10-Piece

Total Home Total Home sales (millions)

month year sales (millions) Set sold
units 6.00
Jan-11 5.36 219
Feb-11 4.88 175 5.00

Mar-11 4.47 306

4.00
Apr-11 4.20 394
May-11 4.15 394 3.00
Jun-11 4.18 131
Jul-11 4.05 131 2.00

Aug-11 4.41 438

1.00
Sep-11 4.28 525
Oct-11 4.32 613 0.00
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12
Nov-11 4.40 657
Dec-11 4.38 394 1,800
Jan-12 4.51 354
1,600
Feb-12 4.52 706
1,400
Mar-12 4.46 603
Apr-12 4.53 603 1,200

May-12 4.59 367 1,000

Jun-12 4.41 328 800
Jul-12 4.60 509
600
Aug-12 4.84 429
400
Sep-12 4.78 417
Oct-12 1,553 200
4.83
Nov-12 4.96 1,670 0
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12
Dec-12 4.90 1,204
10-Piece Set sold units Total Home sales (millions)
Home sales (millions)

ep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

6.00

5.00

4.00

3.00

2.00

1.00

0.00
p-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

old units Total Home sales (millions)

 10-Piece 10-Piece
Total Home
month year Set sold Set sale sales (millions)
Time in
units month price
Jan-11 219 1 $949.98 5.36
Feb-11 175 2 $949.98 4.88
Mar-11 306 3 $949.98 4.47
Apr-11 394 4 $949.98 4.20
May-11 394 5 $949.98 4.15
Jun-11 131 6 $949.98 4.18
Jul-11 131 7 $949.98 4.05
Aug-11 438 8 $949.98 4.41
Sep-11 525 9 $949.98 4.28

Oct-11 613 $949.98 4.32

10
Nov-11 657 11 $949.98 4.40
Dec-11 394 12 $949.98 4.38
Jan-12 354 13 $949.98 4.51
Feb-12 706 14 $949.98 4.52

Mar-12 603 $949.98 4.46

15
Apr-12 603 16 $949.98 4.53
May-12 367 17 $949.98 4.59
Jun-12 328 18 $949.98 4.41
Jul-12 509 19 $949.98 4.60
Aug-12 429 20 $949.98 4.84
Sep-12 417 21 $949.98 4.78
Oct-12 1,553 22 $799.95 4.83
Nov-12 1,670 23 $799.95 4.96
Dec-12 1,204 24 $799.95 4.90
 Chart Title
Resumen 1,800
1,600
1,400
Estadísticas de la regresión
1,200
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.920742194906 1,000
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.84776618948 800
R^2 ajustado 0.824931117902 600
400
Error típico 166.3488216721 200
Observaciones 24 0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de Suma de Promedio de los
libertad cuadrados cuadrados F
Regresión 3 3082012.7239 1027337.57463323 37.12562
Residuos 20 553438.6094336 27671.9304716818
Total 23 3635451.333333

Probabilid
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t ad
Intercepción 6541.279286585 1180.149676047 5.54275395685016 2E-05
Time in month 12.48361405423 6.011361585231 2.07666996523711 0.0509347
10-Piece Set sale price -6.265913289382 0.886896282066 -7.06498991605262 7.52E-07
Total Home sales (millions) -69.50001511061 126.4135810653 -0.549782820207473 0.5885558

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico 10-Piece Set sold units

Residuos
1 228.7505129997 -9.75051299973
2 274.5941343071 -99.594134307
3 315.5727545566 -9.57275455663
4 346.8213726907 47.17862730928
5 362.7799875005 31.22001249952
6 373.1786011014 -242.178601101
7 394.69721712 -263.69721712
8 382.1608257344 55.83917426559
9 403.679441753 121.320558247
10 413.3830552028 199.6169447972
11 420.3066680482 236.6933319518
12 434.1802824046 -40.1802824046
13 437.6288944945 -83.6288944945
14 449.4175083976 256.5824916024
15 466.0711233585 136.9288766415
16 473.689736355 129.310263645
17 482.0033495026 -115.003349503
18 506.9969662767 -178.996966277
19 506.2755774599 2.724422540081
20 502.0791878876 -73.0791878876
21 518.7328028485 -101.732802848
22 1467.816386953 85.18361304686
23 1471.264999043 198.735000957
24 1487.918614004 -283.918614004
Chart Title
Time in month Gráfico de los
residuales
300
200
100

Residuos
0
-100 0 5 10 15 20 25
-200
-300
800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
-400

10-Piece Set sale pr

Time in month

Valor crítico de los residu

de F
2.296E-08
300 Total Home sal
200
100
Gráfico de los

Residuos
0 300
-100 200 $800.00 $850.00 $9
$750.00
-200 100
Superior Inferior Superior Time in mon

Residuos
-300 0
Inferior 95% 95% 95.0% 95.0%
4079.5302 9003.0284 4079.5302 9003.0284
-400 -1003.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4. gresión
-200 10-Piece Set sa
2,000

10-Piece Set sold units

-0.0558665 25.023095 -0.055866 25.023095 -300
1,500
-8.1159465 -4.41588 -8.115947 -4.41588 -400
1,000
10-Piece Se
-333.19412 194.19409 -333.1941 194.19409 Total Home
500
regr

10-Piece Set sold units

0 2,000
1,500
0 5 10 15 20
1,000
Time in month
500
0
0 00
0 .0 0. .
70 0
10-Piece
8 Set
9 00
$ $ $
month Gráfico de los
residuales

10 15 20 25 30

10-Piece Set sale price Gráfico

Time in month

de los residuales
300 Total Home sales (millions)
200
100
Gráfico de los residuales
0 300
-100 200 $800.00 $850.00 $900.00 $950.00 $1,000.00
$750.00
-200 100
Time in month Curva de re-
Residuos

-300 0
-400 -1003.80 4.00 4.20 4.40 4.60 4.80 5.00 5.20 5.40 5.60 gresión ajustada
-200 10-Piece Set sale price
2,000
10-Piece Set sold units

-300
1,500 10-Piece Set sold units
-400
1,000
10-Piece Set sale price Curva de
Pronóstico 10-Piece
Total Home sales (millions) Set sold units
500
regresión ajustada
Total Home sales (millions)
10-Piece Set sold units

0 2,000 10-Piece Set sold units

1,500
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
1,000
Curva de regresión ajustada
Pronóstico 10-Piece
Time in month Set sold units
10-Piece Set sold units

5002,000
10-Piece Set sold units
01,500
Pronóstico 10-Piece
1,000
.00 .00 .00 .00 Set sold units
0 0 500 0 0
10-Piece Set0 0 sale price
0 0
$7 0$
8 $9 ,0
$1
3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50
Total Home sales (millions)