KUADRAT TERKECIL

x y
1997 5 rata-rata 6.12 TREND LINIER
1998 5.6 8
1999 6.1 7
f(x) = 0.55 x + 6.12
2000 6.7 R² = 0.999009247027741
2001 7.2 6

2002 5
x y x^2 xy
4
-2 5 4 -10
-1 5.6 1 -5.6 3
0 6.1 0 0 2
1 6.7 1 6.7
2 7.2 4 14.4 1

0 30.6 10 5.5 0
-2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
a 6.12
2005? b 0.55

y=6,12+0,55x Y=a+bx
x y y=bx+a
-2 5
-1 3
0 2
1 2
2 1

x y x^2 xy
-3 4.2 9 -12.6 a
-2 5 4 -10 b
-1 5.6 1 -5.6
1 6.1 1 6.1 y=5,8+0,460X
2 6.7 4 13.4
3 7.2 9 21.6
jumlah 0 34.8 28 12.9

x y
1996 4.2 RATA-RATA 5.8
1997 5 R ATAS 4.93333333
1998 5.6 R BAWAH 6.66666667
1999 6.1
2000 6.7
2001 7.2
TAHUN DASAR 1997
x y 8
-1 4.2 7
f(x) = 0.588571428571429 x + 4.91714285714286
0 5 R² = 0.993817330210773
6

4
 TAHUN DASAR 1997
8

7
f(x) = 0.588571428571429 x + 4.91714285714286
R² = 0.993817330210773
1 5.6 6

2 6.1 5
3 6.7
4
4 7.2
3
x y 2
-4 4.2
1
-3 5
-2 5.6 0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
-1 6.1
0 6.7
1 7.2
TAHUN DASAR 2000
8

f(x) = 0.588571428571429 x + 6.68285714285714 7

R² = 0.993817330210773
6

0
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1

SETENGAH RATA-RATA

x y rata-rata Nilai x tahu x tahun dasax x^2 xy x^2

1996 4.2 -1 -4 -1 1 -4.2
1997 5 4.93333333 0 -3 0 0 0
1998 5.6 1 -2 1 1 5.6
1999 6.1 2 -1 -1 1 -6.1
2000 6.7 6.66666667 3 0 0 0 0
2001 7.2 4 1 1 1 7.2

b 0.57777778
Belum dihitung
x y rata-rata Nilai x tahu x tahun dasax x^2 xy x^2
1996 4.2 -2 -4 -2 4 -8.4
1997 5 5.2 -1 -3 -1 1 -5
1998 5.6 1 -2 1 1 5.6
1999 6 2 2
2000 6.1 -2 -1 -2 4 -12.2
2001 6.7 6.66666667 -1 0 -1 1 -6.7
2002 7.2 1 1 1 1 7.2
2003 7.2 2 1 2 4 14.4

Trend Siklis y=y'=5,8+0,460x

x y x Y' RELATIF SIKLPresentasi deviasi relatif siklis

1996 4.2 -3 4.42 95.0226244 -4.9773756
1997 5 -2 4.88 102.459016 2.45901639
1998 5.6 -1 5.34 104.868914 4.86891386
1999 6.1 1 6.26 97.4440895 -2.5559105
2000 6.7 2 6.72 99.702381 -0.297619
2001 7.2 3 7.18 100.278552 0.27855153
NIER TREND KU
X Y 8

3 7.77 7
f(x) = − 0.00714285714285703 x² + 0.55
R² = 0.999245140592565
6

0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0

Chart Title
8

f(x) = 0.460714285714286 x + 5.8 7

5
5.8
4
0.46071429
3
y=5,8+0,460X
2

0
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

997

86
997

86

3 4 5

000
8

14 7

0
0 1 2

x^2 xy
a 4.93333333 y=4,93+0,58x
2 1.4 b 0.57777778

2 1.1 a 6.66666667 y=6,67+0,58x

b 0.57777778
x^2 xy
a 5.2 y=4,93+0,58x
6 -7.8 b 0.48888889

6 -11.7 a 6.66666667 y=6,67+0,58x

b 0.48888889
b 0
 TREND KUADRATIK TREND EKSPONEN
8 8

7 x + 6.13428571428571
.00714285714285703 x² + 0.55 7
f(x) = 6.0698650149184 exp( 0.0908627155831636 x)
9245140592565 R² = 0.994437934462361
6 6

5 5

4 4

3 3

2 2

1 1

0 0
5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5
TREND EKSPONEN
8

7
exp( 0.0908627155831636 x)
6

0
-0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
 9487.1 4.34506218
0

208855 218342.1 95.6549378 -4.3450622