Professional Documents
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This commentary provides some collective feedback on performance in the Summer 2021 EC201
examination, as well as guideline answers to the questions.
Overall, performance was strong. Candidates who sat the ST examination generally demonstrated
a very good understanding in the core models and theory and performed to a very high standard in
many places. Out of 618 students enrolled on the course, 567 sat the Summer examination. Of these,
27 percent scored a first class mark, 49 percent scored a 2A mark, 17 percent a 2B mark, 6 percent
a passing mark and 2 percent failed the examination. 8 percent of students enrolled deferred the
Summer examination.
Coursework was introduced for the first time in 2020-21, as a means of engaging students and en-
couraging the development of broader skills. 93 percent of students enrolled on the courses achieved
a first class mark in the coursework component, in most cases scoring 100. This served to raise the
overall performance of students, as did the January examination, in which 55 percent of students
scored a first class mark.
Overall for EC201, 544 students have attempted all assessments. Of these, 53 percent completed
the course with a first class mark, which is very high compared to historic distributions. 36 percent
completed the course with a 2A mark, 9 percent with a 2B mark, 2 percent with a third class mark, and
1 percent failed overall on first attempt.
The main cause for losing marks was a lack of explanation, especially in numerical problems. Marks
are assigned for explaining the economics rationale behind computations, and this was lacking in
some scripts. Some candidates did not define key concepts before using them, or lacked precision in
their answers.
In general, students performed strongest where questions were closest to problems seen before in the
course (such as Question 4). The key aspect that distinguished first class from upper second class
scripts was evidence of accurate reasoning in sub-questions that required students to go slightly
beyond problems seen before, or make connections between ideas. The scripts of candidates that
scored a 2B tended to contain errors and un-attempted sub-questions. They also tended to show
excess reliance on lecture content, rather than an ability to apply knowledge to the specific problem.
For example, drawing the Lorenz curve as in the lecture slides, rather than constructing the Lorenz
curve based on the information provided. Or computing effort level in Question 6 by following the
equation in the lecture, rather than considering the idiosyncracies of the specific question. Despite
repeatedly indicating (e.g. in mock exam solutions) that readings need to be fully cited with author(s)
and year, a number of students did not do this, losing marks in each reading question. In general,
students who engaged with class material and mock exam solutions tended to benefit from this.
Question 1
Suppose that Beyoncé and Madonna have utility functions xJ + θJ ln (g) where J = B for Beyoncé
and J = M for Madonna. xJ is a private good and g is a public good. θB = 2 and θM = 4. Each of
them has 10 units of the private good that can be transformed into units of the public good on a one
to one basis. Consider four possible allocations of these goods:
Allocation 1: g = 0, xB = xM = 10
Allocation 2: g = 2, xB = xM = 9
Allocation 3: g = 6, xB = 10, xM = 4
Allocation 4: g = 2, xB = 8, xM = 10
(c) Which is Beyoncé’s preferred allocation? Does this mean that Beyoncé is a Utilitarian?
[7 marks]
Guideline Answer : Intuitively Beyoncé’s optimum allows her to keep her entire endowment
and have the highest possible amount of public good. Her unconstrained optimal bundle is
where xB = 10 and g = g M = 10. Within the feasible allocations Beyoncé’s optimum is
Allocation 3, like in part c- students can set up the utility maximization or use the MRS=price
ratio to reach the answer, or find the utility corresponding to each of the allocation and notice
that Allocation 3 also maximizes her utility. Trivially, they could explain that good g can be
provided by Madonna and Beyoncé can keep all her endowment, so that this is her preferred
(d) Now suppose that Kanye who has utility function xK + 2 ln(g) joins with Beyoncé and Madonna
to form a community of three people. He has an endowment of ten units of x and can propose
a referendum with a majority vote over any pair of allocations. What will the outcome be? Does
this mean that Kanye is a Utilitarian? [10 marks]
Question 2
√
Suppose that there is a group of four individuals who have utility functions u(y) = y where y is
income. Suppose that the social welfare function has no intrinsic preference for inequality and that
the income distribution is y = {1, 1, 9, 9}.
(a) Draw the Lorenz curve associated with this income distribution and illustrate a measure of in-
equality using your graph. [4 marks]
(b) Suppose that the government intervenes and equalizes income in the economy.
i) At what equal level of income per capita is total utility the same as with {1, 1, 9, 9}?
[4 marks]
ii) How does this government intervention impact average income? [3 marks]
iii) What does your answer to (ii) tell us about the welfare consequences of income redistri-
bution? [4 marks]
ii) The average income has now dropped- due to diminishing marginal utility of income we
only need an average income of 4 to obtain the same sum of utilities which we had in
a society that was highly unequal but had an average income of 1+1+9+9 4 = 5. Many
students failed to link this part to part (i) and so claim that the average income has not
changed in society.
iii) Income redistribution in a society with diminishing marginal utility is justified even without
a social welfare function that dislikes inequality. Redistribution allows to reach the same
sum of utilities with fewer resources. Perfect redistribution (giving 5 to each person) would
thus lead to a higher social welfare than the initial one, even under a utilitarian criterion.
√
(c) Suppose the utility of the two individuals with an income of 9 is now u(y) = θ y with θ > 1.
i) Does this alter the case for equalising incomes? [5 marks]
ii) Discuss how different criteria might be used to justify redistribution even when θ is high.
[5 marks]
Question 3
Consumers have preferences over two goods x and y denoted by u(x, y) = x + Ay − y 2
The price of good x is one and good y is p. All consumers have income M . Consumers have decision
utility with A = 2 and experience utility with A = 1. A monopolist supplies good y with marginal
cost 0.5. Experience utility captures the welfare of consumers. In what follows, concentrate on cases
where consumers have enough income so that there is an interior solution, i.e. they consume positive
amounts of both goods.
(b) Derive the monopoly and competitive prices and demands. [4 marks]
π = P Q(P ) − C(Q(P ))
P P
P 1− − 0.5 1 −
2 2
F OC : 1 − P + 0.25 = 0
SOC : −1 < 0
5
P = 1.25 =
4
(c) Is consumer utility higher or lower with monopoly or competition? Explain. [12 marks]
5 3 15
x = M − py = M − ∗ =M−
4 8 32
and y = 83 . The corresponding utility is
15 3 9
x + y − y2 = M − + − =
32 8 64
15
Um = M −
64
13 3
x = M − py = M − =M−
24 8
and y = 34 . The corresponding utility is:
3 3 9
x + y − y2 = M − + − =
8 4 16
3
UPC = M −
16
.
A lower amount of good y would make utility increase if the price had been kept constant, but
under monopoly the consumer consumes less of the good but also experiences higher prices.
This means that overall they buy less of the good they will regret buying, but they will also be
relatively poorer and consume less of good x so their utility will be lower than under perfect
competition. Students should highlight the trade-off between making the consumers demand
less of the good they demand because of their behavioural biases, but the lower welfare that
comes from this.
Many students simply compare the utility the consumer derives under perfect competition and
monopoly but fail to explain the intuition.
(d) What other considerations might be relevant in deciding whether monopoly or competition is
welfare superior in this example? [5 marks]
Question 4
There are 200 identical consumers, each with preferences u(x, y) = x + θ ln (y) where x denotes
consumption of lentils and y denotes waffles. 100 consumers each owns 10 units of lentils and 100
consumers each own 20 units of waffles. Let the price of lentils be 1. In the following, focus on interior
solutions.
(a) Derive the demand function for waffles and find the general equilibrium price of waffles.
[6 marks]
x + θln(y) = mJ − py + θln(y)
θ
F OC : −p + =0
y
1
SOC : − θy −3/2
2
θ
y=
p
All the consumers have the same demand for good y so we can find the equilibrium prices by
solving:
θ
200 = 100(20)
p
θ
p=
10
Many students solve for the correct price ratio, but offer no explanation, which leads to only
partial credit.
(c) Is there a case for government intervention to make a transfer from owners of waffles to owners
of lentils if θ increases? Draw on the course reading in formulating your answer. [13 marks]
Question 5
Astravax and Zenevax are price-setting pharmaceutical firms. Each firm has paid 100, 000 to develop a
vaccine against Covid-19 that cannot be recouped. Each has a production capacity of 300 and faces a
marginal cost of production of 100. Both vaccines are equally safe and effective and so are perceived
as identical by governments, who purchase vaccines to roll out in their respective countries.
Let p1 denote the price of the Astravax vaccine and p2 the price of the Zenevax vaccine. Prices are
set simultaneously by the two firms.
Demand qi for vaccines of firm i is 1000 − pi if pi is strictly lower than the price of the rival firm, is 0 if
pi is strictly higher than the price of the rival firm and is 21 (1000 − pi ) if both firms set the same price,
where i = {1, 2}.
(a) Find the Nash Equilibrium prices, explaining your reasoning carefully. Are Astravax and Zenevax
willing to produce and sell vaccines at these prices? [10 marks]
(b) Astravax and Zenevax consider colluding to set prices to maximise industry profits. Find the
prices firms would set under such a collusive arrangement, as well as their vaccine sales and
profits. Can they sustain collusion? [10 marks]
F OC : 1100 − 2p = 0
which gives monopoly price pM = 550. SOC is negative and so this is a maximum.
With p1 = p2 = pM = 550, industry demand is 450, which is split evenly at 225 per firm (within
capacity). Profit per firm is
.
Collusion cannot be sustained as the prices p1 = p2 = 550 are not best responses to each
other. Each firm has an incentive to deviate by undercutting by a tiny margin , which increases
sales from 225 to 300 increasing profits.
Many students performed well on this question, but some failed to explain the setup, profitable
deviations from collusion and/or check the second order condition.
(c) Trials show that antibodies from Covid-19 vaccination fade, and so the population needs to be
periodically revaccinated. Astravax and Zenevax therefore interact repeatedly and indefinitely
into the future, setting prices simultaneously in every time period t. Astravax and Zenevax have
a common discount factor δ = 0.1.
i) Can Astravax and Zenevax sustain collusion each period as an equilibrium of the infinitely
repeated game if cheating is punished as severely as possible forever after? [Hint: cheat-
ing is lowering price by an amount where → 0] [10 marks]
ii) Astravax and Zenevax decide to offer governments a ‘low price guarantee’ (LPG). This is a
promise to automatically match a lower selling price offered by the rival firm in any period
t. Show that this facilitates collusion between Astravax and Zenevax, again assuming that
deviations from collusion are subsequently punished as severely as possible forever after?
[Hint: cheating is lowering price by an amount where → 0], with the rival also doing so]
[10 marks]
iii) Astravax hires a consultant to review its pricing policy. The consultant suggests adding a
number of restrictions to the LPG. Governments can still claim the lower price, but only if
they provide sufficient evidence of a price gap, submitted using a special form by a strict
deadline. Does this amendment to the LPG harm or benefit governments seeking to buy
vaccines? [Refer to the course reading when answering this question]. [10 marks]
1, 250 + 101, 250δ + 101, 250δ 2 + ... > 35, 000 + 90, 000δ + 90, 000δ 2 + ...
11, 250δ
> 33, 750
1−δ
11, 250δ > 33, 750 − 33, 750δ
45, 000δ > 33, 750
3
δ>
4
If the firms are sufficiently patient, i.e. have a discount factor above 0.75, then they will
be able to sustain collusion. Here they have a discount factor of 0.1, so collusion remains
unsustainable even in the infinitely repeated game. Students could also check the sustain-
ability of the cartel without accounting for the investment cost. In this case the calculation
becomes: Collude: 101,250, 101,250, 101,250. . .
Cheat: 135,000 90,000, 90,000. . .
It is strictly preferable to collude if:
101, 250 + 101, 250δ + 101, 250δ 2 + ... > 135, 000 + 90, 000δ + 90, 000δ 2 + ...
101, 250 90, 000
> 135, 000 +
1−δ 1−δ
11, 250
> 135, 000
1−δ
11, 250 > 135, 000 − 135, 000δ
135, 000δ > 123, 750
11
δ>
12
The argument is as above: for a sufficiently high discount rate (very close to 1 here) collu-
sion is sustainable but not with the current one.
Many students failed to see what would happen after the deviation and stated that the
opponent would set P=MC. This is not a best response, but the answer was given partial
credit.
ii) Both collude: Firm operating profits are 112, 500 (and sales 225) each period.
Cheating: If a firm lowers price to a price 550˘, the rival automatically matches this price
reduction and they share the market. Sales per firm are 21 (450+). Thus profit from cheat-
ing is (550 − − 100) 21 (450 + ), which tends to (450)(225) = 101, 250 as → 0.
Punishment: most severe outcome is to revert back to Bertrand NE prices where operating
profit is 90, 000 forever after (grim trigger strategy with minmax punishment).
1, 250 + 101, 250δ + 101, 250δ 2 + ... > 1, 250 + 90, 000δ + 90, 000δ 2 + ...
101, 250δ 90, 000δ
>
1−δ 1−δ
which is satisfied for all δ ∈ (0, 1). Alternatively students can compare the two streams of
profits without accounting for the initial investment: Collude: 101,250, 101,250, 101,250. . .
Cheat: 101,250 90,000, 90,000. . .
This doesn’t change the conclusion on collusion.
As in the previous part many students failed to see what would happen after the deviation
and stated that the opponent would set P=MC. This is not a best response, but the answer
was given partial credit.
iii) Key reading here is Arbatskaya et al (2004).
The authors examine characteristics and motivations for different LPGs.
One key dimension is ‘hassle costs’ to claiming the low price. Where there are multiple re-
strictions or stipulations, it makes it more difficult for governments to claim the low price.
Rather than price matching being automatic, it depends on conditions being satisfied. If
so, then it’s possible the matching won’t happen.
While at face value it appears harmful to governments to introduce hassle costs, it could
be beneficial if such costs serve to undermine collusion. In the Bertrand NE the govern-
ment pays 400 per vaccine, whereas under collusion 550 per vaccine; so putting in place
impediments to the LPG can be beneficial to the government if it makes it harder for firms
to collude.
Many students cite the correct paper but lose marks in not explaining that while making
it harder to claim at first appears to be harmful to governments, this provision is, in fact
beneficial because it undermines the effect of the LPG and makes it harder to sustain col-
lusion. Hassle costs make it harder to sustain collusion and thus lead to lower prices for
governments, which is beneficial!
(a) Show that if Camilla can repair the lawn mower herself at an effort cost of 10e2 , then the prob-
ability of the lawn mower being repaired is 0.5. [5 marks]
Many students find the correct first order condition and solution, but fail to mention that Camilla
will be able to observe (and hence reward) her effort. Many also fail to check the second order
condition.
(b) Why might asking Charles to fix the lawn mower create a moral hazard problem? [3 marks]
(c) What advice would you give Camilla about the kinds of incentive schemes that might be relevant
and the evidence for them being effective? [Refer to the course reading when answering this
question]. [10 marks]
(d) Unless employed by Camilla, Charles expect to be unemployed and so to earn 0. Camilla offers
to pay Charles a cash bonus for fixing her lawn mower. What is the optimal bonus that Camilla
should offer Charles, to be paid, if he successfully repairs her lawn mower? What is the proba-
bility that that the lawn mower will be fixed with this bonus payment? [10 marks]
maxeB − 10e2
B
e(10 − B) = (10 − B)
20
1 B
F OC : − =0
2 10
B=5
5
and correspondingly Charles will exert e = 20 = 25%, which gives us the probability of the lawn
mower being fixed.
Many students obtain the right numbers but forget to explain the setup, check the second or-
der conditions or check that Charles is indeed better off accepting the contract than not doing
anything and achieving a utility of 0.
(e) Camilla offers Charles the option to sit on the lawn with her if he repairs the lawn mower suc-
cessfully. Charles gets utility of 5 from sitting on the lawn with Camilla. Camilla does not mind
Charles’ company so it costs her nothing to allow him to sit on the lawn. He may also be of-
fered a financial bonus if he repairs the lawn mower. Is the possibility of sitting on the lawn
with Camilla an incentive for Charles? Does Camilla’s offer to sit on the lawn affect the optimal
bonus she chooses for Charles? Does Camilla benefit from offering Charles the option to sit on
the lawn with her? [10 marks]
maxe(B + 5) − 10e2
F OC : B + 5 − 20e = 0
SOC : −20 < 0
B+5
e=
20
Camilla then maximizes:
B+5
maxe(10 − B) = (10 − B)
20
B+5 B+5
F OC : −B =0
2 20
B = 2.5
Correspondingly e = B+5 20 = 0.375
Again many students reach the correct numbers but fail to explain the intuition: Camilla benefits
from the utility Charles receives from spending time with her on the lawn, effectively a bonus
for Charles.
END OF PAPER