I.

Introduction
I.1. Motivation
I.2. Subject
I.3. Research Methods
I.4. Thematic structure
II. Literature review
III. Methodology
III.1. Central rate of mortality
III.2. Lee- Carter Model
III.2.1. Definition
III.2.2. Estimation
III.2.2.1. SVD
III.2.2.2. Least Square method
III.3. ARIMA
IV. Forecasting central rate of mortality
IV.1. Problem (phát biểu bài toán)
IV.2. Data (dữ liệu)
IV.2.1. Data sources
IV.2.2. Package
IV.3. Forecasting using ARIMA
IV.4. Discussion
V. Conclusion