Nguyễn Thanh Tùng – HS153103

HS153103 -> a=3, b=0 Answer:

Question 1. There are 3 independent workshops I of factory 33% * 38% = 1254% 0,125
producing the same product of the factory. Workshop I II of factory 40% * 70% = 2800% 0,28
produces 33% of the factory’s products, including 83% III of factory 27% * 73% = 1971% 0,197
of products type A, workshop II produces 40% of the Tabulation:
factory’s products in which there is 70% of type A, A Others Total
workshop III produces 27% of the factory’s products I 0,125 0.205 0,33
including 73% belongs to type A. Randomly select a II 0,28 0.12 0,40
product.
III 0,197 0.071 0,27
a) Find the probability that the selected product is a
Total 0,603 0.375 1
product of type A.
b) If the selected product is of type A, what is the
probability that the product belongs to workshop Product of type A: A
Product belongs to workshop I: B1
a.The probability that the selected product is a product of type A.
P(A) = 0,603/1 = 0,603
b.The probability that the product belongs to workshop:
P(B1/A) = P(B1 and A) / P(A)
= 0,125/0,603 = 0,207

Question 2. Each year, ratings are compiled concerning Answer:

the performance of new cars during the first 90 days of USA Manufacturer (U) U
use. Suppose that the cars have been categorized
according to whether a car needs a warranty-related Non-USA Manufacturer N
repair (yes or no) and the country in which the company A warranty Repair R
manufacturing a car is based (the United States or not
United States). Based on the data collected, the Repair U N total
probability that the new car needs a warranty repair is
Yes 0.025 0.015 0.04
0.04, the probability that the car was manufactured by a
No 0.575 0.385 0.096
U.S.-based company is 0.60, and the probability that the
Total 0.6 0.4 1 (x)
new car needs a warranty repair and was manufactured
by a U.S.-based company is 0.025. a.The probability that a new car selected at random?
a. Construct a contingency table to evaluate the The total number of cars that need and do not need to be warranted is
probabilities of a warranty-related repair. What is the 0.04+ 0.096 = 1. So the probability that a new car is randomly selected
probability that a new car selected at random is 0.096/1
b. needs a warranty repair?
c. needs a warranty repair and was manufactured by a b. Needs a warranty repair?
U.S.-based company? P(R and U) = 0.025/1 = 0.025
d. needs a warranty repair or was manufactured by a  
U.S.-based company? c.Needs a warranty repair or was manufactured
e. needs a warranty repair or was not manufactured by a P(R or U)= P(R) + P(U) - P(R and U)
U.S.-based company? = 0,04 + 0,6 - 0,025 = 0,615
 
d. Needs a warranty repair or was manufactured
P(R or U)= P(R) + P(U) - P(R and U)
=0,04 + 0,04 - 0,015 = 0,425

e. Needs a warranty repair or was not manufactured

P(R or N) = P( R) + P(N) – P(R and N)
= 0.04x + 0.4x – 0.015x = 0.425