94
Others 28 73 100 148 ns 94
ESS IN EM TESINCOME GROWTH AND DISTRIBUTION
Even though the ratio of household income between the
rich 20% and the poor 20% have reduced since 2004-05 and
will continue to do so, by 2020 well over a third of the
increase in our national income will belong to the top 20%
earning households. However, by that time middle India
(rest 60%) will start realizing the benefits of the
trickledown effect
th
Population Quintile based Income/HH (Rs. 000) Share of India’s Income %
on Per Capitaincome 2004-05 2013-14. 2020-21 2004.05 2013-14 2020-21
India-Q1 (Bottorn 209%) oat 136.7 2246 52 66 76
Indlia-Q2 (2194-40%) 99.2 208.6, 344.6 a7 11.0 126
Indlia-Q3 (4195-60%) 139.1 2479) 384s, Re 15.0 162
Indiia-04 (6195-80%) 220.1 3158, 4371 20.6 aa 206
India-Q5 (Top 20%) 5192 669.3 860.1 527 461 426
Allindia 219.5 335.6 475.4 100.0 100.0 100.0
ea 7RURAL INDIA CONSISTS
OF MANY SHADES
Just as there exists a wide gap between urban and rural
in terms of availability of basic amenities, rural within
presents a picture of sharply contrasting layers
Brteernr ts aero
AMENITIES (PERCENTAGE OF Oe
Dre Th) Breet Tha)
= Sone
Poneto
eer oon
SS
crn
con Caron te
cored Cine eer a
oy Cnet
Coro Coenen to
Total Pee ec ent
Pen Poe te]
Ewan oon
corn Cro ecco na
Peery
end Cocoon ia
Creed een
Totat ror wit
Sear nen}SITTING ON A MINE
While socio-cultural elements largely determine whether Indians
use gold for savings or investment, the new monetization
scheme has potential
SHARE OF CWE(X6) AGREEING FOR OPTIONS POSED BY INCOME HIERARCHY
Rich (20%) ll Next 60% Poor (bottom 20%)
GIFTING IS THE MOST IMPORTANT DEMAND
DRIVER BEHIND PURCHASE OF GOLD
Primary reason behind investing in gold (percentage of CWEs who have made gold purchase)
Poor Middle Rich All india
(bottom 20%) (middle 60%) (top 20%)
Others Ease of liquidity
I Gifting Purpose | Future investment
ESS RSTO TE STRURAL-URBAN CONTINUUM
AND THE LESSONS FOR INDIA
Rural and urban inequality can undermine the gains of overall
economic growth of the nation. What is needed is planned,
sustainable growth of smart cities and villages so that the
33 343 S44 YS URRY YSYSSY SEY
ENG Ri aca Carry
CNet oer ety
cnn rany ihr ATT)
rece eT)
per pe
red reece
eect rey Brace)
PEC}
eee a
Co
Pee eee oe
RURAL (TOTAL)RURAL DEVELOPMENT
NEEDS A REALITY CHECK
RURAL INDIA IS NO LONGER
PURELY AGRARIAN
with majority of households either earning
their livelihood from non-farm activities or a
combination of farm and non-farm incomes.
RURAL HOUSEHOLD TYPE AND LEVEL OF EARNINGS
CMe 9 Cr aT) A Ag
Cre ont) CO Tee a
Oar Tacs eer)
Dry cry) res cI] cL
Ce Te 189,374 Fr) cx
Per a) 2 92,230 at 6%
Ce rd 7) 4% oy
eects
BOC UTe Bele a ah oe) a By
Source: ICE 360? Survey (October 2014) from People Research on India’s Consumer EconomyHEALTHCARE SPEND PUSHING \
HOUSEHOLDS BELOW POVERTY LINE
y At levels of current incomes and savings, a
non-routine health expenditure requirement of
just Rs.100,000 will force over 80% of Indian
households into seeking debt.
ae
Health expenditure and vulnerability
'e)
Population Quintile %Households with NO or yp of households vulnerable if
a based on Per Capita negative SURPLUS —_aeitional annual health expenditure is
— Income INCOME (Current income
Allindia 30 86 7 99
‘Source: [CE360" Survey (October 2014 from People Research on india's
eeePULSES CAN RESTORE
. INDIA’S NUTRITION NEEDS
2 Our pulses consumption has dramatically
reduced from about 60 gm/person in 1951 to
37 gm right now, and there is an urgent need to
reverse this if India has to catch up with
neighbouring countries on average per capita al
consumption of quality protein
Pa OA an CU ac CUR EUL Daa UL}
CO Ca)
SO nC Der D Cnc
oR) Tse crea)
PROTEIN FOODS
cer Dee ere
card Pre naar
Die Cree
Par SoM outro)
oy Co oleae
coer Sra
The bottom 20% spend less than 40% of the all
India average spending on a meal and less than
60% of what the top 20% spend
ESSE TTSFINANCIAL RISK CONTINUES TO
DOG INDIAN HOUSEHOLDS
India’s preference for saving money in cash or passbook savings
coupled with limited life insurance penetration especially in rural India
indicates a certain vulnerability to financial shocks and inadequate
safety nets for the bulk of our low income households
LIFE INSURANCE
INSURED VERSUS UNINSURED HOUSEHOLDS: A PROFILE BY MAJOR SOURCE OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
source of share of Surplus Income % of households
income insure (oftever incomeatter deduction Own Ea
Households — Srtotel expenaiture, Rs annum)
ay pe 7
Insured Uninsured Insured Uninsured
Households households households households
Self employed - 27% 34474 20,159 o% 2%
Sgriculture
Self employed 28% 62.334 38,940 24% 6%
Ron-agriculeure
salaried 51% 94,533 45,658 23% 5%
Wage labour 15% 11,167 12,763 3% 1%
Others 22% 79,245 27,824 26% 2%
Total 30% 60,017 24,562 17% 3%
ESE SOI SN eeeALAND OF SAVERS
Majority of Indian households defer consumption for
posterity irrespective of their economic status
a 8 &
ree en V4 ees)
(Bottom 20%) (21%- 40%) (41% 60%)
Paes UUM CMU cnn Ue sateen |
Sta ee UTA Meee ee a eo co GeFINANCIAL INCLUSION ONLY
WHEN SERVICE PROVIDERS RAISE
AWARENESS
Across all levels, Indian households prefer liquidity over speculation
when it comes to savings, choosing to keep cash at home or in
banking instruments rather than investing in the market.
‘Savings portfolio (major flows in 2013-14) within households at different PCI quintiles (in %)
India-gt India-Q2 —India-Q3_—Indie-Q¢ —India-@5
(Bottom 20%) | (21%%-40%) (41%-60%) _(61%-£0%) |Top 20%)
Capital market linked investments 3 4 5 6 8
incl. Life insurance
Non formal instruments, incl. SHG, 2
chit funds and NBFCs 3 2 “ 2 3
Physical assets include real estate, < 1 a | 2
gold and jewellery
Source, ICE 360° Survey (Gctover 2014) from People Research on India’s Consumer Economy (PRICE}INDIA’S HOUSEHOLD |
DEBT BURDEN
| HHD with banka/e = HHDw/obanka/e Total
Outstanding debt in USD billion 24.89 2.05 26,94
Number of HHD with outstanding 7 i
AGHELG FiOrTTAPSGUITES 50 Million 8.5 Million 58.5 Million
As high as 50 million households
with banking access had actually taken a loan from
informal sources which they were still servicing
29 million Indian households
had some outstanding debt with a bank in 2013-14
360? Survey (October 2014) from People Research on India's Consumer EconomyWOMEN ARE STILL FAR AWAY FROM
REALISING INCOME PARITY
There is a great deal of disparity between participation of men
and women as earners in the workforce, both in terms of
remunerative participation as well as average wages received
425.6m \ 393.8m
aged 16-59 aged 16-59
ww
Ey LW pe 69.1m
are earners
are earners
PNualeE Mieco) ial) Annual income
rs, 1,32,000 r43,700
auc
Proportion of males aged Proportion of females aged
De Neh ie) BES ea cy
Source: ICE 360° Survey (October 2014) from People Research on India’s Consumer Economy (PRICE)INDIA SHINING
INDIA’S GROWTH STORY IS FINALLY
SEEING SIGNS OF DECENTRALISATION
Ree eet
Beery
Proceed stots aaa
Stee ee elias | 28
Se oe oO
eee eeeINDIAN CONSUMPTION BASKET:
RICH VS. POOR,
Expenditure Index* (All India= Rs. 100)
Da
creer
*The annual per capita expenditure at all India level
havent Rs. 26,500 whieh Is equal to 100.
ere eee)National Survey of Indian Consumers (ICE 360° Survey, 2014)
ICE 360° Survey, 2014 was the first household level primary survey conducted by PRICE
covering an all-India representative sample of 20,195 households with earners selected
from a listing of 1,01,534 households. The survey primarily focussed on providing
household level, insightful and relevant information on economic and social well-being of
Indian households including social inclusion, especially access to public goods and
infrastructure, for the public domain to aid in advocacy and evaluation of the effectiveness
and appropriateness of economic and public policy. Some of the key themes of the Indian
‘consumer economy, captured by the survey, included household level income, expenditure,
saving patterns, social inclusion, and financial optimism and life style indicators. One of the
key focus areas of the survey was to provide a better and sharper, understanding of EMiddle
Indiaf by defining it and profiling it- and assessing the impact it can potentially have in
boosting Indiafis future prospects, as a successful and stable country, as a growing economy,
as a preferred destination for future developmental interventions such as FDI etc. The
survey had two other riders as two additional modules- the first on @old purchase and
investment behaviour of Indian householdsfi and the second on Zwo-wheeler ownership
and future purchase intention of Indian households
Sample Size and Allocation
Sample
Blocks/
Villages
Listed Detail
Household | Households
Number of | Sample
Clusters Districts | Districts
Metros 10 200 20,159 4,000
Boom Towns 18 128 12,917 2,559
Niche Cities 39 198 19,865 3,960
Rest of Urban 184 3,679
URBAN 710 71,486 14,198
Developed Rural 69 6,870 1,379
Emerging Rural 10,176 2,019
Under Developed Rural 13,002 2,599
RURAL 30,048 5,997
ALLINDIA 1,01,534 | 20,195EMC oM ech SR)
www.ice360.in’ ae
or write to
Beene ee eee eee
mridusmita.bordoloi@ice360.inTeas Seo
People Research on India’s Consumer Economy