ESTACIÓN: POMACANCHI

Departamento : CUZCO Distrito : POMACANCProvincia : 

Longitud: 71°34'21.3'' W Altitud :  3690 msnm.

PRECIPITACIONES MENSUALES

ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO

1985 49 115 68 98 76
1986 108.07 135.04 76.05 43.07 5
1987 s/d s/d 39.02 33.54 0.01
1988 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1989 s/d 124.2 79.4 8.9 s/d
1990 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1991 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1992 142.17 90.66 96.21 s/d s/d
1993 206.92 125.13 102.65 31.7 0.31
1994 166.11 151.58 125.15 47.68 5.79
1995 133.05 108.56 127.06 37.07 13.51
1996 200.03 91.56 114.67 55.57 17.05
1997 s/d 194.01 190.58 23.07 62.15
1998 141.07 130.31 136.84 17.54 0
1999 173.52 140.61 84.28 93.34 9.24
2000 119.21 184.2 112 30.6 7.5
2001 246.01 159.6 180.91 45.2 15.71
2002 128.02 236.1 174.2 69 13.7
2003 167.2 164.41 150.6 63.5 16.4
2004 260.9 165.7 81.5 51.2 25.4
2005 85.81 130.31 148 52 2.1
2006 163.72 232.31 95.62 140.61 1.1
2007 172.6 175.61 226.52 77.6 14.1
2008 158.5 140.8 128.3 33.7 12.91
2009 136.7 105.6 80.5 41.8 8.6
2010 292.1 88.4 116.6 53.8 2.4
2011 119.1 151.8 135.7 60.2 9.3
2012 184.7 232.7 100.4 63.9 2.6
2013 178 167.1 91.8 46.2 8.9
2014 131 124.7 94 39 7.5

PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA MENSUAL EN 24 HORA

AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO

1985 16 26 8 15 20
1986 20 18 10 15 5
1987 s/d s/d 16 12.5 0
1988 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1989 s/d 18.2 10 5.1 s/d
1990 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1991 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1992 24 15 33.5 s/d s/d
1993 24 22.5 26 11.5 0.01
1994 59 20 28 13 4.5
1995 14.5 15.5 9.5 11.5 10.5
1996 22.5 14.5 13 13.5 10.5
1997 s/d 20.5 29 6 5
1998 24.5 18 25.5 13.5 0
1999 26.8 21.6 14.8 12.8 4.2
2000 23.1 25.2 16.8 3.5 5.6
2001 33.3 26 19.4 8.9 6.3
2002 19.6 45.1 28.4 17.9 9.9
2003 29.5 21.1 21.2 23.7 8
2004 27.7 29.8 16.7 8.8 18.8
2005 14.1 28.5 27.5 23.7 2.1
2006 25.8 38.5 10.5 28.1 1
2007 18 16.5 40.1 30.3 9.9
2008 10.6 22.5 26.3 9.7 6.8
2009 15.7 14.1 21.2 4.8 2.6
2010 39.4 10.7 18.5 13.4 1.2
2011 20.6 17.8 20 15.9 3.2
2012 24.3 35.4 16.4 13.6 2.3
2013 17.6 24.7 17.1 13.7 5.6
2014 18.7 32.5 18.2 6.8 2
 ACOMAYO

ECIPITACIONES MENSUALES

JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE Total.Anual

13 0 5.5 55.02 36.01 141 130.06 786.59
0 0 1.53 46.51 26.01 39.02 202.02 682.32
0.5 21.5 0 3 s/d s/d s/d 97.57
s/d s/d 0 20.9 9.5 34 51.2 115.6
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 212.5
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 133.68 133.68
s/d s/d 15.79 6.79 92.52 89.18 73.2 606.52
2.29 6.29 12.26 16.74 87.22 81.14 186.78 859.43
0.3 0.31 1.3 25.74 68.71 88.19 116.51 797.37
0.01 5.51 1.5 36.02 9.04 126.04 161.05 758.42
0.01 0.01 28.82 32.32 108 79.55 155.04 882.63
0 5 12.53 7.55 83.07 135.82 79.07 792.85
0.02 0 0.02 1.02 9.5 104.51 111.54 652.37
0.02 1.61 0.01 19.13 34.4 40.72 106.32 703.2
14.81 6.01 16.11 22.5 92.31 41.3 138.11 784.66
3.3 21.3 15.83 18.91 84.01 81.31 198.3 1070.39
0.64 27.8 17.3 62.3 65.51 108.4 121.91 1024.88
8.7 0 6.01 17.11 64.4 50.2 110 818.53
10.2 8.9 16.91 71.5 57.21 67.2 164 980.62
0 0.2 4.3 2.61 74.21 101.5 105.7 706.74
11.1 0 7.34 4.31 80.2 101.31 149.3 986.92
0 4.8 0.01 4.01 52.5 99.7 102.7 930.15
4.4 0 3.1 17 77.9 78.3 129.5 784.41
0 14.1 0 11 18.2 277.6 111.1 805.2
0 0 12.8 5.3 58.9 42.1 156.7 829.1
4.7 7.1 8.9 56.5 50.9 42.8 189.7 836.7
10.2 1.1 2.9 34.9 45 95.5 172.6 946.5
1.3 0 19.9 s/d 60.5 105.1 210.3 889.1
0 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 396.2

ÓN MÁXIMA MENSUAL EN 24 HORAS

JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE Máx preci

 5 0 3 20 15 43 30 43
0 0 0.5 17 13 17 35 35
0.5 14 0 3 s/d s/d s/d 16
s/d s/d s/d 20.9 5.1 12.4 13 20.9
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 18.2
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 0
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 133.68 133.68
s/d s/d 14 6.5 24 17 17 33.5
2 3 4 5 42 7.5 28.5 42
0.01 0.01 1 4 22 29 22 59
0.01 5.5 1.5 10.5 8 20 21.5 21.5
0.01 0.01 21.5 17 31 18.5 19 31
0 5 6.5 1.5 20.5 24.5 27.5 29
0.01 0 0.01 1 8 24.5 27 27
0.01 1.6 0.01 4.1 11.1 10.5 27.6 27.6
12.5 4.5 7.3 9.4 16.5 15.4 27.5 27.5
3.3 9.2 4.7 7.1 20.5 14.6 39.8 39.8
0.6 7.5 5.3 10.2 13.7 19.9 13.5 45.1
8.7 0 3.6 4.1 10.7 18.4 21.3 29.5
4.1 4.4 8.3 10.1 9.3 9.3 20.3 29.8
0 0.2 0.7 2.6 15.3 19.7 15.2 28.5
9.7 0 0.3 4.3 16.3 18.1 17 38.5
0 2.5 0.01 2.2 15.3 27.3 17.5 40.1
1.8 0 2.6 9.9 22.5 10.7 13.1 26.3
0 4.3 0 4.8 7.8 32.7 17.5 32.7
0 0 6.7 3.6 10.9 18.2 15.7 39.4
4.7 4.5 4.3 12.5 13.6 18.2 27.6 27.6
9.4 0.9 2.9 7.5 5.9 16.9 25.2 35.4
1 0 8.3 s/d 13.6 24.8 31.8 31.8
0 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 32.5
 ESTACIÓN: POMACANCHI

Departame
CUZCO Distrito : POMACANCHI Provincia : ACOMAYO
Longitud: 71°34'21.3'' W Altitud :  3690 msnm.

PRECIPITACIÓN MENSUAL

AÑO E F M A M J J A s
1985 49 115 68 98 76 13 0 5.5 55.02
1986 108.07 135.04 76.05 43.07 5 0 0 1.53 46.51
1987 s/d s/d 39.02 33.54 0.01 0.5 21.5 0 3
1988 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 0 20.9
1989 s/d 124.2 79.4 8.9 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1990 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1991 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1992 142.17 90.66 96.21 s/d s/d s/d s/d 15.79 6.79
1993 206.92 125.13 102.65 31.7 0.31 2.29 6.29 12.26 16.74
1994 166.11 151.58 125.15 47.68 5.79 0.3 0.31 1.3 25.74
1995 133.05 108.56 127.06 37.07 13.51 0.01 5.51 1.5 36.02
1996 200.03 91.56 114.67 55.57 17.05 0.01 0.01 28.82 32.32
1997 s/d 194.01 190.58 23.07 62.15 0 5 12.53 7.55
1998 141.07 130.31 136.84 17.54 0 0.02 0 0.02 1.02
1999 173.52 140.61 84.28 93.34 9.24 0.02 1.61 0.01 19.13
2000 119.21 184.2 112 30.6 7.5 14.81 6.01 16.11 22.5
2001 246.01 159.6 180.91 45.2 15.71 3.3 21.3 15.83 18.91
2002 128.02 236.1 174.2 69 13.7 0.64 27.8 17.3 62.3
2003 167.2 164.41 150.6 63.5 16.4 8.7 0 6.01 17.11
2004 260.9 165.7 81.5 51.2 25.4 10.2 8.9 16.91 71.5
2005 85.81 130.31 148 52 2.1 0 0.2 4.3 2.61
2006 163.72 232.31 95.62 140.61 1.1 11.1 0 7.34 4.31
2007 172.6 175.61 226.52 77.6 14.1 0 4.8 0.01 4.01
2008 158.5 140.8 128.3 33.7 12.91 4.4 0 3.1 17
2009 136.7 105.6 80.5 41.8 8.6 0 14.1 0 11
2010 292.1 88.4 116.6 53.8 2.4 0 0 12.8 5.3
2011 119.1 151.8 135.7 60.2 9.3 4.7 7.1 8.9 56.5
2012 184.7 232.7 100.4 63.9 2.6 10.2 1.1 2.9 34.9
2013 178 167.1 91.8 46.2 8.9 1.3 0 19.9 s/d
2014 131 124.7 94 39 7.5 0 s/d s/d s/d

SUMA 3863.51 3866 3156.56 1357.79 337.28 85.5 131.54 210.67 598.69
PROMEDIO 161.0 148.7 116.9 52.2 13.5 3.4 5.5 8.1 23.9
DESV.ESTAN 81.420 64.588 53.368 31.368 17.169 4.593 7.424 7.890 20.748
VARIANCIA
3. CORRECCION DE LOS DATOS
PERIODO 1985-1990
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR
1985 72.3 173.2 101.3 147.2
 1986 162.6 203.8 113.6 63.2
1987 s/d s/d 57.0 48.6
1988 s/d s/d s/d s/d
1989 s/d 187.3 118.7 10.9
1990 s/d s/d s/d s/d

PERIODO N X S S^2
1985 -1990 39 72.08 66.80 4462.66
1991-2014 265 71.61 67.69 4582.22

AÑO E salto
1985 49 PERIODO N X S S^2
1986 108.07 59.07 1985 - 2004 14 160.1 88.38 7810.7
1987 s/d s/d 2005-2014 10 162.2 54.84 3007.9
1988 s/d s/d
1989 s/d s/d

1990 s/d s/d 1. CONSISTENCIA DE LA MEDIA

1991 s/d s/d
1992 142.17 s/d Sp = 76.459
1993 206.92 64.75 Sd = 31.657
1994 166.11 40.81 Tc = 0.07
1995 133.05 33.06 α/2= 0.025
1996 200.03 66.98 Tt = 2.31
1997 s/d s/d Tc < Tt
1998 141.07 s/d X1= X2, estadisticamente
1999 173.52 32.45

2000 119.21 54.31 2. - Consistencia de la desviación estandar

2001 246.01 126.8 S1 > S2
2002 128.02 117.99 Fc = 2.60
2003 167.2 39.18 gln = 13
2004 260.9 93.7 gld = 9
2005 85.81 175.09 P= 0.95
2006 163.72 77.91 Ft = 3.05
2007 172.6 8.88 Fc < Ft
2008 158.5 14.1 S1^2 = S2^2, estadisticamente
2009 136.7 21.8
2010 292.1 155.4
COMO X1=x2 Y s1=s2, NO HAY CORRECCIONES QUE HACER
2011 119.1 173
2012 184.7 65.6
2013 178 6.7
2014 131 47

Promedio 160.98
Des.Est. 81.42
Variancia 6629.2285
 PRECIPITACIÓN MENSUAL

AÑO E F M A M J J A s
1985 49 115 68 98 76 13 0 5.5 55.02
1986 108.07 135.04 76.05 43.07 5 0 0 1.53 46.51
1987 39.02 33.54 0.01 0.5 21.5 0 3
1988 0 20.9
1989 124.2 79.4 8.9
1990
1991
1992 142.17 90.66 96.21 15.79 6.79
1993 206.92 125.13 102.65 31.7 0.31 2.29 6.29 12.26 16.74
1994 166.11 151.58 125.15 47.68 5.79 0.3 0.31 1.3 25.74
1995 133.05 108.56 127.06 37.07 13.51 0.01 5.51 1.5 36.02
1996 200.03 91.56 114.67 55.57 17.05 0.01 0.01 28.82 32.32
1997 194.01 190.58 23.07 62.15 0 5 12.53 7.55
1998 141.07 130.31 136.84 17.54 0 0.02 0 0.02 1.02
1999 173.52 140.61 84.28 93.34 9.24 0.02 1.61 0.01 19.13
2000 119.21 184.2 112 30.6 7.5 14.81 6.01 16.11 22.5
2001 246.01 159.6 180.91 45.2 15.71 3.3 21.3 15.83 18.91
2002 128.02 236.1 174.2 69 13.7 0.64 27.8 17.3 62.3
2003 167.2 164.41 150.6 63.5 16.4 8.7 0 6.01 17.11
2004 260.9 165.7 81.5 51.2 25.4 10.2 8.9 16.91 71.5
2005 85.81 130.31 148 52 2.1 0 0.2 4.3 2.61
2006 163.72 232.31 95.62 140.61 1.1 11.1 0 7.34 4.31
2007 172.6 175.61 226.52 77.6 14.1 0 4.8 0.01 4.01
2008 158.5 140.8 128.3 33.7 12.91 4.4 0 3.1 17
2009 136.7 105.6 80.5 41.8 8.6 0 14.1 0 11
2010 292.1 88.4 116.6 53.8 2.4 0 0 12.8 5.3
2011 119.1 151.8 135.7 60.2 9.3 4.7 7.1 8.9 56.5
2012 184.7 232.7 100.4 63.9 2.6 10.2 1.1 2.9 34.9
2013 178 167.1 91.8 46.2 8.9 1.3 0 19.9
2014 131 124.7 94 39 7.5 0
Prom. 160.9796 148.692 116.91

ANALISIS DE TENDENCIAS
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO
r2 = 0.0625 0.00735 0.0727 0.0291 0.1058 0.0007 0.0064 0.0232
N= 31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31
Tc = 1.390 0.439 1.508 0.916 1.852 0.140 0.432 0.830
P = 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975
Tt = 2.045 2.056 2.045 2.048 2.045 2.048 2.045 2.045
Tc>Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt
 Completación datos mes enero
ENE Y=1.3735 x + 139.69 t Tm
FEB Y=1.5658 x - 2984.7 68.92 1 49
MAR Y = 1.4223 x +93.31 159.73 2 108.07 𝑌_𝑡= 𝑋_(𝑡 )
ABR Y = 0.5485 x +42.941 209.68 3 160.98
MAY Y= -0.697 x + 25.619 206.72 4 160.98
JUN Y= 0.0148 x + 3.1625 203.76 5 160.98
JUL Y= -0.078 x +6.7971 200.80 6 160.98
AGO Y=0.1443 x +5.7884 197.84 7 160.98
SEP Y=-0.1782 x +26.713 176.07 8 142.17 𝑌_𝑡=
OCT Y=0.4737 x + 49.984 237.86 9 206.92
NOV Y=0.8312 x + 76.295 194.09 10 166.11 𝑋_𝑡^!=
DIC Y=1.3185 x +115.82 158.08 11 133.05
222.10 12 200.03 𝐴_𝑚, 𝐵_𝑚=
180.09 13 160.98
157.22 14 141.07
186.71 15 173.52
129.44 16 119.21
253.28 17 246.01 (𝑇_𝑚=) ̅
132.33 18 128.02
Los datos de la columna G, son los 168.55 19 167.2
encontrados aplicando la ecuación 259.29 20 260.9
de tendencias 81.24 21 85.81
156.19 22 163.72
162.11 23 172.6
145.05 24 158.5
120.29 25 136.7
272.73 26 292.1
96.77 27 119.1
159.41 28 184.7
149.75 29 178
99.79 30 131

Data completa, consistente y sin tendencias

AÑO E F M A M J J A s
1985 103.62 115 68 98 76 13 0 5.5 55.02
1986 159.73 135.04 76.05 43.07 5 0 0 1.53 46.51
1987 209.68 39.02 33.54 0.01 0.5 21.5 0 3
1988 206.72 0 20.9
1989 203.76 124.2 79.4 8.9
1990 200.80
1991 197.84
1992 176.07 90.66 96.21 15.79 6.79
1993 237.86 125.13 102.65 31.7 0.31 2.29 6.29 12.26 16.74
1994 194.09 151.58 125.15 47.68 5.79 0.3 0.31 1.3 25.74
1995 158.08 108.56 127.06 37.07 13.51 0.01 5.51 1.5 36.02
1996 222.10 91.56 114.67 55.57 17.05 0.01 0.01 28.82 32.32
1997 180.09 194.01 190.58 23.07 62.15 0 5 12.53 7.55
1998 157.22 130.31 136.84 17.54 0 0.02 0 0.02 1.02
1999 186.71 140.61 84.28 93.34 9.24 0.02 1.61 0.01 19.13
2000 129.44 184.2 112 30.6 7.5 14.81 6.01 16.11 22.5
2001 253.28 159.6 180.91 45.2 15.71 3.3 21.3 15.83 18.91
2002 132.33 236.1 174.2 69 13.7 0.64 27.8 17.3 62.3
2003 168.55 164.41 150.6 63.5 16.4 8.7 0 6.01 17.11
2004 259.29 165.7 81.5 51.2 25.4 10.2 8.9 16.91 71.5
2005 81.24 130.31 148 52 2.1 0 0.2 4.3 2.61
2006 156.19 232.31 95.62 140.61 1.1 11.1 0 7.34 4.31
2007 162.11 175.61 226.52 77.6 14.1 0 4.8 0.01 4.01
2008 145.05 140.8 128.3 33.7 12.91 4.4 0 3.1 17
2009 120.29 105.6 80.5 41.8 8.6 0 14.1 0 11
2010 272.73 88.4 116.6 53.8 2.4 0 0 12.8 5.3
2011 96.77 151.8 135.7 60.2 9.3 4.7 7.1 8.9 56.5
2012 159.41 232.7 100.4 63.9 2.6 10.2 1.1 2.9 34.9
2013 149.75 167.1 91.8 46.2 8.9 1.3 0 19.9
2014 99.79 124.7 94 39 7.5 0
 ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA Y COMPLETACION DE DATOS

O N D Máx preci Salto

36.01 141 130.06 141
26.01 39.02 202.02 202.02 61.02
s/d s/d s/d 39.02 163 ANALISIS DE SALTO
9.5 34 51.2 51.2 12.18
s/d s/d s/d 124.2 73 PERIODO N X S S^2
s/d s/d s/d 124.2 1985 - 1990 39 48.6 44.26 1958.9
1985
s/d s/d 133.68 133.68 133.68 1991 - 2014 265 71.6 67.69 4582.2
92.52 89.18 73.2 142.17 8.49
87.22 81.14 186.78 206.92 64.75 1. CONSISTENCIA DE LA MEDIA
68.71 88.19 116.51 166.11 40.81
9.04 126.04 161.05 161.05 5.06 Sp = 65.208
108 79.55 155.04 200.03 38.98 Sd = 11.184
83.07 135.82 79.07 194.01 6.02 Tc = 2.06
9.5 104.51 111.54 141.07 52.94 α/2= 0.025
34.4 40.72 106.32 173.52 32.45 Tt = 1.97
92.31 41.3 138.11 184.2 10.68 Tc > Tt
84.01 81.31 198.3 246.01 61.81 X1 diferente X2, estadisticamente
65.51 108.4 121.91 236.1 9.91
1986
64.4 50.2 110 167.2 68.9
57.21 67.2 164 260.9 93.7 2. - Consistencia de la desviación estandar
74.21 101.5 105.7 148 112.9 S1 > S2
80.2 101.31 149.3 232.31 84.31 Fc = 2.34
52.5 99.7 102.7 226.52 5.79 gln = 264
77.9 78.3 129.5 158.5 68.02 gld = 38
18.2 277.6 111.1 277.6 119.1 P= 0.95
58.9 42.1 156.7 292.1 14.5 Ft = 1.56
50.9 42.8 189.7 189.7 102.4 Fc > Ft
45 95.5 172.6 232.7 43 S1^2≠ S2^2, estadisticamente
60.5 105.1 210.3 210.3 22.4
s/d s/d s/d 131 79.3
1987

1445.73 2251.49 3566.39

57.8 90.1 137.2
33.902 56.847 61.019

MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

113.5 17.2 0.0 5.7 81.5 52.4 213.0 196.2

1988
5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68.4 37.1 57.0 306.3
0.0 0.0 30.2 0.0 1.9 s/d s/d s/d
s/d s/d s/d 0.0 29.3 11.8 49.3 75.6
1988
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d

1989

1990

1991

1992
 1992

O N D
36.01 141 130.06 1 68 49 115
26.01 39.02 202.02 2 76.05 108.07 135.04
3 39.02 160.98 148.69
9.5 34 51.2 4 116.91 160.98 148.69
5 79.4 160.98 124.2
6 116.91 160.98 148.69
133.68 7 116.91 160.98 148.69
1993
92.52 89.18 73.2 8 96.21 142.17 90.66
87.22 81.14 186.78 9 102.65 206.92 125.13
68.71 88.19 116.51 10 125.15 166.11 151.58
9.04 126.04 161.05 11 127.06 133.05 108.56
108 79.55 155.04 12 114.67 200.03 91.56
83.07 135.82 79.07 13 190.58 160.98 194.01
9.5 104.51 111.54 14 136.84 141.07 130.31
34.4 40.72 106.32 15 84.28 173.52 140.61
92.31 41.3 138.11 16 112 119.21 184.2
84.01 81.31 198.3 17 180.91 246.01 159.6
65.51 108.4 121.91 18 174.2 128.02 236.1
64.4 50.2 110 19 150.6 167.2 164.41
1994
57.21 67.2 164 20 81.5 260.9 165.7
74.21 101.5 105.7 21 148 85.81 130.31
80.2 101.31 149.3 22 95.62 163.72 232.31
52.5 99.7 102.7 23 226.52 172.6 175.61
77.9 78.3 129.5 24 128.3 158.5 140.8
18.2 277.6 111.1 25 80.5 136.7 105.6
58.9 42.1 156.7 26 116.6 292.1 88.4
50.9 42.8 189.7 27 135.7 119.1 151.8
45 95.5 172.6 28 100.4 184.7 232.7
60.5 105.1 210.3 29 91.8 178 167.1
30 94 131 124.7
250
250
1995
200
SOLO DEBO CORREGIR EL MES DE ENERO 200
SEP OCT NOV DIC
0.005 0.0183 0.0182 0.0678 150 f(x) = 1.204404894327
R² = 0.0735427509970
30 31 30 31 150

0.375 0.735 0.720 1.452 100 f(x) = 1.21536596

R² = 0.072652506
0.975 0.975 0.975 0.975 100
2.048 2.045 2.048 2.045 50
Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt Tc<Tt 50
Gráfico de
0
250 0 0 5 10
0 5

200
 100 f(x) = 1.21536596
R² = 0.072652506
100

50
50
Gráfico de
0
250 0 0 5 10
0 5

200
𝑌_𝑡= 𝑋_(𝑡 )^!−(𝐴_𝑚+ 𝐵_𝑚∗𝑡)+(𝑇_𝑚 ) ̅
150 f(x) = 1.31851622126404 x + 115.819
R² = 0.0678329689365509

Donde: 100

𝑌_𝑡= serie sin tendencia en la media 50

350

𝑋_𝑡^!= serie corregida de saltos 300

0
0 5 10 15
𝐴_𝑚, 𝐵_𝑚= 250
coeficientes de los polinomios de regresión.
200
𝑡= número de orden, según registro de años
150
f(x) = 1.373528364849
R² = 0.0624843817947

100
(𝑇_𝑚=) ̅ promedio de la tendencia en la media o promedio de los valores corregidos
50
de saltos.
0
0 5 10

O N D
36.01 141 130.06 SI SE DESEA COMPLETAR LOS OTROS
26.01 39.02 202.02 MESES, SE DEBEN UTILIZAR LAS
ECUACIONES DE CADA MES.
9.5 34 51.2

133.68
92.52 89.18 73.2
87.22 81.14 186.78
68.71 88.19 116.51
9.04 126.04 161.05 ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
 108 79.55 155.04 N 41
83.07 135.82 79.07 gl -2
9.5 104.51 111.54 R2 0.1069
34.4 40.72 106.32 Tc 2.16
92.31 41.3 138.11 Tt ###
84.01 81.31 198.3 Tc>Tt existe correlacion, completo con Chavin, mediante l
65.51 108.4 121.91
64.4 50.2 110
57.21 67.2 164
74.21 101.5 105.7
80.2 101.31 149.3
52.5 99.7 102.7
77.9 78.3 129.5
18.2 277.6 111.1
58.9 42.1 156.7
50.9 42.8 189.7
45 95.5 172.6
60.5 105.1 210.3
E 49
F 115
M 68
A 98
M 76
J 13
J 0
A 5.5
s 55.02
O 36.01
N 141
D 130.06
E 108.07
F 135.04
M 76.05
A 43.07
M 5
J 0
J 0
A 1.53
s 46.51
O 26.01
N 39.02
D 202.02
E 0
F 0
M 39.02
A 33.54
M 0
J 0.5
J 21.5
A 0
s 3
O 0
N 0
D 0
E 0
F 0
M 0
A 0
M 0
J 0
J 0
A 0
s 20.9
O 9.5
N 34
D 51.2 Hidrograma
E 0 250
F 124.2
M 79.4
A 8.9 200
M 0
J 0
150
J 0
A 0
s 0 100
O 0
N 0
50
D 0
E 0
F 0 0
M 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

A 0
M 0
J 0
J 0
A 0
s 0
O 0
N 0
D 0
E 0
F 0
M 0
A 0
M 0
J 0
J 0
A 0
s 0
O 0
N 0
D 133.68
E 142.17
F 90.66
M 96.21
 A 0
M 0
J 0
J 0
A 15.79
s 6.79
O 92.52
N 89.18
D 73.2
E 206.92
F 125.13
M 102.65
A 31.7
M 0.31
J 2.29
J 6.29
A 12.26
s 16.74
O 87.22
N 81.14
D 186.78
E 166.11
F 151.58
M 125.15
A 47.68
M 5.79
J 0.3
J 0.31
A 1.3
s 25.74
O 68.71
N 88.19
D 116.51
E 133.05
F 108.56
M 127.06
A 37.07
M 13.51febrero
0.01
marzo
250
250 J 5.51
200 J 1.5
200
A 36.02
150 f(x) = s
1.20440489432703 x + 130.023724137931
9.04
R² = 0.0735427509970448
150 O 126.04
100 N 161.05
f(x) = 1.2153659621802 x + 98.0714942528736
R² = 0.0726525062224835
100 D 21.5
50
50
Gráfico de Diciembre
0
0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
 100 f(x) = 1.2153659621802 x + 98.0714942528736
R² = 0.0726525062224835
100

50
50
Gráfico de Diciembre
0
0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

1.31851622126404 x + 115.81902580184
0.0678329689365509

enero
350

300
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
250

200
f(x) = 1.37352836484983 x + 139.689977011494
150 R² = 0.0624843817947481

100

50

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
to con Chavin, mediante la ecuación y = 0.1638x + 11.906
100 120 140
 PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA MENSUAL EN 24 HORAS

AÑO ENERO FEBRERO MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGOSTO SEPTIEMBRE
1985 16 26 8 15 20 5 0 3 20
1986 20 18 10 15 5 0 0 0.5 17
1987 s/d s/d 16 12.5 0 0.5 14 0 3
1988 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d 20.9
1989 s/d 18.2 10 5.1 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1990 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1991 s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d s/d
1992 24 15 33.5 s/d s/d s/d s/d 14 6.5
1993 24 22.5 26 11.5 0.01 2 3 4 5
1994 59 20 28 13 4.5 0.01 0.01 1 4
1995 14.5 15.5 9.5 11.5 10.5 0.01 5.5 1.5 10.5
1996 22.5 14.5 13 13.5 10.5 0.01 0.01 21.5 17
1997 s/d 20.5 29 6 5 0 5 6.5 1.5
1998 24.5 18 25.5 13.5 0 0.01 0 0.01 1
1999 26.8 21.6 14.8 12.8 4.2 0.01 1.6 0.01 4.1
2000 23.1 25.2 16.8 3.5 5.6 12.5 4.5 7.3 9.4
2001 33.3 26 19.4 8.9 6.3 3.3 9.2 4.7 7.1
2002 19.6 45.1 28.4 17.9 9.9 0.6 7.5 5.3 10.2
2003 29.5 21.1 21.2 23.7 8 8.7 0 3.6 4.1
2004 27.7 29.8 16.7 8.8 18.8 4.1 4.4 8.3 10.1
2005 14.1 28.5 27.5 23.7 2.1 0 0.2 0.7 2.6
2006 25.8 38.5 10.5 28.1 1 9.7 0 0.3 4.3
2007 18 16.5 40.1 30.3 9.9 0 2.5 0.01 2.2
2008 10.6 22.5 26.3 9.7 6.8 1.8 0 2.6 9.9
2009 15.7 14.1 21.2 4.8 2.6 0 4.3 0 4.8
2010 39.4 10.7 18.5 13.4 1.2 0 0 6.7 3.6
2011 20.6 17.8 20 15.9 3.2 4.7 4.5 4.3 12.5
2012 24.3 35.4 16.4 13.6 2.3 9.4 0.9 2.9 7.5
2013 17.6 24.7 17.1 13.7 5.6 1 0 8.3 s/d
2014 18.7 32.5 18.2 6.8 2 0 s/d s/d s/d
 Prueba de bondad y ajuste Smirnov-Kolmogorov - Dis

OCTUBRE NOVIEMBRE DICIEMBRE Máx preci m PP.max.24 hr PP.24hr.-a+

15 43 30 43.0 1 43.0 6.0
13 17 35 35.0 2 35.0 16.0
s/d s/d s/d 16.0 3 16.0 18.2
5.1 12.4 13 20.9 4 20.9 20.9
s/d s/d s/d 18.2 5 18.2 21.5
s/d s/d s/d 0.0 6 6.0 26.3
s/d s/d 133.68 133.7 7 133.7 27.0
24 17 17 33.5 8 33.5 27.5
42 7.5 28.5 42.0 9 42.0 27.6
22 29 22 59.0 10 59.0 27.6
8 20 21.5 21.5 11 21.5 28.5
31 18.5 19 31.0 12 31.0 29.0
20.5 24.5 27.5 29.0 13 29.0 29.5
8 24.5 27 27.0 14 27.0 29.8
11.1 10.5 27.6 27.6 15 27.6 31.0
16.5 15.4 27.5 27.5 16 27.5 31.8
20.5 14.6 39.8 39.8 17 39.8 32.5
13.7 19.9 13.5 45.1 18 45.1 32.7
10.7 18.4 21.3 29.5 19 29.5 33.5
9.3 9.3 20.3 29.8 20 29.8 35.0
15.3 19.7 15.2 28.5 21 28.5 35.4
16.3 18.1 17 38.5 22 38.5 38.5
15.3 27.3 17.5 40.1 23 40.1 39.4
22.5 10.7 13.1 26.3 24 26.3 39.8
7.8 32.7 17.5 32.7 25 32.7 40.1
10.9 18.2 15.7 39.4 26 39.4 42.0
13.6 18.2 27.6 27.6 27 27.6 43.0
5.9 16.9 25.2 35.4 28 35.4 45.1
13.6 24.8 31.8 31.8 29 31.8 59.0
s/d s/d s/d 32.5 30 32.5 133.7
Promedio= 34.9
Desv.Estan= 21.14

T (años) F(Z) Z
10 0.900 1.2816
25 0.960 1.7507
50 0.980 2.0537
75 0.987 2.2164
100 0.990 2.3263
200 0.995 2.576
DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL
Donde:
f(x)= función densidad normal de la variable

x= variable independiente
µ= parámetro de localización, media aritméti
S= parámetro de escala, desviación estanda
d y ajuste Smirnov-Kolmogorov - Distribucion normal Prueba de bondad y ajuste Smirnov-Kolmogorov - Distribucion Logn

P(x)=m/n+1 Z F(Z) |P(X)-F(Z)| m PP.24hr.-a+ Y=Ln(PP24hr) P(x)

0.0323 -1.3685 0.08558 0.0533172299 0.0855752944 1 6.0 1.7918 0.0323
0.0645 -0.8955 0.18527 0.1207512416 2 16.0 2.7726 0.0645
0.0968 -0.7914 0.21435 0.1175803835 3 18.2 2.9014 0.0968
0.1290 -0.6637 0.25345 0.1244151102 4 20.9 3.0397 0.1290
0.1613 -0.6353 0.26262 0.1013267167 5 21.5 3.0681 0.1613
0.1935 -0.4082 0.34155 0.1480014885 6 26.3 3.2696 0.1935
0.2258 -0.3751 0.35378 0.1279777334 7 27.0 3.2958 0.2258
0.2581 -0.3515 0.36262 0.1045527562 8 27.5 3.3142 0.2581
0.2903 -0.3467 0.36439 0.0740702965 9 27.6 3.3178 0.2903
0.3226 -0.3467 0.36439 0.041812232 10 27.6 3.3178 0.3226
0.3548 -0.3042 0.38050 0.0256615284 11 28.5 3.3499 0.3548
0.3871 -0.2805 0.38954 0.0024444158 12 29.0 3.3673 0.3871
0.4194 -0.2569 0.39864 0.0207125154 13 29.5 3.3844 0.4194
0.4516 -0.2427 0.40413 0.0474829737 14 29.8 3.3945 0.4516
0.4839 -0.1859 0.42626 0.0576118331 15 31.0 3.4340 0.4839
0.5161 -0.1481 0.44115 0.0749824091 16 31.8 3.4595 0.5161
0.5484 -0.1149 0.45424 0.0941445913 17 32.5 3.4812 0.5484
0.5806 -0.1055 0.45799 0.1226511815 18 32.7 3.4874 0.5806
0.6129 -0.0676 0.47303 0.1398692218 19 33.5 3.5115 0.6129
0.6452 0.0033 0.50132 0.1438402722 20 35.0 3.5553 0.6452
0.6774 0.0222 0.50887 0.168550376 21 35.4 3.5667 0.6774
0.7097 0.1689 0.56705 0.1426242393 22 38.5 3.6507 0.7097
0.7419 0.2115 0.58373 0.1582033075 23 39.4 3.6738 0.7419
0.7742 0.2304 0.59110 0.1830947537 24 39.8 3.6839 0.7742
0.8065 0.2446 0.59660 0.2098487451 25 40.1 3.6914 0.8065
0.8387 0.3344 0.63098 0.2077326806 26 42.0 3.7377 0.8387
0.8710 0.3817 0.64868 0.2222924625 27 43.0 3.7612 0.8710
0.9032 0.4811 0.68477 0.21845361 28 45.1 3.8089 0.9032
0.9355 1.1386 0.87257 0.0629153924 29 59.0 4.0775 0.9355
0.9677 4.6723 1.00000 0.032256575 30 133.7 4.8956 0.9677
Δ teorico 0.2223 μ= 3.4354
Δ tabla 0,24993 σ= 0.4905

P 24h T (años) F(Z) Z P 24h

62.0
71.9
〖𝑃𝑃〗 _24=𝑋 ̅+𝑆∗𝑍 10
25
0.900
0.960
1.2816
1.7507
58.2
73.3

〖𝑃𝑃〗 _24=
78.3 50 0.980 2.0537 85.0
81.8 75 0.987 2.2164 92.1
84.1 100 0.990 2.3263 97.2
89.4 200 0.995 2.576 109.8
 Donde:

ensidad normal de la variable (x) La variable "X" puede ser reemplazada por una función:

tal que, 𝑌=𝐿𝑜𝑔 (𝑋) esta función puede norma

e localización, media aritmética de x en una ley de probabilidades denominada Log - Normal,
de escala, desviación estandar de x originales de la variable aleatoria X, deben ser transform

𝑌 ̅=∑24_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋 _𝑖/𝑛 〗

Donde: 𝑌 ̅ es la media de los datos de la muestra

RESUMEN P24h (mm)

LOG GUMBEL
T(AÑOS) NORMAL
NORMAL 2P

Δmax= 0.222 0.174 0.194

10 62.0 58.2 46.5
25 71.9 73.3 54.3
50 78.3 85.0 59.3
75 81.8 92.1 61.9
100 84.1 97.2 63.8
200 89.4 109.8 67.9

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN (mm) PARA DIFERENT

T(años) PP24hr
(mm) 10 20
10 58.2 16.8 20.0
25 73.3 21.2 25.2
50 85.0 24.5 29.2
75 92.1 26.6 31.6
100 97.2 28.1 33.4
200 109.8 31.7 37.7
500
 Intensidades máximas en (mm/hr) para
T(años)
10 20
10 100.8 59.9
25 127.0 75.5
50 147.2 87.5
75 159.5 94.9
100 168.4 100.1
200 190.2 113.1

CURVAS IDF

CURVA
200.0

180.0

160.0

140.0
Intensidades (mm/hr)

120.0

100.0

80.0

60.0

40.0

20.0

0.0
0 50 100 150 200

Duración (min)
olmogorov - Distribucion Lognormal Prueba de bondad y ajuste Smirnov-Kolmogorov - Gumbel

Z F(Z) |P(X)-F(Z)| m PP.24hr.-a+ P(X) F(Y)

-3.3507 0.00040 0.03186 1 6.0 0.0323 0.03886
-1.3512 0.08832 0.02380 2 16.0 0.0645 0.17024
-1.0885 0.13818 0.04141 3 18.2 0.0968 0.21240
-0.8065 0.20997 0.08094 4 20.9 0.1290 0.26842
-0.7488 0.22698 0.06569 5 21.5 0.1613 0.28134
-0.3380 0.36768 0.17413 6 26.3 0.1935 0.38760
-0.2845 0.38803 0.16222 7 27.0 0.2258 0.40318
-0.2471 0.40243 0.14437 8 27.5 0.2581 0.41427
-0.2397 0.40530 0.11498 9 27.6 0.2903 0.41648
-0.2397 0.40530 0.08272 10 27.6 0.3226 0.41648
-0.1742 0.43084 0.07600 11 28.5 0.3548 0.43633
-0.1388 0.44481 0.05772 12 29.0 0.3871 0.44728
-0.1039 0.45861 0.03926 13 29.5 0.4194 0.45816
-0.0833 0.46681 0.01519 14 29.8 0.4516 0.46465
-0.0028 0.49887 0.01500 15 31.0 0.4839 0.49035
0.0491 0.51959 0.00346 16 31.8 0.5161 0.50718
0.0935 0.53725 0.01114 17 32.5 0.5484 0.52171
0.1060 0.54222 0.03843 18 32.7 0.5806 0.52582
0.1553 0.56170 0.05120 19 33.5 0.6129 0.54208
0.2446 0.59661 0.04855 20 35.0 0.6452 0.57173
0.2678 0.60556 0.07186 21 35.4 0.6774 0.57945
0.4389 0.66963 0.04005 22 38.5 0.7097 0.63628
0.4860 0.68652 0.05542 23 39.4 0.7419 0.65175
0.5066 0.69378 0.08041 24 39.8 0.7742 0.65847
0.5219 0.69913 0.10732 25 40.1 0.8065 0.66345
0.6163 0.73114 0.10757 26 42.0 0.8387 0.69376
0.6642 0.74673 0.12423 27 43.0 0.8710 0.70886
0.7615 0.77681 0.12642 28 45.1 0.9032 0.73865
1.3091 0.90476 0.03073 29 59.0 0.9355 0.87779
2.9769 0.99854 0.03080 30 133.7 0.9677 0.99860
Δ teorico 0.17413 X= 34.93 Δ teorico
Δ tabla 0,24993 S= 21.14 Δ tabla
α 16.483
μ 25.416

58.2 T (años) F(Z) Z P 24h

10 0.900 1.2816 46.5

〖𝑃𝑃〗 _24= 〖𝐸𝑋𝑃〗 ^((𝜇+𝜎∗𝑍))

25 0.960 1.7507 54.3
50 0.980 2.0537 59.3
75 0.987 2.2164 61.9
100 0.990 2.3263 63.8
200 0.995 2.5758 67.9
 Dsitrubición GUMBEL
FUNCIÓN DE DISTRIBUCIÓN

ACUMULADA GUMBEL

𝐹(𝑥)=−𝑒^(−𝑒^(−((𝑥 − 𝜇)/∝)) )
FUNCIÓN ACUMULADA

REDUCIDA DE GUMBEL
plazada por una función: 𝑌=𝑓(𝑋) 𝐹(𝑥)=𝐺(𝑦)
VARIABLE ALEATORIA
sta función puede normalizarse, transformándose 𝑦= (𝑥 − 𝜇)/𝛼
enominada Log - Normal, N (Y, Sy). Por lo que, los valores REDUCIDA GUMBEL
ia X, deben ser transformadas a Y= Log (X), de tal manera:
∝=√6/𝜋 ∗𝑆≅0.78∗𝑆
𝑔 𝑋 _𝑖/𝑛 〗
𝜇=𝑥 ̅ −𝑦∗∝ = 𝑥 ̅ −0.45∗𝑆
e los datos de la muestra transformada
Donde:

MEJOR
Log Normal

58.2
73.3
85.0
92.1
97.2
109.8

N (mm) PARA DIFERENTES DURACIONES (min)

Duraciones (minutos)
30 60 90 120 240 360
22.1 26.3 29.1 31.3 37.2 41.2
27.8 26.9 27.6 28.1 29.4 30.1
32.3 31.4 31.6 31.8 32.1 32.3
35.0 35.4 35.5 35.5 35.6 35.7
36.9 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.6
41.7 44.4 44.4 44.4 44.4 44.4
máximas en (mm/hr) para diferentes duraciones
Duraciones (minutos)
30 60 90 120 240 360 Tc=Duración 𝑖=𝑃/𝑡
44.2 26.3 19.4 15.6 9.3 6.9
55.7 26.9 18.4 14.1 7.3 5.0
64.6 31.4 21.1 15.9 8.0 5.4
70.0 35.4 23.6 17.7 8.9 5.9
73.9 38.5 25.7 19.3 9.6 6.4
83.4 44.4 29.6 22.2 11.1 7.4

CURVAS IDF

CURVAS IDF

Tr= 10 años
Tr=25 años
Tr= 50 años
Tr= 75 años
Tr= 100 años
Tr= 200 años

150 200 250 300 350 400

Duración (min)
gorov - Gumbel

|P(X)-F(Z)|
0.0066
0.1057
0.1156
0.1394
0.1200
0.1940
0.1774
0.1562
0.1262
0.0939
0.0815
0.0602
0.0388
0.0130
0.0065
0.0089
0.0267
0.0548
0.0708
0.0734
0.0980
0.0734
0.0902
0.1157
0.1430
0.1449
0.1621
0.1646
0.0577
0.0309
0.1940
0,24993

0.0606678841

〖𝑃𝑃〗 _24= 𝜇+𝛼∗𝑍

Mediante estas expresiones,

𝐹(𝑥)= 𝑒^(−𝑒^(−𝑏) )
podemos calcular la frecuencia

a partir del valor x, es decir:

 Mediante estas expresiones,
𝐹(𝑥)= 𝑒^(−𝑒^(−𝑏) )
podemos calcular la frecuencia

a partir del valor x, es decir:

FUNCIÓN DE DISTRIBUCIÓN
Siendo:

ACUMULADA GUMBEL
𝑏= α ( x - µ) calcular con qué frecuencia (o

𝛼= 𝜎_𝑦/𝑆_𝑥 PERÍODO DE RETORNO) se

−((𝑥 − 𝜇)/∝)) )
FUNCIÓN ACUMULADA
presentará un cierto caudal o
REDUCIDA DE GUMBEL
𝜇= 𝑥 ̅ − 𝜇_𝑦/∝
precipitación.

VARIABLE ALEATORIA
Donde:
REDUCIDA GUMBEL 𝑒= base de los logaritmos neperianos
𝑥 ̅= media arimética de la muestra
𝑆_𝑥= desviación típica de la muestra
𝜎_𝑦 𝜇_𝑦 consultar en la tabla adjunta, según el
número de datos de la muestra
𝑆
Para solucionar el caso inverso

(qué CAUDAL o precipitación se 𝑏=−𝐿𝑛(−𝐿𝑛(𝐹(𝑥)))

producirá cada "n" años) Y, finalmente, despejando x se obtiene:

debemos despejar "b" en la 𝑥=(𝑏/∝)+ 𝜇

expresión anterior, obteniendo:

N° datos 𝜇_𝑦 𝜎_𝑦

10 0.4952 0.9496
15 0.5128 1.0206
20 0.5236 1.0628
25 0.5309 1.0914
30 0.5362 1.1124
35 0.5403 1.1285
40 0.5436 1.1413
45 0.5463 1.1518
50 0.5485 1.1607
55 0.5504 1.1682
60 0.5521 1.1747
65 0.5535 1.1803
70 0.5548 1.1854
75 0.5559 1.1898
80 0.5569 1.1938
85 0.5578 1.1974
90 0.5586 1.2007
 95 0.5593 1.2037
100 0.5600 1.2065

𝑖=𝑃/𝑡
Dsitrubición Log GUMBEL